USDJPY Buy Setup! OB + 61.8% Fib + Trend Channel ConfluenceUSDJPY | 30-Min Chart – High Probability Buy Setup in Progress
USDJPY is currently respecting a bullish market structure within a well-defined ascending trend channel. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) traders are watching for a precise reaction at the confluence of a key Order Block (OB), Fibonacci retracement levels, and mid-channel support.
🔍 Trade Breakdown:
Bullish Market Structure
Price has shifted from bearish to bullish after forming a key higher low and continuing with higher highs within the trend channel. The structure is being respected with multiple taps on both upper and lower channel boundaries.
Internal Liquidity & Order Flow:
Price previously swept sell-side liquidity below the recent swing low and sharply reversed, confirming internal liquidity engineering and institutional involvement.
Currently, we’re seeing price stall after rejecting the upper channel and OB zone. A retracement into the discount zone is anticipated before continuation.
🟣 Order Block Zone (OB): 143.032 – 143.137
A clear bullish OB formed after a strong impulsive move, marking the last down candle before the bullish break of structure.
Located just above the 61.8% Fibonacci level — strong confluence.
📐 Fibonacci Levels from Last Swing Low to High:
61.8% = 143.137
70.5% = 143.032
Potential reaction zone aligns perfectly with OB + trendline + psychological round level (143.000 area)
📊 Buy Setup Expectation:
USDJPY is expected to retrace into the OB/Fib confluence zone before a bullish continuation toward the upper boundary of the trend channel and beyond.
🔵 Projected Path:
Price dips into OB → reacts to 61.8–70.5% retracement → bullish reversal → break to fresh highs near 143.510 or higher
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone: 143.032 – 143.137 (OB + 61.8–70.5% Fib)
🔻 SL Below: 143.000 (beneath OB and psychological level)
📈 Target: 143.510 (channel top + previous supply zone)
⚖️ RRR: Approx. 1:3+ — high precision Smart Money entry
💬 Ninja Wisdom:
Patience before profit. Wait for price to return to the zone where institutions left footprints — the OB at equilibrium pricing. Combine OB + Fib + channel and you're trading like the banks.
Retail buys the breakout. Smart Money buys the pullback. 🥷📚
📍 Save this chart before the setup triggers!
🧠 Do you see the same confluence? Comment your entry/TP/SL plans ⬇️
👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more sniper setups on major FX pairs every session!
USDJPY trade ideas
USD/JPYthis pair is on a bullish on a weekly to monthly time frame bearish on a daily
so it could go either way im looking for the price right now to hit a ristence like it already has to push down from the 144.859 to 143.999 to either retrace bullish as i do believe overal the market is bullish
HOWEVER
SHOULD The price go even more bearish to break past the 143.999 to furthur hit a major surport line 142.581 i would be waiting for a a big bullish move to head back towards the 144.000 mark i would set a risk to reward at 1:2 again and see where the market takes us
Week 23 USDJPY technical analysis 07062025On the daily time frame, I see price turn from 139.992 which I call support and resistance is 161.593. Market refused to travel up to this price level, making a stop at 158.498 which I can call my new resistance or supply zone. My immediate supply zone or the nearest bus stop price may turn is 148.162. Last week $:USDJPY was pulled back to 142.5 before resuming bullishness hitting the high of the week at 145.
Three scenarios are expected. Using Elliot wave, I can expect the price to do one of the following
Continue its bullish move to the next supply zone of 146.25
Pull back to at least 143.75 using Fibonacci. If dealers break above 145, pull back needs to be recalculated.
Hold price levels at 145 before playing scenario 1 or 2
Is UJ bullish? yes overall.
How to trade the pair? Wait for the pullback before buying. I am betting price may pullback to 143. If it does, I am ready to ride the baby up to 146 (300 pips baby)
If it doesn't pull back, buy stop from 145.1 - 146, stop loss 144.75
If you love my analysis, give it a boost to help others. If you disagree with my analysis, let me know what you think.
Disclaimer: Not a trading advice, educational purposes only.
USDJPY SLIGHTLY REACTS AT THE SUPPORT! WHAT NEXT?Price reacted at the support by ticking higher right after the NFP report came out "better than expected" last week. could this be a good opportunity to sell USDJPY OR we're likely to see it continue to grow in strength? we'll monitor price next week to get a better idea of how price is going to react
usdjpy longThe Japanese Yen attracts sellers for the second straight day in reaction to disappointing domestic data. The optimism over the resumption of US-China trade talks further undermines demand for the safe-haven JPY. The divergent BoJ-Fed expectations should limit JPY losses and cap USD/JPY ahead of the US NFP report.
USDJPY: Bullish Outlook For Next Week Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY completed a consolidation, violating
a resistance line of a horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
I believe that it provides a strong bullish confirmation signal.
The price will most likely go up and reach 146.0 level next week.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY Short Outlook Interesting to see if USDJPY drops below the lows market at and below the orange line below. Buys are likely to have stops there cause an run on liquidity if prices drop lower. I would expect a fast or aggressive trade lower.
Disclosure: This is only a technical analysis with limited details provided. This view also does not consider any fundamental / economic drivers.
USD/JPY Higher-Low, 142.50 DefenseUSD/JPY continues to exert force on the USD and the past week was no different. Despite an open door for sellers, a higher-low showed with a hold of the same 142.50 support level that was in-play a week prior. That price traded early on Tuesday (Monday night in the states) and then on Thursday (Wed night in the U.S.) buyers came in to hold the low just above that price, illustrating a degree of bullish anticipation.
Reports of slowing pace of bond tapering from the BoJ, and perhaps even smaller reductions to the banks bond buying helped to soften long-term Japanese yields: 40 year JGBs made a move towards the 3% marker after skyrocketing up to 3.7% just a few weeks ago. That helped JPY-weakness to continue against the USD and USD/JPY is back to re-testing the 145.00 handle in the pair.
This remains a key component if a USD turn is nearby, but interestingly working with that turn may be more attractive against the Euro in a pair like EUR/USD as USD/JPY has continued to show traps on both sides of the market for much of 2025 trade. - js
USD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (06.06.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 144.94
2nd Resistance – 145.52
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY: Pullback From Support📈USDJPY responded well to the highlighted intraday support zone on a 4H timeframe.
The price formed a double bottom pattern on that and violated its horizontal neckline.
There's a strong likelihood that the price will continue to rise and hit the 146.00 resistance level.
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 6 June 2025
- USDJPY reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 146.00
USDJPY currency pair recently reversed from the support area between the support level 142.50 (which has been reversing the price from the end of April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The price earlier formed multiple consecutive Japanese candlesticks reversal patterns near the support level 142.50 – Bullish Engulfing, Morning Star and Pricing Line,
Given the strength of the support level 142.50, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 146.00.
GBPUSD next move (expecting mild bullish)(06-06-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup BIAS (06-06-2025) (short term)
Current price- 144.000
"if Price stay above142.130 then next target is 145.000 and 146.500"
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
USDJPY – Supply Zone Rejection Incoming?June 6, 2025 | Short-Term Bias: Bearish
USDJPY is currently trading around 144.16, testing a key supply zone between 144.25 – 144.45. This area has historically acted as a strong resistance, and we’re now seeing signs of exhaustion after a solid bullish run from the 142.90 demand zone.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Price is inside a high-probability supply zone, with clear historical rejection at this level.
A strong bearish risk-reward setup is in play, with the target at 142.90 and a stop above 144.456.
The volume profile shows high activity around 144.00–144.25, hinting at possible consolidation or distribution.
Previous structure confirms this level has served as a seller’s stronghold.
📉 Bias:
Leaning bearish as long as price remains below 144.456.
A break and close above that level would invalidate this setup and shift the bias to bullish, targeting the 145.00+ area.
📌 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: Current level (~144.16)
SL: Above 144.456
TP: 142.90
Let’s see if sellers step in again here, or if bulls are ready to break through. ⚔️
Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Closing out the week Reports:
U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for May 2025.
This economic indicator provides insight to jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding farm workers, private household employees, and non-profit organization employees.
Policymakers pay close attention as it reflects the labor market and can influence decisions related to monetary policy.
The forecast is about 130,000 jobs with unemployment rate around 4.2%
With our last report was 177,000 and the forecast being 130,000 could signal weakness or consolidation if target is exact or lower.
Price is currently testing this week's high of 114.396 which is near our key resistance of 114.784 it might test that before the report is released but if not, I expect more consolidation until 8:30am.
Targets:
Buy: open and close above 114.784
Sell: open and close below 143.282
With the news coming soon be aware that price is sensitive to this report and based off the numbers we could see a move where price isn't subject to much consolidation between the target areas.
please be sure to lock in profits from my last trade.