GBPUSD: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the GBPUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
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USDGBP trade ideas
GBPUSD: Liquidity Grab & Bearish SentimentThe 📉GBPUSD pair fall below a significant support cluster on the 4-hour chart.
Following this breakout, the previous support has now become a solid resistance level, which is currently being retested.
I observed a confirmed liquidity grab along with a bearish imbalance candle.
There is a strong likelihood that the price will decline to at least 1.3502.
GBPUSD Approaches Key Resistance: Watch for Bearish ReversalGBPUSD pair is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel on the 1-hour chart, showing a short-term bullish structure. However, this bullish move appears corrective within a broader consolidation range capped near the 1.3590 resistance zone.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Current Price: 1.35535
Immediate Resistance: 1.35885–1.35929 (previous highs and psychological level)
Support Levels:
Trendline support near 1.3530
Horizontal support: 1.34282, 1.34176
Structure:
Price has formed a bullish flag breakout and is now approaching key resistance.
A new higher high is anticipated toward 1.3590, but this level has repeatedly rejected price in the past.
The projected path indicates a potential liquidity grab above 1.3590 followed by a sell-off toward 1.3420–1.3410 area, aligning with a trendline break scenario.
Bearish Scenario:
A strong rejection from the 1.3590 zone, especially if accompanied by bearish divergence or a strong candle close, could trigger a shift back down to the 1.3417–1.3428 support zone.
This would confirm a short-term top and potential retracement toward lower liquidity zones.
📊 Fundamental Backdrop:
USD-side:
Recent U.S. labor market strength (e.g. ADP report and low jobless claims) supports a hawkish bias, favoring USD upside.
However, Fed policymakers remain cautious due to trade tensions and tariff uncertainty. This has injected short-term volatility into USD pairs.
GBP-side:
UK economic data has been mixed, with GDP growth forecasts under scrutiny.
BoE policymakers are dovish, emphasizing weak productivity and wage pressures, making the pound vulnerable to downside catalysts.
📌 Conclusion:
Watch for a potential bull trap near 1.3590, followed by a bearish reversal toward 1.3420–1.3410 if momentum weakens and sellers step in. This would complete the expected technical leg down and align with broader risk sentiment if dollar strength returns.
GBP/USD.2H chart pattern.here's a breakdown of the GBP/USD 2-hour chart setup and the target points indicated:
🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
Pair: GBP/USD
Chart timeframe: 2h
Indicators used: Ichimoku Cloud, Trendline (Support), Risk-to-Reward box
Setup: Bearish break of trendline support
Direction bias: Short (Sell)
Chart pattern: Break of ascending trendline with a rejection from previous highs
Entry zone: Around 1.3540–1.3560
Stop loss: Above 1.3662
Take profit zones:
1. First Target (TP1): 1.33270
2. Second Target (TP2): 1.32110
🎯 Target Points
Target Price Description
TP1 1.33270 First support area
TP2 1.32110 Major support zone
These target points are based on previous support levels and the height of the pattern projected down from the breakout point.
Let me know if you'd like this analysis transferred to another time frame or want updated targets based on more recent price action.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 6, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is trading near 1.3570 with little movement ahead of the US (US) labor market data.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar against six major currencies, is trading above around 98.80 at the time of writing. The upcoming US non-farm payrolls data for May is expected to add 130,000 jobs, down from April's 177,000. The unemployment rate is also expected to remain unchanged at 4.2%.
Weekly initial jobless claims rose to 247,000, above the 235,000 expected, U.S. Labor Department data showed. ADP US private sector employment data released on Thursday showed a 37,000 increase in May versus a 60,000 increase (revised from 62,000) recorded in April, well below market expectations of 115,000.
GBP/USD is gaining support as the Pound Sterling (GBP) finds support amid rising risk sentiment in the United Kingdom (UK) markets following US President Donald Trump's executive order signed on Tuesday. British exporters still face the previous 25 percent tariff rate as Trump granted the UK temporary relief from the US' stiff 50 percent tariffs on steel and aluminum.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3500, SL 1.3600, TP 1.3300
GBPUSD - hoyrly chartTrading idea:
Short once support 1.35406 is broken!
Support and resistance:
🔴 Resistance Levels:
1.35768 — the nearest key resistance; a recent swing high before the current decline.
1.35848 – 1.35896 — resistance zone where previous pullbacks and consolidations occurred; could act as a ceiling if retested.
1.36100 — the upper boundary of the range, a potential target if the price breaks out higher.
🟡 Support Levels:
1.35406 — current price level near local support; the price is attempting to build a base here.
1.35118 — an important support level that previously triggered bullish reversals.
1.35010 — an additional support area near recent lows.
1.34917 — strong support, aligned with a previous bottom that marked the beginning of an upward impulse.
🔍 Additional Notes:
The price is consolidating near the lower edge of the short-term range, under pressure from the descending trendline.
RSI is approaching neutral territory — a potential for a reversal exists, but no clear signal yet.
Volume remains moderate, suggesting limited activity from major players — increasing the probability of a sideways move in the near term.
GU-Fri-6/06/25 TDA-This week mostly after news driven PA!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
PA= price action
This week unless you're good fundamental
analyst or taking good advantage of fundamental news,
it was not easy to trade normal price action. (at least for me)
Since I trade only London session, and majority of moves
happen in NY session after news release.
This week was not the best for me, keeping myself low risk
max medium risk trades.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD Trading Analysis ### 1. Overall Trend & Market Context
- Bullish Momentum: GBPUSD is in a strong bullish trend, driven by DXY weakness (U.S. Dollar Index declining) and GBP strength. Key factors include:
- Fundamental Drivers:
- UK manufacturing contraction (less severe than expected) and rising housing prices.
- U.S. dollar weakness due to manufacturing slowdown (ISM PMI at 48.5), trade tensions, and fiscal concerns.
- Fed policy uncertainty (rates likely to remain unchanged post-May cut).
- Technical Drivers: Higher lows and higher highs on the 4-hour chart, indicating trend continuation.
### 2. Key Technical Levels & Patterns
- Support Zones:
- 1.3490–1.3500: A critical support area (pullback retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci level).
- 1.34420: Stop-loss level for long positions (below the liquidity pocket).
- Resistance Levels:
- 1.3580: Target for bullish breakout.
- 1.37370: Next major resistance (1:2 risk-reward setup).
- Patterns:
- Bullish Flag: Breakout above key resistance (1.3430) followed by consolidation.
- Broadening Wedge: High volatility pattern with widening highs/lows; potential for breakout (bullish or bearish).
- Bullish Engulfing: Confirmed entry after breaking key support/resistance.
### 3. Trading Opportunities
- Buy Zones:
- 1.3490–1.3500: Entry on breakout from consolidation range (1.3500).
- 1.35260: Buy limit for a liquidity hunt below minor intraday lows.
- Take Profit:
- 1.3580 (first resistance) and 1.37370 (measured move target).
- Risk Management:
- Stop-loss at 1.34420 (below support).
- 1:2 risk-reward ratio for long positions.
### 4. Key Risks & Considerations
- Bearish Scenarios:
- Failure to hold above the breakout zone (1.3500).
- Pressure from resistance at 1.3580.
- Return to consolidation range, delaying the upside move.
- Volatility: Broadening wedge patterns may fake out traders, emphasizing the need for strict risk management.
### 5. Fundamental Outlook
- GBP Strength: UK economic data (housing, manufacturing) supports GBP.
- USD Weakness: U.S. manufacturing slowdown, trade tensions, and fiscal concerns weigh on the dollar.
- Fed Policy: Markets expect rate cuts to continue, further pressuring USD.
### 6. Final Notes & Disclaimers
Stay disciplined, manage risk, and let the market confirm your trades. 📈
*Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk; ensure you understand the risks before trading.*
Bullish continuation?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which is an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3507
1st Support: 1.3420
1st Resistance: 1.3644
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Same type of reversal pattern formed on XAUUSD & GBPUSD This is the reversal pattern early sign on M15 time frame which can help you to be flexible on current market structure what price is going to do. (Early sign of Sweep in Higher Time frame).
Bearish argument formed as 15M FVG after taken out High and started to respect those Point of interest and trade lower continiously.
GBP/USD – Bullish Continuation SetupFollowing a clear bullish structure, price recently printed a HH and now hovers above an unmitigated demand zone.
We're anticipating a pullback into the OB followed by strong continuation upward.
Buy Limit: 1.35150
SL: 1.34490
TP1: 1.35750
TP2: 1.36100
Structure: Bullish ✅
OB Mitigation: Pending ✅
Weak High Target: Above HH ✅
"Watch for clean mitigation followed by impulsive reaction before executing."
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3590
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.3629
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.3535
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Market next target 🧨 Disruption Points:
1. Bullish Accumulation Underway
The recent candles show higher lows and lower volume on red candles, suggesting selling pressure is decreasing.
> Disruptive scenario: Price may bounce off minor support (around 1.3560–1.3570) and form a higher low, triggering a bullish rally back above 1.3620.
---
2. Fake Bearish Setup (Liquidity Trap)
The three arrows predicting a drop might represent a classic retail trap where too many anticipate the same direction.
> Contrary idea: A false breakdown below 1.3550 may occur just to collect stop-losses, followed by a strong reversal upward.
---
3. Divergence Risk
If momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) show bullish divergence while price moves sideways or dips, it may signal an upcoming bullish impulse.
> Disruption: Downward arrows may be misinterpreting consolidation as weakness rather than a setup for continuation of the previous uptrend.
---
4. Fundamental Wildcard
The chart shows an upcoming U.S. economic event, likely to impact the dollar.
If the data is weak for the USD, GBP/USD could surge sharply, invalidating the bearish scenario.
GBP/USD Buy Signal Active Now Entry Point: 1.35800 (Buy Now)GBP/USD Buy Signal Active Now
Entry Point: 1.35800 (Buy Now)
🎯 Target 1: 1.35400
🎯 Target 2: 1.35000
🎯 Target 3: 1.34500
🎯 Final Target: 1.34200
📊 Setup:
We are entering a short-term buy position with carefully placed targets.
This trade is based on current market structure and technical indicators.
Entry confirmed after key support was tested and held.
🛡️ Risk Management is Key:
✅ Use a tight stop-loss
✅ Risk only what you can afford to lose
✅ Recommended SL: Above 1.36000
✅ Maintain position sizing discipline
💡 Be patient and follow the plan
📉 Trend direction still under analysis for the bigger picture
🔁 Always reassess your trades as market conditions evolve
Stay sharp and trade safe!
#Forex #GBPUSD #TradeSignal #RiskManagement #ForexTrading
GBPUSD(20250605)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. economic data-① ADP employment increased by 37,000 in May, far below the expected 110,000 and the previous value of 62,000. ② The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing index in May fell to 49.9, shrinking for the first time in nearly a year, and the expected increase was from 51.6 to 52.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3543
Support and resistance levels:
1.3622
1.3593
1.3574
1.3513
1.3494
1.3465
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3574, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.3593
If the price breaks through 1.3543, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.3513
GBP/USD Bulls Eye Breakout Ahead of NFPA rebound off former resistance is now testing the highs with the weekly / monthly opening-range taking shape just below. GBP/USD is attempting to breach the yearly 75% parallel in early US trade on Thursday. The immediate focus is on today’s close with respect to this threshold.
Initial support rests with the weekly open / 2024 high at 1.3434. Note that the median-line converges on this threshold over the next few days and a break / close below would threaten a larger correction within the broader uptrend towards the 61.8% retracement of the May advance at 1.3313 and bullish invalidation at the May low-day close (LDC) near 1.3176.
A topside breach above the 75% parallel would threaten resumption towards subsequent resistance objectives at the 2022 high-day close (HDC) at 1.3705 and the 100% extension of the January advance at 1.3816- look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Bottom line: The British Pound is testing confluent resistance at the yearly high and the focus is on a possible price inflection off this pivot zone- watch today’s close. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 1.3434 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the 1.36 needed to mark uptrend resumption.
Keep in mind we are in the early throws of the June opening-range with U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls slated for tomorrow morning and key inflation data (CPI) on tap next week. Stay nimble into the releases and watch the weekly closes here for guidance.
-MB