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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY key levels to watch after powerful rallyThe USD/JPY has rallied decisively today, aided by the shift in Japanese bond sentiment. The pair has broken several short-term levels and moving averages. At the time of writing, it was trading bang in the middle of the 144.00 -144.80 resistance area, formerly support. We also have the 21-day exponential moving average residing here. As things stand, the next key upside target for the USD/JPY is now positioned near the 145 mark. Should price approach or breach it, we might begin to see growing confidence among longer-term bulls. On the downside, key support is seen around the 142.50 level. Bearish below towards 140.00 next. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
USDJPY Is Bearish! Short! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 30m Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 142.838. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 142.464 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, US100, BITCOIN, GBPJPY Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #USDJPY 4H time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵 I see a strong bullish reaction to a key daily/intraday horizontal support. A formation of a high momentum bullish candle and a violation of a resistance line of a bullish flag indicate a highly probable rise to higher levels. 2️⃣ #US100 #NASDAQ Index 4H time frame I spotted one more bullish flag on US100. Its resistance was violated yesterday and we already see a strong buying interest. I think that the market will rise more, at least to a current local high. 3️⃣ #BITCOIN #BTCUSD daily time frame The price nicely respected a confluence zone based on a rising trend line and a recently broken horizontal structure. Probabilities will be high that the market will continue rising from that. 4️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵 The price nicely respected a solid rising trend line. I see a breakout attempt of a minor daily horizontal resistance. IF a daily candle closes above that, it will provide a strong bullish confirmation. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
USDJPY | FVG + OB + Weak Low Target = Textbook SMC Setup📊 USDJPY | 1H Bearish Play – Smart Money In Control We’re seeing a classic setup where price retraces into a bearish zone of confluence and prepares for a selloff toward internal liquidity. Check the breakdown: 🔻 1. Structure Shift Confirmed Price broke structure on the downside after forming a lower high Current move is a retracement into discount OB zone Clear rejection is forming, signaling short momentum incoming 🟪 2. Zone Confluence 📌 Order Block (OB): Sitting just under the 61.8% Fib 📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Mitigated perfectly 📌 Fib Retracement: Price reacts between 61.8% and 70.5% — classic Smart Money play 📌 Previous Demand Turned Supply: This level is now acting as a rejection zone This is stacked confluence — just how Smart Money likes to move. 💣 3. Entry Strategy Entry Zone: 142.55 (midpoint of the OB reaction area) Stop Loss: Above 143.443 (above OB + liquidity wick) Take Profit: 139.888 (weak low, previous liquidity resting point) ⚖️ 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) 🎯 TP = 139.888 📍 Entry = 142.550 🔐 SL = 143.443 ✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5 A great example of high-probability short setup using pure Smart Money logic. 📉 5. Why This Works Retail traders will try to long at this zone hoping for a breakout Smart Money uses this zone to engineer liquidity They tap into the FVG/OB, then target internal liquidity and weak lows Clean, controlled sell-off expected down to 139.888 🧠 SMC Insights This chart is all about liquidity engineering: Push up into OB Reject at premium pricing Drive down to weak low to collect stops Possibly reverse or continue trend from there 💬 Comment “FVG TAP + OB = 🔥” if you spotted this setup early 💾 Save it before the drop happens 📤 Share with a fellow SMC trader who needs this breakdown
Short
by ChartNinjas88
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 27, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) is attracting fresh buyers in Tuesday's Asian session following the release of strong inflation data. Additionally, comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda left the door open for further policy tightening by the central bank. This is in sharp contrast to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to cut interest rates this year, and is proving to be a key factor that is providing a nice lift for the yen. In addition, persistent geopolitical risks related to the protracted war between Russia and Ukraine and conflicts in the Middle East are contributing to the yen's safe haven status. The US dollar (USD), on the other hand, remains near its lowest level since April 22 amid concerns over the deteriorating US fiscal situation. This contributes to the USD/JPY pair's fall to 142.000, or more than a one-month low, and supports the prospects for further losses. Trading recommendation: SELL 143.300, SL 143.900, TP 142.000
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY InsightWelcome, dear subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe. Key Points - U.S. President Trump announced a delay of the 50% tariff, which he had warned would take effect from June 1, until July 9. - Nvidia’s earnings will be released after the market closes on the 28th, drawing attention as a potential catalyst for increased risk appetite. - At the opening of the two-day conference themed “New Challenges in Monetary Policy” on the 27th, BOJ Governor Ueda stated that "Japan’s inflation is closer to the target than at any time in the past 30 years," and added, "As economic activity and prices improve, we will adjust the level of monetary easing as necessary to achieve the sustainable 2% inflation target, within the range that reinforces confidence in our baseline scenario based on incoming data." Key Economic Events This Week + May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes + May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP + May 30: U.S. April PCE Price Index USDJPY Chart Analysis While it initially seemed like a short-term uptrend was forming with 149 as the peak, the pair broke below the 144 level, failing to establish the uptrend. The breakdown below the support line suggests a possible decline toward the 140 level. After reaching the low, we will need to monitor the situation, but a rebound is expected at this point. If the 140 level is breached, we will quickly develop a new strategy.
Short
by shawntime_academy
USDJPY 30M chart PTTERNGot it! You've shared several screenshots of a USDJPY trading setup in a 30-minute timeframe, highlighting entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels. It looks like a potential long (buy) trade idea. Here’s what I see: The current price is around 142.5. A stop-loss is placed below 142 (around 141.843). The first take-profit target seems to be around 143.5. The second take-profit target is closer to 144.5. The overall risk/reward ratio appears to be favorable, with a risk of ~0.6 points for a potential gain of ~2 points. If you’re looking for a detailed analysis of the trade setup, let me know!
Long
by money_magnet2
USDJPY – Targeting Structure Break for ABC Sell Setup 📉 USDJPY – Targeting Structure Break for ABC Sell Setup 📉 🔹 Timeframe: 30M 🔹 Methodology: Elliott Wave + AO + Structure Break + BBMA ⸻ 🔍 Current Market Outlook: I’m currently observing Wave 4 playing out as a complex correction. Price is pushing toward the key level 142.796, which I expect to break structure (BOS) to the upside. Once that level is cleared, I’ll be watching closely for signs of an ABC corrective move to form — setting up a high-probability sell opportunity aligned with the final Wave 5 leg. ⸻ 🧠 Key Technical Highlights: ✅ Wave Count: • Wave 3 is confirmed by the strongest momentum on the AO • Wave 4 is unfolding and approaching structure at 142.796 • AO shows decreasing bullish momentum, hinting at possible exhaustion ✅ Plan: • Wait for break above 142.796 • Monitor for completion of ABC correction • Enter short after C-leg confirmation • TP at 1.618–1.786 Fib extension zone (141.818–141.614) • Anticipating bullish divergence on AO by the end of Wave 5 ⸻ 📌 Confluence Checklist: ✔️ Wave theory ✔️ BOS expected ✔️ Fibonacci targets ✔️ AO divergence setting up ✔️ BBMA structure alignment ⸻ 🎯 Strategy Summary: Break 142.796 ➝ Spot ABC ➝ Enter short on C ➝ Ride Wave 5 ➝ TP @ extension zone ⸻ 💬 Share your thoughts—Are you seeing the same potential Wave 5 setup? Let’s discuss. 👉 Follow me for clean structure-based analysis, BBMA setups, and advanced wave insights. #USDJPY #ElliottWave #ForexSetup #WaveAnalysis #BBMA #AOindicator #MarketStructure #BreakOfStructure #SmartMoney #SellTheRally #Wave5 #ForexStrategy
Short
by AwesomeOscDad
USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 145.469. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 142.516 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY – Bearish Channel Holds, Eyes on Support BreakUSDJPY is currently trading within a clearly defined bearish channel on the 3H timeframe, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. After a slight bounce from the 142.50 support zone, the price is now heading toward the 143.30 resistance area — which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. This is a zone likely to face rejection and renewed selling pressure. On the news front, Moody’s recently downgraded the U.S. credit rating due to concerns over prolonged budget deficits, putting pressure on the USD. Although the interest rate gap between the Fed and the BoJ still favors the dollar, current market sentiment is making it harder for USDJPY to maintain a strong rally. If the 143.30 resistance holds, the price is likely to be pushed back down to retest the 141.07 support zone — a previous low and the lower boundary of the descending channel. A confirmed break below this level would signal further downside, with the next target below the 140.00 mark.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Bullish bounce off overlap support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 142.12 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 140.16 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 145% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 144.58 Why we lik eit: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY Pullback? Watch OB + Fib Confluence for the Next Buy WaveUSDJPY | 30-Min Chart – Smart Money Buy Setup in Progress After a sharp bullish rally, USDJPY is setting up for a classic retracement buy scenario. We're now watching a key confluence zone between Fibonacci levels, a bullish order block, and internal trend structure — all lining up for a high-probability long setup. 🔍 Trade Breakdown: 📉 Pullback Expected Before Next Rally: Price rejected near short-term resistance and is retracing from local highs. Retracement aligns with key OB + 61.8–79% Fib zone = institutional entry zone. 🟣 Order Block (OB) Demand Zone: 143.086 – 142.828 Last bullish candle before explosive rally = demand OB. OB sits within premium Fib retracement = Smart Money buy zone. 📐 Fibonacci Levels (Swing Low to High): 61.8% ≈ 143.200 70.5% ≈ 143.000 79% ≈ 142.828 This is the kill zone for institutional longs — where Smart Money typically enters before expansion. 🔵 Projected Play: Retracement to OB/Fib confluence. Bullish rejection from OB zone. Impulse move targeting previous highs and beyond. 💡 Target Level: 144.396 (sits just above prior high and aligns with -27% Fib extension) 📉 Current Bias: Short-term retracement ➝ Mid-term bullish continuation Expecting price to dip into OB then launch. 🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan: 🔹 Entry Zone: 143.086 – 142.828 🔻 SL Below: 142.650 (below OB/Fib + structure wick) 📈 Target: 144.396 ⚖️ RRR: 1:3+ — high confluence risk-managed buy 🔍 Technical Confluence Checklist: ✅ OB demand zone ✅ 61.8–79% retracement ✅ Bullish market structure ✅ Internal channel support ✅ Momentum slow before entry 📍 Save this chart — don’t chase, let price come to you 💬 Comment if you're watching this OB too 👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for precision-based setups daily
Long
by ChartNinjas88
USD/JPYthis pair is on a bullish on a weekly to monthly time frame bearish on a daily so it could go either way im looking for the price right now to hit a ristence like it already has to push down from the 144.859 to 143.999 to either retrace bullish as i do believe overal the market is bullish HOWEVER SHOULD The price go even more bearish to break past the 143.999 to furthur hit a major surport line 142.581 i would be waiting for a a big bullish move to head back towards the 144.000 mark i would set a risk to reward at 1:2 again and see where the market takes us
by andrevella
Week 23 USDJPY technical analysis 07062025On the daily time frame, I see price turn from 139.992 which I call support and resistance is 161.593. Market refused to travel up to this price level, making a stop at 158.498 which I can call my new resistance or supply zone. My immediate supply zone or the nearest bus stop price may turn is 148.162. Last week $:USDJPY was pulled back to 142.5 before resuming bullishness hitting the high of the week at 145. Three scenarios are expected. Using Elliot wave, I can expect the price to do one of the following Continue its bullish move to the next supply zone of 146.25 Pull back to at least 143.75 using Fibonacci. If dealers break above 145, pull back needs to be recalculated. Hold price levels at 145 before playing scenario 1 or 2 Is UJ bullish? yes overall. How to trade the pair? Wait for the pullback before buying. I am betting price may pullback to 143. If it does, I am ready to ride the baby up to 146 (300 pips baby) If it doesn't pull back, buy stop from 145.1 - 146, stop loss 144.75 If you love my analysis, give it a boost to help others. If you disagree with my analysis, let me know what you think. Disclaimer: Not a trading advice, educational purposes only.
Long
by topekekere