USDJPY trade ideas
XAUUSD and USDJPY Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY - Bigger correction on the daily timeframeUSD/JPY's daily chart indicates we're expecting a larger correction in the near term, followed by a likely continuation of the downtrend toward the blue box target area (143.50-146.00). After reaching peaks near 162.00 in July 2024 and 158.00 in December 2024/January 2025, the pair has established a series of lower highs, creating a clear downtrend pattern. Currently trading around 148.05, the price sits at a critical juncture, with the projected path suggesting a temporary bounce (as illustrated by the zigzag line) before bearish momentum likely resumes. This outlook is supported by the consistent lower highs since mid-2024, the price's position near a historical support/resistance level, February's failed attempt to sustain prices above 150, and the overall downward momentum that has dominated since December 2024.
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This idea should be clear to everyone about this tradeSoo you just have to watch out for the main reason to trade this
This trade will sail throughWhy this trade will sail through is because the trading section that is required for this things to happen is going on now which is what is needed for a trade to happen
USDJPY SETUPThis analysis is Invalid when Price stays bullish to break Above the high 151.305.Perfect setup for some good profit..Don't struggles with a Simple profit.
POSSIBLE SELL SETUP ON USDJPYHey traders!
USDJPY is displaying a clear downtrend on the daily timeframe. Key observations:
• Broke below the 151.083 zone
• Retested the zone once
• Currently facing rejection around 146.983
Let's patiently wait for market opening and observe if we get a double top (M pattern) aligned with our trend line. If confirmed, we'll look to take a sell position.
Stay vigilant, and let's trade wisely!
USDJPY Weekly FOREX Forecast: March 10 - 14th In this video, we will analyze USDJPY and JPY Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
After a long period of weakness in the YEN, the last couple of months have shown a turnaround. By several metrics, the BOJ has the country's economy finding its footing, and looking up. This is reflecting in its currency. It a time of uncertainty, the YEN will and has been outperforming the USD, as investors look to it as the safe haven of choice. This is likely to continue in the next week or so.
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USDJPY bearish setupUJ broke the support level and now retesting it. I'm seeing this as an optimal level for a sell, SL just slightly above the resistance 148.7(you can go wider) with optimal target 142.26 also here R:R of your choice. Stronger confirmation is below 147.2 you can wait for candle to close that level before entering the trade.
Candles above the resistance would invalidate this setup
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 148.026.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 146.677 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USD/JPY TRUMP HELPS YEN RECOVER AGAINST THE DOLLAR Wave patterns to me suggest downtrend for now. Monitor accordingly
Major Sell Zone in Sight! USD/JPY at Make-or-Break Level📉 Current Market View: Neutral to Bearish
🔹 Technical Analysis
🔸 Trend: Downtrend continuation
🔸 Key Resistance: 148.40 (FVG & 0.618 Fib)
🔸 Key Support: 146.97 (Previous Low)
📊 Positive Indicators:
✅ MACD – Bullish crossover, indicating short-term momentum shift.
✅ RSI (65) – Above neutral, suggesting strong buying pressure.
✅ OBV – Increasing, reflecting higher volume supporting the move.
⚠️ Negative Indicators:
❌ Stochastic (85) – Overbought, possible retracement incoming.
❌ Bollinger Bands – Price hitting upper band, signaling exhaustion.
❌ ADX (25) – Weak trend strength, move could lack conviction.
📈 Fundamentals Driving USD/JPY
🔸 USD Tariff Impact: Recent shifts in US trade policy causing uncertainty.
🔸 German Spending Surge: A major fiscal shift could impact Euro & risk appetite.
🔸 China’s Growth Pivot: Structural changes influencing global trade flows.
🔸 Stock Market Comparison: S&P 500 underperforming vs. Chinese & European markets.
🌍 Global trade expected to rebound in 2025, with forecasts predicting a 3.3% increase, following a 2023 decline.
Looking for long opportunities on this pair after it's first breLooking for long opportunities on this pair after it's first break of structure
An Overlook of USDJPY(ELLIOTT WAVE PRINCIPLE)A Flat correction(marked in Red) is in its final stages as part of the 2nd wave(or Wave B) of a larger Flat. Upon completion, it would be marked as Red Wave C and Yellow Wave B. The next move would be to the upside and would be at least 100% of Yellow Wave A.
USDJPYFundamental analysis will always define USD/JPY's directional bias, based on recent forecasts and market dynamics:
*(As of Friday, March 7, 2025)*
1. US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report
Non-Farm Employment Change: Actual 151k Forecast 159K vs. Previous 143K
Unemployment Rate:actual 4.1% Forecast 4.0% vs. Previous 4.0%
Average Hourly Earnings (m/m):actual 0.3% Forecast 0.3% vs. Previous 0.5%
Impact:
Stronger-than-expected jobs/wage growth: Likely supports the USD by reinforcing Fed rate-cut delays, boosting USD/JPY.
Weaker data: Could weaken the USD if markets price in faster Fed easing, favoring JPY strength.
Department: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
2. US Consumer Credit (m/m)
actual 18.1B ,Forecast: $15.6B vs. Previous $40.8B
Impact: A sharp decline could signal weaker consumer spending, weighing on USD sentiment.
Department: Federal Reserve.
3. BoJ Policy Signals
Key Event: BoJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida reiterated that further rate hikes are possible if inflation sustains above 2%.
Impact: Hawkish BoJ rhetoric (next meeting: April 9) could strengthen JPY, pressuring USD/JPY downward.
4. US Tariff Policies
Risk: President Trump’s tariffs on China/Canada have raised fears of Japan being targeted next. Trade tensions could:
Boost JPY: As a safe-haven currency during geopolitical uncertainty.
Weaken JPY: If tariffs harm Japan’s export-driven economy.
5. Fed Speeches
Recent Tone: Fed Chair Powell emphasized data dependency but warned of inflation risks from tariffs.
Impact: Hawkish Fed commentary supports USD; dovish hints favor JPY.
Bullish USD/JPY Case:
Triggers: Strong NFP/wage growth + Fed delays rate cuts + BoJ delays further hikes.
Target: Retest 149.75–152.00.
Bearish USD/JPY Case:
Triggers: Weak US jobs data + BoJ rate-hike bets + Safe-haven JPY demand (tariff risks).
Departments Responsible for Data Releases
US Jobs/Inflation Data: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Fed Policy: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
BoJ Policy: Bank of Japan (Governor Ueda/Deputy Uchida).
Summary
USD/JPY’s near-term direction hinges on:
US Labor Market Strength (NFP/wages).
BoJ’s Rate-Hike Timeline (April meeting).
Trade War Escalation Risks (Trump tariffs).
Traders should monitor these catalysts for breakout opportunities.
USDJPY Short📉 Short Trade Idea: USDJPY
🔻 Short Entry: 148.90 - 149.10
🛑 Stop Loss: 149.60
🎯 Target: 147.00
1:3 Risk Reward Trade
🔎 Trade Rationale:
✅ Bearish Bias on Weekly & Daily TF – Price action aligns with higher timeframe weakness.
✅ Weak Weekly Start (NY Session Monday) – Momentum favors sellers.
✅ Trading Below Last 2 Sessions' Lows – Indicating potential continuation.
✅ Sell Signal Triggered During Pre-London Session – Aligns with session-based volatility.
📊 Trade Management: Monitor price action near 147.00 for potential early reaction, adjust SL if needed.
USDJPY Update H$ ShortRemember, successful trading relies on proper risk management and a disciplined approach. Use stop-losses to safeguard your assets and carefully plan each trade. Analysis is the key to making informed decisions. Stay updated and continue refining your strategies!
USD_JPY WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅USD_JPY made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 149.000 while trading
In a downtrend so the breakout
Is confirmed so we will be
Expecting a further bearish continuation
SHORT🔥
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USDJPY 4h time frame . Price broke trought the support 3. Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
152.14 (Major resistance and previous rejection level)
150.50 - 151.00 (Local resistance from recent price action)
Support:
146.00 - 145.50 (Key demand zone, recently tested)
143.50 - 144.00 (Next major support if price continues down)
USDJPY - Bullish divergence spotted 1 hUSDJPY 1H Analysis (March 7, 2025)
Market Structure & Price Action:
The price is currently around 147.44, after a recent downtrend.
A key resistance level is marked at 148.169, which previously acted as support.
A bullish divergence is visible between price and RSI, indicating a possible reversal or at least a short-term retracement.
Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is at 40.69, showing an upward trend while price is still declining.
This divergence could suggest weakening selling pressure and potential bullish momentum.
Volume:
Volume shows some spikes, suggesting buyers might be stepping in at this level.
Key Levels to Watch:
148.169 – If price breaks above this level, we may see further bullish movement.
147.00 – A crucial support level; a break below could lead to further downside.
Trading Bias & Strategy:
If bullish divergence plays out, buying opportunities may emerge above 147.50 with targets near 148.00-148.20.
If price fails to reclaim 148.169, further downside continuation is possible.
