The Day Ahead🇺🇸 United States
NY Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectations: Rose slightly to 3.1% in May from 3.0% in April. This suggests increasing consumer concerns about short-term inflation, potentially influencing Fed policy.
Wholesale Trade Sales (April): Awaiting data.
🇨🇳 China
May CPI: Up 0.3% YoY, but fell 0.1% MoM — indicating weak consumer demand.
May PPI: Fell 1.4% YoY, a slower decline than before, suggesting factory-gate prices may be stabilizing.
Trade Balance: Surplus widened to $103.22 billion. Exports rose 4.8% YoY, but exports to the U.S. dropped 34.5%, reflecting trade tensions.
🇯🇵 Japan
Economy Watchers Survey (May): Sentiment remains cautious due to global economic uncertainties.
Bank Lending (May) and BoP Current Account/Trade Balance (April): Data not yet released but a current account surplus is expected.
🇪🇺 ECB
Frank Elderson (ECB Executive Board): Speaking today. Markets will watch closely for signals on future ECB rate moves in light of recent inflation and growth data.
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USDGBP trade ideas
GBPUSD INTRADAY Uptrend continuation supported at 1.3500The GBP/USD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a rising trendline and sustained higher lows. The recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback within an overall uptrend, indicative of a consolidation phase rather than a reversal.
Key Support Level: 1.3500
This level aligns with a previous consolidation zone and is acting as a pivotal support. A pullback toward this level could offer a potential buying opportunity, especially if bullish momentum returns.
Upside Targets (on bullish continuation from 1.3500):
1.3610 – Initial resistance from prior swing high
1.3650 – Intermediate resistance level
1.3700 – Long-term target and potential top of the current bullish channel
Bearish Scenario (if 1.3500 fails):
A daily close below 1.3500 would invalidate the current bullish setup, signaling a potential shift in trend. In that case:
Immediate support at 1.3480
Deeper retracement could extend to 1.3450
Conclusion
The broader trend in GBP/USD remains bullish, with the current consolidation viewed as a potential pullback rather than a reversal. The 1.3500 level is critical — a bounce from here could resume the uptrend toward 1.3610 over time. However, a break and close below 1.3500 would weaken the bullish case and open the door to further downside. Traders should monitor price action closely around this key level for confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD H1 Bearish eversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.3567, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.3537, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 11.3602, above the recent swing-high resistance level.
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GBPUSD(20250609)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Harker: Amid uncertainty, the Fed may still cut interest rates later this year. Musallem: There is a 50% chance that the trade war will lead to a sustained inflation outbreak. Tariffs may push up inflation within one or two quarters. The ECB cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3538
Support and resistance levels:
1.3615
1.3586
1.3568
1.3509
1.3491
1.3462
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3538, consider buying in, with the first target price of 1.3568
If the price breaks through 1.3509, consider selling in, with the first target price of 1.3491
GBPUSD: Weekly Overview 9th of June 2025GDP m/m is in this week! Take this under consideration. Any significant bearish surprise for this announcement means a possible break of the bullish channel.
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
GBPUSD - Technical analysis 2HGood morning, traders, dear TradingView. It's Nika.
I want to share this trading idea, for a reason we have very important resistance level breakout!
I think the price of this pair will continue growing and will reach level 1.37097!
So some of you can just open long now, or wait and enter after a little correction.
Thank you.
Have a profitable day.
"Continue to maintain strength"The GBP/USD trended higher in a volatile manner this week, rising 0.5% on a weekly basis and demonstrating relatively robust performance among major currencies. The UK's exemption from Trump's newly imposed steel and aluminum tariffs provided support for the British pound, with market sentiment remaining relatively optimistic. Analysts noted that the UK's immunity to Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs constitutes a positive factor for the GBP, but next week's employment data will be pivotal. A rise in the unemployment rate for April could weaken the pound's upward momentum. The market holds a positive view on the Bank of England's (BoE) cautious monetary policy stance, believing it will help the GBP maintain its strength in the short term.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
GBPUSD Buy Setup! BoS + OB + 61.8–79% Fib + Trend Channel ComboGBPUSD | 30-Min Chart – High Probability Long Setup Identified
GBPUSD is showing bullish intent after a clear Break of Structure (BoS) and now offers a high-confluence buy opportunity. This setup combines Smart Money Concepts with classical technical analysis for a sniper-grade entry.
🔍 Trade Breakdown:
📈 Break of Structure (BoS):
Price broke previous highs with strong bullish momentum.
Confirmed market intent shift from ranging to bullish.
📐 Fibonacci Confluence:
Price retraced perfectly into the 61.8% – 79% Fib zone from the latest bullish impulse.
These golden ratio levels align with an institutional Order Block (OB) and ascending trendline — high confluence entry.
🟣 Order Block Zone (OB): 1.35285 – 1.35406
The last bearish candle before bullish BoS — a clean demand zone.
OB sits within the Fib retracement zone and overlaps a mid-trendline tap.
📐 Fibonacci Levels (Swing Low to High):
61.8% = 1.35285
70.5% = ~1.35190
79% = ~1.35075
This is the institutional kill zone — OB + 61.8–79% retracement = precision buy levels.
🟡 Liquidity Sweep + Reaction:
Price swept liquidity below short-term lows and tapped the OB with a sharp bullish reaction.
Candle confirmation + lower wick shows strong rejection from Smart Money.
🧭 Projected Move:
Targeting a move toward the -27% Fib extension at 1.36018
Trendline and internal structure support bullish continuation
🔵 Projected Path:
Sweep ➝ OB/Fib confluence tap ➝ strong bullish continuation into premium territory
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone: 1.35285 – 1.35406 (OB + 61.8–70.5% Fib)
🔻 SL Below: 1.35000 (beneath OB & key structure low)
📈 Target: 1.36018 (-27% Fib extension)
⚖️ RRR: 1:3+ — sniper entry with institutional precision
💬 Ninja Wisdom:
Smart Money isn’t buying breakouts — they buy retracements into OB zones with precision.
Combine OB + Fib + channel = institutional roadmap.
Let price come to you. Let retail chase. 🥷💸
📍 Save this GBPUSD setup before it hits the next impulse wave
🗣️ Drop your thoughts – are you buying this OB too?
👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more institutional-grade setups daily
Cable touches fresh three-year highs above $1.36Cable’s long uptrend, lasting since the start of the year, has continued in June so far with the price reaching a new high on 5 June. Relative political stability in Britain can be contrasted with the USA’s chaotic implementation of new tariffs and friction in the governing Republican party over the tax and spending bill.
The uptrend is quite mature and the price currently overbought while, as for many other major pairs, volume and ATR have declined significantly and Bollinger Bands contracted since April. The obvious long-term target is the area of the 100% monthly Fibonacci retracement, 2021’s high, but even if the uptrend continues that far it’s likely to take a long time for the price to reach this area.
The 50 SMA from Bands is slightly below $1.34, so this seems like a possibly significant support in the short to medium term as both a static and dynamic area. The Fed and BoE will meet on consecutive days on 18 and 19 June, so volatility around then is likely to increase sharply and, depending on the bankers’ comments, it might become clearer whether to expect continuation or consolidation.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
GBPUSD: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the GBPUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for June 6, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is trading near 1.3570 with little movement ahead of the US (US) labor market data.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar against six major currencies, is trading above around 98.80 at the time of writing. The upcoming US non-farm payrolls data for May is expected to add 130,000 jobs, down from April's 177,000. The unemployment rate is also expected to remain unchanged at 4.2%.
Weekly initial jobless claims rose to 247,000, above the 235,000 expected, U.S. Labor Department data showed. ADP US private sector employment data released on Thursday showed a 37,000 increase in May versus a 60,000 increase (revised from 62,000) recorded in April, well below market expectations of 115,000.
GBP/USD is gaining support as the Pound Sterling (GBP) finds support amid rising risk sentiment in the United Kingdom (UK) markets following US President Donald Trump's executive order signed on Tuesday. British exporters still face the previous 25 percent tariff rate as Trump granted the UK temporary relief from the US' stiff 50 percent tariffs on steel and aluminum.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3500, SL 1.3600, TP 1.3300
GBPUSD - hoyrly chartTrading idea:
Short once support 1.35406 is broken!
Support and resistance:
🔴 Resistance Levels:
1.35768 — the nearest key resistance; a recent swing high before the current decline.
1.35848 – 1.35896 — resistance zone where previous pullbacks and consolidations occurred; could act as a ceiling if retested.
1.36100 — the upper boundary of the range, a potential target if the price breaks out higher.
🟡 Support Levels:
1.35406 — current price level near local support; the price is attempting to build a base here.
1.35118 — an important support level that previously triggered bullish reversals.
1.35010 — an additional support area near recent lows.
1.34917 — strong support, aligned with a previous bottom that marked the beginning of an upward impulse.
🔍 Additional Notes:
The price is consolidating near the lower edge of the short-term range, under pressure from the descending trendline.
RSI is approaching neutral territory — a potential for a reversal exists, but no clear signal yet.
Volume remains moderate, suggesting limited activity from major players — increasing the probability of a sideways move in the near term.