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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

Heading into overlap resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 149.13 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 149.83 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 148.19 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY - Breakdown Confirmation & Potential DeclineUSD/JPY - Breakdown Confirmation & Potential Decline Chart Overview: The USD/JPY price action has broken down from a previously established ascending channel. A lower high formation suggests weakening bullish momentum, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend. The key support zones are marked below, with the price likely to move towards these levels if bearish momentum persists. Technical Analysis: Breakdown Zone: The price has breached the lower trendline of the ascending channel, confirming a bearish breakdown. Resistance Levels: The price faces resistance around 0.0067786 - 0.0068488. Support Targets: Possible downside targets at 0.0066848, 0.0066012, and 0.0065720. Bearish Confirmation: A retest of the breakdown level followed by rejection strengthens the bearish outlook. Trade Consideration: Bearish Bias: A short position could be considered if the price fails to reclaim the broken trendline. Stop Loss: Above the breakdown zone to avoid potential fakeouts. Target Levels: Lower support zones for potential take-profit areas. Conclusion: The breakdown from the rising channel suggests a shift in market sentiment, with a bearish move likely. Traders should monitor price action for further confirmations.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
USDJPY My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The market is trading on 149.96 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 148.72 Recommended Stop Loss - 150.69 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
USDJPY: Short sell trade with LuBotGood morning everyone, this morning I received a signal alert notification from LuBot, a short on trend with a 12H timeframe. The signal follows the main rules of a good trend, the trend cloud is negative, the moving averages are in favor of the bearish trend, the supertrend is also bearish and the last trend signal is the short one in red. Regarding the structure and price action we see the gray candles, so the short-term structure is uncertain and currently seems to have simply made a false break of the previous highs with a return below them and the ema21. The signal then triggers after a retracement on the trendcloud area with closing below the ema21 thus showing bearish strength. LuBot recommends a stop above the ema200 and take profit below the latest lows and I will currently follow these levels. Based on the subsequent movements I will decide whether to move the stop above the previous highs or the take profit to the lows area in case the price action continues to show uncertainty. 👍 If you liked this post let me know with a like 🙋‍♂️ Remember to follow me so you don't miss my future analyses ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions. TAGS: FX:USDJPY FOREXCOM:USDJPY SAXO:USDJPY KRAKEN:USDJPY FX_IDC:USDJPY FPMARKETS:USDJPY PEPPERSTONE:USDJPY CAPITALCOM:USDJPY SKILLING:USDJPY OANDA:USDJPY
Short
by LuTrader_LB
USD/JPY Analysis: Dollar Weakens After Fed DecisionUSD/JPY Analysis: Dollar Weakens After Fed Decision Yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision, which, as expected, remained unchanged. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasised that there is no rush to cut rates amid uncertainty surrounding US inflation and the tariff policies implemented by the Trump administration. This key announcement triggered volatility in financial markets, notably: → US stock indices rose; → the US dollar weakened, which was evident in currency (and cryptocurrency) charts involving USD pairs. The most significant movement occurred in the USD/JPY chart, as the Bank of Japan was also active yesterday. While it also left interest rates unchanged, it acknowledged growing uncertainty around Japan’s economy and added a new reference to the "changing trade environment." Technical Analysis of USD/JPY As we noted on 21 February when analysing the Japanese yen’s exchange rate against the US dollar: → Price fluctuations are forming a downward channel (marked in red). → The former support at the lower boundary of the blue channel may now act as resistance. Since then, the price has: → Tested the breakout level (indicated by an arrow) before continuing to decline within the channel, confirming its relevance. → Reached the lower boundary of the channel and rebounded upwards from the 147 yen per dollar level. Given that the price is closely interacting with the channel lines and is currently around its median, it suggests that supply and demand are relatively balanced under these conditions. This is further supported by the fact that neither the Fed nor the Bank of Japan introduced surprises, leaving interest rates unchanged. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
JPY/USD Breakout from Falling Channel – Bullish Trading SetupOverview of the Chart: The Japanese Yen (JPY) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) 1-hour chart showcases a well-defined market structure, transitioning from a downtrend within a falling channel to a breakout with bullish momentum. The chart highlights critical support and resistance levels, a confirmed breakout, and a forecasted price movement that could indicate further bullish continuation. This analysis will break down the chart patterns, technical indicators, and potential trade setups, providing a professional outlook on price action behavior. Technical Breakdown of the Chart 1. Falling Channel Pattern – Downtrend Phase The price had been trading within a descending channel, marked by two parallel trendlines (blue lines), indicating a controlled downtrend. A falling channel is a bullish reversal pattern, as it signals that bearish momentum is weakening. Within the channel, price action consistently created lower highs and lower lows, adhering to the structure of the pattern. The red dashed trendline inside the channel acted as a dynamic resistance, rejecting price movements multiple times before the breakout. 📌 Key Observation: The falling channel pattern suggests accumulation, where selling pressure gradually diminishes, paving the way for a bullish reversal. 2. Support Zone & Bullish Breakout The price eventually reached a strong horizontal support level (highlighted blue zone at the bottom), which acted as a critical demand area. This support level had previously led to strong rebounds, making it a significant zone for potential reversals. Bullish breakout confirmation: A strong bullish candle closed above the upper boundary of the channel, breaking the trendline resistance. The breakout suggests a shift in market structure from a downtrend to an uptrend, as buyers regained control. The price has now moved above the previous resistance, confirming the bullish momentum. 📌 Key Takeaway: The breakout is a strong signal that sellers have lost control, and a potential bullish trend could emerge. 3. Resistance Zone – Key Barrier for Buyers The next area of interest is the resistance level (highlighted in a blue rectangular zone). This level has historically acted as a strong supply zone, where price previously struggled to break through. If the price manages to sustain above this level, it would confirm bullish continuation toward higher price targets. 📌 Technical View: If buyers break past this resistance, it could lead to a strong bullish rally, reinforcing the new uptrend. 4. Target Projection & Forecasted Price Movement The chart outlines a forecasted bullish path using a zigzag projection (black lines). Here’s the expected price action: Short-Term Movement: Price might face temporary resistance near the blue resistance zone. A minor pullback or consolidation in this area is expected before further movement. Retest of Support: If price pulls back, it could retest the broken channel resistance or the support zone. A successful retest and bounce would validate the strength of the breakout. Bullish Continuation: If the resistance zone is broken, price is likely to continue toward the target level of 0.006842, a previous swing high. This level acts as the final upside target based on historical resistance levels. 📌 Key Insight: The market structure suggests that price will follow a higher-high, higher-low pattern, which is characteristic of an uptrend.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Dollar Weakens Post-Fed, Lifting Yen Beyond 148.5The yen strengthened past 148.5 per dollar, rising for a second session as the dollar weakened after the Fed reaffirmed two rate cuts this year. Fed Chair Powell downplayed Trump’s tariffs as short-lived. The BoJ kept rates at 0.5% on Wednesday, adopting a cautious stance amid global risks, especially US tariffs. It also emphasized monitoring forex markets and their impact on the economy. Key resistance is at 150.30, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00. 
by ChartMage
USDJPYKey Levels: Support Levels: 147.710 – First support zone (potential buy area). 147.230 – Stronger support level where price may react if it continues downward. Resistance Levels: 149.500 – Key resistance level if the price reverses bullish. Trade Setup: A short position is anticipated with entry after a pullback towards a minor FVG. Take Profit: Near 147.710 or deeper at 147.230. Stop Loss: Likely above the broken trendline or at a key resistance zone (149.500). A long position could be considered at 147.710 or 147.230 if price shows bullish signals.
Long
by Tdawly_Official
USDJPY SHORT - long term downtrend continuationThe white line on the chart is a path drawn from the daily chart, we have had a nice correction to the green line marked on the chart. Expecting a retest of the level marked by the red line before a day trade short running down to the previous low created on March 11th. If it breaks back in to the zone marked by the red and green lines, then I wouldn't take the trade but for now all signs show a continuation of the downward trend.
Short
by craiguu1z1
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted buyers for the second consecutive day and strengthened to a new one-week high against its US counterpart during the Asian session on Thursday. Expectations that strong wage growth could boost consumer spending and contribute to higher inflation give the Bank of Japan (BoJ) room to raise interest rates further. This has led to a recent sharp narrowing of the rate differential between Japan and other countries, which continues to support the low-yielding yen. In addition, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policy and its impact on the global economy, as well as geopolitical risks and the political crisis in Turkey, are contributing to inflows into the Yen. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, is struggling to gain meaningful momentum amid increased economic uncertainty amid US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. This, in turn, is weighing on the USD/JPY pair and contributing to the intraday decline. However, interest rate differentials, the Bank of Japan's loose monetary policy, the trade balance differential and global market sentiment put pressure on the Japanese yen. The further direction of the USD/JPY pair lies on the upside. Trading recommendation: BUY 148.400, SL 147.600, TP 150.100
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Charting the Path Forward: Key Levels to WatchPrevious Analysis: Successful Bullish Breakout In our previous analysis, we identified a Falling Wedge pattern accompanied by bullish divergence, forecasting a breakout above 147.807. The price hit our target, confirming the bullish momentum and reaching key Fibonacci levels. What’s Next: Upon analyzing the chart, we observe that price has found support at 147.535 after a pullback during the American session. We anticipate the price to reach our first target, and after consolidation and a possible pullback, we expect to hit our second target near the upper line of the channel. However, if the price declines from the first target and breaches support at 147.535, the next key support level is at 146.306. Remember to follow your risk management strategies to protect your capital.
Long
by SpicyPips
USD/JPY Trend Next Week - Continue Downtrend?🔔🔔🔔USD/JPY news: 🔆 Japan's largest labor union group, Rengo, secured an average wage increase of 5.46%, the highest since 1991, surpassing last year's initial figure of 5.28%. However, the raise fell short of expectations, as union members had sought a 6.09% increase. Given this outcome, the Bank of Japan is unlikely to tighten monetary policy beyond what the market has already priced in, which weighs on the yen. The swaps market continues to reflect expectations of less than 50 basis points of rate hikes over the next year. 🔆 On the other hand, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure following weak economic data, particularly the CPI and PPI reports, which have heightened concerns about a potential recession. This increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sooner than previously expected at the end of the year. Additionally, growing uncertainty surrounding U.S. tax policies are adding further downside risks to the dollar. Personal opinion: 🔆USD/JPY will maintain a downtrend in the near future after the previous basic economic news. Unless there is good news for the Dollar, then we will consider the possibility of a bullish reversal 🔆 Technically, USD/JPY is hitting a strong resistance zone at SMA100 and Pivot points, so it is likely to continue to decline next week. 🔆Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Resistance zone: 148.70 - 149.10 - 150.00 Support zone: 148.12 - 147.61 - 146.73 Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 148.70 – 148.80 ❌SL: 149.15 | ✅TP: 148.20 – 147.70 – 146.80 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
6