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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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USDGBP trade ideas

GBP/USD 4H CHART PATTERNGet ready, traders—the bulls are losing control, and the bears are waking up! We just witnessed a major break from a long-standing ascending channel, and the momentum is screaming downside potential. What’s happening? Price broke below the rising channel with strong bearish momentum and high volume—a textbook move signaling a trend shift! Next key levels to watch: Support Zone 1: 1.25756 – Previous demand area and a magnet for price action Support Zone 2: 1.22672 – Stronger, historical support; if we get here, it’s game on for the bears! What to expect next? Watch out for a potential pullback/retest around the 1.2850–1.2900 zone before a deeper dive. If the retest holds, we could be looking at a clean ride down to the support levels. Volume spike = confirmation. This isn’t just a dip; this is a possible trend shift. Bearish Setup: Entry: On pullback or continued breakdown TP1: 1.25000 TP2: 1.22000
Short
by Trend_logic
GBP/USD sell H4 chart analysisThat’s a very well-structured breakdown— short setup on GBP/USD from 1.28000 down to 1.25500 and 1.22700 looks well thought out, especially in the context of a bearish trend. Here’s a concise technical reinforcement and a couple of things to tighten your plan: --- Trade Overview Pair: GBP/USD Position: Short Entry: 1.28000 TP1: 1.25500 TP2: 1.22700 Suggested SL: 1.28650–1.29000 (above recent swing high or resistance zone) --- Technical Breakdown 1. Price Action & Structure: 1.25500 has been a strong pivot zone historically—if it breaks cleanly, it could accelerate toward 1.22700. Look for signs of lower highs and lower lows on the H4 and Daily charts for continuation. 2. Moving Averages: A confirmed 50/200 MA death cross on H4 or Daily would give a strong bearish confirmation. Price staying below the 50 EMA also supports short bias. 3. RSI / Momentum: RSI < 50 = bearish. RSI near 30: caution for potential short-term bounces. Look for divergence as a clue for exhaustion. --- Key Events to Watch UK Data: Watch for GDP, Services PMI, and BoE tone. Dovish BoE could accelerate the drop. US Data: Strong NFP or CPI could boost USD strength and help push toward your TPs. --- Bonus Tip – Scaling: Consider partial profit at TP1 and adjust stop to breakeven for TP2. Or use a trailing stop once TP1 hits to lock in profits if the move accelerates.
Short
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
GBPUSD Breaks Key Support: Trump's Tariffs Trigger a Bigger DropGBPUSD Breaks Key Support: Trump's Tariffs Trigger a Bigger Drop Since early March 2025, GBP/USD entered an accumulation phase, trading within a 145-pip range between 1.2870 and 1.3015. The first breakout attempt was bullish, but on April 3rd, a sharp sell-off occurred, triggered by Trump’s newly imposed tariffs. GBP/USD has now broken below the 1.2870 support zone, a level where the price had held firm for a month. If the pair remains below 1.2870, the likelihood of a larger downward move increases. Based on current data, GBP/USD might retest 1.2870 before continuing downward, but this is uncertain. The pair’s movement is highly dependent on Trump's tariffs, and any new statements or policy shifts could quickly change its direction You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
5
GBPUSD(20250409)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency reiterated that the specific tax rates for each country will be announced at 12:01 a.m. on April 9. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.2764 Support and resistance levels: 1.2862 1.2825 1.2802 1.2726 1.2702 1.2666 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.2802, consider buying, the first target price is 1.2825 If the price breaks through 1.2764, consider selling, the first target price is 1.2726
by BraveTigercat
GBPUSD I may have entered too early.. But im not backing out yet! Observations from the Data Trend Confirmation via Moving Averages: Several key moving averages and trend indicators (EMA at 1.30829, DEMA, HT Trendline at 1.31043, KAMA, Linear Regression) are positioned well above the current market level of 1.28234. This indicates that, on an hourly basis, the longer-term trend remains bearish. Directional Indicators: The directional movement figures are very telling. With PLUS_DI at about 4.97 and MINUS_DI at around 31.38, sellers clearly dominate the market. A low DI(+) against a high DI(–) reinforces that the overall bias is to the downside. Momentum & Oscillators: The RSI is extremely low at ~15, indicating an oversold condition. In isolation, this might hint at a potential short-term bounce. However, other momentum indicators, such as the Chande Momentum Oscillator (-70.09) and a slightly negative MACD (-0.00185), suggest that the underlying bearish momentum has been strong. Oscillators like Williams %R (at -89.21) further underscore that the market is deep into oversold territory. Volatility Metrics: An ATR of 0.0043 and relatively low standard deviation indicate modest volatility, meaning your stop-loss and target levels can be measured with reasonable precision. Context and Rationale Overall Trend: The majority of your trend-following indicators (e.g., EMA, DEMA, HT Trendline, KAMA) are positioned higher, confirming a prevailing bearish bias. Even though the RSI shows an extreme oversold reading (around 15), in a strong downtrend like this, oversold conditions can simply trigger a temporary bounce rather than a reversal. My sell entry at 1.27752 aligns with staying in the trend. Directional Pressure: With the MINUS_DI (31.38) greatly outweighing the PLUS_DI (4.97), the directional movement clearly favors sellers. My entry at 1.27752 positions me within this selling pressure, assuming the bounce to fail and the downtrend to resume. Entry Timing: Instead of waiting for a higher bounce ideal for a pullback short, my entry at 1.27752 suggests that I chose to capture a move early in the downswing or perhaps because price action broke a key support level. This could be advantageous if momentum continues as anticipated. Why This Trade Setup Works Alignment with Trend: Maintaining a sell position aligns with the overall bearish structure indicated by your moving averages and directional indicators. Captchaing a Bounce Rejection: Even if a short-term bounce occurs from oversold conditions, your entry near 1.27752 could capture the early phase of a bearish continuation provided that the rally fails to sustain. Confluence of Technical Signals: The combination of oversold conditions (which in a downtrend often predict a short-lived bounce) and the strong directional indication from MINUS_DI and related momentum oscillators creates a setup where a rejection of a minor recovery can lead to further downside moves.
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.2790, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 1.2924, an overlap resistance. The stop loss is placed at 1.2707, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 1.2890 1st Support: 1.2693 1st Resistance: 1.3006 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Explosive Breakout Setting Up on GBP/USD – Here's the Roadmap🔥 GBP/USD Technical Analysis – 4H Timeframe | Market Poised for Breakout or Breakdown? Key Support: 1.26888 Key Resistance: 1.28829 Market Structure: Consolidation with bullish undertones Bias: Neutral-to-bullish (pending confirmation) 🧠 Market Overview: The GBP/USD pair is currently consolidating within a well-defined horizontal channel on the 4-hour chart, oscillating between 1.26888 (major support) and 1.28829 (key resistance). This prolonged range-bound behavior reflects a market in balance, where buyers and sellers are cautiously awaiting a catalyst to drive the next impulsive move. The price action suggests that this consolidation phase may be coming to an end soon. A breakout or breakdown from this tight range is likely to set the tone for the next major trend. Market participants should be alert to early breakout signals and volume surges as confirmation triggers. 📊 Price Structure and Key Observations: The market has printed a series of higher lows within the consolidation range, indicating a subtle bullish pressure beneath the surface. Price is hovering near the mid-range zone, consolidating after multiple failed breakout attempts at 1.28829. A squeeze in volatility is evident from narrowing candlesticks and declining ATR, often preceding explosive directional moves. 🔍 Technical Indicators Breakdown: ✅ RSI (14): Currently trading around the neutral zone at 50, showing no clear directional bias. However, higher lows on RSI suggest potential bullish divergence forming, which could be an early signal of upward momentum building up. ✅ MACD: A recent bullish crossover below the zero line indicates potential for a shift in momentum. Histogram bars are starting to turn positive, supporting a near-term bullish scenario if price confirms with a breakout. ✅ Moving Averages: Price is trading above the 50-period SMA, which has acted as dynamic support on several occasions. The 200-period SMA remains below current price levels, indicating a medium-term bullish structure remains intact unless support is broken decisively. 🔮 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario: If price breaks and closes above 1.28829 on strong bullish volume, it would represent a major breakout from the current range. This could open the door for a new impulsive leg to the upside. Upside Targets: 🎯 1.29650 – Short-term resistance level from previous highs 🎯 1.30300 – Psychological round number and previous supply zone 🎯 1.31000 – Extended target aligned with Fibonacci 1.618 projection Confirmation Factors: Break + retest of 1.28829 as new support RSI holding above 60 MACD expanding positively ❌ Bearish Rejection / Breakdown Scenario: Should the pair fail to break above 1.28829 and print a strong bearish rejection candle (e.g., Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing), the pair could retest the lower support of 1.26888. A clean break below 1.26888 with a decisive bearish close could signal a trend reversal, shifting sentiment toward the downside. Downside Targets: 📉 1.26000 – Near-term psychological support 📉 1.25200 – Previous demand area and key fib level (61.8%) 📉 1.24400 – Long-term trendline support (if applicable) ⚙️ Trade Strategy & Risk Management: Breakout Traders: Wait for a confirmed candle close outside the range (either above 1.28829 or below 1.26888) before entering. Avoid false breakouts by validating with volume and momentum indicators. Range Traders: Continue fading the range boundaries (buy near 1.26888, sell near 1.28829) while the channel remains intact. Use tight stop-losses just beyond the range to mitigate whipsaw risks. Swing Traders: A successful breakout presents excellent risk-reward setups for multi-day trades, especially if accompanied by high volatility and news catalysts (e.g., NFP, BoE/Fed announcements). 🧭 Conclusion: The GBP/USD pair is coiling tightly within a critical decision zone between 1.26888 and 1.28829. The tightening price structure, supportive indicators, and market indecision suggest that a major breakout is imminent. Whether bulls take control or bears force a breakdown will largely depend on macroeconomic catalysts and institutional order flow. Traders are advised to stay patient, let the market reveal its hand, and execute only on high-probability setups with clear confirmations. This is not the time to chase the market—this is the time to prepare for the move. 💬 Let me know in the comments how you're positioning yourself on GBP/USD this week! 🔔 Follow for more real-time setups, macro breakdowns, and professional market insights. 📈 Stay sharp, stay technical. Would you like me to generate a matching TradingView chart snapshot with drawn zones and notes to go with this analysis for posting?
Short
by Saeed966
5
Afternoon Update GBPUSD 4/8 4:30pmWhere We Stand Entry vs. Current Price: I placed a sell at 1.27752, and the current price is now 1.27982—about 0.0023 (or roughly 23 pips) above my entry. In other words, you’re in a slight, manageable loss. Technical Context: The moving averages (like the DEMA at 1.2953 and EMA at 1.30089) and the SAR (at 1.29789) remain well above the current price, which means the broader technical landscape still supports a bearish bias. The directional indicators are favoring the downtrend (with minus DI significantly above plus DI) and even though the RSI is very low (around 20.4, indicating oversold conditions), in strong downtrends oversold readings can persist without triggering a full reversal. The high ADX-related values (DX ~60.95) further suggest that the trend is robust, even if there’s a brief pullback. Recent Price Action: On the daily chart, recent swings show that minor retracements can occur as the market digests news and key levels. The current price movement to 1.27982 may simply be a short-term bounce rather than a change in sentiment. Fundamental Environment: With upcoming news (like the FOMC minutes on April 9th and additional US/UK data later in the week) adding volatility, the market might briefly test higher levels. However, these fundamentals haven’t yet overturned the prevailing technical context. What to Consider Hold with Caution: Given that the overall bearish structure, along with key technicals (moving averages, SAR, and directional indicators), still supports a downtrend, keeping the trade is reasonable. The slight pullback above your entry can be viewed as a temporary retracement. Risk Management: Watch Key Levels: Monitor if the price decisively holds above a certain level (say, if it pushes well above 1.2800 with strong momentum). That could signal the potential for a sustained reversal—in which case I might need to exit or partially close your position. Upcoming Fundamental News: The scheduled data releases can spike volatility. Be prepared for erratic price action around these events. It might be wise to reduce my position size or set alerts to protect your downside if the trade starts to move against you. Recommendation I lean toward keeping the trade because: The overall technical setup (moving averages, SAR, and directional movement) remains bearish. The recent pullback appears to be minor and doesn’t breach key resistance levels that might signal a reversal. RSI oversold conditions in a strong downtrend aren’t uncommon, so while they may indicate potential for a bounce, they don’t necessarily negate the downtrend.
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD Watch – Bearish Momentum Building Below Supply ZoneGBPUSD pair has broken sharply below the long-standing accumulation range between 1.2857 – 1.3012, signaling a shift in market sentiment. The recent bearish engulfing structure has pushed price into a corrective pullback phase, with sellers likely to re-enter on rallies. Key Technical Levels: Current Price: 1.2795 Resistance (Supply Zone): 1.2857 – 1.2863 First Support Target: 1.2688 – 1.2690 Mid-Level Target: 1.2568 – 1.2570 Final Bearish Target: 1.2383 – 1.2390 (demand zone & key support) Trade Scenario: 📉 Bearish Bias: Price is expected to retrace into the supply zone (1.2857–1.2863) and then reject. If resistance holds and structure remains intact, expect continuation toward: TP1: 1.2689 TP2: 1.2568 TP3: 1.2385 🔁 Invalidation Zone: A sustained break and close above 1.2863 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a move toward 1.3012. Technical Confluence: ✅ Previous consolidation turned into a strong resistance zone ✅ Bearish breakout from range ✅ Clean lower highs and lower lows structure ✅ Volume drop on the pullback (likely a corrective move)
Short
by ultreosforex
Heading into pullback resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.2876 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.2967 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.2714 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets