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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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USDGBP trade ideas

Cable seems ready to test $1.33As of 16 April cable was on track to complete its longest unbroken round of gains in nearly a year, having risen to seven-month highs. The outlook for rates doesn’t obviously favour either currency, with both the Fed and the Bank of England expected to cut at least twice more this year and possibly three or four times. Recent lower confidence in the dollar amid flip-flopping on tariffs seems unlikely to reverse soon as considerable capital has moved out of the USA and into other markets. As with other major forex pairs in recent weeks, the medium-term resistance isn’t obvious as a result of the strength of recent movement. September 2024’s $1.34 is a possible candidate but it’s questionable whether the price will continue directly there given the clear overbought signal from Bollinger Bands. The 50 SMA from Bands seems to be a clear dynamic support. It’s also important to monitor the weekly close: if this is below $1.32, consolidation or maybe a retracement lower seem more likely than continuation next week, but that depends on data (PMIs and retail sales) and sentiment too. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
GBPUSD Analysis 4/16 at 8:55amI entered long at 1.32273 on April 15, and as of now, GBP/USD is trading around 1.3252, meaning I'm already up. Why I'm Staying Long Trend Confirmation: The daily chart still shows a strong uptrend, and moving averages confirm that GBP/USD has been trading above key levels. The RSI is at 62.76 on the daily timeframe, meaning bullish momentum is intact but not overly overbought. Short-Term Signals: On the hourly chart, some indicators suggest price may consolidate before continuing higher. Stochastic RSI has cooled off, which often signals a chance for price to stabilize before another move up. Aroon Oscillator (Hourly) at -78.57 shows fading bullish momentum in the short term, so I’m watching whether buyers step back in to push price higher. Support & Resistance Levels: 1.3250 is a key level—if price holds above it, GBP/USD could continue toward 1.3280–1.3300. If 1.3250 breaks, I’ll monitor 1.3220, which is close to my entry point, as the next potential support. Fundamental Factors Affecting GBP/USD: UK Inflation (2.6%) missed expectations, meaning GBP might not be as strong as before. US Retail Sales beat expectations, reinforcing USD strength, which could put some pressure on GBP/USD. Fed Chair Powell speaks later today, which could inject volatility—if he’s hawkish, USD may strengthen and push GBP/USD lower. My Next Steps I’ll continue holding as long as price remains above 1.3250. If Powell’s speech creates sharp volatility, I might adjust my stop to secure profits. My target is 1.3280–1.3300, but I’m prepared to reassess based on price action. Overall, I’m feeling good about staying long, but I'm monitoring key levels closely to ensure I lock in gains while managing risk.
Long
by Sel_Ali
Inflation in the UK Has FallenInflation in the UK Has Fallen According to Forex Factory, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading came in below expectations: while analysts had forecast a decline to 2.7% year-on-year from the previous 2.8%, the actual CPI figure was 2.6%. Following the release of this news, the GBP/USD exchange rate rose to 1.3280 – the highest level in seven months. On the one hand, falling inflation is a sign of a healthy economy and a relief for the Bank of England, especially considering that CPI stood in double digits just two years ago. As a result, analysts may now predict that interest rates could be cut at the meeting scheduled for 8 May. On the other hand, demand for the dollar remains volatile due to Trump’s tariff policies, fears of a US recession, and a wave of bond sell-offs. Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart In just one week, the pound-to-dollar rate has risen by approximately 4.2%, with the RSI indicator now hovering near extreme overbought levels. Furthermore, the price is approaching the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which has been in play since the beginning of 2025. In such conditions, a correction (with a bearish breakout of the ascending trendline, shown in blue) appears a logical development. However, a key factor in sustaining the current trend of dollar weakness could be the speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, scheduled for today at 20:30 GMT+3. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
GBPUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart displays a potential short trade setup for GBP/USD on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it's showing: Entry Point: The red downward arrow near the top indicates a suggested entry for a short trade (selling). Stop Loss: Positioned just above the recent high around the 1.32900 level, marked in red. Take Profit Targets: 1. First target at the previous support zone around 1.32400. 2. Second target slightly below, around 1.32050. 3. Final target near the bottom support zone around
Short
by money_magnet2
GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 16 April 2025 - GBPUSD broke key resistance level 1.3200 - Likely to rise to the resistance level 1.3400 GBPUSD currency pair is rising sharply after the recent breakout of the key resistance level 1.3200, which stopped the previous minor impulse wave A at the start of April. The breakout of the resistance level 1.3200 accelerated the active impulse waves i and C – which belong to wave (B) from January. Given the bearish US dollar sentiment seen today coupled with sterling optimism, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.3400 (target price for the completion of the active wave C).
Long
by FxProGlobal
[_] ONENTRYGBPUSD - ‘2FIB Strategy’ by ONENTRY Timeframe: 30 Minutes Session: London & New York --- ### **Step 1: Identify the Overnight Range** - Mark the **high** and **low** of the price range between **00:00 - 06:30 (+2GMT)**. - Mark up  **50% of the overnight range**: - Wait for a **clear breakout** with a candle *closing* above (for longs) or below (for shorts) the range. --- ### **Step 2: Apply Fibonacci Levels** - After the breakout, use the **Fibonacci retracement tool**: - **Anchor Point 1 (Start):** Close of the breakout candle body. - **Anchor Point 2 (End):** Drag to the **50% level of the overnight range** - Key retracement levels for entry: **0.5 and 0.35 Fibonacci**. --- ### **Step 3: Trade Execution** - **Entry:** Enter on a pullback to **0.5 or 0.35 Fib level** after the breakout. - **Stop Loss:** - *Long trades:* Below the **low of the breakout candle**. - *Short trades:* Above the **high of the breakout candle**. - **Take Profit Targets:** - **TP1:** 1.0 Fib extension (initial target). - **TP2:** 1.25 Fib extension. - **TP3:** 1.6 Fib extension. - **TP4:** 2.3 Fib extension (runner position). --- ### **Step 4: Trade Management** - Move SL to breakeven when price hits **TP1**. - Close all remaining positions before midnight.
Long
by ONENTRY
GBPUSD: Buy Entry Win. HOW LOL SO I was able to win this. idk how. but.. oh wait I know. Here's what I did right. 0. I checked the Levels (W>D>HR>KEY LEVELS) of the Forex Market pairs on Saturday. -I plan to keep re-assessing this every week, as practice, and to see how price is moving. 1. I assessed day bias & market intention. I guess I hit the nail on the head here. 2. Saw price trending up, so I plotted my fib and frvp. Confluenced with FVG. 3. Instead of entering on the OTE Zone, I waited to see if it would be respected. It did. 4. Instead of putting a limit entry, I set an alarm on my intended entry zone. So when it got hit, I setup my buy limit. -I think I can improve this by putting a buy stop limit on the OTE ZONE as entry trigger, and the actual buy stop at the intended entry zone. So, if OTE is HIT, then activate LIMIT ENTRY @ price breakout(the choch line) 5. I looked farther to the left to see what's a probable target. I found one, so I targeted it. It was the weekly & daily FVGs above. It's more or less lucky that I hit it? Price really just had a strong momentum... and before the momentum, it hit a bullish fvg below. What happens after price rebalances an FVG? It seeks liquidity on the opposite side. This is what happened. And I caught it right this time.
Long
by reventioaxie
GBPUSD Release the Bulls! 4/15 at 1:09pmHello this is my take on GBPUSD. Given the broader bullish trend in GBP/USD, I believe a long trade is the best play right now, but I’ll be watching key technical levels and upcoming news events to time my entry properly. Technical Indicators Supporting a Long Trade Trend Confirmation: The daily moving averages (EMA, MA, and TEMA) continue to show an upward trajectory, meaning GBP/USD remains in a solid bullish structure. The price is consistently trading above key averages, reinforcing the trend. The Aroon Oscillator (AROONOSC) on the 4-hour chart is at 85.71, showing strong bullish control. This suggests upward momentum is likely to persist. Momentum Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily timeframe is 76—this does suggest overbought conditions, but in a strong trend, RSI can stay elevated for long periods. Instead of treating this as a reversal signal, I take it as confirmation that buying pressure remains high. Stochastic RSI (StochRSI) is also at 100 across multiple timeframes, indicating price exhaustion. While this could lead to a short-term pullback, it doesn’t necessarily mean a trend reversal—just that entering on a dip might provide a better price. Volatility and Market Conditions: Average True Range (ATR) is rising, meaning market volatility is picking up. This can be useful for timing entries—if I see a pullback within the rising ATR environment, it may be a good chance to enter before the next leg up. Fundamental Factors to Watch UK Employment Change (Feb) Beat Expectations: The UK added 206K jobs, smashing the consensus forecast of 95K. A strong labor market fuels economic stability and consumer spending, which in turn supports the British Pound. With employment data coming in hot, GBP could remain strong leading into the next major report. Upcoming GBP Inflation Data (Apr 16): UK inflation is forecast at 2.7% YoY for March, down slightly from 2.8%. If inflation remains stable or surprises higher, it could further support GBP, as traders anticipate possible moves from the Bank of England (BoE). US Retail Sales and Powell’s Speech (Apr 16): The US Retail Sales MoM is expected at 1.3%, but if it underperforms, it could signal weakening consumer demand and hurt the USD. Fed Chair Powell’s speech could be a major volatility driver—if he hints at slower rate hikes or economic softness, USD could weaken, lifting GBP/USD higher. US Jobless Claims (Apr 17): Initial jobless claims forecast at 225K—if this number comes in higher, it might reinforce concerns about a weakening labor market and put more pressure on the Fed to ease policy. My Trade Plan Given all of this, I’m looking for a long entry but waiting for confirmation on the hourly chart before entering. Ideal Entry: If GBP/USD pulls back to 1.3180–1.3190, I’ll look for buying signals (such as bullish candlestick formations or divergence in momentum indicators). If it breaks above 1.3245 with strong volume, that could confirm further upside, and I might enter on the breakout instead. Final Thoughts The uptrend is strong, but I don’t want to enter at the peak of an overbought rally. Instead, I’ll wait for a pullback or a breakout confirmation before committing to the trade. Additionally, I’m keeping an eye on how the UK inflation numbers and Powell’s speech shape market sentiment over the next 48 hours. All signs point toward GBP/USD continuing higher, but patience will be key in timing the best entry.
Long
by Sel_Ali