USDJPY Breakdown?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY BUY📈 USDJPY: Potential Rebound Setup on M15/M5 🕒🔁
Looking at USDJPY on the 15-minute and 5-minute charts, there's a promising rebound setup forming that could align with the ongoing bullish move.
📍 Target: A possible price rebalancing toward the 150 zone.
🔸 Let’s not forget, I already have a running position on this pair, so I’m keeping a close eye on this short-term action.
💬 What do you think? Possible rebound or just a pause before more downside? 👀
USDJPY Bearish IdeaSell limit on USDJPY set!!
Reason?
1. Uptrend finished, and downtrend about to continue.
2. Supply zone with imbalance not yet mitigated.
3. H4 and H4 same direction.
4. Price reacted to area of SBR (it can continue downtrend from here).
I will be targetted 2RR from this trade. Let's go.
Yen Climbs on Trade Talks, Record SurplusThe Japanese yen climbed toward 147 per dollar on Tuesday, reversing losses as trade uncertainty lifted safe-haven demand. Trump agreed to begin trade talks with Japan after speaking with PM Shigeru Ishiba and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to lead talks covering tariffs, currency, and subsidies. Trump denied delaying tariffs, saying they may stay indefinitely. Domestically, Japan’s current account surplus hit a record high in February, backed by strong exports and lower imports, further supporting the yen.
Key resistance is at 148.70, with further levels at 152.70 and 157.70. Support stands at 145.60, followed by 143.00 and 141.80.
USD/JPY M30 | Falling to overlap supportUSD/JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 146.62 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 145.71 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 148.09 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart is an analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on a 2-hour timeframe, and it presents a possible bullish scenario. Here’s a breakdown of the idea:
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Key Points of the Analysis:
1. Support Level & Change of Character (ChoCH):
Price found strong support around 144.556.
A ChoCH (Change of Character) is noted, indicating a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish trend.
2. Bullish Reversal Setup:
The price is forming higher lows, suggesting the start of a "New Up Trend".
There's a clear zig-zag bullish projection, suggesting potential long opportunities.
3. Target Zones:
The first target point is in the range of 149.692 – 150.493.
This area is also marked with a resistance zone, making it a logical TP (Take Profit) level.
4. Risk/Reward Ratio:
The risk is around -3.75% (-564.8 pips), and the reward is around +3.94% (+569.2 pips), suggesting a 1:1.05 R/R ratio.
5. RSI Indicator (Below):
RSI is showing a bullish divergence (price made lower lows while RSI made higher lows).
This divergence supports the idea of a possible bullish reversal.
6. 200 EMA:
The 200 EMA is at 148.767, acting as a dynamic resistance. Price may react around that level before hitting the final target zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This analysis suggests a potential long trade setup on USD/JPY based on:
A support zone,
Bullish RSI divergence,
Market structure shift (ChoCH),
And projected movement toward 149.692–150.493.
Idea: Buy near the support zone (~144.556) and target the resistance zone (~150.493) while managing risk carefully.
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Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY Analysis: Reversal Forecasts Based on Trading MathDear Trader,
Please find attached my analysis of $Subject, which uses mathematical calculations to identify potential reversal times and price levels.
The analysis details projected south and north price targets (horizontal lines on the chart), along with estimated time frames for possible reversals (vertical lines on the chart, accurate to within +/- 1-2 candles). Please note that all times indicated on the chart, including the vertical lines representing potential reversal times, are based on the UTC+4 time zone.
To increase the probability of these analyses, I recommend monitoring the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for the following key reversal candlestick patterns:
Doji’s
Hammer/Inverted Hammer
Double/Triple Bottom/Top
Shooting Star
Morning Star
Hanging Man
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
151.17 145.09
154.26 142.09
160.53 136.19
166.93 130.42
173.45 124.77
180.10 119.25
186.87 113.85
193.77 108.58
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 148.24
1st Support: 145.39
1st Resistance: 150.06
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Tyree Thomas Jr USD/JPY Bias 4/7/25I believe that U/J will sell to my take profit at the green Fib extension. I will be posting my trade ideas every evening. I use the Fibonacci Retracement tool, the Fibonacci Extension tool, Six EMA's, Market Structure, and the TDIGM in my trading strategy to create my Bias.
USD/JPY(20250408)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
146.92
Support and resistance levels
150.22
148.99
148.18
145.65
144.85
143.61
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 148.18, consider buying, the first target price is 148.99
If the price breaks through 146.92, consider selling, the first target price is 145.65
USDJPY InsightHello and welcome, everyone!
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba revealed after a phone call with President Trump that “Japan has been the largest investor in the U.S. for five consecutive years,” and expressed concern that tariff policies could undermine the investment capacity of Japanese companies. Japan and the U.S. plan to appoint ministers in charge of the tariff issue soon.
- The European Commission is set to hold a vote among its 27 member states on the 9th regarding retaliatory tariffs against U.S. steel duties. The level of retaliation is expected to be lower than previously announced, considering the possibility of negotiations with the U.S.
- U.S. President Donald Trump recently warned China that if it does not withdraw its 34% retaliatory tariffs, he will impose an additional 50% tariff on Chinese goods.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ April 10: FOMC Minutes, U.S. March Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ April 11: U.K. February GDP, Germany March CPI, U.S. March Producer Price Index (PPI)
USDJPY Chart Analysis
As predicted last week, the pair failed to break through the resistance at the 151 level and dropped to the 144–145 range. It is currently consolidating around the 147 level, with resistance near 148, suggesting a stronger likelihood of a further decline. If the decline continues, the 142–143 range is likely to act as the next support. However, if the price breaks above the 148 level, a rebound toward the 151 level is expected. A break above 151 could potentially lead to a rally toward the 154–155 range.
USDJPY-BUY strategy 6-hourly chart Regression ChannelThe pair no doubt has been pushed lower on US recession fears, and changes in Yields. However, it has gone to far and too quick to my liking and feel we should have some corrections in the coming sessions.
Strategy BUY @ 145.10-145.40 and take profit near 147.57.
Yen Undervalued: Dollar Likely to Fall as Fundamentals ShiftThe USD/JPY pair's recent decline to 147.88 reflects an emerging shift in yield dynamics, with the US 10-year Treasury at 4.20% against Japan's approximate 1.10% yield. While this 310 basis point differential historically supported dollar strength, markets are now pricing in potential Fed rate cuts against speculation of BOJ policy normalization, narrowing the anticipated future yield gap. This fundamental realignment has accelerated yen appreciation despite the still-significant current yield advantage for the dollar.
The yen looks undervalued given Japan’s improving economy and rising prices, while the US may start cutting rates soon. The yen likely deserves a stronger level around 135–140 instead of the current 147.88, so despite short-term moves, the dollar still has room to fall against the yen in the coming months.
Short USDJPYUSD/JPY has perfectly tested my supply zone and shown a clear rejection. Based on this, we can consider opening a short position. Fundamentally, USD/JPY also appears weak, and the Japanese Yen is considered a safe haven. Given the current market conditions, this could be a good trade setup.