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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY -H1- Bearish FlagThe USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 154.30 2nd Support – 153.52 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
14
USDJPY - Rising Channels, Pullbacks, Double Tops & BOJ NewsToday we're looking at a potential bearish trading opportunity on the USDJPY. After a long bullish rally, followed by a lengthy period of consolidation in the form of a rising channel. The &USDJPY has violated the pattern to the downside & with the recent pullback, is giving us an opportunity to jump on the next potential move down. As we venture down to the hourly chart, we may have a potential double top to open our week which would be an excellent entry reason for getting involved. On the fundamental side of things, later this week the Bank of Japan will make an interest rate decision & word on the street is that they are considering a hike. How a lot will depend on what happens after President Donald Trump takes over, but if an interest rate hike from the BOJ were to happen it "should" mean Yen strength and confirmation for our bearish prediction. If you have any questions or comments please leave them below. And I hope you guys have an excellent week of trading. Akil
Short
by Akil_Stokes
12
USDJPY: A Rate Hike from BOJ May Initiate Another Bearish TrendUSDJPY: A Rate Hike from BOJ May Initiate Another Bearish Trend In late December, the BOJ reported CPI data showing a larger-than-expected increase. CPI inflation rose to 3.0% y/y in December from 2.6%, prompting the BOJ to hint at a possible rate hike at its January meeting. During the New Year's opening in January, the Japanese yen gained fresh buyers in reaction to BoJ Governor Ueda’s comments. With rising inflationary pressure in Japan, the BOJ is keeping the door open for another rate hike at its January meeting. Most BOJ policymakers indicated they are likely to approve a rate hike next week on Friday, January 24. The BOJ "leaks" have now come to light, and Nikkei is reporting that while some policymakers remain cautious about a rate hike, the majority are still likely to approve one at next week's policy meeting. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
6
USD/JPY: Key Pullback After 320-Pip Drops, Another Decline AheadBy analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that after a significant drop to 155 (yielding 320 pips), the price has reacted to a key psychological level and is currently in a pullback phase. Following a short upward move, we can look for a suitable trigger to align with another potential downside move. This chart will be updated again soon—stay tuned! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
9
USDJPY: Very Bearish SentimentUSDJPY had been consolidating significantly since mid-December, trading within a large horizontal range on a daily timeframe. However, following the release of certain fundamental news, the currency pair appears to have a strong bearish outlook. The breakout below a support line within the range suggests that a bearish accumulation phase has been completed. This could lead to further declines, with attention now turning to the next support level at 154.4.
Short
by linofx1
3
USDJPY → Japan's central bank is about to raise ratesFX:USDJPY cannot continue its uptrend yet. Rumors about possible actions from the central bank of Japan will appear. The dollar in the meantime continues to rise.... 158.46 is a rather strong resistance formed by the bears, who continue to put pressure on the market. This week, we expect active actions from the Central Bank of Japan, namely - raising interest rates. In general, this phenomenon is quite rare, but it can support the currency pair very well. If the Japanese decide to take such actions, the currency pair may continue the correction from 0.5 - 0.7 fibo. Priority targets in this case may be the zones of interest at 153.24, 151.94. Resistance levels: 156.56, 157.22 Support levels: 155.1 Price fixing below 0.5 Fibo or below 155.95 may provoke aggressive selling. The decision on rates in Japan will take place on Friday, until then the price may be in consolidation.... Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
USDJPY Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 155.40 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 156.74 My Stop Loss - 154.74 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
USDJPY Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 156.03 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 157.26 Recommended Stop Loss - 155.29 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
USDJPY 100PIP MOVE TO THE HIGH1. Current Market Conditions & Entry Setup: Recent Price Action: Look for confirmation that USDJPY is in a bullish phase. If the pair has recently broken through resistance or is trending higher, a 100-pip move upwards is more likely. Support and Resistance Levels: Identify a key support level or price consolidation zone to enter the trade. For instance, if USDJPY is currently around 131.50, check if there’s a recent support level around 131.00 that could hold. Trend Confirmation: Ensure that the price is consistently making higher highs and higher lows (bullish trend). This suggests continued upward movement, increasing the probability of a 100-pip move. 2. Technical Indicators: RSI: Look for the RSI to be around 50-60, signaling room for upward movement without being overbought (i.e., avoiding an RSI reading above 70). Moving Averages: The pair should be above key moving averages (e.g., 50-period or 200-period moving averages) to confirm the bullish sentiment. MACD: A bullish crossover in the MACD can help confirm a potential upward move, especially if the MACD line is moving above the signal line.
Long
by LORDOFTHETRADERS
2
USDJPY SHORT Below is a structured, professional top-down analysis of USD/JPY, incorporating the key technical elements from weekly down to the 1-hour timeframe, as well as brief macro considerations. All references to specific price levels, indicators, and potential trade setups are included for clarity. Weekly Timeframe • Ascending Channel • USD/JPY has been trading within a broader ascending channel. After briefly breaking below on July 29, price re-entered this channel around October 7 and continues to respect it. • The overall structure has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, though price is currently at a lower high within the channel. • EMAs & Bollinger Bands • The 20, 50, 100 EMAs on the weekly chart slope upward and are stacked in a bullish configuration, indicating a larger uptrend. • Price remains in the upper Bollinger band, reflecting underlying strength; however, the bands are widening, implying potential for increased volatility. • Momentum & Capital Flows • RSI is above 50 but is currently testing its RSI-based moving average as well as an RSI trendline. A break below could signal deeper weekly correction, although the broader trend remains bullish. • MACD is above zero and bullish but shows signs of weakening momentum near the top. • CMF (Chaikin Money Flow) remains positive, suggesting steady capital inflows despite the recent consolidation. • Macro Context • The interest rate differential favors the U.S. dollar unless the Bank of Japan unexpectedly raises rates (e.g., on October 23). Even with a potential BOJ hike, the overall USD yield advantage may persist unless there is a significant policy shift. Weekly Conclusion The higher timeframe bias is bullish. However, the pair appears to be in a corrective phase (wave 4) within that broader trend, potentially setting up a wave 5 push that could break prior highs, pending confirmation on lower timeframes. Daily Timeframe • Rising Wedge / Channel • On the daily chart, USD/JPY has formed a rising wedge-like structure. Price is currently near 155, with potential downside toward 154 if selling pressure continues. • A cluster of support is found around the lower channel boundary, the 100 EMA, and various Fibonacci retracement levels (0.382 and 0.5). • EMAs & Bollinger Bands • The daily 20, 50, and 100 EMAs remain upward sloping, consistent with a larger bullish bias. • Price has dipped below the 20 EMA, finding intermittent support at the 50 EMA. A decisive reclaim of the 20 EMA could drive a retest of upper channel resistance. Failure to do so may open further downside toward the 100 EMA. • Currently trading near the lower Bollinger band, indicating near-term weakness on the daily timeframe. • Ichimoku • Price remains well above a thick Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting strong long-term support. However, there may be room for further downside before interacting with the Cloud. • Momentum Indicators • RSI sits below 50, indicating a short-term bearish tone. • MACD is in a bearish phase, aligning with the current pullback. • CMF remains positive but is starting to decline, hinting that outflows may briefly exceed inflows. Daily Conclusion The daily structure is still within a larger bullish trend but is undergoing a corrective pullback. A deeper move to the lower boundary of the rising wedge or channel (and possibly the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement) is plausible before resuming the broader uptrend. 4-Hour Timeframe • Bearish Sub-Structure & Order Blocks • After rejecting near 156, price has formed a short-term downtrend channel/structure on the 4H. A clear order block around 154.427 aligns with the lower portion of this channel. • A bounce from that zone could complete the corrective phase before resuming the daily uptrend. • EMAs & Momentum • Price is oscillating around the 200 EMA on the 4H chart. Recent attempts to break below were quickly reversed, but so far, the short-term trend remains bearish. • RSI is below 50, confirming a short-term downward bias. • MACD shows waning bullish momentum, consistent with further downside risk toward support levels. • Potential Short Setup • A retest of the 156 region (daily order block/high-value node) could provide an attractive risk-to-reward short entry targeting ~154.427 or slightly below, contingent on bearish rejection signals. • Tight stop placement above 156.40 – 156.70 helps manage risk in case of an unexpected breakout to the upside. 4-Hour Conclusion The 4H timeframe supports a tactical short opportunity within a broader uptrend. Ideally, traders would wait for a retest of upper resistance to secure a better entry, aiming to catch the final leg of this correction. 1-Hour Timeframe • Minor Trendlines & Bearish Break • The 1H chart confirms multiple breakouts of smaller ascending trendlines, each followed by a retest and a bearish engulfing candle, signaling near-term downward continuation. • Short-term order blocks around 156.39–156.74 may offer entries if price retests them. • ATR Considerations • Current 1H ATR is roughly 0.261, which suggests stops should accommodate the typical volatility. • A proposed entry around 156.3925 with a stop near 156.738 targets the 154.36–154.42 zone, resulting in a risk-to-reward around 2:1, assuming precise trade management and no major fundamental surprises. 1-Hour Conclusion The intraday structure remains bearish, with well-defined levels for a potential short entry. Traders should confirm momentum exhaustion on any retest of 156+ before committing to the position. Overall Synthesis & Next Steps • Weekly Bias: Bullish • Daily & Intraday Bias: Short-term bearish correction • Key Levels: • Upside: 156.00–156.40 (potential retest/short entry zone) • Downside: ~154.40 (4H order block / channel support), possibly 153.70 if momentum accelerates • Trade Approach: • Short Setup: A bounce into 156+ with bearish rejection could offer a compelling short entry. • Longer-Term Upside: Once the correction completes around the 154 region (or slightly lower), look for bullish signals to rejoin the weekly uptrend targeting new highs. Note: Always keep an eye on the macro calendar—particularly interest rate announcements from the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve—as they can shift USD/JPY momentum rapidly. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions can change quickly, and it is vital to employ proper risk management.
Short
by EliteMarketAnalysis
1
Trading Plan: Bullish Breakout for USD/JPYThis trading plan focuses on a bullish breakout scenario, where the price clears the resistance range between 156.275 and 156.608 and targets the completion of the Head and Shoulders pattern. Trading Plan: Bullish Breakout for USD/JPY This trading plan focuses on a bullish breakout scenario, where the price clears the resistance range between 156.275 and 156.608 and targets the completion of the Head and Shoulders pattern. 1. Market Conditions: The current market is consolidating near resistance. A breakout above the 156.608 resistance level signals the potential for a bullish continuation. The target aligns with the expected completion of the Head and Shoulders formation between 157.753 and 158.070. 2. Entry Criteria: Trigger for Entry: Place a buy stop order slightly above the upper resistance level at 156.650. This ensures confirmation of the breakout above the range. 3. Stop Loss Placement: Place the stop loss below the lower range of the support level at 156.100. This level accounts for potential false breakouts and keeps the trade risk-controlled. 4. Take Profit Targets: Target 1 (Conservative): 157.753 (completion of the first measured move in the Head and Shoulders pattern). Target 2 (Aggressive): 158.070 (completion of the full Head and Shoulders pattern). 5. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Entry: 156.650 Stop Loss: 156.100 (50-pip risk) Take Profit Levels: Target 1: 157.753 (110-pip reward) → Risk-to-Reward Ratio = 1:2.2 Target 2: 158.070 (142-pip reward) → Risk-to-Reward Ratio = 1:2.8 6. Trade Execution Plan: Monitor Volume: Ensure volume increases during the breakout to confirm strength. Confirm Momentum: Use indicators like RSI (crossing 50) or MACD bullish crossover for confirmation.
Long
by RNiles
1
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers! I’m glad to have you all here. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - U.S. President Donald Trump announced multiple executive orders during his inauguration, including declaring a national energy and border emergency, repealing mandatory electric vehicle adoption, and withdrawing from the Paris Climate Agreement. However, he postponed imposing tariffs on his first day, instead instructing the investigation of trade relations. - The market predicts potential price corrections depending on the progression of Trump’s tariff policies. - The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its rate decision meeting scheduled for January 23–24. This Week’s Key Economic Event + January 24: Bank of Japan Rate Decision USDJPY Chart Analysis In the recent decline, the pair broke through the support level and dropped to the 154.500 range. It is currently positioned at the lower end of the uptrend, suggesting a potential rebound. However, U.S. President Trump remains a significant factor that could impact the market, so the possibility of a trend reversal should not be ruled out. If the 154.500 range holds as a support, the pair could rise to the 162 range. Conversely, if it breaks below the 154.500 level, the next target could be the 149.000 range.
Long
by shawntime_academy
1
USD/JPY Sell Trade – Targeting 156.42902Pair: USD/JPY 🇺🇸💴 Direction: Short 🔽 Target: 156.42902 🎯 Time Horizon: By Thursday, Jan 23, 07:00 UTC (approx. 9.5 hours) ⏳ USD/JPY has shown recent upward movement but may face resistance, indicating a potential pullback toward the 156.42902 level. Market behavior suggests this move could occur within the next 9.5 hours, aligning with observed price patterns. Keeping an eye on key economic developments that may influence market sentiment and price action. 🔍
Short
by GlobalHorns
4