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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY (UJ) Analysis (Daily Timeframe)The USD/JPY pair has been following a clear market cycle, transitioning from distribution to markdown , followed by accumulation , and now entering a bullish markup phase , showcasing strong bullish momentum. Key Observations: Market Phases: Distribution Phase: The bullish move ended near the 162 level , where sellers gained control, initiating a markdown. Accumulation Phase: After a significant markdown, UJ found a base around the 140 level, forming an accumulation phase with demand coming back into the market. Current Phase: The pair has now broken out of accumulation and is in a bullish move, with a well-defined structure of higher highs and higher lows. EMA Surfing and Momentum: The price is currently surfing upward along the EMAs , showing strong trend-following behavior with EMAs acting as dynamic support. The tightening of the EMAs during the accumulation phase has now expanded , supporting the continuation of the bullish move. Scenarios to Watch: Continuation to Targets: USD/JPY could continue its bullish momentum toward the short-term target near 159 and potentially the medium-term target around 162. This aligns with the ongoing strength in the USD and the current bullish structure . Pullback for Reaccumulation: A potential retracement could act as a reaccumulation phase, gathering liquidity before resuming the uptrend.
Long
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 13, 2025This is an outlook for the week of Jan 13-17th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The USD is still strong, so no reason to sell in the near term. With price at Monthly and Weekly Supply levels, we have to proceed with caution in the near term. The bias is still bullish until the market gives us a HTF bearish break of structure. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
Consolidation Midweek Rally #9 (Friday Nonfarm Payrolls)On Monday, I observed the price reaching an old high, but I decided to wait until Wednesday to act. My reasoning was based on a daily fractal pattern, along with liquidity formed on Tuesday. I was targeting the Wednesday London session after 2:30 PM NY time, aiming for a return to the 15-minute order block (OB). The liquidity was taken, but the price only moved just under 50% of the Average Daily Range (ADR). Considering that Wednesday marked the third consecutive bullish green candle, I anticipated Thursday would turn bearish, providing a better opportunity on Friday to secure a good number of pips. However, the same strategy I used on Wednesday didn’t yield the expected results. This experience highlighted an important realization: Friday’s move was likely a liquidity run, signaling a strong possibility that the price might turn bearish. With the Commitment of Traders (COT) data showing the USD in a neutral position, this week’s developments will be critical in understanding their stance. There’s now a significant chance we could see a bearish month ahead, with Friday potentially marking the high of the week.
by Bufalodorato
USDJPY: Bullish Recovery After Sharp Correction – Short-Term Buy📈 Trade Details: Entry: Current price 157.823 🎯 Take Profit 1: 158.000 🎯 Take Profit 2: 158.275 🎯 Take Profit 3: 158.500 🛡 Stop Loss: 157.500 💡 Analysis: Earlier today, USDJPY experienced a sharp correction after hitting intraday highs. However, the U.S. dollar remains resilient, supported by strong economic data and market sentiment favoring risk-off assets. The correction appears to be a retracement within a larger bullish trend, presenting a buy opportunity as the pair looks poised to recover toward key resistance levels. A break above 158.000 could open the door for further upward movement, targeting 158.275 and 158.500 in the short term. 🚨 Risk Management: Tight stop-loss placement at 157.500 to protect against unexpected reversals. Adjust take-profit levels based on price action and volatility. Let’s aim for profits and disciplined trading today! 💹
Long
by ValchevFinance
3
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 157.90 Why we likeit: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.23% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 158.19 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 157.34 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY BEARISH OPPURTUNITY Entry:157.815 TP:156.001 If you use trading patterns as part of confirmations in market direction. You will see a RISING WEDGE PATTERN. This pattern is a BEARISH PATTERN. Now what we want to see is a break of the trend line. Then a nice retest to the trend and an nice beautiful drop.. Take a look at the chart you will see we already have the break of the trend line and the retest now we will be seeing an beautiful drop .. Once price breaks the 157.546 we will we market continue to drop.. Its CEEJAY TRADES feel free to click my profile .
by CEEJAYYTRADES
2
USD/JPY showing weaknessThe USD/JPY pair has been fluctuating within a range. Recent data shows the price closing around 157.30, indicating some stability in the short term. Key support levels are around 156.24, while resistance levels are near 158.421. These levels can act as potential entry or exit points. so 156 will be a good level to short wit a red 4h candle closed near. Nver enter after a green candle only after a 4h bearish candle closed bellow 156.24. SCALP target @156.244 SWING Target @153.160
Short
by miketiger
USDJPY – in accumulation phase but undoubtedly bullish .. 13 JanWeekly – Bullish, although it has been consolidating for the past 3 weeks. Daily – same as weekly. Please note that the bears have been unable to push price lower. Price is well above the 200dma. The area around 156.20 was has been tested multiple times and provides solid support (was resistance earlier). H4 – In line with the weekly and daily charts. A pullback to 156.20 and a bullish bounce there would be ideal, however that may not happen. We could see bullish price action even earlier. I will be monitoring PA closely and look for taking an entry whenever I see convincing bullish strength. An obvious target would be the next resistance in the 161.70 region. This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Long
by Trading_Vista
USDJPY Will Collapse! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 158.40 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 157.58 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
From Signals to Strategy: ** Common Misconceptions**Hey, just putting this out there – here are some popular misconceptions that traders believe and risk to limit their growth and profitability in the beginning. To begin with, indicators can guide your decisions indeed, but without a solid market understanding, good RISK MANAGEMENT, and a clear strategy, they really won’t do much for you. 🔄A strategy suits each person differently: Much like a dress 👗 tailored to fit an individual’s unique shape and style. What works for one trader might not work for another, and that's why it's essential to find a strategy that aligns with your personality, risk tolerance, and long term objectives. And I also learned that sometimes simpler is better. Apply the KISS rule 💋: "Keep it simple, stupid! " Seriously, why complicate things? Focus on what works and cut out the noise. And in some cases, having multiple indicators is just NOISE. I also had some misconceptions in the beginning, because everywhere I searched—on forums, trading platforms, and YouTube tutorials—there were promises of indicators that could do all the complex analysis for me. And somehow, since “beginners luck is REAL- at first, it seemed to work. A “BUY” signal here, a “SELL” signal there, and I managed to scrape together a few wins. 😌 But that luck didn’t last long and as I studied some more it became clearer to me that indicators are just tools, not guarantees. They can guide your decisions, but they cannot replace a solid understanding of the market, risk management, and context. So, I started experimenting with certain indicators, using them to complement—not replace—my understanding of the market. For instance, instead of blindly following a “BUY” signal, I began to ask questions: • Is the market trending or ranging? • Does this signal align with key support or resistance levels? • What does the overall sentiment (news, volume, momentum) suggest? And so with a few more adjustments, trading became less about relying on indicators and more about developing a structured, disciplined approach. Now, I actually think that those early struggles helped shape my understanding and approach to trading. Progress doesn’t come from relying on shortcuts but from BUILDING A FOUNDATION of understanding, discipline, and adaptability. Here are some more Common Misconceptions you too probably had along the way: 1. 🛑 Misconception number 1 : More Indicators = Better Results 🤑 It’s tempting to think that layering as many indicators as possible will lead to a perfect trading system, but this approach often results in confusion and conflicting signals. Many indicators are derivatives of price and volume and may provide redundant information, and can even lead to "analysis paralysis." It’s like having so many tabs open on your browser that you forget what you were trying to do in the first place!" 😅 Explanation: For example, using RSI (Relative Strength Index) and Stochastics together may seem like a good idea since both are momentum indicators. However, they measure similar things and may not add unique value. Overloading your chart can also obscure price action, which remains the most critical piece of information. 📉 A more effective approach is to select complementary indicators, such as combining a momentum indicator (RSI) with a trend-following indicator (e.g., Moving Average) or a volume-based indicator (e.g., OBV or MFI). This combination provides a broader perspective without overcomplicating the analysis. 2. 🛑 Misconception number 2: Indicators anticipate future trends Indicators only reflect historical data and help interpret current market conditions. Explanation: Indicators like moving averages, MACD, and Bollinger Bands use past prices to calculate their values. For example, a MACD crossover might suggest a potential trend change, but it doesn’t guarantee future direction. Markets are influenced by countless variables (news, sentiment, macroeconomics) that indicators cannot account for. To trade effectively, you must understand that indicators are tools for assessing probabilities, not certainties. Instead, combining indicator signals with context—like support/resistance zones or fundamental analysis—creates a more reliable framework and can give you to better results. 3. 🛑 Misconception nr. 3 Indicators Work the Same in All Market Conditions Indicators behave differently in trending markets versus ranging markets, and their effectiveness varies based on market conditions. Explanation: For example, Moving Averages and MACD perform well in trending markets but can give false signals in a ranging market. On the other hand, oscillators like RSI and Stochastics are more effective in range conditions, identifying overbought/oversold price levels. The key is adapting your strategy to the current market trend. Tools like the Average True Range (ATR) can help evaluate market volatility, giving you clues on which type of indicator might be most effective. 4. 🛑 Misconception nr. 4 Indicators Alone Are Enough to Be Profitable Indicators are not a substitute for a comprehensive trading plan that includes risk management, market knowledge, and emotional discipline. Explanation: Even the best indicator setups can fail due to market unpredictability. For instance, a perfect RSI signal can be invalidated by a major news event. Without proper risk management—like setting stop-loss levels—you could take successive losses. Profitable traders use indicators as PART of an inclusive, well defined approach that includes ** position sizing** 🔒 ** understanding market structure **💡 ** Controlling emotional responses during trades and after trades ** ⚖️ 5. 🛑 Misconception nr. 5 You Must Use Indicators to Succeed While indicators are useful, they are not mandatory for successful trading. Some traders rely solely on price action, volume, and market structure. Explanation: Price action traders use patterns like candlestick formations, support/resistance zones, and trendlines to make decisions. For example, identifying a double-bottom pattern at a key support level can be just as effective as using RSI to spot oversold conditions. Indicators can add value, but they are not essential. It’s more important to find a trading style that suits your personality and ALIGNS with your understanding of the market. Misconception nr. 5: A Custom Indicator Will Give You an Edge Custom indicators can provide insights, but they are not they can’t guarantee profitability. Explanation: There are Indicators that combine multiple data points to create a unique signal, but their success still depends on the underlying market conditions and the trader's ability to interpret them. Often, the “edge” comes from the trader’s discipline and consistency rather than the tool itself. 💡 Back-testing custom indicators on various pairs and timeframes can show their limitations and help you identify where they perform best. Always TEST, TEST, TEST. Best to do that on 6-or more months. Don’t give up if you struggle, struggle becomes growth 💪. YOU CAN and YOU WILL become profitable if you push through the phases at your own pace. Thank you for the read.
Education
by TrendDiva