USDJPY trade ideas
USD/JPY: 145.00, Trendline ResistanceThe net result of the Bank of Japan rate decision has been Yen-weakness, with USD/JPY initially showing an explosive move with a breakout beyond 145.00. That move couldn't hold, however, with an assist from the underside of a bullish trendline helping to cap the weekly highs, leading to a push back-below the 145.00 handle.
For next week there's remaining bullish structure, which a recent higher-low at 144.00 that bulls need to defend to retain control. But given the broader backdrop of USD-strength going into FOMC, USD/JPY has bullish continuation potential, with levels at 148.00 and 150.00 as the next significant waypoints overhead. - js
Uj might be reversing- We are at a painfully large demand area.
- Price squeezing and consolidating in a dropping wedge.
- Thursday candle was a bullish harami (indicating a possible u-turn)
- Friday was the Good Friday (Market holiday), so it doesn't count
Let us patiently wait here for the price to either break the wedge or at least it hits the lower border of the wedge to place our first entry. The reversal is imminent provided we do not break the demand area. Patience is the key here.
Once we have a full confirmation to buy we will look further for targets, till then just watch it.
I will update you guys when I place my own entry. Pray hard, trade smart :) and best of luck!
Here is the close up look of the wedge:
USDJPY → Price in range, retest of resistanceFX:USDJPY is emerging from local consolidation in hopes of seeing economic data that could support the dollar. The target for this movement could be the liquidity zone at 144.00.
The currency pair is trading within a neutral range of 144.14 - 141.64. However, a local consolidation has formed within the range, from which the price has broken out. The main task for the bulls is to hold the defense above 142.75, in which case we will be able to catch the price distribution to the upper border of the global range of 144.14.
News ahead, positive data may strengthen the dollar, which will accordingly affect USDJPY, but there is strong resistance at 144.14, whose liquidity pool may trigger a downward rebound. The trend is neutral.
Resistance levels: 143.9, 144.14
Support levels: 142.75, 141.98
There are no reasons to exit the global range. Over the past two weeks, this will be the first retest of the 144.14 zone, which in general only increases the chances of a false breakout and correction.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY: Bounce on the 17 month Support starting massive rally.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.306, MACD = -0.870, ADX = 40.251) but is on a massive bounce on the S1 Zone, which has been holding since December 25th 2023. That Low last week also approached the 1W MA200. The LH trendline is the Resistance level of this pattern (Descending Triangle) and since the last one hit the 0.786 Fibonacci, we expect this one to hit the 0.618 Fib (TP = 153.500).
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Can USD/JPY hold THIS key support after a mixed NFP report? The US dollar traded mixed shortly after the NFP was released, as risk-on sentiment remained the prevailing trend. As index futures rose further, commodity dollars extended their gains against the greenback, while the USD/JPY attempted to find support around the key 144.00 - 144.50 area. This zone was resistance in the past so let's see if the UJ will be able to rebound from here later in the session, and in early next week.
NFP comes in stronger, but...
The nonfarm payrolls data “beat” forecasts, with a headline print of 177K vs. 138K eyed. But data for March was revised lower to 185K rom 228K. Revisions to prior two months have taken out 58K from initial estimates. Taken together, this is hardly a beat. But the good news was that full-time employment rose sharply. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, was unchanged at 4.2%.
On the inflation side of things, average earnings came in slightly lower than expected, rising 0.2% on a month-over-month basis, compared with 0.3% expected. Nothing to get too excited over, but potentially good news as far as inflation is concerned – especially after we saw a slightly weaker Core PCE Price Index in mid-week.
NFP was never going to matter much
The market’s focus is on trade war and trade negotiations. We were never going to see any wild market reactions, and so it has so far proved. The US dollar initially spiked then quickly returned to pre-NFP levels. Gold fell, and index futures added onto earlier gains.
Up next: ISM Services PMI on Monday and FOMC on Thursday.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
USDJPY: Bullish Trend Reversal?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY formed a strong bullish reversal pattern on a daily,
breaking the underlined daily resistance and confirming
a Change of Character CHoCH.
I believe that the pair will steadily return to a global bullish trend.
The price may grow at least to 147.0 level after a completion of a retracement.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
USDJPY Long Setup | Bullish Reversal from Value Area🧠 Technical Breakdown
🔹 Volume Profile Analysis
High Volume Node (HVN) around 144.50–145.20 indicates strong price acceptance.
Price is currently sitting on the Point of Control (POC) or near a zone with high historical transaction volume.
Low Volume Area (LVA) just above this level suggests price may move upward swiftly if buyers take control.
🔹 Key Levels
Entry: ~144.55 (current price where long position begins)
Stop Loss: Just below 144.166 (low-volume rejection zone / support)
Take Profit: ~145.183 — previous resistance level, where selling pressure appeared earlier
🔹 Structure
The previous bearish correction may be coming to an end as price stabilizes at a key support cluster.
The "open & close" line marks a significant balance point, with buyers stepping in to defend it.
Formation of potential higher low, suggesting early signs of a bullish reversal.
🛠 Trade Setup
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Current price zone ~144.55
Stop Loss: Below 144.166 support
Target: 145.183 (resistance)
Risk:Reward: Favorable (approx. 1:2)
✅ Confluences for Long Entry
Strong support zone at 144.166
High-volume accumulation zone (Volume Profile POC)
Price holding above prior open/close levels
Bullish rejection wicks forming at the bottom
⚠️ Watch For
A break and close below 144.166 would invalidate this setup.
Volatility from upcoming USD/JPY macroeconomic events — check the calendar.
🧭 Game Plan
If price continues to hold above 144.366–144.50 zone and shows bullish momentum (like bullish engulfing or strong reaction candles), this setup offers a high-probability long with clean invalidation and solid upside.
USD/JPY(20250502)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
144.67
Support and resistance levels:
147.49
146.44
145.75
143.58
142.90
141.84
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 145.75, consider buying, the first target price is 146.44
If the price breaks through 144.67, consider selling, the first target price is 143.58
USDJPY Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 144.50
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 142.26
My Stop Loss - 145.51
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPYThe technical analysis shows a bullish outlook for the USDJPY pair on the 4-hour timeframe, summarized as follows: The price was within a descending channel and broke upwards. After the breakout, a strong bullish impulse occurred. The price broke a previous structural level (price structure) and is currently retreating to form a pullback.
USDJPY: Time to Recover?!The USDJPY chart formed an inverted cup & handle pattern that has broken its neckline on a daily timeframe, signaling a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) and suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
This could lead to a market recovery and a possible move towards the 146.00 level in the near future.
Usd/Jpy 02-May-2025 AnalysisDisclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
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USDJPY: TGIF setupafter news yesterday, USDJPY made the strong spike and did a liquidity swipe on late buyers at Tokyo open. well, the whole week see bullish in play, leaving some FVG in HTH, very ideal for TGIF setup.
As soon as I see the bearish candle in H1 TH, enter 100% lot size with expectation of retracement to 20-30% fib, as ICT's textbook.
#propfirm #100k
USDJPY 1 day ⚙️ Technical Overview (USD/JPY – 1D)
📉 Trend & Structure:
Rising wedge pattern has been broken to the downside, which is typically a bearish reversal signal.
Price has retested the broken trendline from below near the 147.30 resistance level, confirming structure rejection.
Clear breakdown below both ascending trendlines.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance:
147.32 (marked on chart, rejected after trendline break)
Minor resistance around 145.90–146.50, former support area turned resistance.
Support:
Nearest horizontal support: 135.00 – 136.00 zone
Major support (and target of measured move): 122.73, also aligned with prior consolidation zone from 2022.
📏 Measured Move:
A measured move suggests a potential drop of -8.43% (~1,229 pips) from the wedge top to the lower trendline support around 133.00–122.70 range.
This aligns with a long-term target near 122.73, which is a major structural level.
🧠 Outlook & Bias:
Bias: Bearish
Momentum: Strong breakdown with retest failure indicates bearish momentum is intact.
Confirmation: A daily close below 144.50 could further confirm downside continuation.
📌 Potential Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: After confirmation below 144.50 or aggressive entry on current retest failure.
SL: Above 147.50 (last swing high & trendline).
TP: First target at 136.00; second target at 122.70
Yen Near 146 as Trade Hopes WeighThe yen hovered near 146 per dollar Friday after a 1.6% drop, pressured by weaker safe-haven demand amid improving US-China trade prospects. China is open to talks after repeated U.S. outreach, while Japan and the U.S. wrapped up a second round of bilateral talks, aiming for a June deal. Domestically, Japan’s jobless rate rose to 2.5% in March, but the labor market stayed tight. The Bank of Japan held rates at 0.5% and cut its growth and inflation outlooks, signaling limited chances of near-term hikes.
Resistance is located at 145.90, followed by 146.75 and 149.80. On the downside, support levels are at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart illustrates a bullish trade setup for USD/JPY on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a quick breakdown:
Pattern: The price appears to be forming higher lows and higher highs, suggesting an uptrend.
Green Arrows: Indicate points of price support and potential entry zones.
Orange Circles: Highlight pullbacks or corrections within the trend.
Green Trendline: Shows an ascending support line, supporting the bullish outlook.
Entry Point: Around the current price near 145.260, aligned with trendline support.
Stop Loss: Set just below the recent support zone (~144.134) to limit downside risk.
Take Profit: Targeting the upper green box near 147.493, aligned with previous highs.
This setup seems to be a buy-the-dip strategy in an uptrend.
Do you want help analyzing the risk-reward ratio or confirmation signals?