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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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USDGBP trade ideas

Fundamental Market Analysis for June 16, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Empire Manufacturing Manufacturing Index GBPUSD: The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive below Friday's three-year high, although it lacks bearish conviction and is trading in a narrow range around 1.3500 during the Asian session. The latest UK consumer inflation data will be released on Wednesday, ahead of Thursday's Bank of England (BoE) meeting, which will play a key role in influencing the British pound (GBP). In addition, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) plans to announce its monetary policy decision on Wednesday, which will affect the US dollar (USD) exchange rate and give a significant boost to the GBP/USD pair. Meanwhile, weaker UK GDP data released on Friday, which showed that the economy contracted more than expected by 0.3% in April, reinforced expectations that the BoE will cut interest rates more aggressively than anticipated. On the other hand, the US dollar is receiving some support from the global flight to safe assets caused by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which is helping to limit the growth of the GBP/USD pair. However, growing recognition that the US central bank will also resume its rate-cutting cycle in September amid signs of weakening inflation in the US is holding back dollar bulls from aggressive bets. Moreover, the generally positive risk sentiment acts as a barrier to the dollar as a safe haven and provides some support to the GBP/USD pair, which requires some caution before confirming that spot prices have peaked. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.35500, SL 1.35300, TP 1.36400
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD | 2 Long Scenarios | The Empire will strike backGeneral GBPUSD fell through the first big support zone (Zone 2) unless a reclaim i am not gonna look for longs currently. Personally waiting for price falling deeper into Zone 1. Marked 2 Scenarios that i would want to see to develop. Be aware that i usually use LTF (such as the 1 hour chart to plan my entries). Meaning the SLs and RR are not completly correct as shown. 1. Long (Green arrow) Price moves below Zone 1. Reclaim. Enter on reclaim. Target: Slightly below Zone 3 Stop- Loss: Depending on the LTF entry i wouldnt want to see it going below Zone 1 again Time duration: Days, weeks, months, years... ;) 2. Long (Orange arrow) Price pushes into Zone 1, reacts supportive and then generates a Swing. Enter on breaking of the generated swing. Target: Slightly below Zone 3 Stop- Loss: A bit below of top of the Zone 1 Time duration: Days, weeks, months, years... ;) Good luck Disclaimer: - This information does not constitute as financial advice and is only for educational purposes. I am not your financial advisor. - You trade entirely at your own risk - Make your own research - Finance and trading is evil, capitalism is bad, duh ;)
Long
by a_tale_of_bulls_and_bears
GBP/USD Technical OutlookGBP/USD is exhibiting signs of bearish momentum, with clear bearish divergence observed on the oscillator, signaling potential exhaustion of the recent uptrend. A double top formation is developing near the recent highs, further supporting the bearish bias. Price action is also approaching a key trendline and the lower boundary of an ascending channel. A confirmed break below these technical structures would validate the formation of a new lower high, offering a high-probability short setup.
Short
by AnalytixEdgeByQasim
GBPUSD will continue to rise and break last week's highGBPUSD is correcting lower in the range at the end of the week. This pullback is heading towards the 1.350 support. There will be a bullish reaction at this area. Or if the selling pressure really takes over the market at this support area, then pay attention to the 1.346 bottom for the BUY strategy of this currency pair. On the other hand, 1.360 will prevent the price increase. It will act as strategic resistance before a new extended breakout to the upside. The uptrend is more likely to continue than the downtrend, so prioritizing BUY signals will bring better profits to the currency pair. Support: 1.350, 1.346 Resistance: 1.360, 1.366
Long
by VHT_Trader
GBPUSD – Sterling Slips Amid Geopolitical Risk |GBPUSD – Sterling Slips Amid Geopolitical Risk | Will Support Hold for a Bounce? 🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Overview The British Pound (GBP) is under pressure as risk sentiment deteriorates following a sharp escalation between Israel and Iran. Israel launched a major military campaign, striking dozens of nuclear and military facilities in northeastern Tehran. PM Netanyahu announced the start of "Operation Rising Lion", aimed at eliminating the Iranian nuclear threat. US President Donald Trump voiced support, stating that Iran “must never have a nuclear bomb.” Investors reacted by fleeing to safe-haven assets, pushing the US Dollar (DXY) from 97.60 to nearly 98.30. Meanwhile, next week’s Bank of England (BoE) and Federal Reserve meetings are in focus. Both are expected to hold rates steady, but weak UK economic data may pressure the BoE to adopt a more cautious or dovish tone. 📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart 🔸 Trend Structure GBPUSD broke down from its recent high at 1.36288 and is now approaching key support between 1.35350 and 1.34957. As long as 1.3495 holds, the move appears to be a technical correction, not a reversal. 🔸 Fibonacci & Moving Averages Current price sits near Fibonacci 0.236 retracement of the recent swing. Price is trading below the EMA 13 & 34, but EMA 200 near 1.353x still acts as potential support. 🔸 Resistance to Watch The next upside target sits at 1.3588, followed by the previous high at 1.3628. 🧠 Market Sentiment Risk aversion is dominating due to geopolitical headlines. GBP is vulnerable as a risk-sensitive currency. However, if tensions ease and central bank decisions next week come in line with expectations, GBP could rebound from its currently discounted levels. 🎯 Trade Setup Suggestion ✅ BUY ZONE: 1.35350 – 1.34957 Stop-Loss: 1.3460 Take-Profit Targets: 1.3588 → 1.3628 Enter only on bullish price action confirmation around the support zone. ✅ Conclusion GBPUSD is trading under geopolitical stress, but the technical setup around 1.3495 – 1.3535 offers a potential bounce zone. A short-term recovery could unfold if sentiment stabilizes and central banks maintain the expected policy stance.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
Weaker PPI Caps Dollar Strength in GBP/USDGBP/USD fell to around 1.3530 early Friday as escalating tensions in the Middle East supported demand for the US Dollar. Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran raised fears of retaliation, with Iranian officials warning of severe consequences for both the US and Israel, pressuring risk-linked currencies like the Pound. However, weaker US PPI data limited further USD strength. May’s PPI increased just 0.1%, below the 0.2% forecast, while the core PPI also came in softer. Attention now turns to the upcoming Michigan consumer sentiment report. Resistance is at 1.3600, with support around 1.3425.
by ChartMage
GBPUSD - Confluence📊 Multi-Timeframe Confluence – GBPUSD 1H & 15min This chart perfectly illustrates how traders can use the ELFIEDT RSI + 3SD Reversion Strategy for top-down confluence trading, combining signals from multiple timeframes to increase the confidence and quality of trade entries. 🟢 What Happened at the Yellow Line: ✅ 1H Chart — Buy Signal Triggered The strategy printed a clear “UP” signal as price pushed below the lower volatility band with RSI deeply oversold. This marked a significant exhaustion point on the higher timeframe, signaling that the downtrend might be overextended. ✅ 15min Chart — Cluster of Buy Signals At the exact same point in time, the 15-minute chart also showed multiple “UP” signals, confirming short-term exhaustion with RSI recovery already starting to form. The RSI indicator also dipped into oversold territory and began turning upward — a strong confirmation that momentum was shifting. ✅ Powerful Bounce Followed After this dual-timeframe signal alignment, price reversed strongly and rallied for several candles, offering a clean move with both trend and momentum shifting in your favor. 📈 How You Could Have Traded It: Start with the 1H timeframe and wait for an “UP” or “DOWN” signal — this gives your macro bias. Drop to the 15min timeframe and look for the same signal type (e.g., “UP” + “UP”). Confirm RSI turning or divergence for added conviction. Place stop-loss just below the signal wick and use a reward target based on previous structure or a 1:2+ risk-reward ratio. 🎯 Why Confluence Matters: When a lower timeframe entry aligns with a higher timeframe signal, you're no longer guessing — you’re trading with multi-layer confirmation. This not only increases your confidence, but also helps filter out weaker setups. This example shows the true strength of the ELFIEDT Reversion Strategy — combining statistical exhaustion, RSI momentum shifts, and multi-timeframe alignment to give you some of the most reliable reversal opportunities in any market.
Long
by ElfieTrader
GBPUSD remains within a bullish channelGBP/USD is currently trading within an ascending channel, showing bullish structure overall. The price is testing support near 1.3529, with potential for a rebound toward 1.3568 and 1.3632 if the structure holds. However, a decisive break below 1.34616 would be a strong bearish signal and could mark a shift in trend direction from bullish to bearish, opening the door for deeper declines. Traders should monitor price action closely around this level for potential trend reversal confirmation.
Long
by piporia
GBPUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 1.3519, which is a pullback support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.3588, which is a pullback resistance level. The stop loss will be placed at 1.3455, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
GBPUSDGBP/USD: 10-Year Bond Yield, Interest Rate, Interest Rate Differential, and Upcoming Economic Data (June 2025) 1. Bank of England (BoE) Interest Rate and 10-Year Bond Yield Current BoE Base Interest Rate: 4.25% as of May 2025, following a 25 basis point cut from 4.50%. This marked the fourth rate cut since August 2024 amid easing inflation and slowing UK economic growth. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 5–4 in favor of the cut, with some members preferring a larger cut and others favoring holding rates steady. UK 10-Year Government Bond Yield: As of early June 2025, UK 10-year gilt yields have been fluctuating around 4.47% to 4.8%, influenced by global risk sentiment, inflation expectations, and BoE policy signals. Yields have generally trended lower due to expectations of further BoE rate cuts and global economic uncertainties. 2. Upcoming Economic Data for GBP/USD Next BoE Interest Rate Decision: Scheduled for Thursday, June 19, 2025, at 11:00 UTC. Markets expect the BoE to hold rates at 4.25%, but some analysts anticipate further cuts later in 2025 due to slowing growth and easing inflation pressures. The MPC has emphasized a cautious, data-dependent approach amid global trade tensions and domestic economic uncertainties. Key UK Economic Indicators to Watch: UK CPI Inflation: Inflation has eased to around 3.5% in April 2025 but remains above the 2% target; future prints will guide BoE policy. GDP Growth: UK growth has slowed since mid-2024, with risks from global trade tensions and Brexit-related adjustments. Labour Market Data: Loosening labor market conditions and wage growth trends will influence the BoE’s rate path. Trade and Tariff Developments: US tariff policies and potential UK-US trade deal announcements could impact market sentiment and currency flows. Outlook The GBP/USD pair is influenced by the interest rate and yield differentials, with the USD currently benefiting from higher yields and a more hawkish Fed stance. The BoE’s cautious approach and expectations of gradual rate cuts amid slowing growth may limit GBP upside in the near term. Upcoming UK inflation and labor data, along with the June 19 BoE meeting, will be critical for market direction. #gbpusd
Long
by Shavyfxhub
GBPUSD TECH.Hello everyone. First of all, in this week, I feel so bearish :D The market may seem very soon so bearish, if after we will have some downfall very soon... I hope we will get in some profit situation, if the price will enter this "white break lined colored" channel... Because after that, the price may move many times there in that channel... So, what we can wait in this situation is when the price will go down and starts making some sideways trend and will get horizontal trend... Thank you! Have a Profitable Day! ^^
Short
by Nika-Lekishvili
LONDON BREAKOUTGBP/USD London Breakout Strategy Entry (Breakout Hit Price): 1.35646 Take Profit: 1.35262 Stop Loss: 1.35900 This trade was taken based on my London Session Breakout Strategy. The setup follows a structured approach: – Identified the Asian session range – Price consolidated during the pre-London hours – Breakout occurred at 1.35646, confirming momentum on the downside Risk-Reward Ratio is favorable, and the stop is placed just above the upper boundary of the Asian range to protect against false breakouts.
Short
by alisardari