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GU-Wed-28/05/25 TDA-Heavy pump and dump pre FOMC minutes!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! Multitasking is good once you have mastered each single task because you have practiced, trained your subconscious mind so much that your brain subconsciously automatically act accordingly. And this is where developing good pattern recognition on how price is moving will help you enhance your trading skills! It requires time, a lot but a lot of dedication, accepting the fact that your not good enough yet. Trick your mind by thinking you are always two steps behind. (even if you see good results!) And learn from your mistakes: Journaling! Do before, during, after trade analysis! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
Forex Trading Time Zones: Market Hours and OverlapsForex Trading Time Zones: Market Hours and Overlaps In the world of forex trading, understanding the dynamics of different time zones is paramount. This article delves into the intricate web of currency trading time zones, exploring the 24-hour cycle, major trading hours, and the nuanced opportunities each presents. The 24-Hour Cycle of Forex Market Time Zones The forex market's distinctive feature of being open 24 hours a day, five days a week, is a testament to its unparalleled accessibility, dynamics, and decentralised nature. Unlike traditional financial markets constrained by fixed trading hours, the forex market operates continuously, commencing in Asia on Monday and concluding in North America on Friday. Major financial centres in different time zones steer the dynamics of the forex market, acting as the primary drivers of market activity during their respective business hours. That complex interplay creates distinct trading periods, each characterised by unique market conditions and opportunities. Key Forex Session Time Zones Knowing the trading hours of the major forex trading hours is fundamental for any trader aiming to capitalise on the dynamic nature of the market. Winter time: - London Session: From 8:00 AM to 5:00 PM UTC - New York Session: From 1:00 PM to 10:00 PM UTC - Sydney Session: From 09:00 PM to 6:00 AM UTC - Tokyo Session: From 11:00 PM to 8:00 AM UTC Summer time: - London Session: From 7:00 AM to 4:00 PM UTC - New York Session: From 12:00 PM to 9:00 PM UTC - Sydney Session: From 10:00 PM to 7:00 AM UTC - Tokyo Session: From 11:00 PM to 8:00 AM UTC Different Time Zones in Forex Trading Create Opportunities The diverse forex trading time zones offer a rich tapestry of opportunities, each session presenting distinct characteristics that traders can strategically exploit. London Session The London session time provides opportunities for traders to engage in high-liquidity markets. Currency pairs involving the euro (EUR) or the British pound (GBP), such as EUR/USD and GBP/USD, tend to be particularly active during this period. The early morning volatility during the London session trading time can be harnessed for quick trades or trend-establishing moves. New York Session As the New York session time kicks in, currency pairs involving the US dollar (USD) or other currencies of countries in the same time zone take centre stage. Pairs like USD/MXN and USD/CAD experience heightened volatility and amplified market activity. Sydney Session While the Sydney session may exhibit lower volatility, it sets the stage for the day's trading. Currency pairs tied to the Australian dollar (AUD) and the New Zealand dollar (NZD), like AUD/USD and NZD/USD, can witness initial movements during this period, creating opportunities for strategic positioning. Tokyo Session The Tokyo session focuses on the Japanese yen (JPY) pairs, offering traders the chance to tap into the unique characteristics of this market. Currency pairs like USD/JPY and EUR/JPY may see increased activity, presenting opportunities for trend-following or counter-trend strategies. Session Trading Strategies The convergence of major financial hubs during specific currency trading time zones creates a unique environment that can be exploited strategically. Let’s examine three strategies for each major forex time zone. London Session Breakout Strategy The London Session Breakout strategy is based on the significant increase in trading volume and volatility when the London market opens, specifically between 7:00 AM and 10:00 AM UTC (summer time) or 8:00 AM and 11:00 AM UTC (winter time). However, most focus is often placed on the range between 8:00 AM and 9:00 AM summer time or 9:00 AM and 10:00 AM winter time. This surge during the London trading session often leads to notable price movements, particularly in forex pairs like GBP/USD and EUR/USD, making it an ideal time for breakout strategies. Entry - Traders monitor the early London trading hours. The idea is to look for a specific range with clear high and low boundaries during this time. - They set buy stop orders slightly above the high of this range and sell stop orders slightly below the low, aiming to capture the breakout direction. Stop Loss - Stop losses are strategically placed slightly below the most recent swing low for buy positions and vice versa, offering potential protection against false breakouts. Take Profit - Some traders may prefer to close the position as the New York session begins, as reversals are common during this session overlap. - Alternatively, trailing stops might be employed to take advantage of extended price movements if the trend continues strongly after the breakout. New York Reversal Strategy The New York Reversal strategy exploits the heightened volatility and liquidity that occur at the start of the New York session. While there isn’t a perfect correlation, it’s common to see the initial London trend extended early into the New York session before a reversal, usually between 12:30 PM and 2:00 PM UTC summer time and 1:30 PM and 2 PM UTC winter time. This strategy is particularly effective due to the influx of trading activity and market orders when the US markets open. Entry - Traders often monitor the market around the first couple of hours of the New York forex session time, looking for signs of reversal. This may be a divergence between a price and a momentum indicator, a reaction from a significant support or resistance level, a candlestick or chart pattern, and so on. - Once the trader has confirmation that the London trend may be reversing, they enter a position. Stop Loss - Stop losses are generally placed just beyond the nearest swing high or low. This helps potentially protect against losses if the anticipated reversal does not occur. Take Profit - Traders frequently set profit targets at significant support or resistance levels established during the London session. - Alternatively, traders might trail their stop loss to follow the market movement and maximise potential gains. Tokyo Volatility Breakout Strategy The Tokyo Volatility Breakout strategy leverages the increased trading activity and liquidity at the start of the Tokyo session time. This strategy is best suited to JPY pairs like USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, and GBP/JPY, which often see significant price movements due to the influx of market participants at Japan’s forex market open time. Between 9:00 PM and 10:00 PM UTC summer time (8:00 PM and 9:00 PM UTC winter time), volume and liquidity dry up significantly as the New York session closes. 10:00 PM and 11:00 PM UTC summer time (9:00 PM and 10:00 PM winter time) sees some activity as Sydney session time begins, but the start of the Tokyo session forex time, between 11:00 PM and 12:00 AM, can kickstart a new trend and break out from the typical ranging conditions from the previous few hours. Entry - Traders often monitor the market and look for breakouts as the Tokyo session begins. - Bollinger Bands can be used to identify these breakouts, typically characterised by the bands squeezing together before the price closes strongly outside the upper or lower band, potentially indicating the start of a trend. Stop Loss - Stop losses are generally placed beyond the nearest swing high or low or beyond the opposite side of the Bollinger Band. This helps potentially protect against losses if the breakout does not result in a sustained trend. Take Profit - Profit targets are often set at significant support or resistance levels established in previous sessions. - Alternatively, positions might be closed at the start of the London session (around 7:00 AM - 8:00 AM UTC) to avoid potential reversals that occur with the increased liquidity and trading volume as European markets open. Tailoring Your Trading Schedule to Forex Currency Time Zones Crafting an effective trading schedule involves a personalised approach, taking into account a trader's individual location and trading style objectives. Different Trading Styles: Maximising Opportunities Forex time zones often determine specific forex rate behaviours. For day traders, the volatility and liquidity during overlapping activity can provide ideal conditions for executing rapid trades. The heightened volatility and liquidity are even more advantageous for scalpers seeking to capitalise on rapid price movements by executing trades with precision. Overlapping sessions also often mark key points where trends may continue or reverse. Traders employing trend-following or breakout-based strategies can capitalise on that momentum. Swing traders, on the other hand, who aim to capture trends over a slightly longer timeframe, may take advantage of the distinct characteristics of individual sessions, such as the so-called stability of the Sydney session or the high volatility of the London session. Economic Events and News Releases Traders also consider the timing of major data releases and align that with their specific geographic location. During the London session, major European economic indicators and policy announcements can set the tone. Then, the market may respond to data from the United States that can significantly influence USD pairs, followed by economic reports from the Asia-Pacific region. The interconnectedness of the world economy can have cascading effects on currency values across the globe. Currency Market Correlations Currency pair correlations exhibit dynamic shifts depending on the timing and may lead to specific patterns. For example, the correlation between USD/JPY and EUR/USD can shift throughout the trading day, starting from positive during the Tokyo session and then shifting into negative during European and New York trading hours. Traders can leverage correlation analysis as a powerful tool for making informed trading decisions. Final Thoughts Navigating the dynamic world of forex trading requires a multifaceted understanding of the market's 24-hour cycle, the overlapping of major trading sessions, and the intricate interplay of economic events and currency correlations. FAQ What Are the 4 Forex Sessions? The forex market operates 24 hours a day, divided into four main sessions based on key financial centres: the Sydney session forex time (10:00 PM to 7:00 AM UTC in the summer and 9:00 PM to 6:00 AM UTC in the winter), the Tokyo session forex time (11:00 PM to 8:00 AM UTC in the summer and winter), the London session forex time (7:00 AM to 4:00 PM UTC in the summer and 8:00 AM to 5:00 PM UTC in the winter), and the New York session forex time (12:00 PM to 9:00 PM UTC in the summer and 1:00 PM to 10:00 PM UTC in the winter). When Does the London Session Start? The London session starts at 7:00 AM UTC during summer and at 8:00 AM UTC during winter due to daylight saving time adjustments. This session is crucial for its high liquidity and significant overlap with other major sessions. What Time Is the New York-London Session Overlap? The overlap between the New York trading session time and the London session occurs from 12:00 PM to 4:00 PM UTC in summer and from 1:00 PM to 5:00 PM UTC in winter. Do Tokyo and London Sessions Overlap? The Tokyo and London sessions do not overlap significantly. The Tokyo session ends at 8:00 AM UTC, while the London session starts at 7:00 AM UTC in the summer. The minimal overlap from 7:00 AM to 8:00 AM UTC sees limited trading activity. In winter, sessions don’t overlap. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
5
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25 🔥👀QUICK SCOPE TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Bullish continuation?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3395 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3304 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.3581 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Bullish bounce?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.3395 1st Support: 1.3317 1st Resistance: 1.3583 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GBPUSD Near Key Resistance – Watching for PullbackGBPUSD has surged to test the 1.3538 resistance, forming a strong impulsive rally supported by higher lows and tight bullish consolidation patterns. However, price is now pressing into a major horizontal resistance and rising trendline, setting up for either continuation or correction. Key Levels: Major Resistance: 1.35389 (previous high, potential double top) Trendline Support: ~1.3440 (ascending structure) Downside Target (if break occurs): 1.3140 (range floor) Scenarios to Watch: 🔹 Bearish Scenario (Primary Watch) Price reacts to 1.3538 and forms a rejection candle Break of the ascending trendline may trigger a retracement Downside target zones: 1.3440 (initial structure) 1.3140 (major support zone) 🔹 Bullish Breakout (Alternate Scenario) Clean break and close above 1.3538 Would invalidate short-term correction and open path to new highs Momentum continuation possible toward 1.3600–1.3700 Pattern Notes: Bullish structure with minor flags and wedges in the uptrend But rally is extended and hitting overbought territory near resistance RSI divergence or reversal patterns around this level would strengthen short case Conclusion: 📌 GBPUSD is at a major resistance. Watch for rejection or breakout. 📌 If it holds below 1.3538 and breaks trendline, short setup is favored. 📌 If it breaks out above 1.3538 with volume, stay out of shorts and wait for retest.
Short
by ultreosforex
5
GBP/USD BREAKOUT SIGNAL FOR BULLISH CONTINUATION?We were anticipating a breakout of range last week which we finally saw to the upside. The range lasted over a week and the breakout to the upside was a significant signal of bullish strength in price. We are clear on the fact that we are still in a bullish trend and the current correction in price is likely to prepare us for a bull run with no less than 200 pips in sight. Let's observe patiently and let's see how price reacts so we can cash in on any potential move.
Long
by jefferson_the_chartist
1
GBP/USD Ready to Explode or Collapse? All Eyes on 1.3600British Pound (CFTC - CME) Commercial traders increased their long positions by +1,839 contracts and short positions by +3,597. Net exposure remains negative, but the significant short increase suggests active hedging and risk management. Non-Commercial traders (speculators) reduced their longs by -1,396 and increased their shorts by +1,827, signaling weakening sentiment toward the GBP. Open Interest rose modestly by +465 → showing renewed engagement, though there’s clear divergence between Commercial and Non-Commercial positioning. Implication: Net pressure remains bearish, but there's evidence of short saturation from Commercials, possibly hinting at a consolidation phase or reversal ahead. USD Index (ICE Futures) Non-Commercials increased both longs (+2,044) and shorts (+1,975), signaling indecision. Commercials slightly increased long exposure (+689), while shorts remained mostly flat (-114). Implication: The dollar shows cautious strengthening, but with no strong directional conviction. A period of ranging price action is likely. 2. Retail Sentiment 67% of retail traders are short GBP/USD, with only 33% long. Volume favors short positions as well: 7,727 lots vs. 3,866 long. Implication: From a contrarian perspective, the excessive short bias among retail traders supports a short-term bullish scenario, possibly driven by a short squeeze or liquidity run. 3. Historical Seasonality May shows a historically bearish tendency: 10-Year Avg: -2.22% 5-Year Avg: -1.60% 2-Year Avg: -0.65% Implication: Seasonal bias remains negative, but should be interpreted alongside COT and sentiment data to avoid misleading signals. 4. Technical Analysis Price is currently trading inside a weekly resistance zone between 1.3513 and 1.3600, following a strong bounce from a dynamic support. A previous structure break failed to follow through → bull trap was avoided. The weekly RSI is rising from neutral levels, suggesting momentum is shifting upward. Previous demand zones around 1.3176 and 1.3047 held well. Implication: A potential breakout is forming, but it occurs near a key technical level. Without strong volume or fundamentals, the area may trigger a sell reaction. 5. Market Depth There is a heavy cluster of short orders above current price, while long orders appear scattered and less aggressive. This creates a liquidity magnet effect, which may lead to bullish spikes towards 1.3550–1.3600 before any meaningful distribution. Implication: Potential upside extension in the short-term to hunt stops, followed by a bearish reaction. 🎯 Operational Outlook Main Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish short-term, Bearish (Seasonal) mid-term Key levels to watch: Resistance: 1.3550–1.3600 Support zone: Ascending trendline and 1.3340–1.3176 Likely Scenarios: Price may spike toward 1.3550 to clear liquidity before facing rejection. A confirmed weekly close above 1.3610 opens the door to 1.3750. A drop below 1.3340 confirms structural reversal and bearish continuation.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
GBPUSD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥GBP/USD – May 28, 2025 📋 Plan Overview Table Type Direction Confidence R:R Status Swing Trade Buy 75% 2.8:1 Active 📈 Market Bias & Type Bias: Reversal from short-term sell-off into key support Type: Bullish reversal setup off demand zone and daily structure support 🔰 Confidence Level – 75% 🔹 H4 demand zone test (confirmed) 🔹 Price respecting higher low structure on D1 🔹 Momentum divergence building on H1 🔹 RSI oversold on intraday 📍 Entry Zones Zone Type Price Range Primary 1.3490 – 1.3510 Secondary 1.3450 – 1.3470 ❗ Stop Loss (SL) Primary SL: 1.3440 (below secondary zone) Secondary SL: 1.3400 (invalidates D1 HL structure) SL Reasoning: Below structural swing low and untested H4 imbalance. 🎯 Take Profit Targets Target Price Reason TP1 1.3580 Local supply on H1 TP2 1.3640 Previous high – intraday TP3 1.3700 Major D1 resistance 🧠 Management Strategy 💼 Risk: 1.0% per setup zone 🧱 Move SL to BE at TP1 🔁 Scale in from secondary zone if price wicks down 📉 If both zones are tagged, average price improves R:R ⚠️ Confirmation Checklist Criteria Status Bullish candle M15+ ✅ Retest of demand ✅ NY/LDN session 🔄 Volume spike ✅ ⏳ Validity H1 Structure: Valid 12–16 hours H4 Structure: Valid 48–72 hours ❌ Invalidation Conditions Daily close below 1.3400 Momentum closes below D1 demand 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot 🔹 USD CPI softening, Fed expectations for pause 🔹 GBP firm labor market data, but political noise lingering 🔹 Market still pricing GBP stronger mid-term 🔹 Risk-on equity sentiment supporting GBP pairs short-term 📋 Final Trade Summary This trade plan for GBP/USD aligns with a confluence of intraday demand, bullish D1 structure, and confirmed short-term exhaustion. We're watching for NY session confirmation, with entry zone proximity creating a favorable R:R on both scale levels.
Long
by jibkhan111
GBP/USD – Trendline Liquidity Grab and Reversal SetupPrice has been respecting a major ascending trendline, forming higher highs and higher lows. Currently, it looks like we’ve had a liquidity grab below the trendline, sweeping early buyers and stop losses. I'm watching this zone closely for a potential fakeout, followed by a bullish reaction. This area aligns with: Major ascending trendline support Previous structure level High-probability liquidity zone If price reclaims the trendline with strong bullish momentum, I’ll be looking for buy confirmations to ride the next leg up. A clean rejection and break of short-term bearish structure would strengthen the setup. Key Notes: Buy zone highlighted Waiting for confirmation before entry Strong RR if price respects the zone Invalid if price closes below the zone with strong bearish pressure Let me know your thoughts or if you see it differently!
Long
by loredana99
GBPUSD1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (as of recent data, driven by strong UK retail sales and elevated long-term yields). US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 21, 2025, reflecting fiscal concerns and Fed rate cut expectations). 2. Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between UK and US 10-year bonds is:4.77%(GBP)−4.54% (USD)=+0.23% 4.77% (GBP)−4.54% (USD)=+0.23% This modest differential favors the British pound, as UK bonds offer a slightly higher return than US Treasuries. 3. Carry Trade Advantage The +0.23% yield spread makes it marginally attractive for investors to borrow in USD (lower yield) and invest in GBP-denominated assets (higher yield). However, the narrow spread limits significant carry trade profits compared to higher-yielding currency pairs. GBP strength is further supported by strong UK economic data (e.g., April retail sales up 1.2% MoM) and easing UK-EU trade barriers. 4. Key Factors Influencing the Differential Bank of England Policy: The BoE cut rates to 4.25% in May 2025 but maintains a cautious stance. Further cuts could pressure gilt yields lower. Federal Reserve Outlook: Markets price in two Fed rate cuts by late 2025, which may reduce the US yield advantage. UK Fiscal Risks: High public debt levels (30-year gilt yields >5.5%) and potential fiscal pressures could weigh on GBP if investor confidence wanes. Summary Table Metric UK (GBP) US (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.54% Interest Rate Differential +0.23% (GBP over USD) — Carry Trade Appeal Modest, supported by GBP strength — Conclusion The 0.23% yield advantage for GBP provides limited carry trade incentives, but stronger UK economic data and technical bullishness in GBP/USD reinforce near-term GBP strength. UK fiscal sustainability: Elevated long-term yields pose risks to growth and currency stability. While the carry trade offers marginal gains, GBP’s upside is primarily driven by macroeconomic outperformance and reduced trade barriers with the EU. #GBPUSD
Short
by Shavyfxhub
1
GBP/USD - Potential Bearish Reversal Setup The price recently broke above a long-term trendline but showed signs of exhaustion near a key resistance zone. I expect a potential reversal from the current level, targeting the Fibonacci retracement zones at: 0.38 Fibo: Possible short-term bounce area 0.78 Fibo: Final target zone for the bearish move The current structure suggests a fake breakout followed by a deeper correction. I’ll be watching for bearish confirmation patterns on the lower timeframes before entering.
Short
by alirezaameri677