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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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Not All Pin Bars Are Created EqualA Two-Step Filter to Find the Ones That Actually Matter We’ve all seen them. Long wicks, tight bodies, price rejecting a level. The classic pin bar. Textbook stuff, right? But here’s the problem. Pin bars show up all over the chart. Some lead to clean reversals. Most do absolutely nothing. The trick isn’t spotting them. It’s knowing which ones to trust. This is where a simple two-step filter can help. By asking two key questions, you immediately improve the quality of your trades and cut down on the false positives. Step One: Where Did It Happen? Before you look at shape or size, ask yourself one thing. Did this pin bar form at a meaningful level? Context is everything. A pin bar that forms into thin air, mid-range or in the middle of chop might look good, but it’s rarely reliable. What you’re looking for is reaction from structure. That could mean: • A clean horizontal support or resistance level • A prior swing high or low • A daily VWAP or anchored VWAP from a key event • The edge of a range or value area • A trendline tested multiple times In short, the level gives the pin bar a reason to exist. It becomes a reaction, not a random candle. Mark the level before the candle forms. This stops you from retrofitting significance where there isn’t any. Example: Here we can see how the volume weighted average price (VWAP) can add meaningful context to a pin-bar setup. In this case, USD/CAD retraced against the prevailing downtrend and tested the VWAP anchored to the recent swing highs. At that point, price formed a clear pin-bar reversal, signalling rejection and potential continuation with the broader trend. USD/CAD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Step Two: What’s Happening Under the Hood? Once you’ve got a pin bar at a meaningful level, it’s time to look deeper. One of the best ways to do that is by dropping down to a lower timeframe, like the 5-minute chart, and replaying the session that created the candle. Why? Because daily candles can hide a lot. A clean pin bar might look like a strong rejection, but on the intraday chart, it might just be a low-volume fakeout or one impulsive move during quiet hours. On the other hand, a pin bar backed by real market structure is far more likely to hold. Here’s what to look for on the lower timeframe: • Was there a liquidity grab or stop run into the level? • Did price pause, base or reverse with intent? • Were there multiple attempts to push beyond the level that failed? • Did volume spike during the rejection? When a pin bar reflects a genuine intraday battle, not just a random wick, it often tells you more about the intentions of real participants. Example: In this example, GBP/USD forms a bearish pin-bar at a key area of swing resistance on the daily chart. Dropping down to the 5-minute timeframe helps reveal what actually happened inside that candle. On this lower timeframe we can see that price initially pushed above resistance but failed to hold, triggering a steady wave of intraday selling pressure. This move was followed by a mild pullback during the latter half of the US session and into the New York close, reinforcing the idea of rejection and offering insight into the mechanics behind the pin-bar. GBP/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results GBP/USD 5min Candle Chart: How the Daily Pin-bar Formed Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Bonus Filter: What’s the Trend Context? You could also add a third layer if you want to refine even further. Is the pin bar counter-trend, or is it a pullback within trend? Counter-trend pin bars at key levels can work, but they’re lower probability and often take more time to play out. Pin bars that form as part of a pullback to structure in the direction of the prevailing trend tend to move more cleanly. This is where using something like a 20 EMA or anchored VWAP can help frame the setup. Putting It All Together Next time you see a pin bar, pause. Don’t rush in. Ask yourself: • Did this happen at a level that matters? • Does the intraday story back up the candle? If the answer is yes to both, now you’ve got something worth trading. Not just another wick in the wind. Pin bars can be strong signals, but only when they reflect real intent. This two-step filter helps you cut through the clutter and focus on the ones that do. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. 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Education
by Capitalcom
2
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.3584 1st Support: 1.3519 1st Resistance: 1.3771 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
GBP/USD Weekly Plan – 8th to 12th July 2025The British Pound is testing the upper range of its recent rally, just below a high-liquidity supply zone near 1.37898. While short-term bullish momentum remains intact, both the technical structure and upcoming macro events point towards a potential midweek reversal. 📉 Technical Breakdown – H4 Chart Price has completed a full impulsive leg and is approaching a key supply zone (1.37703–1.37898), aligning with weekly highs. Previous CHoCH + BOS formations show buyer strength, but recent rejections indicate exhaustion. Liquidity sits below at 1.35013 and 1.33927, making downside targets attractive for short setups. 🔁 Trade Setups ✅ SELL GBP/USD Entry: 1.37703 Stop Loss: 1.38000 TP1: 1.37100 TP2: 1.36513 TP3: 1.35013 Rationale: Selling into weak high and potential liquidity trap. Expecting rejection from the top of the weekly range. ✅ BUY GBP/USD Entry: 1.33927 Stop Loss: 1.33600 TP1: 1.34500 TP2: 1.35237 TP3: 1.36900 Rationale: Buying from a strong demand zone and order block with FVG confluence. Clean upside potential if market respects structure. 🧠 Macro Context – What to Watch 🇬🇧 GBP Drivers: BOE Governor Bailey Speaks (Twice this week) – May offer clarity on future monetary stance. 🇺🇸 USD Drivers: Fed Chair Powell Speaks – Markets watching for tone on rate path. NFP Jobs Report (Friday) – Forecast: 147K. A strong figure could support USD. Unemployment Claims / Rate – A key pair of metrics for short-term dollar moves. 🧩 A hawkish Fed tone + strong NFP = stronger USD → pressure on GBP/USD. 📊 Key Zones Zone Role Notes 1.37898 Weekly High Strong resistance + sell-side liquidity trap 1.37703 Sell Entry Within supply zone 1.33927 Buy Entry Order block + FVG zone, ideal reversal zone 1.35013 Major Target Previous BOS zone and liquidity below structure ⚠️ Strategy Guidance Wait for confirmations on H1–H4 (CHoCH / FVG rejection). Avoid new positions 1 hour before or after red-folder events (e.g., NFP, Bailey speech). Trailing SL recommended once TP1 is reached.
Long
by EliseLunaTraders
1
GBPUSD h4 big downhe resistance at 1.36554 may be weak due to: Multiple taps already Reduced seller interest A breakout above this zone could trigger short covering → sharp rally ✅ 2. Higher Low Structure Recent low at 1.35475 held strong Current consolidation appears like a bullish flag or accumulation range Could indicate continuation, not rejection GBPUSD SELL IDEA Fakeout Reversal Setup If price dips into the support at 1.35475 again, it might: Trap breakout traders Reverse and form a new impulse leg upward Target = 1.3700–1.3750 zone Disruption Path: Bullish Breakout Minor dip or tight range around current price Break and hold above 1.3655 Acceleration toward 1.3700–1.3750 Disruption Invalidation A strong close below 1.3540 with volume
Short
by Zara_FVG
2
GBPUSD BUY?Market is reacting to Fib area on Daily time frame. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Long
by WiLLProsperForex
1
GBP/USD Bearish Trend Analysis GBP/USD Bearish Trend Analysis The GBP/USD pair is currently exhibiting a bearish trend on the 1-hour chart, with the market forming lower lows, a clear indication of sustained selling pressure. This downward momentum suggests that traders are favoring short positions, and the bearish sentiment may continue in the upcoming trading sessions. Bearish Flag Pattern Suggests Further Downside Adding to the bearish outlook, the price action is forming a bearish flag pattern, which is typically a continuation signal in a downtrend. This pattern consists of a sharp decline (the flagpole) followed by a slight upward or sideways consolidation (the flag). A breakdown below the flag’s support could trigger another wave of selling, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Support Levels to Watch If the downtrend continues, the market could target the following support levels: - 1.35850 – The initial downside target, likely to act as a short-term support zone. - 1.35100 – A deeper support level that may come into play if selling pressure intensifies. A break below these levels could open the door for further declines, potentially extending toward 1.34500 or lower, depending on market momentum. Resistance Level as a Key Barrier On the upside, the 1.37900 level serves as a critical resistance. If the price retraces higher, this zone could act as a strong barrier where sellers might re-enter. A sustained break above this resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook, signaling a potential trend reversal or consolidation phase. Trading Strategy Considerations - Bearish Scenario: Traders may look for short opportunities near resistance levels or upon a confirmed breakdown below the bearish flag. - Risk Management: A stop-loss above 1.37900 (or a recent swing high) could help mitigate risk if the market reverses unexpectedly. - Bullish Caution: If GBP/USD breaks above 1.37900 with strong momentum, the bearish thesis may need reevaluation. Conclusion The GBP/USD pair remains bearish in the short term, supported by the lower lows and the bearish flag pattern. Traders should monitor the 1.35850 and 1.35100 support levels for potential downside targets, while keeping an eye on 1.37900 as a key resistance that could determine whether the downtrend continues or reverses. Proper risk management remains essential in navigating this market structure.
Short
by Brillant_Capital
1
GBPUSD Will Go Lower! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.365. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.358 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
3
Market Analysis: GBP/USD DipsMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Dips GBP/USD failed to climb above 1.3800 and corrected some gains. Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today - The British Pound is showing bearish signs below the 1.3700 support against the US dollar. - There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3650 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen. GBP/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to stay above the 1.3750 pivot level. As a result, the British Pound started a fresh decline below 1.3720 against the US Dollar. There was a clear move below 1.3700 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bears pushed the pair below 1.3650. Finally, there was a spike below the 1.3600 support zone. A low was formed near 1.3562 and the pair is now consolidating losses. There was a minor move above the 1.3615 level. On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near the 1.3650 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3650. The next major resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3788 swing high to the 1.3562 low at 1.3675. A close above the 1.3670 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward the 1.3700 zone. The 61.8% Fib retracement level is at 1.3700. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3790. On the downside, there is a key support forming near 1.3615. If there is a downside break below the 1.3615 support, the pair could accelerate lower. The next major support is near the 1.3560 zone, below which the pair could test 1.3500. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.3440 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
GBPUSD → Correction before the bullish trend continuesFX:GBPUSD is forming a trading range for consolidation of potential ahead of a possible continuation of growth as part of a countertrend correction. The dollar is trying to recover from its decline due to a local change in the fundamental background, but the global trend for the DXY is bearish. This could provide support for the GBP to continue growing, provided that the bulls hold their defense above the 0.5 Fibonacci zone of the main impulse movement. The market is holding GBPUSD within the trading range of 1.359 - 1.3675. The trend is bullish, and within the correction, liquidity may be captured from 1.359 before further growth. Resistance levels: 1.3675, 1.3764 Support levels: 1.359, 1.3511 If the reaction to the subsequent retest of support at 1.359 is weak, we can consider a continuation of the correction to the 0.7-0.79 Fibonacci zone, which would be the most favorable entry point for us (focus on 1.3511 — a false breakout will increase interest in buying). In the current situation, the focus is on 1.359. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GBPUSD I Weekly CLS I Model 1 I Target 50%Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Short
by David_Perk
35
GBP/USD - Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn GBP/USD, it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 1.37000. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. Strong S/R zone from the past and Volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade. Happy trading, Dale
by Trader_Dale
1
GBPUSD Pauses After Hitting First Target Amid USD-Driven TurbuleGBPUSD Pauses After Hitting First Target Amid USD-Driven Turbulence Following our previous analysis, GBPUSD reached its first downside target and is currently experiencing a brief pause. The U.S. has begun sending letters to multiple trading partners, stirring market uncertainty. This diplomatic disruption is strengthening the USD, giving it a tactical edge. Should GBPUSD correct back toward 1.3600, there's potential for renewed downside movement in the coming days—particularly if market clarity improves. 🎯 Next key targets: 1.3435 1.3330 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
1
GBP/USD Potential Shorts from 1.37000This week, my analysis for GBP/USD focuses on the continuation of the bearish order flow. I currently have a clean 16-hour supply zone that remains unmitigated, where we may see a potential bearish reaction in alignment with the prevailing downtrend. If price breaks through this zone, I will shift focus to an extreme 2-hour supply zone higher up. There are several imbalances and pools of liquidity resting below that serve as potential downside targets. Additionally, I’m noticing the formation of engineered liquidity beneath current price, which further supports the bearish outlook. Confluences for GBP/USD Sells: The U.S. Dollar has reacted from a strong demand zone, suggesting we could see continued bullish pressure on the dollar, which may weigh on GBP/USD. GBP/USD has shown a clear change of character to the downside, confirming bearish market structure—this is a pro-trend trade setup. We have both a clean 16-hour and an extreme 2-hour supply zone, offering high-probability entry points for potential shorts. Multiple liquidity targets below, including Asia session lows and unfilled imbalances, align well with the bearish narrative. P.S. My next potential long opportunity lies at the 6-hour demand zone near 1.34400. From there, I’ll be watching for price to slow down, accumulate orders, and potentially shift structure to the upside. Wishing everyone a successful and profitable trading week!
Short
by Hassan_fx