Market next move 🔻 Potential Disruptions to the Bullish Scenario:
1. False Breakout Risk at the Resistance Zone
The price is hovering near a horizontal resistance zone (red box).
Repeated wicks at this level suggest selling pressure.
If price breaks above slightly and then pulls back inside the range, it could be a bull trap, triggering a sharp drop (red arrow).
2. Weak Follow-Through on Volume
Recent bullish candles show no increase in volume.
This hints at lack of conviction among buyers, increasing the chance of a reversal rather than continuation.
3. Bearish Divergence Possibility
If we applied RSI or MACD here, there’s a high chance of bearish divergence forming (price making higher highs, while indicators show lower highs), signaling potential reversal pressure.
4. Upcoming U.S. News Events
U.S. economic announcements (indicated by icons) could strengthen the USD, causing GBP/USD to drop suddenly despite the bullish technical structure.
5. Bearish Candlestick Pattern Forming
If the current or next candle closes as a shooting star, evening star, or bearish engulfing, it would be a classic reversal pattern from resistance.
6. Liquidity Grab Above Highs
Market makers may push the price above resistance to trigger stop-losses and induce longs, then reverse—classic liquidity hunt scenario.
USDGBP trade ideas
Sterling Holds Ahead of U.S. GDPGBP/USD trades near 1.3435 on Thursday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar after a court blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, ruling he lacked authority to impose them. Markets now await preliminary US Q1 GDP data. Fed minutes showed rising uncertainty, with policymakers favoring a cautious, steady rate path. In the UK, food inflation rose for a fourth month, prompting Barclays to delay its rate cut forecast to February 2026, which may support the Pound.
The first critical support for gold is seen at 1.3425 and the first resistance is located at 1.3600.
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
GBPUSD Next move read our Caption GBP/USD is currently trading around the 1.34700 mark. If the price moves up to retest the resistance at 1.35200, it may face selling pressure. Should this level hold as resistance, we could expect a bearish reversal leading to a decline toward the next key support at 1.34210 and also 1.33600 lets could see how the price plays out .
Wait for a clear rejection or bearish confirmation at 1.35200 before entering a short trade.
you can search more details in the chart give me like and comments for more analysis Thanks.
GBP/USD – Correction in Progress - Where to buy?A few days ago, I pointed out that GBP/USD broke above key resistance from above 1.34, and even cleared the psychological barrier at 1.35.
That breakout opened the door for a potential move toward 1.4000, and I suggested that traders should look for buying opportunities on pullbacks.
Well — we’re in that pullback now.
So, where do we buy?
📍 The most obvious area is the old resistance around 1.3430. But here’s the catch:
GBP/USD is notorious for fakeouts and spikes.
If price tests that level, it could easily dip under 1.34, take out stops, and only then reverse to the upside.
🛡️ Bottom line: If you’re buying the dip, set your stop-loss wisely
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBPUSD corrective pullback supported at 1.3400The GBP/USD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a rising trendline and sustained higher lows. The recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback within an overall uptrend, indicative of a consolidation phase rather than a reversal.
Key Support Level: 1.3400
This level aligns with a previous consolidation zone and is acting as a pivotal support. A pullback toward this level could offer a potential buying opportunity, especially if bullish momentum returns.
Upside Targets (on bullish continuation from 1.3400):
1.3515 – Initial resistance from prior swing high
1.3580 – Intermediate resistance level
1.3630 – Long-term target and potential top of the current bullish channel
Bearish Scenario (if 1.3400 fails):
A daily close below 1.3400 would invalidate the current bullish setup, signaling a potential shift in trend. In that case:
Immediate support at 1.3360
Deeper retracement could extend to 1.3310
Conclusion
The broader trend in GBP/USD remains bullish, with the current consolidation viewed as a potential pullback rather than a reversal. The 1.3400 level is critical — a bounce from here could resume the uptrend toward 1.3630 over time. However, a break and close below 1.3400 would weaken the bullish case and open the door to further downside. Traders should monitor price action closely around this key level for confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The Day AheadKey Economic Data
US Q1 GDP (2nd estimate)
Critical gauge of US economic strength. A stronger print supports the USD and Treasury yields; a weaker print could increase rate cut expectations.
US Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly labor market barometer. Higher claims may signal softening employment, boosting rate cut speculation.
US April Pending Home Sales
Forward-looking housing data. Affects homebuilder stocks and rate-sensitive sectors.
Japan May Consumer Confidence Index
Influences JPY and Nikkei futures. A strong number supports risk sentiment in Asia.
Italy May Consumer & Manufacturing Confidence, March Industrial Sales
Could affect EUR and European equity indexes, especially if significantly diverging from consensus.
Canada Q1 Current Account Balance
Impacts CAD. A stronger balance may support CAD crosses; relevant for BoC watchers.
Central Bank Activity
Fed Speakers: Barkin, Goolsbee, Daly
Market-sensitive remarks possible, especially around inflation, labor market, and rate path.
Key for interpreting near-term FOMC expectations.
Earnings Reports
Major reports: Costco, Royal Bank of Canada, Dell, Marvell, Zscaler, Gap
These span retail, finance, tech, and cybersecurity.
Potentially high-impact for:
Retail sentiment (Costco, Gap)
Tech momentum (Dell, Marvell, Zscaler)
Financial sector positioning (Royal Bank of Canada)
Bond Market
US 7-Year Treasury Note Auction
Important for yield curve positioning.
Weak demand may steepen the curve; strong demand could support duration plays.
Trading Takeaways
Macro setup: GDP + claims = key risk barometer for USD and yields.
Volatility catalyst: Earnings after-hours may drive post-market Nasdaq and futures volatility.
Bond traders: Watch auction tail and bid metrics closely; implications for near-term Treasury direction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD Pulls Back from July 2023 - Sep 2024 TrendlineThe GBP/USD pair is currently pulling back from a key resistance zone and trendline stretching from the peaks of July 2023 to September 2024. These levels coincide with previously oversold RSI readings seen during the same periods, raising the likelihood of a pullback.
This resistance aligns with the 1.3590 level, which also corresponds to the 1.272 Fibonacci extension of the long-term downtrend from the 2008 highs to the 2022 lows.
A clean break and sustained move above this level could open the way for further gains, targeting the 0.382 retracement zone and the previous highs from 2021 and 2016, between 1.42 and 1.47.
On the downside, if a pullback emerges—driven by overbought conditions or renewed dollar strength—a clear break below 1.3460 could extend selling pressure toward 1.33, 1.3240, and 1.3140.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
GBPUSD next move (weakness appears )(28-05-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup BIAS (28-05-2025) (mid term)
Current price- 1.34900
"if Price stay above 1.35500 then next target is 1.34500 and 1.33500"
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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GU-Thu-29/05/25 TDA-Zone of conflict of interest, Bull and Bear!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Predicting the market is impossible, you react
to how price is forming and telling you the volume
strength, potential push/consolidation/pullback.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBP/USD Major Reversal Incoming? | Supply Zone Rejection After an impressive bullish run, GBP/USD has just touched a strong Supply Zone between 1.3440 – 1.3475, marked by high-volume rejection in the past. Price has now sharply reversed from this area — hinting that smart money might be distributing positions.
📌 Confluences:
🔵 Supply Zone (LuxAlgo) from previous highs.
🔻 Bearish Engulfing Candle at resistance.
📉 RSI Divergence (not shown in image, but likely on a peak).
🔴 Upcoming USD fundamentals (NFP/Interest Rate Decision soon).
🔽 Break of minor support = confirmation of short move.
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🎯 Bearish Targets:
1. 🔵 1.28700 – Previous support and structure level.
2. 🔴 1.24701 – High liquidity zone.
3. 🟠 1.23326 – Institutional Demand Zone (final take-profit for swing).
📅 Key Date Watch: Red news events marked on chart — high impact USD events could accelerate momentum.
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📈 Bias: Short-term Bearish
📆 Next 1–2 weeks: Expecting drop toward 1.28700 and potentially deeper if macro data supports.
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🔥 What Do You Think?
Are you bearish like me, or expecting another push up before the drop? Share your thoughts 👇
💬 Drop your chart below if you're also watching this setup!
📌 Follow for more setups, live trades, and weekly breakdowns.
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#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #ForexAnalysis #SwingTrade #USD #TradingView
GBPUSD I Weekly CLS I Model 1 Target MOBHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 29, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention today:
15:30 EET. USD - Initial jobless claims
22:00 EET. USD - Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a speech.
GBPUSD:
GBP/USD pared further gains on Wednesday, stumbling for the second session in a row and falling below 1.3500 after failing to regain 1.3600 earlier this week. Sterling markets are retreating from the upper limit of the bullish trend that lifted GBPUSD to multi-year highs, but the momentum remains favourable for sterling buyers.
The latest minutes of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate meeting held on 6-7 May showed that the Fed's wait-and-see stance has deep roots. At the last Fed meeting, policymakers noted that the US dollar's (USD) status as a safe haven has suffered recently. They warned that a more ‘durable change’ in the dollar's status could have long-term consequences for the US economy.
Almost all FOMC members at the May rate meeting agreed that inflation risks could prove to be more ‘persistent than expected.’ Fed officials directly pointed to tariffs as a key factor in the FOMC's downgrade of its outlook for the US economy, and the FOMC blamed the Trump administration and its inconsistent tariff policy for the deterioration in the US economic situation and uncertain outlook for inflation and growth.
The rest of the trading week remains tense for the US. On Thursday, US gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the first quarter will be released. On Friday, the trading week will end with the release of US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation data for April. Markets are hoping for a continued easing of key inflation indicators before the effects of the Trump administration's tariff policy begin to be reflected in the core data.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3450, SL 1.3430, TP 1.3540
CONFLUENCE KEY GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25
🔥👀QUICK SCOPE TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅1 hour order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD Decision Point | Will the Order Block Hold or Fold?GBPUSD | Smart Money Liquidity Trap or Bullish Breakout?
Here’s a high-probability play based on Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, and channel structure—one of the cleanest SMC setups on cable this week.
📊 1. Market Overview
GBPUSD is currently pulling back after a sharp drop, retesting the premium zone Order Block on the H1 timeframe.
Structure remains bullish inside the ascending channel, but there’s major indecision here—will it break above the OB, or retrace deeper into the Fair Value Gap zone?
🧠 2. Dual Bias Logic
You’ve mapped out two valid SMC scenarios (marked in red & blue arrows):
🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Trap + Deep Liquidity Grab
Price reacts from the Order Block (purple zone)
Rejects and breaks down into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 1.33300
Targets liquidity resting below prior structure
🔺 Scenario 2: Order Block Respect + Long Continuation
OB holds, price flips bullish
Pushes above 1.35260 for bullish continuation
Final target near channel top @ 1.35920–1.36000 zone
Both scenarios are textbook Smart Money setups — based on how price reacts at this OB, we’ll get the direction.
🧱 3. Key Zones
🔵 Order Block: 1.3445 – 1.3526
🔴 Fair Value Gap (FVG): 1.3330 – 1.3283
🟢 Target (Bullish): 1.3600
🔻 Target (Bearish): 1.3280
⚖️ 4. Risk-Reward Potential
Whether you go long from the FVG or short from the OB, both have:
✅ Clean entries
✅ Clear invalidation zones
✅ Strong RRR potential (1:3 to 1:4+)
📌 5. Watchlist Note
💡 If price taps into the OB and shows weak momentum, prepare for shorts targeting the FVG
💡 If it holds the OB cleanly with bullish engulfing or BOS (break of structure), ride the long back to channel highs
💬 Call to Action:
📈 Add GBPUSD to your SMC sniper list this week
💬 Comment “OB or FVG? 🤔” if you're waiting to catch the bounce
📌 Save this post for Smart Money reference setups
GBPUSD H1 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H1 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 1.3445, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.3360, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3550, a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- NVIDIA’s Q1 earnings exceeded expectations. Despite export restrictions to China under the Trump administration, NVIDIA performed strongly, boosting risk appetite in the markets.
- The May FOMC meeting minutes confirmed that Fed officials will maintain a wait-and-see approach in conducting future monetary policy.
- A U.S. federal court ruled that the Trump administration’s “reciprocal tariffs” are invalid, stating, “The tariff order is nullified and permanently prohibited,” and ordered a cancellation of all tariffs collected thus far.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ May 30: U.S. April Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
As anticipated, a peak formed around the 1.35500 level, followed by a downward trend. A mid- to short-term downtrend is likely from the current range, with the next potential low expected near the 1.32000 level.
However, if the price unexpectedly breaks above the 1.36000 level, the high could extend toward the 1.40000 level, indicating a shift toward a bullish trend.