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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY SHORT📉 TRADE IDEA – SHORT USD/JPY 🗓️ May 14, 2025 🔻 Position: Short 📍 Entry: 148.164 🎯 Target: 145.414 🛑 Stop Loss: [Set based on your risk — e.g., 148.189 Reasoning: Rejection from resistance zone above 148 Bearish structure forming on the 4H and daily charts Possible shift in sentiment around JPY with BoJ pressure mounting USD weakening as Fed rate expectations tilt dovish 📉 Targeting a drop toward key support at 145.414 — a clean level on the daily chart. This is a short- to medium-term swing trade based on technicals + macro shifts. Risk managed, watching upcoming Fed & BoJ commentary closely. 📊 Let the trade play out.
Short
by Ttzoncepts
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance identified as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 145.78 1st Support: 144.62 1st Resistance: 148.21 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 14, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY: The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to strengthen against its US counterpart for the second consecutive day on Wednesday and reacted weakly to the Producer Price Index (PPI), which was largely unchanged. Aggressive comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Shin'ichi Uchida on Tuesday keep the door open for further policy normalisation and continue to serve as a tailwind for the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, continues to be threatened by weaker US consumer inflation data released on Tuesday, which raised the odds that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at least twice this year. This is seen as another factor putting downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. Meanwhile, optimism about a 90-day tariff truce between the US and China continues to keep the market upbeat. This may deter traders from aggressively bullish bets on the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, the diverging policy expectations between the BoJ and the Fed indicate that the path of least resistance for the low-yielding Yen lies to the upside and support the prospects of further downside for the USD/JPY pair. In the absence of any market-relevant economic data from the US, traders will focus on speeches from influential FOMC members. In addition, broader risk sentiment may give the currency pair some momentum. Trading recommendation: SELL 147.10, SL 147.30, TP 146.10
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY(20250514)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. unadjusted CPI annual rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.3% in April, the lowest since February 2021. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 147.76 Support and resistance levels: 148.83 148.43 148.17 147.34 147.08 146.68 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 147.76, consider buying, the first target price is 148.17 If the price breaks through 147.34, consider selling, the first target price is 147.08
Short
by Toml1314
1
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 148.25 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 150.24 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 145.91 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! lease be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical Analysis USD/JPY suggests a bullish outlook based on the following key technical components: 1. Buying Zone: The chart identifies a green rectangular area labeled "BUYING ZONE" just above the 200 EMA (blue line at 144.079). This implies that price retracement into this zone could be an opportunity to go long (buy). 2. Support & Resistance: Support Level: Clearly marked around 143.00, showing a previous demand area. Resistance Level: Around the 145.800–146.000 region, price previously rejected here. 3. Bullish Pattern: The curved arrow suggests the formation of a bullish continuation pattern (possibly a cup & handle or flag), with the expectation of a breakout toward the upside. 4. Target Point: The target is projected at 148.153, implying a potential move of approximately 291.7 pips from the buying zone—suggesting a favorable risk-reward ratio. 5. RSI Indicator: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently around 55, not in the overbought zone, indicating more room for upside movement. Mr SMC Trading point Summary of Idea: Strategy: Buy near 145.00–145.20 (Buying Zone). Stop Loss: Just below the 200 EMA or the lower bound of the green zone. Take Profit: Near the 148.153 target. Confirmation: Wait for bullish confirmation/candlestick reversal in the buying zone. Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
8
USD/JPY – Selling into RalliesPrice has over‑extended into multi‑month supply at 148.00 just as 4‑h momentum diverges. A softer CPI print or fresh MoF jaw‑boning could trigger a quick flush back toward 146.20/145.00. Price has stretched >3‑σ above 20‑DMA and is stalling just under the 2014 trend‑line extension. 61.8 % Mar‑Apr retrace (146.85) already satisfied; momentum divergence on 4‑h RSI & Fed‑CPI risk favor mean‑reversion. Any softer US CPI print or verbal jawboning from Japanese authorities could accelerate a squeeze lower.
Short
by TerraBullMarkets
Long-term Analysis of USD/JPYIn this analysis, I used higher timeframes—specifically, the weekly timeframe to identify a box and a touch of the box's bottom on the daily and 4H charts. I also found other valuable details such as trendlines, order blocks, and FVGs. I hope the chart I shared helps you understand what I’ve marked. But let's put that aside for a moment. Today I wanted to talk about something different. For a while now, I’ve been in the process of immigrating to Germany. I haven’t had much time to trade lately, and all my capital has gone into this move. You might not believe this, but during the past two days, when we made about 10% profit in Forex (which I posted for you), I didn’t take any positions myself because I didn’t have the capital to trade. Still, I put a lot of effort and precision into the analysis—because I consider this capital as if it were my own. I truly didn’t want you to risk even a cent. I’ll continue sharing my analysis, but I have two small requests from you: Please always check and verify the analysis yourself before taking a position. You’re never obligated to follow or read/listen to my ideas. Lastly, if you happen to know any banks or platforms in Germany (or anywhere else) where I can trade or work and earn an income after moving, I’d be grateful if you could let me know. Just remember: the first request is mandatory—you must do your own analysis. Much love to you all. Have a great day (or night), and may you always be wealthy and successful.@soroushyyyy telgram
Long
by soroushshahabi639
USDJPY Trade Plan: Long from Imbalance Zone on Bullish BOSUSDJPY Trade Idea & Analysis Chart Context: The 1H USDJPY chart shows a strong bullish impulse, followed by a consolidation and a potential retracement into a clear imbalance zone (highlighted between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, around 146.76–146.32). The market structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows. Market Fundamentals & Sentiment (as of May 2025): USD Strength: The US dollar remains supported by persistent inflation and the Fed’s hawkish stance, with markets pricing in the possibility of further rate hikes or a prolonged period of higher rates. JPY Weakness: The Bank of Japan continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, with no immediate signs of tightening. This divergence keeps upward pressure on USDJPY. Risk Sentiment: Global risk appetite is stable, favoring carry trades and supporting USDJPY upside. Trade Plan: Look for a retrace into the imbalance zone (146.76–146.32). Enter long on a confirmed bullish break of structure (BOS) on lower timeframes. Target the recent swing highs (148.65 and above), with a stop loss below the retracement low. Not financial advice.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
USDJPY SHORTFollowing last week’s sustained bullish rally, price has just completed an M formation right above a 4H order block. The second leg of the M coincided with a bearish pin bar on the 1H and a clean bearish engulfing — textbook signs of distribution. Price Action Insight: Instead of breaking down immediately, price is returning back toward a minor OB near the second leg — a common smart money trap designed to fake a bullish continuation, trap late buyers, and then engineer liquidity before the real move down begins. Key Bias: I am short-biased. Structure has flipped. Liquidity above the M is cleared, and now the market might be looking to deliver into downside inefficiencies. News, in my opinion, will likely act as the catalyst — not the cause — for the next impulse. What I’m Watching: OB retest near 4H M-top Rejection wick or lower timeframe confirmation on retest (15m–1H) Reaction around 1:30 PM news (USD CPI or relevant event) Trade Management Tip: If you’re already in this trade like I am — manage it smartly. Never enter solely based on someone else's idea. Make sure your bias aligns with your own technicals, confirmations, and risk. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just how I see the chart based on structure, liquidity, and price action. Trade your own plan. Stay sharp.
Short
by The-ultimate-trader
A Short USDJPY Buy🌞 Good Morning, Traders! 🌞 It’s a beautiful, great morning — let’s get ready to learn and earn! 💪📊 Here’s something I want you to understand today: 📈 Price always moves from one zone to another. When it reaches a zone, it often pauses (rests) before continuing its movement — depending on whether buyers or sellers are in control at that moment. 🧠 Here’s a key insight: Most times, buyers are positioned around the middle of the 4H candle. That’s exactly why we're taking this BUY trade — the price is resting and showing signs of buyer strength from that level. So keep your eyes sharp and your mind focused. 👀 Understanding why we take trades is what separates smart traders from lucky ones. Let’s stay patient, stay consistent, and grow together. 🚀
Long
by AplusFX_FXPreacher
2
USD/JPY Bullish Setup – Demand Zone Buy Opportunity Toward 151.5🔍 Chart Overview (4H Timeframe): Currency Pair: USD/JPY Trend: 📈 Uptrend EMA 70: 🔴 (144.776) – Price is trading above it = Bullish Bias --- 🟦 Demand Zone 📌 Zone: 144.804 – 146.324 💡 What it means: Strong buying interest expected here 🟢 Support line + EMA = Confluence zone! --- ✅ Entry Point: 📍 Between: 146.324 – 146.423 🎯 Best area for long (buy) position 📊 Wait for a pullback to this area before entering --- ❌ Stop Loss: 📉 Below demand zone 🔻 Range: 144.705 – 144.776 🛡️ Helps protect against unexpected drop --- 🎯 Target Point: 📈 151.500 🟩 Big reward area 🔥 Previous resistance zone = Ideal profit-taking point --- 🧭 Summary: ✅ Entry: 146.324 ❌ Stop: 144.776 🎯 Target: 151.500 Risk-to-Reward: Excellent!
Long
by Jameshead007
8
USD/JPY 4H Analysis: Demand Zone Re-Test Before Bullish Continua1. Trend Channel 🔼 Uptrend: The pair is moving inside an ascending channel. ▪️ Support: Lower boundary of the channel. ▪️ Resistance: Upper boundary of the channel. 2. Recent Price Action 🔴 Pullback: After reaching the top at 146.199, price is retracing. 📉 Price is now heading toward the Demand Zone. 3. Demand Zone 🟦 Demand Zone (142.405 – 143.180): This zone could act as a strong support Buyers might step in here Watch for bullish patterns or rejections around this area 4. EMA 70 📏 EMA 70 (143.568) is slightly below current price (143.949) — this may offer temporary support/resistance. 5. Target 🎯 Target Point: 146.194 If price bounces from demand zone, this is the next bullish target. Possible Scenario 1. 🔽 Price dips into the Demand Zone 2. 🟢 Bullish bounce → Confirm with candlestick signals 3. 🚀 Upside move targeting 146.194
Long
by Jameshead007
10