USDGBP trade ideas
GBPUSD Weekly: Price Action at Key Supply Zone Confluence• Long-Term Resistance Zone: The chart displays a significant purple-shaded "Key Level" resistance zone, approximately spanning from 1.3600 to 1.3800. Price has previously reacted to this zone as strong resistance on multiple occasions (e.g., in 2018 and 2021), indicating a historical area of supply. The current price action shows the market testing this zone once again.
• Bullish Market Structure from 2022 Lows: Following a substantial decline through 2022, the GBPUSD pair initiated a strong recovery, characterized by a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows since late 2022. This upward movement is encapsulated within a robust green ascending trend channel, signifying a dominant bullish bias on this timeframe.
• Identified Support Areas: A notable support zone is evident around the 1.2100-1.2200 levels. This area has historically acted as a strong demand zone, providing significant bounces for the price, most recently in late 2022 and early 2024.
• Current Price at Critical Confluence: Price is currently situated at the upper boundary of its long-term ascending trend channel and is simultaneously interacting with the established "Key Level" resistance zone. This confluence of technical elements suggests a pivotal point for the pair, where a decisive reaction from either buyers or sellers is anticipated.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Holding Strong Above Historic Highs — Long Setup in PlayGBP/USD is holding beautifully above a historical high.
From here, it’s a great spot for a long position with a stop just below yesterday’s candle low, around the 1.3400 level. With a small risk of only 0.40%, the upside potential is at least the previous highs (+1.30%) and possibly higher — I’m targeting a move toward 1.38.
Great risk/reward setup. Long is on!
GBPUSD LongPrice recently swept a short-term liquidity high, triggering a reaction that indicates a potential shift in momentum. This move has not yet mitigated the most recent demand zone that formed after the previous structural break to the upside. The internal structure suggests an imbalance in the price leg leading into the recent high, creating space for a corrective move lower.
As a result, we may anticipate a short-term decline — a retracement intended to rebalance price and collect remaining sell-side liquidity beneath recent intra-session lows. Once this corrective move completes, we expect the bullish order flow to resume, supported by higher-timeframe directional bias and continued displacement favoring buyers.
Traders should monitor for signs of internal structure shift or liquidity sweep during the pullback phase as potential signals to position with the bullish continuation.
Sterling Flat Before BoE and Fed Policy DecisionsGBP/USD trades near 1.3435 on Wednesday, steadying after a 1.2% drop Tuesday amid rising geopolitical tensions and safe-haven dollar demand.
The pound stays under pressure ahead of today’s UK inflation report and tomorrow’s BoE decision, where rates are expected to remain at 4.25%. Any inflation surprise could shift market expectations.
Ongoing Middle East conflict continues to support the dollar, while traders also await the Fed’s policy announcement later today, which could influence GBP/USD further.
Resistance is at 1.3600, with support around 1.3425.
GU-Wed-18/06/25 TDA-Amid middle east tensions, USD strengtheningAnalysis done directly on the chart
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Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.3519 - 1.3533, a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3427, a swing low support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3631, a swing high resistance.
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Why I Think GBPUSD Will Sell...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
I hope you're well today. I wanted to share why I think GBPUSD will sell today and maybe more this week. This is only my technical analysis so make sure you check the news and cross reference the indicators you have on your chart. This is what I am looking at:
- The market hit a swing high on 4H and has been creating lower highs.
- The momentum is picking up for the sellers based on candle bodies.
- The stochastic is facing down, the slow line (orange) is on top of the fast line (blue) and both lines have crossed below 50. These are bearish confirmations for me.
Additional information:
- Wait for the stochastic to cross below 20.
- Wait for a break of structure below 1.35320.
- I will be setting sell stops so that my trades trigger on the way down. I will set previous highs as my SL and previous lows as my TPs.
Good luck if you decide to take this trade!
Peace and Profits,
Cha
Here’s detailed breakdown for GBPUSD (1H chart)🏦 GBPUSD Analysis – June 17, 2025 | 1H Chart
🔻 Market Structure Overview
Currently ranging between 1.3524 support and 1.3607 resistance.
Price is inside a descending triangle – bearish structure.
Clean rejections from descending trendline; each retest brings in lower highs.
🔍 Key Zones
🔴 Resistance (1.3580–1.3610)
Multiple rejections + prior breaker block.
Last rally into this zone (highlighted in blue) was immediately sold off → liquidity grab.
Trendline confluence above it adds extra weight.
🟢 Support (1.3524–1.3544)
Price has bounced here 3 times → forming short-term demand.
However, each bounce is losing momentum – classic absorption sign.
🧠 Institutional Clues
Volume Spikes on down moves = sellers active at highs.
Up candles = low volume, weak buyer intent.
That wick fake-out at 1.3580 → clear stop hunt.
📉 Sell-Side Setup (Bias: Bearish)
Entry Concepts:
Sell on retest of broken structure near 1.3578–1.3590.
OR Breakdown play below 1.3524, wait for candle close & retest.
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 1.3500 psychological + low volume node
TP2: 1.3465 (marked previous low)
TP3: 1.3420–1.3400 (daily imbalance fill area)
🛑 Invalidation:
Break & hold above 1.3610, invalidates the triangle and flips to bullish breakout.
💡 Trade Idea Example:
Sell Limit @ 1.3580
SL: 1.3615
TP1: 1.3500
TP2: 1.3465
RR: ~1:3+
🔮 Final Thoughts:
GBPUSD is coiling inside a tightening structure; a breakdown is more likely due to bearish pressure, trendline resistance, and repeated absorption of buyers.
Watch DXY strength too — any bullish push on USD can trigger a clean flush.
GBPUSD consolidates resistance zone and declinesPlan GBPUSD day: 16 June 2025
Related Information: !!!
The Pound Sterling (GBP) ticks up to near 1.3590 against the US Dollar (USD) so far on Monday, remaining inside Friday’s trading range. The GBP/USD pair is expected to keep trading within a tight range as investors have sidelined ahead of monetary policy announcements by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE), due on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.
At the start of the week, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, edges down to near 98.00.
Investors will closely monitor the interest rate guidance from both central banks, while they are expected to leave those unchanged at their current levels
personal opinion:!!!
At the beginning of the week, there was not much important news. GBPUSD price was sideways and reacted to resistance and support zones.
Important price zone to consider :
SELL point: zone 1.35950
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Long trade
🟢 GBPUSD – Buyside Trade
Date: Monday, 16th June 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:00 AM
Entry Timeframe: 1Hr TF
Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.35864
Take Profit: 1.36168 (+0.22%)
Stop Loss: 1.35664 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 1.5
🧠 Trade Reasoning
This GBPUSD buyside trade was structured around an early London session setup, targeting a short-term liquidity gap above. Price had formed a bullish 1Hr structure, establishing a higher low.
Pound Stable as Markets Eye BoE, Fed MovesGBP/USD remains below Friday’s three-year high, trading around the mid-1.3500s in a narrow range during Monday’s Asian session. The pair shows limited downside as traders await a busy week of key data and central bank decisions.
Markets are watching the UK CPI on Wednesday and the Bank of England’s policy announcement on Thursday, both crucial for the Pound. The US Federal Reserve will also decide on rates Wednesday, likely guiding the dollar’s short-term path.
Friday’s UK GDP showed a 0.3% contraction in April, increasing bets on faster BoE rate cuts. The USD is supported by safe-haven flows due to Middle East tensions, though soft US inflation data has raised expectations for Fed cuts by September. A broadly positive global risk mood is offering some support to GBP/USD.
Resistance is at 1.3600, with support around 1.3425.
GBPUSD INTRADAY Bullish flag developing supported at 1.3500The GBP/USD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a rising trendline and sustained higher lows. The recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback within an overall uptrend, indicative of a consolidation phase rather than a reversal.
Key Support Level: 1.3500
This level aligns with a previous consolidation zone and is acting as a pivotal support. A pullback toward this level could offer a potential buying opportunity, especially if bullish momentum returns.
Upside Targets (on bullish continuation from 1.3500):
1.3610 – Initial resistance from prior swing high
1.3650 – Intermediate resistance level
1.3700 – Long-term target and potential top of the current bullish channel
Bearish Scenario (if 1.3500 fails):
A daily close below 1.3500 would invalidate the current bullish setup, signaling a potential shift in trend. In that case:
Immediate support at 1.3480
Deeper retracement could extend to 1.3450
Conclusion
The broader trend in GBP/USD remains bullish, with the current consolidation viewed as a potential pullback rather than a reversal. The 1.3500 level is critical — a bounce from here could resume the uptrend toward 1.3610 over time. However, a break and close below 1.3500 would weaken the bullish case and open the door to further downside. Traders should monitor price action closely around this key level for confirmation.
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