Price action Usdjpy as I had previously mentioned is currently bullish break of structure at this point
USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY has breakout the descending channel bullish strong nowFX:USDJPY Alert – Bullish Breakout in Play!
1H Timeframe | Descending Channel Breakout
📈 Entry: 144.300
🎯 Target 1: 146.000 (Key Resistance)
🛡️ Stop Loss: 142.700 (Demand Zone / Bullish OB)
After a clean breakout above the descending channel, USDJPY is showing strong bullish momentum. Price action confirms a potential move toward the next resistance level.
🔍 Technicals are lining up. Risk managed. Eyes on the prize.
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#USDJPY #ForexTrading #BreakoutSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #LiviaTrades 😜📉📈
USD/JPY(20250613)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.73
Support and resistance levels:
145.09
144.58
144.25
143.21
142.88
142.37
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.73, consider buying in, the first target price is 144.25
If the price breaks through 143.21, consider selling in, the first target price is 142.88
trend lineUSD/JPY Technical Analysis – 1H Chart
Price is currently testing a key confluence support zone formed by the ascending channel's lower boundary and the horizontal level at 142.78. A bullish rejection candle suggests a potential rebound toward the 143.88 resistance level. If this level breaks, further upside toward the upper channel boundary is likely. However, a confirmed break below 142.78 could signal bearish continuation. Monitor price action closely for confirmation.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has rejected off the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 143.94
1st Support: 142.68
1st Resistance: 144.52
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usd/jpyTRADE 1 i belive price will drop to the take profit mark and we will see i belive price will still go on the up as i still belive the market is bullish but if it brekas the surport line and retraces and uses the surport as resitance i belive there could be a new bearish pattern
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to ur take profit.
Entry: 144.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 145.07
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 142.00
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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USDJPY: Bottom formation successful. Strong buy.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.191, MACD = -0.020, ADX = 12.744) as it is consolidating around the 1D MA50. This is the bottom formation process straight after rebounding on the S1 Zone. The wider pattern is a Descending Triangle and the bottom formation suggests that the new bullish wave is about to be initiated. Go long and target the 0.618 Fibonacci level (TP = 153.500).
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USDJPY is forming a bear flag since march2022, it will dumpUSDJPY is inside of a bear flag since march2022 with very strong signs of selling , bearish divergences in the high timeframes alongside with the DXY that aswell is showing strong bearish signs it could reach the lower side of the bear flag at the 140,000 lows and if can't hold there, it will possibly go to the next strong level between 130,000 and 120,000.
JPYUSD will pump to the last september high at 0,007163JPYUSD inside of a descending wedge for more than 10 years and is showing signs of a bottom formation with several bullish divergences in the high timeframes with the strong resistance between the 0,008 and 0,0087 region.
If it can continue above theses regions mentioned, the next strong resistance will be between 0,0097 and 0,0103.
USDJPY
Over the past year, the yen has appreciated significantly against the dollar.
Interest Rate Decisions
Federal Reserve (Fed):
The Fed’s policy rate remains at 4.25–4.50%, with markets increasingly expecting a rate cut as US inflation data cools and labor market data softens.
Bank of Japan (BoJ):
The BoJ’s short-term policy rate is set at 0.5% (unchanged since March 2025), and the central bank continues a cautious approach, with no recent hikes or major policy shifts.
10-Year Government Bond Yields
US 10-Year Treasury Yield:
Recently declined to around 4.348% after softer US inflation data, reflecting expectations of Fed easing.
Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield:
Stands at approximately 1.45%, having edged lower amid strong demand at recent bond auctions and the BoJ’s continued yield curve control.
Implications for USDJPY
The narrowing yield differential between US and Japanese 10-year bonds (now roughly 2.93%) is a key driver of the yen’s recent strength against the dollar.
As US yields fall on expectations of Fed rate cuts, the appeal of the dollar over the yen diminishes, supporting further yen appreciation.
The BoJ remains cautious, but with inflation in Japan still below target and growth subdued, there is little pressure for rate hikes, keeping the policy gap wide but shrinking as the Fed pivots dovish.
Conclusion
The USDJPY has weakened as US yields fall and the Fed signals a dovish tilt, while the BoJ holds steady.
The pair is likely to remain under pressure if US yields continue to decline and the Fed moves closer to rate cuts, narrowing the US-Japan yield gap further.
#USDJPY
Possible bullish outlook Seeing a break f it's previous minor structure, I would be watching this level for a possible bullish rentry aiming to take out the 4h major high
The US dollar retreats as the Japanese yen stages a resurgence.The USD/JPY has continued to decline, hitting a low of around 143.50 during the European session, marking a new weekly low. In terms of exchange rate dynamics, the key support level lies at 142.500, which has withstood multiple tests recently without being breached. A valid break below this level would open up further downward space, with the next support to be monitored at 141.78 (lower Bollinger Band). On the upside, resistance is seen near 145.500, a level that has repeatedly formed phased highs and suppressed price rebounds.
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USD/JPY bounces off trend but risks tilted to downsideWith equity markets well off their earlier lows, the USD/JPY is also bouncing back, although it is not out of the woods yet with risks remaining tilted to the downside amid signs of weak inflation data and Trump's tariff threats.
Technically, the USD/JPY has been in consolidation mode, but a potential break of the trend line could trigger a sharp drop towards 142.00 and then 140.00.
For now, the trend line is providing support, but with the dollar slumping against other currencies, the USDJPY could also take a tumble should we see renewed weakness in stocks.
Resistance comes in at around 144.00.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
usdjpy bias analysis expecting this tap and fall on uj as dxy continues to fall. However fundamental reasons are also indicating a reversal in this strong bearish trend dxy has be following.
USDJPY MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
CHECK USDJPY SIGNAL READ CAPTAINuadjpy buy now ✅
entry point (143.750) (143.650)
TAKE PROFIT 1: (144.000)
TAKE PROFIT 2: (144.300)
LAST TARGET (144.600)
STOP LOSS (143.300)
USD/JPY) bearish Technical Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs. Japanese Yen) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
---
Trend & Price Action
The chart shows a descending trendline connecting recent lower highs, indicating a downtrend.
Current price: 143.548
Price has recently rejected off the trendline and started to fall, suggesting continued bearish momentum.
A red arrow marks the rejection point, emphasizing a key resistance area.
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Technical Indicators
EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average): At 144.459 — the price is currently below the EMA, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI (14) values: around 35.45, which is near the oversold threshold (30) but not quite there yet.
Indicates increasing bearish momentum but no reversal signal yet.
---
Support Levels Identified
1. Support Level (Target 1): ~142.280
First target point for bears. Likely to see some reaction or consolidation here.
2. Big Support Level (Target 2): ~140.382
A stronger, more significant support zone and a deeper bearish target if the first support breaks.
---
Bearish Target Scenario
The projected path (in black lines) suggests:
A further drop into the 142.280 zone.
If that breaks, a continuation toward the 140.382 level.
This suggests a swing trade setup favoring short positions if the price respects the current rejection zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
Bias: Bearish
Resistance Confirmed: Rejection from descending trendline and below EMA200.
Bearish Targets:
Short-term: 142.280
Medium-term: 140.382
Risk Management: Watch RSI for potential bullish divergence near the second support zone, which could indicate reversal or consolidation.
---
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 12, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is strengthening for the second day in a row against a weakened US Dollar (USD) and is moving further away from the two-week low reached the day before. The market's initial reaction to news of trade talks between the US and China faded rather quickly after US President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs. This, along with rising geopolitical tensions, curbs investors' appetite for risky assets and maintains the yen's status as a safe-haven currency.
In addition, the yen is further supported by expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may tighten monetary conditions amid signs of rising inflation in Japan. On the other hand, the US Dollar looks vulnerable near one-month lows as weaker US consumer inflation data released on Wednesday confirmed expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its rate-cutting cycle in September. This, in turn, led the USD/JPY pair to fall below 143.50 in the last hour.
Trade recommendation: SELL 143.30, SL 144.30, TP 141.30
USDJPY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 143.827.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 144.499.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHECK USDJPY SIGNAL READ CAPTAIN Key Levels:
Entry Point: Around 143.950
Stop Loss: Approximately 143.800
Take Profit 1: Close to 144.100
Take Profit 2: Around 144.300
Last Target: About 144.500
USD/JPY H1 | Bearish downtrend to extend deeper?USD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 144.10 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 144.80 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 143.37 which is a pullback support.
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