GBPUSD(20250619)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed's June meeting - kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth time in a row, and the dot plot showed two rate cuts this year, but the number of officials who expected no rate cuts this year rose to 7, and the rate cut expectations for next year were cut to 1. Powell continued to call for uncertainty, and the current economic situation is suitable for waiting and watching. He also expects tariff-driven inflation to rise in the coming months.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3432
Support and resistance levels:
1.3507
1.3479
1.3461
1.3403
1.3385
1.3357
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3432, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.3461
If the price breaks through 1.3403, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.3385
USDGBP trade ideas
DeGRAM | GBPUSD moving in the rising wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● A five-week rectangle at the channel top has broken south after a bearish engulfing, turning 1.3550 into fresh supply; the break also pierces the inner purple resistance line that capped every rally since April.
● Momentum now points to the channel mid-band/May swing low at 1.3516; loss of that neckline activates the measured move toward the lower rail and horizontal support at 1.3415.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Pre-BoE election-period caution and firmer post-FOMC USD yields have widened the short-term gilt–UST spread, draining bid tone from sterling.
✨ Summary
Sell 1.3530-1.3560; break below 1.3516 targets 1.3415. Bear view invalidated on an H4 close above 1.3592.
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Analyse Chart: GBP/USD – Key Levels & Price Forecast📈 Analyse Chart: GBP/USD – Key Levels & Price Forecast (June 18, 2025)
🗺️ Overview
This chart shows GBP/USD in a critical technical setup. The price has just reacted to a significant support zone after a strong rejection from a resistance area, suggesting a potential reversal—or further downside if support fails.
🔍 Key Zones
Resistance Zone: 1.3600 – 1.3670
Price was rejected here twice (indicated by arrows), forming a double-top pattern.
Support Zone: 1.3400 – 1.3450
Price found buyers here again, after a steep decline.
🧠 Market Structure
The current structure shows a sharp bearish leg followed by stabilization at support.
Price is hovering near 1.3458, slightly above the support zone, forming small indecisive candles (possible accumulation).
📊 Scenario Analysis
🔼 Bullish Scenario (Preferred Path)
Setup: Price forms a higher low or double bottom within the support zone.
Trigger: Bullish breakout above 1.3480–1.3500
Target:
Short-term: 1.3550
Medium-term: 1.3600 – 1.3670 (resistance retest)
🔽 Bearish Scenario (Failure of Support)
Setup: Clean break and close below 1.3400
Trigger: Retest of broken support as resistance
Target:
Short-term: 1.3320
Extended: 1.3260
Reasoning: Would signal trend continuation and invalidation of bullish structure
📅 Event Risk
Several high-impact economic events (GBP & USD) are approaching.
Expect volatility—ideal setups may occur after data releases.
🧭 Professional Outlook
Bias Confirmation Needed Entry Zone SL TP Range
Bullish Rejection + bullish breakout 1.3400–1.3450 Below 1.3380 1.3550 → 1.3670
Bearish Daily close below 1.3380 Retest near 1.3400 Above 1.3430 1.3320 → 1.3260
GBPUSD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
We are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern on the GBP USD chart. These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear (of course, you can count them so that they become an ABC zigzag, isn't it interesting!) and you can even count their subwaves. Now wave 5 is completing and we are witnessing multiple divergences in wave 5. With the breakdown of the trend line drawn below and a pullback to it, we can expect the price to fall to the specified support. The first support is 1.305 and then 1.2800.
Good luck and be profitable.
GBPUSD – Rejection From New Price High Questions UptrendThe escalation in geo-political risks overnight in the Middle East, marked by Israel's attack on Iranian nuclear sites which was followed by Iran's retaliatory drone strikes against Israel, have seen a rush to safe haven assets, which this time included buying dollars (a rarity of late!).
This has seen GBPUSD fall quickly from a fresh 2025 high hit early this morning at 1.3633, back down to lower levels around 1.3540 (at time of writing) and questions whether the highs for GBPUSD may now be in place in the short term, with traders possibly reluctant to add to fresh longs into the weekend, and ahead of next week's Bank of England (BoE) rate meeting on Thursday (June 19th).
Looking forward into the Friday close, traders may now be on headline watch, especially considering Iran's vow to respond to Israel's initial attack with harsh blows against both Israel and the US. Any attack by Iran against US targets, while potentially unlikely, could be viewed as a level up and President Trump has stated that the US are on high alert just in case.
On the data front, the US Preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment for June is released at 1500 BST today. This will provide the next update on US consumer inflation expectations as well as sentiment, which although important are possibly unlikely to shift the focus of traders from progress reports regarding geo-political developments in the Middle East.
Technical Update: Rejection From New Price High Questions Uptrend
Of late, it has been a positive phase of sentiment that has been evident for GBPUSD, as a price pattern of higher highs and higher lows has formed, as the chart below shows.
This has resulted in a new recovery price high being posted this morning at 1.3633, which represents the highest trade in GBPUSD since late February 2022. However, so far this new upside extreme in price has held and seen price weakness emerge.
This may now see some traders questioning the ability of GBPUSD to maintain its current upside momentum, even suggest the potential of a more extended phase of weakness.
What support and resistance levels might be worth watching to maybe help determine the next direction of price movement?
Potential Support Levels:
Having held price weakness seen earlier this week, the rising Bollinger mid-average may continue to be a support focus. This currently stands at 1.3504, and closing breaks below this level, if seen, might result in a more extended phase of weakness.
Such downside breaks in price, while not a guarantee of further price declines, could see focus then shift to potential support at 1.3444, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, and if this in turn gives way on a closing basis, towards 1.3385, the deeper 50% retracement level.
Potential Resistance Levels:
As the chart below shows, sellers have been found this morning at the 1.3633 level and may be again. This could prove to be the first resistance point to monitor if fresh attempts at price strength are seen over coming sessions.
Successful closing breaks above 1.3633 as a result, could point to an extension of the current uptrend pattern, with the next resistance level then potentially being 1.3749, which is the January 2022 high.
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GBP/USD Hits June LowGBP/USD Hits June Low
As the GBP/USD chart shows, the pair dropped sharply last night, falling below the 1.34170 level. This move marked the lowest point for the pound against the dollar since the beginning of June.
One of the main drivers behind this decline is the strengthening of the US dollar, which is attracting market participants amid heightened geopolitical tensions and a potential escalation of military conflict between Iran and Israel, involving US armed forces. According to the latest reports, Donald Trump has warned Tehran that US patience is wearing thin.
Today, however, the pound has seen a slight rebound, supported by the release of the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI). While the data confirmed that inflation is easing, the pace of decline is slower than expected. This may reduce the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Bank of England – which in turn has boosted the pound’s value.
What could happen next?
Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart
Since the end of May, price fluctuations have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), with bulls making several attempts to break the resistance level at 1.3600 – so far, without much success.
The sharp decline from point A to B suggests that the bears have seized the initiative, with the pair rebounding from the lower boundary of the blue channel.
GBP/USD traders may:
→ interpret the bounce from the lower blue boundary as an upward correction following a sharp fall;
→ use Fibonacci retracement levels to estimate potential upside. In such cases, particular attention is typically given to the 0.5–0.618 zone (highlighted in orange). Here, it aligns with the 1.3526 level, which acted as support on 12–13 June, but may now serve as resistance after being breached.
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GBP/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone – Downside Targets GBP/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone – Downside Targets Ahead 🚨
This chart analysis of GBP/USD reveals a clear bearish structure unfolding after the pair tested a strong resistance zone near the 1.36000 level. Here's the professional breakdown:
🔴 Key Resistance Zone: 1.36000 – 1.36200
Price has been rejected multiple times from this upper zone (marked in red).
Repeated upper wicks and lower closes signal selling pressure.
Recent candle formations suggest a potential reversal from this level.
🟢 Major Support Zones:
1.33090 (Mid-Level Support)
This level has acted as a reaction zone in the past.
Could provide temporary consolidation or bounce.
1.31500 – 1.32000
Strong historical support, price bounced here previously.
Bears might slow down in this area before continuation.
1.28000 – 1.29000
Deeper support zone; if broken, could indicate a major trend shift.
📉 Bearish Projection
Price is expected to descend toward 1.33090, and if momentum continues, potentially down to the 1.28 region.
The zigzag projection in the black box reflects a stair-step pattern typical of strong bearish legs.
🧠 Market Psychology & Price Action
Sellers are defending the resistance aggressively.
Lower highs and consistent rejection candles imply weakening bullish momentum.
This setup aligns with a distribution phase before a drop.
📌 Conclusion
🔻 As long as the price remains below the 1.36000 resistance, the bias remains bearish. Watch for confirmations at 1.33090 and 1.32000 – these are crucial zones where price decisions will unfold.
📆 Short to mid-term traders may look for sell setups on retracements with stop-losses above the resistance and targets near support zones.
GBPUSD Bullish After Long Falls Pattern FormedGBPUSD Technical Outlook:
After a prolonged bearish trend, GBPUSD may now be preparing for a potential bullish reversal, driven by weakening momentum in the U.S. Dollar. The pair is currently trading around the 1.34350 level.
If bullish pressure builds from this level, we could see the start of a short-to-medium term uptrend. The next key target levels to watch are:
Key Resistance
1st 1.35100
2nd 1.35500
3rd 1.36000
after the Long bearish Pattern we could see Bullish Zone and remember all thing in your mind if the price will does no up from current level the hit the support Levels 1.33900 then we could see price will grow again lets see and share out idea what did you know about GBPUSD Price?
GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 17 June 2025- GBPUSD reversed from the resistance level 1.3615
- Likely to fall to support level at 1.3400
GBPUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the key resistance level 1.3615 (which has been reversing the price from the end of May) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 1.3615 formed the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Dark Cloud Cover – which was followed by the Shooting Star.
Given the bearish divergence on the daily Stochastic indicator, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level at 1.3400 (former resistance from April).
GBPUSD short!Classic Wyckoff upthrust, this is A+
We’ve got a clear AB=CD completion at C, tagging previous support-turned-resistance, while the volume on the climb is drying up (classic clue of passive buyers getting trapped). The channel top + Fibonacci confluence + previous swing zone adds weight.
🔻 Trade Idea:
Entry: 1.3477
Stop: 1.3521 (above wick highs and structure)
Target 1: 1.3401 (break structure)
Target 2: 1.3276 (full measured move / spring's origin)
Risk-Reward: ~3.5R
Volume divergence confirms exhaustion.
Ideal reaction would break through mid-line and sustain under 1.3401.
🔍 Watch For:
Bearish engulfing confirmation on 1h
Volume spike during breakdown = smart money selling
If price lingers above 1.3515, trap invalid
GBPUSD(20250617)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Revised version of the Republican tax cut bill in the US Senate: It is proposed to raise the debt ceiling to 5 trillion, and the overall framework is consistent with the House version.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3577
Support and resistance levels:
1.3664
1.3632
1.3611
1.3544
1.3522
1.3490
Trading strategy:
If it rises and breaks through 1.3577, consider entering the market to buy, and the first target price is 1.3611
If it falls and breaks through 1.3544, consider entering the market to sell, and the first target price is 1.3522
Analysis of GBPUSD 1-Hour Chart Signaling Bullish TrendAnalysis of GBP/USD 1-Hour Chart Signaling Bullish Trend 📈
I. Support Levels & Chart Patterns
Support Confirmation
After testing the 1.34135 support zone, price rebounded sharply with consecutive bullish candles 🚀, forming a potential "double bottom" pattern (or wave low). This successful defense of support reinforces the foundation for upward movement 🏗️.
Resistance Breakout Potential
Price is currently advancing from the 1.34600 short-term support. The key resistance lies at 1.35160. A decisive breakout above this level would validate the bullish projection indicated by the upward arrows on the chart 🎯
⚡️⚡️⚡️ GBPUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 1.33500 - 1.34000
🚀 TP 1.35000 - 1.35500
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Massive GBP/USD Reversal Ahead? Head & Shoulders FormationGBP/USD is at a critical technical juncture following a sharp bullish impulse that pushed the pair above the 1.34 handle, printing a strong weekly bullish engulfing candle and breaking out of a multi-week consolidation zone. This move unfolded in a macro context where the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness, with Non-Commercial net long positions dropping drastically—from around 20,000 to less than 5,000 contracts. This shift points to a fading speculative appetite for the dollar, historically a leading indicator of upcoming corrective phases or broader declines in the DXY.
On the flip side, the Commitments of Traders (COT) report on the British Pound reveals that Non-Commercials (typically hedge funds and asset managers) remain net long on GBP, with a slight increase week-over-week. However, Commercials (generally institutions and hedgers) have aggressively built up a significant net short position—levels that in the past preceded major reversals on the pair. This divergence between speculators and institutional hedgers suggests short-term bullish potential, but with rising risk of exhaustion near current resistance levels.
Adding fuel to this outlook is the retail sentiment: approximately 63% of retail traders are currently short GBP/USD, with an average entry price around 1.3021. This kind of retail crowd positioning, typically inefficient from a historical perspective, adds contrarian support for further upside, as long as price holds above the 1.3340 structure.
From a seasonality perspective, June tends to be a mildly bullish-to-sideways month for GBP/USD, especially when looking at the 10- and 15-year seasonal averages. While the seasonal bias is not particularly strong, there’s also no statistical downward pressure this time of year, leaving room for technically-driven moves influenced by liquidity and sentiment rather than macro patterns alone.
On the technical front, the daily chart shows a steep rally capped by a large green candle on Monday, breaking cleanly through the 1.34 resistance zone. The price is now hovering inside a key supply area between 1.3499 and 1.3550—a historically reactive zone that has triggered major rejections in previous months. How price reacts here will likely shape the next major swing. A confirmed breakout and consolidation above 1.3550 would open the door for an extension toward 1.37–1.3750. Conversely, a sharp rejection followed by a break below 1.3412—and especially under 1.3340—would set the stage for a deeper correction toward 1.3170.
The RSI is currently showing early signs of momentum loss, although no strong bearish divergence has emerged yet. This implies that the pair could still fuel another push higher before running out of steam—possibly forming the right shoulder of a head & shoulders pattern if the rejection scenario plays out.
GBP/USD Breakout Done , Best Place To Get 150 Pips Clear !Here is my opinion on GBP/USD On 2H T.F , We have a very good breakout now clear not as the old one and we have a very good bearish price action , so i think it will be a good entry if the price go back to retest my res with the news today and give us a good touch and go to downside , and also we might see a random move and fake wicks to take all stop losses before going down or even back to upside so be careful today and use a good risk , i`m waiting the price to back to retest the broken support and new res and then i will enter a sell trade with a very small lot size .
Potential bullish rise for the Cable?The price has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3399
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3337
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3505
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBPUSD: Your Trading Plan For Next Week 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD formed an ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
Your next signal to buy will be a bullish violation of its neckline.
To confirm a breakout, we will need a daily candle close above 1.362.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 1.37 level then.
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