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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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USDGBP trade ideas

GU-Tue-1/04/25 Top down analysis-Investors in risk off modeAnalysis done directly on the chart Risk On: When the market is in a "risk on" mode, investors feel confident and optimistic about the economy or financial markets. They are more willing to take on higher-risk investments, such as stocks, cryptocurrencies, or emerging market assets, in pursuit of greater returns. This typically happens during periods of economic growth, positive news, or stability. Prices of riskier assets tend to rise, while safe-haven assets like bonds, gold, or the US dollar might see less demand. Risk Off: In a "risk off" environment, investors become cautious or fearful due to uncertainty, economic downturns, geopolitical tensions, or negative news. They shift their money into safer, lower-risk investments like government bonds, gold, or stable currencies (e.g., USD, JPY, CHF). Riskier assets like stocks or commodities often decline in value as investors "de-risk" their portfolios. Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
The Fibonacci Code: GBP/USD is FollowingGBP/USD Elliott Wave Analysis: Bearish Setup Unfolding In this 4-hour GBP/USD chart, we can see a classic Elliott Wave correction pattern forming. Price action is currently moving within a contracting triangle structure, with wave A and B shaping the market’s corrective movement before a potential impulsive wave C decline. Key Observations: ✅ Wave Structure: The price is completing a wave B retracement into a key resistance area (yellow box), aligning with a supply zone. ✅ Converging Trendlines: A descending triangle is forming, confirming potential exhaustion in bullish momentum. ✅ Projected Move: If the pattern follows Elliott Wave principles, we anticipate a rejection from wave B’s peak, leading to a strong downward move toward the 1.2798 supply zone. ✅ Market Confluence: The confluence of resistance, supply zones, and wave structure increases the probability of a short setup. 📉 Trading Idea: If price reacts strongly from the marked resistance, a short position with a target near 1.2798 could offer a high-probability trade opportunity. Let me know your thoughts! Are you seeing the same setup? 🔥📊
by Greenfireforex
Potential evening star pattern near a resistance level at 1.295In the 1H timeframe, we observe a bearish trend where prices have consistently failed to break above previous highs. The recent price action shows a potential evening star pattern near a resistance level at 1.29500. The EMA confirms downward momentum, and the ATR indicates volatility has been tightening, suggesting a possible breakout. Given the RSi is hovering at 40, it shows bearish momentum building up. Thus, entering at 1.28970, with a stop loss set at 1.29600 (just above recent swings) and a take profit target at 1.28000 aligns with a good risk-reward ratio.
Short
by seyefactory
Weekly Analysis of GBP/USD: Neutral Outlook Amid Key Eco EventsThe GBP/USD currency pair has experienced range-bound trading following a correction from four-month highs against the US Dollar (USD). With a neutral bias, the coming week’s price movement will be heavily influenced by macroeconomic data releases and geopolitical developments, particularly Trump’s tariff policies and the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. Market Dynamics and Key Factors Impacting GBP/USD US Tariffs and Their Impact on GBP/USD President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, set to take effect on April 2, will be a crucial driver for the USD. If the tariff list is narrowed, it could ease concerns over economic slowdown, strengthening the USD and putting downward pressure on GBP/USD. Conversely, stronger-than-expected trade restrictions could increase risk aversion, potentially benefiting the Pound Sterling as a safer alternative in global trade. UK Inflation and Bank of England Rate Expectations The UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February showed inflation at 2.8% YoY, slightly below the expected 2.9%. This lower inflation figure increased speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) may cut interest rates in May, weakening GBP. However, UK Retail Sales data for February surged by 1%, well above the expected -0.3% decline, indicating resilient consumer demand. This could counterbalance bearish sentiment and support GBP/USD in the near term. US Economic Data and Federal Reserve Policy Outlook The US economy remains a key influence on GBP/USD. Key economic releases this week include: Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS Job Openings Wednesday: ADP Employment Change Report Thursday: Weekly Jobless Claims & ISM Services PMI Friday: US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), which could determine Fed rate expectations Fed officials, including Raphael Bostic, have pushed back on multiple rate cuts, stating that he only sees one rate cut in 2025. This stance has helped the USD remain resilient, preventing GBP/USD from breaking above the 1.3000 resistance level. Technical Outlook: GBP/USD Remains in a Bullish Setup The daily chart suggests that GBP/USD maintains a bullish bias, with key indicators showing positive momentum: The 14-day RSI remains near 60, indicating continued buying pressure. GBP/USD is trading above its 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2903, acting as initial support. Key upside targets 3000 psychological level (must close above for sustained gains) 1.3048 (November 6, 2024 high) 1.3150–1.3200 resistance zone 1.3300 round figure (longer-term target) Key downside levels 1.2903 (21-day SMA) – immediate support 1.2804 (200-day SMA) – major downside risk 1.2667 (50-day SMA) and 1.2614 (100-day SMA) – potential bearish targets if selling pressure increases A sustained break above 1.3000 could lead to further bullish momentum, while failure to hold above 1.2903 could trigger a deeper pullback. Outlook: Neutral Bias With Key Data Driving Volatility Given the mix of bullish technical indicators and uncertain fundamentals, the GBP/USD outlook remains neutral. Trump’s tariffs and US employment data will be the primary catalysts for movement. Traders should closely monitor macroeconomic developments, particularly NFP numbers and any surprises from the Federal Reserve or the Bank of England. If US data beats expectations, the USD may strengthen, pushing GBP/USD below 1.2900. If the UK economy shows resilience and the BoE remains cautious on rate cuts, GBP/USD may retest 1.3000 and beyond. Expect higher volatility this week as markets digest economic data and geopolitical developments.
by SupertradeOfficial
GBPUSD GBPUSD Analysis & Signal (1H Timeframe) 📅 Date: March 23, 2025 On the GBP/USD chart, the price has reached a key resistance zone around 1.29629 after an uptrend, showing signs of rejection. This resistance aligns with a descending trendline, adding to the selling pressure. Currently, the price is heading toward the demand zone marked between 1.28613 and 1.28117, which could act as a strong support level. Signal: Sell: 📍Entry Point: 1.29114 (current price) 🔴Stop Loss: 1.29629 (above resistance) 🟢Take Profit 1: 1.28613 🟢Take Profit 2: 1.28117 ⚠️Risk Management: With the stop loss set above the resistance, the risk-to-reward ratio (R:R) for this trade is at least 1:2. It’s recommended to risk only 1-2% of your capital on this trade. 📝Note: Before entering the trade, wait for additional confirmations (e.g., reversal candlestick patterns or a break of the zone) and assess market conditions.
Short
by EhsanZeydabadi
GBP/USD Price Action Update📊 GBP/USD Price Action Update 🇬🇧💵 GBP/USD is currently trading around 1.2916, showing signs of a potential retracement before its next move. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Supply Zone (Resistance): 1.3000 - 1.3050 📍 🔴 This red zone represents a strong resistance level where price previously reversed. If GBP/USD breaks above this, we may see further bullish momentum. ✅ Demand Zone (Support): 1.2814 - 1.2854 📍 🟢 Buyers are expected to step in around these green zones, making them strong support levels for a potential bounce. ⚡ Possible Trade Setups: 📉 Bearish Scenario: Price may drop towards the 1.2854 - 1.2814 demand zone before reversing upwards. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price finds support in the demand zone, it could rally back toward the 1.3000+ resistance area. 📢 Trading Tip: Wait for confirmations in the key zones before taking positions. Watch for price reactions and volume changes before executing trades! 🔥 #fxforever #fxf #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #SmartMoney #ForexSignals #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #TradeSmart
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
GBPUSD Will Go Up! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.294. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.305. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
GBPUSD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why: The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GBPUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Short
by UnitedSignals
1
GBPUSD InsightWelcome, Subscribers! We’re glad to have you all here. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - Reuters reported that the U.S. has no plans to negotiate with the European Union until next week's reciprocal tariff announcement. - President Trump, through Truth Social, warned that if the EU and Canada cooperate to economically harm the U.S., he would impose significantly higher tariffs. - In the U.K., the persistent fiscal deficit issue has once again drawn attention, leading to a rise in U.K. government bond yields. The British government has revised its 2024 GDP growth forecast downward from 2% to 1%. Key Economic Events This Week + March 28: U.K. Q4 GDP, U.S. February Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index GBPUSD Chart Analysis After reaching the 1.30000 level, GBPUSD has failed to show a clear trend and continues to move within the lower range of this level. If it fails to break above 1.30000 and moves downward, it may decline to 1.28000 before rebounding toward 1.31000. Conversely, if an upward trend continues, it is likely to break 1.31000 and rise further toward 1.34000.
Short
by shawntime_academy
GBP/USD Potential Bear Momentum...I couldn't resist the GBP/USD bear opportunity here displaying a broadening pattern. I'm already in established shorts on the EUR/USD at 1.0891 but decided to jump in on GBP/USD at 1.2916 considering the price movements can be more pronounced. Right now, my cap on whether this trade works or not is 1.3000. if we, for whatever reason, pop back up to 1.3000, I'd close this trade but for now, I think this trade looks good and will target 1.2750 however, using chart pattern percentages, I wouldn't be surprised to see 1.2600. We'll see how this one looks going forward, especially with trump announcing more tariffs later today. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC