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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY → Support retest. Is the trend continuing?FX:USDJPY is storming key support within the local downtrend. Pressure is intensifying the dollar's decline... The dollar index is beginning to fall, which is also reflected in the currency pair. Selling pressure is intensifying. A local downtrend is forming, with an attempt to break through key support at 144.82, below which the path to 143.4 - 142 opens up. Consolidation of the price below 144.82 could intensify the sell-off. Resistance levels: 145.34, 146.07 Support levels: 144.82, 143.44, 142.35 Global and local trends are downward, and the fall of the dollar can only provide additional resistance, which will intensify the sell-off. A break of key support and consolidation of prices below 144.82 will trigger further sell-offs. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
14
Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and also lslightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 144.03 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 143.07 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 145.86 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Hanzo / USDJPY 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🔥 USD/JPY – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) Bias: Waiting For Break Out Time Frame: 15 Min Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out 👌Bullish After Break Out : 145.150 👌Bearish After Break Out : 144.650 ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations. 🔤 Smart Money Confirmation Acquired: Structure break aligned with order block integrity.➗ Both bullish and bearish models validated. Tactical options open. 🔥Multi-Timeframe Confluence:🩸 Higher timeframe levels intersect — prime territory for sniper scalps in either direction. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. 💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
by Path_Of_Hanzo
4
USD/JPY: potential bullish move incoming On the daily chart we identify a strong area of support that has been touched 3 times in the past 16 months, with the most recent touch occurring 27 days ago. This could signal an extended uptrend is incoming. The SMA 50 is below the SMA 200 which signals a down trending market, however, price has been forming higher highs and higher lows since touching that important support level 27 days ago. Multiple interpretations exist here. The most likely interpretation is that price is ranging within a channel, bouncing from market tops to market lows, the market low in this case being the strong support level that we've mentioned. Zooming down into the 1 hour, we can see that a downward trendline of 4 touch points has been violated by a decently sized green candle. Furthermore, we can see that a trendline of 4 touchpoints on the RSI has been violated as well. Both of these indications signal a reversal is about to take place. This signal is reinforced further with the analysis performed on the daily chart, which shows that price has bounced off a strong level of support and is currently rallying upward. Adding onto this, a bullish divergence signal can be spotted on the RSI. We can see that prices have continued to make lower lows, yet the RSI is showing higher lows. This signal is showing weakness in the downtrend. Prices are falling yet upside momentum is rising, why? Because the downtrend is getting to the point where it can no longer sustain itself, signaling that prices may go up. This signal on its own isn't enough to take a trade. However, when combined with the trendline break of price and of the RSI, and the fact that the market is trending upward on the higher timeframe, the likelihood of a bullish move taking place increases. From a day trading perspective, a long position can be opened with the stop loss placed slightly below the most recent lows, and a take profit targeting the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The final result being an excellent 1 to 4.31 risk to reward trade that can be placed.
Long
by TAandFA
USDJPY – Long Target in SightUSDJPY – Long Target in Sight 🟢 Long Bias | 🎯 Target: 145.46188 → 145.63300 (4H) | ⏳ Intraday Outlook Already in this trade. Looking for price to make its way up toward 145.46188, with a potential extension to the 4H level at 145.63300. Market structure shows room for continuation. If you plan to join, know this could play out over next 12 hours or so. This is not financial advice. 💡 Replay this setup on TradingView to study how it develops. #USDJPY #ForexSetup #LongTrade #TradingView #GlobalHorns #PriceAction
Long
by GlobalHorns
USDJPY Will Go Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 144.899. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 146.054 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
UPDATE ON USD/JPY ANALYSISUSD/JPY 4H - As you can see price has recently broken structure to the downside, giving us the confluence needed to suggest further bearishness now in this pair longer term. Evidently enough Supply has been introduced to give us the flip in the S&D balance and the corrective wave that was trading us higher in a bullish way has now come to an end, why, because we are breaking lows and protecting highs now. I have gone ahead and marked out an area of interest I feel price will come to trade back up and into, should price trade us into this zone we want to see the same three step process take place before we enter. We want the penetration, rejection and break of structure, all of which confirm enough Supply has been introduced to now flip the fractal corrective wave followed after the initial break.
Short
by Lukegforex
USDJPY Technicals Price reacting near a key horizontal support level just below 145.00, where a visible bounce is attempting to form. This level has been tested multiple times, establishing it as a reliable demand zone, and price is now trying to stabilize after a sharp drop from the 146.20s. The recent move downward followed a failed bullish breakout attempt near a local resistance (highlighted with a red circle), which then turned into a supply zone around 145.70–145.80. That area has since capped further upside, resulting in a sell-off. At current levels, there's a combination of technical signals suggesting a potential reversal or at least a short-term bounce. First, price has reached a structurally important area where previous buying interest was observed. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 30-minute chart shows values around 38–40, indicating the market is entering oversold territory without being extremely extended, which often aligns with corrective moves or base formations. Volume analysis also supports the reversal idea. The recent bearish candles approaching the 145.00 support zone show decreasing bearish volume, followed by a slight uptick in buying pressure (as shown by the magenta lightning bolt icon), hinting at potential absorption of selling pressure and the beginning of buyer interest. This could mark the end of the down leg and the start of a higher low structure. The projected path drawn on the chart suggests a bullish recovery scenario where price reclaims the mid-145s, retests prior minor resistance levels, and attempts to push toward the 146.00 handle again. However, this move is only valid if price holds above the current support. A breakdown below 144.90 would invalidate this idea and may lead to deeper downside. In summary, the setup favors a bullish reversal off support, aided by RSI recovering from oversold conditions, a slowdown in bearish momentum, and historical support alignment. That said, price action confirmation (like bullish engulfing or a strong reclaim candle) is necessary to initiate a long position with tighter risk below the support base.
Long
by xxChartWhizxx
USDJPY Trade Plan – May 19Price approaching key demand zone — 3 setups locked in: 👇 🟢 1st Buy Entry 📍 Entry: 144.099 🎯 TP: 144.507 🛑 SL: 143.978 📈 R:R ≈ 3.38 🔹 Quick scalp from zone top -Look for bullish 15M reaction 🟢 2nd Buy Entry 📍 Entry: 143.755 🎯 TP: 144.531 🛑 SL: 143.602 📈 R:R ≈ 5.05 🔹 Stronger level — better risk-reward for continuation bounce( this will be HIT or MISS/SL) 🔴 Breakout Sell Plan 📍 Entry: 143.669 🎯 TP: 142.844 🛑 SL: 143.871 📈 R:R ≈ 4.09 ⚠️ Only valid if price breaks zone with full-bodied follow-through candle ⏱️ Let market come to you. This can happen in next 1-2 days or Tonight.
Long
by tradingwith_ryann
USDJPYUSD/JPY Interest Rate Differential and Upcoming Economic Data (May–June 2025) Interest Rate Differential Federal Reserve (Fed): Policy rate: 4.25%–4.50% (held steady in May 2025). Outlook: Cautious stance amid mixed economic signals; markets expect no cuts until July 2025 unless inflation reaccelerates. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Policy rate: 0.50% (unchanged in May 2025, highest since 2008). Outlook: Dovish despite trimming growth and inflation forecasts; further hikes unlikely until 2026 due to U.S. tariff risks and weak GDP (-0.7% annualized in Q1). Differential: ~3.75–4.00% in favor of USD, sustaining a strong yield advantage for the dollar. Upcoming Economic Data and Events United States May 29: GDP Growth Rate QoQ (2nd estimate): Expected to confirm 2.4% QoQ growth, rebounding from Q1 contraction. Core PCE Prices QoQ (2nd estimate): Forecast to ease to 2.6% (from 3.5% in Q1), critical for Fed’s inflation assessment. May 30: Core PCE Price Index MoM/YoY: Key Fed inflation gauge; YoY expected at 2.6% (above 2% target). Fed Communications: FOMC Minutes (May 27) and speeches by Powell, Barkin, and Williams to clarify policy trajectory. Japan BoJ Policy Signals: Focus on U.S. tariff negotiations (24% on Japanese exports) and their impact on growth. Revised 2025 GDP growth to 0.5% (from 1.0%) and core inflation to 2.2% (from 2.7%) . Trade Data: Export performance under U.S. tariffs (autos, machinery) to influence JPY sentiment. Directional Bias for USD/JPY Short-Term (May–June): Bullish USD/JPY Fed’s steady rates vs. BoJ’s dovish hold sustains yield advantage. U.S. economic resilience (rebounding GDP, strong labor market) contrasts with Japan’s contraction. U.S. Tariff Escalation: Could dampen global growth, boosting safe-haven JPY. BoJ Surprise Hike: Unlikely but not impossible if inflation overshoots. Fed Dovish Shift: If U.S. data weakens, rate cut bets may pressure USD. Summary Table Factor USD Impact JPY Impact USD/JPY Bias Fed Rate Hold Strengthens USD – Bullish BoJ Dovish Stance – Weakens JPY Bullish U.S. GDP Rebound Supports USD – Bullish Japan’s GDP Contraction – Pressures JPY Bullish Conclusion: USD/JPY retains a bullish bias in the near term, driven by the Fed’s yield advantage and Japan’s economic fragility. However, escalating U.S. tariffs and safe-haven JPY demand could cap gains. Monitor U.S. inflation data (Core PCE) and BoJ rhetoric for shifts in momentum.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
2
USD/JPY Breakdown: Sell the Rallies, Ride the TrendUSD/JPY has decisively shifted bearish across all key timeframes. On the daily chart, the pair broke below the 50-, 100-, and 200-day EMAs with consistent lower highs and lows. The hourly chart confirms this trend, with bearish EMA stacking and failed attempts to reclaim the 200-hour EMA. RSI remains under 50 across timeframes, signaling persistent bearish momentum without exhaustion. The 15-minute chart highlights ideal short-entry setups on pullbacks to the 20- or 50-EMA, especially when RSI fails to breach 50. The 200-EMA on this timeframe acts as dynamic resistance near 145.30. Short entries are favorable on rallies to the 145.10–145.35 zone, with downside targets at 144.80, 144.50, and potentially 144.20. For the week ahead, the strategy is clear: fade rallies into EMA resistance and use RSI confirmation for timing. Avoid chasing lows—wait for price to come to you. Tight stops just above the EMAs minimize risk, and partial profit-taking at swing lows allows for trend-riding flexibility. As long as USD/JPY remains below the 200-hour EMA, bearish momentum dominates. Trade with the trend, manage risk with precision, and stay alert for breakdowns below key support levels.
Short
by BlackCandleTrader
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 19, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair attracted new sellers on Monday and fell to a one-week low of around 144.800 during the Asian session. Furthermore, the current economic climate suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the downside, which supports the prospects for a continuation of the recent corrective decline from the nearly six-week high reached last Monday. It is widely anticipated that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again in 2025, a development that is expected to continue providing support to the Japanese Yen (JPY). Furthermore, the unexpected downgrade of the US government's credit rating is discouraging investors from taking risks and is instead favouring traditional safe-haven assets, including the Japanese Yen. On Friday, Moody's downgraded America's main sovereign credit rating by one notch, to 'Aa1', citing concerns over the country's rising debt. Meanwhile, investors seem convinced that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to cut rates amid signs of weakening inflation and the likelihood that the US economy will see several quarters of sluggish growth. At the start of the new week, the US Dollar remains depressed and exerts additional downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. However, the lack of follow-through selling below the psychological 145.00 mark is forcing bears to exercise caution before positioning themselves for deeper losses. On Monday, the US will not release any market-moving economic data, so the dollar will be influenced by speeches by influential FOMC members. Furthermore, an improvement in risk sentiment is likely to result in increased demand for the Japanese Yen, thereby providing some momentum to the USD/JPY pair. However, the diverging policy expectations of the BoJ and the FOMC confirm the negative outlook for the near term. Consequently, any recovery attempt could be perceived as a strategic opportunity for divestment, and is likely to be constrained. Trade recommendation: SELL 144.700, SL 145.500, TP 143.800
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 78.6% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 143.80 1st Support: 140.52 1st Resistance: 148.62 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets