USDJPY: A BUY IDEAPEPPERSTONE:USDJPY I'm going long at 144.016, while keeping the 145.448 as my profit target.
USDJPY trade ideas
Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout?USDJPY 17/06 – Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout?
The USDJPY pair is currently consolidating just below the key 144.650 resistance, stuck within a tightening triangle structure. As markets await more clarity from both the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Fed, price action is showing signs of indecision — but pressure is building.
🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview
BOJ maintains a neutral stance: Despite growing speculation of a hawkish shift, the BOJ held rates steady, providing no strong forward guidance. Markets remain cautious.
US Dollar remains resilient amid stable bond yields and expectations that the Fed may delay rate cuts, adding short-term support to USDJPY.
Geopolitical risk is on the rise: Ongoing Middle East tensions are fueling safe-haven demand for JPY, capping bullish momentum.
🔍 Technical Setup (M30 Chart)
Price is trapped inside a symmetrical triangle, tightening between 144.652 resistance and 143.126 support.
EMA 13/34/89 are aligned bullishly, but EMA 200 (red) is acting as a dynamic ceiling near 144.300.
Key support zones:
144.071: Minor structural level and trendline test.
143.126: Major liquidity zone and untested demand.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
📉 Scenario 1 – Sell on Rejection at 144.652
Entry: 144.650–144.700
Stop Loss: 145.250
Take Profit: 144.071 → 143.600 → 143.126
Ideal if BOJ shifts tone or USD weakens post-Fed comments.
📈 Scenario 2 – Buy on Bullish Reaction at 143.126
Entry: 143.100–143.150
Stop Loss: 142.700
Take Profit: 143.600 → 144.071 → 144.650 → 145.200
Valid only with clear bullish confirmation on M15–M30 structure.
🧠 Final Thoughts
USDJPY is coiling tightly ahead of a potential breakout. Macro uncertainty from central banks, geopolitical instability, and upcoming CPI data make this week highly volatile. Instead of chasing, let price come to your zones and react accordingly.
🔔 Focus on structure, confirm with price action, and avoid emotional trades. Patience and discipline are key in this compression phase.
Traders, it's time to pay close attention! 🚨 USDJPY 4H Setup Alert – High-Probability Play Unfolding! 🚨
Traders, it's time to pay close attention! 🧠📊
The USDJPY pair has just perfectly tapped into a key bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4-hour chart — a classic move in the smart money playbook. What’s more? We've just seen a clean sweep of internal range liquidity (IRL) — a textbook liquidity grab that signals potential accumulation by larger players. 💥💼
This is not just noise — it's a significant signal. The market structure is hinting at a possible shift in momentum, and bullish pressure is building. The trap has been set, the weak hands have been shaken out, and smart money may be preparing for a strong upward push. 📈🐂
🔮 What’s the next move?
All eyes are now on the external range liquidity (ERL) — a prime liquidity pool sitting above current price levels. If price accelerates toward it, this zone could act as the magnet and the catalyst for the next explosive move upward. 🚀
🔥 Key Points to Watch:
Bullish FVG reaction ✅
IRL liquidity swept ✅
Bullish market structure forming 🏗️
ERL liquidity resting overhead — potential target 🎯
Volume profile & order flow confirming accumulation? 👀
⚠️ Stay alert and don’t chase — let the setup come to you.
Smart money might already be stepping in, and if this momentum follows through, we could be witnessing the beginning of a strong leg up.
Mark your charts and monitor closely — opportunity is knocking. 📍🕵️♂️
USDJPY Descending channel breakout ahead bullish strongFX:USDJPY Breakout Alert – Bullish Momentum on 4H Chart 💥
The pair has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish confirmation. Price action is showing solid momentum and market structure shift.
🟢 Entry Level: 144.700
📍 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 146.000 (Key Supply Zone)
2nd Target: 148.500 (Major Resistance)
🔴 Stop Loss: 143.000 (Demand Zone)
📊 This setup is based on the 4H time frame, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio for swing traders.
💬 Like, follow, and drop a comment if you’re riding this move!
💎 Join us for more updates, signals & insights.
Let’s trade smart, not hard. 😜
#USDJPY #ForexSignals #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #LiviaTrades
USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- The armed conflict between Israel and Iran has continued for five days. However, geopolitical risks in the Middle East have eased as Iran reportedly conveyed its willingness to agree to a ceasefire indirectly to the United States.
- U.S. President Trump stated on Truth Social, "Iran should have signed the 'deal' I told them to sign, and everyone must immediately leave Tehran, the capital of Iran."
- The Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5% and announced it will reduce long-term government bond purchases from the current 400 billion yen to 200 billion yen starting April next year.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 17: BOJ Interest Rate Decision, U.S. May Retail Sales
+ June 18: U.K. May Consumer Price Index, Eurozone May CPI, FOMC Meeting Results
+ June 19: BOE Interest Rate Decision
USDJPY Chart Analysis
There hasn’t been any major movement around the 144 level yet, but a clear trend is expected to emerge soon. An upward move is anticipated, and in that case, a peak is likely to form near the 148 level. Further direction will be determined once that zone is reached.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 17, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continues to experience significant pressure against the US dollar (USD), showing a three-day decline and trading above the key psychological level of 145.000. This weakening is largely due to growing market expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may delay raising rates until the first quarter of next year. The main reason for this delay is said to be the continuing uncertainty surrounding future US tariff policy, which could have a significant impact on global trade flows and Japan's economic growth. Moderate but steady growth in the US dollar is also contributing to the strengthening of the USD/JPY position, pushing the pair to new highs during the Asian trading session.
However, market participants are cautious about aggressive bearish bets against the yen ahead of the upcoming Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting. This meeting is seen as a critical event that could provide additional signals about the central bank's long-term policy outlook. Any hints of a change in tone or new assessments of the economic situation will be carefully analyzed by traders.
In addition to central bank decisions, growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may help limit deeper losses for the Japanese yen. As a traditional “safe haven,” the yen typically attracts investors during periods of global instability, which may offset some of the negative impact of interest rate differentials. In addition, the outlook for the USD/JPY pair is influenced by the growing recognition that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may lower borrowing costs in 2025. Expectations of future Fed rate cuts could hinder further strengthening of the US dollar and thus limit the upside potential of the USD/JPY pair. Overall, the market remains in anticipation of key decisions that will determine the future trajectory of one of the world's most actively traded currency pairs.
Trading recommendation: SELL 144.550, SL 145.000, TP 143.600
Price action Usdjpy has failed swing low change of character where the green line is price filling the gaps and neve fell below red line all those are bullish characteristics
Bearish breakout off major support?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and a breakout of this level could lead the price to drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 144.51
1st Support: 143.74
1st Resistance: 145.22
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big swing buy on a weak yenweak cpi and aggressive inflation. no wage increases. moderate yen. moderate your buys and pay attention to weekend news with middle east and conflicting USA involvement. this is a swing purchase stop loss below 138 with a profit pull outlook above 180. goodluck
Missed the UJ Entry in Hope of Retest!USDJPY Recently gave a fakeout of the triangle pattern in downside traping the seller, as trend is bullish and we see JPY is getting weaker.
Now we can look for the Buy entry at retest of trend line.
USDJPY Short 2025-06-17Price is currently within the known resistance zone.
Looking forward on BOJ interest rate announcement which will likely give a boost on JPY.
A short scalp is likely the way to go!
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 16 June 2025
- USDJPY reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 146.00
USDJPY currency pair recently reversed from the support zone surrounding the pivotal support level 142.50, which has been reversing the price from the start of August.
The upward reversal from the support level 142.50 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Piercing Line.
USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 146.00 (top of the previous correction 2 from last month).
USDJPY – Triangle Complete? Wave (v) Setup BuildingWave (iv) appears to be ending with an (e) wave tag into the 0.764 retracement.
📉 Price remains capped within the contracting triangle — watching closely for breakdown confirmation.
If this plays out, wave (v) of C could now begin unfolding with initial focus on 140.00 and below.
🧩 Structure: (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e) triangle complete
📏 Final wave (e) aligns with 0.764 retracement and structural resistance
⚠️ RSI divergence + weakening momentum support the bearish scenario
OANDA:USDJPY Buys SetupThe market has recently rebounded from a key support zone, showing strong bullish momentum and forming higher lows—a classic sign of accumulating demand. Price action suggests a potential breakout to the upside, possibly driven by liquidity resting above recent swing highs. If history is any guide, this pattern could signal further continuation in the direction of the trend.
Trade Setup (Risk Parameters):
Entry: 144.372
Stop Loss: 143.599
Target Levels:
Take Profit 1: 145.889
Take Profit 2: 148.508
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, aligning with recent market structure and momentum. As always, manage risk appropriately and monitor price action closely.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments. If this analysis resonates with your trading style, consider giving it a boost and follow for more high-probability setups. Stay disciplined and trade safe!
USDJPY Looking Very Strong sideUSD/JPY Poised for Breakout: Bullish Momentum Ahead?
USD/JPY to be gearing up for a significant breakout. Based on current market data, we are observing strong bullish momentum, suggesting the potential for a major upward move.
Key Observations:
Technical Structure: Pattern seems to be forming a breakout pattern rather than a breakdown, indicating that upward price movement is more likely the U.S dollar remains one of the strongest global currencies, supported by robust economic data and interest rate differentials.
Resistance zone 148.500
Support Levels 143.000
you may find more details in the chart thanks you and Good luck Ps Support with like and comments for more insights.
Bullish FlagHello traders! 👋
We've just spotted a classic Bullish Flag breakout on USDJPY (30m chart) — one of the cleanest continuation patterns in price action trading.
After a strong impulse leg to the upside, price formed a downward-sloping flag — a textbook consolidation pattern. The breakout above 144.749 confirms buyer control and sets the stage for continuation toward 145.42, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
📌 Pattern: Bullish Flag
📌 Breakout Level: 144.749
📌 Target: 145.42
📌 Stop: Below 143.60 (flag low / invalidation zone)
🧠 Structure Note:
The symmetry of the flag is clean, with measured move projection aligning with the extension target. This setup shows clear impulsive energy, consolidation, and breakout — ideal continuation behavior.
🎯 Trading Plan:
If price holds above 144.75, we’re looking at a move toward 145.00 first, with extended continuation to 145.42. If price fails and drops back below the flag, the setup is invalidated — as always, risk management first.
Let the structure guide you, not your emotions. Stay disciplined.
—
📈 Trade Chart Patterns Like The Pros
USDJPY - Bearish Trend Continuation Story : USDJPY is forming a series of LH and LL (Bearish Trend). market has retraced to a Fib level of 50 Percent of long rally - thus forming a Bearish Flag Pattern. There is no divergence on the chart therefore we are not looking for any Harmonic or trend reversal patterns.
Anticipate : It is anticipated that market will follow a bearish trend
Plan: we plan our entry on the break of neckline which is our entry point and we keep our Stop loss as defined in the charts (above HH)
Our TP1 would be as defined in the chart (which is also projection based on continuation pattern) - TP1 would respect the support level of 121.680
Our TP2 would be as defined on the chart.
USDJPY Ready to Lift Off from Demand Zone – Breakout Brewing?The Dollar-Yen pair is trading at 144.05, showing signs of strength after bouncing off a strong daily demand zone around 140.55. Price has respected this zone several times since May, suggesting a solid base for a bullish move.
🟠 Key Demand Zone (Support): 140.55 – 141.00
🔵 Major Resistance Ahead:
• 150.63 (mid-range key level)
• 155.70 – 157.00 (supply zone & previous highs)
📈 Bullish Outlook:
If price holds above 140.55, we could see a breakout of the minor range consolidation heading into July. First target sits at 150.63, and further upside could see a retest of the supply zone around 156.
📉 Bearish Risk:
Failure to hold above 140.55 opens up room for a deeper correction — but strong demand and historical bullish reactions favor the bulls for now.
🔍 Why This Matters:
• Clean demand zone reaction
• Low volatility = possible expansion phase ahead
• JPY fundamentals remain weak, giving USD strength tailwind
💡 Watch for a breakout candle above recent consolidation highs to confirm the next leg upward.
📅 Timeframe: Daily (1D)
🧠 Tools: LuxAlgo Supply & Demand Visible Range
🚀 Will USDJPY rally toward 150+ or stall at mid-resistance? Let’s talk setups👇
#USDJPY #ForexSetup #SmartMoney #DailyChart #SupplyDemand #PriceAction #BreakoutTrade #TradingView #FrankFx #YenWatch #LuxAlgo
USD/JPY – Bullish Breakout Setup (1H Timeframe)I’m currently monitoring the USD/JPY pair on the 1-hour chart. The pair was in a bearish trend earlier, but after forming a Bullish Divergence, it has started to print a series of Higher Highs (HHs) and Higher Lows (HLs) — a classic sign of trend reversal and strength.
I’m planning a Buy Stop entry above the most recent Higher High. If the breakout occurs, I’ll execute the trade based on this bullish continuation setup.
🧠 Technical Confluences:
✅ Bullish Divergence observed — signals momentum shift.
✅ Market Structure shifting to HHs and HLs.
✅ Entry planned above recent HH to confirm breakout.
📊 T rade Setup:
Pair USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Trend: Bullish
Entry: Buy Stop @ 144.789
Stop Loss: 143.834
Take Profit 1: 145.744
Take Profit 2: 146.699
Lot Size: 0.15
Risk–Reward 1:1 and 1:2
Risk $200
Reward $300
📌 Trade will be activated only upon confirmation — a break above the previous high. Stick to proper risk management.
🔖 Hashtags:
#USDJPY #Forex #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishBreakout #ForexSetup #TradeIdeas #MarketStructure #ForexSignals #BuySetup #DivergenceTrading #1HChart #FXMarket #RiskManagement
USD/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 144.203 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the USD/JPY pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY;;;;;; STRONG SELL AND HOLDThe wait was on the volume imbalance at 146...to be test, now that the market has tested it, it gives us the idea of how strong it is, therefore the market will continue to go downward in search of a strong support... so you can have your tp1 at 142 and tp2 at140
Stronger Dollar Pressures Yen on Geopolitical RisksThe Japanese yen fell past 144.2 per dollar on Monday, marking a second day of losses, as the U.S. dollar strengthened on increased safe-haven demand. This followed renewed conflict between Israel and Iran, with both sides targeting energy facilities and pushing oil prices higher. The rise in energy costs may reduce the chances of a near-term Fed rate cut as inflation and trade risks persist. Meanwhile, focus turns to the Bank of Japan’s upcoming policy meeting, where it is expected to keep rates unchanged while assessing the inflation impact of rising oil prices amid global uncertainty.
Resistance is at 145.30, while support stands near 142.50.
