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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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USDGBP trade ideas

Mister Y - GU - Monday - 24/03/25 Top down analysisAs always analysis done directly on the chart Some Friday notes Discussed on public chat on Friday Sell idea was on point price tapped 1hR and Trend line for sell continuation around 1.29500 Nice scalp buy as discussed on Friday analysis (the bottom of Rec1 reaction) Move happened late NY, wasn't on the chart But posted ideas in advance played out HTF analysis, for LTF entries. Let's have Discussions in the comments, public chat, If needed in private chat on Tradingview Not financial advice, DYOR. Market flow strategy Mister Y
Long
by Mister_Y
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 24, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair continues to hold below the round 1.2900 mark and is attracting buyers in the Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) started the new week on a weak note and halted its three-day recovery from multi-month lows, which in turn is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair. Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) raising its inflation forecast, investors seem convinced that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy could force the central bank to resume its rate-cutting cycle in the near future. In fact, the UK central bank has cautioned against assumptions of rate cuts and has also raised its forecast for inflation to peak this year. This suggests that the Bank of England will reduce borrowing costs more slowly than other central banks, including the Fed, which lends further support to the GBP/USD pair. Moving forward, traders are awaiting the release of flash PMI indices from the UK and the US for meaningful momentum. In addition, speeches from influential FOMC members will stimulate demand for the dollar, which, along with comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, should create short-term trading opportunities for the GBP/USD pair. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2930, SL 1.2850, TP 1.3060
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Correction( old gbpusd chart was invert post by mistake) --- GBP/USD Bears Taking Control? 🔥 🚨 Smart Money Shift in Play! GBP/USD just broke a key Choch (Change of Character) level, signaling a potential trend reversal. The bulls are losing momentum, and smart money could be preparing for a deeper correction. 📉 Bearish Setup in Progress: ✅ Liquidity grab above previous highs ✅ Break of structure confirming weakness ✅ Retest of supply zone (1.29500) before a potential dump 📍 Target Zone: 1.27800 – 1.28000 📊 If price respects the supply zone, we could see a strong downside move into the next demand area. Watch for confirmation signs before entering! 🔥 Will GBP/USD hit the target, or will bulls fight back? Drop your thoughts below.
by Greenfireforex
GBPISD Analysis As of March 24, 2025, the GBP/USD currency pair is trading around $1.2934 per British pound. ​ Mid Forex Recent Developments: Bank of England's Cautious Stance: The Bank of England (BoE) has maintained a cautious approach to monetary policy, opting for gradual interest rate cuts. This strategy contrasts with more aggressive rate reductions by other central banks, such as the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. ​ Financial Times +1 Latest news & breaking headlines +1 Economic Indicators: Upcoming UK economic indicators, including GDP, inflation, and retail sales, are anticipated to influence the pound's performance. Economists forecast modest GDP growth, with January's figures expected to show a 0.1% month-on-month increase, down from 0.4% in December. ​ Exchange Rates UK +1 Forex +1 U.S. Economic Data: In the U.S., recent soft Consumer Price Index (CPI) data have fueled speculation about potential early Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation. Market participants are closely monitoring Producer Price Index (PPI) and jobless claims data for further insights into the Fed's policy direction. ​ Outlook: Analysts suggest that the British pound may continue to strengthen, supported by a resilient UK economy and the BoE's measured approach to rate cuts. Investment banks project the pound reaching between $1.35 and $1.40 within the next year, citing expectations of UK interest rates remaining higher than those in other major economies. ​ Latest news & breaking headlines However, geopolitical tensions, such as trade policy uncertainties and global trade tensions, could introduce volatility to the currency pair. Traders should stay informed on upcoming economic releases and central bank communications to navigate potential market fluctuations effectively.
Short
by sr225406
GBPUSD DOWN NEXT MOVE BIG FALL SOON Bullish Breakout Scenario (Reversal): Alternative Idea: Instead of reversing at the strong selling zone, GBP/USD could break above the resistance level at 1.2940 and continue upward. Trigger: If strong bullish momentum emerges (e.g., fueled by positive UK economic news or weak US dollar sentiment), this could invalidate the bearish setup and turn the trend bullish. Next Target: A breakout might push the price toward 1.3000 or higher, targeting previous swing highs. 2. Range-Bound Movement: Alternative Setup: GBP/USD may fail to show any clear breakout and instead consolidate within a tight range between 1.2880 and 1.2940. Trigger: Lack of volume or mixed economic data could lead to sideways movement, trapping traders expecting immediate directional momentum. 3. Bullish Divergence Possibility: Technical Suggestion: Check for a potential bullish divergence on momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, where price is making lower lows, but the indicator shows higher lows. Implication: This could signal weakening bearish pressure, increasing the chances of a reversal. 4. Fundamental Risk: Macroeconomic Impact: The chart analysis could be disrupted by upcoming events like central bank decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical developments that may favor either currency
Long
by mrsamfx81
GBPUSD Trending Lower - Will It Drop To 1.28660?OANDA:GBPUSD is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a strong bearish trend. The price has recently tested a resistance zone within the channel and appears to be rejecting it, suggesting a potential continuation to the downside. The current market structure implies that if this rejection holds, we could see further bearish movement toward the 1.28660 level, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel. However, if the price manages to push above the channel with strong momentum, it could signal a shift in trend, potentially leading to a bullish breakout and a move toward higher resistance levels. Traders should look for confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or increased selling volume before entering short positions. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
Short
by DanieIM
34
POSSIBLE LONG TERM SELL ON GBPUSD 1️⃣ Technical Confluences (Bearish Bias) 🔹 Resistance Trendline Touch – Price is testing a well-defined descending trendline, suggesting a potential rejection. 🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Sell Area – The price might fill this imbalance before reversing downward. 🔹 Key Supply Zone (~1.3244–1.3376) – A historically strong resistance area, likely to trigger sell orders. 🔹 Lower Timeframe Confirmation (H4 & H1) – Look for a bearish engulfing, pin bars, or a break of lower highs for strong confirmation. 🔹 Bearish Divergence (Check RSI/ MACD) – If RSI or MACD is showing divergence, this strengthens the bearish case 2️⃣ Risk-Reward & Trade Setup 📍 Entry: Around 1.3244–1.3376 (after confirmation). 🎯 Target: 1.2170 (next major demand zone). ⛔ Stop-Loss: Above 1.3376 (above the resistance zone). ⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx 1:3 or better for optimal trade efficiency. 3️⃣ Fundamental & Sentiment Check ✅ DXY Strength: If the US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising, this supports a bearish GBP/USD move. ✅ Interest Rate & Economic Data: Check for upcoming Fed/BoE announcements that could impact GBP/USD. ✅ Market Sentiment: If risk-off sentiment dominates, USD could gain strength, pushing GBP/USD lower.
Short
by neom23
2
GBPUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
POTENTIAL REVERSALTECHNICAL SMT focuses on identifying when two/three positively correlated assets deviate from their typical symmetrical price movements, suggesting potential market manipulation or imbalances. Bullish SMT DXY is currently trading above PWH , EURUSD below PWL while GBPUSD is struggling to go bellow PWL. Therefore, In this scenario we see Bullish SMT happening between DXY, EURUSD and GBPUSD. Why it matters Key Level: SMT can be used to confirm an important level and liquidity grab. Trend Reversal: SMT divergences can help traders identify potential trend reversals, allowing them to enter trades with a better understanding of the market's potential direction. Institutional Activity: SMT divergences can indicate that institutional traders (or "smart money") are accumulating positions, which can signal a potential shift in market sentiment. FUNDAMENTAL From the next week forward, we may see more volatility injected into the market, bringing prices to the critical level. This is due to the great number of high-impact news available. Monday, Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday are likely to be volatile days.
Long
by JOHNNIESA
GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Breakdown SetupThis chart presents a bearish trading setup for GBP/USD on a 4-hour timeframe from OANDA. Key Observations: Ascending Channel Breakdown: GBP/USD was previously trading inside an ascending channel, but it has now broken below support, signaling a potential downtrend. Retest Level: The price is currently retesting the broken support at 1.29645, which may act as a new resistance. Resistance Zone: The key resistance level is at 1.30261, marking the last swing high before the breakdown. Bearish Target: The expected downside target is at 1.26827, aligning with a previous demand zone and support level. Trading Plan: Entry: Consider short positions after rejection from the 1.29645 retest. Stop Loss: Place above 1.30261 to avoid false breakouts. Take Profit: First target at 1.26827, with the possibility of further downside. Market Outlook: If the price fails to reclaim the broken support and starts dropping, it could confirm a bearish trend continuation, making this a strong short setup.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
GBPUSD (15M) - Detailed Execution Zones Based on ICT & Price Act GBPUSD (15M) - Detailed Execution Zones Based on ICT & Price Action Bias: Bearish, Unless Price Reclaims 1.29644 - Current Trend: Downtrend, rejecting key liquidity levels. - Liquidity Dynamics: Sell-side liquidity taken at EPL (1.2920), weak reaction. - Market Structure: Bearish, no confirmed bullish shift. --- Bullish Execution Plan (Low Probability Unless Price Reclaims Key Levels) Buy Entry 1: 1.2920 - 1.2930 (Liquidity Grab & Reversal) - Confluence: 20ADR Level + Potential Bullish Order Block + EPL Sweep. - Trigger: Price sweeps below 1.2920, shows bullish rejection (engulfing/strong wick). - Target: 1.2950 (1/3ADR Level) → 1.29644 (CBR Retest). - Stop Loss: Below 1.2900. - Risk: Medium. Buy Entry 2: Break & Retest of 1.29644 - Confluence: Previous Resistance + 1/3ADR Level + Daily Open (DO). - Trigger: Strong close above 1.29644, bullish retest. - Target: 1.2980 → 1.30031 (ADR Highs). - Stop Loss: Below 1.2950. - Risk: High (fakeouts likely). --- Bearish Execution Plan (Primary Plan, Based on ICT Concepts) Sell Entry 1: 1.29644 (CBR Retest & Rejection) - Confluence: DO Level + EPH (Liquidity Above) + Bearish Order Block. - Trigger: Price taps 1.29644, forms rejection candle. - Target: 1.2950 (1/3ADR Level) → 1.2930 → 1.2920 (EPL). - Stop Loss: Above 1.2980. - Risk: Low. Sell Entry 2: Break & Retest of 1.2920 (EPL Breakdown) - Confluence: Structural Breakdown + New York Session Confirmation. - Trigger: Candle closes below 1.2920, retests as resistance. - Target: 1.2900 (20ADR Target) → 1.2870 (Final TP). - Stop Loss: Above 1.2935. - Risk: Medium. --- Final Thoughts & Execution Summary - Main Idea: Watch for a 1.29644 rejection to enter shorts. - Alternative Buy Plan: If price drops to 1.2920, look for bullish reactions. - High Probability Play: Short 1.29644 → TP1: 1.2950 → TP2: 1.2930 → TP3: 1.2920 - Primary Play: Sell at premium, target new lows.
Short
by MAKFX21
1