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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY Is Bearish! Short! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 30m Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 142.838. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 142.464 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY RESISTED AROUND 140.20From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY found support around the 142.11 level, which triggered a break above the descending trendline on the 4-hour chart. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum, favoring the bulls in the short term. However, the upward movement is currently facing resistance near the minor supply zone at 144.20, where price has temporarily stalled as the market awaits further direction. If bullish momentum continues, a brief pullback to retest the broken trendline is expected, a move that would also align with a nearby demand zone. This potential retracement could offer a fresh buying opportunity, with targets aimed first at clearing the 144.20 resistance. A successful breakout above this level may pave the way toward the psychological resistance at 145.00. On the flip side, if bearish pressure resumes and the pair breaks below the 142.00 support level, the next downside target would be the 141.52 area, further decline will target 140.65 level. Breakout of this levels are not ruled out. On the Radar for the Remainder of the Week: • Wednesday: Richmond Manufacturing Index (6:00 PM GMT+4) will offer a snapshot of U.S. factory activity. Later, the FOMC Meeting Minutes (10:00 PM GMT+4) could reveal key insights into the Fed’s stance on inflation and interest rates. • Thursday: A busy day kicks off with the Preliminary U.S. GDP, a crucial measure of economic performance, followed by Weekly Jobless Claims and Pending Home Sales, reflecting labor and housing market trends. • Friday: The focus shifts to Japan with the release of Tokyo Core CPI, which may guide yen sentiment. In the U.S., attention turns to the Core PCE Price Index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, and Consumer Sentiment, indicating household confidence. These datapoints has the tendency to drive prices in the coming days.
by CFI
USDJPY Breakout Watch | Bullish Momentum Toward Key ResistanceUSD/JPY is showing strong bullish momentum on the 15-minute chart, breaking out of a consolidation range with increased volume. Technical Highlights: Price has surged with strong bullish candles, showing clean impulsive movement. The key level at 144.39 is being tested as potential breakout resistance. If price sustains above this zone, it may target the next resistance area near 145.35. Clean price structure with volume supporting upward movement. Risk is managed with a stop below the breakout level, targeting a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. This setup reflects trend continuation with bullish momentum and clear technical structure. 📈 Watching closely for confirmation and follow-through above key breakout zone.
Short
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
Downtrend Awaiting ConfirmationUSDJPY has just made a technical rebound from the support zone at 142.22 up to the resistance area around 144.60 — a confluence with both the EMA 34 and EMA 89. However, based on the chart, this zone has previously acted as a reversal point, and price is now retesting that same level of rejection. The current price action suggests a high likelihood of a small double-top pattern forming around 144.60. If selling pressure re-emerges here, the market could reverse and head back down toward 142.22, aligning with the developing downtrend. Moody’s recent warning on U.S. credit rating has placed pressure on the USD, while the JPY continues to hold its safe-haven appeal amid market uncertainty.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Yen Reaches Highest Level in a MonthThe Japanese yen strengthened toward 142 per dollar on Tuesday, its highest in four weeks, driven by safe-haven inflows and weak dollar sentiment tied to Trump’s fiscal plan. Worries over a widening U.S. deficit weighed on the greenback, while speculation of a 25% iPhone tariff added to trade conflicts. Domestically, expectations for more BoJ tightening rose after core inflation surprised at 3.5%, a two-year high. Resistance stands at 148.60, with further levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Support is found at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
Analysing the Volatility Spike on the USD/JPY ChartAnalysing the Volatility Spike on the USD/JPY Chart The USD/JPY chart offers plenty of noteworthy insights for analysis: → A one-month low was recorded today (marked by the arrow); → This was followed by a sharp upward reversal, with a series of large bullish candlesticks forming on the intraday chart. Why Is USD/JPY Moving Sharply Today? The primary driver appears to be recent statements from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda. According to Trading Economics, this morning Ueda: → warned of rising core inflation risks linked to increasing food prices; → indicated that the Bank of Japan is prepared to adjust its monetary policy in order to achieve a stable inflation target. Latest data show that Japan’s core inflation unexpectedly rose to 3.5% — the highest level in two years — reinforcing the case for further rate hikes. However, what's particularly striking is that despite Ueda’s hawkish tone, the yen is weakening. Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart Yen fluctuations formed a downward trajectory (marked in orange) in the second half of May, partly driven by US dollar weakness. Following a period of relative calm, the market has shifted into high gear — the ATR indicator is climbing sharply from multi-month lows, breaking through resistance at the 143.0 level. This aggressive price action on the USD/JPY chart today suggests we may be witnessing an attempted bullish breakout from the channel. In light of this, it is possible that the surge in volatility reflects a fundamental shift in market sentiment — one that could potentially lead to the development of an upward trend. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, US100, BITCOIN, GBPJPY Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #USDJPY 4H time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵 I see a strong bullish reaction to a key daily/intraday horizontal support. A formation of a high momentum bullish candle and a violation of a resistance line of a bullish flag indicate a highly probable rise to higher levels. 2️⃣ #US100 #NASDAQ Index 4H time frame I spotted one more bullish flag on US100. Its resistance was violated yesterday and we already see a strong buying interest. I think that the market will rise more, at least to a current local high. 3️⃣ #BITCOIN #BTCUSD daily time frame The price nicely respected a confluence zone based on a rising trend line and a recently broken horizontal structure. Probabilities will be high that the market will continue rising from that. 4️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵 The price nicely respected a solid rising trend line. I see a breakout attempt of a minor daily horizontal resistance. IF a daily candle closes above that, it will provide a strong bullish confirmation. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
USDJPY Analysis – Yield Support Signals Potential UpsideUSDJPY is currently sitting at a key support zone around 142.80–143.00, showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. This support area has previously acted as a strong launchpad for price rallies. 🟢 Technical Setup: Price action has formed a clean higher low structure, bouncing off horizontal support. The US10Y Treasury Yield (pink line) has rebounded sharply and is diverging to the upside — a leading indicator for USDJPY strength. The Fib retracement from the last swing move aligns well with the 0% zone, suggesting the dip might be complete. A bullish reaction from here targets the 148.50 zone, with intermediate resistance around 145.00–146.00. 🟠 Risk Levels: Invalidated below 141.40 (structure break). Stops could be placed below 142.00, targeting a 2:1 or better risk-reward ratio. 🔍 Macro-Fundamental Insight: U.S. Yields are firming despite mixed Fed signals — this gives strength to USD, especially against low-yielders like the JPY. BOJ remains dovish with no urgency to normalize rates, keeping the yen weak. With risk appetite improving and bond yields lifting, carry trade dynamics favor USDJPY upside. ✅ Conclusion: As long as US10Y yields remain firm and USD holds above 142.00, USDJPY has a strong probability of rallying toward 148.50. Look for confirmation with higher highs on the 4H chart and continued divergence between yield and price.
Long
by ultreosforex
30
USDJPY | FVG + OB + Weak Low Target = Textbook SMC Setup📊 USDJPY | 1H Bearish Play – Smart Money In Control We’re seeing a classic setup where price retraces into a bearish zone of confluence and prepares for a selloff toward internal liquidity. Check the breakdown: 🔻 1. Structure Shift Confirmed Price broke structure on the downside after forming a lower high Current move is a retracement into discount OB zone Clear rejection is forming, signaling short momentum incoming 🟪 2. Zone Confluence 📌 Order Block (OB): Sitting just under the 61.8% Fib 📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Mitigated perfectly 📌 Fib Retracement: Price reacts between 61.8% and 70.5% — classic Smart Money play 📌 Previous Demand Turned Supply: This level is now acting as a rejection zone This is stacked confluence — just how Smart Money likes to move. 💣 3. Entry Strategy Entry Zone: 142.55 (midpoint of the OB reaction area) Stop Loss: Above 143.443 (above OB + liquidity wick) Take Profit: 139.888 (weak low, previous liquidity resting point) ⚖️ 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) 🎯 TP = 139.888 📍 Entry = 142.550 🔐 SL = 143.443 ✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5 A great example of high-probability short setup using pure Smart Money logic. 📉 5. Why This Works Retail traders will try to long at this zone hoping for a breakout Smart Money uses this zone to engineer liquidity They tap into the FVG/OB, then target internal liquidity and weak lows Clean, controlled sell-off expected down to 139.888 🧠 SMC Insights This chart is all about liquidity engineering: Push up into OB Reject at premium pricing Drive down to weak low to collect stops Possibly reverse or continue trend from there 💬 Comment “FVG TAP + OB = 🔥” if you spotted this setup early 💾 Save it before the drop happens 📤 Share with a fellow SMC trader who needs this breakdown
Short
by ChartNinjas88
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 27, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) is attracting fresh buyers in Tuesday's Asian session following the release of strong inflation data. Additionally, comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda left the door open for further policy tightening by the central bank. This is in sharp contrast to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to cut interest rates this year, and is proving to be a key factor that is providing a nice lift for the yen. In addition, persistent geopolitical risks related to the protracted war between Russia and Ukraine and conflicts in the Middle East are contributing to the yen's safe haven status. The US dollar (USD), on the other hand, remains near its lowest level since April 22 amid concerns over the deteriorating US fiscal situation. This contributes to the USD/JPY pair's fall to 142.000, or more than a one-month low, and supports the prospects for further losses. Trading recommendation: SELL 143.300, SL 143.900, TP 142.000
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Non Commercials added 6K longs nad just 300 shorts, I still see a price coming higher but, first liquidity is lower so it makes more sense to close shorts on lower prices and overall still the exposure seems more bearish. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
26
USDJPY I Daily CLS Nested In Weekly CLS, Model 1Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
8