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USDJPY trade ideas

More fall ahead?USD/JPY remains under intense selling pressure to trades near 149.50 in Friday's Asian trading. Despite dismal Tokyo CPI and Japan's Retail Trade data, the Japanese Yen stands resilient due to risk aversion. The US Treasury bond yields sell-off weighs heavily on the pair ahead of US PCE data. In the past, weakness in the Japanese currency has been attributed to the difference between the U.S. and Japanese interest rates as lower rates tend to pressure currencies, while higher rates lift them up. Japan had negative rates for about eight years, keeping it's currency weak compared to the dollar. Thus, USD/JPY is positively correlated with oil. The pair will usually rise when oil prices are rising and fall when oil prices are falling. Demographic factors, such as Japan's aging population, and the geopolitical rise of China and other East Asian competitors may be underlying, non-economic factors. Researchers have produced papers delineating possible reasons why the Japanese economy sank into prolonged stagnation.
by TRADINGACPVIP
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 150.06 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 151.31 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 148.17 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Dollar vs. Yen - Long Term Swing Trading Idea - 08-th Jan 25'USDJPY from 20-th Dec' 2024 to 6-th Jan 2025 created A-B-C-D-E formation which is 4-th wave. Then from 156.25 area till 158.55 created 5 waves and finished the trend. Our expectations for the next few days are the price to retrace at least 250 pips till zone of 156.00 and there will find support. Long term idea is to reach 153.00 level in period of one month. EURUSD is at weakest and creating a swing low at levels over 1.0250-1.0300. If EURUSD bounce back to 1.0600 that will confirm the USDJPY trading idea for weaker dollar in next few weeks. Trading idea parameters are as follows. Entry: 158.50 Stop 159.50 Target 153.20
Short
by TradingTie
4
USDJPY Bearish Momentum - Will It Reach 147.640?OANDA:USDJPY is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a strong bearish structure. The price has broken below a key support zone and may now pull back for a potential retest. This level previously acted as support and could now serve as resistance, aligning with a possible bearish continuation. If sellers confirm resistance at this zone, the price is likely to move downward toward the 147.640 target. However, a failure to reject this level could indicate a potential shift in momentum. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the resistance zone, or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Short
by DanieIM
1
USDJPY CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TARGET COMPLETE This chart represents a technical analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's what it indicates: 1. Selling Zone (Yellow Area - Around 151.331) This is a resistance area where sellers are expected to take control, leading to price rejection and a possible downward move. 2. Buyer's Zone (Pink Area - Around 148.800 - 149.000) This is a support area where buyers are likely to step in, causing price to bounce back up. 3. Market Movement & Prediction The price moved up towards the Selling Zone, where it faced resistance and reversed downward (black arrow). It then dropped to the Buyer's Zone, where the trade hit its Target Win (blue arrow with "💪"). The chart suggests a successful short trade from the Selling Zone to the Buyer's Zone. Summary: This analysis shows a successful sell trade from the resistance (151.3) down to support (148.9), hitting the target profit level. It highlights price action behavior around key zones and a well-executed strategy.
Short
by Davidhills_110
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 148.992. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 147.011 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Usdjpy sell zoneThis is a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen) 1-hour timeframe technical analysis from FXCM, indicating a sell trade setup with the following details: 1. Resistance Level: Identified around 149.546, marked in yellow. This is the level where price is expected to face selling pressure. 2. Entry Point: Around 148.990, which aligns with a key resistance zone. 3. Target Level: 147.459, representing the expected price drop where traders may take profit. 4. Market Outlook: The analysis suggests a bearish setup, expecting price rejection from the resistance zone and a downward move toward the support level. 5. Price Action Strategy: The price is likely to consolidate near resistance before making a decisive move downward. This setup signals a potential short (sell) opportunity, anticipating that USD/JPY will decline after hitting resistance, making it favorable for sellers.
Long
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
Short Trade Idea: USDJPY📉 Short Trade Idea: USDJPY 🔻 Short Entry: 148.90 - 149.10 🛑 Stop Loss: 149.65 🎯 Target: 147.00 1:3 Risk Reward Trade 🔎 Trade Rationale: ✅ Bearish Bias on Weekly & Daily TF – Price action aligns with higher timeframe weakness. ✅ Weak Weekly Start (NY Session Monday) – Momentum favors sellers. ✅ Trading Below Last 2 Sessions' Lows – Indicating potential continuation. ✅ Sell Signal Triggered During London Session – Aligns with session-based volatility. 📊 Trade Management: Monitor price action near 147.00 for potential early reaction, adjust SL if needed. 💬 Let me know your thoughts! 📉🚀
Short
by Wealthy_Vikish
USDJPY daily time frame , moving down to the support zone USD/JPY – 1D Chart Analysis (March 4, 2025) 1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis Break of Uptrend: The pair had been in an uptrend but recently broke below a key ascending trendline, signaling a shift to a bearish bias. Support Zone Tested: Price recently dropped into the 145.50 - 146.50 demand zone, where buyers attempted to step in. Rejection from 152.14: A clear rejection occurred near 152.14, reinforcing this as a strong resistance zone. 2. RSI & Momentum Analysis RSI at 36.89: Close to oversold but still has room for further downside. Bearish Momentum: The RSI has been making lower highs, confirming sustained selling pressure. 3. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 152.14 (Major resistance and previous rejection level) 150.50 - 151.00 (Local resistance from recent price action) Support: 146.00 - 145.50 (Key demand zone, recently tested) 143.50 - 144.00 (Next major support if price continues down) 4. Potential Trade Scenarios 📉 Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability) If price fails to reclaim 150.50, the pair could continue its downtrend toward 146.00 and possibly 144.00. Short Setup: Entry: 149.50 - 150.00 (on rejection) Stop-loss: Above 151.00 Target: 146.50, then 144.00 📈 Bullish Scenario (Lower Probability) If price reclaims 150.50 and finds support, we could see a retest of 152.14. Long Setup: Entry: Above 150.50 Stop-loss: Below 149.50 Target: 152.14 5. Conclusion & Strategy Short-term bias: Bearish, favoring a move towards 146.00 - 144.00. Trade idea: Look for rejection near 150.00 to confirm shorts. Risk management: Keep an eye on 146.00, as a strong bullish reaction could invalidate the bearish setup. Would you like additional confirmation on lower timeframes (4H, 1H)? 📊
Short
by Forexbeats