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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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USDGBP trade ideas

GU Bearish Friday ForecastHi everyone, hope we've all had a good week. Here is my forecast for GBPUSD for today. After a fairly bullish week, I'm expecting some bearish price action to give us that top wick on the weekly candle close. I'm looking at 2 price points, a pivot from 1.375 towards key level 1.37. I'll post an update at the end of the day on how price ended up unfolding. Regards, Aman | SMC Wolf FX 1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
Short
by SMCWolfFX
4
GU-Fri-27/06/25 TDA-Good resistance area 1.37500, PCE news laterAnalysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned! Have priorities in your life. What are the things that you consider to be top before anything else? Do you consider trading as top priority? When facing doubts and insecurities, if you have set a list of priorities, you'll likely to be more oriented and not get lost easily shifting your focus with your own top priorities. Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
2
GBP/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a structured breakdown of your GBP/USD sell trade setup: --- 🧾 Trade Type: Sell (Short) 📍 Entry Point: 1.37260 🎯 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.37000 TP2: 1.36600 TP3: 1.36221 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.37695 --- 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (approximate): Target Reward (pips) Risk (pips) RR Ratio TP1 26 43.5 ~0.60 TP2 66 43.5 ~1.52 TP3 103.9 43.5 ~2.39 > Note: The RR becomes more favorable at deeper targets. --- ⚠ Things to Consider: SL is relatively wide, so size your position accordingly based on your risk percentage (e.g., 1-2% of account). Watch major economic events (e.g., BOE or Fed speeches, CPI, NFP) that could spike volatility. Use a trailing stop after TP1 if you want to secure profits and ride lower.
Short
by Mrprofe21
GBP/USD: Path to 1.3200 on Policy DivergenceThis trade idea outlines a high-conviction bearish thesis for GBP/USD. The core of this analysis is a significant and growing divergence between the fundamental outlooks of the UK and US economies, which is now being confirmed by a bearish technical structure. We anticipate the upcoming UK economic data releases during the week of July 14-18 to act as a catalyst for the next leg down. The Fundamental Why 📰 The primary driver for this trade is the widening policy and economic divergence. The UK is facing a triad of headwinds while the US economy exhibits greater resilience. This fundamental imbalance favors the US Dollar and is expected to intensify. Dovish Bank of England: The BoE is clearly signaling a dovish pivot towards monetary easing in response to a weakening labor market and sluggish growth prospects. This contrasts with the Federal Reserve's more patient, data-dependent stance. Widening Rate Differentials: The divergence in central bank policy is leading to a widening interest rate differential that favors the US Dollar. Geopolitical Headwinds: Fiscal policy from the new UK government and ongoing trade tensions are creating additional headwinds for the Pound. The Technical Picture 📊 Price action provides strong confirmation of the bearish fundamental thesis, showing a clear loss of upward momentum and the formation of a new downtrend. 📉 Death Cross: The 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, forming a "death cross," which is a strong bearish indicator. 📉 Key Level Lost: The price has recently broken and is holding below the critical 200-day moving average, a classic bearish signal. 📉 Bearish Momentum: Both the RSI (below 50) and the MACD (below its signal line and zero) indicate that bearish momentum is in control. The Trade Setup 📉 👉 Entry: 1.3540 - 1.3610 🎯 Take Profit: 1.3200 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.3665
Short
by MaxellAguiran
GBPUSD July Playbook: Bearish Setup at Channel High GBPUSD just printed a CC SELL signal right at the top of its rising channel — setting the stage for a potential July pullback. 📌 Breakdown using Vinnie’s Trading Cheat Code System: ✅ RSI Overbought zone triggered ✅ CC Sell + Confirm Sell combo at channel resistance (~1.38) ✅ Price stretched far above the mean with no higher timeframe support nearby ✅ MACD histogram rolling over — momentum shift in play 🎯 Targets: 1.3500 (channel median / recent base) 1.3280 (deeper support / previous Confirm Buy area) This looks like a textbook trap-the-buyers setup. Patience on the entry — I’ll be stalking rallies to sell into. 🧠 Tools Used: Vinnie’s Confirm Alerts CC Trend Indicator RSI OB/OS Scanner MACD HPS Screener Following this closely — could be one of the cleanest short opportunities of the month.
Short
by bluesignalfx
GBPUSD Analysis 1h The British Pound against the U.S. Dollar is trading around 1.36121, showing signs of a neutral trend over the past hour. Price movements suggest an ascending triangle pattern, Indicating the potential for a bullish breakout If It surpasses the resistance level at 1.36250. Currently, support is established at approximately 1.35800, providing a buffer against downward movement. The market sentiment reflects a cautious approach as traders monitor economic data releases. Analysts generally rate GBP/USD as a 'Hold' at this juncture, given the balanced risks and opportunities. Investors should watch for any upward momentum towards 1.36250 to gauge trading direction. Key strengths include the GBP's resilience against the USD, supported by robust economic Indicators. However, external factors such as geopolitical developments and economic policy changes should be closely evaluated. Overall, the asset appears well-positioned for potential upward movement, but vigilance Is advised,
Long
by FarazXAhmed
GBPUSD Bullish continuation pattern breakout?The GBPUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 1.3544 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 1.3544 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 1.3770 – initial resistance 1.3830 – psychological and structural level 1.3890 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3544 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 1.3500 – minor support 1.3440 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 1.3544. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day AheadEconomic Data Overview: United States – Initial Jobless Claims: This weekly indicator will offer a timely snapshot of US labor market conditions. A rise could signal softening employment dynamics, potentially supporting a dovish bias from the Fed. Conversely, sustained low claims would reaffirm resilience in the jobs market, complicating rate-cut timing. United Kingdom – June RICS House Price Balance: This measure of sentiment among surveyors regarding house prices will provide insight into the UK housing market. A negative reading would suggest downward pressure from higher mortgage rates, while stability or improvement may reflect increased buyer demand amid easing inflation. Japan – June Producer Price Index (PPI): Key for tracking upstream price pressures. Slowing PPI growth would suggest disinflationary momentum, reducing the urgency for further BoJ tightening. Any upside surprise may reinforce speculation of policy normalization beyond the recent rate hike. Italy – May Industrial Production: A barometer of Eurozone manufacturing health. Weak output would highlight the region's ongoing industrial stagnation, potentially reinforcing the ECB’s dovish tilt. Resilience could challenge expectations of sustained easing. Scandinavia – CPI & GDP Indicators: Denmark & Norway June CPI: Will test disinflation progress. Norway, in particular, could see market repricing of Norges Bank's stance if inflation proves stickier than expected. Sweden May GDP Indicator: Offers a snapshot of economic momentum. Weakness could justify the Riksbank’s cautious stance despite persistent inflation concerns. Central Bank Speakers: Federal Reserve – Musalem and Daly: Markets will be looking for clarity on rate cut timing. If comments lean dovish, they could reinforce market pricing for a September cut. Any resistance to easing amid still-strong activity data would introduce volatility. European Central Bank – Cipollone and Villeroy: Focus will be on signaling around September policy. Villeroy, in particular, is seen as a policy bellwether—any firm commitment to a second rate cut could steepen the EUR yield curve and weigh on the euro. Hawkish caution, however, may reflect concerns about lingering service inflation. Takeaway: Thursday’s data and central bank commentary will refine expectations for H2 policy shifts. Jobless claims and CPI prints across Europe remain pivotal for gauging the pace of disinflation, while central bank rhetoric may hint at how aggressively easing cycles might proceed amid mixed economic signals. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.360. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.364 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1