Fib Power ZoneBacktesting my strategy my next move Japanese Yen has strength and key seller volume In this area
USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY 148.600 shortAs a more precise short entry here is my trade that I am going to play today. Please trade carefully. My trade is already active based on the attached analysis.
USD/JPY RECONSIDERATION OF CHOOSING THE RIGHT WAYI was thinking a lot about the current daily moves of the UJ pair, and I am decided to try to short the market around the 148.600 level back to 144.000 by staying in a longterm swing trade. If the market pops from the current level the order will be filled pretty soon, my lot size is relative low as I am planning to keep it on the long run. Lets see how it goes..
USD/JPY Analysis | 1 Hour We got a shift in structure on the hourly to the upside. Price pulled back into discount and we are currently pushing out of discount and realigning with the external structure. I would look for price to come back into the zone I marked out and look for an entry on the lower time frame. Even if price continues all the way up to the swing high before retracing, it could still be valid. Just don't enter a trade blindly.
Trade Safe -Remzy
Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 148.14
1st Support: 147.58
1st Resistance: 149.25
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short idea on USDJPYlooking good for a retracement posibly go back to ASIA session aiming for mid asia. this is not financial advice.
USDJPY FORECASTSo guys! The market is looking slower today, so this is the best time for me to stay out of the market and just look at how the structures develop. Remember as a trader that your main task is to protect your capital by minimizing risk as much as possible. Know the best time to be in the market and to be out of it. You don't need to trade every single day
“USD/JPY | 30M CHoch > inducement > 4H Play”30M just gave a clean CHoCH, breaking a major LH, signaling bullish intent—at least for now. I’m waiting for inducement to be taken before price taps into my order block, lining up with the 4H move. The goal? Ride price up into 4H supply, then look for the sell-off from mitigation. Letting price show its hand first.
Bless Trading!
USDJPYWeekly
1. Historically extreme COT in trade positioning; the trend usually turns in favor of the dollar on trade position changes.
2. MACD has bullish convergence.
3. The 2021 trend line has been touched at the 61.8% Fibo.
4. Possible formation of an ABC wave 4 triangle. The possible next wave will be a 5 and the target level is 175, the extreme target is 206
Daily and hour timeframe
5. The last movement is a higher high and higher low, this could be a new channel
6. The invalidation level for my arguments is 147.350
What do you think?
USD/JPY 30m chart analysis target achived successfully.usdjpy entry at 148.200
target achived successfully at 147.55.
70+pips profit booked
USD/JPY Price Rejection at Resistance with Potential Bearish.hello traders.
what are your thoughs on USD/JPY.
my idea is
. Trade Setup:
Entry: Around 148.153, aligning with the pullback area.
Stop Loss: Above 148.624, placed strategically to avoid minor fluctuations.
Take Profit Levels:
First Target: 147.596 – a potential support level where price may find temporary stability.
Final Target: 147.167 – deeper support level indicating further bearish continuation.
USDJPY 1D ShortUSDJPY 1D Short
The pair broke down a bullish channel and it is now rejecting a pivot point around 149.5-148.5
The objective for the broken channel it's around 140.5 where a strong support is located.
USD/JPY Bearish Outlook: Key Support Levels to WatchUSD/JPY 4-hour chart is showing a clear downtrend, with price forming lower highs and lower lows. A recent retracement has tested a previous support-turned-resistance zone (148.240 - 148.262), and rejection from this level indicates the potential for further downside movement.
Bearish Confirmation & Entry:
The price is currently testing the 148.240 - 148.262 resistance zone.
A strong rejection from this level would confirm a sell setup.
The trade setup suggests a move towards the next key support zones if momentum continues downward.
Target Levels:
First Take Profit (TP1): 146.543 (Recent low & strong support level)
Second Take Profit (TP2): 145.807 (Key demand zone)
Final Take Profit (TP3): 142.960 (Major psychological support)
Risk Management:
Stop-loss placement: Above the 148.262 resistance zone, ensuring protection against unexpected bullish reversals.
The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, with a structured trade setup providing a high-probability short opportunity.
USDJPY FALLING WEDGE CHART PATTERNHello Guys Here Is Chart Of USDJPY in 30-M AT
Entry Level: Buy Around 147.650
Support: lower Low around $147.200
Target Will Be : 149.200
If USDJPY breaks upper resistance level, the wedge pattern is successful,
USD/JPY at a Key Level: Is a New Trend Emerging?USD/JPY is currently in the D1 discount zone and approaching a D1 FVG, where a potential reaction may occur. The price is moving within a downtrend channel for now.
If a reaction happens at this level, we should wait for a channel breakout. A trade opportunity arises either on the breakout retest or immediately after the breakout, confirming bullish momentum and increasing the probability of an upward move.
Risk Management Strategy:
To secure profits and manage risk effectively, consider scaling out at key levels:
• Target 1: Close 25% of the position to secure initial profits.
• Target 2: Close 50% of the position to lock in more gains.
• Target 3: Close 100% of the remaining position for full take profit.
Risk Reward 1.3
Monitoring price action closely at this level is crucial.
USDJPY SHORTsMarket structure bearish DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 149.000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 10.23
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 147.31
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 146.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 148.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Bullish Quarterly Outlook on USDJPY - Read Me :) In this chart I've outlined my price anticipation / forecast for Q2 2025.
Over the next 3-4 months I feel that it's very likely for USDJPY to trade to 160. If you have any fundamentals that could add to this please add under the comment sections.
Disclosure: My price analysis was not primarily based on any fundamentals but instead it's based on a technical view as to where I think price is most likely to trade to based on historic price action. I did do very some research (linked below) which appears to add further confidence to my view.
Morgan Stanley fundamental research on the US dollar, fixed income market and other credit markets: www.morganstanley.com
Based on a quick read on the above article, Morgan Stanley views the dollar to remain strong for reasons explained in the article. Stronger dollar equals higher JPY prices.
Quick note on yields (see the above link as my source). "...., risk premiums are still below long-term averages and are still likely to move higher — the timing and extent of which remain distinctly uncertain. It is very possible that U.S. Treasury yields remain in a broad 4%-5% range in 2025, which, if it did happen, would be a big positive after 2024’s mediocre performance".
Key takeaways for me:
If yields go higher, then the US dollar (DXY) will very likely trade higher and this will therefore result in higher prices for USDJPY.
Let's see how things turn out :)
Diego
USDJPY lonIn a positive trend, we are approaching the bottom of the range, which I expect to reverse, and we have a good position, and at the bottom of this range we have the sacred 86 line.
Inverted Head & Shoulder Pattern Expecting price to climb up after identifying an inverted head & shoulder pattern
