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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EURUSD: Best opportunity to buy for the long term.EURUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.973, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 14.482) but almost still oversold on 1W (RSI = 35.674). This is because after the November 18th 1W candle bottom on the LL trendline of the 2 year Channel Down, it has completed 2 red weeks in a row. Still, having rebounded on oversold 1W RSI territory, those low levels present an excellent buy opportunity for those who missed the bottom. Every bounce on the Channel Down bottom has made at least a +5.42% rally, and that is what we're aiming for (TP = 1.0900). This may coincide with a 1W MA200 test. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
EUR/USD Stagnates Near 1.0500: All Eyes on the Federal ReserveThe EUR/USD currency pair is currently consolidating within a narrow range, lingering around the 1.0500 to 1.0490 levels. As investors turn their attention to the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting, market sentiment remains cautious yet focused. Today's scheduled announcement regarding the US Federal Funds Rate, along with the subsequent FOMC statement and press conference, could further bolster the US dollar. Expectations are leaning toward a 25 basis point reduction in interest rates by the Fed. However, it is anticipated that the central bank will accompany this cut with somewhat hawkish commentary regarding future policy guidance. Such remarks could indicate that despite the rate cut, the Fed remains vigilant about economic conditions and inflation pressures. This meeting represents a crucial moment for market participants, as it could usher in significant volatility, particularly ahead of tomorrow's Unemployment Claims report. As traders assess these economic indicators, they are likely to position themselves accordingly, especially if the data reflects a robust labor market. Given the current landscape, our outlook for the euro remains bearish as the dollar shows a tendency to strengthen. The pressure on the eurozone continues to mount amid various economic challenges, making it difficult for the euro to gain traction against its US counterpart. As we navigate this period of uncertainty, traders are advised to keep a close eye on the developments from the Federal Reserve, as well as any shifting dynamics in the broader economic context. The next few sessions could prove pivotal for both currencies, influencing the short-term trading strategies of many market participants. We expect the dollar to maintain its upward trajectory, while the euro may struggle to hold its ground. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
EURUSD to make a bullish breakout after the Fed.On Wednesday the Fed will announce the new rate and the anticipation of this event largely explains the recent consolidation of EURUSD. Since the November 22nd bottom, it has turned sideways around the MA50 (4h), failing to cross above the MA200 (4h), which is the main Resistance of the bearish wave since October 1st. The July-October 2023 bearish wave was under a similar consolidation but eventually broke to the upside and hit the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 1.08700 (the 0.618 Fibonacci level). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) has been rising inside a Channel Up, which is a bullish divergence also very much like the October 2023 bottom. Please like, follow and comment!!
Long
by TradingBrokersView
2
THEFOREXADVENTURES | EURUSD BULLISH STRUCTURE HELLO FELLOW TRADERS, I'm taking a look at the Euro/USD pair on the 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price has been consolidating around defined demand zone for the past few days. This zone is marked by a horizontal pink rectangle. Within this zone, we've seen a clear descending channel forming, indicating potential downward pressure. However, the price has recently breakout descending channel , suggesting a possible reversal. Now, here's where it gets interesting. at the moment market running around our demand zone if we find any confirmation it could signal a significant bullish move. here any confirmation would confirm a potential change in market sentiment and could lead to further upward momentum. Therefore, I'm closely watching the price action around the Demand zone. If I find confirmation, I'll be looking to enter a long position with a stop-loss below the Demand zone and a take-profit target towards the next Supply zone. RISK MANAGEMENT: Emphasize the importance of risk management and using stop-loss orders to protect your capital. I hope this analysis provides you with some valuable insights. Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comments section below. HAPPY TRADING!
Long
by TheForexAdventures
Comprehensive Guide to Bull and Bear Flag PatternsBull and bear flag patterns are some of the most reliable and widely used chart patterns in technical analysis. These patterns are particularly effective for traders who prefer trading with the trend, offering clear entry and exit points. They appear frequently in trending markets and represent short consolidations before the trend resumes. In this guide, we’ll cover the characteristics of bull and bear flags, trading strategies, and how to enhance your flag trading using multi-timeframe analysis. What Are Bull and Bear Flag Patterns? Bull and bear flags are continuation patterns, meaning they signal the potential for a price move to continue in the direction of the prior trend after a brief consolidation or retracement. Bull Flag: This pattern occurs during an uptrend. After a sharp rise in price (the flagpole), the price begins to consolidate within a downward-sloping channel (the flag). A breakout to the upside typically follows, continuing the trend. Bear Flag: In a downtrend, after a strong decline (the flagpole), the price consolidates in an upward-sloping channel (the flag). When the price breaks downward, it continues the downtrend. These patterns are valuable for traders as they provide clear entry signals when the price breaks out of the flag's consolidation range. Anatomy of a Flag Pattern The flag pattern consists of two main components: The Flagpole: This is the sharp price movement that occurs in the direction of the trend. It signifies strong momentum and establishes the direction in which the trend is moving. The Flag: The flag is a period of consolidation or retracement that follows the flagpole. The price moves within parallel or slightly converging trendlines and typically retraces about 30% to 50% of the flagpole. The flag represents a pause in the market before the trend resumes. Key Characteristics: Bullish Flag: Occurs in an uptrend, and the consolidation takes place in a downward-sloping channel. Bearish Flag: Occurs in a downtrend, and the consolidation takes place in an upward-sloping channel. Volume (if you trade Crypto or stocks) tends to decrease during the consolidation phase and increases significantly at the breakout point, confirming the continuation of the trend. Trading Strategies for Bull and Bear Flags While bull and bear flags are relatively simple to identify, using different strategies can help enhance the effectiveness of trades. Here’s a breakdown of the most effective approaches to trading these patterns: 1. Breakout Strategy The breakout strategy is a straightforward approach that traders use to enter a position when the price breaks out of the flag's consolidation. This marks the continuation of the trend and offers a high-probability setup. Entry: Enter the trade when the price breaks above the upper trendline of a bull flag or below the lower trendline of a bear flag. Stop-Loss: Place the stop just outside the flag’s opposite boundary (below the flag for bull flags or above for bear flags). Take-Profit: Measure the length of the flagpole and project it from the breakout point. This will give you a target for where the price could potentially move. 2. Multi-Timeframe Strategy The multi-timeframe strategy involves using multiple timeframes to analyze the flag pattern. This strategy can provide a more robust confirmation for entering the trade, as it gives you a broader perspective on the overall trend. Higher Timeframe Analysis: Begin by analyzing a higher timeframe (e.g., the daily chart). Look for a strong trend, either bullish or bearish, and identify if a flag pattern is forming within this trend. Lower Timeframe Confirmation: Once the pattern is identified on the higher timeframe, zoom in on a lower timeframe (e.g., the 1-hour or 4-hour chart) for precise entry points. Look for the price to break out of the flag pattern on the lower timeframe, confirming the trend continuation. Why Use This Strategy? Multi-timeframe analysis reduces the risk of false breakouts by confirming the broader trend on a higher timeframe. It allows you to refine your entries by using a lower timeframe for greater precision. Note: A critical benefit of this strategy is its ability to significantly enhance the risk-to-reward (R:R) ratio, with the example presented achieving an impressive 1:5 ratio. This means that for every unit of risk taken, the potential reward is five times greater—a highly efficient use of capital and risk management. 3. Pullback Entry Strategy The pullback entry strategy offers a more conservative approach to trading flag patterns. Instead of entering at the initial breakout, this strategy waits for a pullback toward the breakout level to confirm the trend’s continuation. Entry: Enter the trade after the breakout has occurred but wait for the price to pull back to the flag’s trendline. This pullback gives you a better risk-to-reward ratio. Stop-Loss: Place the stop just below the flag’s trendline for a bull flag or above it for a bear flag. Take-Profit: As with the breakout strategy, project the flagpole's length from the breakout point for your target. When Not to Trade Flag Patterns While flag patterns are reliable, they are not always guaranteed to work. There are specific conditions when you should avoid trading them: Choppy or Sideways Markets: Flags perform best in trending markets. If the market is choppy or moving sideways, flag patterns are less likely to lead to a strong breakout. Weak Flags: If the flag's consolidation is too broad or the market loses momentum during the consolidation, the breakout may be weak or fail altogether. Conclusion Bull and bear flag patterns are essential tools in any trader's toolkit, offering high-probability setups in trending markets. By understanding how to spot them, applying different trading strategies, and incorporating multi-timeframe analysis, traders can enhance their chances of success. Final Tip: Always combine flag patterns with good risk management techniques, such as proper stop-loss placement and positive risk:reward.
Education
by Mihai_Iacob
8
The Importance of a Growth Mindset in TradingTrading is often seen as a high-stakes endeavor where markets can pivot dramatically, leaving traders with either significant profits or devastating losses. While technical analysis, market knowledge, and strategic planning are essential components of successful trading, one often overlooked factor that can greatly influence performance is the trader's mindset. Specifically, adopting a growth mindset is vital for anyone serious about trading. Let’s delve deeper into what a growth mindset entails, why it’s important, and how it can transform your trading journey. What is a Growth Mindset? The concept of a growth mindset was popularized by psychologist Carol Dweck, who defined it as the belief that abilities and intelligence can be developed through dedication, hard work, and perseverance. This contrasts with a fixed mindset, where individuals believe their talents and intelligence are static and unchangeable. In the context of trading, a growth mindset involves the following key attributes: 1. Embracing Challenges: Instead of avoiding challenging trading situations or difficult market conditions, traders with a growth mindset see these as opportunities to grow and learn. They understand that facing challenges head-on can lead to skill development and greater resilience. 2. Learning from Mistakes: Rather than viewing losses as failures or signs of inadequacy, those with a growth mindset analyze their mistakes to extract lessons. They use these insights to refine their strategies and decision-making processes, thus turning setbacks into powerful learning experiences. 3. Valuing Effort: A growth-oriented trader recognizes that consistent effort is critical in mastering the art of trading. They dedicate time to studying market trends, testing trading strategies, and continuing education to ensure they’re continuously evolving. 4. Seeking Feedback: Open to constructive criticism, traders with a growth mindset actively seek feedback from mentors, peers, and analyses of their own trades. This openness fosters an environment of continuous improvement. 5. Persistence: A belief in development encourages traders to remain persistent, even when faced with prolonged losses. They maintain focus on long-term goals and resist the temptation to give up easily. Read Also: Why a Growth Mindset is Essential for Traders 1. Navigating Market Volatility The financial markets are inherently unpredictable, characterized by rapid fluctuations. A growth mindset allows traders to remain calm and composed under pressure. Rather than panicking during a downturn or an unexpected event, they approach the situation with curiosity, seeking to understand the underlying factors and exploring new strategies that can be implemented. 2. Enhancing Adaptability Markets evolve, and strategies that may have worked in the past can become less effective over time. A trader with a growth mindset is adaptable; they recognize that flexibility is key to thriving in changing conditions. They frequently reassess their approaches and are open to integrating new tools, technologies, and methodologies into their trading arsenal. 3. Increasing Resilience Trading is replete with emotional highs and lows. A growth mindset equips traders with the emotional resilience needed to cope with the inevitable losses and setbacks. Instead of being bogged down by failure, resilient traders bounce back quicker, armed with the understanding that every loss can serve as a stepping stone toward success. 4. Cultivating a Practice of Continuous Learning The financial markets are a dynamic landscape filled with opportunities for education and growth. Traders with a growth mindset dedicate themselves to continuous learning, whether through reading books, attending seminars, or following market analysts. This pursuit of knowledge can lead to innovative strategies and a deeper understanding of market behavior. 5. Building a Supportive Network Traders with a growth mindset tend to foster connections with like-minded individuals. They understand the importance of collaboration and knowledge-sharing. This network can serve as a source of inspiration, motivation, and support, which is critical when navigating the inevitable challenges of trading. Read Also: Implementing a Growth Mindset in Trading 1. Reflect on Your Beliefs Identify whether you lean toward a growth mindset or a fixed mindset. Ask yourself how you typically respond to challenges, mistakes, and feedback. This self-awareness is the first step toward fostering a growth-oriented approach. 2. Reframe Your Thoughts Start practicing cognitive reframing. When you encounter a setback, instead of thinking, “I failed,” try shifting your perspective to, “What can I learn from this experience?” By changing how you interpret setbacks, you can redefine your journey as one of growth and development. 3. Set Process-Oriented Goals Focus on setting goals that emphasize learning and improvement rather than solely outcomes. Instead of aiming just for a specific profit target, you might set goals related to developing a new strategy, completing a trading course, or mastering technical analysis. 4. Embrace a Routine of Self-Reflection After each trading session, take time to reflect on what went well and what didn’t. Maintain a trading journal where you document your thought processes, decisions, and emotions during trades. Regular reflection will help you internalize lessons learned and continuously develop your mindset. 5. Seek Mentorship and Community Surround yourself with individuals who share a growth mindset. Engage with mentors, join trading groups, and participate in forums where members encourage one another to learn and grow. Learning from others' experiences can amplify your growth journey. Read Also: Conclusion The world of trading is as much an emotional and psychological exercise as it is a financial one. Cultivating a growth mindset is vital to navigating this complex landscape successfully. By embracing challenges, learning from mistakes, remaining adaptable, and persisting in the face of adversity, traders can elevate their performance and ultimately achieve greater financial success. Trading is not simply about making money; it's about growth—both as a trader and as an individual. In a world that constantly presents challenges, a growth mindset empowers traders to thrive amidst uncertainty, turning obstacles into stepping stones toward their goals. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Education
by FOREXN1
9
EURUSD is under pressureEURUSD is under pressure ahead of FOMC meeting. The recent narrative about the upcoming interest rate decision is considered as a "hawkish decilne", meaning that the interest rate would be declined with cautious comments, as inflation doesn't show any signs of weakness yet: morever, it had displayed a moderate uptick during the last CPI publication. There are two possibilities to construct a short position: the one is an intraday trade (potential short after the upside breakout through the recent chart formation), another would be a swing trade after 2-3 days of correction. Beware of possible volatility spike during the FOMC publication and press conference on Wednesday. Always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
Short
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
EURUSD 1HIn continuation of my previous analysis, which you can view here , and was highly accurate, the market moved exactly as predicted. The EUR/USD trend remains bearish, but we are approaching a reversal zone. Based on precise analysis, with a move similar to the green lines drawn on the chart, I expect the price to reach 1.037. I'm pleased to announce that I can also analyze the timing of price movements, and I predict that during the London open on Tuesday, December 17th, we will reach the target zone. It’s clear that a reversal won’t happen immediately upon reaching 1.037, as the price will go through its rotation process. We will closely monitor this development and enjoy the precision of the market analysis. As we approach the end of the year, the market activity may slow down. Be cautious with your capital and avoid unnecessary risks. If the price breaks and consolidates above 1.054, the analysis will be invalidated. At the start of the market, I’ll look for signs of weakness in the bullish momentum to enter sell trades. I will remain a seller with proper entries and exits until the announced target is reached. Stay tuned for updates!
Short
by GreyFX-NDS
1
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.05600 back downThis week, my analysis for EUR/USD aligns closely with GBP/USD, as both pairs have exhibited bearish momentum. However, there are subtle differences in price action as we approach the final month of the year. A key focus is the 4-hour supply zone around 1.05600, which initiated a break of structure to the downside. Once price reaches this area, I’ll look for redistribution on the lower timeframes to confirm a potential sell. If the price moves higher, the 2-hour supply zone just above offers an even better opportunity for shorts. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: - Liquidity Below: Significant downside liquidity remains untapped. - Bearish Momentum: The pair has been bearish for the past two weeks. - Break of Structure: Key levels have broken to the downside on the higher timeframe. - DXY Correlation: The dollar index (DXY) supports this bearish setup. - Key Supply Zone: The 4-hour supply zone caused the initial bearish move. Note: If price mitigates the 5-hour demand zone, I may consider a counter-trend buy to take price back up toward the supply zone. However, if this demand zone fails, it will trigger another break of structure (BOS), prompting me to identify a new supply zone for potential shorts. Stay disciplined and have a strong trading week—let’s close Q4 on a high note!
Short
by Hassan_fx
AMD 1. Accumulation What Happens? Smart money (institutions) accumulates large positions quietly, ensuring they don’t move the market significantly. This occurs in a range-bound phase (consolidation) where prices trade within support and resistance levels. How to Spot? Look for low volatility and decreasing volume. Price shows little directional movement, forming tight ranges. Wyckoff patterns like "Spring" may appear, where price briefly dips below support to trap sellers. What to Do? Identify the range and mark key support and resistance levels. Avoid trading during this phase until a breakout or manipulation begins. 2. Manipulation What Happens? Smart money manipulates the market to create liquidity. They do this by triggering stop-loss orders or inducing retail traders into positions. This phase includes fake breakouts, sharp moves, and increased volatility. How to Spot? Sudden price spikes through key levels (e.g., above resistance or below support), followed by a reversal. Bull and bear traps occur to lure traders into the wrong side of the market. Increased volume during these moves indicates institutional activity. What to Do? Be cautious of chasing moves during this phase. Wait for confirmation of the manipulation ending, often signaled by a return to the accumulation or breakout levels. 3. Distribution What Happens? Smart money distributes their positions at premium prices, typically after manipulating the market to push prices higher or lower. This is the phase where trends (upward or downward) are fully established and driven by momentum. How to Spot? Strong directional moves with increasing volume. Breakout of the previous accumulation range, confirmed by a retest. Trend continuation patterns like higher highs and higher lows (uptrend) or lower highs and lower lows (downtrend). What to Do? Enter trades in the direction of the trend, ensuring confirmation. Use tools like Fibonacci retracements and extensions to identify profit targets. Follow proper risk management to capitalize on the trend without overexposing. Practical Trading Tips for AMD Strategy Combine with ICT Concepts: If you use ICT strategies, align AMD with tools like liquidity zones, order blocks, and fair value gaps. Key Levels: Focus on institutional levels like psychological levels, daily/weekly highs and lows, and previous session levels. Timeframes: Use higher timeframes (H1, H4, or Daily) to identify AMD phases and lower timeframes (M5, M15) for precise entries. Patience: AMD requires waiting for each phase to develop; avoid impulsive trades.
by RBSBALA
Euro-dollar on the brink of collapseGreetings to you all, dear Devan. I hope you support this analysis as always. The Euro-Dollar is falling in higher time frames like months and weeks, so we expect a further fall.🔥 We are expected to correct upwards in the new trading week and begin the main fall!🩸 Be sure to keep in mind that this post is analytical and only enter the market in specific areas with your own confirmation and trading setup.✔ Good luck and stay tuned💎💲
by gang_trader1
1
EUR/USD Under Bearish Pressure: A Market Analysis [Update]As anticipated in our previous analyses, the EUR/USD currency pair experienced significant downward pressure during the late American trading session on Wednesday, hitting its lowest point in almost a month, below 1.0350. Currently, while I am drafting this article, the pair has seen a minor rebound and is trading around 1.0410; however, the technical indicators still suggest a bearish outlook. The price is nearing a critical area where it may continue to decline. Our analysis reveals an imbalance on the Daily timeframe that could signal a further downturn. For more detailed insights, please refer to the link provided below. Following the last Federal Reserve policy meeting of the year, the central bank announced a reduction in its policy rate by 25 basis points, aligning with market expectations, bringing it to a range between 4.25% and 4.5%. In their accompanying statement, the Fed emphasized that they would take into account incoming data, the evolving economic landscape, and the balance of risks when evaluating future rate adjustments. In the aftermath of the Fed's decision, the US Dollar (USD) gained substantial strength, leading to a sharp decline in the EUR/USD pair. Moving forward, our outlook suggests the potential for a new bearish correction in the market as we navigate these developments. Previous close position SHORT ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Elliott Wave View: EURUSD Short Term Remains BearishShort Term Elliott Wave view in EURUSD suggests the decline from 9.25.2024 high is in progress as an impulse. Down from 9.25.2024 high, wave 1 ended at 1.076 and wave 2 rally ended at 1.0936. Pair then resumed lower in wave 3 towards 1.033. Corrective rally in wave ended at 1.063 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Pair still needs to break below 1.033 to rule out any double correction possibility. Wave 5 lower is currently in progress with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse. Down from wave 4, wave (i) ended at 1.0539 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 1.0594. Wave (iii) lower ended at 1.0484 and wave (iv) rally ended at 1.0537. Final leg wave (v) ended at 1.045 which completed wave ((i)) in higher degree. Rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 1.0534 and pair has resumed lower again. Down from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 1.0476 and wave (ii) rally ended at 1.0516. Pair resumed lower in wave (iii) towards 1.034 and wave (iv) rally ended at 1.0422. Expect pair to extend lower to end wave (v) of ((iii)), then it should rally in wave ((iv)) before turning lower again. Near term, as far as pivot at 1.063 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for further downside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Heading into pullback resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support level. Pivot: 1.0451 1st Support: 1.0333 1st Resistance: 1.0533 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets