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USDJPY trade ideas

BOJ Hawkish Tone Fails to Lift YenThe Japanese yen fell past 143 per dollar on Tuesday, ending a three-day gain, despite BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda hinting at potential rate hikes if conditions improve. Ueda pointed to steady recovery and firm corporate performance. A stronger U.S. dollar also weighed down the yen, as markets shrugged off weak U.S. data and rising trade tensions. Trump's plan to double metal tariffs further pressured Japan’s steel sector. Investors await upcoming labor and spending data. The key resistance is at $143.50 meanwhile the major support is located at $142.85.
by ChartMage
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support, a pullback level. Pivot: 144.37 1st Support: 141.94 1st Resistance: 146.17 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
JPYUSD Technical Breakdown | Inverse Head & Shoulders + Target🔍 Pattern Breakdown: Inverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) We’ve identified a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation that often appears at the end of a downtrend. Here's how the structure played out: Left Shoulder: The initial drop formed a local low, followed by a short recovery, creating the first "shoulder" on the left. Head: A deeper push down formed the lowest point of the pattern, indicating a possible trap for sellers or exhaustion in bearish momentum. This is the "head" and the key anchor of the pattern. Right Shoulder: A higher low forms, showing buyers stepping in earlier and with more strength. This symmetry confirms the structure and signals a potential reversal in trend. Neckline: Drawn across the highs between the shoulders, this key resistance line was broken decisively, confirming the bullish pattern and triggering an upward breakout. 📌 Trendline + Retest Zone = Confluence Support After the breakout above the neckline: Price surged strongly, showing confidence in the reversal. It pulled back gently to retest the neckline, which now acts as support. This retest also aligns with the upward trendline, adding confluence — a strong signal in technical trading that increases the probability of a successful continuation move. This zone is labeled on the chart as: 🟦 “Like a Retesting Zone After Boom” — a perfect description of what’s occurring. 🎯 Target and Resistance Zones The price is now moving toward a major resistance zone marked between 0.007020 – 0.007060, with a target zone slightly above at 0.007080. These zones represent historical selling pressure or supply areas. A breakout above this region would open doors to even higher levels, signaling strong bullish continuation. 📈 Why This Setup Matters (MMC Strategy Applied) Using the Market Mapping Concept (MMC) approach, this trade idea combines: Market structure (Inverse H&S pattern) Momentum confirmation (strong bullish move after breakout) Zone mapping (support/resistance confluence) Trendline validation (clean structure with pullback respect) This creates a well-defined trade setup with clear entry and exit logic, excellent risk-to-reward potential, and technical confirmation. ✅ Summary: Bullish Outlook With Managed Risk Bias: Bullish continuation as long as price holds above the neckline/trendline zone. Confirmation: Inverse H&S pattern + successful retest. Target: 0.007060–0.007080 resistance zone. Invalidation: Break below 0.006980 and close under trendline support. 💬 Minds Post Caption (Extended) 🔥 JPYUSD Ready to Fly? Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Spotted! Clean reversal pattern (H&S) just completed with a strong neckline breakout and a perfect retest at trendline confluence. MMC analysis suggests bullish continuation toward the 0.007060+ resistance zone. Classic "retest after boom" move. Watching price action closely! 🚀📊
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Yen Rises Amid Trump Tariff Threat and China DisputeThe Japanese yen rose to around 143.5 per dollar on Monday, marking its third straight session of gains as rising global trade tensions lifted demand for safe-haven currencies. The move followed President Trump’s threat on Friday to double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50% starting June 4. Japanese steelmakers like JFE Holdings and Kobe Steel fell, while Nippon Steel was less affected after Trump praised its planned merger with U.S. Steel. Meanwhile, U.S.-China tensions grew as China denied Trump’s claim of breaching a recent Geneva trade agreement. On the domestic front, Japan’s Q1 capital spending beat expectations, with investment rising across both manufacturing and services, reflecting solid internal momentum. The key resistance is at $143.50 meanwhile the major support is located at $143.00.
by ChartMage
Currency Risks in International Stock InvestmentCurrency Risks in International Stock Investment In the realm of international stock investment, understanding and managing currency risks is pivotal. This risk can substantially influence the returns on global investments, making it essential for investors to grasp its nuances and develop strategies to mitigate its impact. Today, we’ll delve into different types of currency risks, factors influencing these risks, and effective ways to manage them. Understanding Currency Risks Currency risks, sometimes known as foreign currency exchange risks, are inherent in international stock investment. This currency exposure risk arises when the value of a foreign currency fluctuates, affecting the position’s value when converted back to the domestic currency. To use an example of currency risk, consider an American investor who buys stocks in a European company. If the euro weakens against the US dollar, the value of these stocks in USD decreases, even if the stock's price in euros remains unchanged. It's crucial for investors to understand these risks, as they can significantly impact the returns on global investments. Effectively managing this exposure may help in protecting and potentially enhancing returns in a globally connected market. Types of Currency Risks Currency exposure in the context of global investments encompasses various types, each impacting assets differently. Understanding these is crucial for investors engaged in international trade or stock markets. Transaction Risk This arises from the fluctuation in exchange rates between the time a deal is made and when it's settled. For instance, a US investor purchasing shares in a Japanese company faces transaction risk if the Japanese yen strengthens against the US dollar before the trade is completed. The investor would have to spend more dollars to buy the same amount of yen, illustrating currency exchange rate risk. Translation Risk This is relevant for investors holding foreign assets or stocks. It occurs when the value of these assets changes due to market fluctuations, affecting the domestic value of these assets. For example, a British investor holding stocks in a Canadian company will face translation risk if the Canadian dollar weakens against the British pound. Such a devaluation would reduce the value of the Canadian shares when converted back to pounds. Economic Risk This broader risk involves changes in currency value driven by macroeconomic shifts in a foreign market. A German company investing in Brazil may face economic risk if Brazil’s downturn leads to a devaluation in the Brazilian real. This would lower the returns on the position when converted back to euros. These aspects collectively define the currency risk in international trade and investment, highlighting the importance of managing exposure. Factors Influencing Risks Several factors contribute to risks in global investments, each playing a significant role in fluctuating prices. Exchange Rate Fluctuations Prices are primarily influenced by supply and demand dynamics in the foreign exchange market. Factors like trade balances, economic strength, and investor sentiment often cause exchange rates to vary, impacting investments denominated in that currency. Interest Rates Central banks' monetary policies, particularly interest rate adjustments, are a key driver. Higher interest rates in a country typically strengthen its currency by attracting foreign capital, seeking higher returns. Inflation Rates Generally, a country with lower inflation sees its currency appreciate as its purchasing power increases relative to other currencies, affecting the return on investments in countries with differing inflation rates. Political Stability and Economic Performance Political events, government policies, and the overall economic environment of a country influence investor confidence. For instance, political instability or economic downturns may lead to a currency devaluation. Geopolitical Events Global events, such as conflicts, trade agreements, or sanctions, might create uncertainty in the market, leading to volatile market movements. Managing Currency Risks Effectively managing risks is crucial for investors involved in global markets. By understanding and employing various strategies, one can mitigate currency risk and protect potential returns from adverse price movements. Hedging Strategies - Forward Contracts: These are agreements to buy or sell a currency pair at a future date at a predetermined price. By locking in exchange rates and hedging foreign currency risk, investors can protect against potential unfavourable shifts in prices. For example, an investor fearing a devaluation of the euro against the dollar in the coming months may enter a forward contract to sell euros at today's value, mitigating the exposure to future devaluation. - Hedging through Inversely Correlated Assets: Investing in assets or securities that have an inverse relationship with the currency can also be a strategy. For instance, holding stocks that are likely to appreciate when the local currency depreciates might serve as a natural hedge. Diversification - Diversifying a portfolio across different currencies and geographic regions can dilute the impact of fluctuations. Holding a global mix of equities, bonds, and other assets may balance out losses in one region with gains in another. - Investing in multinational corporations that operate and generate revenue in multiple currencies can also be a form of diversification, as these companies are often less affected by price volatility in any single market. By employing these strategies, investors can mitigate the overall impact of price fluctuations on their international investments. However, it's important to note that while these methods might reduce exposure, they can also limit potential gains. The Bottom Line In conclusion, astutely managing these risks is fundamental for success in global stock investment. By understanding the types, factors, and strategies to mitigate this exposure, investors can navigate global markets more effectively. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
USDJPY M15 I Bullish Bounce Based on the M15 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 142.69, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 143.31, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 142.53, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
1
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 142.27 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 141.62 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 144.05 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.25 fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Risk, Rates, and Reversals: What’s Next for USD/JPY?CMCMARKETS:USDJPY FX:USDJPY USD/JPY rebounded slightly to 143.10 but remains under pressure after slipping from the 144.50 on BoJ-Fed divergence and rising geopolitical tensions. While the BoJ appears cautious about accelerating its balance sheet tapering beyond FY2026, it still signals further rate hikes amid persistent domestic inflation, offering the yen structural support. Technically, price is reacting off the lower trendline TL2, aligned with the 142.30–142.40 significant support zone. This area has held multiple times in the past and may offer a bullish pullback toward the 143.80 or even 146.15 resistance zones. However, failure to break above these levels could expose USD/JPY to renewed downside toward the 140.89 demand base. Short-term recovery depends on Friday’s NFP and risk sentiment around trade tensions. A break below 142.30 would invalidate the bullish rebound and open downside to support near 140.89. Resistance : 143.87 , 146.14 Support : 142.36 , 140.89
Short
by ATFX_Global
Short I opened a short position yesterday at the price of 147.50.    Currently the price is 146.18.  The price has dropped quite a bit but I think it still has a good short entry opportunity with a reasonable risk reward. Reasons for short trade: The price has reached the major support level around 149 on the 22nd April.   Since then, the price has moved up to the fair value gap area between 149.2 and 148.2 (blue rectangular box), and also the order block.    That area is also the Fib 0786 area.  I look at Fib 0.786 as the last line of defence and it is usually a hard line to break. The price hit the area and started to move to the downside.  Momentum indicators are still in the bull territory but the lines have crossed and clearly moving to the downside.   My macro bias for USD is bearish and the current price set up support my bias. The risk reward is good enough for me to enter. My trade set up: Entry: 147.51Stop: 148.95Target: 142.478 (Fib 0.236) Risk:Reward= 1:3.5 Currently the price is 146.17.  It just broked below Fib 0.618.     Entry now can give you 1:1.5 risk reward.  
Short
by EbonyFalcon