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USDJPY trade ideas

Technicals USDJPY Key Level (Horizontal Resistance) A horizontal resistance zone around 143.90 has been tested multiple times. Price is currently retesting this zone, marked as an "Entry Zone", suggesting a potential breakout or rejection. 2. Price Structure Prior downtrend bottomed near 140.00, then formed higher lows, showing a potential trend reversal. Current price is approaching the resistance with strong bullish candles, indicating possible momentum buildup. 3. Volume Volume spikes align with swing highs and lows, suggesting these moves were backed by stronger participation. 4. Scenarios Outlined Bullish Path (Black Arrow): Breakout above the entry zone could lead to targets near 147.00–150.00, continuing a bullish reversal. Bearish Path (Red Wave): Rejection at the resistance may cause a drop toward 140.00, forming a ranging or distribution pattern. The Fed (USD) maintains relatively high interest rates, while the BoJ (JPY) continues a dovish stance, creating upward pressure on USD/JPY.
Long
by xxChartWhizxx
USD/JPY ANALYSIS📈 Technical Analysis Report – USD/JPY The USD/JPY pair is exhibiting a strong bullish correction following a recent phase of dollar weakness against the yen. Price action has regained momentum, moving above key moving averages, which reinforces the bullish technical outlook. At present, the pair is trading near the 100 level on major technical indicators, suggesting potential for further upside. Expectations are for a continued rise from the 143 area towards the 148 level in the upcoming sessions, provided the bullish momentum remains intact. 📌 Key Notes: Bullish momentum strengthening above moving averages. Target zones identified between 143 and 148. Monitoring price behavior around critical resistance levels. ⚠️ Risk Warning: Effective risk management and capital discipline remain essential for sustainable success in financial markets. Always ensure proper position sizing and avoid overexposure. Wishing all traders continued success! 📊 #Forex #USDJPY #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalOutlook #RiskManagement #TradingSuccess
Long
by ramibakour8
USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis: Overal we can see strong bearish sentiment in the COT. and price will most likely continue lower - in the longterm. Because those short must be closed one day and it will be below the lows. Also if Market makers wants to build longs they will be also doing it below the lows. For new there is forming counter trend buy setup which I will probably take but its not point of this sentiment analysis. This is bigger picture view and if Market makers are bearish my longs countertrend trades will be taken with 1/2 risk than usually /b] Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing. Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday. Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
26
USD/JPY Massive Support into BoJThe 140.00 level in USD/JPY has so far held the lows in 2025 after that price did the same in 2024. There was just one day of testing below that price last year and it was around the weekly open of the first FOMC rate cut for the last cycle. Sellers couldn't find much momentum below and a couple days later, when the Fed did actually cut, price put in a higher-low and then eventually reversed in Q4. But at this stage it looks more and more like we'll see eventual tightening of rates between the U.S. and Japan as inflation in Japan remains elevated and growth in the US somewhat weak. Timing remains the issue and USD/JPY has brewed several bear traps already this year. It seems unlikely that the BoJ will be too aggressive towards rate moves with the uncertainty of tariffs looming overhead, but tonight's rate decision is a quarterly meeting meaning the Bank will issue updated outlooks, and when they last did this on January 27th it allowed for a lower-low in USD/JPY that continued to spiral lower until the 140.00 bounce that showed last week. For resistance, 145.00 is a major level as this was prior support that hasn't yet been tested as resistance. - js
by FOREXcom
Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 142.39 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 141.95 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 143.13 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY(20250430)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank expects prices to rise 2.9% over the next 12 months, up from 2.6% in February, according to a monthly survey released on Tuesday. This is the highest level since April 2024. The three-year indicator rose slightly to 2.5%. The ECB's first five-year forecast was 2.1%. Technical analysis: Today's long-short boundary: 142.32 Support and resistance levels: 143.13 142.83 142.63 142.01 141.81 141.51 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 142.32, consider buying, the first target price is 143.00 If the price breaks through 142.01, consider selling, the first target price is 141.81
Long
by Toml1314
USDJPY INTRADAY downtrend continuationThe USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level. In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe. On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels. Conclusion: Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDJPY – Potential Volatility AheadUSDJPY started the week with a 1.3% fall on Monday, where it fell from opening levels around its weekly highs at 143.88, to a low at 141.92 and has since stayed relatively quiet. However, that could all change as we move through towards Friday, as FX markets move into a 3-day period packed with important scheduled events. Risk sentiment towards US assets, and USDJPY in particularly, could be impacted by todays preliminary US Q1 GDP release at 1330 BST, which could indicate whether the US economy experienced a bigger slowdown at the start of 2025 than initially anticipated. Then, later in the day the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, the PCE Index is released at 1500 BST, and this is followed by the earnings updates from US technology giants Microsoft and Meta later in the evening. If that wasn’t enough to potentially increase USDJPY volatility, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will post its interest rate decision early on Thursday morning. Although no change is expected due to the current uncertain tariff impacted climate and on-going trade deal negotiations with the US, the press conference led by BoJ Governor Ueda could contain some market moving commentary. This all culminates on Friday’s US Non-farm Payrolls update at 1330 BST, where all eyes may well be focused on the unemployment rate print, currently 4.2%, to see if the US labour market is weakening, which if it is, could open the possibility of Fed rate cuts. Technical Update: 144.06 Resistance Holds Latest Recovery Having approached 139.58, the September 16th 2024 low trade, USDJPY has seen a recovery in price. However it could be argued, this appears a reaction to what were likely over-extended downside conditions, in place after the 7.50% decline from 151.21, the March 28th 2025 high. Importantly, latest price strength has been held and so far, reversed by 144.06, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of March 28th to April 22nd weakness, which traders are likely to continue to focus on, as a potential resistance. The BoJ announcement and data releases this week have potential to be important sentiment drivers for USDJPY, and we must be aware of support and resistance levels that may help us gauge the next direction of future price moves. Resistance Levels: As we have said, so far, recent recovery themes have been unable to break above 144.06 retracement resistance, which will likely be an area that needs to give way on a closing basis to suggest possibilities of a more extended phase of price strength. While much will depend on the market’s reaction to up and coming events and future price trends, 144.06 closing breaks might suggest scope towards 145.43 the higher 50% Fibonacci level, even 146.80, the 62% retracement. Support Levels: Having seen Monday’s decline, price activity is back to what might be a support focus for traders at 142.00, equal to half recent strength. Closing breaks of 142.00 may be an indication of potential for further declines, although it is possible the 139.58 September 16th 2024 low may need to give way on a closing basis to suggest possibilities of increasing downside pressure on price. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
USDJPY H1 | Potential pullback supportBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price could potential make a pullback to our buy entry level at 142.76, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 144.01, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 141.94, a swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Buy Opportunity📈 USD/JPY LONG IDEA – Potential Bullish Reversal USD/JPY is showing signs of a potential recovery after finding strong support at the 141.50 zone, where previous demand and a volume node converge. Price has rebounded off the support and is now looking to reclaim lost ground. 🟢 Entry: 142.812 🎯 Target: 148.157 – Retest of major resistance and volume imbalance above 🛑 Stop Loss: 141.424 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.87 📆 Estimated Target Date: May 6, 2025 📈 Projected Move: +3.74% or +5.345 points 🔍 Indicators: Momentum histogram shows fading bearish pressure. Bullish MACD-style wave forming a potential reversal. Price holding above value area low (yellow/blue volume zones). 📌 Key Resistance to Watch: 144.072 A break above this could accelerate the move higher toward the 148 zone.
Long
by GODOCM
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart represents a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) 30-minute trading setup. Here's a breakdown of what's shown: Downtrend: Price drops sharply from around 143.95 to a support zone just above 141.80. Double Bottom Pattern: Two lows are marked with orange circles, suggesting a potential reversal. Entry Point: Marked by a green arrow where price bounces off the support zone. Take Profit Zones: First Take Profit: Around 143.25, near previous resistance. Final Take Profit: Around 143.95, retesting the previous high. Stop Loss: Positioned below the support zone (~141.70), minimizing risk if the setup fails. This is a classic reversal setup using a double bottom pattern, targeting previous resistance levels. Are you considering trading this setup or analyzing it for learning purposes?
Long
by money_magnet2