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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY Trapped in Consolidation QuagmireDuring the European session, the USD/JPY exchange rate oscillated around 143.10, extending the consolidation pattern triggered by the weak US dollar overnight. Influenced by the worse-than-expected US May ADP and ISM services data, the US Dollar Index fell to a six-week low of 98.60, and the USD/JPY rate also hit a low of 142.53. Subsequently, it rebounded slightly supported by the stable results of Japan's 30-year government bond auction and the decline in yields. Currently, the market is widely focused on the upcoming US May Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and is reassessing the path of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Short
by Ashbur
Thursday thoughts Not much to share here today more so waiting for the Non-Farm Payrolls report before any serious movements. Targets: Buy open and close above 143.481 Sell open and close below 142.559 I'll post a recap of the week June 6th and more information on Non-Farm Payrolls I hope anybody who took my calls this week locked in profits. If you are viewing my ideas, please follow. Ideally building a community is my main concern all of our ideas are important and would like to help anywhere I can.
by OrangeSodaOfficial
Dollar-yen could settle into a rangeThe Bank of Japan’s Governor Kazuo Ueda commented again on 3 June that the BoJ is ready to continue raising rates if economic data are generally in line with forecasts, but there remains some intrigue whether the next hike could be as early as next month or have to wait until September. The Fed meanwhile is unlikely to cave to on-and-off pressure from the American government to cut rates given uncertainties over trade and tariffs’ potentially larger impact on inflation. Buying demand for dollar-yen seems to be quite limited, with volume having dropped significantly since the peak in the first half of April, similar to several other major forex pairs. ¥140 remains a potentially strong support but the price is unlikely to retest there seriously in the near future unless the NFP and next week’s inflation are significantly lower than expected. ¥142 is a possible short-term support while the main initial resistance is around ¥146. A range between these areas seems on the whole more likely than a new directional trend unless upcoming data deliver notable surprises or trade issues intensify significantly. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
USD/JPY – Bearish Opportunity DevelopingThe pair is currently showing signs of potential reversal after a sharp bullish retracement that reached a previously respected supply zone. Price action is reacting to a key area where sellers have shown strength in the past, suggesting that this upward move could be a liquidity grab before a new leg down. On the 1-hour timeframe, the RSI has entered overbought territory, signaling a possible momentum exhaustion. This aligns with a technical structure where the market has maintained a bearish bias despite the recent recovery rally. The broader context still supports a downside continuation, especially considering the macro pressure from U.S. monetary policy divergence and the yen’s historical reaction to overextended bullish waves in this pair. 📊 We’re watching for signs of confirmation, such as bearish engulfing patterns or rejections with volume divergence, which could strengthen the bearish thesis in this region. Patience and discipline remain key — we're not trading the noise, we're trading the reaction to structure.
Short
by cdsolta
USDJPY 1W forecast until September 2025A huge inverted Head&Shoulders has been started. Volatility chop-chop. Left shoulder is ready and the price is heading up to the base at 145.188 In the middle of June we will see a fast fall to print Head bottoming at 138.75 Before printing Right shoulder the price has to visit the base again in the beginning of August 2025 What will happen in September? I will keep posting and updating (if I see necessity) 1W chart here. For 1D weekly updates check 'Also on' in my Profile.
by discarding
BOJ Hawkish Tone Fails to Lift YenThe Japanese yen fell past 143 per dollar on Tuesday, ending a three-day gain, despite BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda hinting at potential rate hikes if conditions improve. Ueda pointed to steady recovery and firm corporate performance. A stronger U.S. dollar also weighed down the yen, as markets shrugged off weak U.S. data and rising trade tensions. Trump's plan to double metal tariffs further pressured Japan’s steel sector. Investors await upcoming labor and spending data. The key resistance is at $143.50 meanwhile the major support is located at $142.85.
by ChartMage
Yen Rises Amid Trump Tariff Threat and China DisputeThe Japanese yen rose to around 143.5 per dollar on Monday, marking its third straight session of gains as rising global trade tensions lifted demand for safe-haven currencies. The move followed President Trump’s threat on Friday to double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50% starting June 4. Japanese steelmakers like JFE Holdings and Kobe Steel fell, while Nippon Steel was less affected after Trump praised its planned merger with U.S. Steel. Meanwhile, U.S.-China tensions grew as China denied Trump’s claim of breaching a recent Geneva trade agreement. On the domestic front, Japan’s Q1 capital spending beat expectations, with investment rising across both manufacturing and services, reflecting solid internal momentum. The key resistance is at $143.50 meanwhile the major support is located at $143.00.
by ChartMage
Risk, Rates, and Reversals: What’s Next for USD/JPY?CMCMARKETS:USDJPY FX:USDJPY USD/JPY rebounded slightly to 143.10 but remains under pressure after slipping from the 144.50 on BoJ-Fed divergence and rising geopolitical tensions. While the BoJ appears cautious about accelerating its balance sheet tapering beyond FY2026, it still signals further rate hikes amid persistent domestic inflation, offering the yen structural support. Technically, price is reacting off the lower trendline TL2, aligned with the 142.30–142.40 significant support zone. This area has held multiple times in the past and may offer a bullish pullback toward the 143.80 or even 146.15 resistance zones. However, failure to break above these levels could expose USD/JPY to renewed downside toward the 140.89 demand base. Short-term recovery depends on Friday’s NFP and risk sentiment around trade tensions. A break below 142.30 would invalidate the bullish rebound and open downside to support near 140.89. Resistance : 143.87 , 146.14 Support : 142.36 , 140.89
Short
by ATFX_Global
Short I opened a short position yesterday at the price of 147.50.    Currently the price is 146.18.  The price has dropped quite a bit but I think it still has a good short entry opportunity with a reasonable risk reward. Reasons for short trade: The price has reached the major support level around 149 on the 22nd April.   Since then, the price has moved up to the fair value gap area between 149.2 and 148.2 (blue rectangular box), and also the order block.    That area is also the Fib 0786 area.  I look at Fib 0.786 as the last line of defence and it is usually a hard line to break. The price hit the area and started to move to the downside.  Momentum indicators are still in the bull territory but the lines have crossed and clearly moving to the downside.   My macro bias for USD is bearish and the current price set up support my bias. The risk reward is good enough for me to enter. My trade set up: Entry: 147.51Stop: 148.95Target: 142.478 (Fib 0.236) Risk:Reward= 1:3.5 Currently the price is 146.17.  It just broked below Fib 0.618.     Entry now can give you 1:1.5 risk reward.  
Short
by EbonyFalcon