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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY H1 I Bullish Bounce Off the 50%Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 143.74, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 144.79, an overlap resistance. The stop loss is placed at 143.29, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USD/JPY(20250616)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.79 Support and resistance levels: 145.47 144.84 144.43 143.15 142.74 142.12 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 144.43, consider buying in, the first target price is 144.84 If the price breaks through 143.79, consider selling in, the first target price is 143.15
Long
by NuggetsWarriors
USD/JPY Approaching Key Buy Zone USD/JPY is trading above a potential demand zone between 143.827 and 143.449, following a recent bounce. This zone aligns with prior structure support and could act as a re-entry level for bullish momentum. If price retests and holds this area, a move toward the 144.490 resistance could unfold. A clean break above that level might open the door toward 145.138. However, a confirmed break below 143.449 would invalidate the bullish idea and signal a potential shift in short-term sentiment.
Long
by piporia
Re-defining Trading Psychology: A Functional ApproachRethinking Trading Psychology: A Functional Definition Trading psychology is often misunderstood or overly simplified in trading discourse. Psychology, by definition, is the scientific study of the mind and behavior. When applied to trading, trading psychology should be defined as the study of how our mental processes directly influence market structure through behavior—specifically through the act of placing trades. The Facts: How Humans Influence the Market Traders interact with the market in only a few meaningful ways: Placing entries Setting stop losses Setting take-profit (target) levels Though external variables such as news events can impact decision-making, they only affect where we choose to interact with the market—they do not directly move price. Price only responds to order flow , and all order flow originates from trader decisions. Therefore, these three actions—entries, stops, and targets—are the only real mechanisms through which psychology influences price action. Entry: The Initiator of Market Movement Entries are typically based on structural cues like engulfing candles or order blocks —price zones where a shift in momentum is visible. These areas act as high-probability triggers that prompt traders to take action in a particular direction. When enough buy orders are placed at a bullish signal, we see that reflected in the strength and size of bullish candles. Conversely, strong bearish signals generate concentrated sell-side pressure. This collective order flow initiates price movement—entries are the impulse drivers of the market. Stop Losses: The Creation of Liquidity Pools Once a position is opened, traders generally place stop losses behind significant structure—often just beyond the order block or engulfing pattern that prompted the entry. These zones become liquidity pools —clusters of pending orders that, when triggered, cause mass exits and reallocation of capital. When price returns to these zones, it forces traders out of the market, often resulting in sharp movements or false breakouts. This behavior is not coincidental; it is a byproduct of shared psychological behavior manifesting as clustered risk management. Take-Profits: Delayed Exit Pressure Alongside stop losses, traders also define target levels where they plan to close their trades. These levels can be calculated based on fixed R-multiples (2R, 3R, etc.) or drawn from contextual zones like previous highs/lows or supply and demand areas. As price moves into profit and hits these levels, traders begin to exit en masse. This diminishes order flow in the direction of the trade, often leading to hesitation or minor reversals—much like stop losses do when they are hit. Conclusion: Market Movement vs. Market Stalling To summarize: Entries drive market movement Stop losses and target levels stall or reverse movement This dynamic defines how human behavior—guided by psychological patterns—actually shapes price. In this framework, engulfments represent entry logic , while liquidity zones represent collective exit logic . Redefining Trading Psychology Contrary to popular belief, trading psychology isn’t just about “staying disciplined” or “keeping emotions in check.” While emotional control matters, it’s secondary to understanding how trader behavior creates cause-and-effect loops in price action. Having a trading plan is important—but deviating from that plan is not always due to emotion alone. It can stem from overconfidence, impulsivity, cognitive bias, or poor conditioning. These are psychological behaviors that affect execution, and thus, affect market movement. What’s Next In my next writing, I will explore how the sheer volume of market participants leads to herding behavior —the collective patterns that emerge from mass psychology and their role in creating consolidation zones, liquidity traps, and false breakouts.
Education
by The_Forex_Steward
5
USDJPY 1W forecast until September 2025A huge inverted Head&Shoulders has been started. Volatility chop-chop. Left shoulder is ready and the price is heading up to the base at 145.188 In the middle of June we will see a fast fall to print Head bottoming at 138.75 Before printing Right shoulder the price has to visit the base again in the beginning of August 2025 What will happen in September? I will keep posting and updating (if I see necessity) 1W chart here. For 1D weekly updates check 'Also on' in my Profile.
by discarding
USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
2
USDJPY Trading RangeUSDJPY saw some corrections late on Friday. Overall, the pair remains sideways in a wide range of 143,000-145,100 and has yet to establish a clear continuation trend. The wider band in the sideways trend is extended at 146,000 and 142,000. The trading strategy will be based on the band that is touched. Pay attention to the breakout as it may continue the strong trend and avoid trading against the trend when breaking. Support: 143,000, 142,000 Resistance: 145,000, 146,000
by VHT_Trader
USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Wave 5 Upside Target at 144.67USD/JPY is currently consolidating around the 144.00 level, suggesting the end of wave 4 within a 5-wave impulsive structure. Price action indicates potential for wave 5 to begin, with a projected target near 144.67. Wave 1 to 3 appears clean and impulsive, with wave 3 extending strongly — a common trait in trending markets. Wave 4 seems to be forming a flat or shallow zigzag correction, respecting typical retracement territory (between 23.6%–38.2% of wave 3). If wave 4 holds above 143.80 (your stop), this level serves as the ideal invalidator for the current bullish structure. Wave 5 would likely aim for 144.67, aligning with the 100% or 123.6% Fibonacci extension of wave 1, projected from wave 4's bottom. Momentum indicators on lower timeframes are stabilizing, supporting the idea that downside pressure is waning and that the next leg higher may be imminent. A break above 144.20–144.30 could confirm the wave 5 initiation. As long as price holds above 143.80, the risk-reward remains favorable toward the upside.
Long
by kmg9205
2
Dollar Momentum Fades | Can 143.07 Hold as Support?USDJPY – Dollar Momentum Fades | Can 143.07 Hold as Support? 🌍 Fundamental & Macro Outlook USDJPY has faced strong downside pressure recently as risk-off sentiment boosts demand for the Japanese Yen, following escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rallied on geopolitical concerns but is struggling to sustain momentum near the 98.30 resistance zone. Despite the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy, JPY is acting as a safe haven in current global risk conditions. Traders are awaiting next week’s monetary policy decisions from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Both central banks are expected to keep rates unchanged, but forward guidance could spark major volatility. According to UOB Group, the dollar's recovery potential is weakening, and further downside toward 142.20 is possible, unless price reclaims the 144.60–144.95 resistance zone. 📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart 🔸 Trend Structure USDJPY remains in a mild downtrend, but price has bounced from the 143.074 key support zone. A recovery towards 144.624 is in play, but that zone must be cleared for bullish continuation. 🔸 EMA Outlook Price is currently testing the EMA 89 and 200 — a rejection from this area could trigger another move down. EMA 13 & 34 are now acting as short-term dynamic support. 🔸 Key Price Zones Resistance: 144.60 – 145.26 Support: 143.07 – 142.20 🧠 Market Sentiment Risk aversion continues to dominate as geopolitical headlines drive sentiment. The Yen is benefitting from capital protection flows despite Japan’s dovish stance. Large funds may be starting to hedge by rotating into JPY from elevated USD levels. 🎯 Trading Scenarios for June 13 📌 Scenario 1 – Short Setup (Rejection at Resistance) Entry: 144.60 – 144.90 Stop-Loss: 145.30 Take-Profit: 143.60 → 143.07 → 142.50 📌 Scenario 2 – Long Setup (Rebound from Support) Entry: 143.10 – 143.20 Stop-Loss: 142.70 Take-Profit: 144.00 → 144.60 ✅ Wait for confirmation at key levels — avoid trading in the middle of the range when volatility is headline-driven. ✅ Conclusion USDJPY remains trapped between strong resistance at 145.26 and buying interest at 143.07. If risk sentiment persists, the Yen may continue to strengthen. However, central bank decisions next week (Fed & BoJ) will be the major catalysts for any medium-term breakout.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
USDJPY Strong support formed. Excellent buy opportunity.The USDJPY pair is trading within a Channel Down since the start of the year but following the April 22 Low, it has been rising on Higher Lows. Today that trend-line was tested and again produced a rebound (so far). Since the April 22 Low was very close to the 139.600 Support (from the September 16 2024 Low), there are higher probabilities that we will have a trend change to bullish, at least for the medium-term. The natural Resistance now is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), so we will target just below it at 148.675 (Resistance 1). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Yen Rallies as Risk Aversion ReturnsThe Japanese yen strengthened to approximately 143 per dollar, marking a third consecutive day of gains as investors turned to safe-haven assets following Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran. The operation, aimed at nuclear facilities, heightened global risk aversion. Adding to market uncertainty were renewed U.S. tariff threats by Trump. Meanwhile, BoJ Governor Ueda reiterated the bank’s readiness to raise interest rates if inflation nears the 2% target. Resistance is at 145.30, while support stands near 142.50.
by ChartMage
1
USDJPY Daily Analysis – Bullish Opportunity Brewing USDJPY has bounced off the strong demand zone (orange box) multiple times, signaling solid buyer interest near 140.550 – 141.855. Price is currently reacting bullishly after testing this zone again, forming a potential higher low—a classic bullish continuation signal. 🔵 The 150.635 resistance remains a mid-term target, but a clean break above it could open the way toward the major supply zone around 160.606 where heavy institutional interest may come in. 🟨 Notice how price has respected this demand zone since late 2023, forming a possible accumulation range. With upcoming U.S. economic data (highlighted by the flag icons), volatility is expected—traders should be prepared for a strong breakout move. --- 📌 Trade Idea: Buy Limit: 141.800 (inside demand zone) SL: 139.800 (below support structure) TP1: 150.635 TP2: 160.000+ ✅ Risk-Reward: Favorable 📈 Trend: Bullish on confirmation of higher low --- 🔍 Watchlist Add-On: If price fails to hold above 140.550, sellers might retest 137.000 zones. Manage risk accordingly. 📅 Upcoming Events: Watch for NFP, CPI, and BoJ pressers—high volatility expected. --- 💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments—Bullish or Bearish bias on USDJPY? 📌 Don’t forget to LIKE and FOLLOW for daily FX setups! 🔔 #USDJPY #ForexTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #FXSetup #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #FrankFx14
Long
by FrankFx14