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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 151.27 1st Support: 149.66 1st Resistance: 152.64 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDJPY - SELL - 75% Lower Probability Estimate for USD/JPY to Move Lower Given the current strong bearish sentiment on USD and JPY USD/JPY lower: 70% Factors Supporting the 70% Probability of a Drop COT Commercials Traders are what drives the market to a large degree and are usually correct in the Medium to long term. They are heavily short USD and Closing shorts in JPY. Reversal signals in JPY suggest commercial traders expect JPY strength ahead. USD long interest is dropping, meaning fewer buyers to support the pair. "Leaning now days towards Dollar Cost Averaging as this can be a better strategy if price reverses, as long as you keep the initial entry lot size low compared to your total Account. Many traders use better Semi automated or Fully Automated management position trading tools these days." Better than an getting Stopped Out Stop Hunted all the time no matter how good u are unless u have a massive account like the Hedge Funds and have Massive Stops and Take Profits we are the meat in the middle, their lunch, just like the Pacman Video Game we just get munched up. : )
by NZ_Shareman
1
UJ sell ideaAhead of Friday's expected BOJ rate hike (0.25% to 0.50%), USDJPY is at a critical juncture. Technical Insights: 1. Price found support on the 50-day moving average. 2. Lower time frames indicate a bearish bias, following the break of the ascending trend line on the 4-hour chart. Trade Plan: 1. Waiting for price reaction between the 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. 2. Aiming to sell on a confirmed bearish setup within this zone. 3. Alternative sell opportunity: Daily supply zone. Key Levels to Watch: - 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels - Daily supply zone PS: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice so remember to always practice good risk management.
Short
by phoenixwicks9
JPY USD 1. Support May Not Hold The analysis assumes that the price will bounce from the support area, but what if selling pressure is strong? Instead of a reversal, the price could break below support and continue down. A breakdown below 0.006580 would invalidate the bullish outlook. 2. False Support Bounce Possible The price could initially react at support, giving the illusion of a bullish reversal, but fail to gain momentum and break lower. This could trap early buyers. 3. Liquidity Grab & Fakeout Scenario The market makers could push the price below the support zone, trigger stop-losses of long positions, and then reverse higher. A deeper liquidity grab could occur before a real move up. 4. Resistance May Strengthen Even if price bounces, the resistance zone could become stronger, leading to a sideways range rather than a clear bullish breakout. Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion before assuming a continuation upward. Alternative Outlook If price breaks below 0.006580, the downtrend could extend further. A bounce from support should be confirmed with strong bullish candles before assuming a rally.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
USDJPY Next Trend - Continue to FallUSD/JPY news: 🔆BoJ's rate hike plan continues to push JGB yields higher, further underpinning the Japanese Yen. Markets weigh renewed US tariff talks, keeping the downside intact in the pair. 🔆The JPY is leading the currency run higher on the USD, with traders taking on board hawkish comments from BoJ policymaker Takata earlier this week and positioning for another jump in Japan’s rate of inflation which will support the outlook for moderately tighter policy." 🔆Japan releases CPI data tonight. January inflation expected to rise Personal opinion: 🔆JPY will continue to increase in strength in the coming time, while the Dollar continues to decrease mainly due to the impact of the tariff policies that President Trump is implementing Analysis: 🔆Based on the interest rate policies of BOJ and Fed combined with technical analysis (resistance - support zones and important Fibonacci levels) Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell USDJPY 150.00 -149.80 ❌SL: 2976 | ✅TP: 149.30 – 148.70 – 148.00
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
USD/JPY H4 | Heading into pullback resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 150.60 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 151.50 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 148.84 which is a swing-low support. b]High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 20 February 2025 - USDJPY broke support zone - Likely to fall to support level 148.70 USDJPY currency pair recently broke the support zone between the support level 151.00 (which formed the daily Morning Star at the start of February) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward impulse from September. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 3 – which belongs to wave (3) from January. USDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 148.70 (the former monthly low from December).
Short
by FxProGlobal
Why Morgan Stanley and MUFG back JPY? Morgan Stanley and MUFG both see the Japanese yen as the strongest G10 currency in 2025. They expect it to gain value as U.S. interest rates fall and Japan’s central bank raises its own. On the daily chart, USD/JPY oscillators are still away from being in the oversold zone, suggesting that the path of least resistance could to the downside. MUFG predicts further yen gains, especially against the euro, and has set a target of 150 for EUR/JPY, down from 157. Morgan Stanley also favors the Australian dollar. Meanwhile they believe the New Zealand dollar will appreciate but underperform the Australian dollar due to a weaker domestic outlook.
by BlackBull_Markets
Bullish bounce off overlap support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 149.37 Why we like it: There is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 147.14 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 151.27 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY Selling Opportunity🔽 USD/JPY Selling Opportunity 🔽 📌 Take Profit 1: 148.96 📌 Take Profit 2: 148.38 📌 Stop Loss: Above 150.35 💡Reasoning: The USD/JPY pair has recently shown signs of weakness, with a potential reversal forming after hitting resistance around the 150.35 area. With key technical indicators suggesting a bearish momentum, we are anticipating a move down towards the support levels at 148.96 and 148.38. The risk of further upside seems limited unless we see a break above 150.35. Make sure to manage your risk and trade carefully. Stay updated for more insights!
Short
by Charts_M7M