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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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USDGBP trade ideas

GBP/USD at 1.2880, Awaits NFP ReportGBP/USD holds modest gains around 1.2880 in Friday’s Asian session, recovering from the previous decline as investors await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) extends its five-day decline, pressured by falling Treasury yields, with the 2-year at 3.94% and the 10-year at 4.24%. Markets increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to adopt a more aggressive rate-cutting stance due to economic growth concerns. Analysts at MUFG Bank suggest the Fed may shift focus from inflation control to economic growth, especially amid tariff uncertainties. Consumer confidence has weakened, reflecting rising household concerns. In the UK, expectations for BoE rate cuts in 2025 have dropped below 50 basis points. BoE’s Catherine Mann stated that gradual rate changes are ineffective in volatile markets, advocating for larger cuts to provide clearer policy signals. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2920, the next resistance levels are 1.2980 and 1.3050. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
by ChartMage
GBPUSD BUYING AREAGBPUSD is approaching a key buying area where strong support is expected. If the price holds above this zone and shows bullish confirmation, we could see a potential upside move. Traders should watch for bullish candlestick patterns, trendline support, or a breakout signal before entering a trade. A strong bounce from this area could lead to a continuation of the bullish trend. Stay patient, wait for confirmation, and manage your risk wisely! 📈🔥 Technical Analysis by Ali Khan
Long
by Itsalikhaan
My Idea on GBP/USDBias Weekly - Bearish Daily - Bullish Idea Because of the Simple Rule HTF is King (In my Scenario Weekly > Daily). We are currently in the weekly 70% Zone. So I assume a continuation in the weekly trend -> Weekly LL. Daily is still bullish so right now we should be careful. If Market gives us a Sign on H4/H1 (which is difficult rn because EUR flew crazy), I would short to potentially take out the daily low which would follow the weekly trend. If Market decides to go higher, i would look at the same short scenario as here. Potential Longs are also possible because as you see daily internal aligned with daily again. So all in all I am careful right now because 1. Market is crazy right now 2. Weekly vs daily 3. NPF Tomorrow (maybe we know more tomorrow)
by jannik-dnnr
2
GBPUSD InsightHello, dear subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The ECB cut its key policy rates by 25 basis points in its monetary policy meeting. However, by removing the phrase "still restrictive" from its statement, the central bank hinted at a possible pause in rate cuts. - President Trump, after a call with Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, decided to postpone tariffs on Mexican goods under the USMCA agreement until April 2. Despite tensions with Canada, he also ultimately decided to delay tariffs on Canadian products until the same date. This Week's Key Economic Events + March 7: U.S. February Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Fed Chair Powell’s Speech GBPUSD Chart Analysis After smoothly breaking through the 1.27000 resistance level, GBPUSD has climbed to the 1.29000 range. While the price is currently pausing at this level, the upside remains open up to the 1.31000 level, suggesting further gains. In the short term, a pullback to the 1.27000 level before resuming the upward trend is possible.
Long
by shawntime_academy
GBPUSD Trading Journal March 7 Analysis GBPUSD Trading Journal March 7 Analysis Price is in a Premium on the M/W. I admit that I have been more focused on DXY and EUR over GBP. I analyze this chart for clues and if set ups form when EUR doesn't. Price rallied over 300 pips compared to over 400 pips in EUR. Price did not want to retrace to the previous session the last 3 days. Note the patterns you witnessed this week during study this weekend what your take aways are. Today is NFP. Will Price come to the previous session 50 in a retracement. Or follow logic of parent logic we are in bullish conditions and Price seek higher prices today with the NFP.
by LeanLena
Bullish continuation?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.2801 1st Support: 1.2688 1st Resistance: 1.2990 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.2921 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 1.2992 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.2812 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBPUSD 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEST MOVE POSSIBILEThis chart represents the GBP/USD (British Pound / US Dollar) currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here’s what it indicates: 1. **Support Level (Yellow Zone)**: - The price previously found strong buying interest at this level. - Multiple touches in this zone indicate strong demand, leading to a bullish rally. 2. **Uptrend and Rejection (Blue Lines & Box)**: - The price moved upward from the support level, forming a strong bullish trend. - It reached a resistance zone (highlighted in blue), where selling pressure increased. - The price struggled to break above this resistance. 3. **Break of Trendline & Bearish Indication**: - The uptrend trendline has been broken, signaling potential trend reversal. - The blue arrow suggests that the price might move downward, possibly targeting the red level at **1.27846**. ### Conclusion: - The chart suggests a **potential bearish movement** after failing to break resistance. - If the price sustains below the broken trendline, it could decline toward **1.27846** or lower. - Traders may watch for confirmations like **bearish candlestick patterns** or a retest of the broken trendline before taking positions. Would you like any further explanation?
Short
by Davidhills_110
1
GBPUSD STRONG ANALYSIS 1. Over-Reliance on the Ascending Channel The chart assumes price will stay within the current rising channel, but price action often breaks such structures. A bearish breakdown could invalidate this projection. If 1.26070 support fails, we may see a larger downtrend rather than a bounce. 2. Resistance Might Be Stronger Than Expected The 1.8060 resistance is plotted far from the current price (1.28773). Assuming such a long-term rally without testing lower levels could be overly optimistic. Sellers may push price down near 1.2700 or lower before any meaningful bullish move. 3. Volume and Momentum Are Missing from the Analysis There's no clear volume confirmation supporting the bullish move. If buying volume weakens, the price may consolidate instead of rallying. RSI/MACD divergence could indicate exhaustion, leading to a bearish reversal. 4. Macro Factors Could Invalidate This Setup The British Pound is highly sensitive to economic data (inflation, interest rates, etc.). If upcoming news favors the USD, the GBP/USD pair could break below support levels rather than respecting the predicted bounce zones. Possible Alternative Scenario A false breakout above recent highs could lead to a reversal, with price targeting 1.26070 or even lower levels before finding real bullish strength
Long
by mrsamfx81
1
GBPUSD: Entered a volatility zone. Sell every spike is best.GBPUSD has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.324, MACD = 0.009, ADX = 38.352) as it just hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the September 2024 High. In the meantime, it has crossed over the 1D MA200. With the 1D RSI overbought, the last time this set of conditions emerged was on November 29th 2023. The pair then entered a 3 month period of high volatility and sideways trading before it declined to the 0.236 Fib. The long term trade is short, TP = 1.2500. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
by InvestingScope
GU Weekly shoot up a bit?Welcome back! Shiok or not, 4 weeks break from the Weekly TF? Now Weekly TF is back in action, and guess what—last week's close is like barely above the mid BB, but hey, CSAK confirmed for Weekly TF. That means time to long to TP 1.27753 with SL at 1.22246. Somemore, looking at the H4 TF, all the MAs are above the mid BB. Yeah yeah, I know, not the highest probability setup for a pump, but combine that with the Weekly TF? Sounds like a solid recipe for it to shoot up. 🚀 Let’s gooo! Hopefully, the market still sayang us. Otherwise, we just close eyes and wait for it tp hit SL LOL. 😂🔥
Long
by Penglipur_Lara
GBPUSD Approaching Key Resistance — Will It Drop to 1.27720?OANDA:GBPUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, an area where sellers have previously stepped in to drive prices lower. This area has acted as a key supply zone, making it a level to watch for potential rejection. If price struggles to break above and we see bearish confirmation, I anticipate a pullback toward the 1.27720 level. However, a strong breakout and hold above resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially leading to further upside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
3
Cable surges, eyeing $1.30Cable has massively outperformed in recent days due to a range of different factors. Probably the most important of these has been less dovish expectations for the Bank of England this year after various members of the Monetary Policy Committee highlighted risks of higher inflation due to relatively strong earning and job data. Sentiment also received a boost from rumours that the UK might be able to strike a trade deal with the USA and avoid tariffs entirely. Such a textbook three soldiers pattern on the daily chart of a major forex pair is extremely rare and probably shouldn’t be considered a reliable buy signal in itself given the recent strong fundamental drivers. Although buying volume has increased this week, the price is very strongly overbought. $1.30 as a round number is a clear potential resistance while it might be possible to see the 50% monthly Fibonacci retracement around $1.27 flipping to a zone of support. A positive NFP might drive a significant retracement in the immediate aftermath. However, this could provide an opportunity for new buyers depending on any further news of trade wars. Next week’s inflation from the USA is also key for sentiment on the dollar generally and specifically when the Fed might cut next. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
GBP/USD - Institutional Backed Long Setup📌 Trade Execution & Technicals Pair: GBP/USD Timeframe: 15M Trade Type: Long Position Entry: 1.2816 – Price rejected key Fibonacci retracement level (0.62 Fib) after a liquidity sweep Stop Loss: Below 1.2800 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 1.2862 (-0.27 Fib extension) ✅ Target TP2: 1.2883 (-0.62 Fib extension) ✅ Target Technical Confluence: Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Price bounced off the 0.62 retracement (1.2816) Market Structure: Higher low formation confirmed bullish continuation Institutional Liquidity Grab: Price swept sell-side liquidity before reversing bullish 📊 Trade Outcome ✅ High-Probability Long Setup Both TP1 & TP2 levels hit with strong bullish momentum Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 1:3 Price action confirmed bullish institutional positioning 🌍 High-Impact News That Influenced GBP/USD UK S&P Global Services PMI (Actual: 51.0 vs Forecast: 51.1) – Slightly weaker, but still expansionary US ADP National Employment (77K vs Forecast: 140K) – Weaker than expected, USD pressured BoE Treasury Select Hearing (Hawkish Bias) – Supporting GBP strength US ISM Manufacturing Prices & Business Activity Upcoming – Expected to increase USD volatility 💡 News Summary: Weaker-than-expected US jobs data pressured the USD, providing momentum for GBP/USD upside GBP remained resilient despite mixed PMI data, benefiting from USD weakness 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 🔍 Prime Market Terminal Key Data: GBP/USD Average True Range (ATR): 1-week ATR: 0.81% 1-month ATR: 0.86% Institutional Liquidity Insights: High liquidity buildup in the 1.2800-1.2820 range, acting as support Strong order flow pushing GBP/USD higher post-US employment data release 🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow 📊 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data & Smart Money Insights: Dealer Positioning: GBP Net Positioning: +56,707 contracts (Bullish institutional sentiment) USD Net Positioning: -11,542 contracts (Bearish outlook on USD) Open Interest & Retail Sentiment: Retail Short Bias: 72% Short, 28% Long – Potential short squeeze Smart Money Accumulation Zone: 1.2800-1.2820 📌 Conclusion 🔹 Why This Trade Worked: ✔ Liquidity Grab Below 1.2816 Before Reversal ✔ Institutional Positioning Confirmed Bullish Momentum ✔ Weaker US Jobs Data Weighed on USD, Pushing GBP/USD Higher 🚀 Next Steps: Monitoring 1.2860 for continuation towards 1.2900 key level Watching upcoming US ISM data for potential volatility spike 🔥 What’s your outlook on GBP/USD? Comment your thoughts below!
Long
by LDForex_
GBPUSD - Retracement to the trendline?The GBP/USD pair has exhibited a strong bullish trend since its January lows, currently trading at 1.2876. After reaching recent highs, the price is now at a critical decision point as shown by the chart's resistance area (upper red box) and ascending trendline. The sharp upward movement followed by the recent pullback suggests potential exhaustion of buying momentum, with the red downward-pointing arrows indicating a possible corrective phase ahead. Two scenarios appear most likely from this technical formation: either price continues higher to break above the upper resistance box before initiating a correction, or an immediate correction begins from current levels. In both cases, the lower orange box around the 1.2700-1.2720 area serves as a reasonable target, as does the ascending trendline (marked by the red dashed line) that has supported the uptrend since January. Traders should watch for potential reversal signals or consolidation patterns to confirm which scenario is unfolding. As always don't jump into trades and wait for confirmation! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by financialflagship
GBPUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
1