Get started

U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDJPY trade ideas

Yen Steady Near 150.7 as Dollar StrengthensThe Japanese yen hovered near 150.7 per dollar on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar strengthened. Concerns grew over Japan’s exports following Trump’s proposed tariffs on autos and pharmaceuticals. BOJ minutes showed officials remain open to future rate hikes, with one member suggesting a 1% rate by late FY2025. The central bank kept rates steady at 0.5% last week, citing global uncertainties. Key resistance is at 151.70, with further levels at 152.70 and 154.00. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00. 
by ChartMage
USD/JPY Buy Setup – Inverted Head & Shoulders chart pattern📌 **USD/JPY Buy Setup – Inverted Head & Shoulders** 📌 🔹 **Pattern:** 📈 **Inverted Head & Shoulders** (Bullish Reversal Signal) 🔹 **Entry Point:** ✅ **150.500** (Neckline breakout confirmation recommended) 🔹 **Target:** 🎯 **153.800** (Measured move projection from pattern breakout) 🔹 **Stop Loss:** 🔍 Ideally **below 149.800** (Neckline retest zone or recent swing low) ### 📊 **Analysis & Risk Management:** ✅ **Confluence Factors:** - **Bullish Chart Pattern:** Inverted H&S suggests trend reversal. - **DXY Strength:** If USD remains strong, it supports this setup. - **Yield Differentials:** Watch US-Japan bond yields, as rising US yields boost USD/JPY. ✅ **Risk-Reward Ratio:** ~ **1:5**, making it a high-probability trade. ✅ **Trade Management:** - If price retests **150.500** after breakout, it could be a strong entry confirmation. - Secure profits gradually (e.g., **TP1: 152.000**, **TP2: 153.000**, **TP3: 153.800**). - Use **trailing stop-loss** to lock in gains as price moves higher. 🚨 **Market Caution:** 📅 **Fundamental Watch:** Monitor key news such as: - **BoJ Policy Decisions** (Any intervention risk if JPY weakens too much) - **US Economic Data** (CPI, NFP, Fed Statements) - **Global Risk Sentiment** (If risk-off, JPY may strengthen unexpectedly) 🔥 **Final Tip:** Confirm entry with bullish candle patterns & volume spike on breakout for added confidence. Happy Trading! 🚀📈💰
Long
by TradingStar090
Japan's Tariff Worries and BOJ Rate Hike HintsThe Japanese yen remained weak around 150.7 per dollar on Tuesday, near a three-week low, as the U.S. dollar gained strength. Trump's plan to impose tariffs on autos, pharmaceuticals, and other sectors raised concerns for Japan’s export-driven economy. BOJ minutes from January showed officials remain open to future rate hikes depending on wage and inflation trends, with one member suggesting a possible increase to 1% in late fiscal 2025. Still, the BOJ kept rates steady at 0.5% last week, maintaining a cautious stance with global tensions. Key resistance is at 151.70, with further levels at 152.70 and 154.00. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00. 
by ChartMage
JPY/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Head & Shoulders BreakdownThis JPY/USD 4-hour chart showcases a Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a well-known bearish reversal pattern signaling a potential downtrend after an extended bullish run. The breakdown of the neckline support and the trendline breakout are key confirmations of a shift in momentum, making this a high-probability trading setup. 📌 1️⃣ Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern The Head & Shoulders pattern is a classic reversal structure that forms after a prolonged uptrend. It consists of three peaks: Left Shoulder: The first peak forms as buyers push the price higher, followed by a pullback. Head: The price rallies again, making a higher peak, but sellers start to gain strength, causing another pullback. Right Shoulder: A lower high is formed as buying pressure weakens, signaling exhaustion of the uptrend. This pattern is significant because it suggests that bullish momentum is fading and that a potential trend reversal is underway. 📌 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Bearish Confirmation Before the formation of the Head & Shoulders, the market was in a strong uptrend, supported by a rising trendline (dashed black line). The price respected this trendline multiple times, acting as dynamic support. However, after the right shoulder formation, the price broke below the trendline, indicating that selling pressure is increasing. A trendline breakout after a reversal pattern strengthens the bearish case, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement. 📌 3️⃣ Key Resistance & Support Levels Understanding the key price levels is essential for determining trade entries, stop-loss placements, and target zones. 📍 Resistance Zone (Stop-Loss Area): 0.006776 is the recent high and a key resistance level where sellers previously stepped in. If the price reclaims this level, the bearish thesis could be invalidated, making it a logical place to set a stop-loss. This level also aligns with the Head of the pattern, further reinforcing it as a strong supply zone. 📍 Support Level (Neckline Zone): The neckline (horizontal support zone) was previously holding as support but has now been broken. If the price pulls back to this area and rejects it, it could serve as a strong entry point for short trades. A confirmed retest of the neckline would validate the breakdown, increasing the likelihood of a further decline. 📍 Bearish Target (Profit-Taking Zone): The price is projected to decline toward 0.006457, which is derived by measuring the height of the Head & Shoulders pattern and projecting it downward. This level also coincides with historical support, making it a strong take-profit area. If bearish momentum continues, further downside targets may come into play. 📌 4️⃣ Trading Plan – Execution Strategy This setup provides a clear structure for planning a high-probability short trade. ✅ Entry Strategy: Option 1 (Aggressive Entry): Enter a short trade immediately after the breakdown of the neckline. Option 2 (Conservative Entry): Wait for a retest of the broken neckline as resistance before entering a short position. 🚀 Stop-Loss Placement: Above 0.006776 (recent resistance & Head of the pattern). Ensures protection from a potential false breakout. 🎯 Take-Profit Strategy: First target: 0.006457 (measured move of the pattern). Extended target: Lower psychological support if momentum continues downward. 📌 5️⃣ Market Sentiment & Additional Considerations While this technical setup suggests a bearish outlook, traders should also consider: 🔸 Fundamental Factors: Economic data releases, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events can impact market sentiment. 🔸 Volume Confirmation: A high-volume breakout strengthens the bearish bias, whereas weak volume may indicate a potential fake-out. 🔸 RSI & Momentum Indicators: Checking if the RSI is in overbought territory or showing bearish divergence can provide further confidence in the setup. 🔸 Psychological Levels: Traders should watch for price reactions near key round numbers, as these often act as support/resistance. 📌 6️⃣ Conclusion – Why This Setup is High Probability This JPY/USD 4H chart presents a well-defined Head & Shoulders pattern, a classic reversal setup that indicates a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The trendline breakout and neckline breach reinforce the bearish bias, making this a high-probability short trade opportunity. 💡 Key Takeaways: ✅ A confirmed trendline break + H&S pattern indicates a bearish reversal. ✅ Watch for a neckline retest as a potential short entry. ✅ Bearish target: 0.006457 with stop-loss above 0.006776. ✅ Consider fundamental factors & market sentiment for additional confirmation. 🔽 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉 #JPYUSD #ForexTrading #HeadAndShoulders #PriceAction #TradingSetup #TrendReversal
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
USD/JPY – Key Resistance Tested After Strong RallyThe USD/JPY pair has been in a steady uptrend after finding support near the 147.800 level, leading to a breakout above key levels. The price is currently testing a significant resistance zone around 150.500, where previous rejections occurred. Key Levels to Watch: 📌 Resistance: 150.500 (current test), 155.500, 156.500 📌 Support: 147.800 If buyers sustain momentum above 150.500, we could see a move toward the 155.500 - 156.500 zone. However, rejection at this level could trigger a pullback toward 147.800 support. Traders should monitor price action at this level to determine whether a breakout or rejection occurs. What are your thoughts? Will USD/JPY break higher, or are we due for a pullback? 🚀📉
by PIXEL_BLADE
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 25, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) declined against its US counterpart for the fourth consecutive day, taking the USD/JPY pair to 151.000, or a three-week high, during Tuesday's Asian session. Sentiment regarding global risk is being fuelled by hopes that US President Donald Trump's so-called retaliatory tariffs will be narrower and less harsh than originally anticipated. In addition, optimism over a possible peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, and reports that China is considering including services in a subsidy programme to boost consumption, have further bolstered investor confidence, undermining the safe-haven yen. Meanwhile, minutes from the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) January meeting showed that policymakers discussed under what conditions the central bank should raise interest rates further. However, the minutes gave no clues as to the likely timing of the BoJ's next move and failed to make much of an impression on the JPY bulls. The Bank of Japan's hawkish outlook is at odds with the Federal Reserve's (Fed) forecast of two 25 basis point rate cuts before the end of this year. This could deter dollar bulls from making aggressive bets and support a low-yielding yen, which should limit the upside of USD/JPY. Trade recommendation: BUY 151.000, SL 150.200, TP 152.150
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 24 March 2025 USDJPY: ⬆️ Buy - USDJPY broke the resistance zone - Likely to rise to the resistance level 151.35 The USDJPY currency pair rose strongly after breaking the resistance zone between the resistance level of 150.00 and the resistance trendline of the daily down channel in January. The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of March. Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment seen today, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 151.35 (the high of wave iv from last month).
Long
by FxProGlobal
JPY/USD Head & Shoulders Breakdown – Full Professional Analysis1. Introduction to the Chart Pattern The JPY/USD chart on the 1-hour (H1) timeframe displays a well-defined Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which is a well-known bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. This pattern signals the potential end of the previous uptrend and the beginning of a downward move. A Head & Shoulders pattern consists of three main components: Left Shoulder: The price rallies to a peak, then retraces. Head: The price rises higher than the left shoulder, marking the highest point before declining. Right Shoulder: A lower peak compared to the head, indicating weakening bullish strength. Neckline: The horizontal support level that, once broken, confirms the bearish trend. 2. Key Levels & Market Structure 🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone) The blue box at the top represents the resistance area, where price action was repeatedly rejected. This indicates strong selling pressure at this level, preventing further bullish momentum. 🔹 Support Level (Neckline) The horizontal blue line acts as the support level or neckline of the H&S pattern. Price has tested this area multiple times, confirming it as a crucial level for trend continuation or reversal. 🔹 Trend Line (Dynamic Support) The black dashed trend line represents the previous uptrend, which provided support before being violated. The break of this trend line suggests a weakening bullish structure and increased chances of a bearish move. 3. Breakdown of the Head & Shoulders Pattern Initial Uptrend: The market was in a strong uptrend before forming the Head & Shoulders pattern. Buyers pushed the price higher, making higher highs and higher lows. Formation of Left Shoulder: Price reached a peak and then retraced, forming the left shoulder as sellers entered the market. Formation of the Head: A strong rally followed, breaking the left shoulder’s peak and reaching a new high, forming the head. However, buyers started losing momentum, leading to another retracement. Formation of Right Shoulder: The price made another attempt to move upward but failed to surpass the head’s high, forming the right shoulder. This signaled a reduction in bullish strength and potential trend exhaustion. Neckline Breakdown (Bearish Confirmation): The price dropped below the neckline (support level), confirming a bearish reversal. This is the official entry signal for traders looking for a short setup. 4. Expected Market Behavior & Trading Setup 📉 Bearish Confirmation Steps: Neckline Retest: The price might retest the broken neckline before continuing downward. Bearish Candlestick Patterns: Look for rejection signals like bearish engulfing or shooting star formations. Volume Increase on Breakdown: Strong selling pressure confirms the trend continuation. 🎯 Potential Take Profit Levels: 1️⃣ Target 1 (TP1): 0.006492 – This is a short-term support level, where the price might pause before further decline. 2️⃣ Target 2 (TP2): 0.006430 – A stronger support zone, where sellers may take profits. 🚨 Stop Loss Placement: A stop-loss should be placed above the right shoulder to protect against false breakouts. This ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 5. Risk Management & Market Conditions ✅ Entry Strategy: Wait for a retest of the neckline for a higher probability short trade. ✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Ideally, aim for 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure profitability. ✅ Market Catalysts: Be cautious of fundamental news events, as they can cause unexpected volatility. 6. Conclusion: Bearish Outlook for JPY/USD 🔸 The Head & Shoulders pattern breakdown suggests a strong bearish trend reversal. 🔸 If the neckline holds as resistance, a short trade offers a high-probability setup. 🔸 Price may reach TP1 first, then potentially extend to TP2 if selling pressure persists. 📢 Final Verdict: Bearish trend confirmed; watch for short opportunities on retest. 📊 TradingView Tags: #JPYUSD #HeadAndShoulders #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishBreakout #ShortTrade
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Japanese Yen bulls remain on sidelinesThe negative Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) report from Japan earlier this Monday has kept the Japanese yen (JPY) down throughout the Asian session. Meanwhile, the safe-haven JPY is being undermined by rumors that US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs will be less severe and more limited than previously expected. The USD/JPY pair returns to the crucial level of 150.00 as the USD maintains its recovery gains from a multi-month low. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has the room to continue raising interest rates, but the JPY bears are restrained from making aggressive bets by the expectation that robust wage growth will trickle down to wider inflation trends. Concerns about a slowdown brought on by tariffs, on the other hand, have caused investors to factor in the likelihood that the Fed will soon resume its cycle of rate cuts. It is therefore advisable to exercise caution before positioning for a further increase in the USD/JPY pair, as this could cap gains for the USD and support the lower-yielding JPY. Technically speaking, in order for bulls to maintain short-term control, the USD/JPY pair must break out above a psychological level of 150.00. If this area is broken, the pair may rise to the 151.00 mark on its way to the monthly peak, which is in the 151.30 range. Conversely, the 149.00 mark will act as a significant support, followed by the 148.60–148.55 support. Should this support be forcefully broken, the USD/JPY pair may be at risk of accelerating its decline towards the swing low from last week, which was located around the 148.22 region on the way to the 148.00 mark. A decline towards the 147.30 zone may be facilitated by some follow-through selling before spot prices ultimately fall to the 146.55–146.50 range.
by softt_inc