USDJPY trade ideas
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 142.40
1st Support: 139.58
1st Resistance: 148.45
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Who wants to join the shorting party? Come onboard now..USDJPYWe have a nice retracement now and the risk reward is also good......
For beginners, again, I wouldn't suggest increasing your position size unless you have a clear profit target to get out. This is volatile pair where one moment you can see nice profits in your account and the next hour , it turns red. It is not the exit nor the entry that I believes create the anxiety but rather the unfinished business of having the money in your pocket.
There, you see profits rising and your fear increases by the minute to ask you take it or else.......and on the other hand, you worry, what if it goes down lower and you missed this opportunity. Every single day, this situation happens and some make money initially only to return back to the market. They then took revenge and bet more only to lose even more until they torn and battered, decides trading is not for them.
I suggest the minimum contract size you can trade with and start from there and learn as you see the price goes up and down. See what it does to your emotions - like riding a roller coaster. You imagined what you can do with the profits had you times 10 but you did not or wished it wasn't a demo account but real live account. Or you hesitated to enter and then it went up like a rocket and you sighed a relief, how lucky/good you were in spotting the market trend.
Trading on a different level reveals your true self much like a mirror and you can be honest about it or continues to fake it. It is up to you!
USDJPY Sell- Go for sell
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
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USDJPY Short Setup: OB Rejection + Fib Premium Sell-Off IncomingUSDJPY (1H Chart) | Institutional Short Setup with OB + Fib Confluence
The market is showing clear Smart Money Distribution behavior — with a rejection from a high-confluence zone combining Order Block, Premium Fib Levels, and bearish momentum shift.
🔍 Smart Money Setup Breakdown:
🔻 Bearish Order Block Zone (OB)
Price wicked into OB zone and got instantly rejected
OB located precisely at the 70.5% – 79% premium range
Mark of institutional sell-side interest
📐 Fibonacci Retracement + Premium Zone
Retracement from swing high (144.973) to swing low (144.436)
Premium zone between 61.8% to 79% aligns with OB (144.700–144.973)
Entry taken from this zone for high-probability sell setup
📉 Bearish Confirmation
Aggressive bearish reaction post-OB tap
Market structure flipping bearish
Momentum candle breaks previous bullish leg
🔻 Target Zones (Measured Fib Extensions)
-27%: 144.200
-62%: 144.000
-100%: 143.803
-161.8%: 143.300 (extended liquidity draw)
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone 144.784 – 144.973 (OB + Premium Fib + FVG rejection)
🔻 SL Above 145.000 (above OB wick)
📉 TP 1 144.200 (first fib extension)
📉 TP 2 143.803 (full -100% extension)
⚖️ RRR Approx. 1:4+ — stealthy sniper precision
💬 Pro Tip from the Ninja Dojo:
The market doesn’t move because of indicators — it moves because of liquidity.
Find the OB. Wait for the imbalance. Strike where Smart Money hides. 🥷📊
This isn’t retail — this is calculated execution.
🎯 Save this chart before price melts to 143.8
💬 Drop your entry zone & SL idea in comments
USDJPY Pending Short at 146.32In this idea, I have plotted all the necessary information on the chart itself. But allow me to point them out in words:
1. A resistance zone drawn with a rectangle that shows 5 red down arrows, out of which 4 are historical price rejection points and the last one is an expected rejection point at the top of the resistance zone which will be our short entry.
2. An Elliott Wave count update that shows a double combination wave 2 showing that we are now in a C wave of the double combination Y wave.
3. 3 different trendlines: The purple is expected to break, the blue is where price is expected to be rejected that will coincide with the top of the resistance zone, and the green which will be our stop loss if break above.
4. A take short position risk-reward plot where SL is set is initially set up at 147.187 but this should really be following the green trendline, and a TP that is initially set at the blue H&S neckline at 141.042 (see previous USDJPY idea for the big picture H&S plot).
Overall, I am expecting a final push for USDJPY to move up that will be in-line with the equity markets last leg up) and then a higher degree wave 3 down for USDJPY that will also be in-line with equity markets downturn.
Good luck!
Japan : Q1 2025 GDP Revision: Milder ContractionFinal data for Q1 2025 shows that Japan's economy contracted by 0.2% year-on-year (YoY), better than the initial estimate of -0.7%
(Sources: english.kyodonews.net, reuters.com, fxstreet.com).
Growth in household consumption and an increase in inventory levels were the main drivers, although the export sector remained a drag due to U.S. tariff pressures.
On a quarterly basis (QoQ), the economy recorded flat growth (0.0%), exceeding expectations of a -0.2% contraction
(Sources: reuters.com, fxstreet.com).
In summary: The revision shows that Japan’s economy is not as weak as initially feared, though it still reflects underlying sluggish conditions.
Sunday Report Last week ended with buyers pushing price upwards. Price is testing our key resistance of 114.784.
Targets:
Buy: 145.066 (open and close above)
Sell: 114.599 (open and close below)
Key takeaways:
Price is currently bullish in hour and four timeframes moving above 200 sma
Bearish in weekly and monthly
Our next report is going to be the Core Inflation Rate YoY which I will talk more about in my next post.
USDJPY: Weekly OverviewHello traders,
Generally, I think USD tends to be weaker in next weeks
Why 142.879 is a white (No-Trade) zone?
140.729 is a strong reversal point regarding the Weekly timeframe.
Any short trade here is not rational.
It is not suitable for long, because of the bearish trend line.
Other zones are clear!
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that os slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.27
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 143.36
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 146.07
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USDJPYPotential swing trade incoming ( Short )
- creating LLs and LHs
- Hitting daily supply line
- 3rd touch off the downwards trendline
- high wick candles on the lower time frames - sellers are stepping in
- SL just above previouse LH
- TP at major demand zone
- overall downwards trend within the market
boost and comment away guys i want to here your take on this trade
The Japanese yen may face further downward pressure.The USD/JPY has trended higher in a volatile manner this week, rising 0.56% on a weekly basis and closing at 144.87 on Friday, marking the second consecutive week of gains. The Japanese yen, as a safe-haven currency, showed weakness this week, reflecting market concerns about Japan's economic outlook and the impact of Trump's tariff policies. The remarks of Kazuo Ueda (Governor of the Bank of Japan) reflected worries about the effects of the trade war. Market expectations indicate that the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain a dovish stance in the short term. If next week's GDP data is weak, the yen may face further downward pressure.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
USDJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 144.863.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 146.013 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY TRADING ROADMAP 09 - 13 JUNI 2025📈 USDJPY TRADING ROADMAP
Trading Plan & Market Outlook
The USDJPY pair is currently in a bullish phase and is expected to continue rising toward the Supply Zone between 146.765 – 147.664, as long as price action holds above the key Demand Zone at 142.273 – 141.426.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Primary Trend: Bullish (price heading to supply zone)
Demand Zone (Support): 142.273 – 141.426
→ This zone acts as the trend validation and risk threshold
Supply Zone (Resistance): 146.765 – 147.664
→ Potential target zone for bullish continuation
Risk Management:
As long as price stays above 141.426, the bullish outlook remains valid.
A break below this level may signal a shift in market direction.
📌 Key Notes:
Wait for price action confirmation near zones before taking entry.
Use proper position sizing and risk-reward ratios.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ON
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
Always do your own research and use appropriate risk management.
USDJPY Pullback? Watch OB + Fib Confluence for the Next Buy WaveUSDJPY | 30-Min Chart – Smart Money Buy Setup in Progress
After a sharp bullish rally, USDJPY is setting up for a classic retracement buy scenario. We're now watching a key confluence zone between Fibonacci levels, a bullish order block, and internal trend structure — all lining up for a high-probability long setup.
🔍 Trade Breakdown:
📉 Pullback Expected Before Next Rally:
Price rejected near short-term resistance and is retracing from local highs.
Retracement aligns with key OB + 61.8–79% Fib zone = institutional entry zone.
🟣 Order Block (OB) Demand Zone: 143.086 – 142.828
Last bullish candle before explosive rally = demand OB.
OB sits within premium Fib retracement = Smart Money buy zone.
📐 Fibonacci Levels (Swing Low to High):
61.8% ≈ 143.200
70.5% ≈ 143.000
79% ≈ 142.828
This is the kill zone for institutional longs — where Smart Money typically enters before expansion.
🔵 Projected Play:
Retracement to OB/Fib confluence.
Bullish rejection from OB zone.
Impulse move targeting previous highs and beyond.
💡 Target Level: 144.396 (sits just above prior high and aligns with -27% Fib extension)
📉 Current Bias:
Short-term retracement ➝ Mid-term bullish continuation
Expecting price to dip into OB then launch.
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone: 143.086 – 142.828
🔻 SL Below: 142.650 (below OB/Fib + structure wick)
📈 Target: 144.396
⚖️ RRR: 1:3+ — high confluence risk-managed buy
🔍 Technical Confluence Checklist:
✅ OB demand zone
✅ 61.8–79% retracement
✅ Bullish market structure
✅ Internal channel support
✅ Momentum slow before entry
📍 Save this chart — don’t chase, let price come to you
💬 Comment if you're watching this OB too
👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for precision-based setups daily
USDJPY Buy Setup! OB + 61.8% Fib + Trend Channel ConfluenceUSDJPY | 30-Min Chart – High Probability Buy Setup in Progress
USDJPY is currently respecting a bullish market structure within a well-defined ascending trend channel. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) traders are watching for a precise reaction at the confluence of a key Order Block (OB), Fibonacci retracement levels, and mid-channel support.
🔍 Trade Breakdown:
Bullish Market Structure
Price has shifted from bearish to bullish after forming a key higher low and continuing with higher highs within the trend channel. The structure is being respected with multiple taps on both upper and lower channel boundaries.
Internal Liquidity & Order Flow:
Price previously swept sell-side liquidity below the recent swing low and sharply reversed, confirming internal liquidity engineering and institutional involvement.
Currently, we’re seeing price stall after rejecting the upper channel and OB zone. A retracement into the discount zone is anticipated before continuation.
🟣 Order Block Zone (OB): 143.032 – 143.137
A clear bullish OB formed after a strong impulsive move, marking the last down candle before the bullish break of structure.
Located just above the 61.8% Fibonacci level — strong confluence.
📐 Fibonacci Levels from Last Swing Low to High:
61.8% = 143.137
70.5% = 143.032
Potential reaction zone aligns perfectly with OB + trendline + psychological round level (143.000 area)
📊 Buy Setup Expectation:
USDJPY is expected to retrace into the OB/Fib confluence zone before a bullish continuation toward the upper boundary of the trend channel and beyond.
🔵 Projected Path:
Price dips into OB → reacts to 61.8–70.5% retracement → bullish reversal → break to fresh highs near 143.510 or higher
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone: 143.032 – 143.137 (OB + 61.8–70.5% Fib)
🔻 SL Below: 143.000 (beneath OB and psychological level)
📈 Target: 143.510 (channel top + previous supply zone)
⚖️ RRR: Approx. 1:3+ — high precision Smart Money entry
💬 Ninja Wisdom:
Patience before profit. Wait for price to return to the zone where institutions left footprints — the OB at equilibrium pricing. Combine OB + Fib + channel and you're trading like the banks.
Retail buys the breakout. Smart Money buys the pullback. 🥷📚
📍 Save this chart before the setup triggers!
🧠 Do you see the same confluence? Comment your entry/TP/SL plans ⬇️
👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more sniper setups on major FX pairs every session!