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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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Fundamental Market Analysis for November 11, 2024 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair starts the new week on a softer note, although it fails to find continued selling and remains range-bound around the 1.29000 mark amid mixed fundamentals. The US Dollar (USD) is holding below the four-month high reached last week amid expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump's policies will spur inflation and limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to aggressively ease policy. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a headwind for GBP/USD, although the Bank of England's hawkish stance is helping to limit rate cuts. In fact, the Bank of England has warned that the expansive Autumn Budget presented by Chancellor Rachel Reeves is expected to spur inflation, suggesting a cautious stance on rate cuts in 2025. In addition, risk-on sentiment is helping to limit the rise of the safe-haven US Dollar and providing some support for the GBP/USD pair, allowing for some caution before making aggressive bearish bets. Investors also seem reluctant and may prefer to stand back ahead of important macroeconomic releases from the UK and US. This week's economic calendar includes UK employment data on Tuesday, US consumer inflation data and the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Wednesday and Thursday respectively, followed by preliminary UK Q3 GDP and US retail sales on Friday. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.29000, if the level is fixed below consider Sell positions, if the level bounces back consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD bullish divergence daily. Lows and Highs Div. I put out a buy on this pair a week or 2 ago, GBPUSD, a lot can happen in this amount of time, last time I called a Long-trade on this pair & the same this time. GBPUSD is moving up towards a neckline breakout on a Double-bottom system intraday. But the real glossy confluence I see is the Daily chart and bullish RSI divergence. In recent days the RSI on the daily chart, where divergences probably work best because most traders look for divergences on Daily & even Weekly, 4hr charts, has seen lower low to higher low on the RSI AND also lower high to higher high on the daily RSI, but on the price action for GBPUSD it was a lazy lower prices down compared to a bullish turnaround on the RSI. So this divergence is going to be noticed by traders and GBPUSD should be a buy going forwards. As an added bonus of confluence, I threw in some MACD's to also highlight that the trade is supported on the Daily by MACD's sweeping upwards.
Long
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
GBPUSD Wave Analysis 7 November 2024 - GBPUSD reversed from support level 1.2840 - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.3050 GBPUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support level 1.2840 (which stopped the previous intermediate correction (A) at the end of October). The upward reversal from the support level 1.2840 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Piercing Line. Given the clear daily uptrend and the strong US dollar sales seen today, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.3050 (top of the previous minor correction 4).
Long
by FxProGlobal
GBP/USD tests key 1.30 handle ahead of FOMCThe pound rallied following the Bank of England’s decision to cut interest rates earlier. Governor Bailey refrained from defining what “gradual” would mean for the pace of future cuts. The GBP/USD rally was aided by a sharp drop in the US dollar. The focus is now turning to the FOMC rate decision, which means the greenback could change course again. The Bank of England lowered rates by 25 basis points to 4.75%, aligning with market expectations. The Monetary Policy Committee voted 8-1 in favor of the cut, as anticipated. However, the BoE maintains it can’t lower rates “too quickly or by too much,” opting instead for a more measured approach. The central bank sees a gradual easing as appropriate, keeping to its September guidance on rates. The recent budget is expected to lift inflation slightly, adding around 0.5% to CPI at its peak according to the BoE —just above the forecast from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). Like the OBR, the BoE isn’t expecting significant economic growth from this budget. As it stands, the Bank intends to continue cutting rates gradually over the coming months. This should keep the GBP under pressure. Will the GBP/USD now hold below the key 1.30 handle or break above it? What it does here will determine the near-term direction. All eyes are on the Fed Chair Powell. The Fed could shed light on the central bank’s next steps. Markets are fully expecting a 25-basis-point reduction. Chair Powell may steer clear of any commitment to a rapid easing cycle, especially if he believes Trump’s policies could drive inflation. Any indication of hawkishness could boost bond yields further, which could give the dollar another boost. Even though rate expectations have shifted, significant changes in market trends are unlikely in the immediate term. However, over the coming quarters, rising US yields could strengthen the dollar, adding pressure on other economies while supporting the US market’s broader trend. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
Examining the GBP/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframeHere is a detailed analysis along with suggested entry, take profit (TP), and stop loss (SL) levels based on a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio. Analysis: 1. Trend Observation: The pair recently had a strong downtrend from late September, indicating bearish momentum. While it attempted to rally afterward, GBP/USD continues to show lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend. 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: Around 1.3080 and 1.3150, where previous rallies have been capped. Support: Around 1.2870 and 1.2750, where the price has shown buying interest. 3. Potential Scenarios and Setups: Bearish Scenario (Continuation of Downtrend): GBP/USD could move lower if it fails to break above 1.3080 resistance, which would confirm continued selling pressure. Signs of bearish continuation patterns around this level would support this setup. Bullish Scenario (If Price Finds Support): If GBP/USD holds above the 1.2870 support level, a short-term retracement could occur. Watch for bullish reversal signals around this area to confirm a possible pullback. Strategy Summary: 1. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Both setups have approximately a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio. 2. Market Confirmation: Wait for confirmation patterns, such as candlestick patterns, near the entry levels before entering. 3. Economic Event Monitoring: GBP/USD can be influenced by key UK and US economic data, as well as any developments on interest rates or economic outlook from the Bank of England and Federal Reserve.
Long
by ShariarsLife
Examining the GBP/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframeHere is a detailed analysis along with suggested entry, take profit (TP), and stop loss (SL) levels based on a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio. Analysis: 1. Trend Observation: The pair recently had a strong downtrend from late September, indicating bearish momentum. While it attempted to rally afterward, GBP/USD continues to show lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend. 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: Around 1.3080 and 1.3150, where previous rallies have been capped. Support: Around 1.2870 and 1.2750, where the price has shown buying interest. 3. Potential Scenarios and Setups: Bearish Scenario (Continuation of Downtrend): GBP/USD could move lower if it fails to break above 1.3080 resistance, which would confirm continued selling pressure. Signs of bearish continuation patterns around this level would support this setup. Bullish Scenario (If Price Finds Support): If GBP/USD holds above the 1.2870 support level, a short-term retracement could occur. Watch for bullish reversal signals around this area to confirm a possible pullback. Strategy Summary: 1. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Both setups have approximately a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio. 2. Market Confirmation: Wait for confirmation patterns, such as candlestick patterns, near the entry levels before entering. 3. Economic Event Monitoring: GBP/USD can be influenced by key UK and US economic data, as well as any developments on interest rates or economic outlook from the Bank of England and Federal Reserve.
Long
by ShariarsLife
Trade 3: GBP/USD - SL Hit - 0.05% from entryThings that might went wrong technically: 1. The price did not close below the 0.5 Fib retracement level while moving down from resistance, instead it took support at 0.5 fib retracement level. The same level also happened to have buyers' liquidity which is shown in red circle. 2. In 15min time frame, while the price was moving down from last few sessions, the EMA cross under occurred when the price was either below the Medium HMA or when the Medium HMA was above Shorter HMA. But when the trade was entered the Shorter HMA was above the Medium HMA. 3.In 5min time frame, while the Medium HMA was above the Shorter HMA and price, predicting a downward movement. In 15min the Shorter HMA was already above the Medium HMA, indicating an upward movement in 15min timeframe. So, it's better to enter trades in the direction where the overall MAs are moving, through finding the cross over or under according to the existing cross in higher time frames.
by MyWayofLookingThings