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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D11 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D11 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅Intraday 15' break of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBP/USD eases off highs again after poor UK dataAfter an initial tumble to just shy of 1.3450 in response to this morning’s disappointing UK jobs and wages print, the pound staged a spirited recovery, climbing back to a high of 1.3536. However, that rebound appears to be fading, with sterling once again drifting lower as the US dollar finds its footing across the board. The underwhelming labour market data has bolstered expectations for a Bank of England rate cut in August, with a second move potentially on the cards in November, should incoming data allow. With rate cut probabilities on the rise, the pound’s four-month rally could be running out of steam. June remains in positive territory for GBP/USD, which raises the prospect of a fifth consecutive monthly gain. But that run may be living on borrowed time. Any further deterioration in UK data—or even a modest pick-up in risk appetite favouring the dollar—could well tip the scales back in favour of the greenback. From a technical standpoint, cable is beginning to look somewhat top-heavy. The key support zone between 1.3430 and 1.3450 has held up thus far, but a clean break below this region would mark a bearish shift in sentiment. Should that occur, a retreat towards the low 1.30s could swiftly come back into play. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
DeGRAM | GBPUSD broke the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Pullback stalled exactly on the purple trend-support (≈1.348) and the channel mid-line after a false break of the upper wedge, preserving the sequence of higher-lows since May. ● Price is basing inside the 1.337-1.353 support strip; reclaim of 1.3530 would invalidate the bearish trap and open the next channel-median / April swing at 1.3590, while the lower rail at 1.3250 guards the up-trend. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● UK April wage growth held at 5.7 % y/y, keeping BoE tightening bias alive, while softer US CPI expectations cool Treasury yields—narrowing the rate gap and underpinning sterling. ✨ Summary Long 1.337-1.348; confirmation above 1.353 targets 1.3590, stretch 1.3700. View void on an H4 close below 1.3250. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
GU-Tue-10/06/25 TDA-Will supports hold or GU breaking down?Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! Qualitative over quantitative trades, if I don't see good volume, efficient moves with less and less drawdown I don't mind not taking any trades even for days if it's necessary. When you control the urge of having necessarily take trades everyday your psychology will level up a lot. I take profits based on what the market conditions offer me and not sticking to always have to set necessarily 1:2 RR or whatever. It all depends on how market is doing. That's something we can't control. Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3535 in the second half of the day occurred just as the RSI indicator was beginning to move downward from the zero line. This confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound, resulting in a decline of more than 30 pips. U.S economic indicators published on Friday sparked a wave of optimism across financial markets. Non-farm employment showed confident growth, surpassing economists' forecasts and reaching 139,000 new jobs, while market expectations hovered around 127,000. This factor immediately impacted currency rates. prompting the U.S. dollar to strengthen against major world currencies, particularly the British pound. The unemployment rate, remaining stable at 4.2%, also added to the positive sentiment. A low unemployment rate indicates the U.S. economy's healthy state and stable labor demand. This provides a favorable backdrop for continued economic growth and strengthens the dollar's position. The British pound's reaction to this news was expected - a decline against the U.S dollar. investors, assessing U.S. economic prospects as more favorable, redirected their capital, increasing demand for the dollar and decreasing demand for the pound sterling. Today, there is no economic data from the UK, so it possible that after Friday's pullback, pound buyers may continue to act within the bullish market framework, betting on further growth in the GBP/USD pair. The absence of fresh economic data leaves room for speculation and allows traders to rely on already-established trends. However, existing risks should not be forgotten, Global economic uncertainty due to U.S. tariffs could exert pressure on the British currency at any moment.
Long
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
10
GBPUSDGBP/USD 10-Year Bond Yield, Interest Rate Differential, Carry Trade, and Uncovered Interest Rate Parity 1.the current 10-Year Bond Yields or UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.63% (as of June 9, 2025), down slightly from recent highs but elevated due to persistent inflation concerns,while the US 10-Year Treasury Yield stands at 4.50% (as of June 9, 2025), reflecting fiscal uncertainties and moderated Fed rate cut expectations. 2.the Interest Rate Differential will be The 10-year yield spread (UK minus US) ,which is +0.13% (4.63% – 4.50%), favoring UK gilts. The policy rate differential (BoE: 4.25%, Fed: 4.25–4.50%) is neutral to slightly negative for GBP, as the Fed holds rates steady while the BoE recently cut. 3. Carry Trade Implications The modest yield spread provides a limited carry trade advantage for GBP over USD. Investors borrowing in USD to buy GBP assets gain a small yield pickup (~0.13%), but this is offset by: Currency risk: GBP/USD volatility. Economic uncertainty: UK inflation (3.5% y/y) remains sticky, while US growth and fiscal risks dominate. 4. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) UIP predicts the GBP should depreciate against USD by ~0.13% annually to offset the higher UK yield. However, deviations are common due to: Risk premiums: Safe-haven USD demand during global uncertainty. Diverging central bank policies: BoE’s recent rate cut vs. Fed’s cautious stance. Inflation dynamics: UK CPI (3.5%) exceeds US forecasts (2.5%), pressuring BoE to maintain tighter policy despite cuts. Key Data: UK services PMI (June 13) and US CPI (June 11) will dictate near-term momentum. A stronger US CPI print could widen the rate differential in favor of USD, pressuring GBP. stay cautious . #gbpusd
by Shavyfxhub
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅Intraday 15' break of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD is showing strong bullish momentum after successfully bouncing off the key support zone around 1.34300. This level, which previously acted as a major resistance, has now flipped into solid support, confirming a classic breakout-retest structure. With the daily chart printing higher highs and higher lows, the market is clearly building a bullish continuation structure. Price action above this level signals that the bulls are gaining confidence, and we are now setting up for a clean run toward the 1.38000 target in the coming sessions. Fundamentally, the British pound is currently benefitting from improved economic sentiment in the UK. With services PMI holding firm and inflation slowly coming under control, there’s growing speculation that the Bank of England could maintain a more hawkish stance compared to the Fed. Meanwhile, the US dollar is facing pressure due to softer labor data and increased expectations for a potential rate cut later this year. This divergence between the BoE and Fed is creating a favorable environment for GBP strength against USD. From a technical perspective, the bounce off support is being validated with strong bullish candlesticks and momentum continuation. The market structure remains intact with a bullish trendline, and Fibonacci confluence levels are lining up perfectly to support higher price objectives. The nearest resistance sits just under 1.36000, and a break above that would likely trigger accelerated buying pressure toward the 1.38000 handle. Traders watching for trend continuation setups will find this level highly attractive. GBPUSD is preparing for another bullish wave, and this structure remains one of the cleaner technical patterns in the majors right now. As long as the pair holds above 1.34300, the bias remains bullish with potential for extended gains. Monitor DXY and Fed rate sentiment closely, but with current fundamentals aligning with technicals, this setup is shaping up to be a high-probability bullish continuation.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers, We’re glad to have you here. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe! Key Points - The U.S. and China have reportedly reached a principled agreement on a framework to implement the Geneva Accord. President Trump announced that "all necessary rare earth elements will be supplied by China in a 'prepaid' format," effectively lifting export controls. - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May rose by 2.4% year-over-year, falling short of the market forecast of 2.5%. The core CPI also increased by 2.8%, below the expected 2.9%. - The U.K. announced results of its spending review, indicating a 2.3% increase in total government budget. Fiscal concerns triggered a spike in the 10-year gilt yield, which briefly rose to 4.6190%. Major Economic Events This Week + June 12: U.K. April GDP, U.S. May Producer Price Index (PPI) + June 13: Germany May Consumer Price Index (CPI) GBPUSD Chart Analysis The pair has continued its upward momentum supported by a trendline, but it's currently pausing near the 1.36000 level. There’s still potential for a breakout above this resistance, so further observation is needed to determine the direction. If it breaks above the recent high, a mid- to long-term rise toward the 1.40000 level is possible. Conversely, failure to break resistance could lead to a decline toward the 1.32000 level.
by shawntime_academy
GBP/USD – 1H Chart Pattern: Bullish Momentum AB=CD GBP/USD – 1H Chart Pattern: Bullish AB=CD Trend: Bullish Momentum Detected 🔹 Entry (EP): Instant Buy @ 1.35694 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 1.35004 🔹 Take Profit (TP1): 1.36352 🔹 Take Profit (TP2): — (Trail if desired or wait for new structure) 🔹 Lot Size: 0.14 🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1 🔹 Risk: $100 💸 🔹 Reward: $100 💰 📊 The AB=CD harmonic pattern confirms a potential bullish reversal zone, and price action aligns with this projection on the 1H chart. Clean setup for short-term intraday traders. ⚠️ As always, manage risk properly and adjust your strategy based on market conditions. #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #HarmonicPattern #TradingSetup #ForexSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #ABCDPattern #1HRChart #RiskReward #BullishSetup
Long
by asimafridi
GBPUSD – Sell Into Strength at Key ResistanceTrade Idea Type: Sell Limit Entry: 1.3557 Target: 1.3415 Stop Loss: 1.3593 Duration: Intraday Expires: 12/06/2025 06:00 Technical Overview GBPUSD has retraced a majority of its daily losses, with recent gains facing selling pressure in the Asian session. The medium-term bias remains bearish, and the rally toward bespoke resistance at 1.3557 presents an opportunity to fade strength. Volatility is expected to remain elevated, but price action continues to respect the broader downtrend structure. The preferred approach is to sell into rallies, anticipating renewed downside momentum toward support at 1.3415. Risks Caution is warranted ahead of key U.S. CPI data releases at 13:30 UTC, which may amplify volatility and influence short-term dollar flows. There is also a spending review in the UK, which may cause volatility. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 1.3557 / 1.3582 / 1.3617 Support: 1.3457 / 1.3415 / 1.3224 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by Signal_Centre1