USD/JPY : Get Ready for another Fall ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USDJPY chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last daily timeframe analysis, the price started its rally from the 144 zone and, as expected, hit all three targets at 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65, delivering over 500 pips in returns — even reaching as high as 149.2! Once the price broke above 148.65 and swept the liquidity above this level, it faced selling pressure and dropped to 146.9. Currently trading around 148.65, if USDJPY manages to hold below the supply zone between 148.65 and 149.2, we can expect further downside movement. This analysis will be updated with your support!
THE DAILY ANALYSIS :
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USDJPY trade ideas
USD/JPY Faces Rejection at 148.6, Bearish Setup EmergesFenzoFx—USD/JPY began a bearish wave after the 148.6 resistance rejected the price. As of this writing, the currency pair flipped below the ascending trendline and formed a bearish FVG at 147.9.
A pullback toward the FVG can provide a premium price to go short on USD/JPY, targeting 146.9, followed by 145.7.
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bearish From now Price :148.750
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
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USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish From now Price : 147.900
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
USDJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 144.493.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 148.651 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/JPY Analysis by zForex Research Team - 07.21.2025Yen Recovers After Japan’s Upper House Election
The Japanese yen rose to around 148.5 per dollar on Monday, recovering some of last week’s losses after the ruling coalition lost its upper house majority. Markets had mostly priced in the result, limiting the reaction. Prime Minister Ishiba is expected to remain in office, which could ease concerns over political instability.
The opposition is likely to push for more spending and tax cuts, which could pressure the yen and lift bond yields. The election outcome comes as Tokyo continues trade talks with Washington. US Commerce Secretary Lutnick confirmed the August 1 tariff deadline but said negotiations will continue.
For the yen, resistance stands at 149.30, followed by 151.50, with the next key level at 155.00. Support is located at 147.50, with further levels at 146.15 and 145.30.
USDJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 148.811.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 147.818 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY SELL
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Japanese Yen hangs near multi-month low against USD ahead of Japan election on Sunday
The Japanese Yen drifts lower against its American counterpart for the second straight day on Friday and remains within striking distance of an over three-month low touched earlier this week. Investors now seem convinced that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) would forgo raising interest rates this year amid worries about the economic fallout from higher US tariffs
From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY pair showed some resilience below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) earlier this week, and the subsequent move up favors bullish traders. Moreover, oscillators are holding comfortably in positive territory and are still away from being in the overbought zone. However, the overnight failure to build on the momentum beyond the 149.00 mark warrants some caution. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the 149.15-149.20 region, or a multi-month peak, before positioning for a move towards reclaiming the 150.00 psychological mark.
On the flip side, the 148.20-148.25 region, or the 100-hour SMA, could offer immediate support ahead of the 148.00 mark. Some follow-through selling, leading to a slide below the 147.70 area, could make the USD/JPY pair vulnerable to accelerate the fall towards testing sub-147.00 levels. Acceptance below the latter might shift the bias in favor of bearish trades and drag spot prices to the 146.60 intermediate support en route to the 146.20 area, the 146.00 mark, and the 100-day SMA, currently pegged near the 145.80 region
1 SUPPORT147.642
2 SUPPORT 147.311
3 SUPPORT 146917
1 RESISTANCE 148.206
2 RESISTANCE 147.972
U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen - 4h Chart (FOREX.com)4-hour chart from FOREX.com shows the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). The current rate is 148.184, reflecting a decrease of 0.623 (-0.42%) as of 01:29:16. The chart highlights recent price movements over the past few hours, with a shaded area indicating a consolidation phase around the current level.
USDJPY Possible long for 149.60#usdjpy started rally from the start of the month of July. Price consolidate in range between 142.85-10. Then started rally. price again consolidate in range between 147.15-145.76 area. Market build energy and institutional add further longs and broke above the daily resistance line 148.60. Need to sell off / retracement to test demand zone range 146.37-145.78 area to test and filled remaining institutional orders for long. Buying area 146.37-145.76. stop loss: 145.60. Target: 149.60
USDJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 15' OB UPDATE 📊USDJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 15' OB UPDATE
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT 📊
USDJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25📊USDJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT 📊
Heading into overlap resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 151.42
1st Support: 146.67
1st Resistance: 154.34
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Fundamental Market Analysis for July 21, 2025 USDJPYThe pair opened the week near 148.500, clawing back ground after Sunday’s upper‑house election saw Japan’s ruling LDP‑Komeito coalition lose its majority. The outcome clouds the fiscal outlook and raises the probability of additional stimulus, a combination that tends to undermine the yen as investors anticipate higher public borrowing and a looser policy mix.
At the same time, subdued inflation and stagnant real wages have pushed expectations of Bank of Japan tightening into late‑2025 at the earliest. With the 10‑year US‑Japan yield gap hovering near yearly highs, capital continues to flow from low‑yielding JGBs into higher‑yielding US assets, reinforcing dollar demand against the yen.
Dollar strength is also underpinned by persistent tariff worries and a Federal Reserve that maintains a cautious stance rather than rushing to cut rates. Given these fundamentals, USDJPY could retest the psychological 150.000 barrier, while dips below 147.500 are likely to be viewed by the market as opportunities to re‑establish long positions rather than the start of a deeper correction.
Trading recommendation: BUY 148.500, SL 147.500, TP 149.500
USDJPY: Range-on-Range SetupUSDJPY remains in a broader uptrend but has recently stalled after breaking out of multiple ranges. This setup targets a short-term move as price attempts to test the top of a lower timeframe range—likely the daily. We're trading within nested ranges here, looking to catch a small piece of the move before higher timeframe resistance steps in.
USDJPY 4Hour TF - July 20th,2025USDJPY 7/20/2025
USDJPY 4Hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bullish
4Hour - Bullish
UJ is looking better than a couple weeks ago and at least we can spot some decent setups for the week ahead. These are NOT perfect setups but we have two scenarios that we are ready for if price action shows it is ready too. Here are the two scenarios we’re looking at for the week:
Bullish Continuation - We can see UJ in a nice 4hour channel but we are currently seeing a bit of flat price action. For us to consider UJ long setups again we would need to be convinced. Look for a break above our 149.250 zone with a confirmed higher low above. This would be enough to consider longs and target higher toward key levels of resistance.
Bearish Reversal - If price action continues to stall, this bearish setup will become more and more likely. Ideally, we want to see some strong rejection from our 149.250. If this happens look to target lower toward 147.500.
USDJPY M SIBI SELL SHORTUSDJPY M SIBI SELL SHORT
- Market in Monthly TF market is bearish
- Market in weekly TF is bullesh
- Market in Daily TF fully bullesh
- IN Monthly SIBI when market is present on our AOI then shift to LTF
find a Valid Market Structurer Shift with Valid OBI / LTF SIBI / BPR ,
- when market is in our OBI / LTF SIBI / BPR after Liquidity Swap then Entry in our AOI
with proper Tight SL with Open Target for a big Movement Catch . Partly Profit book our nearest HTF Liquidity .....
********************Enjoyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
KGB Priyabrat Behera
ICT Trader & Advance Mapping SMC Trader
USDJPY - Bullish Structure in Play• Pair: USDJPY (UJ) • Bias: Bullish • HTF Overview (4H): • Clean external break to the upside confirms bull control heading into the new week. • Structure shift is undeniable — market bias is now favoring continued strength.
• MTF Refinement (30M): • Zoomed in to the 30M and identified internal liquidity (SSL) taken out. • Strong mitigation of internal OB followed. • Still in analysis mode — no trades taken yet.
• LTF Confirmation (5M): • Waiting on a refined CHoCH (marked by green lines at highs). • Once that prints and rules align, I’ll shift into trader mode for the execution.
• Entry Zone: • 30M OB mitigation + LTF (5M) CHoCH confirmation.
• Mindset Note: • Patience is the play. No guessing, no hesitation — just clean reads and precision strikes. • Analysis first, execution second. That’s the system.
Bless Trading!