Get started

U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY... 4H pair...Here’s a structured analysis and actionable plan for the *USDJPY* trade idea based on the bearish flag breakdown and key technical levels: --- ### *Trade Setup Overview* - *Pattern Identified*: Bearish Flag breakdown (continuation pattern) after a prior downtrend. - *Key Resistance*: 100-period Moving Average (MA) acting as dynamic resistance. - *Entry Trigger: Retest of the broken flag’s lower boundary near **149.300*. - *Targets*: - *TP1: 148.30* (100 pips, aligns with the flag’s measured move). - *TP2: 146.60* (270 pips, targets a major swing low and psychological level). - *Stop Loss: **150.00* (70 pips risk, above the flag’s upper boundary and recent swing high). --- ### *Critical Technical Factors* 1. *Bearish Flag Dynamics*: - The flag’s "pole" (prior decline) suggests a measured move target of *~148.30* (TP1). - A close below the flag confirms momentum; watch for follow-through selling. 2. *Confluence with Moving Averages*: - The 100-MA resistance reinforces bearish pressure. A rejection here adds confidence to the downtrend. - A break below the 200-MA (if applicable) would signal a deeper bearish shift. 3. *Key Support Levels*: - *148.30*: Near-term target (previous swing low). - *146.60*: Long-term support (2023 lows, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 2021-2023 rally). --- ### *Risk Management* - *Risk-Reward Ratio*: - TP1: *1:1.4* (70 pips risk vs. 100 pips reward). - TP2: *1:3.8* (70 pips risk vs. 270 pips reward). - *Adjust Stops*: Trail stops to breakeven if TP1 is hit to lock in gains. --- ### *Fundamental Catalysts to Monitor* 1. *Fed Policy*: Dovish signals (rate cuts) could accelerate USD weakness. 2. *BOJ Intervention*: Watch for verbal or direct action to defend JPY above 150.00. 3. *Risk Sentiment*: JPY strength may surge if equity markets sell off (safe-haven flows). --- ### *Execution Plan* 🔽 *Sell Entry*: 149.300 (wait for price to retest the broken flag boundary). 🎯 *TP1*: 148.30 (partial profit-taking). 🎯 *TP2*: 146.60 (requires sustained bearish momentum). 🚫 *Stop Loss*: 150.00 (avoids false breakdowns). --- ### *Will the USD Continue to Decline?* - *Yes, but with caution: The bearish flag and MA resistance favor downside, but JPY’s inherent weakness (BOJ’s ultra-loose policy) may limit sustained USDJPY declines. Focus on **TP1 (148.30)* as a high-probability target, while TP2 depends on broader USD trends and macro drivers. *Key Takeaway*: Trade aligns with short-term momentum, but remain agile given JPY’s sensitivity to central bank policies and risk sentiment.
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
1
Last level to break short. fundamentals MOMENTUMFX:USDJPY – The last critical level to break before we commit to a strong short position. If the price decisively breaks through this level, we could see a surge in selling pressure, likely triggering a solid downtrend. Watch for a clean break and retest of this level for confirmation. If this level holds and starts to reject, the bears might take full control, and we could see this pair drop significantly. Patience is key, but the setup looks promising for a strong move down if this level fails to hold. 🐻📉
Short
by NeroForteFX_255
USDJPY Analysis: A Short Opportunity Ahead Based on EASY TradingThe EASY Trading AI strategy signals a selling opportunity on USDJPY at the entry point of 149.207. The trade target is set at 148.70633333, with a protective stop loss established at 150.09433333. The decision to sell aligns with the AI model indicating an overbought scenario near the current resistance levels. Technical indicators within EASY Trading AI strategy suggest weakening bullish momentum, increasing probabilities of a corrective downward move. Traders are advised to monitor closely and maintain risk management at recommended levels.
Short
by ForexRobotEasy
USDJPY Is Going Up! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 146.824. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 149.538. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on USDJPY? USDJPY is moving within a descending channel and has currently reached the top of the channel, just below a resistance zone. We anticipate some consolidation in this area, followed by a potential drop toward the bottom of the channel. For a safer sell entry, it’s better to wait for a break below the specified support level. After the breakout, a pullback to the broken support could offer a good sell opportunity. 💡Will USD/JPY respect the channel and head lower, or break out to the upside? Share your view below! 👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
17
USDJPY Faces Strong Resistance at 151.20 USDJPY Faces Strong Resistance at 151.20 USDJPY tested a strong resistance zone near 151.20. The initial reaction was solid, reinforcing the importance of this level. Sellers appear to be defending 151.20, as the price has moved down twice after testing the area, successfully halting bullish momentum both times. If this resistance holds, USDJPY could continue its downward move toward these targets: 🎯 148.85 🎯 148.20 🎯 146.95 🎯 145.80 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
17
Dollar-yen tanks, retesting seven-month lowsHavens generally had a significant boost from Donald Trump’s latest announcement of sweeping new tariffs, with the yen in particular showing strong overall gains in most of its pairs. Flight to safety has been the primary driver for the yen in the last couple of days. The yen’s expected higher yield later this year could now be questioned because the impact of tariffs on Japanese inflation might not be very large while exports will almost certainly be lower than previously expected. When the Bank of Japan will hike next remains a significant intrigue; September seems less certain in light of the latest developments. ¥146.50 is still the key support, last month’s low and the area of lows in March last year also. If the price breaks below there successfully, there might be significant continuation before the next possible support. However, volume has been relatively low for dollar-yen in the last couple of days compared to early March, so an immediate move lower is somewhat questionable. A bounce above ¥149 is probably less likely still given both the technical and fundamental situation. The price couldn’t move clearly above ¥151 last month amid low volume, with the 200 SMA functioning as a dynamic resistance. As for euro-dollar, dollar-yen’s next major movement is likely to depend on the reaction to 4 April NFP. If the result isn’t particularly surprising and the trade situation remains confused, consolidation seems to be possible in the next few days. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
USD/JPY Price Action Update – April 3, 2025 📊 USD/JPY Price Action Update – April 3, 2025 🎯 🔹 Current Price: 147.276 🔹 Timeframe: 15M 📌 Key Support Levels (Demand Zones): 🟢 147.200-147.284 – First Support Zone (Liquidity Area) 📌 Key Resistance Levels (Fair Value Gaps - FVGs & Supply Zones): 🔴 147.647 – First Resistance (FVG) 🔴 149.133 – Major Resistance (Potential Target) 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price respects the 147.200-147.284 demand zone, we could see a push towards 147.647 first. A breakout above 147.647 could indicate further bullish momentum toward 149.133. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold 147.200, we might see a deeper retracement. The next possible downside target would be below 147.000, breaking structure further. ⚡ Trading Tip: ✅ Look for confirmations like bullish candlestick rejections before entering buys. ✅ Monitor reactions at FVG zones for potential reversal trades. ✅ Use proper risk management when trading breakout zones. #USDJPY #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #ForexSignals #JPY #ForexMarket
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
USD/JPY(20250403)Today's AnalysisMarket news: US trade policy-① Trump signed an executive order to establish a 10% "minimum base tariff" for all countries, and will impose reciprocal tariffs, including 20% ​​for the EU, 24% for Japan, 46% for Vietnam, and 25% for South Korea. The tariff exemption for goods that meet the USMCA will continue, and the tariff for those that do not meet the requirements will remain at 25%; ② The US Treasury Secretary called on countries not to retaliate; ③ The base tariff will take effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff will take effect on the 9th. In addition, the 25% automobile tariff will take effect on the 3rd, and the automobile parts tariff will take effect on May 3rd; ④ Gold bars, copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and wood products are also not subject to "reciprocal tariffs". Today's buying and selling boundaries: 149.61 Support and resistance levels 150.97 150.46 150.13 149.08 148.75 148.24 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 148.75, consider buying, the first target price is 149.08 If the price breaks through 148.24, consider selling, the first target price is 148.00
by BraveTigercat
USD/JPY Stands Firm, But Volatility ExpectedVolatility has receded with less than 20-hours to go until Trump's tariffs are officially implemented, with traders now clearly in watch-and-wait mode. So while headline risks around tariffs remain in place, moves could remain limited unless traders are treated to any last-minute negotiations. Typically, risk has benefitted when it has been expected that tariffs have been watered down. If that turns out to be the case by Trump's speech at 4pm ET Wednesday, indices could rise alongside the US dollar and the yen weaken. Bit of course, the opposite is true. And that could weigh on USD/JPY. Rightly or wrongly, I'm feeling optimistic and now seeing a bounce on USD/JPY. Two bullish pinbars found support and close above the 20-day SMA and monthly pivot point. The bias remains bullish while prices remain above Monday's low, and a break above 150 brings the 200-day SMA, February VPOPC and 152 handle into focus. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Amid Structural ShiftDisclaimer: This is not professional financial advice; it is purely my personal opinion. Please consult a qualified financial expert before making any trading decisions. Initially, I planned to go long on USD/JPY based on the bullish momentum observed in the 4-hour time frame. However, the external structural high struggled to break, signalling potential weakness. Soon after, price action began forming lower lows, confirming a shift in structure to the downside. A solid change of character (ChoCh) occurred following a liquidity sweep on the opposite side of the chart, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Given this shift, I adapted my strategy accordingly, favouring a short position. Additionally, unexpected news from the Eurozone impacted USD pairs, accelerating price movements beyond my anticipated entry. This volatility was likely driven by macroeconomic factors, including a Dow Jones report on tariffs that may have influenced broader USD sentiment. Key Takeaways: Bearish Structural Shift – Lower lows formed after failure to break external structural highs. Change of Character (ChoCh) – Liquidity sweep indicated a momentum shift. Fundamental Influence – News from the Eurozone and tariff-related updates impacted USD pairs. I'll be monitoring further price action to confirm bearish continuation and potential re-entry points. #USDJPY #Forex #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #MarketStructure
Short
by clever_jeph
USD/JPY Ready to Take Off: Golden Opportunity on 1H!Hi traders! Analyzing USD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry: 🔹 Entry: 150.08 🔹 TP: 150.589 🔹 SL: 149.547 USD/JPY is breaking out of a bullish pennant pattern, suggesting a potential upward move. The RSI is holding above 50, indicating bullish momentum building up. If the price sustains above 150.08, we could see a push toward 150.589. Keep your eyes on price action and manage your risk! ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Long
by FXOnTop