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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

A rebound is inevitable. Execute!During the European session, the USD/JPY price trended lower overall, with prices gradually declining from higher levels, indicating that bearish forces remained dominant. The pair started its downward movement from near 144.049 and continued to move lower. Notably, the USD/JPY exchange rate faced resistance at the 146.00 psychological level and is currently moving toward the support zone at 142.35. If prices reach this area, buyers are expected to enter the market after setting clear risk parameters below the support level, preparing for a potential rebound toward the 148.00 resistance level. On the flip side, sellers will look for prices to break below this level to increase bearish bets, with a further downside target set at the 140.00 threshold. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: buy@142.20-142.50 TP:145.50-146.00
Long
by Ashbur
Monday thoughts and reports Our initial trade of the week was a success no drawback. The currency pair has created a new level and is now in a testing zone that I view as either a possible reversal or continuation of a downtrend validated by the 4 hour and daily timeframes. My points of interaction. Sell: Open and close below 142.579 Buy: Reversal at 142.579 Even though these are the points I'm interested keep in mind it is early in the week and there is a chance for consolidation so beware of overtrading. Monday June 2nd Reports: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) For May of 2025 it reported at about 48.7% which indicates a continued contraction in the manufacturing sector. Aprils was 49% So we are looking at a slower pace. The current prediction is 49.5%. This is the ninth consecutive month with the index below 50% which is below the neutral threshold of 50%. New Orders decreased to 48.6% from 55.1% Production: Slowed to 50.7% from 52.5% Employment: Fell into contraction at 47.6% down from 50.3% Prices: Accelerated to 62.4% the highest since June 2022, due to increased cost from tariffs Supplier Deliveries: Slowed to 54.5% from 50.9%, indicating longer lead times Inventories: Remained stable at 49.9% Backlog of Orders: Contracted less at 46.8% compared to 44.9% (backlogs are still declining, but not as sharply) The manufacturing sector is experiencing the initial operational impacts of the new administrations tariff policies, leading to increased prices and supply chain disruptions How does this impact USD/JPY? PMI below 50 signals economic weakness it signals contraction in the manufacturing sector. This puts a cloud over the confidence in US economic strength and may lead traders to lower expectations for future fed rate hikes (or even expect cuts) A lower PMI reduces investor confidence in US economy which cloud lead to a weaker dollar This will result in a stronger yen (safe haven currency) against the us dollar Pay attention to: Fed and BOJ monetary policy outlooks, geopolitical risk appetite, interest rate differentials, and upcoming US jobs data report
by OrangeSodaOfficial
USD/JPY – Rejection at Resistance | Bullish Setup Brewing? The USD/JPY pair has just rejected from the 143.50 zone and is currently sitting around 142.89, showing signs of short-term weakness after a bullish attempt. However, the higher timeframe demand zone between 140.55 – 142.00 is holding strong 👀 🔍 Key Levels: Demand Zone: 140.550 – 142.000 🟧 Mid-Range Resistance: 148.419 🔵 Major Supply Zone: 155.589 🔵 Current Price: 142.896 🔴 📊 Technical Breakdown: Price bounced multiple times from the strong demand zone, forming a potential triple bottom. If bulls defend this area again, we could see a push toward 148.41 and eventually a retest of the 155.58 supply zone 🔼 Momentum is gradually shifting – watch for a break above recent highs (~143.50) for confirmation of bullish continuation. 🧠 What to Watch: Bullish confirmation above 143.50 = Long potential toward 148.41 and 155.58 🎯 Bearish breakdown below 140.55 = Caution! Opens downside risk 🚨 💬 Your Turn: How are you trading USD/JPY this week? Do you expect a breakout or another bounce from this demand zone? 📌 Drop your analysis or setups below! Let's trade smarter together. #USDJPY #Forex #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #FXTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #4HChart #TradingView #JPY
Long
by FrankFx14
Sunday Start Just a look into what my thoughts are to start this week. Price points are 144.750 for a buy and 143.450 for a sell. I believe that between those two points will be a lot of consolidation and recommend waiting for an open and close above or beneath before entry. This is just an idea based off my observations. I'll share ideas based off my indicators and economic reports Monday, Wednesday, and wrap up everything Friday. Saturday, you'll see ideas for next week.
by OrangeSodaOfficial
USDJPY Will Grow! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 144.062. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 145.457 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USD/JPY takes fresh dip on renewed trade uncertaintyThanks to ongoing trade uncertainty and troubles in the bond market, the USD/JPY looks like is going to end the week on a negative note, after coming down sharply in the last day and a half, which means the weekly gains have more than halved. The US dollar had actually clawed back a bit of ground in early Friday trading after taking a hit the day before. The rebound came despite fresh drama around Donald Trump’s tariff policies, which—unsurprisingly—are once again stirring the pot. A federal appeals court gave the president a temporary lifeline, pausing a ruling that could have derailed much of his economic agenda. The White House team wasted no time doubling down: Trump, they insist, isn’t backing off. Tariffs are sticking around. But the mood got murkier when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent admitted that US-China trade talks are “a bit stalled.” Then came Trump’s latest post on Truth Social, where he accused China of “totally violating” the trade deal with the US. Markets didn’t take it well. US indices dipped, USD/JPY slid, and even the euro managed to push the dollar back a touch. As well as well as trade uncertainty eyes will turn to incoming US data next week, among them the monthly jobs report on Friday. The US jobs report is always important as it could impact the Fed’s future policy decisions. Traders will want to see whether the trade war uncertainty is negatively impacting the jobs market too, after several macro data, including consumption data in GDP report and consumer sentiment surveys, have come out weaker in recent weeks. JOLTS jobs data and ISM PMIs are also due out earlier in the week. The US dollar has been under pressure in the last three months or so, with the euro performing admirably during this time despite US tariffs. With the US recently losing its final top-tier credit rating at the hands of Moody’s a couple of weeks ago, investors are worried that debt concerns and government spending will push yields even higher and thus they are shorting Treasuries and the dollar, buying foreign currencies, including the euro. This makes the EUR/USD outlook remain fairly resilient around the 1.12-1.15 range. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
USDJPY: Weekly overviewHello Traders, US news could move this pair dramatically. I've made the white zone no trade because of strong additional zone around 148.225 for the bullish side and a sharp move needed to reach the zone. The zone around 142.892 is more suitable for short trades, regarding the trend and distance from median of the channel. This zone is only suitable for long if the break be strong enough to overpass the median of the channel. The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Short
by AliSignals
Yen Strengthens Beyond 144 on InflationThe Japanese yen rose past 144 per dollar, extending gains after Tokyo’s core inflation beat expectations, increasing the likelihood of a 25 bps BOJ rate hike in July. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said recent forecast adjustments were due to global risks and lower oil prices but reaffirmed the short-term policy stance remains focused on the 2% inflation goal. The yen also gained from safe-haven flows after a U.S. court reinstated Trump’s reciprocal tariffs. Resistance is at 144.50, with further resistance at 145.40 and 146.10. Support levels stand at 143.50, 143.00, and 142.10.
by ChartMage
Was This Week's Move in USD/JPY Just a Correction?This week’s bounce in USD/JPY may have caught some traders off guard—but when viewed through the lens of the Elliott Wave Principle, the price action appears to be corrective rather than impulsive. 🧩 The Evidence: A 3-Wave Move According to the wave structure: The recent move up unfolded in 3 waves, labeled as an ABC correction. Wave C terminated near the 100% Fibonacci extension of Wave A (~146.189), which is a classic ZigZag ratio. Additionally, there was a clear MACD divergence between price and momentum as Wave C completed—a common sign that the move is running out of steam and that the wave is likely terminal. These clues all point to the idea that the rally was corrective, not the start of a new impulsive trend. 📉 What Comes Next? If this count is correct: USD/JPY may have completed Wave (ii) of a new downward impulse. The next move could be the start of Wave (iii)—typically the most aggressive and directional wave in a 5-wave decline. ✅ Trigger Level: A break below the B wave low would act as a technical confirmation of the downtrend resuming. This would be a green light to look for short setups, depending on the strategy each trader follows—whether that’s pattern-based, indicator-confirmed, or structure-driven. 🔁 Alternate Scenario: If this isn't the start of Wave (iii), the alternate count would suggest a more complex corrective combination (such as a double three). However, even in that scenario, the short-term direction is still likely downward. 🧠 For Beginners: Elliott Wave theory breaks price into 5-wave trends and 3-wave corrections. A ZigZag correction (ABC) is made up of a sharp Wave A, a pullback in Wave B, and a final move up in Wave C. Wave C often shows momentum divergence (MACD diverging from price), signaling that the move may be exhausting. When C = A, especially with divergence, it’s often a sign the correction is ending. 📌 Summary: USD/JPY’s rally appears to be a corrective ABC structure. Wave C rejected at the 100% extension of A, with MACD divergence confirming weakening momentum. A break of the B wave low could confirm that Wave (iii) down is underway. Even in the alternate count, near-term downside is still favored. 💬 Got a Favorite Chart You’d Like Analyzed? If there’s a forex pair, crypto, or stock you’d like me to break down using Elliott Waves, leave a comment below and I’ll feature it in an upcoming post from Real Wave Trader.
Short
by RealWaveTrader-
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 30, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted strong follow-through buying for the second consecutive day on Friday and continued to recover from a two-week low reached the previous day against the US dollar. Global risk sentiment deteriorated after a federal appeals court on Thursday suspended a recent ruling blocking US President Donald Trump's radical tariffs. This is evident from the general weakening of sentiment in the stock markets and is contributing to a recovery in demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including the JPY. Meanwhile, optimistic macroeconomic data from Japan released today, including strong consumer inflation figures in Tokyo, confirm the need for further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (JPY) and provide additional support for the JPY. On the other hand, the US dollar (USD) is consolidating after a sharp reversal yesterday amid concerns about the deterioration of the US financial situation and bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its easing policy. This further contributes to the continued decline of the USD/JPY pair. Trading recommendation: SELL 143.800, SL 144.200, TP 142.900
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.This chart shows a technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) on a 1-hour timeframe, published on May 27, 2025. Here's the breakdown: Current Price: 143.975, with a notable upward movement (+0.79%). Descending Wedge Pattern: The red trendlines show a falling wedge—a bullish reversal pattern. Breakout: Price has broken above the wedge and is now rallying. Support Zone: Highlighted rectangle (around 142.000–143.000), acting as a demand zone where price consolidated before breaking out. Bullish Setup: Entry Trigger: Breakout from the wedge + strong bullish candles. Target: 145.119, marked with a target icon, just above the recent highs. Projected Path: Zigzag upward trajectory drawn with green arrows suggests expected bullish continuation. Summary: This chart supports a long position idea based on a wedge breakout and strong momentum. The trader anticipates the price to rise toward 145.119. Risk management (SL level) isn’t explicitly marked but would typically sit below the support zone (~142.000). Would you like help setting up trade parameters (entry, SL, TP) or automating alerts for a setup like this?
Long
by XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team
USDJPY Showing potential growthHi there, The USDJPY appears to have reached a support area and formed a demand zone. It is worth noting that the demand zone is not fully formed yet, as there is no clear higher low above it. However, the support area suggests that an upward movement might hold despite the bearish pressure seen on the weekly time frame. There is a resistance level at 143.158, and if the price rises above this resistance, the upward momentum could continue. The levels 143.667 and 144.508 are potential target areas, with a bias toward 145.109. Happy trading, K. Not trading advice
Long
by Khiwe
USDJPY - Will the dollar weakness stop?!The USDJPY currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of correction due to the release of today's economic data, we can see a downward trend and then see the demand zone and buy in that range with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. A credible break of the indicated resistance range will pave the way for the currency pair to rise. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba emphasized that investment is more crucial to economic growth than tariffs, reaffirming Japan’s continued commitment to negotiating the removal of U.S. trade tariffs. He also pointed to encouraging signs in the Japanese economy following wage increases and offered an optimistic outlook on the country’s recovery. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, speaking on Wednesday, warned that significant volatility in ultra-long-term bond yields could affect short-term borrowing costs, which in turn might exert a stronger impact on the broader economy. His remarks highlight the BOJ’s growing focus on recent fluctuations in long-dated bond yields, which could influence the board’s decision next month regarding the pace of its bond purchase reduction. Ueda explained that in Japan, short- and medium-term interest rates tend to have more direct influence on the economy than ultra-long yields, due to the maturity structure of household and corporate debt. However, he acknowledged in a parliamentary session that sharp moves in ultra-long yields can also affect long- and even short-term bond yields indirectly. Turning to Friday’s inflation report, expectations suggest that overall inflation remained subdued in April, as falling gasoline prices provided some relief to household budgets. However, core inflation—excluding food and energy—remains stubbornly high. The PCE inflation index is anticipated to have risen 2.2% in April from a year earlier, slightly down from 2.3% in March, marking the lowest level since last September. Federal Reserve officials are still awaiting more data on how newly imposed tariffs are feeding into the broader economy, making it unlikely that the recent moderation in inflation will prompt a rate cut in the near term. Although the Fed’s preferred inflation measure may have reached its lowest point since September, a second consecutive month of encouraging price data is unlikely to be sufficient to justify easing interest rates. According to a survey conducted by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal, economists expect Friday’s report—covering inflation, income, and spending—from the Bureau of Economic Analysis to show that consumer prices rose 2.2% year-over-year through April. This would mark the lowest reading since September and a potential turning point in the Fed’s battle against post-pandemic inflation. Goldman Sachs economists noted that falling gasoline prices have more than offset the inflationary impact of new tariffs introduced by the Trump administration. However, they cautioned that this dynamic may not last, as retailers are likely to start passing along the added import tax costs to consumers in the coming months. Several Federal Reserve officials, concerned that tariffs could reignite inflation, have stated that they will wait to assess the full impact of these trade policies on the economy before making changes to the federal funds rate—which directly affects borrowing costs on everything from mortgages and auto loans to credit cards.
Long
by Ali_PSND
Market next move 📊 Current Analysis Summary: Pair: USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Bias: Bullish breakout above a minor consolidation (highlighted box). Target: Set higher, implying continuation of upward momentum. Arrows: Show bullish path with a minor pullback, then a breakout continuation. --- ❌ Disruptive Breakdown: 🔴 1. Fake Breakout Risk Price is testing the upper bound of the consolidation box. If this breakout fails to hold, it could trap late buyers. A rejection back inside the box might trigger a bearish reversal—a textbook bull trap scenario. 🔴 2. Volume Divergence Despite the green breakout candle, the volume spike is not aggressive enough. If volume fails to increase further, it may suggest exhaustion, not momentum. This divergence undermines the breakout’s credibility. 🔴 3. Fundamental Uncertainty Several U.S.-related economic icons (e.g., high-impact news) are visible. A hawkish BoJ or weaker-than-expected U.S. data could sharply reverse USD strength, causing a retracement or dump back below 145.000. 🔴 4. Overextended Short-Term Move The steep rise could signal near-term exhaustion. RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) likely suggest overbought conditions, increasing the probability of a cool-off retracement. 🔴 5. Liquidity Grab & Drop Setup Price might poke just above the box (to trigger stop losses and attract breakout traders), then reverse aggressively downward—a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt move before the real direction emerges.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals