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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

Yen Slips as Fed Holds and Risks MountThe yen weakened past 145 on Thursday, nearing a three-week low as the stronger U.S. dollar gained support from the Fed’s steady rate decision and cautious outlook. Concerns over Trump’s tariffs and Middle East tensions increased safe-haven demand for the dollar over the yen. The BOJ also kept rates unchanged Tuesday and signaled a gradual asset reduction. Governor Ueda noted that rate hikes remain possible if inflation rises. The key resistance is at $145.30 meanwhile the major support is located at $142.50.
by ChartMage
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Recovers Above 145.00Market Analysis: USD/JPY Recovers Above 145.00 USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 145.50 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY climbed higher above the 144.00 and 145.00 levels. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 144.80 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from the 142.80 zone. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 143.40 against the Japanese Yen. It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 144.00. The pair climbed above 145.00 and traded as high as 145.43 before there was a downside correction. It is now moving lower toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 142.79 swing low to the 145.40 high. The current price action above the 144.50 level is positive. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 144.80. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 145.40. The first major resistance is near 146.20. If there is a close above the 146.20 level and the RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 147.50. The next major resistance is near 148.00, above which the pair could test 148.80 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is 144.80 and the trend line. The next major support is visible near the 144.40 level. If there is a close below 144.40, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 143.40 support zone and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 142.79 swing low to the 145.40 high. The next stop for the bears may perhaps be near the 142.80 region. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
The Day Ahead - Fed rate decision day 🇺🇸 US Housing & Jobless Data: Signs of slowdown could boost rate cut bets and weaken the USD. Strong numbers may do the opposite. TIC Flows: Shows foreign demand for US assets—important for long-term USD strength. 🇬🇧 UK May Inflation (CPI): A hot reading could delay Bank of England rate cuts and strengthen the pound. A weak reading would do the opposite. 🇯🇵 Japan Trade & Machinery Orders: Weak data could weaken the yen further. 🇳🇿 New Zealand Q1 GDP: Poor growth could drag the NZD lower. A surprise beat might boost it. 🇸🇪 Sweden Riksbank Rate Decision: No change expected, but any dovish hints may weaken the krona. 🇪🇺 Eurozone ECB Speakers (Lane, Villeroy, etc.): Markets are watching for clues on whether more rate cuts are coming. Dovish talk could push the euro lower. Trading Themes Today: Watch UK inflation for big GBP moves. US data could shift Fed expectations and USD direction. NZD and JPY sensitive to economic data. EUR direction depends on ECB tone. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Yen Holds Ground as BoJ Stays CautiousThe yen held near 145.1 per dollar on Wednesday following three consecutive sessions of losses, weighed down by soft economic data and trade uncertainty. Japan’s exports declined in May for the first time in eight months, alongside drops in machinery orders and manufacturing sentiment. The Bank of Japan left rates unchanged and maintained a cautious tone, though Governor Ueda signaled future hikes remain possible. Trade talks between Prime Minister Ishiba and President Trump at the G7 summit showed no progress on tariffs. Resistance is at 145.30, while support stands near 142.50.
by ChartMage
USD/JPYIn my previous analysis, I held a long bias on USD/JPY; however, recent geopolitical tensions and market-moving news have shifted the outlook. The pair has now broken below a key trendline, forming new lower lows, suggesting a potential change in structure. At this point, two possible scenarios could unfold: Scenario 1: USD/JPY may retest the breakout zone around the 145.000 level before continuing its move downward. Scenario 2: The pair may continue its bearish momentum, break through the next significant support at 142.480, and potentially offer a shorting opportunity following a confirmed retest of that level. Although the chart has shown mixed signals with both bullish and bearish formations, I’m reminded of an insightful quote I read this morning by Mihai_Iacob: “Trade the chart, respect the world around it.” With that in mind, I will continue to focus on technical structure while remaining mindful of external factors such as geopolitical events and high-impact news that could influence volatility and market direction.
Short
by BuerdsellFX
ANOTHER DAY ANOTHER DOLLAR.So we are in the midst of an international crisis. Middle eastern tensions are always bound to shake up the market so even with all the information; economic data and technical analysis. We should always expect surprises. With that being said let's jump right into analysis of the dollar v yen pair.We have been range bound for the past two months in a wide range between 148.00and 141.00.I don't expect price jumping out of that range unless there is a very strong catalyst. This week's price range has seen lows of 143.90 and highs of 145.40 and this is the data we will use today to set our targets.A break lower for the dollar will subsequently mean lower targets for the dollar yen while a reverse in the dollar will take us to monthly high targets @ 146.00 and 147.00.
Long
by Muchangi
US retail sales data stands out | FX ResearchThe yen didn't move all that much but did manage to post a 4-day low against the buck after the Bank of Japan maintained its interest rate as expected while planning to reduce bond purchases quarterly starting next fiscal year. BoJ Governor Ueda signaled potential rate hikes if economic and inflation forecasts held, but highlighted risks from U.S. tariffs, domestic food inflation, and weaker economic data expected in the second half of the year. In global markets, the U.S. dollar remained stable. EUR/USD softened despite a strong German ZEW survey, and oil prices were relatively contained considering Middle East tensions and a tanker collision off the UAE coast. U.S. stock futures are under a little pressure as Senate Republicans proposed tax cuts that could widen deficits, while upcoming U.S. retail sales data and ECB commentary on strengthening the euro’s global role have kept markets focused—also ahead of tomorrow’s highly anticipated Fed decision. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY Swing trade Signal for the Sell Once in a while we like to give a free signal. So here is one of the many trades we will have running for our subscribers. Wait for the 1 hour candle to close below the Entry, and then a response to our entry, then you can sell. Remember the rules, and remember your risk/reward USDJPY Sell 🦇Entry: 143.525 ⚠️Sl: 145.036 ✔️TP1: 142.153 ✔️TP2: 140.346 ✔️TP3: 138.109 Happy trading. Any problems feel free to contact me, as over 10 years as a professional trader I can assure you there is no such thing as a stupid question. Best, Sarah
Short
by Elite_Trading_Signals
Bank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate UnchangedBank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate Unchanged This morning, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) released its interest rate decision, keeping the rate unchanged as widely expected. According to Forex Factory, the BOJ Policy Rate remains at 0.5%. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda noted the following: → Japan’s economy is recovering moderately. → The Bank will continue raising rates if economic and inflationary conditions improve. → The situation surrounding trade tariffs remains highly uncertain. The fact that the decision was anticipated by markets is reflected in price action on the charts. Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart A brief spike in volatility occurred on the USD/JPY chart this morning, but it did not significantly alter the broader structure of price movements, which in June have formed a contracting triangle pattern. In recent days, the pair has been climbing from the lower boundary of the triangle toward the upper edge, forming a short-term ascending channel (highlighted in blue). However, in the near term, this bullish momentum may weaken as the USD/JPY rate approaches the upper boundary of the triangle, which coincides with the psychologically significant level of 145 yen to the dollar (indicated by arrows). From a medium-term perspective, traders should watch for a potential breakout from the triangle pattern, which could trigger a meaningful trend. One possible catalyst could be news of a trade agreement between the United States and Japan. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
fx pairs signals📈 2H Forex Reversion Setup: USDJPY & EURUSD Cross Confluence This chart highlights a great example of inverse correlation confirmation between major FX pairs using the ELFIEDT X-REVERSION indicator. ✅ USDJPY gave a clean BUY signal at the low of the move, shortly before a major reversal kicked off. ✅ At the same time, EURUSD flashed multiple SELL signals at its high, confirming a strong rejection. 📍 This is how we look for directional confluence across pairs: EURUSD moves up while USDJPY drops → both reach reversion zones RSI reverses on both, with visual confirmation from signal labels Strong shift in USD strength confirmed across charts 🧠 Key Insight: When a USD-based pair like USDJPY prints a buy while a pair like EURUSD prints a sell, it’s often a high-quality reversal zone. The more aggressive the move before, the better the reaction after. 💡 Use this kind of cross-checking to increase confidence and build multi-symbol precision.
by ElfieTrader
Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout?USDJPY 17/06 – Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout? The USDJPY pair is currently consolidating just below the key 144.650 resistance, stuck within a tightening triangle structure. As markets await more clarity from both the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Fed, price action is showing signs of indecision — but pressure is building. 🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview BOJ maintains a neutral stance: Despite growing speculation of a hawkish shift, the BOJ held rates steady, providing no strong forward guidance. Markets remain cautious. US Dollar remains resilient amid stable bond yields and expectations that the Fed may delay rate cuts, adding short-term support to USDJPY. Geopolitical risk is on the rise: Ongoing Middle East tensions are fueling safe-haven demand for JPY, capping bullish momentum. 🔍 Technical Setup (M30 Chart) Price is trapped inside a symmetrical triangle, tightening between 144.652 resistance and 143.126 support. EMA 13/34/89 are aligned bullishly, but EMA 200 (red) is acting as a dynamic ceiling near 144.300. Key support zones: 144.071: Minor structural level and trendline test. 143.126: Major liquidity zone and untested demand. 🎯 Trade Scenarios 📉 Scenario 1 – Sell on Rejection at 144.652 Entry: 144.650–144.700 Stop Loss: 145.250 Take Profit: 144.071 → 143.600 → 143.126 Ideal if BOJ shifts tone or USD weakens post-Fed comments. 📈 Scenario 2 – Buy on Bullish Reaction at 143.126 Entry: 143.100–143.150 Stop Loss: 142.700 Take Profit: 143.600 → 144.071 → 144.650 → 145.200 Valid only with clear bullish confirmation on M15–M30 structure. 🧠 Final Thoughts USDJPY is coiling tightly ahead of a potential breakout. Macro uncertainty from central banks, geopolitical instability, and upcoming CPI data make this week highly volatile. Instead of chasing, let price come to your zones and react accordingly. 🔔 Focus on structure, confirm with price action, and avoid emotional trades. Patience and discipline are key in this compression phase.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Traders, it's time to pay close attention! 🚨 USDJPY 4H Setup Alert – High-Probability Play Unfolding! 🚨 Traders, it's time to pay close attention! 🧠📊 The USDJPY pair has just perfectly tapped into a key bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4-hour chart — a classic move in the smart money playbook. What’s more? We've just seen a clean sweep of internal range liquidity (IRL) — a textbook liquidity grab that signals potential accumulation by larger players. 💥💼 This is not just noise — it's a significant signal. The market structure is hinting at a possible shift in momentum, and bullish pressure is building. The trap has been set, the weak hands have been shaken out, and smart money may be preparing for a strong upward push. 📈🐂 🔮 What’s the next move? All eyes are now on the external range liquidity (ERL) — a prime liquidity pool sitting above current price levels. If price accelerates toward it, this zone could act as the magnet and the catalyst for the next explosive move upward. 🚀 🔥 Key Points to Watch: Bullish FVG reaction ✅ IRL liquidity swept ✅ Bullish market structure forming 🏗️ ERL liquidity resting overhead — potential target 🎯 Volume profile & order flow confirming accumulation? 👀 ⚠️ Stay alert and don’t chase — let the setup come to you. Smart money might already be stepping in, and if this momentum follows through, we could be witnessing the beginning of a strong leg up. Mark your charts and monitor closely — opportunity is knocking. 📍🕵️‍♂️
Long
by Peter_Wade
USDJPY Ready to Lift Off from Demand Zone – Breakout Brewing?The Dollar-Yen pair is trading at 144.05, showing signs of strength after bouncing off a strong daily demand zone around 140.55. Price has respected this zone several times since May, suggesting a solid base for a bullish move. 🟠 Key Demand Zone (Support): 140.55 – 141.00 🔵 Major Resistance Ahead:  • 150.63 (mid-range key level)  • 155.70 – 157.00 (supply zone & previous highs) 📈 Bullish Outlook: If price holds above 140.55, we could see a breakout of the minor range consolidation heading into July. First target sits at 150.63, and further upside could see a retest of the supply zone around 156. 📉 Bearish Risk: Failure to hold above 140.55 opens up room for a deeper correction — but strong demand and historical bullish reactions favor the bulls for now. 🔍 Why This Matters: • Clean demand zone reaction • Low volatility = possible expansion phase ahead • JPY fundamentals remain weak, giving USD strength tailwind 💡 Watch for a breakout candle above recent consolidation highs to confirm the next leg upward. 📅 Timeframe: Daily (1D) 🧠 Tools: LuxAlgo Supply & Demand Visible Range 🚀 Will USDJPY rally toward 150+ or stall at mid-resistance? Let’s talk setups👇 #USDJPY #ForexSetup #SmartMoney #DailyChart #SupplyDemand #PriceAction #BreakoutTrade #TradingView #FrankFx #YenWatch #LuxAlgo
Long
by FrankFx14
Stronger Dollar Pressures Yen on Geopolitical RisksThe Japanese yen fell past 144.2 per dollar on Monday, marking a second day of losses, as the U.S. dollar strengthened on increased safe-haven demand. This followed renewed conflict between Israel and Iran, with both sides targeting energy facilities and pushing oil prices higher. The rise in energy costs may reduce the chances of a near-term Fed rate cut as inflation and trade risks persist. Meanwhile, focus turns to the Bank of Japan’s upcoming policy meeting, where it is expected to keep rates unchanged while assessing the inflation impact of rising oil prices amid global uncertainty. Resistance is at 145.30, while support stands near 142.50.
by ChartMage