USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 141.912.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 145.882 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for April 23, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) declined against its US counterpart for a second straight day on Wednesday and retreated further from the multi-month peak reached the previous day. The Trump administration officials' comforting comments on US-China trade talks triggered a sharp rebound in global risk sentiment, which in turn had a strong impact on traditional safe-haven assets, including the yen. Moreover, a slight recovery in the US dollar (USD) from multi-year lows, supported by easing concerns over Federal Reserve (Fed) independence, pushed the USD/JPY pair to a one-week high, a level above 143.000 during the Asian session.
Growing optimism that the US and Japan are moving closer to a temporary trade agreement is helping the yen, which reacted weakly to unimpressive domestic PMIs, to pause its intraday decline. In addition, strengthening expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates in 2025 is keeping JPY bears from betting aggressively. Meanwhile, investors are losing confidence in the US economy amid Trump's rapidly shifting stance on trade policy. This, as well as bets that the Fed will soon resume its rate-cutting cycle, is holding back the dollar and taking the USD/JPY pair below 142.000 in the last hour.
Trading recommendation: SELL 141.700, SL 142.100, TP 140.500
Long trade
Trade Overview: USDJPY Long Position
Entry Price: 140.312
Profit Target: 143.185 (+2.05%)
Stop Loss: 139.891 (โ0.30%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 6.82
๐ Entry Time: 2:00 PM
๐
Date: Tuesday, 22nd April 2025
๐ Session: Tokyo PM
โฑ Observed Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
USDJPY showed a bullish internal break of structure on the 5-minute timeframe, confirming short-term strength and suggesting a shift in intraday trend.
Whykoff narrative
Dollar bounces back after Euro and Yen hit key levels | FX ReseaTrading conditions are getting back to fuller form following the Easter break. After taking another big beating in the holiday-thin trade, we're finally seeing some profit-taking on US dollar shorts from shorter-term accounts. We havenโt seen the euro above 1.15 or dollar-yen below 140 for some time, which could be adding to the excuse for some mild profit-taking. It's also possible the buck is feeling a little better with US equity futures pointing up. After all the recent narrative has been selling everything US, so a bounce in stocks could very well be helping the dollar to recover.
A Japanese Ministry of Finance survey revealed President Trumpโs tariffs are already hurting about 10% of Japanese firms, with auto companies reporting cancelled orders and reduced factory hours. Tourism businesses are also fearing a stronger yen could deter visitors.
Meanwhile, Trump has continued to pressure the Federal Reserve, warning of an economic slowdown unless interest rates are cut immediately. In Germany, the government downgraded its 2025 economic outlook to stagnation from a prior 0.3% growth forecast. In the UK, BOEโs Green noted a weaker dollar could ease UK inflation but expressed concern over rising inflation expectations.
Looking ahead, we get a round of Fed speakers including Jefferson, Harker, Kashkari, Barkin, and Cougler, who are all likely to defend Fed Chair Powell and stress the Fedโs independence.
USDJPY Case StudyHey guys!
Trendline traders would be profited from this UJ trade last week or today.
The market structure before the supply zone that I draw was a messy, don't you agree?
I would not consider this supply zone to enter the trade. But, if you draw a trendline and the supply zone automatically aligns with the break of the trendline, it became the place where trendline traders put their sell limit to join the bearish moves. It was a beauty. As of now, my target is only 2RR for my small funded account, so yeah it is easy to achieve.
The supply zone met my requirement as below:
1. Supply was left with imbalance followed by break of structure to the downside.
2. After supply zone, there was SBR level present. SBR traders would benefited from this zone.
3. Price approaching in clean structure or candles.
Btw, I am not taking this trade since I draw my supply zone without try to place a trendline on the market structure before it.
What is your goal this week?
Mine still the same. Trade the same setup, if setup no present, I will continue watching "traders motivation videos".
USDJPY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategiesUSD/JPY has recently witnessed a notable downtrend from the high of 158.8 ๐. (๐signals๐)
Considering the market expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut and the potential continued tightening of monetary policy by the Bank of Japan, USD/JPY is likely to fluctuate and consolidate within the range of 140.00 - 145.00. Due to the recent enhancement of short-term buying power and the CCI indicator being in the oversold area ๐, one can attempt to go long with a light position when the exchange rate approaches the range of 141.650 - 142.00 ๐. Set the stop-loss below 141.60, target at 143.30, and if broken through, further target at 144.50 ๐ฏ.
Trading Strategy:
buy@141.650 - 142.00
TP:143.30-144.50
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
๐ signals๐
USD/JPY: A Reversal of a 10-Year TrendUSD/JPY is down nearly 10% from its January 2025 highs at 157, now trading just above the 140 threshold. The currency pair is testing the base of a 10-year rising wedge, and its recent failure to reclaim support at 148.83 is concerning.
Structural Breakdown: If 140 is lost, the potential downside opens to 135, 132, and 127. The last time this pair broke similar structural levels was in 2016โ2017, during a major dollar correction.
Macro Pressure: A hawkish BoJ and collapsing US yields are reversing the carry trade. Demand for the Yen as a haven asset is rising amid volatility and equity losses.
USDJPY 1WUSDJPY Weekly Analysis: Potential Long Opportunity
On the weekly timeframe, USDJPY has impulsively closed the previous month's low and reached one of the potential zones of interest. This is where I plan to start accumulating long positions.
Target: My primary target is 158.39, which aligns with a key imbalance zone.
Tomorrow, I will share more detailed insights and specifics on a local timeframe to refine entry points and further validate the setup.
Stay tuned for updates!
USDJPY4HJPYUSD 4H Local Timeframe Analysis
On the 4-hour local timeframe, after clearing liquidity in the form of last month's low, I am considering a long position from the weekly order block. On the local timeframe, the entry is planned at the OTE level.
On the 1-hour timeframe, there is a shift in character (CHOCH), signaling a potential reversal. However, I am cautious as this shift may be false. A change in character often points to a possible market reversal, but confirmation is key.
Trade Plan:
This is a long-term trade, so we will manage risk carefully. The risk per trade is limited to 1% of the deposit, with the stop-loss placed beyond the boundary of the weekly order block.
Targets:
Target 1: 155.88This is a slightly challenging level as it contains an OTE zone, where a reversal is possible, though unlikely. Upon reaching this target, the stop-loss will be moved to breakeven, securing the trade.
Target 2: 156.75At this level, 30% of the position will be closed to lock in profits.
Final Target: 158.87This corresponds to the imbalance on the weekly timeframe. The position will be fully closed at this level.
Summary:
By following this plan, risk is minimized, and profits are strategically secured along the way. The long setup is based on higher timeframe confluences and potential price reversals indicated by changes in market structure.
Expanding Channel Broken โ Bulls Gaining GroundThe market has officially broken out of the expanding channel to the upside, signaling a shift in sentiment. This breakout could attract momentum buyers, especially if price holds above the previous resistance zone. With fundamentals aligning, we might be looking at the start of a broader bullish continuation. Eyes on retest