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USDJPY trade ideas

Leg Based Continuation Possible Play📈 USD/JPY – 15M Chart (Scalping to Intraday Play) 🕒 June 17, 2025 – Lower Time Frame Setup Bias: Short-term Bullish Continuation Structure: Leg-Based Impulse-Pullback-Impulse Model 🔹 Market Structure Insight: Price recently completed a strong impulsive move (LEG 1) on increasing volume. After a shallow correction into dynamic support (EMA 60), price is attempting a LEG 2 continuation. EMAs (15 & 60) have bullish alignment and acted as dynamic support. ✅ Buy #1 – Market Execution Entry: 144.91 (current or recent execution) SL: 144.38 TP: 145.25 R:R ≈ 1 🧠 Entry based on continuation after bullish flag breakout ✅ Price held higher low structure + EMA confluence ✅ Buy Limit #2 – Pullback Opportunity Entry: 144.59 (highlighted zone between EMAs) SL: 144.37 TP: 145.25 R:R ≈ 3.0 🧠 Designed to catch a retest into the mid-range and volume base ➕ Risk minimized, reward optimized ➕ Matches possible HL (higher low) setup if price dips before pushing ⚠️ Risk Management Notes: Overlap with prior resistance zone just above TP (145.20–145.40): partial TP or trail advised. Invalidated if price closes below 144.30 on strong volume (breaks structure). If LEG 2 matches or exceeds LEG 1 in strength, extended targets above 145.50 possible.
Long
by MJElahifx
1
US retail sales data stands out | FX ResearchThe yen didn't move all that much but did manage to post a 4-day low against the buck after the Bank of Japan maintained its interest rate as expected while planning to reduce bond purchases quarterly starting next fiscal year. BoJ Governor Ueda signaled potential rate hikes if economic and inflation forecasts held, but highlighted risks from U.S. tariffs, domestic food inflation, and weaker economic data expected in the second half of the year. In global markets, the U.S. dollar remained stable. EUR/USD softened despite a strong German ZEW survey, and oil prices were relatively contained considering Middle East tensions and a tanker collision off the UAE coast. U.S. stock futures are under a little pressure as Senate Republicans proposed tax cuts that could widen deficits, while upcoming U.S. retail sales data and ECB commentary on strengthening the euro’s global role have kept markets focused—also ahead of tomorrow’s highly anticipated Fed decision. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
by BlackBull_Markets
USD/JPY: Yen Continues to Lose Ground Against the U.S. DollarOver the past three trading sessions, USD/JPY has risen by more than 1%, favoring the U.S. dollar, as the yen continues to weaken steadily. The bullish bias has persisted, supported by a rebound in dollar strength. The DXY index, which measures the dollar's performance against other major currencies, has been climbing in the short term and is once again approaching the 100-point mark, signaling growing confidence in the dollar’s movements. If this dollar strength persists, buying pressure in USD/JPY may become increasingly dominant. Consistent Downtrend Since early January of this year, USD/JPY has been consolidating consistent downward movements, shaping a solid bearish trend that has lasted through recent months. Currently, price action is once again testing a resistance zone, aligned with the downtrend line, but buying momentum has not been strong enough to break through. As a result, the dominant trend remains bearish, unless a significant bullish breakout manages to disrupt the pattern. Neutrality in Indicators At the moment, the RSI line is oscillating near the 50 level, while the MACD histogram remains close to the zero line. These patterns suggest a state of equilibrium between buying and selling pressure, which has led to a series of neutral movements. As long as both indicators remain in this range, it reflects a lack of dominance by either market force in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: 145.470 – Short-Term Barrier: A level where potential bearish corrections could emerge, especially as price remains near the downtrend line under conditions of neutrality. 148.012 – Major Resistance: This corresponds to the recent multi-month highs. Sustained buying above this level could threaten the prevailing bearish trend. 142.367 – Critical Support: A level aligned with the lowest prices of recent months, which has been repeatedly respected, increasing its strength in the short term. A breakdown here could trigger a renewed bearish bias, reinforcing the ongoing downward trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst Follow him at: @julianpineda25
by FOREXcom
USDJPY What Next? SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 145.13 Bias - Bearish Safe Stop Loss - 145.55 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clearshort signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 144.31 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
USDJPY Bearish BreakdownChart Overview The USDJPY pair on the 2-hour chart is currently forming a descending triangle pattern — a typical bearish continuation setup. --- Key Observations: Resistance Line (Upper Trendline): Price is repeatedly rejected from lower highs. Support Line (Lower Horizontal): Price maintains support around the 144.00–144.20 region. Bearish Bias: The red arrow projection suggests a breakdown from the triangle, with a potential move toward 140.00 if the lower support fails. --- Potential Bearish Scenario: 1. Break below ~144.00 confirms the triangle breakdown. 2. First target around 142.00, second target near 140.00. 3. Stop-loss ideally above 145.00 if entering short. --- Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Short
by Forex_Int
USDJPY Swing trade Signal for the Sell Once in a while we like to give a free signal. So here is one of the many trades we will have running for our subscribers. Wait for the 1 hour candle to close below the Entry, and then a response to our entry, then you can sell. Remember the rules, and remember your risk/reward USDJPY Sell 🦇Entry: 143.525 ⚠️Sl: 145.036 ✔️TP1: 142.153 ✔️TP2: 140.346 ✔️TP3: 138.109 Happy trading. Any problems feel free to contact me, as over 10 years as a professional trader I can assure you there is no such thing as a stupid question. Best, Sarah
Short
by Elite_Trading_Signals
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on USDJPY? On the USD/JPY chart, price is currently moving within a symmetrical triangle pattern and is approaching the upper trendline and a key resistance zone. We expect that upon testing this resistance level, price will likely fail to break above it and enter a bearish phase, potentially falling at least to the specified support level. For higher-confidence sell entries, it’s recommended to wait for a confirmed downside break of the lower trendline of the triangle, which would validate a bearish continuation. Will this resistance hold and trigger a drop, or will bulls take control? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
15
USD/JPY TESTS RESISTANCE AMID BOJ CAUTION, FED OUTLOOKIn the wake of the escalating geopolitical tension in the Middle East, markets have been reacting sharply. Focusing on USDJPY pair, as the conflict shows signs of intensifying, investors turned to traditional safe-haven assets notably the Japanese yen amid fears of a broader regional spillover. Beyond geopolitical tension in the Middle East, both economies are set to announce their interest rate decisions this week alongside economic outlook. At the end of Bank of Japan two days policy meeting earlier today, the Yen became a little stronger after the Bank of Japan said that it would keep interest rates at 0.5% and that it would slow down the process of reducing its balance sheet in 2025. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda maintained a cautious tone, noting global risks and keeping the door open for further policy tightening if needed. On the other hand, the U.S., the retail sale would be on the wire by 4:30 PM GMT+4 (Dubai time). This key economic indicator will offer details about consumer spending trends, a major driver of the U.S. economy. Markets will closely watch the data for signs of economic strength or weakness, as it could influence expectations around future Federal Reserve policy decisions. While the most important on the calendar, is that Fed committee is due to convene today for a two-day policy meeting, which would end on Wednesday the 18th.Meanwhile, Markets has priced in 99.9% for the rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50%. TECHNICAL VIEW OF USDJPY; AND PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH OUT Away from the fundamental drivers, the USD/JPY pair initially dropped on Friday the 13th and was resisted around 142.79 as risk aversion drove demand for the yen. However, the move was tempered by ongoing strength in the U.S. dollar, underpinned by resilient U.S. economic data and expectations the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates higher for longer, hence the change of character (CHOCH) at 143.89, hence the reversal of trend from downtrend to uptrend on the one-hour time frame, whereby price is seen trading inside the channel with the green trendline acting as support and the red, resistance. The pair was recently supported at 144.40 and hovers around 145. In view of the economic releases, a break above 145.00 would likely usher in 145.40 and 145.80, while a break below 144.40 would mean that the bears are momentarily in control and price would potentially tank further towards 144.00 and 143.50 according to analyst, meanwhile break out of these levels are not ruled out.
by CFI
Bank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate UnchangedBank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate Unchanged This morning, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) released its interest rate decision, keeping the rate unchanged as widely expected. According to Forex Factory, the BOJ Policy Rate remains at 0.5%. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda noted the following: → Japan’s economy is recovering moderately. → The Bank will continue raising rates if economic and inflationary conditions improve. → The situation surrounding trade tariffs remains highly uncertain. The fact that the decision was anticipated by markets is reflected in price action on the charts. Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart A brief spike in volatility occurred on the USD/JPY chart this morning, but it did not significantly alter the broader structure of price movements, which in June have formed a contracting triangle pattern. In recent days, the pair has been climbing from the lower boundary of the triangle toward the upper edge, forming a short-term ascending channel (highlighted in blue). However, in the near term, this bullish momentum may weaken as the USD/JPY rate approaches the upper boundary of the triangle, which coincides with the psychologically significant level of 145 yen to the dollar (indicated by arrows). From a medium-term perspective, traders should watch for a potential breakout from the triangle pattern, which could trigger a meaningful trend. One possible catalyst could be news of a trade agreement between the United States and Japan. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
fx pairs signals📈 2H Forex Reversion Setup: USDJPY & EURUSD Cross Confluence This chart highlights a great example of inverse correlation confirmation between major FX pairs using the ELFIEDT X-REVERSION indicator. ✅ USDJPY gave a clean BUY signal at the low of the move, shortly before a major reversal kicked off. ✅ At the same time, EURUSD flashed multiple SELL signals at its high, confirming a strong rejection. 📍 This is how we look for directional confluence across pairs: EURUSD moves up while USDJPY drops → both reach reversion zones RSI reverses on both, with visual confirmation from signal labels Strong shift in USD strength confirmed across charts 🧠 Key Insight: When a USD-based pair like USDJPY prints a buy while a pair like EURUSD prints a sell, it’s often a high-quality reversal zone. The more aggressive the move before, the better the reaction after. 💡 Use this kind of cross-checking to increase confidence and build multi-symbol precision.
by ElfieTrader
Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout?USDJPY 17/06 – Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout? The USDJPY pair is currently consolidating just below the key 144.650 resistance, stuck within a tightening triangle structure. As markets await more clarity from both the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Fed, price action is showing signs of indecision — but pressure is building. 🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview BOJ maintains a neutral stance: Despite growing speculation of a hawkish shift, the BOJ held rates steady, providing no strong forward guidance. Markets remain cautious. US Dollar remains resilient amid stable bond yields and expectations that the Fed may delay rate cuts, adding short-term support to USDJPY. Geopolitical risk is on the rise: Ongoing Middle East tensions are fueling safe-haven demand for JPY, capping bullish momentum. 🔍 Technical Setup (M30 Chart) Price is trapped inside a symmetrical triangle, tightening between 144.652 resistance and 143.126 support. EMA 13/34/89 are aligned bullishly, but EMA 200 (red) is acting as a dynamic ceiling near 144.300. Key support zones: 144.071: Minor structural level and trendline test. 143.126: Major liquidity zone and untested demand. 🎯 Trade Scenarios 📉 Scenario 1 – Sell on Rejection at 144.652 Entry: 144.650–144.700 Stop Loss: 145.250 Take Profit: 144.071 → 143.600 → 143.126 Ideal if BOJ shifts tone or USD weakens post-Fed comments. 📈 Scenario 2 – Buy on Bullish Reaction at 143.126 Entry: 143.100–143.150 Stop Loss: 142.700 Take Profit: 143.600 → 144.071 → 144.650 → 145.200 Valid only with clear bullish confirmation on M15–M30 structure. 🧠 Final Thoughts USDJPY is coiling tightly ahead of a potential breakout. Macro uncertainty from central banks, geopolitical instability, and upcoming CPI data make this week highly volatile. Instead of chasing, let price come to your zones and react accordingly. 🔔 Focus on structure, confirm with price action, and avoid emotional trades. Patience and discipline are key in this compression phase.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Traders, it's time to pay close attention! 🚨 USDJPY 4H Setup Alert – High-Probability Play Unfolding! 🚨 Traders, it's time to pay close attention! 🧠📊 The USDJPY pair has just perfectly tapped into a key bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4-hour chart — a classic move in the smart money playbook. What’s more? We've just seen a clean sweep of internal range liquidity (IRL) — a textbook liquidity grab that signals potential accumulation by larger players. 💥💼 This is not just noise — it's a significant signal. The market structure is hinting at a possible shift in momentum, and bullish pressure is building. The trap has been set, the weak hands have been shaken out, and smart money may be preparing for a strong upward push. 📈🐂 🔮 What’s the next move? All eyes are now on the external range liquidity (ERL) — a prime liquidity pool sitting above current price levels. If price accelerates toward it, this zone could act as the magnet and the catalyst for the next explosive move upward. 🚀 🔥 Key Points to Watch: Bullish FVG reaction ✅ IRL liquidity swept ✅ Bullish market structure forming 🏗️ ERL liquidity resting overhead — potential target 🎯 Volume profile & order flow confirming accumulation? 👀 ⚠️ Stay alert and don’t chase — let the setup come to you. Smart money might already be stepping in, and if this momentum follows through, we could be witnessing the beginning of a strong leg up. Mark your charts and monitor closely — opportunity is knocking. 📍🕵️‍♂️
Long
by Peter_Wade
USDJPY Descending channel breakout ahead bullish strongFX:USDJPY Breakout Alert – Bullish Momentum on 4H Chart 💥 The pair has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish confirmation. Price action is showing solid momentum and market structure shift. 🟢 Entry Level: 144.700 📍 Technical Targets: 1st Target: 146.000 (Key Supply Zone) 2nd Target: 148.500 (Major Resistance) 🔴 Stop Loss: 143.000 (Demand Zone) 📊 This setup is based on the 4H time frame, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio for swing traders. 💬 Like, follow, and drop a comment if you’re riding this move! 💎 Join us for more updates, signals & insights. Let’s trade smart, not hard. 😜 #USDJPY #ForexSignals #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #LiviaTrades
Long
by experttrader04