USDGBP trade ideas
Looking for the 5-0 to start back to 129-130A hammer candle today would possibly start the correction back to 129 to 130 Let’s see if we can get this correction started
gbpusd 15 minute potential buyscalp potential buyscalp identified . based on previous analysis . entry at 5 minute . potential retest back to OB .
update on gbpusd potential buy trade buy trades taken based on analysis. risking low percentage as i believe we still going to a potential next sellside draw on liquidity. trade will depend on a 5 minute scalp with sl moved to break even was in considerable profits
GBPUSD potential reversal/ continuation before buys ?currently looking into GBPUSD, 4h external liquidity raided. but no market structure shift, or validated pullback after the drop. possible continuation towards the next draw on liquidity
before seeing price overall trend change ? what are your thoughts on GBPUSD before newyork session open today ?
Opportunity for cable to rebound depending on dataThe pound has made strong losses against the US dollar in the third quarter so far, having been overheated in September. Donald Trump’s election has generated some negativity due to the likely introduction of tariffs and general deterioration of relations between the UK and USA. However, with the BoE now much less likely to cut rates next month and with only two cuts expected next year, it’s questionable whether there’s a strong fundamental reason for further strong losses by cable.
The price is still in the area of the 50% monthly Fibonacci retracement which seems to be quite a strong support. An attempt to move below $1.26 was rejected with some strength on 15 November but $1.27 seems to be a significant local resistance. For a major forex pair, cable’s movements have been quite dramatic in the last few months. There’s still a strong oversold signal from the slow stochastic after this oscillator’s crossover on 18 November.
$1.23 seems to be the next critical support on the weekly chart but it’d be unlikely to see the price move that far before the end of the year. If the next interaction with $1.27 leads to a breakout above, one might expect a pause before the next possible movement lower, but a reversal of the downtrend also looks possible. In the short term, selling looks more risky than buying unless there are significant surprises from upcoming data.
EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
All the way through 1.2500GBPUSD a pair that never dies, since UK controls many countries in the world, including US
DXY is getting higher so, this one has justified for a dump to 1.25
The Pound’s Downward Spiral: Are Bears Calling the Shots?Ah, the British Pound versus the mighty US Dollar. A tale as old as time, or at least as old as the forex market. Lately, though, it seems like the Pound is auditioning for the next big bear market. Grab your tea (or coffee if you’ve gone full American), and let’s dive into why GBP/USD might be heading south faster than you can say " Brexit chaos. " 🏴☠️
1. Fibonacci Says: 'Resistance is Futile!' 🧮✨
First off, let’s talk about Fibonacci retracement. If you’re not familiar, it’s like the "Instagram filter" for price action—bringing clarity to an otherwise messy picture. Right now, the GBP/USD is dancing precariously around the 50% retracement level at 1.24376.
But here’s the kicker: the Pound has already given us the cold shoulder at 1.27573 (the golden 61.8% retracement). Think of it like an ex texting "I’ve changed" and then ghosting you again. Classic. 📵
Unless GBP/USD can reclaim these levels, it’s giving major "let’s break down" vibes. 🚨
2. Descending Triangle of Doom ⚠️🔺
Triangles in forex can mean two things: continuation or reversal. This one? A big ol’ descending triangle, aka the bearish powerhouse. Lower highs are stacking up like unfulfilled New Year’s resolutions, and price action is squished tighter than a London Tube during rush hour. 🐜
The triangle breakdown looks inevitable, and when it does, it might not just be a stumble—it’ll be a swan dive into bearish waters. 🏊♂️💦 Target? Let’s just say 1.18379 and 1.12692 are waving hello from below. 👋
3. RSI: 'Oversold? Hold My Tea!' ☕📊
The RSI indicator is hovering dangerously close to oversold territory (around 30), whispering, "Hey, maybe the bears need a breather?" But don’t let it fool you. This isn’t a reason to buy blindly—it’s like seeing dark clouds and hoping for a rainbow instead of a thunderstorm. 🌈⚡
Unless the RSI shows a clear divergence (spoiler: it doesn’t), the downtrend could easily keep rolling like a snowball turning into an avalanche. ❄️⛰️
4. Support Levels: The Bear’s Playground 🐻🎢
Looking ahead, the key support zones are sitting pretty at:
1.18379 (38.2% Fib): A potential pit stop.
1.12692 (23.6% Fib): Bears are probably circling this like vultures. 🦅
If you’re bullish, it’s time to sit tight. And if you’re bearish, you’re probably popping champagne already. 🍾
What Could Go Right? (AKA, the Bullish Plot Twist) 🐂✨
Okay, let’s not totally rule out the bullish counterattack. If the Pound miraculously pushes back above 1.27573 (the golden retracement), the bears might pack up and head for hibernation. But that’s a big if—like "the UK rejoining the EU" levels of unlikely. 😅
Conclusion: Will the Pound Pound Lower? 🥊📉
The stars—or in this case, Fibonacci levels and triangle patterns—are aligning for a bearish continuation. GBP/USD is looking more like a short than a "diamond in the rough." Unless it stages an Oscar-worthy comeback above 1.27573, this currency pair is poised to fall faster than a bad political speech. 🎭🎤
Bearish Action Plan 🐻📌
Wait for the triangle to break down: Confirmation is key—no guessing games here.
Target 1.18379 and 1.12692: These levels are your guiding stars.
Stop losses above 1.27573: Let’s not fight the inevitable if the bulls wake up.
So, are you ready to ride the bear? Or are you hoping for a bull to save the day? Let me know below—because as we all know, trading is 90% strategy and 10% memes. 😜📈
One simple for Friday GU sell based of Asia High and DXY .
Always do your own research , I will look for market to settle before entry and also a good rejection candle as a confirmation for the entry.
GBP/USD – Breakout and Retest SetupWe’ve broken below the support zone, which has now turned into a new resistance level. If the price returns to this level, we could see sellers reenter the market and push the price lower.
Strategy: Watch for confirmation at the retest of this resistance before entering a short position. Stay cautious and manage your risk.
GBPUSD Monday High & Yearly Open Acting as Resistance**New Trade Alert: Monday High & Yearly Open Resistance**
Hey guys, I'm typing this out quickly to keep you in the loop.
Here's another trade opportunity for you: The Monday high and the yearly open are currently acting as resistance.
You know the drill—keep an eye on the market, and I'll continue to keep you updated as things unfold. Stay tuned!
GBP/USD: Bearish Trend Targets Lower LevelsGBP/USD is currently trading around 1.2564, extending its bearish trend after breaking below a long-term ascending channel. The price is consolidating below the resistance zone at 1.2685, which previously served as a support level, now turned resistance. This area is critical as it aligns with the recent breakdown structure.
If GBP/USD retests the 1.2685 level and fails to break above, the bearish trend is likely to continue. The next major support lies around 1.2360, where buyers may attempt to regain control. However, a sustained bearish move could push the pair even lower.
On the upside, a break above 1.2685 could lead to a short-term recovery toward the resistance zone near 1.2880, but this remains less likely given the prevailing downtrend. Traders should focus on selling opportunities near resistance levels, with targets around 1.2360 and stops placed above 1.2700 to manage risk effectively.
GBPUSD SELL NOW!!!!GBPUSD formed a bearish flag pattern on the 4h time frame generally during a top down analysis GBPUSD is in downtrend am expecting a steady price drop to creates new lows my goal target is 1.21657
GBPUSD: Classic Breakout Trade 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support.
After a breakout, the price retested the broken structure
and started to consolidate on that, forming a range.
Bearish breakout of the range is a strong intraday bearish confirmation.
It increases the probabilities that the breakout is valid.
We can expect a fall at least to 1.254
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GBPUSD - The pound, vulnerable to financial policies?!The GBPUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. If the downward trend continues due to the release of today's economic data, we can see the demand zones and buy within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. In case of an upward correction, this currency pair can be sold within the specified supply zones.
The UK government has quietly abandoned the Conservatives’ plan for managing pension accounts. This plan, introduced by former Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, aimed to address the issue of small, lost pension accounts. However, it faced widespread criticism from the savings industry. Instead, the new government has decided to focus on launching a pension dashboard to help individuals track their missing savings. Additionally, Rachel Reeves, Hunt’s successor, has announced plans for “megafunds” to consolidate the fragmented state of the current pension system.
In October, the UK’s public sector net borrowing rose to £17.4 billion, significantly exceeding the £12.9 billion forecast and the previous figure of £16.6 billion. Excluding banking groups, the figure also stood at £17.4 billion, surpassing the earlier estimate of £13.3 billion. This increase in borrowing highlights the government’s growing need for financial resources and could impact future fiscal policies.
Natural gas prices in the UK have reached their highest levels compared to European benchmarks since late 2021. This reflects the country’s heightened vulnerability to cold weather due to a lack of large storage sites. While futures contracts have shown little movement, they remain near last year’s peak levels. Additionally, natural gas prices have risen by over 15% so far in November, further emphasizing the fragility of the UK’s gas market.
Mann, a member of the Bank of England, has expressed concerns about exchange rate volatility.She described a 1% rate cut as overly aggressive and suggested that decisions on reducing interest rates should be postponed until economic conditions stabilize. She emphasized that significant monetary changes should only occur based on robust data and evidence.
Meanwhile, at TD Securities, a team of strategists led by Oscar Munoz and Gennadiy Goldberg expects the Federal Reserve to halt rate cuts in the first half of 2025, as central bank policymakers assess the impact of Trump’s policies. Similarly, interest rate strategists at JPMorgan have adjusted their expectations for the Fed. Broadly speaking, potential conflicts between the Federal Reserve and Trump’s White House seem highly likely, given that Trump’s policies could clash with monetary policies focused on curbing growth and reducing inflation.
Elliott Wave View: GBPUSD is Approaching Support ZoneShort Term Elliott Wave View in GBPUSD suggests decline from 9.26.2024 high is in progress as a zigzag structure. Down from 9.26.2024 high, wave A ended at 1.284. Wave B bounce ended at 1.3047 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Wave C lower is now in progress with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave B, wave ((i)) ended at 1.283 and wave ((ii)) ended at 1.3. Pair then resumed lower in wave ((iii)). Down from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 1.294 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 1.3.
Pair resumed lower in wave (iii) towards 1.2627 and wave (iv) rally ended at 1.272. Wave (v) lower ended at 1.2594 which completed wave ((iii)) in higher degree. Rally in wave ((iv)) unfolded as a zigzag structure. Up from wave ((iii)), wave (a) ended at 1.2689 and pullback in wave (b) ended at 1.261. Wave (c) higher ended at 1.2715 which completed wave ((iv)) in higher degree. Wave ((v)) of C lower is now in progress with potential target 100% – 161.8% of wave A. This area comes at 1.208 – 1.245 where buyers can appear for 3 waves rally at least.
GBPUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce offBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.2605, which is an overlap
Our take profit will be at 1.2564, aligning with the 127.2% Fibo extension
The stop loss will be placed at 1.2636, a pullback resistance level.
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GBPUSD: Sell Positive. Emphasis on 1,262FX:GBPUSD falling and reaction to the "flag" model. The price is checking the strong support level around 1,262 ... The basic context still supports the dollar.
Theoretically, the currency briefcase after breaking the channel increases, the price has formed a adjustment and now is decreasing. The areas of interest in our case may be 1,260, 1,257, 1,252.
Basically, the trend of this pair of money may be due to the weaker US dollar and the market environment is psychologically avoiding risks. Traders are still cautious in the context of geopolitical tensions and mild economic calendar. Fedpeak is noticed.
There is no news until the Fed speaks, so the basic context remains the same. The market may stop and go into the consolidation process, but with the high possibility that the decline after a breakthrough 1,262 will continue ...
dont take any trade now a goodn trader knows when to sit on his sit on your hands now and wait for asian session FX:GBPUSD $FXOPEN:XAUUSD.
I am on a journey to flip 100 usd to 100k USD. Trust me, YOU should learn TO SIT ON YOUR HAND. THE BEST TRADE COME TO THOSE WHO WAIT
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2024/NOV/20 GBPUSDGBPUSD Sell-short
Entry:1.27005
TP:1.25947
SL:1.27231
Reason: Extremity Order Block take out the LQD of previous high, At Bearish market Structure was took out the inducement & LQD, the price will be reverse at the Entry Point
British pound falls to 6-month low, retail sales nextThe British pound has lost ground on Thursday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2506, down 0.44% on the day. Earlier, the pound dropped as low as 1.2593, its lowest level since mid-May.
It’s a busy Friday in the UK, highlighted by the retail sales report. We’ll also get a look at consumer confidence and the services and manufacturing PMIs.
The UK releases October retail sales on Friday and the markets are bracing for a downswing. The market estimate stands at 3.4% y/y, compared to 3.9% in September, the highest since Feb. 2022. Monthly, retail sales are expected to decline by 0.3%, following a 0.3% gain in September. The UK consumer remains in a sour mood, as the cost of living and high interest rates continue to squeeze households. The GfK consumer confidence index is expected to remain unchanged in November at -21.
The UK manufacturing sector has been struggling. The October PMI was revised downwards to 49.9, which indicates stagnation. The PMI has decelerated for three straight months and the weak global demand will likely continue to weigh on manufacturing in the months ahead. The market estimate for November stands at 50.0.
The services sector is in better shape and has shown 12 consecutive months of growth. The PMI has also eased for three straight months, raising concerns about the health of the economy. The market estimate for November is 52.0, unchanged from the October figure.
The US will also publish manufacturing and services PMIs on Friday, with little change expected. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to rise from 45.5 to 45.8, and the Services PMI, which has been showing solid growth, from 55 to 55.2.
There is resistance at 1.2666 and 1.2702
GBP/USD pushed below support at 1.2618 and tested support at 1.2582 earlier
