USDGBP trade ideas
GU SHORTSo start from DXY >Bullish on Daily and was Daily FVG that Daily FVG after close of 4H candle in N-Y session that led me to think that Daily FVG will BE break way gap
So take a trade on GU after starting to see Luck of creating FVG to the upside in 4H
In 15 minutes, I just entered, and my SL was above 1H IFVG
GBP/USD Daily Chart Analysis – June 20, 2025📉 GBP/USD Daily Chart Analysis – June 20, 2025 📊
📌 Chart Overview:
The GBP/USD pair is currently experiencing a critical technical phase. After a strong bullish rally from January 2025, price action has approached a key resistance level near the 1.3600 zone. Here's the detailed breakdown:
🟦 Key Highlights:
🔹 Resistance Zone 💥
Price is testing a major horizontal resistance between 1.3450 – 1.3600. This area has acted as a supply zone where sellers are currently active.
🔹 Trendline Support 🔺
A long-standing bullish trendline, active since early 2025, has been retested multiple times, confirming the trend’s strength.
🔹 Retest in Progress 🔄
Price recently pulled back after hitting the resistance and is now retesting the broken trendline, indicating a potential shift in trend if the trendline fails to hold.
🔹 Fake Breakout ⚠️
An earlier attempt to break below the trendline in April turned out to be a false breakout, which fueled bullish continuation. A similar scenario could be developing.
📊 Technical Outlook:
📈 If price breaks and closes above 1.3600, it would indicate strong bullish momentum and could open doors toward new highs.
📉 However, if the trendline breaks convincingly and retest fails, sellers may gain control with potential downside targets around 1.3200 and 1.3000.
📍 Conclusion:
GBP/USD is at a make-or-break zone 🧨. Traders should monitor the reaction at the trendline and resistance closely. Breakout or rejection here will shape the mid-term direction.
🔔 Watch for confirmation signals before entering positions.
GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 20 June 2025
GBPUSD: ⬆️ Buy
- GBPUSD reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to the resistance level at 1.3600
GBPUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone located between the support level 1.3400 (former resistance from April), lower daily Bollinger Band and 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from May.he upward reversal from this support zone continues the active daily uptrend from the start of this year.
GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level at 1.3600 (which stopped the previous impulse wave (5) earlier this month).
GBP/USD Stable as BoE Vote SplitsThe pound steadied near 1.34 following the Bank of England’s decision to hold rates. The vote revealed deeper division than expected, with six members supporting a hold and three pushing for a 25 basis point cut, contrary to forecasts of a 7-2 split.
The BoE faces a tough balancing act as it weighs sticky inflation, geopolitical risks, and the economic drag of US tariffs.
Resistance is seen at 1.3500, while support holds at 1.3415.
GBPUSD (Daily + H4) – Bullish Symmetry with Shark Execution & El
Hello awesome traders!
I hope your trading week has been phenomenal. Let’s close out the week strong with this GBPUSD analysis combining Daily structure with lower-timeframe execution.
Main Chart: SYMMETRY (Daily) – Bullish Setup
Price has completed a perfect AB=CD symmetry structure with clear legs from the May rally. We now sit inside a strong PCZ (Potential Completion Zone) between the 78.6% and 100% projections, near a prior breakout zone. This type of measured pullback often sets the base for continuation when confirmed by lower timeframes.
Execution Chart: SHARK (H4) – Entry Strategy
On the 4H, we have a clean SHARK pattern terminating deep within the same PCZ as the daily symmetry. Price tagged 161.8% then immediately bounced, printing a bullish engulfing structure above the 127.2% fib. That’s our signal to focus long.
We define the entry above the minor high / 200 SMA retest — at 1.34450, with stops just below 1.33800 (under the wick and invalidation zone). Targets are aligned with fib retracement and extension zones, 61.8% first, 127% for the extended leg.
Elliot Context (H4 + Daily Overview)
On the H4, price completed a 5-leg Elliott drive with wedge structure and a sharp exhaustion push down to PRZ.
On the Daily, the Elliott overview shows price respecting impulsive wave alignment and now positioning for a corrective rally that aligns with our symmetry leg expectation.
Next Steps:
Execution: Enter long above 1.34450 only on confirmation.
First target: 1.34920 zone (61.8% fib).
Extended target: 1.36083 (127.2% fib).
Invalidation: Below 1.33800 — if price closes below the PRZ, setup is void.
Risk Management:
Clear stop placement and PRZ-based entry. Confluence from Daily + H4 structure + Elliott logic supports the long idea. No FOMO — only execute on confirmation. Let the market come to you.
Hope you all have a great weekend!
Let’s stay disciplined, trust the structure, and trade like the pros.
—Constantino DeLa
Tradechartpatternslikethepros.
The Day AheadFriday, June 20 – Key Economic Data & Central Bank Events
United States
Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook (June) – Regional manufacturing sentiment indicator.
Leading Economic Index (May) – Composite of 10 leading indicators, used to forecast future economic activity.
China
1-Year & 5-Year Loan Prime Rates – Benchmark lending rates set by the PBoC; key for signaling monetary policy stance.
United Kingdom
GfK Consumer Confidence (June) – Measures households’ economic sentiment.
Retail Sales (May) – Key consumer spending metric.
Public Sector Net Borrowing (May) – Government fiscal position.
Japan
National CPI (May) – Headline and core inflation data, relevant for BoJ policy stance.
Germany
Producer Price Index (PPI, May) – Upstream inflation measure, potential signal for consumer price trends.
France
Business Confidence (June) – Insight into industrial sentiment.
Retail Sales (May) – Consumer activity and domestic demand tracker.
Eurozone
Consumer Confidence (June, flash) – Early indication of household sentiment across the bloc.
M3 Money Supply (May) – Broad monetary aggregate, important for ECB’s inflation monitoring.
Canada
Retail Sales (April) – Key consumer spending indicator.
Industrial Product Price Index (May) – Measures price changes for goods sold by manufacturers.
Central Banks
ECB – Publishes its Economic Bulletin, offering insights into economic conditions and policy outlook.
Bank of Japan (BoJ) – Governor Kazuo Ueda speaks; markets will watch for commentary on yield curve control, inflation expectations, and timing of policy normalization.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Upondo qatha neDolaThe FX:GBPUSD pair is projected to reach a high of 1.403 in the near future, driven by a combination of factors including improving UK economic data, hawkish signals from the Bank of England, and a weakening U.S. dollar amid expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Market sentiment has turned increasingly bullish on the pound, supported by stronger-than-expected inflation figures and resilient growth indicators. If current trends continue, the pair could test the 1.403 resistance level, marking a significant move in favor of sterling.
Idea on a ChartGBP/USD found a slight rebound to muscle back above 1.3450 on Thursday.
Despite near-term Greenback strength on geopolitical concerns, markets took a break during the midweek US holiday session.
Israel-Iran tensions continue to rise, and the Trump administration is drawing out a decision on getting involved directly.
GBP/USD found some room on the high side on Thursday, climbing back above the 1.3450 level after catching an early technical bounce from the 1.3400 handle. Broad-market flows have favored the US Dollar recently as Middle East tensions continue to rise, but US markets were dark for a national holiday on Thursday, giving Cable some room to breathe and easing off of USD bidding.
GU-Fri-20/06/25 TDA-DR 1.34921 hit, potential bearish continue!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I trade from level to level and see how price
reacts to interest zone. I adapt my sl and tp
based on market conditions and as well the
risk per trade but generally 1% max risk or
lower.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Marked with “EQH” (Equal Highs), indicating a liquidity area.Chart Elements:
Instrument & Timeframe:
Pair: GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar)
Timeframe: 4-hour chart (each candlestick = 4 hours)
Key Zones Highlighted:
Top Green Box (~1.36000–1.36500):
This represents a resistance zone where price has previously struggled to break above.
Marked with “EQH” (Equal Highs), indicating a liquidity area or potential stop-hunt zone.
Bottom Green Box (~1.33500–1.34200):
This is a support zone where price has bounced before.
The price is currently near this support level.
Price Movement Forecast (White Zigzag Line):
Indicates a bullish projection:
Suggests a potential bounce from the current support zone.
A possible rally back towards the resistance zone (~1.36000–1.36500), potentially to grab liquidity above the EQH.
Current Price:
Shown around 1.34656, which is near the bottom support zone.
Candlestick Structure:
Price has recently had a sharp move down into the support zone.
A possible reversal setup is forming based on the projection.
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bullish scenario for GBP/USD:
The price is expected to hold the support zone.
If buying pressure comes in, the price may rise toward the resistance level to test or sweep the equal highs.
Cable bounces from $1.34 for nowCable’s established uptrend seems to have paused for now after a slight decline in British inflation and caution from the Bank of England. The BoE highlighted risks in both directions for inflation in its statement and press conference on 19 June while the Fed seemed more concerned about the possibility of rising inflation after its meeting the day before. There seems to have been some demand for the dollar as a haven in recent days as Israel’s war on Iran continues.
The intersection of $1.34 and the 50 SMA from Bands looks like an obvious static-dynamic support which might resist further testing unless there’s a significant change in narratives. The slow stochastic had been flirting with overbought at the start of the week but has now declined strongly, close to the zone of selling saturation.
Resistance is less of an obvious area. A new high seems possible in the near future but trading in the belief that the uptrend will continue seems to be risky in this situation; the risk of a false breakout looks quite high. A range might develop between approximately $1.34 and $1.363. Flash British PMIs on 23 June probably won’t have a strong impact here but a surprise from American final GDP on 26 June might bring a clearer direction.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
GBPUSD SHORTThe GBP/USD pair has been showing signs of exhaustion after a recent rally, and I'm looking for a potential pullback to enter a short position.
While GBP/USD has shown resilience, the technical and fundamental setup suggests a potential short opportunity on a pullback. Confirmation through price action (e.g., bearish engulfing patterns, break of structure) will be crucial before entering.
BoE in Focus as GBP/USD Nears 1.3410GBP/USD remains under pressure for a third day, trading near 1.3410 in Thursday’s Asian session, as safe-haven demand strengthens the US Dollar amid Israel-Iran tensions. The BoE is expected to hold rates at 4.25% today. UK inflation eased to 3.4% in May from 3.5%, in line with forecasts but still above the 2% target. Markets still price in about 48 basis points of BoE cuts by year-end.
Resistance is seen at 1.3440, while support holds at 1.3260.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 19, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
14:00 EET. GBP - Bank of England base rate decision
GBPUSD:
GBP/USD remains down for the third consecutive session, trading around 1.34100 in Asian trading on Thursday. The pair is struggling as the US dollar (USD) strengthens amid rising demand for safe-haven assets triggered by escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. In addition, the Bank of England (BoE) is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Thursday.
In the UK, consumer price index inflation fell to 3.4% year-on-year in May, as expected, from 3.5% in April. However, this figure is still well above the BoE's target of 2%. Nevertheless, markets still expect rates to fall by around 48 basis points by the end of the year.
Bloomberg reported on Thursday that ‘US officials are preparing for a possible strike on Iran in the coming days.’ ‘US plans to attack Iran continue to evolve.’ Another Wall Street Journal report suggests that US President Trump approved plans to attack Iran on Tuesday but wanted to see if Tehran would abandon its nuclear programme.
In addition, the dollar was supported by comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who said that inflation remains slightly above target and may rise in the future, citing the impact of US President Donald Trump's tariffs.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) decided at its June meeting on Wednesday, as expected, to leave the base rate unchanged in the range of 4.25-4.50%. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) still forecasts interest rates to fall by about 50 basis points by the end of 2025.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.34100, SL 1.34300, TP 1.33200
GBPUSD H4 I Bullish RiseBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our buy entry at1.3373 -1.13396, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.3466, which is an overlap resistance
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3320 which is a pullback support below the 61.8% Fib retracement.
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