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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected Amid WeakUSDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected Amid Weak U.S. Dollar and Safe-Haven Yen Demand 27/11/2024 Introduction The USDJPY pair is anticipated to hold a slight bearish bias today as macroeconomic and geopolitical factors weigh on the U.S. dollar while favoring the Japanese yen. With falling U.S. Treasury yields, dovish Federal Reserve expectations, and steady demand for safe-haven assets, the yen gains a tactical advantage over the greenback. Let’s delve into the fundamental and technical factors shaping the USDJPY outlook for today. --- Key Drivers Influencing USDJPY 1. Weaker U.S. Dollar The U.S. dollar remains under pressure as markets digest weak economic data, including slowing consumer confidence and subdued retail sales. These reports reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a dovish stance on monetary policy, limiting the dollar’s upside potential. 2. Strengthening Japanese Yen The Japanese yen (JPY), often seen as a safe-haven currency, is benefiting from subdued risk sentiment in global markets. Investors seeking refuge amid lingering uncertainties in economic recovery and geopolitical tensions are turning to the yen, bolstering its value against the dollar. 3. Falling U.S. Treasury Yields Declining yields on U.S. Treasuries continue to exert downward pressure on USDJPY. The 10-year yield has dipped as markets price in lower growth prospects and anticipate potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. This reduces the appeal of the dollar in yield-sensitive pairs like USDJPY. 4. Japan’s Steady Economic Data Japan’s economy shows resilience, supported by consistent industrial output and improving labor market conditions. These factors strengthen the yen’s position against the dollar. --- Technical Analysis Moving Averages and RSI USDJPY is trading below its 50-day moving average, signaling a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral but trending toward the oversold region, suggesting potential for further downside. MACD and Key Levels The MACD indicator remains in bearish territory, highlighting sustained downward momentum. Key support is observed at 147.00, while resistance lies at 148.30. A breach below 147.00 could accelerate bearish momentum toward the next major level at 145.80. --- Conclusion USDJPY is poised for a slight bearish bias today, driven by the weakening U.S. dollar, safe-haven yen demand, and falling U.S. Treasury yields. Traders should keep an eye on upcoming economic releases from the U.S. and Japan, as well as any shifts in global risk sentiment, which could influence intraday movements. --- SEO Tags: - #USDJPYforecast - #USDJPYanalysis - #USDJPYtechnicalanalysis - #ForexTradingUSDJPY - #JapaneseYenStrength - #USDWeakness - #USDJPYtoday - #ForexMarketOutlook - #USDJPYprediction
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
Buy OpportunityUSD/JPY Bullish Signal – Potential Long Opportunity Instrument: USD/JPY Timeframe: 4H 📈 Entry: 151.95 🎯 Target: 156.55 (+3.03%) 🛑 Stop Loss: 151.05 (-0.59%) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~5.13 (High R/R) Analysis: Trend and Price Movement: USD/JPY is testing a strong support zone near 151.95. Momentum is shifting, with potential for reversal upward based on the curve displayed in the price action. Volume Profile: Dense trading activity is observed around 152.23 and 153.49, indicating possible resistance levels. Current price at a low liquidity zone signals potential for upward breakout. Indicators: The momentum histogram (Squeeze Momentum) shows declining bearish pressure, hinting at a reversal opportunity. Target and Stop Placement: The stop-loss at 151.05 accounts for a significant support level breach. The target at 156.55 aligns with a strong resistance zone and previous highs.
Long
by GODOCM
USDJPY - In a Nutshell @ Year End20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: Anything is possible this time of year. A ton of compressed data releases today, be safe! I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view. Keynote! The most important to consider always, before you leap: When you jump in the river, make sure you swim "WITH" the current.
by ANROC
Lingrid | USDJPY potential CHANNEL Breakout. ShortFX:USDJPY is indeed forming a triangle pattern, which often indicates a period of consolidation and price squeeze before a potential breakout. The lower highs suggests ongoing selling pressure, and the price remains trapped within the triangle, moving sideways just above the channel border. Given this context, it's likely that the market could break out to the downside. Price often tends to consolidate at significant levels before making a decisive move, and it seems that the current setup is no exception. If the triangle pattern continues to hold, we could expect the price to move lower to retest the downward trendline. My goal is support level at 149.200 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
6
Monthly CLS - Big swing down from weekly Breaker and OBMonthly CLS - Big swing down from weekly Breaker and OB all criteria have been met. I got a small swing position and we have now bias for the next few weeks. I will be shorting every pullback above the CLS Ranges using models 1 and 2. Expecting to make around 20% gain on my account. HTF View you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion. What is CLS? This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money in all markets. CLS operates in specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become a better trader “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Short
by Dave-Hunter
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 27, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to attract some safe haven flows amid tariff threats from US President-elect Donald Trump. In addition, the recent pullback in US Treasury yields following the appointment of Scott Bessent as US Treasury Secretary and expectations that he will rein in the budget deficit provides further support for the low-yielding JPY. This, along with weak US Dollar (USD) price action, led the USD/JPY pair to fall to a near three-week low around 152.700-152.650 during Wednesday's Asian session. Nevertheless, uncertainty surrounding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) next interest rate hike in December may deter traders from aggressively bullish bets on JPY. Meanwhile, easing geopolitical tensions amid a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah may help limit the safe-haven JPY's gains. On the other hand, the US Dollar is likely to receive support from bets on slower interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which could provide some support to the USD/JPY pair ahead of key US macroeconomic data released later today. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY | Bullish Bounce off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our buy entry at 152.41, which is a pullback support close to 78.6% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 153.25, which is a pullback resistance level. The stop loss will be placed at 151.38, which is a swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
USD/JPY 1H AnalysisThe pair is currently in a downtrend, and we’re approaching a small support zone. If this level breaks, there’s a high probability the price will move down to the next key support zone (green). ✅ What I’m watching for: A clean breakout below the small support zone, with confirmation from increased selling volume or bearish candlestick patterns. 🚨 Plan: If the breakout is confirmed, the next target is the green support zone. Stay cautious and manage your risk carefully! 👉 Follow me for more updates and trade ideas!
by rebenga93
USDJPY lowered due to the retreating dollar Increasing fatigue from strong dollar performance and reduced safe-haven demand due to easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have halted the dollar's ascent. The Fed's indication of a potential end to quantitative tightening(QT) due to worries about declining market liquidity also limited the dollar's gains. JP Morgan forecasts that the Fed might conclude the entire QT in the coming months. Meanwhile, Japan's October services inflation stood near 3%, increasing the likelihood of the BoJ's interest rate hikes. Governor Kazuo Ueda highlighted ongoing wage-led inflation, supporting the central bank's capacity to raise rates. After breaking below the ascending channel’s lower bound, USDJPY fell to 152.80. EMA21 has death-crossed EMA78, indicating a shift to bearish momentum. If USDJPY breaks below the support at 152.70, the price may fall further to 150.00. Conversely, if USDJPY reenters within the channel and rises above both EMAs, the price could gain upward momentum toward 156.70.
by inkicho_exness