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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.This chart shows a technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) on a 1-hour timeframe, published on May 27, 2025. Here's the breakdown: Current Price: 143.975, with a notable upward movement (+0.79%). Descending Wedge Pattern: The red trendlines show a falling wedge—a bullish reversal pattern. Breakout: Price has broken above the wedge and is now rallying. Support Zone: Highlighted rectangle (around 142.000–143.000), acting as a demand zone where price consolidated before breaking out. Bullish Setup: Entry Trigger: Breakout from the wedge + strong bullish candles. Target: 145.119, marked with a target icon, just above the recent highs. Projected Path: Zigzag upward trajectory drawn with green arrows suggests expected bullish continuation. Summary: This chart supports a long position idea based on a wedge breakout and strong momentum. The trader anticipates the price to rise toward 145.119. Risk management (SL level) isn’t explicitly marked but would typically sit below the support zone (~142.000). Would you like help setting up trade parameters (entry, SL, TP) or automating alerts for a setup like this?
Long
by XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team
USDJPY Showing potential growthHi there, The USDJPY appears to have reached a support area and formed a demand zone. It is worth noting that the demand zone is not fully formed yet, as there is no clear higher low above it. However, the support area suggests that an upward movement might hold despite the bearish pressure seen on the weekly time frame. There is a resistance level at 143.158, and if the price rises above this resistance, the upward momentum could continue. The levels 143.667 and 144.508 are potential target areas, with a bias toward 145.109. Happy trading, K. Not trading advice
Long
by Khiwe
USDJPY - Will the dollar weakness stop?!The USDJPY currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of correction due to the release of today's economic data, we can see a downward trend and then see the demand zone and buy in that range with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. A credible break of the indicated resistance range will pave the way for the currency pair to rise. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba emphasized that investment is more crucial to economic growth than tariffs, reaffirming Japan’s continued commitment to negotiating the removal of U.S. trade tariffs. He also pointed to encouraging signs in the Japanese economy following wage increases and offered an optimistic outlook on the country’s recovery. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, speaking on Wednesday, warned that significant volatility in ultra-long-term bond yields could affect short-term borrowing costs, which in turn might exert a stronger impact on the broader economy. His remarks highlight the BOJ’s growing focus on recent fluctuations in long-dated bond yields, which could influence the board’s decision next month regarding the pace of its bond purchase reduction. Ueda explained that in Japan, short- and medium-term interest rates tend to have more direct influence on the economy than ultra-long yields, due to the maturity structure of household and corporate debt. However, he acknowledged in a parliamentary session that sharp moves in ultra-long yields can also affect long- and even short-term bond yields indirectly. Turning to Friday’s inflation report, expectations suggest that overall inflation remained subdued in April, as falling gasoline prices provided some relief to household budgets. However, core inflation—excluding food and energy—remains stubbornly high. The PCE inflation index is anticipated to have risen 2.2% in April from a year earlier, slightly down from 2.3% in March, marking the lowest level since last September. Federal Reserve officials are still awaiting more data on how newly imposed tariffs are feeding into the broader economy, making it unlikely that the recent moderation in inflation will prompt a rate cut in the near term. Although the Fed’s preferred inflation measure may have reached its lowest point since September, a second consecutive month of encouraging price data is unlikely to be sufficient to justify easing interest rates. According to a survey conducted by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal, economists expect Friday’s report—covering inflation, income, and spending—from the Bureau of Economic Analysis to show that consumer prices rose 2.2% year-over-year through April. This would mark the lowest reading since September and a potential turning point in the Fed’s battle against post-pandemic inflation. Goldman Sachs economists noted that falling gasoline prices have more than offset the inflationary impact of new tariffs introduced by the Trump administration. However, they cautioned that this dynamic may not last, as retailers are likely to start passing along the added import tax costs to consumers in the coming months. Several Federal Reserve officials, concerned that tariffs could reignite inflation, have stated that they will wait to assess the full impact of these trade policies on the economy before making changes to the federal funds rate—which directly affects borrowing costs on everything from mortgages and auto loans to credit cards.
Long
by Ali_PSND
Market next move 📊 Current Analysis Summary: Pair: USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Bias: Bullish breakout above a minor consolidation (highlighted box). Target: Set higher, implying continuation of upward momentum. Arrows: Show bullish path with a minor pullback, then a breakout continuation. --- ❌ Disruptive Breakdown: 🔴 1. Fake Breakout Risk Price is testing the upper bound of the consolidation box. If this breakout fails to hold, it could trap late buyers. A rejection back inside the box might trigger a bearish reversal—a textbook bull trap scenario. 🔴 2. Volume Divergence Despite the green breakout candle, the volume spike is not aggressive enough. If volume fails to increase further, it may suggest exhaustion, not momentum. This divergence undermines the breakout’s credibility. 🔴 3. Fundamental Uncertainty Several U.S.-related economic icons (e.g., high-impact news) are visible. A hawkish BoJ or weaker-than-expected U.S. data could sharply reverse USD strength, causing a retracement or dump back below 145.000. 🔴 4. Overextended Short-Term Move The steep rise could signal near-term exhaustion. RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) likely suggest overbought conditions, increasing the probability of a cool-off retracement. 🔴 5. Liquidity Grab & Drop Setup Price might poke just above the box (to trigger stop losses and attract breakout traders), then reverse aggressively downward—a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt move before the real direction emerges.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
USD/JPY Bulls Awakening from Demand Zone | 4H Smart Money AnalysUSD/JPY just bounced cleanly from a well-defined demand zone (140.550 - 144.206). This area aligns perfectly with volume accumulation and prior rejection zones, hinting at smart money activity. 🔰 Bullish Structure Confirmation: Double bottom formation at demand Bullish engulfing candle closing above minor resistance Price reacting to macro support & strong U.S. news expected 🇺🇸 --- 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 🔸 Demand Zone: 140.550 – 144.206 🔹 First Target Resistance: 148.419 🔹 Main Supply Zone: 155.589 📈 Short-Term Bias: Bullish 📉 Invalidation Zone: Break below 140.550 --- 🔍 What’s Fueling This Setup? Price entering fresh demand + volume spike Potential DXY strength pushing USD up Buyers clearly stepping in after a long corrective wave June data catalysts ahead (NFP, FOMC – shown with calendar icons) --- 🎯 Trading Plan: ✅ Buy entry: On 4H retest around 143.900–144.100 🎯 TP1: 148.419 🎯 TP2: 155.589 ❌ SL: Below 140.400 (outside demand box) --- 🧠 Pro Tip: Don’t chase price – wait for a clear retest or confirmation. Let the market come to you. Also, combine this setup with DXY analysis for stronger confluence. 💬 Are you riding this bullish wave or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your chart views or trade ideas 👇 🔔 Follow for more setups on USD majors and smart money analysis. --- #USDJPY #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #LuxAlgo #DXY #PriceAction #JPY #TradingView #ForexSignals
Long
by FrankFx14
Downtrend Awaiting ConfirmationUSDJPY has just made a technical rebound from the support zone at 142.22 up to the resistance area around 144.60 — a confluence with both the EMA 34 and EMA 89. However, based on the chart, this zone has previously acted as a reversal point, and price is now retesting that same level of rejection. The current price action suggests a high likelihood of a small double-top pattern forming around 144.60. If selling pressure re-emerges here, the market could reverse and head back down toward 142.22, aligning with the developing downtrend. Moody’s recent warning on U.S. credit rating has placed pressure on the USD, while the JPY continues to hold its safe-haven appeal amid market uncertainty.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Yen Reaches Highest Level in a MonthThe Japanese yen strengthened toward 142 per dollar on Tuesday, its highest in four weeks, driven by safe-haven inflows and weak dollar sentiment tied to Trump’s fiscal plan. Worries over a widening U.S. deficit weighed on the greenback, while speculation of a 25% iPhone tariff added to trade conflicts. Domestically, expectations for more BoJ tightening rose after core inflation surprised at 3.5%, a two-year high. Resistance stands at 148.60, with further levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Support is found at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
Analysing the Volatility Spike on the USD/JPY ChartAnalysing the Volatility Spike on the USD/JPY Chart The USD/JPY chart offers plenty of noteworthy insights for analysis: → A one-month low was recorded today (marked by the arrow); → This was followed by a sharp upward reversal, with a series of large bullish candlesticks forming on the intraday chart. Why Is USD/JPY Moving Sharply Today? The primary driver appears to be recent statements from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda. According to Trading Economics, this morning Ueda: → warned of rising core inflation risks linked to increasing food prices; → indicated that the Bank of Japan is prepared to adjust its monetary policy in order to achieve a stable inflation target. Latest data show that Japan’s core inflation unexpectedly rose to 3.5% — the highest level in two years — reinforcing the case for further rate hikes. However, what's particularly striking is that despite Ueda’s hawkish tone, the yen is weakening. Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart Yen fluctuations formed a downward trajectory (marked in orange) in the second half of May, partly driven by US dollar weakness. Following a period of relative calm, the market has shifted into high gear — the ATR indicator is climbing sharply from multi-month lows, breaking through resistance at the 143.0 level. This aggressive price action on the USD/JPY chart today suggests we may be witnessing an attempted bullish breakout from the channel. In light of this, it is possible that the surge in volatility reflects a fundamental shift in market sentiment — one that could potentially lead to the development of an upward trend. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Rise Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 142.31. a swing low support. Our take profit is set at 142.71, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 141.65, below the 161.8% Fibo extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Trump tariffs spark market jitters....again | FX ResearchAsian markets have shown mixed performance on this Monday. Treasury Secretary Bessant announced plans to relax the supplementary leverage ratio this summer, potentially lowering government borrowing costs by enabling banks to trade more treasuries, while dismissing concerns about rising US bond yields. However, US fiscal challenges persist with deficits over 6% of GDP and a 120% debt-to-GDP ratio—historically stabilised only by high inflation or asset bubbles—raising doubts about sustainable debt reduction without fiscal reform. President Trump's recent moves, including a 50% tariff on European goods, a 25% levy on foreign smartphones, and the blocking of international students at Harvard, continue to fuel market uncertainty, amplified by US and UK market closures for public holidays. Key US data this week includes the FOMC minutes, GDP estimates, and the core PCE price index. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY Demand Zone Consolidation. Wait for BRT Above or BelowIf CMP crosses above top zone and closes on 1H chart, take the Buy Retest. If CMP crosses below the bottom zone and closes on the 1H chart, take the Sell Retest. Go for 1:1 risk to reward MINIMUM. This strategy is 7-8 out of 10 (70-80%) but can produce upwards of 90% accuracy. Be patient. Be disciplined. Be consistent. 30 pips SL // 30 pips TP *This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, do not over leverage. Risk only what you are willing to lose.* If you are actively monitoring your trade, you can remove your TP once price goes into profit and start a trailing stop! At 10 pips, move your SL into profit at 2-3 pips to break even. If price goes to 20 pips in profit, set your SL at 10 pips of profit. You are more than welcome to accept the full SL (risk) and let the trade play out. SET IT AND FORGET IT. Take partials at structural pivot points (aka swing highs and swing lows) if you hold the winning trade longer than original TP! Happy trading! #HiddenWealthSociety #HWS
by KyleBFrederick
USDJPYUSD/JPY Interest Rate Differential, 10-Year Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 26–30, 2025) Current 10-Year Bond Yields US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 21–22, 2025) . Japan 10-Year JGB Yield: 1.56% (as of May 23, 2025) . Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between US and Japanese 10-year bonds is:4.54%(US)−1.56%(JPY)=+2.98% 4.54% (US)−1.56% (JPY)=+2.98% This significant differential favors the US dollar, making USD/JPY attractive for carry trades. Carry Trade Advantage Investors borrow low-yielding JPY (at ~0.5% BoJ policy rate) to invest in higher-yielding USD assets, earning the ~2.98% yield spread as profit. The strategy is supported by the Fed’s relatively hawkish stance compared to the BoJ’s cautious approach, despite Japan’s rising inflation (core CPI at 3.5% in April 2025) . Bank of Japan Policy Signals: Rising inflation and revised Leading Economic Index (108.1 for March 2025) may pressure the BoJ to tighten policy, narrowing the yield differential. Market expectations for BoJ rate hikes could strengthen JPY, reducing carry trade appeal. USD/JPY has fallen below 143.00 amid JPY strength , but oversold conditions suggest potential short-term corrections. US-China trade tensions and tariffs may introduce volatility, affecting risk sentiment. Summary Table Metric United States (USD) Japan (JPY) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.54% 1.56% Interest Rate Differential +2.98% (USD over JPY) — Carry Trade Appeal Favorable for long USD/JPY — Conclusion The ~2.98% yield differential strongly supports USD/JPY carry trades, but traders should monitor: BoJ policy shifts: Potential rate hikes could narrow the spread and weaken USD/JPY. Fed rhetoric and US data: Hawkish signals may sustain USD strength, while dovish surprises could reduce the yield advantage. Technical levels: A break below 142.00 could signal further JPY strength, eroding carry trade profits. While the carry trade remains attractive, volatility from policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks requires careful risk management during this period.. #GOLD #FOREX #USDJPY#DOLLAR #YEN
by Shavyfxhub
1