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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY Consolidation Triangle – Breakout WatchThe USD/JPY pair is currently trading inside a well-formed symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart. This structure typically forms when the market is in a phase of consolidation, with neither buyers nor sellers able to break the range. Price is compressing between a horizontal resistance zone (~146.50) and a rising support line (~143.50), indicating that a breakout in either direction may be imminent. This triangle has formed after a sharp downtrend, followed by a broad base formation. Such setups often precede a decisive move, especially if accompanied by volume. 🔼 Upside Breakout Scenario If price breaks and closes above the resistance zone (above 146.50–147.00) with bullish confirmation, we can expect momentum to shift in favor of buyers. A confirmed breakout would open the path toward 150.00+, possibly even retesting the highs of 2024 near 152.00. This would be seen as a bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend. 🔽 Downside Breakdown Scenario Alternatively, if price fails to hold the rising trendline and breaks below the 143.00–142.50 support zone, it may confirm a bearish breakdown. This would suggest a continuation of the earlier downtrend with fresh bearish momentum targeting 140.00 and lower levels. 🧭 Trade Strategy Consideration Bullish Plan: Buy breakout above 147.00 with SL below 145.50 and TP near 150.50–152.00 Bearish Plan: Sell breakdown below 142.50 with SL above 144.00 and TP near 140.00–138.00 Neutral Bias: Wait for breakout confirmation; no trade inside the triangle This is a tight volatility setup where breakout traders should stay alert. The longer the consolidation, the stronger the breakout move tends to be. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
by TradZoo
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 143.48, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 145.11 a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 142.22, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USDJPY Daily TF - June 29th, 2025USDJPY Daily Neutral Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bearish Daily - Bearish I’m looking at the Daily time frame here as this is the only clear picture for price action in terms of trends. The 4hour looks like price action can’t make a decision so we will wait for price action to get closer to some major zones. Bearish Continuation - Ideally, we want to see price action touch 147.500 again followed by convincing bearish rejection. Look to target lower toward major support levels if this happens. Aside from this potential setup we don’t have much to look at here on UJ.
by ForexLeague
USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟 💰 Ready to raid the USD/JPY "The Gopher" vault? 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental heist analysis), here’s the master plan to swipe bullish profits before the market turns against us! Escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—overbought, consolidation, and bear traps ahead! 💸 "Take the money and run—you’ve earned it!" 🏆🚀 🕵️‍♂️ Heist Strategy: 📈 Entry (Bullish Raid): The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE! Pullback lovers: Set buy limits at recent/swing lows for extra loot. 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders. 🎯 Target (Profit Escape): 148.700 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!) ⚔️ Scalpers’ Quick Strike: LONG ONLY! If rich, attack now. If not, join swing traders & rob slowly. Trailing SL = Your bodyguard! 💰🔒 💥 Why This Heist? USD/JPY "The Ninja" is bullish due to key factors—check: 📌 Fundamental + Macro + COT Report 📌 Quantitative + Sentiment + Intermarket Analysis 📌 Future Targets & Overall Score (Linkks In the profile!) 🔗🌍 🚨 Trading Alert (News = Danger!): Avoid new trades during news—volatility kills! Trailing SL saves profits on running positions. 💖 Support the Heist Team! 💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥 Help us steal more money daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Stay tuned—another heist is coming soon! 🤑🎯
Long
by The-Thief
USDJPY Ascending channel breakdown ahead selling strong📉 USDJPY Breaks Down! Strong sell-off from the key supply zone at 145.500 – the ascending channel has been broken on the 1H timeframe, signaling momentum shift. 🎯 Technical Targets: 🔹 1st Target: 144.000 – key demand zone 🔹 2nd Target: 143.000 – strong support level Bearish pressure is building — price action confirms the shift. Eyes on lower zones as sellers take control. 📊 🔔 Like, Follow, and Comment your thoughts! 💬 Join us for more timely market updates and clean setups! #USDJPY #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalTrading #PriceAction #FXSetup #LiviaTrades 😜
Short
by experttrader04
8
Buy pressure USD/JPYBuyers seeking to continue overall movement to 160 area. From the outside looking in all aspects of final test are being made and have been made at 144 area. This is a good number! Looking even closer, the sellers are selling too fast and are not going to be able to keep up that momentum in comparison to the overall pressure from the bottom. The top has been tested 3 strikes you out. Followed by the long steady ride up with bumps and traps along the way of course. Get your ticket now to get a good seat and watch.
Long
by PmasterK
1
Forecast USDJPY Contrary to popular belief, USD/JPY is structurally in a long-term bearish trend since 1971 on a logarithmic scale. What appears to be a recovery is in fact a technical retracement within a broader secular downtrend. A historic hidden bearish divergence is forming: the RSI has been gradually rising, while the price continues to print lower highs over the decades. This reflects a momentum squeeze within the bearish structure. We may be standing at the edge of a major rejection zone, where the long-term downtrend could reassert itself forcefully. The market is quietly preparing for a powerful bearish continuation.
Short
by Kanounsyphax
Forecast USDJPY This is not financial advice. Educational purpose only." I am preparing to take a short position on USDJPY starting next week, in alignment with the upcoming rollover of futures contracts. My analysis is based on a combination of technical, macroeconomic, behavioral, and institutional elements. From a technical perspective, a clear bearish reversal divergence is visible on the weekly chart using the 21-period RSI based on HLCC/4. While the price is making higher highs, momentum is weakening, indicating a loss of bullish strength. This setup is reinforced by a long-term continuation divergence that has been forming since the major tops of 1971, suggesting a possible terminal phase in the current cycle. COT data supports this view. Large speculators have been steadily reducing their long positions on USDJPY over recent weeks. More significantly, these same institutional players have begun accumulating long positions on Japanese yen futures (6J), often a precursor to a monetary rotation. The upcoming rollover of futures contracts next week could trigger a more pronounced shift in institutiona positioning. Macroeconomic data from the United States also confirms a slowdown. Core PCE came in at 0.1%, below expectations. Nonfarm Payrolls underperformed, and the ISM Services Index dropped below 50, signaling contraction. In contrast, Japan maintains stable inflation around 2.3%, which gives the Bank of Japan room to begin policy normalization. The yield differential is starting to narrow, a historically bearish factor for USDJPY. Finally, market sentiment remains skewed. Retail traders are still heavily positioned long on USDJPY. Such imbalances, where retail crowds are long and institutional players are exiting, often precede sharp reversals. If the expected institutional reallocation materializes after the futures rollover, I will enter a short position. Technical, fundamental, and cyclical factors are now fully aligned. "This is a personal market view. Always do your own research before making trading decisions."
Short
by Kanounsyphax
2
USDJPY Continue Bearish TrendThis USD/JPY chart presents a short bias based on multi-timeframe analysis and structure: * **Trend Summary (Text on Chart)**: * **Weekly (W)**: Bearish * **Daily (D)**: Bullish * **12H**: Mixed (Bullish & Bearish) * **6H, 4H**: Bearish → Overall sentiment: **60–80% Bearish Bias** * **Technical Highlights**: * Price is forming a **rising wedge**, typically a bearish reversal pattern. * The pair is currently testing a **Daily Area of Interest (AOI)** near 144.665–144.963, suggesting potential resistance. * Price broke out of the wedge with a projected retest and continuation down. * Target zone is below **143.468 (Daily AOI)** and extends toward **142.823**, suggesting a potential short setup with a favorable risk/reward ratio. * Red and blue EMAs indicate price is below the 200 EMA and flirting with the 50 EMA, adding confluence to the short bias. This analysis implies an anticipated breakdown from the wedge with follow-through to the downside if bearish momentum continues. Multi-timeframe confluence is mostly bearish: Weekly, 6H, and 4H are clearly bearish. 12H is mixed, and only the Daily is bullish. This gives an overall 60–80% bearish bias. Rising wedge pattern: Price is forming a bearish wedge, typically signaling a reversal or breakdown. It's losing momentum near resistance. Price is near a Daily Area of Interest (AOI): The pair is testing a known resistance zone. It has failed to break and hold above it convincingly. Expecting a break and retest of structure: You're anticipating the wedge to break down, retest the structure or AOI, and then continue bearish. Target is aligned with a lower Daily AOI: You have a clear target near 142.800, where price previously reacted — offering good risk-to-reward for the short.
Short
by andreabiondo13
Long trade 30sec TF entry 📍 Pair: USDJPY 📅 Date: Thursday, June 26, 2025 🕒 Time: 4:15 AM (London Session AM) ⏱ Time Frame: 15min 📈 Direction: Buyside 📊 Trade Breakdown: Metric Value Entry Price 143.803 Profit Level 144.825 (+0.71%) Stop Loss 143.733 (−0.05%) Risk-Reward Ratio 14.6 : 1 🧠 Context / Trade Notes 🔄 15 Minute Structure Support: The trade was based on a reactive low from the 5-minute TF, aligning with a buy-side imbalance zone formed on the 5-minute chart (Monday, 16th June, 10:00 AM). 📉 RSI in Low Region: RSI was observed in an oversold condition on LTFs, providing additional confluence for a short-term reversal setup. 30sec TF entry overview
Long
by davidjulien369