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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY - Long Done, Soon Short!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈As per our last USDJPY analysis, it rejected the orange support zone and has been trading higher. What's next? As USDJPY approaches the upper blue trendline, we will be looking for shorts. 🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and green supply zone. 📚 As per my trading style: As #USDJPY retests the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) Meanwhile, USDJPY would remain bullish medium-term and a bullish continuation towards the red circle is expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
6
USD/JPY UPDATE ON ANALYSISUSD/JPY 4H - This market couldn't have played out anymore perfect, we have seen price break structure to the downside and set a new lower low. Price is now reversing to put in the correction from the area I also predicted. I will be waiting now patiently for price to pullback up and into the area of interest I have marked out for you all, as soon as price trades into that and delivers us with entry confirmation I will be looking to get involved. It is important that we wait for price to trade into the area of interest and allow it to deliver us with confirmation that price is ready to reverse and trade us lower longer term. As soon as we have that I will be looking to place my short position, with my SL above the zone I get involved from, and my TP at the higher timeframe swing low, this just guarantees that our TP is achievable and it gives us a great RR return.
Short
by Lukegforex
USDJPY Outlook: Weekly Bearish Bias Despite Temporary RebalanceGreetings Traders, It's the start of a new trading week, and our focus is on the Gopher — CAPITALCOM:USDJPY . Weekly Overview: Temporary Rebalance, Bearish Tone Intact On the weekly chart, USDJPY pushed higher to rebalance a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 149.30 and 148.26. Following this, price was swiftly rejected, forming a shooting star candlestick — a classic sign of potential bearish continuation. However, for this bearish outlook to remain valid, 146.250 must hold as resistance. A sustained break above this level could invalidate the current bias and signal the possibility of further upside. Daily Chart: Downside Pressure Builds Looking at the daily timeframe, we see a sequence of down-close candles, indicating consistent selling pressure. I expect price to continue pushing lower, targeting the FVG below, with a potential sweep of sell-side liquidity resting under recent lows. Trading Plan: Bearish Setup Unless disrupted by high-impact fundamentals, I’ll be favouring short positions this week. My planned setup is as follows: Entry: On confirmation within the 145.63 zone Stop Loss: Above 145.97 Target Zones: Around 144.430 I’ll monitor price reaction closely at key levels to manage the trade accordingly.
Short
by AbdulMujibOnimisi
Short USD/JPYShort USD/JPY – policy-divergence finally tilting in the yen’s favor as BoJ hawks talk rates higher and U-S data cool. • BoJ hawks signaling further 2025 hikes while Fed easing bets build → policy-divergence flips JPY-positive. • Break & close below 38.2 % retracement and 200-SMA (H4) turns momentum south; hourly / daily RSI roll-over. • Geopolitics easing removes safe-haven bid for USD, but not for JPY (BoJ still seen hiking). • Bearish trigger deepens if 144.30 confluence (200-SMA H4 + 50 % Fib) gives way → air-pocket into 141s.
Short
by TerraBullMarkets
USDJPY:Is it a beginning of major bullish trend? Read CaptionThe price of USDJPY has shown a mixed volume, making it difficult to determine the trend. However, if we analyse the data, we can see that USD is gaining strength in the coming time. This could be due to the strong news coming in this week, which may divert the USDJPY towards the 150 price region. There are four potential targets that price could hit and surpass. Please use this analysis solely for educational purposes, as it does not provide any guarantees. Good luck and trade safely. Thanks for your support! 😊 If you’d like to help us out, here are a few things you can do: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️
Long
by Setupsfx_
12
USDJPYUSD/JPY Interest Rate Differential and Bond Yield Overview (May 2025) Interest Rate Differential Federal Reserve (Fed): Policy rate steady at 4.25%–4.50% as of May 2025, with expectations of holding rates steady for the near term. Fed’s cautious stance supports a relatively high yield environment in the U.S. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Policy rate raised to 0.50% in January 2025, the highest level in 17 years, marking a departure from ultra-loose monetary policy. Further rate hikes are anticipated every six months, possibly reaching closer to a neutral rate (~2%) by 2027, but BoJ remains dovish compared to the Fed. Differential: The interest rate gap between the U.S. and Japan has narrowed significantly in 2025 due to BoJ hikes and Fed rate hold. Current differential is roughly 3.75–4.00% in favor of the U.S., down from wider gaps in previous years. Bond Yield Dynamics U.S. Treasury Yields: 10-year Treasury yields hover around 4.3%–4.5%, reflecting inflation concerns and fiscal risks. Yields have been volatile but remain elevated, supporting the dollar’s yield advantage. Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs): 10-year JGB yields increased to about 0.5%, reflecting BoJ’s policy shift but still extremely low compared to U.S. yields. BoJ’s gradual reduction in bond purchases and policy normalization supports a stronger yen over time. Impact on USD/JPY Exchange Rate The narrowing interest rate differential reduces the carry trade advantage for USD/JPY, contributing to recent yen strength and USD/JPY declines from 2024 highs near ¥157 to around ¥145–146 in May 2025. Market forecasts vary: some expect USD/JPY to appreciate modestly toward ¥150+ in mid-2025 due to Fed steadiness and geopolitical risk, while others predict further yen gains as BoJ continues tightening and the Fed eventually cuts rates. Safe-haven flows and geopolitical tensions also influence USD/JPY, with the yen sometimes strengthening despite lower yield differentials. Summary Table Factor Impact on USD/JPY Fed policy steady (4.25–4.50%) Supports USD, upward pressure BoJ rate hikes (to 0.5% and rising) Strengthens JPY, downward pressure Narrowing interest rate differential Reduces USD carry trade advantage, yen support U.S. 10-year yields (~4.3–4.5%) Supports USD JGB yields (~0.5%) Supports JPY Geopolitical risk Safe-haven flows can strengthen JPY Conclusion The USD/JPY pair in May 2025 is shaped by a narrowing but still significant interest rate differential, with the Fed maintaining higher rates and the BoJ gradually tightening from ultra-loose policy. This narrowing gap has supported recent yen strength and USD/JPY declines from 2024 highs. However, elevated U.S. Treasury yields and geopolitical risks provide intermittent support to the dollar. The pair is likely to remain volatile, with direction hinging on future Fed-BoJ policy moves and global risk sentiment.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
1
USDJPY Ready to Explode? Watch These Key Levels! USDJPY is sitting at a major turning point on the 4H chart. Key Zones: Demand Zone: 140.900 - 141.500 — Price has bounced strongly from this level multiple times. Bulls are watching! Immediate Resistance: 150.400 — A break above here could open the door to a retest of 158.500. Supply Zone: 156.000 - 158.500 — Heavy selling pressure lives here. Current Price: 144.52 Bias: Bullish above 140.900 Targets: 1. Short-Term: 150.400 2. Long-Term: 158.500 Chart Tools: LuxAlgo Supply & Demand Visible Range Timeframe: 4H (Swing/Position Traders take note!) If price holds above the demand zone and breaks 150.4, bulls may aim for the 158+ level. Keep an eye on volume and price action at the resistance zones! What’s your take? Will USDJPY shoot up or drop again? Comment below! #USDJPY #Forex #SwingTrading #JPY #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #DemandZone #SupplyZone #ForexTrader #TradingView
Long
by FrankFx14
Usd/Jpy intra-day Analysis 20-May-2025Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
13
USDJPY Expected Growth! BUY! My dear friends, USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 144.56 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 145.11 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
JPY/USD Rising Wedge Pattern Formed | Retest & Move To Target🧠 Overview: The JPY/USD pair has recently exhibited a Rising Wedge Pattern, a classic technical formation known for its bearish implications. This pattern has developed over several days of bullish price action, showing diminishing bullish momentum as price action narrows. The wedge is forming right beneath a minor resistance zone, increasing the likelihood of a potential rejection and breakdown. This setup is particularly noteworthy due to the multiple layers of confluence supporting the bearish bias. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 📌 1. Rising Wedge Formation A rising wedge is often considered a bearish reversal pattern, especially after a strong uptrend. As seen on the chart, price is respecting both the upper and lower bounds of the wedge, but with a loss of bullish momentum, indicated by shallower highs. This tightening price action hints at indecision and likely exhaustion from buyers. 📌 2. Minor Resistance Zone Price has approached a previous structure high where strong selling interest was seen before. This zone has already rejected price once, acting as a supply area. The repeated failure to break above reinforces the strength of this resistance. 📌 3. SR Interchange (Support Turned Resistance) Below the current price action, there's a well-defined Support-Resistance Flip Zone (SR Interchange). Previously a strong demand area, this zone may now act as a new resistance if price breaks below and retests it. This is a key area where sellers are likely to step in again. 📌 4. Break & Retest Structure As price begins to break the lower wedge boundary, the next move we anticipate is a retest of the broken wedge trendline. This retest, if confirmed by rejection candles (such as bearish engulfing or pin bars), would present an ideal entry opportunity for short positions. 🎯 Trade Plan & Price Levels: 💼 Bearish Scenario Entry Point: Wait for a successful retest of the broken wedge line (confirmation via price action: bearish engulfing or pin bar). Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high or above the wedge resistance (~0.006920). Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.006845 – First key support zone. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.006807 – Next major support / liquidity zone. 🧩 Why This Setup Makes Sense: ✅ Multiple Confluences: Bearish wedge structure = reversal pattern. Resistance zone = psychological and technical rejection. SR Interchange = confirms institutional selling interest. Retest confirmation = high-probability entry. Target zones = based on recent support levels and market structure. 🛑 Risk Management: Risk-to-reward ratio favors short positions if executed after retest. Avoid jumping in early — wait for confirmation. Proper stop loss is key to avoiding false breakouts or premature entries. 📊 Summary: This is a textbook bearish setup with strong technical backing. The rising wedge pattern, when combined with resistance and retest zones, offers a great shorting opportunity — assuming price respects the pattern. Patience will be crucial here; wait for the break, the retest, and the confirmation before entering. 🔔 What to Watch: Price behavior near the lower wedge boundary. Reaction on retest — do bulls defend or do bears take over? Confirmation from volume or price action (engulfing candles, rejection wicks). Any fundamental catalysts or USD-related news. ✍️ Final Thoughts: This is a well-structured short setup on the JPY/USD 1H chart. Wedges often deceive with temporary breakouts before reversing hard — so discipline, timing, and confirmation will be key. If the market respects this technical structure, we could see a clean drop toward our projected targets.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, EURAUD, NZDJPY, CADCHF Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵 The pair demonstrates clear strength of the sellers. The price went way below a recently broken resistance. With the absence of impactful fundamental news, the market may continue falling for now. 2️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺 The market is trading within a wide falling parallel channel on a daily. Its upper boundary is a strong vertical resistance. I will look for selling from that. Alternatively, its bullish breakout may push the prices much higher. 3️⃣ #NZDJPY 4H time frame 🇳🇿🇯🇵 Before an Australian interest rate decision at night, the pair acted strongly bullish, following our plan. I see a nice double bottom pattern and a confirmed bullish Change of Character CHoCH. I think that growth will resume soon 4️⃣ #CADCHF 4H time frame 🇨🇦🇨🇭 The price formed a nice bullish flag pattern. I am waiting for its bullish breakout to confirm a start of a new bullish wave. A candle close above its upper boundary will validate the violation. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Short
by VasilyTrader
2
Yen Steadies on US Credit DowngradeThe Japanese yen held firm near 144 per dollar, marking its fourth straight session of gains, bolstered by a weaker US dollar in the wake of Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating. The move, prompted by fiscal concerns and rising deficits, dented dollar confidence globally. Despite this, Japan’s own economic data weighed on sentiment, with GDP shrinking by 0.2% in Q1, its first contraction in a year and worse than anticipated. Investors are also closely watching the upcoming Japanese trade data with concerns about the impact of potential new US tariffs. A third round of US-Japan trade talks is set to begin in Washington by the end of the week, led by Japan’s chief negotiator Ryosei Akazawa. USD/JPY faces immediate resistance at 148.60, with higher levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Key support is seen at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
Hanzo / USDJPY 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🔥 USD/JPY – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) Bias: Waiting For Break Out Time Frame: 15 Min Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out 👌Bullish After Break Out : 144.550 👌Bearish After Break Out : 144.050 ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. 💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
by Path_Of_Hanzo
USDJPY: Very Bearish Setup ExplainedI spotted a lot of bearish confirmations on 📉USDJPY on a 4H time frame: A significant head and shoulders pattern was formed, and its neckline is broken. As the right shoulder formed, a distinct horizontal trading range emerged, which also saw support being violated. The neckline serves as an important horizontal support, and the market has broken through all of these levels. We can expect further declines, with the next support level at 143.
Short
by linofx1
6