USDJPY trade ideas
Buy opportunity UJPure price action strategy
Listing to the chart and take action accordingly
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YEN/$USA topped in the target 144/146 and now supported into fibThe chart posted is the USA $/YEN chart it is key to all things as to the sp 500 and debt markets A few weeks back I posted The chart of a MASSIVE HEAD N SHOULDER TOP formation !!! we are still forming the Right shoulder in a rather complex wave STRUCTURE This is the hourly model and forecast so far spot on . best of trades WAVETIMER
USDJPY I Trading Plan and Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
A rebound is inevitable. Execute!During the European session, the USD/JPY price trended lower overall, with prices gradually declining from higher levels, indicating that bearish forces remained dominant. The pair started its downward movement from near 144.049 and continued to move lower. Notably, the USD/JPY exchange rate faced resistance at the 146.00 psychological level and is currently moving toward the support zone at 142.35. If prices reach this area, buyers are expected to enter the market after setting clear risk parameters below the support level, preparing for a potential rebound toward the 148.00 resistance level. On the flip side, sellers will look for prices to break below this level to increase bearish bets, with a further downside target set at the 140.00 threshold.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@142.20-142.50
TP:145.50-146.00
UJ Harmonic C-D legCloser look into the price action. Bulls in favor as long as support stands strong, as mentioned on previous post. 4H bullish trendline along side a Daily support. If price break below will favor Bears. However overall trend on Higher timeframes is bulls market.
UJ BULLISH PIVOT C-D LEG Price seems to be testing Daily support. Will be favoring bulls over bears. Additionally will post 4h chart to monitor price action. As long as support stands strong bulls will be favored.
USDJPY LONG USDJPY tested my demand on h4 at 142.750 quarter level and i see it going all the way to at least 146 flat DYOR
UJ will continue its declinein trend UJ is in decline seen swing high adds to the potential to continue the decline
SL: 143.7 (25 pips)
USD/JPY Technical OutlookA Head and Shoulders pattern has formed on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting a potential bearish reversal. The key neckline zone lies between 142.400 and 142.000 .
A confirmed break below this neckline, followed by a clean retest, would present a high-probability short opportunity. This pattern indicates a possible shift in momentum, with sellers beginning to gain control of the market.
Usdjpy I was expecting a break out from that zone and we have gotten the break out am expecting market to retrace back to the zone we're it broke out from then I sell
Buy
### Important and main block order ### can cause a return and reaction to the level. ### In the low time frame, wait for the first ceiling to break and trade when
Monday thoughts and reports Our initial trade of the week was a success no drawback. The currency pair has created a new level and is now in a testing zone that I view as either a possible reversal or continuation of a downtrend validated by the 4 hour and daily timeframes. My points of interaction.
Sell: Open and close below 142.579
Buy: Reversal at 142.579
Even though these are the points I'm interested keep in mind it is early in the week and there is a chance for consolidation so beware of overtrading.
Monday June 2nd Reports: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index)
For May of 2025 it reported at about 48.7% which indicates a continued contraction in the manufacturing sector. Aprils was 49% So we are looking at a slower pace. The current prediction is 49.5%. This is the ninth consecutive month with the index below 50% which is below the neutral threshold of 50%.
New Orders decreased to 48.6% from 55.1%
Production: Slowed to 50.7% from 52.5%
Employment: Fell into contraction at 47.6% down from 50.3%
Prices: Accelerated to 62.4% the highest since June 2022, due to increased cost from tariffs
Supplier Deliveries: Slowed to 54.5% from 50.9%, indicating longer lead times
Inventories: Remained stable at 49.9%
Backlog of Orders: Contracted less at 46.8% compared to 44.9% (backlogs are still declining, but not as sharply)
The manufacturing sector is experiencing the initial operational impacts of the new administrations tariff policies, leading to increased prices and supply chain disruptions
How does this impact USD/JPY?
PMI below 50 signals economic weakness it signals contraction in the manufacturing sector.
This puts a cloud over the confidence in US economic strength and may lead traders to lower expectations for future fed rate hikes (or even expect cuts)
A lower PMI reduces investor confidence in US economy which cloud lead to a weaker dollar
This will result in a stronger yen (safe haven currency) against the us dollar
Pay attention to: Fed and BOJ monetary policy outlooks, geopolitical risk appetite, interest rate differentials, and upcoming US jobs data report
USD/JPY – Rejection at Resistance | Bullish Setup Brewing? The USD/JPY pair has just rejected from the 143.50 zone and is currently sitting around 142.89, showing signs of short-term weakness after a bullish attempt. However, the higher timeframe demand zone between 140.55 – 142.00 is holding strong 👀
🔍 Key Levels:
Demand Zone: 140.550 – 142.000 🟧
Mid-Range Resistance: 148.419 🔵
Major Supply Zone: 155.589 🔵
Current Price: 142.896 🔴
📊 Technical Breakdown:
Price bounced multiple times from the strong demand zone, forming a potential triple bottom.
If bulls defend this area again, we could see a push toward 148.41 and eventually a retest of the 155.58 supply zone 🔼
Momentum is gradually shifting – watch for a break above recent highs (~143.50) for confirmation of bullish continuation.
🧠 What to Watch:
Bullish confirmation above 143.50 = Long potential toward 148.41 and 155.58 🎯
Bearish breakdown below 140.55 = Caution! Opens downside risk 🚨
💬 Your Turn:
How are you trading USD/JPY this week?
Do you expect a breakout or another bounce from this demand zone?
📌 Drop your analysis or setups below! Let's trade smarter together.
#USDJPY #Forex #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #FXTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #4HChart #TradingView #JPY
Market next move 🔄 Disruptive Bullish Scenario Analysis
1. Oversold Conditions & Possible Reversal
The current price at 143.028 shows an aggressive drop.
This could indicate the pair is entering oversold territory on lower timeframes (not visible here but common post-drop).
If confirmed with RSI or stochastic indicators, a reversal or retracement could be imminent before reaching the 141.000 target.
2. Demand Zone at 142.500–142.000
Historically, this area (near 142.5–142.0) may act as a support zone.
Buyers could step in here, especially if fundamentals (e.g., U.S. data releases or BOJ comments) support dollar strength.
3. Volume Divergence
Declining selling volume despite price falling (visible from lower red bars) may hint at weakening bearish momentum.
This divergence often precedes a bullish correction or range formation.
4. False Breakdown Possibility
The sharp projection to 141.000 could trigger stop hunts.
After trapping breakout sellers, price may sharply rebound to retest 143.500–144.000 zones.
USDJPY Forecast for NFP Week | Price at a Critical Turning PointIn this video, I’m diving into the USDJPY setup ahead of a high-impact week filled with major economic news like the NFP, ADP Employment, and speeches from the BoJ Governor.
We’ll walk through the technical zones I’m watching, discuss potential buyer and seller reactions, and outline the key catalysts that could move the market.
🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of my work.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#USDJPY #ForexForecast #NFPWeek #ForexMentor #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #BoJ #TradeSetups #PriceAction #MarketBreakdown
USDJPY Short: On the Wave 3 Train RideOver in this video, I go through in detail the breakdown of the Elliott Waves and the rationale for counting the waves as I did. In this video, i talk about setting the stop at around 144.10 and the short-term take profit target at around 139.92.
At the end, I remind us of the big picture head-and-shoulders where the longer-term target is around 127.21.
Thank you and Good Luck in your Trading!
USDJPY Ready to Bounce – Sniper Long from Smart Money OBUSDJPY | 30-Min Bullish Setup – Premium to Discount + Order Block Reaction
USDJPY looks primed for a bullish reversal from a smart money perspective. Let’s walk through why this setup could be the cleanest long of the week 📈🧠
📌 1. Current Market Narrative:
Price retraced deep into discount levels (beyond 70.5%) after a strong bullish leg
Tapped into a refined bullish Order Block (OB) sitting just above a strong low
Multiple liquidity grabs have already occurred, leaving internal structure vulnerable to a reversal
Smart money has likely accumulated below recent lows… ready to pump toward Buy Side Liquidity 🧲
🧠 2. Key Technical Levels:
✅ Order Block Zone (Entry): 143.164
🔻 Strong Low: 142.048 (protected)
🟢 Buy Side Liquidity Target: 144.447
🔼 Weak High (Magnet): 146.290
Entry Point: Within OB (143.1–143.2)
TP Zones: 144.447 (main), 146.290 (stretch target)
SL: Below OB – around 142.048
RR: ~1:4+ — sniper grade 🥷
📊 3. Smart Money Flow:
OB aligned with 70.5–79% Fibonacci discount zone (deep retrace = strong reaction)
Structure shows signs of exhaustion on the sell side
Price may now reverse with displacement toward upside inefficiencies
Buyers likely stepping in aggressively from this level
🚀 4. Execution Plan (LTF Confirmation Entry):
✅ Wait for:
M5–M15 BOS (bullish break of structure)
FVG or mitigation entry confirmation
Maintain tight SL below OB (2–3 pips buffer)
Bonus: If price holds above 143.2 with strong M5 bullish candle close, that’s go-time for smart money longs.
🧨 5. Why This Setup is 🔥:
High probability bounce zone (OB + deep fib retrace)
Clean RR structure with solid target at buy side liquidity
Market structure shift likely as lower highs start breaking
Liquidity swept under recent lows = trap complete
This is the kind of setup that institutional algos are coded to exploit 🤖
💬 Type “USDJPY Long Sniper 🥷💴” in the comments if you’re in this setup too
🔁 Save this for trade journaling or future backtest
📊 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for smart money plays every day!
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 143.08, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 144.02, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 142.12, a swing low support.
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Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which id a pullback support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 143.29
Why we lke it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss:142.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 145.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Sunday Start Just a look into what my thoughts are to start this week.
Price points are 144.750 for a buy and 143.450 for a sell. I believe that between those two points will be a lot of consolidation and recommend waiting for an open and close above or beneath before entry.
This is just an idea based off my observations. I'll share ideas based off my indicators and economic reports Monday, Wednesday, and wrap up everything Friday. Saturday, you'll see ideas for next week.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 141.94
1st Support: 140.24
1st Resistance: 148.56
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