liquidty hunter down in usdjpyliquidty hunter down in usdjpy . we are now in pullback vision
liquidty hunter down in usdjpy . we are now in pullback vision
liquidty hunter down in usdjpy . we are now in pullback vision
liquidty hunter down in usdjpy . we are now in pullback vision
liquidty hunter down in usdjpy . we are now in pullback vision
put 100$ and risk 10% of the account
USDJPY trade ideas
USD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup: Key Resistance at 144.939 and TaEntry Point: ~144.037
Stop Loss: ~144.939 (above the recent resistance zone)
Resistance Zone: Between 144.037 and 144.939 (highlighted by purple area)
First Target Point (EA Target Point): ~139.731 (Bearish target if reversal happens)
Second Target Point (Bullish EA Target Point): ~148.737
Current Price:
As of the chart, price is around 143.743, slightly below the entry point.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If price breaks and closes above 144.939, expect strong bullish momentum toward 148.737.
Confirmation: Look for strong bullish candles with volume above the resistance zone.
Bearish Rejection:
If price fails to break 144.939 and shows bearish reversal patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing), a pullback toward 144.037 or even down to 139.731 is likely.
Additional Notes:
The orange circles highlight key points where price respected trendlines and support zones — showing strong buyer interest.
A rising trendline (drawn underneath recent lows) supports the ongoing bullish structure.
Risk-Reward seems well balanced: small risk (~90 pips) for a potential reward (~400+ pips).
Summary:
Bias: Cautiously bullish, but watch carefully around the 144.939 resistance.
Action: Wait for a clean breakout or a rejection pattern before deciding.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 28, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY:
The Japanese yen (JPY) fluctuated in a narrow range in Monday's Asian session and paused its recent pullback from a multi-month high reached last week against its U.S. counterpart. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent did not support President Donald Trump's statement that tariff talks with China are underway. That tempered optimism about a quick resolution to trade tensions between the world's two largest economies and provided some support for the safe-haven yen.
Meanwhile, traders pushed back expectations of an immediate interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) due to rising economic risks from US tariffs. However, signs of rising inflation in Japan leave the door open for further BoJ rate hikes this year, which is a big divergence from bets on more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing. This keeps USD bulls on the defensive and also serves as a tailwind for the low-yielding Yen.
Trading recommendation: SELL 143.20, SL 143.60, TP 142.50
USDJPY Long Setup – Fundamental + Sentiment AlignmentAfter a full macro, COT, and sentiment analysis for this week, USDJPY stands out as the cleanest opportunity.
✅ Strong USD support: solid economic growth, persistent inflation, and elevated Treasury yields.
✅ Extremely weak JPY: Bank of Japan remains dovish, with low inflation and no sign of tightening policy.
✅ Risk sentiment: Stable to positive, favoring continuation of USD strength.
Bias: Long USDJPY
Risk: Unexpected shifts in US data or global risk-off shocks.
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USDJPY Analysis week 18🌐Fundamental Analysis
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has recovered to near 99.75 after a correction on Thursday. President Donald Trump said trade talks are progressing well and a deal with Japan is close.
US-China trade relations have been thrown into uncertainty by conflicting statements: Trump said President Xi Jinping called him, while China denied any talks were taking place. Tokyo's April consumer price index (CPI) beat expectations at 3.4%, bolstering expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates.
🕯Technical Analysis
Prices are heading towards the resistance zone of 144,900, with the possibility of an uptrend resuming. This resistance zone is likely to act as a retest for a rally towards 148,000. Pay attention to the BUY zones of 142,300 and 141,000 for retests of this pair.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL USDJPY 148.000-148.200 Stoploss 148.500
BUY USDJPY 141.000-140.800 Stoploss 140.500
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resitance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 145.61
1st Support: 140.60
1st Resistance: 147.84
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USDJPY H4 | Bullish Rise Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 143.49, which is an overlap support.
Our take profit will be at146.54, which is a pullback resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 142.14, which is a pullback support level.
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USDJPY FORECAST - JEVUSDJPY has been and is currently trading between $160 and $140 since December 2023.
Optimal buy entry will be at ~$140. Sell entries will be at ~$160.
The buy entry at $140 is justified by the apparent demand at that zone for major buyers. Technically, this is corroborated by the consistent Yellow line on the TDI indicator (1hr TF) trending beneath the 30 line level each time price reaches that level; ~$140. Additionally, validation of a continued upward trend is supported with the recovery of the US Dollar since Pres. Trump has expressed confidence that he is close to making trade deals with a number of trading partners.
TP = $155
SL = $137.30
USDJPY ANALYSISUSDJPY has been and is currently trading between $160 and $140 since December 2023.
Optimal buy entry will be at ~$140. Sell entries will be at ~$160.
The buy entry at $140 is justified by the apparent demand at that zone for major buyers. Technically, this is corroborated by the consistent Yellow line on the TDI indicator (1hr TF) trending beneath the 30 line level each time price reaches that level; ~$140. Additionally, confirmation of the upward trend and validation of the upward trend is supported with the recovery of the US Dollar since Pres. Trump has expressed confidence that he is close to making trade deals with number a of trading partners; Japan being of such.
TP = $155
SL = $137.30
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and also lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could reverse to from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and is also slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 145.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 142.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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The Consolidation Zone and the UncertaintyIn this trade, I’m going to enter with a short position.
Analyzing the pair on the higher time-frames, it has reached a reversal zone for the second time, previously located around the 158.874 price level.
Moving to the daily time-frame and after the pair hit that same area twice again, there’s the possibility of opening a sell position — but a few points should be considered:
**1st point: Pay attention to the reversal the pair is currently making after reaching the area near 139.576 *and try to understand whether a future pullback might occur, which would strengthen the case for the sell (a Fibonacci tool can be used as support for this).
*Something similar happened between January 16, 2023 and December 28, 2023.
**There’s also the chance that the pair might continue its downward movement without making a reversal or pullback.
2nd point: There’s also a possibility that the pair is in a consolidation zone and could later make a strong bullish move, breaking through the reversal zone around 158.874 and invalidating the selling opportunity.
Taking everything mentioned above into account — and despite the uncertainty around this pair’s future movement — it’s possible to consider both buying and selling at different moments. That’s why it’s important to closely monitor all the movements and try to time it right, because I believe that when the pair chooses a direction, it’ll move with strength.
In this analysis, several moving averages and a Parabolic SAR were also used, and they should be given close attention.
TOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON USDJPY DAILY BIASOn the Daily timeframe, price reacted to the major zone and reversed upwards, rhyming with the established bullish bias on the monthly/weekly timeframe, price is currently sitting on the daily trend line almost broken but we will head to the 4hr timeframe for further confirmation.