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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

Fundamental Market Analysis for March 28, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today: 14:30 EET. USD - Core PCE Price Index USDJPY: On Friday, during the Asian session, the Japanese yen (JPY) fell to a near four-week low against its US counterpart. This was due to concerns that US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs could affect key domestic exports. However, the release of robust consumer inflation data from Tokyo provided a welcome respite for those anticipating a more hawkish stance from the Bank of Japan (BoJ), potentially paving the way for further interest rate hikes. The BoJ's opinion summary also indicates that a rate hike remains a possibility should the economy and prices align with forecasts. Additionally, the prevailing risk-off environment, triggered by Trump's imposition of auto tariffs late Wednesday, has served to support the safe-haven yen, leading to a fall in the USD/JPY pair below 151.00 in the last hour. However, the emergence of some US Dollar (USD) dip buying could support the currency pair and help limit further losses. Additionally, traders may adopt a wait-and-see approach, preferring to observe the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index to ascertain the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate-cutting intentions. Trade recommendation: BUY 151.000, SL 150.400, TP 151.750
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY Trend Coming Up - Further Upward?🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news: ➡️ Hawkish bets on the Bank of Japan (BoJ) have been fueled by expectations of further wage hikes. Last week, Japan’s largest labor union group, Rengo, reported that companies had agreed to a 5.4% wage increase this year. ➡️ Although investors have supported the USD against the JPY, the greenback has underperformed against other currencies following President Donald Trump’s implementation of a 25% tariff on imported automobiles to the U.S., set to take effect on April 2. ➡️ Higher tariffs will mainly burden American importers, who are likely to pass the costs onto consumers. Such a scenario could drive inflation in the U.S. economy, eroding household purchasing power. ➡️ Fears of resurging inflationary pressures and a slowdown in U.S. economic growth has prompted Federal Reserve officials to take a cautious stance. Personal opinion: ➡️ Japan is affected by US auto tariffs because its economy relies heavily on auto exports. Higher tariffs make Japanese cars more expensive in the US, reducing demand, reducing sales for automakers and potentially leading to job losses and slowing economic growth. So it makes sense for the JPY to weaken relative to the USD ➡️Analyze based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 150.67- 150.55 ❌SL: 1.50.20 | ✅TP: 151.10 – 151.60– 151.95 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USD/JPY Technical Analysis (1-Hour Timeframe)Market Overview: Trend: Bullish Divergence: Bearish Continuation Pattern: Bullish Reversal Pattern: None Harmonics: AB=CD Formation Trade Plan: You are taking a short-term long entry from point B to D based on the bullish trend continuation. A Buy Stop order is placed at 150.963, with a Stop Loss at 150.001 and Take Profit at 151.925 (Potential Reversal Zone). Scenario Analysis: Current Approach: Entering a buy trade from B to D, following the bullish trend. Watching price action closely as it reaches the Potential Reversal Zone (151.925). Next Steps: If the price continues to break higher above 151.925, you will reanalyze the chart for further trend continuation opportunities. If the price shows reversal signs at the Potential Reversal Zone, you will look for a short (sell) setup, aligning with the bearish divergence and reversal pattern (AB=CD). Conclusion: For now, you are riding the bullish trend from B to D while keeping an eye on 151.925 as a key resistance level. If a reversal occurs at this level, you will evaluate a sell trade setup in the downtrend. This approach ensures a disciplined trading strategy, adapting to market conditions.
by Asif_Iqbal_chaudhary
Yen Steady Near 150.7 as Dollar StrengthensThe Japanese yen hovered near 150.7 per dollar on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar strengthened. Concerns grew over Japan’s exports following Trump’s proposed tariffs on autos and pharmaceuticals. BOJ minutes showed officials remain open to future rate hikes, with one member suggesting a 1% rate by late FY2025. The central bank kept rates steady at 0.5% last week, citing global uncertainties. Key resistance is at 151.70, with further levels at 152.70 and 154.00. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00. 
by ChartMage
USD/JPY Buy Setup – Inverted Head & Shoulders chart pattern📌 **USD/JPY Buy Setup – Inverted Head & Shoulders** 📌 🔹 **Pattern:** 📈 **Inverted Head & Shoulders** (Bullish Reversal Signal) 🔹 **Entry Point:** ✅ **150.500** (Neckline breakout confirmation recommended) 🔹 **Target:** 🎯 **153.800** (Measured move projection from pattern breakout) 🔹 **Stop Loss:** 🔍 Ideally **below 149.800** (Neckline retest zone or recent swing low) ### 📊 **Analysis & Risk Management:** ✅ **Confluence Factors:** - **Bullish Chart Pattern:** Inverted H&S suggests trend reversal. - **DXY Strength:** If USD remains strong, it supports this setup. - **Yield Differentials:** Watch US-Japan bond yields, as rising US yields boost USD/JPY. ✅ **Risk-Reward Ratio:** ~ **1:5**, making it a high-probability trade. ✅ **Trade Management:** - If price retests **150.500** after breakout, it could be a strong entry confirmation. - Secure profits gradually (e.g., **TP1: 152.000**, **TP2: 153.000**, **TP3: 153.800**). - Use **trailing stop-loss** to lock in gains as price moves higher. 🚨 **Market Caution:** 📅 **Fundamental Watch:** Monitor key news such as: - **BoJ Policy Decisions** (Any intervention risk if JPY weakens too much) - **US Economic Data** (CPI, NFP, Fed Statements) - **Global Risk Sentiment** (If risk-off, JPY may strengthen unexpectedly) 🔥 **Final Tip:** Confirm entry with bullish candle patterns & volume spike on breakout for added confidence. Happy Trading! 🚀📈💰
Long
by TradingStar090