Market next move
📊 Current Analysis Summary:
Pair: USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe.
Bias: Bullish breakout above a minor consolidation (highlighted box).
Target: Set higher, implying continuation of upward momentum.
Arrows: Show bullish path with a minor pullback, then a breakout continuation.
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❌ Disruptive Breakdown:
🔴 1. Fake Breakout Risk
Price is testing the upper bound of the consolidation box. If this breakout fails to hold, it could trap late buyers. A rejection back inside the box might trigger a bearish reversal—a textbook bull trap scenario.
🔴 2. Volume Divergence
Despite the green breakout candle, the volume spike is not aggressive enough. If volume fails to increase further, it may suggest exhaustion, not momentum. This divergence undermines the breakout’s credibility.
🔴 3. Fundamental Uncertainty
Several U.S.-related economic icons (e.g., high-impact news) are visible. A hawkish BoJ or weaker-than-expected U.S. data could sharply reverse USD strength, causing a retracement or dump back below 145.000.
🔴 4. Overextended Short-Term Move
The steep rise could signal near-term exhaustion. RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) likely suggest overbought conditions, increasing the probability of a cool-off retracement.
🔴 5. Liquidity Grab & Drop Setup
Price might poke just above the box (to trigger stop losses and attract breakout traders), then reverse aggressively downward—a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt move before the real direction emerges.
USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY Breakout - Bullish reversal setup in progress...The price has once again respected the 142.100–142.500 support zone, showing strong buying pressure and a potential trend reversal.
🔍 Market Structure Update:
Break of descending trendline ✔
Higher lows forming ✔
Bullish breakout above 144.500 in progress ✔
🔷Two Bullish Scenarios:
🔹Aggressive Continuation: Break and retest above 144.500 could lead to a sharp push toward the 150.700 resistance zone.
🔹Conservative Entry: A potential retest back into the support zone before the next impulsive leg up.
Support Zone: 142.000–142.500
Target Zone: 150.700
Key Level to Break: 144.500
🚨 Watch for confirmation before entering.
Always manage your risk and never trade without a plan!
📊 Let me know your bias in the comments – Bullish or Bearish?
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USDJPY: Neutral View! One of The Hardest Forex Pair To TradeUSDJPY has not yet shown a clear move, ranging between 141 and 144. We are currently neutral as the price could go in either direction. Trade cautiously and manage risk according to your trade plan.
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USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟
💰 Ready to raid the USD/JPY "The Gopher" vault? 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental heist analysis), here’s the master plan to swipe bullish profits before the market turns against us! Escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—overbought, consolidation, and bear traps ahead! 💸 "Take the money and run—you’ve earned it!" 🏆🚀
🕵️♂️ Heist Strategy:
📈 Entry (Bullish Raid):
The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE!
Pullback lovers: Set buy limits at recent/swing lows for extra loot.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis).
Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders.
🎯 Target (Profit Escape):
148.700 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!)
⚔️ Scalpers’ Quick Strike:
LONG ONLY! If rich, attack now. If not, join swing traders & rob slowly.
Trailing SL = Your bodyguard! 💰🔒
💥 Why This Heist?
USD/JPY "The Ninja" is bullish due to key factors—check:
📌 Fundamental + Macro + COT Report
📌 Quantitative + Sentiment + Intermarket Analysis
📌 Future Targets & Overall Score (Linkks In the profile!) 🔗🌍
🚨 Trading Alert (News = Danger!):
Avoid new trades during news—volatility kills!
Trailing SL saves profits on running positions.
💖 Support the Heist Team!
💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥
Help us steal more money daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀
Stay tuned—another heist is coming soon! 🤑🎯
USDJPY INTRADAY bearish below 145.60The USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
JPY/USD Deep Analysis Using MMC – Curve Zone + Volume Burst Zone📌 Overview:
Today’s chart setup on JPY/USD demonstrates a classic Mirror Market Concept scenario, where price mimics past structure and behavior to create high-probability trade setups. We are looking at a textbook reversal with a rounded bottom forming right above a key Support Zone—signaling a strong potential move upward.
This is not just a basic support bounce. It’s a multi-layered confluence where structure, volume, and price action come together to build a strong bullish narrative.
🌀 Phase 1: The Curve Zone Support (Accumulation)
The Curve Zone Support (marked clearly on the chart) sits right above 0.006890–0.006910.
Price touched this zone multiple times without breaking it, forming higher lows—a typical sign of accumulation.
This pattern resembles a “rounded bottom” or cup shape, indicating that sellers are getting exhausted and buyers are slowly stepping in.
💡 Market Psychology: This is where smart money begins to accumulate positions, absorbing panic sellers while price coils up.
🧱 Phase 2: SR Interchange + Central Zone Reaction
Notice the SR Interchange Zone around 0.006950. Previously it acted as a resistance, but price broke above and now respects it as support.
This is a textbook SR flip, confirming that this level holds weight.
The Central Zone, formed earlier, is where a battle between bulls and bears took place. Now price is creeping back toward it.
🧠 Mirror Market Concept Insight: Market tends to repeat structure. The earlier bullish rally from the same base level is a mirrored version of what’s forming now. That’s why this concept gives us confidence in projecting future price moves.
🔊 Phase 3: Volume Burst Area – The Target Zone
We’ve marked a Volume Burst Area around 0.007040. This is where heavy buying occurred before a sharp decline.
According to MMC, these areas often act like magnets—price gravitates back toward them once demand builds up below.
If price clears the midpoint (50% retracement) around 0.006960, it opens the door for a bullish breakout toward the volume cluster.
🎯 Trade Plan Based on This Setup:
Component Details
Entry Zone 0.006920 – 0.006930 (buy zone)
Stop Loss Below 0.006890
First Target 0.006980 (mid-level reaction)
Final Target 0.007000 – 0.007040 (Volume Zone)
🧬 MMC Confluences That Make This Setup Powerful:
✅ Curve Zone Support – Foundational base for entry.
✅ SR Flip (Interchange) – Old resistance turned support.
✅ Volume Burst Area – Target based on prior aggressive moves.
✅ Structure Break – Bullish structure shift as price forms higher lows.
✅ Psychology – Accumulation turning into expansion.
🏁 Final Thoughts:
This chart is a great example of how Mirror Market Concepts can unlock the hidden patterns of the market. It’s not just technicals, it’s also about understanding how traders think and how price reflects those emotions.
When you combine curve structures, SR interchanges, and volume dynamics, you’re not guessing—you’re anticipating. If price respects this structure, this could be a clean move toward 0.007000+, offering a great risk-to-reward ratio.
USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst?USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst?
💬 After several sessions of sideways movement, USDJPY is showing signs of a potential breakout, supported by both technical signals and macro fundamentals. As the FOMC meeting approaches, the market is poised for a major shift — making this the perfect time to prepare actionable trade plans.
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Primary Trend: Short-term bullish retracement within a broader downtrend – currently testing the 200 EMA on H2.
EMAs in use: EMA13 (black), EMA34 (orange), EMA89 (red) – effective dynamic support/resistance indicators.
Key Resistance Levels:
145.35: Major confluence zone with 0.618 Fibonacci and trendline resistance.
146.11 – 147.20: Previous highs and Fibonacci extension targets.
Key Support Zones:
144.61: EMA200 acting as immediate pressure point.
143.43 – 143.02: Crucial demand zone with strong reaction expected on pullback.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS
FOMC Outlook: With recent CPI data softening and labor numbers moderating, markets anticipate a hold on rates. However, any hawkish tone from Chair Powell could trigger a sharp bullish move on USDJPY.
BOJ’s Dovish Stance: The Bank of Japan remains accommodative, showing no clear intent to hike rates. This weakens the Yen and supports mid-term upward momentum for USDJPY.
Interest Rate Differentials & Carry Trade Flows continue to drive volatility and directional bias in this pair.
🎯 TRADE SETUP SUGGESTION
If price breaks and sustains above 144.61 (EMA200): look to BUY on pullback toward 144.15–144.20, targeting 145.35 and 146.11.
If price gets rejected at 145.35: consider a short-term SELL toward 144.00 – 143.43 for a corrective leg.
⚠️ STRATEGY NOTE:
Avoid entering right at the time of the FOMC release. Wait for post-event confirmation. Prioritize strong breakouts or rejections, and manage risk carefully under volatile conditions.
USD/JPY Falls to Near 144.20 Amid Dollar Weakness
The USD/JPY currency pair has reversed its early gains and is trading near 144.20 during Wednesday’s European session. This pullback comes as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to maintain the momentum of Tuesday's recovery.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies, has retreated from its intraday high of 99.85 and is stabilizing around 99.50, signaling a lack of bullish follow-through.
Key Drivers:
Weaker USD sentiment is weighing on the pair, likely influenced by a shift in US Treasury yields or expectations regarding future Fed rate moves.
A stronger Japanese Yen could also be at play, potentially supported by safe-haven demand or policy signals from the Bank of Japan.
Technical Perspective:
If USD/JPY continues to decline, the next support level might be found near 144.00, followed by 143.50.
On the upside, resistance is seen near 145.00, a psychological and technical barrier.
USD/JPY Bulls Awakening from Demand Zone | 4H Smart Money AnalysUSD/JPY just bounced cleanly from a well-defined demand zone (140.550 - 144.206). This area aligns perfectly with volume accumulation and prior rejection zones, hinting at smart money activity.
🔰 Bullish Structure Confirmation:
Double bottom formation at demand
Bullish engulfing candle closing above minor resistance
Price reacting to macro support & strong U.S. news expected 🇺🇸
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📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Demand Zone: 140.550 – 144.206
🔹 First Target Resistance: 148.419
🔹 Main Supply Zone: 155.589
📈 Short-Term Bias: Bullish
📉 Invalidation Zone: Break below 140.550
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🔍 What’s Fueling This Setup?
Price entering fresh demand + volume spike
Potential DXY strength pushing USD up
Buyers clearly stepping in after a long corrective wave
June data catalysts ahead (NFP, FOMC – shown with calendar icons)
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🎯 Trading Plan:
✅ Buy entry: On 4H retest around 143.900–144.100
🎯 TP1: 148.419
🎯 TP2: 155.589
❌ SL: Below 140.400 (outside demand box)
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🧠 Pro Tip:
Don’t chase price – wait for a clear retest or confirmation. Let the market come to you. Also, combine this setup with DXY analysis for stronger confluence.
💬 Are you riding this bullish wave or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your chart views or trade ideas 👇
🔔 Follow for more setups on USD majors and smart money analysis.
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USD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 144.107
Target Level: 141.877
Stop Loss: 145.579
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/JPY Poised for Upside: Momentum Building Toward Key TargetsBy examining the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 144. Given the momentum, I expect this pair to rise soon. The potential bullish targets are 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDCHF H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 143.02, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 145.03, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 142.09, a swing low support
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Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 144.85
1st Support: 142.56
1st Resistance: 145.85
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USD/JPY POSSIBLE BEARISH CONTINUATIONThe dollar for two weeks now has shown signs of weakness against the Japanese Yen, we saw some bullish momentum in price today to test last week's level of support now turned resistance. With the current bearish order flow, we are likely to see price respect resistance and continue bearish into weekly demand area.