USDJPY Weekly CLS I Model 2 I Target CLS HighHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY: Bearish Trend ContinuesUSDJPY: Bearish Trend Continues
USDJPY remains in a strong downtrend. Today, the Japanese yen showed strength, pushing USDJPY down by about 120 pips.
This move is likely due to market expectations ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC meeting—investors don’t expect anything significant from Powell’s speech.
USDJPY could rise to the 143.60 zone before dropping again.
Key downside targets: 142.00, 140.00, and 138.00.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical Analysis USD/JPY suggests a bullish outlook based on the following key technical components:
1. Buying Zone: The chart identifies a green rectangular area labeled "BUYING ZONE" just above the 200 EMA (blue line at 144.079). This implies that price retracement into this zone could be an opportunity to go long (buy).
2. Support & Resistance:
Support Level: Clearly marked around 143.00, showing a previous demand area.
Resistance Level: Around the 145.800–146.000 region, price previously rejected here.
3. Bullish Pattern: The curved arrow suggests the formation of a bullish continuation pattern (possibly a cup & handle or flag), with the expectation of a breakout toward the upside.
4. Target Point: The target is projected at 148.153, implying a potential move of approximately 291.7 pips from the buying zone—suggesting a favorable risk-reward ratio.
5. RSI Indicator: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently around 55, not in the overbought zone, indicating more room for upside movement.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary of Idea:
Strategy: Buy near 145.00–145.20 (Buying Zone).
Stop Loss: Just below the 200 EMA or the lower bound of the green zone.
Take Profit: Near the 148.153 target.
Confirmation: Wait for bullish confirmation/candlestick reversal in the buying zone.
Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY Buy Opportunity Above 143.525Entry Point: 143.525 (unchanged)
Stop Loss: 141.847 (unchanged)
Target Point One (TP1): 145.063 (unchanged)
Final Target (TP2): Now refined to 147.883 instead of 147.894 — a small, precise update.
📈 Pattern and Structure:
Cup-and-handle formation still intact, indicating a continuation pattern.
Support confirmation at the 143.5 zone, showing a potential base for a bullish reversal.
The chart shows strong upside projection toward the resistance band near 147.8–148.0, highlighted with the upper purple zone.
📊 Risk-Reward Profile:
Risk (Entry to SL): 143.525 – 141.847 = 1.678
Reward (Entry to TP2): 147.883 – 143.525 = 4.358
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 4.358 / 1.678 ≈ 2.6R — a favorable risk/reward setup.
🧠 Trade Notes:
Entry is slightly above a demand zone.
First target is conservative, near a known resistance.
Final target aligns with prior highs and the broader ascending wedge’s upper bound.
Timing suggests the bullish push may unfold over the next few sessions (likely May 6–8 range, as curved arrow indicates a rounded retest/bounce scenario)
Impatience Tax in Trading: The Costs of Clicking Too SoonHave you ever thought that maybe some of your losses don’t come from bad trades? Rather, they come from good trades, timed badly?
You see the setup, the signal’s almost there, the MACD is leaning in, the candle is flirting with support — and boom, you click. Early. Too early.
Price dips a bit more and then shoots upward like a rocket. Your stop gets triggered — you just paid the impatience tax.
Welcome to the place where you get taxed for being impatient — a very real, very expensive fee traders pay when their fingers move faster than their reasoning.
🤫 The Impatience Tax — A Silent Killer Dressed as Urgency
The impatience tax doesn’t appear on your statement. You won’t see it listed in your commissions, or under slippage, or labeled in red ink like a realized loss. But rest assured, it’s there — nibbling away at your P&L every time you front-run your own strategy.
And the worst part? It feels productive. You’re taking initiative, showing conviction, being bold. Except what you're really doing is lighting good setups on fire because you couldn’t wait for one more candle to close.
🧬 The Anatomy of an Early Click
Here’s how it usually goes:
You spot a setup.
You get excited.
You skip the checklist.
You enter on the 3rd candle instead of the 5th.
The market fakes out.
You get stopped out.
The market then does exactly what you expected — without you.
Every trader has lived this story. And it hurts more than a loss from a bad trade. Because this wasn’t a bad idea. It was a good idea butchered by bad timing.
🤝 Impatience Loves Company (And Volatility)
Impatience tends to thrive in fast markets. When the price is moving, you feel like you need to act. You notice some breaking news that moves markets, charts start to jiggle and tickers flash — suddenly your FOMO glands kick in.
You’re not waiting for confirmation. You’re reacting — to price, to emotion, to fear of missing out.
It’s not just beginners either. Even seasoned traders occasionally get sucked in. Why? Because the brain is wired to avoid missing opportunities more than it’s wired to avoid losses. We want in. Now. Before it's “too late.”
But here’s a pro secret: the markets tend to always give second chances. You just have to be around to take them.
⏰ Why the Best Traders Wait
Let’s talk about patience. Not the zen-monk, meditate-in-a-cave-for-years kind. The market kind.
The kind that says: “Nope, not yet.”
The kind that closes the platform until the London session starts.
The kind that lets a trade go because it didn’t meet all the criteria — even if it was close.
Top traders aren’t paid for activity. They’re paid for precision. The entry is 90% of the battle. If you win there, the rest is just management.
🧐 How to Identify an Impatience Habit
Want to know if you’re paying the impatience tax regularly? Try this:
Look at your last 10 triggered stop loss orders: How many were within a few ticks of reversal?
Count your trades per day: Are you averaging more than your strategy demands?
Review your entry notes: Did you say things like “close enough” or “looks good”?
If the answer is yes, you’re a tax-paying member of the Impatience Society.
👷♂️ Build a Buffer: Taming the Trigger Finger
So how do you stop paying the Impatience Tax?
Start with structure:
Use time-based confirmations. Wait for the candle to close. A candle halfway formed is a lie detector test mid-question.
Have a rule-based checklist. If a trade doesn’t meet every item, you don’t take it. No exceptions.
Use alerts , not entries. Let the price come to you. Your job is to hunt, not chase.
Trade fewer setups, better. Less is more when each trade has meaning and clarity.
And when in doubt? Wait. The worst that happens is you miss one trade. The best that happens is you finally stop losing money edge by edge.
💵 Impatience Is Expensive. Patience Is Profitable.
The market is designed to reward discipline, not urgency. Speed might help you scalp news reactions, but even that requires planned execution. Unchecked impatience is just impulse with a brokerage account.
It's important to always remember that you’re not trying to win this trade. You’re trying to win this game for the long run.
And winning the game means surviving long enough to let your edge play out — with patience, not panic.
💎 Final Thoughts: Don’t Confuse Action with Progress
The financial markets are a cruel place for dopamine seekers. They offer constant motion, flashing lights, and infinite temptation to click before thinking.
But progress isn’t about how many trades you take — it’s about how many good ones you wait for.
So next time your mouse finger twitches, ask yourself: Is this the plan? Or is this impatience disguised as opportunity seeking instant gratification?
Because every early click is a donation to someone else’s P&L.
👉 Your turn : What’s your best (or worst) story of jumping the gun? How have you built patience into your process — or are you still wrestling with the trigger? Let us know in the comments!
USD/JPY) Bullish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 2-hour timeframe, and it presents a bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and the idea behind the analysis:
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1. Ascending Channel Formation
The price is trading within an ascending channel, suggesting a controlled uptrend.
Higher highs and higher lows confirm the trend structure.
2. Key Support and Fair Value Gap (FVG)
There’s a well-identified support level where price has bounced before (highlighted in yellow).
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone is marked slightly above the support level, which could act as a short-term demand area.
Price is currently pulling back into this zone, potentially setting up a buying opportunity.
3. EMA 200 Support
The 200 EMA (~143.78) is acting as dynamic support just below the current price.
If price drops further, this level may offer strong technical support.
4. RSI Momentum
RSI is above 50 (currently 56.37), supporting the bullish trend and showing room for continued upside.
5. Target Point
The chart anticipates a bounce off the support/FVG zone and a rally toward the upper boundary of the channel, targeting 147.153.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary of the Idea:
This is a bullish continuation setup within an uptrend channel. The analyst expects a potential long entry around the FVG/support zone, with a target at the channel top (147.15). Confluence from the EMA 200, RSI, and previous structure supports this bullish bias.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY – The Market Doesn't Always Need to Hunt Full LiquiditySometimes, the market doesn’t need to take out the full daily or weekly low to validate a bullish structure.
In fact, a partial tap into a liquidity zone can be more than enough for smart money to start pumping price aggressively.
In this USDJPY setup, we observe a clean rejection right at the midpoint of a key liquidity area. This suggests that institutional interest has already been partially activated.
I entered with a realistic understanding that timing might not be perfect — we never know the exact moment — but candlestick behavior gives us a powerful edge.
✅ Trade Breakdown:
• Entry: 143.12
• TP1: 145.497
• TP2: 147.727
• Final Target: 150.499
• SL: 141.793
📌 Strategy Insight:
In uncertain markets, it's not about the perfect entry.
It's about reading intentions through candle sequences and structure reaction.
I may refine the entry throughout the week — but the macro directional bias remains bullish, aiming toward the full extension above 150.00.
USDJPY Retest of Supply Zone Before Bearish ContinuationUSDJPY pair is reacting to key supply around 143.70–144.00 but shows signs of weakness after failing to hold above this level. With renewed risk-off sentiment and escalating global trade tensions—especially involving Japan and the U.S.—this pair may be setting up for a bearish continuation. Here's what both the chart and macro backdrop suggest.
📊 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart)
Key Supply Zone Retested:
The pair retraced into a previously broken structure zone (blue box), rejecting the 143.70–144.00 area multiple times.
Price is now forming lower highs, indicating bearish pressure building beneath resistance.
Bearish Continuation Pattern:
Price action resembles a bear flag, with a minor pullback likely before continuation lower.
A retest of 143.00–143.50 could serve as an ideal sell zone.
Major Support Levels:
142.04–142.02: Immediate support, already tested.
140.16: Key structure low from late April.
138.04: Final measured move target based on Fibonacci extension and prior demand zone.
Bearish Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: 143.00–143.50
Stop: Above 145.35
TP1: 142.00
TP2: 140.15
TP3: 138.00
🌐 Macro Fundamentals
Trump Tariffs Stir Instability:
President Trump is pressing Japan in trade talks with threats of new tariffs, already impacting investor confidence
A 25% tariff on Japanese auto exports has gone into effect, disrupting trade negotiations.
Urgency for a Deal, But No Progress Yet:
Trump says multiple deals are “coming,” but little substance has emerged. Analysts fear economic fallout and potential global recession if tensions continue
JPY Strengthening on Safe-Haven Flows:
With U.S. economic indicators weakening and global uncertainty rising, the yen may benefit from risk aversion.
✅ Summary
USDJPY remains vulnerable to downside continuation from the 143–144 resistance zone. If price breaks below 142.00 again with conviction, expect momentum to build toward 140.15 and potentially 138.00.
USD/JPY : More Bullish Move Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price moved exactly as expected — first correcting down to the 142.5 area, and then rallying strongly to hit the 146.2 target. Currently, this pair is trading around 145.2, and if the price can hold above 145, we can still expect further upside movement on USDJPY. The next potential targets are 148.7 and 150 respectively. This analysis will be updated. The total return of this analysis so far has been over 720 pips!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USD/JPY 4H Analysis: Demand Zone Re-Test Before Bullish Continua1. Trend Channel
🔼 Uptrend: The pair is moving inside an ascending channel.
▪️ Support: Lower boundary of the channel.
▪️ Resistance: Upper boundary of the channel.
2. Recent Price Action
🔴 Pullback: After reaching the top at 146.199, price is retracing.
📉 Price is now heading toward the Demand Zone.
3. Demand Zone
🟦 Demand Zone (142.405 – 143.180):
This zone could act as a strong support
Buyers might step in here
Watch for bullish patterns or rejections around this area
4. EMA 70
📏 EMA 70 (143.568) is slightly below current price (143.949) — this may offer temporary support/resistance.
5. Target
🎯 Target Point: 146.194
If price bounces from demand zone, this is the next bullish target.
Possible Scenario
1. 🔽 Price dips into the Demand Zone
2. 🟢 Bullish bounce → Confirm with candlestick signals
3. 🚀 Upside move targeting 146.194
USDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSUSDJPY is currently trading around 145.300 and showing clear signs of bearish pressure from the upper resistance of a broad ascending channel. The market structure suggests a potential rejection, and price action confirms the formation of a rising wedge pattern—a classically bearish setup indicating an upcoming correction. With momentum slowing and sellers starting to step in, I anticipate a move toward the 143.500 zone as price seeks support near the lower trendline.
From a fundamental standpoint, the US dollar is experiencing slight weakness today following softer-than-expected jobless claims data and a cooling CPI projection. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is finding strength from renewed risk-off sentiment and speculation that the Bank of Japan may subtly shift its ultra-loose stance if inflationary pressures persist. This macro backdrop adds more weight to the potential downside in USDJPY over the next few sessions.
Technically, the price has tested the 146.000 resistance zone multiple times but failed to break above it with conviction. This repeated rejection near the top of the channel adds credibility to the bearish outlook. A breakdown from the rising wedge would likely accelerate selling pressure, pushing USDJPY toward the 143.500 level, which aligns well with previous demand zones and the channel’s lower boundary.
I’m closely watching for confirmation below the 145.000 level, which would act as a trigger for short positions. With risk-reward favoring the bears and fundamentals aligning with the technical setup, this is a solid opportunity for those looking to capitalize on a potential pullback in USDJPY.
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDJPY?
On the USD/JPY chart, we observe a breakdown of the ascending channel, which could signal a potential trend reversal and growing bearish momentum.
Currently, the price is pulling back to the broken level.
Given the overall bearish structure, we expect the downtrend to resume after the pullback completes, potentially targeting lower support levels in the sessions ahead.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
USDJPY Weekly CLS I Continuation setup I Target Weekly CLS HighHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
USDJPY: Bullish Continuation Confirmed?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY looks bullish after a test of a recently broken resistance.
The price formed a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame
after its test and violated a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern then.
I believe that the pair will continue growing.
Goal - 145.8
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY Smart Money Short Setup | 30m OB + FVG Reaction🧠 USDJPY 30m SMC Setup | May 9, 2025
We’ve got a high-probability short brewing as price taps the premium zone and aligns with multiple Smart Money Concepts. A clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) is sitting inside a bearish Order Block, with price aggressively wicking into it — right where institutions unload.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🧱 Bearish Order Block rejection in premium
⚡ Fair Value Gap filled at 145.910
💰 Risk-to-Reward ~1:4+, targeting discounted zone
🧲 Liquidity sweep + FVG fill = SM distribution trigger
⏳ Entry timing aligned with NY session reaction
📊 Setup Specs:
Pair: USDJPY
Timeframe: 30 min
Entry: 145.910 (after FVG fill)
SL: ~146.246
TP: ~144.440
RR: Approx. 1:4.5
💡 Smart Money Logic:
Price filled a clean imbalance zone, ran liquidity from earlier highs, and instantly showed distribution behavior. If momentum confirms with a bearish break, this becomes a high-conviction short.
📈 Chart Ninja Note:
“FVG + OB is where the banks sell while the crowd buys… don’t be the crowd.”
USDJPY Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Buy SetupUSDJPY Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Buy Setup
Price tapped into key support around 142.29 and rejected strongly with a bullish engulfing on the 1H chart. This level has held as strong demand multiple times.
We entered a buy expecting price to break through the descending trendline, with confluence from stochastic oversold and bullish divergence building.
If momentum holds, we anticipate a breakout to 145.43 and beyond as clean traffic lies above.
Classic reversal play — support bounce + trendline breakout in progress.
USD/JPY Trendline Resistance - 145.00 SupportUSD/JPY has been tricky this year as the pair has brewed several bear traps and there's even been some bull traps along the way. Trading breakouts in a market like that can be even more frustrating than usual, as a case in point the 140.00 test from a few weeks ago was a brutal false breakout that then led to a 500+ pip reversal.
Last week's Bank of Japan meeting was followed by this week's FOMC meeting and the net result of the two was a stronger USD/JPY, and for the second consecutive week the pair found resistance on the underside of a trendline projection.
But perhaps more notably, the same 145.00 level that bulls could not hold above a week ago showed up as support into the end of this week. I wouldn't want to call the weekly bar as a purely bullish item, however, as it has more of a spinning top/indecisive type of nature. But - given that it closed green for a third week in a row and held above 145, we have to give bulls some credit here, and the door would remain open for a deeper run towards the 146.75 prior swing low. - js