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USDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected Amid Yen USDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected Amid Yen Strength and U.S. Dollar Weakness 25/11/2024 Introduction USDJPY is anticipated to exhibit a slight bearish bias today, influenced by the Japanese yen's safe-haven appeal, falling U.S. Treasury yields, and ongoing weakness in the U.S. dollar. With risk sentiment stabilizing globally and dovish Federal Reserve expectations weighing on the greenback, this pair's downside bias becomes increasingly apparent. In this analysis, we explore the fundamental and technical drivers shaping USDJPY’s market outlook. --- Key Drivers Influencing USDJPY 1. Japanese Yen’s Safe-Haven Strength The Japanese yen (JPY) remains supported by its safe-haven status, attracting investors amid persistent uncertainties in global economic growth. Despite a mild improvement in risk sentiment, the yen continues to benefit from its status as a reliable hedge, especially as market participants reduce exposure to riskier assets. 2. Weakening U.S. Dollar The U.S. dollar (USD) is under pressure as expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes diminish. Recent U.S. economic data, including subdued inflation figures and slower retail sales growth, have reinforced the view that the Fed will maintain a dovish policy stance. This reduces the dollar's appeal against the yen. 3. Falling U.S. Treasury Yields U.S. Treasury yields have declined in recent sessions as markets adjust to expectations of stable interest rates. Lower yields reduce the attractiveness of the USD, further supporting the bearish bias for USDJPY. 4. Geopolitical and Global Risk Sentiment While geopolitical tensions have eased somewhat, the Japanese yen remains favored due to its consistent historical performance during periods of economic uncertainty. Stabilization in global markets hasn’t eroded the yen’s demand, particularly against the weaker dollar. --- Technical Analysis Moving Averages and RSI USDJPY is trading below its 50-day moving average, a key signal of bearish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending lower but has yet to reach oversold levels, suggesting room for additional downside moves. MACD and Key Levels The MACD indicator shows a bearish crossover, signaling downward momentum. Key support is at 147.00, while immediate resistance lies at 149.00. A sustained break below the 147.00 level could open the door for further declines. --- Conclusion Given the yen’s safe-haven appeal, ongoing dollar weakness, and declining U.S. Treasury yields, USDJPY is poised for a slight bearish bias today. Traders should monitor upcoming U.S. economic releases and global risk developments for potential volatility triggers. --- SEO Tags: - #USDJPYforecast - #USDJPYanalysis - #USDJPYtechnicalanalysis - #ForexTradingUSDJPY - #JapaneseYenStrength - #USDWeakness - #USDJPYtoday - #ForexMarketOutlook - #USDJPYprediction
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
Is Now The Time To Call The Top?With a new higher high formed on the Dollar, which mitigated a monthly Order Block and weekly Fair Value Gap, is now the time to be asking whether the top is in and a major reversal is pending? Personally, I say yes, but price action still needs to confirm this as we can always continue trading higher. On the daily we have minor and major swing points from which IRL can be mitigated before a continuation higher and for the time being I'll be monitoring the various points as per the analysis for signs of a continuation higher or The subjectivity in my analysis stems from the fact that pairs are no longer trading in unison across the board with EU still tumbling lower with the Dollar while AU has begun shifting higher. UJ is not clear as it's exhibiting signs if going both higher and lower so monitoring further development will be key. My bias for the WEEK is as follows: DXY - LONG EURUSD - SHORT AUDUSD - LONG GBPJPY - SHORT USDJPY - LONG
Long
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 151.62 1st Support: 149.23 1st Resistance: 157.75 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Yen Collapse Back on the MenuThe Yen benefited from the US rate cuts after the Bank of Japan was forced to intervene to prevent further collapse. They succeeded for now, just like in 2022 and other times before. However, recently US treasury yields have started to spike again, sending DXY higher and the Yen lower. TNX going to 5% seems inevitable, which wouldn't be good, but it will be a lot worse once it spikes up to 7-8% and potentially higher. Their can kicking campaign will soon come to an end. This has been decades in the making and this cycle is nearing the end, the Yen will eventually collapse and the BoJ can't do anything about it. They will most likely intervene again if we go back to 160 and they may succeed temporarily, but eventually judgement day will come. As for the chart, we have an ascending wedge that was broken to the downside, but has since reclaimed and will most likely go back to 160 in the near future. If it breaks that high from earlier in the year and moves above the upper trendline, that's when it gets scary.
Long
by AdvancedPlays
Usdjpy long I believe USD/JPY will reach 160.200 before the end of the year due to the Bank of Japan's continued dovish stance, which keeps the yen weak, combined with the Federal Reserve's commitment to maintaining higher interest rates, strengthening the dollar. Additionally, geopolitical uncertainties and strong U.S. economic performance further support USD strength, while Japan's low inflation and minimal rate adjustments limit any potential yen recovery, creating ideal conditions for USD/JPY to climb higher.
Long
by OliverFRX
USDJPY - Respecting the Bullish Trend?20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: (Short Term) Fair value remains @ 154.550 currently Very strong demand @ 154.200 If the bullish trend is respected persistently, TARGET = At least 159.00 *** Always a possibility of a liquidity dip below 154.00 first, who knows. I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view. Keynote! The most important to consider always, before you leap: When you jump in the river, make sure you swim "WITH" the current.
Long
by ANROC
USDJPY analysis week 48Fundamental Analysis The Japanese Yen (JPY) attracted fresh sellers after rising intraday on stronger domestic consumer inflation data amid expectations that rising political uncertainty could delay the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) interest rate hike plans. Moreover, rising US Treasury yields, supported by expectations that US President Donald Trump’s policies could spur inflation and force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut rates slowly, are said to be weighing on the lower-yielding JPY. In addition, the prevailing risk-on environment is seen as another factor dampening demand for the safe-haven JPY. This, coupled with continued buying interest in the US Dollar (USD), contributed to the USD/JPY pair’s nice intraday recovery of over 80 pips from levels below 154.00. However, concerns that Japanese authorities may intervene in the forex market to support the local currency may deter JPY short sellers from placing strong bets and limit the pair. Technical Analysis Looking at the chart USDJPY is in an ascending channel with the price range of 155.800 and 154.000. The 157.600 zone is considered the strongest resistance zone for the week after the price breaks the 155.800 zone. On the other hand, if the ascending channel is broken, there will be a reaction around the support zone of 153.400 and the slide may extend to 151.300. Trading Signals BUY USDJPY zone 154.200-154.000 Stoploss 153.800 SELL USDJPY zone 155.800-156.000 Stoploss 156.200
by TVS-Trader