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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY - on the way to somewhere...USDJPY has always had a reputation of a very "technical" instrument. Certainly it is not anymore. Somewhat weird policy of the BOJ during pandemic changed a lot. Now it creates something like THAS (two heads and shoulders :) or Modified Wyckoff Distribution pattern :) Anyway, what I can see is the following: - price respected the Support level at FR 61.8 of the uptrend impulse (Jan '23 - Jul '24) and reverted there three times - Now is approaching the Resistance cluster in between 148.68 and 151.52. Perhaps it will respect it - but who knows? Just my humble opinion
Short
by PetrBorosh
USDJPY Possible Continuation Spotted a CHoCH (Change of Character) on the lower timeframe, confirming a BEARISH market structure shift as price broke the last low. 🟢 SUPPLY Zone has formed above — likely holding unfulfilled sell orders. 🔁 I’m watching for a retracement into this supply zone to enter a sell (short) position at a premium price, in line with the momentum. 🎯 Target: Next low below, where buying pressure may reappear. 🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the Supply Zone — if broken, the setup is invalidated. ✅ Quick Summary: • CHoCH confirms trend change • Supply Zone is key for entries • Entry on pullback, SL above, TP at demand below
Short
by AFOKE
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 7, 2025 USDJPYEvent to watch today: 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims USDJPY: The yen is benefitting from falling Treasury yields and mounting expectations that the Bank of Japan could move to a token rate hike as early as this autumn. Minutes of the 30-31 July meeting revealed that two board members want tightening on the table should inflation stay above 2 %. In parallel, the Finance Ministry has expanded its FX-intervention envelope to ¥20 trn, signalling a readiness to cap USDJPY below 150. The U-S dollar stays under pressure: weak labour data increases the odds of a September Fed cut, while a scandal over the dismissal of the Bureau of Labor Statistics head fuels doubts about data integrity. The 10-year U-S yield has slid to 3.95 %, narrowing the spread with JGBs and dulling the dollar’s carry appeal. A restraining factor is caution within Japan’s ruling coalition, which warns against rapid tightening given the threat of new U-S tariffs. Even so, the overall risk balance still favours yen strength thanks to potential intervention and the likelihood of a BoJ policy pivot, keeping the pair biased lower. Trade recommendation: SELL 147.550, SL 147.850, TP 146.500
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
"USDJPY Smart Money Play | Bullish Rejection at Key Demand ZoneUSDJPY showing textbook Smart Money behavior! ✅ Key Highlights: Bullish ChoCH and Break of Structure (BOS) Strong bounce from the Demand Zone near 145.86 (marked Strong Low) Retest of the Bullish Trendline inside the Upward Channel Expecting continuation to TARGET area (150.76) Lower Timeframe Entry: Look for confirmation on M15/M30 near 147.23 🧠 Smart money concepts at play: Mitigation of previous lows Liquidity sweep followed by bullish intent Market structure shifting back to bullish 📈 Bias: Bullish 🎯 Short-term Target: 150.76 (Resistance Area) 🛑 Invalid if clean break below 145.86
Long
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
USD/JPY(20250807)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Federal Reserve Chairman Kashkari: A rate cut may be appropriate in the short term, and two rate cuts this year are reasonable. Trump: The new Fed governor will likely be temporary, and the appointment will be announced within 2-3 days. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 147.40 Support and Resistance Levels: 148.30 147.96 147.74 147.05 146.83 146.49 Trading Strategy: If the market breaks above 147.40, consider a buy entry, with the first target price being 147.74. If the market breaks below 147.05, consider a sell entry, with the first target price being 146.83
Long
by NicolaZhu
USDJPY Swing Trade Plan – H1 Chart AnalysisA potential long setup is identified on USDJPY based on current price action and structure: 🔸 Entry (Buy Stop): 148.236 🔸 Stop Loss (SL): 146.980 🔸 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 149.441 🔸 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 150.559 📊 Price is currently consolidating below the 148.236 resistance zone. A break above this level would confirm bullish continuation, targeting previous supply zones. 📉 RSI is showing a slight bullish divergence and currently hovering around 42, signaling potential upside if momentum picks up. 🔍 Key zones are marked: Buy Zone highlighted just above current consolidation TP1 aligns with minor resistance and past liquidity grab TP2 near the upper supply zone from the recent swing high SL set safely below recent support and structure low 🛡️ Risk-managed plan with favorable RR if bullish breakout occurs. Wait for confirmation before entry. Stay sharp and trade safe!
Long
by Musarrat_karamat