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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

Japan core inflation hits two-year high, yen gains groundThe yen is higher on Friday. Iin the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.63, down 0.37% on the day. Tokyo core CPI climbed to 3.6% y/y in May, up from 3.4% in April and above the market estimate of 3.5%. This marked the highest level since Jan. 2025. Tokyo core inflation is viewed as the leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends and is closely monitored by the Bank of Japan. Tokyo core CPI, which excludes fresh food, was driven higher due to due higher non-fresh food prices, particularly rice which has soared 93% over the past year. The jump in core CPI bolsters the case for a BoJ rate hike. The markets had anticipated a rate hike in October but today's strong inflation report could accelerate the timing of the next rate hike. At the same time, the uncertainty caused by US trade policy may force the BoJ to delay any rate hikes until the impact of US tariffs on Japan's economy becomes clearer. US President Trump's controversial tariffs have sent the financial markets on wild swings. Now, US courts are weighing in on whether Trump exceeded his authority when he imposed the tariffs. A trade court panel ruled this week that most of the tariffs were illegal but on Thursday, an appeals court granted the Trump administration a temporary pause, keeping the tariffs in effect. The legal fight over the tariffs has just begun and could go all the way to the US Supreme Court. In the meantime, the legal challenge has blown a hole in Trump's tariff policy and is causing even more uncertainty in the financial markets.
by OANDA
1
USD/JPY takes fresh dip on renewed trade uncertaintyThanks to ongoing trade uncertainty and troubles in the bond market, the USD/JPY looks like is going to end the week on a negative note, after coming down sharply in the last day and a half, which means the weekly gains have more than halved. The US dollar had actually clawed back a bit of ground in early Friday trading after taking a hit the day before. The rebound came despite fresh drama around Donald Trump’s tariff policies, which—unsurprisingly—are once again stirring the pot. A federal appeals court gave the president a temporary lifeline, pausing a ruling that could have derailed much of his economic agenda. The White House team wasted no time doubling down: Trump, they insist, isn’t backing off. Tariffs are sticking around. But the mood got murkier when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent admitted that US-China trade talks are “a bit stalled.” Then came Trump’s latest post on Truth Social, where he accused China of “totally violating” the trade deal with the US. Markets didn’t take it well. US indices dipped, USD/JPY slid, and even the euro managed to push the dollar back a touch. As well as well as trade uncertainty eyes will turn to incoming US data next week, among them the monthly jobs report on Friday. The US jobs report is always important as it could impact the Fed’s future policy decisions. Traders will want to see whether the trade war uncertainty is negatively impacting the jobs market too, after several macro data, including consumption data in GDP report and consumer sentiment surveys, have come out weaker in recent weeks. JOLTS jobs data and ISM PMIs are also due out earlier in the week. The US dollar has been under pressure in the last three months or so, with the euro performing admirably during this time despite US tariffs. With the US recently losing its final top-tier credit rating at the hands of Moody’s a couple of weeks ago, investors are worried that debt concerns and government spending will push yields even higher and thus they are shorting Treasuries and the dollar, buying foreign currencies, including the euro. This makes the EUR/USD outlook remain fairly resilient around the 1.12-1.15 range. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
USDJPY: Weekly overviewHello Traders, US news could move this pair dramatically. I've made the white zone no trade because of strong additional zone around 148.225 for the bullish side and a sharp move needed to reach the zone. The zone around 142.892 is more suitable for short trades, regarding the trend and distance from median of the channel. This zone is only suitable for long if the break be strong enough to overpass the median of the channel. The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Short
by AliSignals
Yen Strengthens Beyond 144 on InflationThe Japanese yen rose past 144 per dollar, extending gains after Tokyo’s core inflation beat expectations, increasing the likelihood of a 25 bps BOJ rate hike in July. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said recent forecast adjustments were due to global risks and lower oil prices but reaffirmed the short-term policy stance remains focused on the 2% inflation goal. The yen also gained from safe-haven flows after a U.S. court reinstated Trump’s reciprocal tariffs. Resistance is at 144.50, with further resistance at 145.40 and 146.10. Support levels stand at 143.50, 143.00, and 142.10.
by ChartMage
JPYUSD Technical Analysis | (MMC) in Play + Target🟦 1. Structure & Price Action Overview The chart is of JPY/USD on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a clear picture of price movement over several weeks. We see three major market phases: Range/Resistance Phase (Left side of chart) Uptrend Phase (Middle – rising channel) Reversal Setup (Right side – potential bearish move forming) 📈 2. Uptrend Channel (Accumulation to Expansion Phase) From around May 13th, price started forming higher highs and higher lows, respecting a bullish channel (light blue shaded area). This is a classic ascending channel, often seen during a controlled uptrend where buyers are still in control but momentum is slowing. The channel took price directly into the resistance zone (marked in purple at the top). 🚫 3. Resistance Zone Rejection (Key Supply Zone) Once price hit the resistance zone (~0.00705), it failed to break higher. This level had previously caused sharp drops, so it's a well-established supply zone. Price was rejected and dropped sharply, breaking out of the ascending channel – a strong bearish signal. 🔄 4. Mirror Market Concept (MMC) – Curve Bending Pattern After the initial drop, price attempted a bounce, but couldn't even reach previous highs. The curved arrow labeled "Curve Bending" shows how the market is “bending” its momentum – not pushing upward anymore but turning into a reversal. This forms the mirror of the previous rise – indicating the market is ready to “mirror” that previous bullish leg, but to the downside. 🔄 5. SR Interchange (Support Flipped Resistance) The previous demand zone (around 0.006950–0.007000), where buyers pushed price higher during the uptrend, is now acting as resistance. This is called an SR Flip (Support becomes Resistance) – a very reliable technical sign of trend reversal. 🎯 6. Bearish Target Projection Based on MMC and symmetry of past movements, the chart is projecting a strong drop toward the 0.006800 support zone. This zone is also historically significant and acted as a demand area earlier. The black arrow and target box show this expected move, which aligns with the mirror structure. 🧩 Conclusion & Trade Plan Bias: Strong Bearish Confirmation : Channel break + rejection at resistance + curve bending Trigger: Price fails to reclaim 0.00700 and breaks below 0.006930 Target: 0.006800 Invalidation : Clean break & hold above 0.007050 🛡️ Pro Tips: Don’t just jump in — wait for bearish confirmation (like a bearish engulfing candle, or a failed retest). Always set your SL (Stop Loss) above the resistance zone (~0.007050). Let the setup come to you — don’t force trades.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Was This Week's Move in USD/JPY Just a Correction?This week’s bounce in USD/JPY may have caught some traders off guard—but when viewed through the lens of the Elliott Wave Principle, the price action appears to be corrective rather than impulsive. 🧩 The Evidence: A 3-Wave Move According to the wave structure: The recent move up unfolded in 3 waves, labeled as an ABC correction. Wave C terminated near the 100% Fibonacci extension of Wave A (~146.189), which is a classic ZigZag ratio. Additionally, there was a clear MACD divergence between price and momentum as Wave C completed—a common sign that the move is running out of steam and that the wave is likely terminal. These clues all point to the idea that the rally was corrective, not the start of a new impulsive trend. 📉 What Comes Next? If this count is correct: USD/JPY may have completed Wave (ii) of a new downward impulse. The next move could be the start of Wave (iii)—typically the most aggressive and directional wave in a 5-wave decline. ✅ Trigger Level: A break below the B wave low would act as a technical confirmation of the downtrend resuming. This would be a green light to look for short setups, depending on the strategy each trader follows—whether that’s pattern-based, indicator-confirmed, or structure-driven. 🔁 Alternate Scenario: If this isn't the start of Wave (iii), the alternate count would suggest a more complex corrective combination (such as a double three). However, even in that scenario, the short-term direction is still likely downward. 🧠 For Beginners: Elliott Wave theory breaks price into 5-wave trends and 3-wave corrections. A ZigZag correction (ABC) is made up of a sharp Wave A, a pullback in Wave B, and a final move up in Wave C. Wave C often shows momentum divergence (MACD diverging from price), signaling that the move may be exhausting. When C = A, especially with divergence, it’s often a sign the correction is ending. 📌 Summary: USD/JPY’s rally appears to be a corrective ABC structure. Wave C rejected at the 100% extension of A, with MACD divergence confirming weakening momentum. A break of the B wave low could confirm that Wave (iii) down is underway. Even in the alternate count, near-term downside is still favored. 💬 Got a Favorite Chart You’d Like Analyzed? If there’s a forex pair, crypto, or stock you’d like me to break down using Elliott Waves, leave a comment below and I’ll feature it in an upcoming post from Real Wave Trader.
Short
by RealWaveTrader-
USDJPY – Supportive news, price may break resistance soonUSDJPY is supported by positive U.S. economic data, as the PCE index remains elevated—reinforcing expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer. This has boosted bond yields and the USD, driving USDJPY upward. On the H3 technical chart, USDJPY has rebounded from the support zone around 143.680. Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 lie below the price, reinforcing the recovery momentum. The pair is now expected to approach the 146.000 resistance area—where it intersects with the long-term descending trendline that has rejected price at least twice before. If buying pressure holds and 146.000 is decisively broken, a short-term bullish trend will likely be confirmed. However, another rejection could lead to a retest of the previous support zone. Overall, the current trend slightly favors the buyers.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 30, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted strong follow-through buying for the second consecutive day on Friday and continued to recover from a two-week low reached the previous day against the US dollar. Global risk sentiment deteriorated after a federal appeals court on Thursday suspended a recent ruling blocking US President Donald Trump's radical tariffs. This is evident from the general weakening of sentiment in the stock markets and is contributing to a recovery in demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including the JPY. Meanwhile, optimistic macroeconomic data from Japan released today, including strong consumer inflation figures in Tokyo, confirm the need for further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (JPY) and provide additional support for the JPY. On the other hand, the US dollar (USD) is consolidating after a sharp reversal yesterday amid concerns about the deterioration of the US financial situation and bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its easing policy. This further contributes to the continued decline of the USD/JPY pair. Trading recommendation: SELL 143.800, SL 144.200, TP 142.900
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 143.25 1st Support: 141.80 1st Resistance: 145.97 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 143.27, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 144.85, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss is placed at 142.12, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USDJPY Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052925Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 144.4/61.80% Chart time frame:D A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
by fibonacci6180
USD/JPY Reverses from ResistanceUSD/JPY is poised to snap a three-day winning streak with price reversing today at the 61.8% retracement of the monthly range. A decline of more than 1.5% from the highs puts the immediate focus on the monthly range lows with a break needed to mark resumption of the broader downtrend. Monthly open support rests at 143.06 and is backed by the May opening-range lows (ORL) at 142.35. A break below this threshold exposes the yearly low day close (LDC) at 141.56 and key support at the December lows / 61.8% retracement of the 2023 advance at 140.25/49- look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Initial resistance stands at 146.15 and is backed by the 78.6% retracement at 147.25. A topside breach / close above the upper parallel (blue) is needed to invalidate the yearly downtrend with subsequent objectives eyed at 148.39/65 and the 200-day moving average / March high-day close (HDC) around 149.46/50. Bottom line: USD/JPY exhausted into technical resistance this month with today’s reversal threatening resumption of the broader downtrend. From a trading standpoint, rallies should be limited to 147.25 IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a close below the monthly range needed to fuel the next leg of the decline. -MB
by FOREXcom
USDJPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.This chart shows a technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) on a 1-hour timeframe, published on May 27, 2025. Here's the breakdown: Current Price: 143.975, with a notable upward movement (+0.79%). Descending Wedge Pattern: The red trendlines show a falling wedge—a bullish reversal pattern. Breakout: Price has broken above the wedge and is now rallying. Support Zone: Highlighted rectangle (around 142.000–143.000), acting as a demand zone where price consolidated before breaking out. Bullish Setup: Entry Trigger: Breakout from the wedge + strong bullish candles. Target: 145.119, marked with a target icon, just above the recent highs. Projected Path: Zigzag upward trajectory drawn with green arrows suggests expected bullish continuation. Summary: This chart supports a long position idea based on a wedge breakout and strong momentum. The trader anticipates the price to rise toward 145.119. Risk management (SL level) isn’t explicitly marked but would typically sit below the support zone (~142.000). Would you like help setting up trade parameters (entry, SL, TP) or automating alerts for a setup like this?
Long
by XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team