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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

Scenario on USDJPY 12.2.2025On this chart, this scenario makes the most sense. If I should take a short, the first levels are around the monthly level, which is at the level of 157.503, the next one is around the price of 160, which is above the bulls zone, which could also mean the continuation of the uptrend, and therefore I have two options. If I should take a long, then not earlier than at the price level around the monthly level of 151.875, then below the current sfp on the price 148.806 where the next monthly level is located.
by Sony97
Will the USDJPY pair trend increase ?News: 🔆Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, speaking before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday, took a more hawkish stance, describing the economy as strong with a robust labor market. He noted that while inflation was moving toward the 2% target, it remained slightly elevated, indicating that policymakers were in no hurry to cut interest rates. 🔆U.S. President Donald Trump signed executive orders imposing 25% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, effective March 12. He also suggested the possibility of additional tariffs on automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and computer chips, pledging broader reciprocal tariffs to counter those placed on U.S. goods by other countries. This development heightened concerns over global trade tensions and posed a risk to Japan’s economy, putting pressure on the Japanese Yen while supporting the USD/JPY pair’s continued recovery. 🔆Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated earlier today that the central bank would conduct monetary policy appropriately to reach its 2% inflation target. Additionally, recent wage growth data and persistent inflationary pressures in Japan suggest the BoJ may consider another rate hike at its March meeting. 🔆Investors are now focusing on the upcoming release of U.S. consumer inflation data and Powell’s testimony before Congress, which could further influence the U.S. dollar and the USD/JPY exchange rate. Personal Opinion: 🔆Powell’s relatively hawkish comments on Tuesday dampened expectations of a significant narrowing in the U.S.-Japan interest rate gap. This led to capital outflows from the lower-yielding Japanese Yen, though speculation that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates again kept bearish traders cautious. Many market participants may prefer to hold off on making strong bets on USD/JPY until the release of U.S. consumer inflation data later today. Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 153.20 -153.05 ❌SL: 152.60 | ✅TP: 153.70 – 154.20 – 154.8
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USDJPY → Fake Breakdown Gives Bulls a Chance!FX:USDJPY The price dips into support and creates a false breakdown below the lower boundary of the current trend. Meanwhile, the dollar is gaining strength, which could provide an opportunity for the currency pair to rise. The price has paused near a strong support zone, as the fundamental backdrop has been increasingly unstable and heavily influenced by developments in the USA. Attention has shifted away from Japan's interest rate hikes, with market participants now closely monitoring economic data from the West. From a technical perspective, the chart presents two potential triggers—one for buying and one for selling. However, given that both the global and local trends are upward, the bias leans toward buying. If the currency pair manages to sustain above the 151.9 - 151.95 level, short- to medium-term growth toward the targets marked on the chart is likely. Resistance levels: 151.94, 153.7, 153.97 Support levels: 150.95, 149.52 That said, if the dollar's correction persists and buyers fail to capitalize on the false breakdown of support, a drop back to 150.95 could trigger a breakdown, potentially leading to a decline toward 148.64.
Long
by PIPsOptimizer
USD/JPY Trade Setups Amid Fed & BoJ Policy ShiftsUS Inflation & Federal Reserve (Fed) Policy: Market consensus anticipates higher month-over-month (M/M) inflation but lower year-over-year (Y/Y) inflation, suggesting that price pressures remain elevated in the short term but may stabilise over the medium term. Given these dynamics, the Fed is expected maintain a cautious stance—balancing inflation control with economic stability. Federal Reserve (Fed) Sentiment: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will likely adopt a neutral stance in upcoming comments, as medium- to long-term tariff implications remain undefined. However, given the Fed’s data-driven approach, markets may interpret any slight tilt towards caution as dovish, leading to near-term USD weakness. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Outlook: The BoJ maintains a medium-term hawkish bias as it looks to raise interest rates to combat domestic inflation gradually. While no immediate policy changes are expected, recent statements from BoJ officials suggest a preference for tightening later in 2024 if inflation remains persistent. Trade Idea Bearish Case Entry: Sell on rejection at 154.000 – 155.000 Stop-Loss: Above 155.500 Take-Profit: 152.000 Risk Management: 1:2 Trade Idea Bullish Case Entry: Buy on retracement to 152.500 – 152.000 Stop-Loss: Below 151.800 Take-Profit: 154.000 Risk Management: 1:2
Short
by Shiven_80eight
USD/JPY4H mitigation? ✅ Already handled. Now it’s about playing the 30M right. Got my CHoCH confirmation—structure is syncing up. Now I’m waiting for price to give me that nasty correction drop, take out engineered liquidity, and mitigate the order block. If it skips that and only clears minor liquidity, I’ll be looking for interest around 151.800 on the 30M order block. Most traders react to the move. I position myself where the market has to go. Let’s see if it plays by the rules. #USDJPY #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
Yen Falls Below 153 as BOJ Offers Little Policy ClarityThe yen fell below 153 per dollar on Wednesday, hitting a one-week low after BOJ Governor Ueda gave little clarity on rate policy. He reiterated the BOJ's commitment to a 2% inflation target, despite board member Tamura suggesting rates may rise to 1% in late 2025. The yen also weakened as Trump’s escalating tariffs raised inflation concerns, limiting the Fed’s ability to cut rates. The key resistance level appears to be 153.85, with a break above it potentially targeting 154.90 and 156.00. On the downside, 151.90 is the first major support, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the price moves lower. 
by zForexcom
USDJPY CORRECTION TRADE I prefer to trade with the trend.. but when the higher time frame is correction or making a retracement to create new liquidity, those can be some really great trades. it can take time to complete the full retracement trade, but it still can provide a decent risk to reward. we have a nice impulsive move that broke strong support. there were a few fair value gaps left behind which would need to be filled, and if we can get price to close back above into that 25% fibb area, we can see a nice trade with two targets at 50% and 75% fibb level. not looking to swing this trade past that area as that is the main area for our sells and price is in a current downtrend.
Long
by TaiPipSNIPRESS
0212 USDJPY SETUP new long trade up to 2 targetsHello traders, Trading plans on USDJPY: Follow 4H EMAS, find 1h BUYING SIGNAL to open buying trade on USDJPY , TP1: 156.6 TP2: 157.9 Key Observations: 1. Liquidity-Driven Momentum: Abnormal trading volume suggests speculative flows dominating Asian session 2. Policy Stalemate Persists: Escalating trade friction weighs on JPY through export sector concerns 3. Bond Market Divergence: JGB yield surge not translating to JPY support, highlighting policy dilemma Monitoring Priorities: ① Position squaring before Tokyo fix ② Safe-haven flows post-US CPI release ③ Verbal intervention risks from Japanese authorities GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
Long
by FUNTRADER-Vera
USD/JPY THIS CHART IS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS H1 TIMEFRAME .This chart is a technical analysis setup for USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s what it indicates: 1. Resistance Zone (Blue Line & Red Box) The price has reached a resistance area (blue line). The red shaded box represents a supply zone where sellers might enter. 2. Entry & Stop-Loss (Green & Red Box on the Right) The green box (152.379) suggests a possible entry price. The red box above (152.437–152.583) represents a stop-loss zone, meaning if the price moves above this, the trade setup is invalid. 3. Market Direction (Black Arrows) The black arrows indicate two possible scenarios: A breakout above the resistance, leading to an upward move. A rejection from resistance, leading to a downward move. This chart suggests a decision point where traders will watch if the price breaks out or reverses from this level. Are you planning to trade based on this setup?
by DavidHills110
USDJPY: Moving Toward Key Support at 150 In the previous analysis, we highlighted an important supply zone around 158, where this currency pair faced resistance, leading to a decline and strengthening of the Japanese yen. A key factor for further decline has been the break of the descending trendline. However, the most crucial confirmation would be the breakdown of the key 150 support level, which would provide greater confidence in short positions. Therefore, for selling opportunities, traders should either wait for a return to the supply zone around 154 or for a break of the 150 support, followed by a pullback entry.
Short
by UtoForex
Yen Holds Losses Amid US Tariffs, BOJ Policy SpeculationThe yen held around 152 per dollar on Tuesday after a previous decline, pressured by the dollar's strength following new US tariffs. Trump’s 25% steel and aluminum tariff, imposed without exceptions, raised fears of an inflation-driven trade war, potentially limiting Fed rate cuts. The yen gained over 2% last week on expectations of more BOJ hikes. BOJ board member Naoki Tamura signaled a policy rate increase to at least 1% in fiscal 2025, while strong wage and household spending data reinforced the hawkish outlook. The key resistance level appears to be 153.85, with a break above it potentially targeting 154.90 and 156.00. On the downside, 151.90 is the first major support, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the price moves lower. 
by zForexcom