GBPUSD(20250613)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3585
Support and resistance levels
1.3685
1.3648
1.3624
1.3547
1.3522
1.3485
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3624, consider buying in, the first target price is 1.3648
If the price breaks through 1.3585, consider selling in, the first target price is 1.3547
USDGBP trade ideas
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 9 - 13 JuneMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: UK Unemployment & GDP, US Inflation & PPI, Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode, we discuss:
— UK Unemployment Rate
— US Inflation Rate
— UK GDP Growth Rate
— US Producer Price Index
— Corporate Earnings Statements
Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
The Day AheadU.S. Events
May PPI (Inflation):
Big market mover. If it’s hot, expect higher yields and stronger USD.
If it cools, stocks and bonds may rally.
Jobless Claims:
Signals labor market strength.
A jump could raise recession fears.
Q1 Household Net Worth:
Minor impact, but relevant for consumer spending outlook.
UK Data
April GDP:
Big for GBP. A weak print could hurt the currency.
RICS House Prices:
Moderate impact; shows housing trends.
Europe
Germany Current Account + Italy Unemployment:
Lower market impact. May affect eurozone sentiment slightly.
Central Banks
Multiple ECB Speakers:
Watch for hints on rate cuts or QT.
Could move the euro and EU bonds if guidance shifts.
Earnings
Adobe (after market close):
Important for tech stocks and Nasdaq.
Watch AI commentary and guidance.
US 30-Year Bond Auction
Big for bond yields.
Weak demand = yields rise → pressure on stocks
Strong demand = yields fall → support for risk assets
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bearish drop off major resistance?Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3506
1st Support: 1.3423
1st Resistance: 1.3586
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish breakout?GBP/USD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3501
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3535
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3450
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish breakout?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which is an overlap support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3505
1st Support: 1.3415
1st Resistance: 1.3581
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBP/USD - confirmation with VWAP On GBP/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.33240 .
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
VWAP + Uptrend and High volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
GBPUSD Edges HigherGBPUSD Edges Higher
GBP/USD is attempting a fresh increase above the 1.3500 resistance.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.3515.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3535 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair declined after it failed to clear the 1.3615 resistance. The British Pound even traded below the 1.3575 support against the US Dollar.
Finally, the pair tested the 1.3500 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3540. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3535.
The pair tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3616 swing high to the 1.3507 low. It is now showing positive signs above 1.3540.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.3575 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3616 swing high to the 1.3507 low.
The next major resistance is near 1.3590. A close above the 1.3590 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward 1.3615. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3650.
On the downside, immediate support is near the 1.3515. If there is a downside break below 1.3515, the pair could accelerate lower. The first major support is near the 1.3500 level. The next key support is seen near 1.3450, below which the pair could test 1.3420. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.3350 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis – Bearish Setup Developing!GBP/USD Technical Analysis – Bearish Setup Developing! 🔻
Chart Breakdown (H4):
📌 Resistance Zone (🔴 1.35800 – 1.36000):
The pair has been rejected multiple times from this strong resistance area, marked by multiple upper wicks and bearish pressure. Most recent price action shows another rejection, forming a lower high.
📌 Support Level (🟣 1.34732):
This key horizontal level has acted as a strong support multiple times (highlighted with 🟠 circles), suggesting bulls are attempting to defend this zone.
📉 Bearish Structure Formation:
Price recently tested resistance again and was rejected sharply.
A potential double-top or lower high structure is forming.
A break and close below the 1.34732 support will likely confirm bearish momentum.
📍 Next Target (🔻):
If support breaks, price may fall towards the support demand zone around 1.34150 – 1.34300, aligning with the marked red support box.
📈 Invalidation Point:
A clean breakout and hold above 1.36000 would invalidate this bearish bias and potentially signal continuation higher.
⚠️ Summary:
🔼 Resistance Rejection at 1.36000
🔽 Watching for break below 1.34732
🎯 Bearish target: 1.34300 zone
🔄 Invalidation: Break above 1.36000
Bias: 📉 Bearish Below 1.34732
GBPUSD - Still Bullish - Dont trap your self ! Hi Guyz, welcome to other episode of analysis for GBPUSD.
From our 1H chat, it is seen that as per DOW Theory, the market has broken the HL and it seems like market has entered into the bearish trend However, the catch is there is no divergence followed by the break of HL. It implies that market is taking a corrective move, which is 50 percent of FIB level. Thus, there is a formation of AB=CD harmonic pattern.
we plan our entry on the break of "B" point and projected TP in our case is "D" point.
stop loss is placed beneath HL as marked.
GU-Thu-12/06/25 TDA-Higher US CPI, why GU pumped? explained!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Here's the tricky part of CPI, this year 2.4% higher
than last year 2.3% but GU still pumped, why?
Because consensus was 2.5% and since it released
2.4% which is lower than consensus, bad for dollar
thus GU pumping.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD ANALYSIS Based on technical analysis GU is in a bullish trend and we should only be looking for buys.
Expect a pullback near the fibs reversal zone for a buy entry.
Risk Reward- 1% : 3 or your TP can be the 4H HH zone.
Keep your trading plan simple and only take quality trades in the direction of the trend. The trend is your soulmate.
GBP/USD LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 1.358 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBPUSD Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.354.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.345 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!