USD breaks out against the Indian RupeeTypically the upside breakout of an ascending triangle will travel 1X to 2X in distance equal to the height of the triangle at its widest point. This would imply an advance toward 86 and possibly toward 88. $USD/INR. The best way to play this is with Singapore futures IMO
USDINR trade ideas
Double top neckline breakout In weekly the market is in Ascending triangle pattern. where the current market price is at weekly resistance.
In daily time frame there is change in trend(from bull to bear) formed by double top neckline breakout, so the market is expected to fall further till the weekly ascending trend line(support).
After the DT neckline breakout now the market is in retest, a good level to sell where minimum risk : reward ratio is 1:2.5
$USDINR Breakout Daily ChartFX_IDC:USDINR Breakout Daily Chart watch closely for a test of the horizontal line. The USD/INR exchange rate is important to the U.S. stock market because it affects the cost of investing in Indian stocks for U.S. investors. When the USD/INR exchange rate is high, it means that it costs more U.S. dollars to buy a given amount of Indian rupees. This makes Indian stocks more expensive for U.S. investors, which can lead to a decline in demand for these stocks. Conversely, when the USD/INR exchange rate is low, it means that it costs less U.S. dollars to buy a given amount of Indian rupees. This makes Indian stocks cheaper for U.S. investors, which can lead to an increase in demand for these stocks.
In addition to the cost of investing, the USD/INR exchange rate can also affect the profitability of U.S. companies that do business in India. When the USD/INR exchange rate is high, it means that U.S. companies that export goods and services to India earn more rupees per dollar. This can boost their profits. Conversely, when the USD/INR exchange rate is low, it means that U.S. companies that export goods and services to India earn fewer rupees per dollar. This can hurt their profits.
Overall, the USD/INR exchange rate is an important factor that can affect the U.S. stock market in a number of ways. It is important for U.S. investors to monitor this exchange rate and factor it into their investment decisions.
Here are some specific examples of how the USD/INR exchange rate can affect the U.S. stock market:
If the USD/INR exchange rate rises sharply, it could lead to a decline in demand for Indian stocks by U.S. investors. This could cause the prices of Indian stocks to fall.
If the USD/INR exchange rate falls sharply, it could lead to an increase in demand for Indian stocks by U.S. investors. This could cause the prices of Indian stocks to rise.
If the USD/INR exchange rate remains high for an extended period of time, it could hurt the profitability of U.S. companies that do business in India. This could lead to lower stock prices for these companies.
If the USD/INR exchange rate remains low for an extended period of time, it could boost the profitability of U.S. companies that do business in India. This could lead to higher stock prices for these companies.
USDINR breaks higher after Indian inflation jumpIndian appeared to have been having success in driving down inflation of late, with CPI falling back from over 7% to 4.8% in the past year. However, the 7.4% retail inflation rate announced today provides a dramatic shift to the landscape, marking the highest rate in 15-years. That has been largely attributed to food prices, which is so heavily weighted that it accounts for nearly half of the overall CPI figure. With that in mind, the whopping 11.51% food inflation rate seen in June managed to drive a similar surge in the headline figure.
For markets, this has seen the rupee weaken, with USDINR rising up towards resistance at 83.28. Coming off the back of a prolonged period of consolidation, it looks likely that we are set for a potential upside breakout. With that in mind, a move through 83.28 resistance would signal a possible impending surge for the pair. To the downside a move below 83.60 would be required to negate that bullish view.
USDINR LongAfter a very good upward rally, for the past few months the USDINR pair is consolidating in a very tight range. If seen on a higher timeframe it forms a bullish flag&pole. Today it has given the breakout and it is a very good opportunity to go long in the script. The target levels and the SL are marked for your reference.
USDINR - Last HopesUSDINR - Real painful time
Time Frame - WEEKLY
USDINR - already its runnign above channel frame however still hopes for weekly closing along with last major Resistance Zone 83.64
Closing weekly above 83.64 than Ready for next journey towards 85 87 89++++
Disclaimer - view Just for educational purposes.
INDIAN RUPEE VS US DOLLAR The Indian rupee has been battling and facing turmoil against the dollar since more than two decades now.Despite the changing monetary rules and policies, the Indian currency has been facing a downfall when compared to the dollars. The current rupee value against US dollar changes every day, due to various reasons that affect Indian rupee.
Global economic slowdown
Crude oil price
FII inflow in Markets gone down / Rise in interest rates in US
Trade deficit
USDINR is on verge of break out. USDINR has been trading in the 83-80 area since October 2022. The USDINR has been consolidating for nine months and is on the verge of breaking over the 83 barrier. If it breaks over 83 per USD, the pair might go to 86 within 6 months. When the rupee reaches 86 per USD, the Indian central bank may interfere. The ultimate target for Primary Degree Wave 3 may be 90 per USD in the next couple of years, as illustrated in the graph.
Caution Note to Investors: USDINR Rise Ahead Recent market trends suggest the possibility of a potential rise in USD INR in the near future, accompanied by significant market fluctuations. It is important to note that the USD INR has been in a consolidation phase since October 2022, forming a flag pattern, which could indicate a prolonged movement ahead.
While there might be opportunities for going long in the market with limited risk and potential for profit-taking, investors should exercise caution. Market fluctuations can be unpredictable and could result in unexpected outcomes. It is advisable to carefully assess your investment decisions and consider waiting for pullbacks before considering a second entry.
Furthermore, it's important to recognize that market movements can be influenced by various factors, and speculating on their connection to upcoming elections is uncertain. Therefore, it's essential for investors to stay informed, seek expert advice, and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential risks associated with the dynamic market conditions.
Ascending triangle pattern | Accumulation zoneHi traders,
Ascending triangle pattern in Weekly timeframe.
The current market is at Weekly support, if a 4H candle closes above 82.1400 can expect a bulls in the market.
The risk : reward ratio is 1:3 which is a good trade.
Fed meeting is on 26 July 2023, and expected to raise the interest rates by 0.25.
Protective PUT strategy | Inverted H&S pattern4H time frame : Inverted H&S pattern, neckline has broke and the target is 82.8210. This is for a aggressive traders
D time frame : Daily candle has to close above the LH level 82.2025 for the conservative traders.
Weekly time frame : The Ascending triangle is still valid pattern.
Have explained the Protective PUT strategy for those with the lesser capital and fear of loosing capital. Beginners please hedge your position and trade.
USDINR rallies into major historical resistanceThe US dollar has been on the rise late, with equity market weakness translating into a upside for havens such as the greenback. For USDINR this has brought the currency pair back up into a major historical resistance level that could yet cause a significant breakout or reversal. The key line in the sand comes in the form of the prior swing-high at 82.79. A break up through that level would signal a potential resumption of the long-term bull market. However, until that level breaks, we are faced with the potential of a seventh peak within a consolidation phase that has lasted almost a year.
USDINR Go ShortUSDINR is at the resistance zone, if manage to close below, we can see a potential downside.
This is purely a technical view. Any change in sentiments can affect the price adversely.
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Disclaimer:I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst, and the views expressed here are solely my own and for educational purposes only. Make sure you consult your Financial advisor before investing, as I won't be responsible for any losses incurred.