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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY – Long Target in SightUSDJPY – Long Target in Sight 🟢 Long Bias | 🎯 Target: 145.46188 → 145.63300 (4H) | ⏳ Intraday Outlook Already in this trade. Looking for price to make its way up toward 145.46188, with a potential extension to the 4H level at 145.63300. Market structure shows room for continuation. If you plan to join, know this could play out over next 12 hours or so. This is not financial advice. 💡 Replay this setup on TradingView to study how it develops. #USDJPY #ForexSetup #LongTrade #TradingView #GlobalHorns #PriceAction
Long
by GlobalHorns
USDJPY Will Go Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 144.899. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 146.054 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
UPDATE ON USD/JPY ANALYSISUSD/JPY 4H - As you can see price has recently broken structure to the downside, giving us the confluence needed to suggest further bearishness now in this pair longer term. Evidently enough Supply has been introduced to give us the flip in the S&D balance and the corrective wave that was trading us higher in a bullish way has now come to an end, why, because we are breaking lows and protecting highs now. I have gone ahead and marked out an area of interest I feel price will come to trade back up and into, should price trade us into this zone we want to see the same three step process take place before we enter. We want the penetration, rejection and break of structure, all of which confirm enough Supply has been introduced to now flip the fractal corrective wave followed after the initial break.
Short
by Lukegforex
USDJPY Technicals Price reacting near a key horizontal support level just below 145.00, where a visible bounce is attempting to form. This level has been tested multiple times, establishing it as a reliable demand zone, and price is now trying to stabilize after a sharp drop from the 146.20s. The recent move downward followed a failed bullish breakout attempt near a local resistance (highlighted with a red circle), which then turned into a supply zone around 145.70–145.80. That area has since capped further upside, resulting in a sell-off. At current levels, there's a combination of technical signals suggesting a potential reversal or at least a short-term bounce. First, price has reached a structurally important area where previous buying interest was observed. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 30-minute chart shows values around 38–40, indicating the market is entering oversold territory without being extremely extended, which often aligns with corrective moves or base formations. Volume analysis also supports the reversal idea. The recent bearish candles approaching the 145.00 support zone show decreasing bearish volume, followed by a slight uptick in buying pressure (as shown by the magenta lightning bolt icon), hinting at potential absorption of selling pressure and the beginning of buyer interest. This could mark the end of the down leg and the start of a higher low structure. The projected path drawn on the chart suggests a bullish recovery scenario where price reclaims the mid-145s, retests prior minor resistance levels, and attempts to push toward the 146.00 handle again. However, this move is only valid if price holds above the current support. A breakdown below 144.90 would invalidate this idea and may lead to deeper downside. In summary, the setup favors a bullish reversal off support, aided by RSI recovering from oversold conditions, a slowdown in bearish momentum, and historical support alignment. That said, price action confirmation (like bullish engulfing or a strong reclaim candle) is necessary to initiate a long position with tighter risk below the support base.
Long
by xxChartWhizxx
USDJPY Trade Plan – May 19Price approaching key demand zone — 3 setups locked in: 👇 🟢 1st Buy Entry 📍 Entry: 144.099 🎯 TP: 144.507 🛑 SL: 143.978 📈 R:R ≈ 3.38 🔹 Quick scalp from zone top -Look for bullish 15M reaction 🟢 2nd Buy Entry 📍 Entry: 143.755 🎯 TP: 144.531 🛑 SL: 143.602 📈 R:R ≈ 5.05 🔹 Stronger level — better risk-reward for continuation bounce( this will be HIT or MISS/SL) 🔴 Breakout Sell Plan 📍 Entry: 143.669 🎯 TP: 142.844 🛑 SL: 143.871 📈 R:R ≈ 4.09 ⚠️ Only valid if price breaks zone with full-bodied follow-through candle ⏱️ Let market come to you. This can happen in next 1-2 days or Tonight.
Long
by tradingwith_ryann
USDJPYUSD/JPY Interest Rate Differential and Upcoming Economic Data (May–June 2025) Interest Rate Differential Federal Reserve (Fed): Policy rate: 4.25%–4.50% (held steady in May 2025). Outlook: Cautious stance amid mixed economic signals; markets expect no cuts until July 2025 unless inflation reaccelerates. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Policy rate: 0.50% (unchanged in May 2025, highest since 2008). Outlook: Dovish despite trimming growth and inflation forecasts; further hikes unlikely until 2026 due to U.S. tariff risks and weak GDP (-0.7% annualized in Q1). Differential: ~3.75–4.00% in favor of USD, sustaining a strong yield advantage for the dollar. Upcoming Economic Data and Events United States May 29: GDP Growth Rate QoQ (2nd estimate): Expected to confirm 2.4% QoQ growth, rebounding from Q1 contraction. Core PCE Prices QoQ (2nd estimate): Forecast to ease to 2.6% (from 3.5% in Q1), critical for Fed’s inflation assessment. May 30: Core PCE Price Index MoM/YoY: Key Fed inflation gauge; YoY expected at 2.6% (above 2% target). Fed Communications: FOMC Minutes (May 27) and speeches by Powell, Barkin, and Williams to clarify policy trajectory. Japan BoJ Policy Signals: Focus on U.S. tariff negotiations (24% on Japanese exports) and their impact on growth. Revised 2025 GDP growth to 0.5% (from 1.0%) and core inflation to 2.2% (from 2.7%) . Trade Data: Export performance under U.S. tariffs (autos, machinery) to influence JPY sentiment. Directional Bias for USD/JPY Short-Term (May–June): Bullish USD/JPY Fed’s steady rates vs. BoJ’s dovish hold sustains yield advantage. U.S. economic resilience (rebounding GDP, strong labor market) contrasts with Japan’s contraction. U.S. Tariff Escalation: Could dampen global growth, boosting safe-haven JPY. BoJ Surprise Hike: Unlikely but not impossible if inflation overshoots. Fed Dovish Shift: If U.S. data weakens, rate cut bets may pressure USD. Summary Table Factor USD Impact JPY Impact USD/JPY Bias Fed Rate Hold Strengthens USD – Bullish BoJ Dovish Stance – Weakens JPY Bullish U.S. GDP Rebound Supports USD – Bullish Japan’s GDP Contraction – Pressures JPY Bullish Conclusion: USD/JPY retains a bullish bias in the near term, driven by the Fed’s yield advantage and Japan’s economic fragility. However, escalating U.S. tariffs and safe-haven JPY demand could cap gains. Monitor U.S. inflation data (Core PCE) and BoJ rhetoric for shifts in momentum.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
2
USD/JPY Breakdown: Sell the Rallies, Ride the TrendUSD/JPY has decisively shifted bearish across all key timeframes. On the daily chart, the pair broke below the 50-, 100-, and 200-day EMAs with consistent lower highs and lows. The hourly chart confirms this trend, with bearish EMA stacking and failed attempts to reclaim the 200-hour EMA. RSI remains under 50 across timeframes, signaling persistent bearish momentum without exhaustion. The 15-minute chart highlights ideal short-entry setups on pullbacks to the 20- or 50-EMA, especially when RSI fails to breach 50. The 200-EMA on this timeframe acts as dynamic resistance near 145.30. Short entries are favorable on rallies to the 145.10–145.35 zone, with downside targets at 144.80, 144.50, and potentially 144.20. For the week ahead, the strategy is clear: fade rallies into EMA resistance and use RSI confirmation for timing. Avoid chasing lows—wait for price to come to you. Tight stops just above the EMAs minimize risk, and partial profit-taking at swing lows allows for trend-riding flexibility. As long as USD/JPY remains below the 200-hour EMA, bearish momentum dominates. Trade with the trend, manage risk with precision, and stay alert for breakdowns below key support levels.
Short
by BlackCandleTrader
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 19, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair attracted new sellers on Monday and fell to a one-week low of around 144.800 during the Asian session. Furthermore, the current economic climate suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the downside, which supports the prospects for a continuation of the recent corrective decline from the nearly six-week high reached last Monday. It is widely anticipated that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again in 2025, a development that is expected to continue providing support to the Japanese Yen (JPY). Furthermore, the unexpected downgrade of the US government's credit rating is discouraging investors from taking risks and is instead favouring traditional safe-haven assets, including the Japanese Yen. On Friday, Moody's downgraded America's main sovereign credit rating by one notch, to 'Aa1', citing concerns over the country's rising debt. Meanwhile, investors seem convinced that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to cut rates amid signs of weakening inflation and the likelihood that the US economy will see several quarters of sluggish growth. At the start of the new week, the US Dollar remains depressed and exerts additional downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. However, the lack of follow-through selling below the psychological 145.00 mark is forcing bears to exercise caution before positioning themselves for deeper losses. On Monday, the US will not release any market-moving economic data, so the dollar will be influenced by speeches by influential FOMC members. Furthermore, an improvement in risk sentiment is likely to result in increased demand for the Japanese Yen, thereby providing some momentum to the USD/JPY pair. However, the diverging policy expectations of the BoJ and the FOMC confirm the negative outlook for the near term. Consequently, any recovery attempt could be perceived as a strategic opportunity for divestment, and is likely to be constrained. Trade recommendation: SELL 144.700, SL 145.500, TP 143.800
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 78.6% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 143.80 1st Support: 140.52 1st Resistance: 148.62 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
This could be a trade of a lifetime. Watching JPY/USD🧠 Technical Analysis: USD/JPY (1M Chart) — May 16, 2025 📍 Chart Summary: Asset: USD/JPY Timeframe: 1-Minute Tool: Fibonacci Retracement Observation: The price has retraced to the 61.8% Fibonacci level near 145.55–145.56, which aligns with a historical order block. Strong support is evident at 145.557, confirmed by reaction wick and historical volume absorption. The projected path (red arrow) suggests a potential bullish reversal targeting 146.552 (1.382 Fibonacci extension). 📊 Key Levels: Level Type Price Key Support (Order Block) 145.557 Entry Area (Fib 0.618) 145.648 Local Resistance 146.100 Target (1.382 ext.) 146.552 ✅ Trade Setup (Bullish Bias): Entry: 145.56–145.65 Stop-Loss: Below 145.45 (Fib 0.5 + prior low buffer) Take-Profit: 146.10 → 146.38 → 146.55 Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5 if executed properly 🧠 Probability Estimate: Reversal from 61.8% Fib + OB: ~70% Hitting 146.55 (1.382 ext.): ~55–60% Invalidation: Break & close below 145.45 (below 0.5 level)
Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC