USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY Weekly CLS I Continuation setup I Target Weekly CLS HighHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
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🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
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They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
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USDJPY H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 143.63, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 141.81, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 145.49, an overlap resistance.
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USDJPY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Technically speaking, the USD/JPY has been blocked by the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart for three consecutive trading days. The RSI has broken below the neutral level of 50, indicating that the bears are in the dominant position. Fundamentally, the global geopolitical risks have escalated, leading to the inflow of safe-haven funds into the Japanese yen. Moreover, the Bank of Japan maintains a dovish stance, while the policy direction of the Federal Reserve is unclear. The FOMC meeting will be held this week. In terms of trading operations, one can lightly open a short position near 143.50.
Trading Strategy:
sell@144.500-143.5000
TP:142.5000-141.7500
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Simple and clear as making tea, 4hr1. Market Structure & Patterns
• Bearish Structure:
The pair has been consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend. I follow structure first — it gives the most reliable roadmap before looking at patterns or indicators.
• Bearish Flags (Continuation Patterns):
These are rising channels within a downtrend, usually forming after a strong impulse drop. Think of them as “breathers” before price continues down.
Every flag here broke down, confirming that sellers are still in control after short pullbacks.
• Rejection Zones (Supply Areas):
Marked in pink, these zones are where price previously reversed sharply. Every time price returns to these levels, it shows hesitation or reversal, especially when followed by a bearish candle or wick rejection.
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2. Strong Levels & Liquidity Zones
• Liquidity Zones:
Areas like 140.450 are key because price reacted strongly there in the past — either as a turning point or a fakeout. These zones often hold pending orders, so I mark them as targets for potential bounces or breakouts.
• Confluence of Structure + Liquidity:
When a strong level (like previous demand) lines up with a structural level (like a lower low), it becomes a high-probability target.
• Dynamic Resistance (Trendlines/Channels):
The upper trendline of the flag acted as a form of resistance. Once price broke below it and retested the area, it confirmed a potential continuation.
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3. Fundamentals (Light Touch )
• USD Side:
Recent uncertainty around Fed rate cuts, inflation reports, and mixed labor data have caused the USD to fluctuate, but overall sentiment is leaning slightly dovish. This weakens the USD.
• JPY Side:
The Bank of Japan has started hinting at a possible shift away from ultra-loose policy, which could strengthen the Yen in the medium term.
• Macro Context:
If global risk sentiment turns negative (e.g., stocks fall or geopolitical tensions rise), safe-haven flows into JPY typically increase.
Together, these fundamentals support the technical bearish outlook on USDJPY in the short to mid term.
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Final Thoughts
This setup is built on:
• Clean structure
• Pattern recognition
• Key zone reactions
• Light macro context
Patience and confirmation are key — I wait for price to reject zones and form clear price action (like bearish engulfing or strong wicks) before executing.
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#USDJPY #ForexEducation #BearishSetup #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #TradingPatterns #FundamentalAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #LiquidityZones #PriceActionTrader
USD-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY has fallen down
Sharply and the pair is
Locally oversold so after
It hits the horizontal support
Of 141.800 a local bullish
Correction is to be expected
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at both daily and weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 144.000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.63
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart is a technical analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on a 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the chart:
Pattern Identified: An inverse head and shoulders pattern, often seen as a bullish reversal signal.
Support Zone: The green horizontal zone near 142.870 suggests strong buying interest; price has tested and bounced from it multiple times.
Entry Point: Indicated by the last green arrow (right shoulder bounce), suggesting a long (buy) position.
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (highlighted in red), protecting against a downward breakout.
Take Profit Levels:
First at approximately 144.750 (minor resistance).
Final target at around 145.856, which aligns with a previous high.
This setup aims to capitalize on the bullish reversal pattern with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Would you like help calculating the exact risk-reward ratio for this trade?
USD/JPY..4h Chart pattern..### **USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bearish Setup**
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Break of Structure:**
- **H4 Chart:** Price broke below the **lower trendline of the ascending channel**, signaling a potential trend reversal.
- **Alligator Indicator (Williams):**
- **Lips crossed below Jaw** → Confirms bearish momentum.
- **Chaikin Oscillator:**
- **Fell below 0** → Indicates selling pressure and outflow.
2. **Daily Chart – Bearish Flag Pattern:**
- A **bearish flag** (consolidation after a sharp decline) suggests continuation downward.
- Confirms the **H4 breakdown**, increasing bearish probability.
---
### **Trade Plan: Sell USD/JPY**
#### **Entry Zone:**
- **Sell on consolidation below 143.300** (confirms bearish control).
#### **Targets:**
1. **TP1: 142.000** (initial support level).
2. **TP2: 140.000** (next psychological & structural support).
#### **Stop-Loss (SL):**
- **Above 144.000** (above recent swing high for risk management).
---
### **Key Indicators to Monitor:**
✅ **MACD:** Bearish crossover & histogram below zero.
✅ **RSI (14):** Below 50 (confirms bearish momentum).
✅ **Price Action:** Rejection at 143.300 strengthens the sell signal.
### **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):**
- **Entry: 143.30**
- **SL: 144.00 (70 pips risk)**
- **TP1: 142.00 (130 pips reward) → ~1:1.85**
- **TP2: 140.00 (330 pips reward) → ~1:4.7**
---
### **Final Verdict:**
- **Strong bearish confirmation** on both H4 & D1.
- **Sell below 143.30**, targeting **142.00 → 140.00**.
- **Invalidation:** A break above **144.00** negates the bearish structure.
Would you like a deeper analysis on Fibonacci retracement levels or order flow confirmation? 🚀
EUR/CAD Short, AUD/CAD Short, USD/CHF Long and USD/JPY ShortEUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/CHF Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USDJPY 1HThe chart you provided is a 1-hour USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) chart showing a bearish pattern analysis. Here's a quick breakdown:
Descending Triangle Pattern: The chart outlines a descending triangle pattern with multiple lower highs (marked by red arrows) and horizontal support (marked by green arrows and a horizontal line).
Sell Zone: The area near the horizontal resistance has been labeled the "Sell Zone," indicating a likely entry point for short positions.
Breakdown Confirmation: The price has broken below the triangle’s support line, followed by a downward arrow and a label "TARGET SUCCESSFUL", suggesting that the bearish target has been hit.
Technical Interpretation: This implies a bearish sentiment with a completed breakdown and target fulfillment, likely indicating a pause or reversal opportunity ahead.
Would you like help identifying the next possible move or support/resistance levels?
USD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 144.163
Target Level: 139.852
Stop Loss: 147.018
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 15h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY - Long Done, Soon Short!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈As per our last USDJPY analysis, it rejected the orange support zone and has been trading higher.
What's next? As USDJPY approaches the upper blue trendline, we will be looking for shorts.
🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and green supply zone.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY retests the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
Meanwhile, USDJPY would remain bullish medium-term and a bullish continuation towards the red circle is expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY NEXT MOVE Assumption of a Bullish Continuation (Without Confirmation)
• Disruption: The projected upward path to the “Double Top Resistance” presumes a bullish continuation without confirming signals (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or RSI divergence).
• Alternative View: Price is currently rejecting the resistance zone and heading downward—this could be the start of a deeper retracement or trend reversal, not just a dip.
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2. “Strong Support” Zone is Based on a Single Bounce
• Disruption: The “Strong Support” zone is derived from a single historical reaction. It might not hold on the next test, especially if momentum and volume increase on the way down.
• Counterpoint: Stronger support typically comes from multiple prior reactions or a broader consolidation zone.
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3. Lack of Consideration for Bearish Structure
• Disruption: The broader structure is bearish (from left to right on the chart), with lower highs and lower lows. The analysis skips over this longer-term downtrend context.
• Alternative: Instead of anticipating a return to 148, traders might watch for short setups if price fails to break back above the resistance cleanly.
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4. Volume Decline During the Recent Rally
• Disruption: The bullish leg into early May shows diminishing volume. This divergence between price increase and falling volume weakens the bullish case.
• Warning Sign: Could indicate a bull trap, followed by a sharper fall through the support.
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5. Overemphasis on “Double Top” without Neckline Break
• Disruption: The projected double top at ~148 assumes that level will be revisited. But without a confirmed breakout through 144.000, it’s premature to predict such a move.
• Risk: Traders buying now on this expectation may be caught in a pullback that dips below the “Strong Support.”
USDJPY Analysis week 19🌐Fundamental Analysis
Signs of rising inflation in Japan still open the door for the BoJ to tighten interest rates further. Moreover, persistent geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s trade policies have kept investors on edge. Moreover, bets on more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve will limit any meaningful gains in the dollar and help limit deeper losses for the lower-yielding yen.
🕯Technical Analysis
After a breakout and bounce late Friday, USDJPY is looking to continue its strong uptrend. Last week’s high of 145.900 will act as a temporary buffer before the pair heads towards the weekly resistance around 148.000. On the other side, last week’s liquidity sweep converging with the trendline also creates an important buying zone for the week if the pair reverses. The support level that the bears are strong at is also the weekly support level of interest around 142.000.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL USDJPY 148.000-148.200 Stoploss 148.500
BUY USDJPY 142.000-141.800 Stoploss 141.500
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 146.90
1st Support: 142.06
1st Resistance: 150.92
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