Shorting UJDaily: Inversion fair value gap was violated. Potential bearish shift
4h: Showing bearish order flow, price bouncing off of a bearish fair value gap.
USDJPY trade ideas
UJ is completing the correction for a big coming up moveFor now within the correction we are in to impulses to trade buy currently running an after target will sell too
Levels in the chart
Yen rally ends, markets eyes Fed rate decision and BoJ minutesThe Japanese yen is in negative territory on Wednesday, after a three-day rally which saw it gain 2% against the US dollar. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.29, up 0.61% on the day.
The Bank of Japan releases the minutes of its March meeting on Thursday. At the meeting, the BoJ held the key policy rate at 0.5% in a unanimous vote. Members cautioned that there was uncertainty over tariffs, which the US was expected to announce in April.
Since then, the financial markets have see-sawed in response to President Trump's erratic tariff policy. Japan's export-reliant economy could be hit hard, but Tokyo is already negotiating with the US and hopes to carve out an agreement to cancel or at least mitigate the impact of the tariffs.
The Bank of Japan is walking a tightrope, as it wants to continue to normalize policy and raise rates, but is worried about the uncertainty over the tariffs and the real possibility of a global trade war. Bank policymakers are taking a wait-and-see stance, hoping that US trade policy will become more clear.
The Federal Reserve is virtually certain to maintain rates at today's FOMC meeting. There's little doubt about the decision but investors will be all ears as to the amount of pushback from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, after President Trump has repeatedly pushed him to lower rates.
The markets have priced in a 30% chance of a cut in June, compared to a 63% likelihood just one week ago, according to CME's Fedwatch Tool. We can expect the pricing of a June cut to continue to swing, as the tariff saga continues.
USDJPY INTRADAY bearish below 145.60The USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDJPY | Demand Zone Bounce – Bullish Setup?After a clean rejection from the 140.550–143.373 demand zone, USDJPY is showing signs of bullish momentum.
Next key resistance zones:
➡️ 148.694
➡️ 155.589
Will bulls push to new highs or is this a trap?
Break below 140.550 invalidates the setup.
Trade Idea:
Long above 143.373
Targets: 148.694 → 155.589
Stop Loss: Below 140.550
Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
#USDJPY #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TradingSetup #SupplyAndDemand #FX #LuxAlgo #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals
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USDJPY LongTradeable idea, this pair broke through the trendline and it touched it from above, look to open long positions from here.
USD/JPY) Bullish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 2-hour timeframe, and it presents a bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and the idea behind the analysis:
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1. Ascending Channel Formation
The price is trading within an ascending channel, suggesting a controlled uptrend.
Higher highs and higher lows confirm the trend structure.
2. Key Support and Fair Value Gap (FVG)
There’s a well-identified support level where price has bounced before (highlighted in yellow).
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone is marked slightly above the support level, which could act as a short-term demand area.
Price is currently pulling back into this zone, potentially setting up a buying opportunity.
3. EMA 200 Support
The 200 EMA (~143.78) is acting as dynamic support just below the current price.
If price drops further, this level may offer strong technical support.
4. RSI Momentum
RSI is above 50 (currently 56.37), supporting the bullish trend and showing room for continued upside.
5. Target Point
The chart anticipates a bounce off the support/FVG zone and a rally toward the upper boundary of the channel, targeting 147.153.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of the Idea:
This is a bullish continuation setup within an uptrend channel. The analyst expects a potential long entry around the FVG/support zone, with a target at the channel top (147.15). Confluence from the EMA 200, RSI, and previous structure supports this bullish bias.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Usdjpy updatei was looking forward to go long before, but unfortunately price close below my area of interest, in which my bias on usdjpy now is nuetral, but if i will trade it, chance going long is 40%, but chance of selling is 60%
The World’s Financial PowerhousesMoney never sleeps — and in certain cities, it practically runs the show.
These financial capitals aren't just centers of wealth; they're the beating hearts of global finance, moving trillions every single day.
Today, let's take a quick tour through the cities that move markets, set trends, and shape economies.
🌍 1. New York City: The Global Titan
Nickname: The City That Never Sleeps
Key Institutions:
New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)
NASDAQ
Wall Street banks (Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley)
Why It Matters:
New York is the world's largest financial center by market cap, volume, and influence.
If you trade stocks, currencies, or commodities, you’re feeling New York’s pulse — even if you don’t realize it.
🔔 Trading Fact:
The NYSE alone handles over $20 trillion in listed market cap!
🌍 2. London: The Forex King
Nickname: The Old Lady of Threadneedle Street (referring to the Bank of England)
Key Institutions:
London Stock Exchange (LSE)
Bank of England
Hundreds of forex and investment firms
Why It Matters:
London is the epicenter of forex trading — commanding nearly 40% of the global forex market turnover.
Its time zone also bridges Asia and North America, making it crucial for liquidity during major sessions.
🔔 Trading Fact:
The 4 PM London Fix is a major reference point for institutional forex traders worldwide.
🌍 3. Tokyo: The Asian Anchor
Nickname: The Gateway to the East
Key Institutions:
Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE)
Bank of Japan (BOJ)
Why It Matters:
Tokyo sets the tone for Asian markets — and often for global risk appetite during the Asian session.
The Japanese yen (JPY) is the third most traded currency globally, often acting as a safe-haven barometer during market turmoil.
🔔 Trading Fact:
Japan is also home to massive institutional players known as the "Japanese real money accounts" — pension funds, insurers, and mega-banks.
🌍 4. Hong Kong & Singapore: The Dual Dragons
Nicknames:
Hong Kong: Asia’s World City
Singapore: The Lion City
Why They Matter:
Hong Kong: Gateway for global money flowing into China and emerging Asian markets.
Singapore: Major hub for forex trading, wealth management, and commodity trading.
Both cities are fiercely competitive, tech-driven, and strategically vital for accessing Asia’s fast-growing economies.
🔔 Trading Fact:
Singapore is now ranked among the top 3 global forex trading hubs, catching up fast to London and New York.
🌍 5. Zurich: The Quiet Giant
Nickname: The Bank Vault of Europe
Key Institutions:
Swiss National Bank (SNB)
Swiss private banking giants (UBS, Credit Suisse)
Why It Matters:
Zurich represents stability, security, and discretion. It's a powerhouse in private banking, wealth management, and gold trading.
The Swiss franc (CHF) is another classic safe-haven currency — and Zurich's influence is a big reason why.
🔔 Nerdy Fact:
Despite its small size, Switzerland punches way above its weight in forex and commodity markets.
🗺️ Why These Cities Matter to Your Trading
Liquidity:
Big cities = Big volumes = Tighter spreads and faster executions.
Market Movements:
Economic reports, policy decisions, and corporate news from these capitals can spark global volatility.
Session Overlaps:
New York–London overlap?
Tokyo–London handoff?
Understanding when these cities are active helps you time your trades better.
Final Thoughts :
You don't have to live in New York or Tokyo to trade like a pro.
But you do need to understand where the big moves are born.
Follow the money.
Watch the capitals.
Trade smarter.
Markets may seem chaotic — but behind the noise, the world’s financial capitals keep the rhythm steady.
put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile
UsdJpy could drop to 1.37 to 1.345UsdJpy could drop to 1.37 to 1.345 levels
Note: This is not a buy/sell trade call
Trade at your own will.
USDJPY 15 MINUTESThis chart shows a potential bullish setup for USD/JPY, highlighting:
A downtrend break suggesting a reversal.
A buy zone near the trendline support around 142.50.
Projected upward movement through Level 1 (142.97) and Level 2 (around 143.50).
A final target near 144.00 marked as “TADGET SUCCESSFUL” (note the spelling error: should be “TARGET SUCCESSFUL”).
It appears the analysis anticipates a bounce from the trendline with confirmation if it clears Level 1.
Would you like help refining this setup or checking for additional confirmation indicators?
USD/JPY Market Structure Update – May 7, 2025📊USD/JPY Market Structure Update – May 7, 2025
🔹Current Price: 143.05
🔹Timeframe: 1H
📌Key Supply Zones (Resistance):
🔴143.549 – Minor LH (Watch for lower-timeframe reaction)
🔴144.187 – M15 Lower High Zone (ideal for scalping shorts)
🔴145.013 – H1 LH Structure
🔴145.656 – Best H1 Selling Area (HTF confluence)
📌Key Demand Zone (Support):
🟢141.932 – H4 Best Buy Area (strong historical reaction zone)
📉Bearish Outlook:
Market structure is currently bearish with price forming lower highs. Sellers should look for rejection patterns at 143.549 or 144.187 with potential downside targets back toward 142.000–141.932.
📈Bullish Scenario:
Only above 145.013 does the bearish structure begin to shift. Until then, rallies into premium zones are short opportunities.
⚡Trading Tip:
✅Enter after confirmation (e.g., M15 BOS or Engulfing)
✅Target HTF demand near 142.000
✅SL above recent LH for clean risk management
#USDJPY #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #PriceActionTrading #FXFOREVER #BreakOfStructure #LowerHighs #ForexAnalysis #IntradayUpdate
BUY USDJPYUSDJPY price looking to break out and rally towards the resistance at 144,444. Trade cautiously considering the news events this week.
USDJPY H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 143.63, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 141.81, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 145.49, an overlap resistance.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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USDJPY Elliott Wave Signals Resumption of Bearish MomentumThe USD/JPY currency pair is showing a bearish trend that began on July 3, 2024, and is expected to continue declining toward the 136.50 level. In the short term, the price movement since the March 28, 2025 high is forming a zigzag pattern, according to Elliott Wave analysis.
From the March 28, 2025 high, the decline in wave (A) reached 139.89. This was followed by a corrective wave (B), which also unfolded as a zigzag. Within wave (B), the price rose to 144.03 (wave A), then dipped to 141.95 (wave B). Afterwards, it climbed to 145.90 (wave C), completing wave (B). The pair has since turned lower, starting wave (C).
Wave (C) is currently developing as an impulse pattern in Elliott Wave terms. From the May 2, 2025 high, the price dropped to 143.72 (wave (i)), then rallied to 145.08 (wave (ii)). The decline resumed, reaching 142.34 (wave (iii)). A corrective rally in wave (iv) is believed to have finished at 143.30. The pair is now expected to decline further to complete wave (v). This will finalize wave ((i)) in the larger structure. After this, a corrective rally in wave ((ii)) should occur, partially recovering from the May 2, 2025 high, before the downward trend resumes.
In the near term, as long as the high at 145.90 holds, any upward movements are likely to be limited and fail in a pattern of 3, 7, or 11 swings, leading to further declines.
Flight to safety assetsApart from Gold , which I had made a call to go LONG , there are other assets that you can consider as well.
The EURO, SWISS FRANC and YEN are some currencies that are considered as forex safe haven as well. So, in this chart, except for EURUSD is a LONG, the other two pairs, USDJPY and USDCHF is a SHORT (sell US dollars and buy JPY/CHF).
If I have to choose, EURUSD will be the safest pair as its spread is much tighter and less volatile , next is USDCHF and more risky would be USDJPY. Depending on your risk appetite, capital, time frame, each of this pair can add diversification and cushion to your portfolio.
I am currently vested in USDJPY and had closed EURUSD yesterday.
As usual, please DYODD
USDJPY Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Buy SetupUSDJPY Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Buy Setup
Price tapped into key support around 142.29 and rejected strongly with a bullish engulfing on the 1H chart. This level has held as strong demand multiple times.
We entered a buy expecting price to break through the descending trendline, with confluence from stochastic oversold and bullish divergence building.
If momentum holds, we anticipate a breakout to 145.43 and beyond as clean traffic lies above.
Classic reversal play — support bounce + trendline breakout in progress.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 141.80
1st Support: 140.13
1st Resistance: 145.44
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USD/JPY🔹Symbol: USD/JPY
🔹Price: 144.428
🔹Stop loss: 144.014
🔹Take profit 1: 145.085
🔹Take profit 2: 145.683
Low risk: % 1.5🟢
📊Check your chart before entering.
♦️Check before use to make sure there is no important news.
trading supply and demand with a little touch of my strategythis is a 2 week trade, using just supply and demand and my confirmation entry, tell me what you thing.
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 6 May 2025
- USDJPY reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 140.00
USDJPY currency pair recently reversed from the resistance zone between the resistance level 146.00 (former strong support from March) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous downward impulse from March.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous minor ABC correction 2.
Given the strongly bullish yen sentiment seen today, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 142.00 – the breakout of which can lead to further losses toward support level 140.00.
USDJPY MARKET IN H4 TIMEFRAME!!Price declined further today and broke Trendline . We might experience further drop to a low level of 139.959 as we anticipate fed interest rate tomorrow. A sell opportunity is envisaged.
Simple and clear as making tea, 4hr1. Market Structure & Patterns
• Bearish Structure:
The pair has been consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend. I follow structure first — it gives the most reliable roadmap before looking at patterns or indicators.
• Bearish Flags (Continuation Patterns):
These are rising channels within a downtrend, usually forming after a strong impulse drop. Think of them as “breathers” before price continues down.
Every flag here broke down, confirming that sellers are still in control after short pullbacks.
• Rejection Zones (Supply Areas):
Marked in pink, these zones are where price previously reversed sharply. Every time price returns to these levels, it shows hesitation or reversal, especially when followed by a bearish candle or wick rejection.
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2. Strong Levels & Liquidity Zones
• Liquidity Zones:
Areas like 140.450 are key because price reacted strongly there in the past — either as a turning point or a fakeout. These zones often hold pending orders, so I mark them as targets for potential bounces or breakouts.
• Confluence of Structure + Liquidity:
When a strong level (like previous demand) lines up with a structural level (like a lower low), it becomes a high-probability target.
• Dynamic Resistance (Trendlines/Channels):
The upper trendline of the flag acted as a form of resistance. Once price broke below it and retested the area, it confirmed a potential continuation.
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3. Fundamentals (Light Touch )
• USD Side:
Recent uncertainty around Fed rate cuts, inflation reports, and mixed labor data have caused the USD to fluctuate, but overall sentiment is leaning slightly dovish. This weakens the USD.
• JPY Side:
The Bank of Japan has started hinting at a possible shift away from ultra-loose policy, which could strengthen the Yen in the medium term.
• Macro Context:
If global risk sentiment turns negative (e.g., stocks fall or geopolitical tensions rise), safe-haven flows into JPY typically increase.
Together, these fundamentals support the technical bearish outlook on USDJPY in the short to mid term.
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Final Thoughts
This setup is built on:
• Clean structure
• Pattern recognition
• Key zone reactions
• Light macro context
Patience and confirmation are key — I wait for price to reject zones and form clear price action (like bearish engulfing or strong wicks) before executing.
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#USDJPY #ForexEducation #BearishSetup #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #TradingPatterns #FundamentalAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #LiquidityZones #PriceActionTrader
