USDJPY INTRADAY downtrend continuation below 147.00USD/JPY remains in a bearish trend, as the longer-term downtrend continues to dominate market sentiment.
The key level to watch is 147.00, which marks the recent swing high and a strong resistance area. If the pair rises toward this level and gets rejected, it could resume its downward move toward support at 144.60, with further downside targets at 143.00 and 142.35 over time.
However, if the price breaks above 147.00 and posts a daily close above it, this would challenge the bearish outlook. In that case, the pair may continue higher, aiming for 147.60 and then possibly 148.50.
Conclusion:
The trend for USD/JPY is still bearish. A rejection at 147.00 could lead to more downside. But if the pair breaks and closes above 147.00, it may shift to a bullish move in the short term. Traders should watch how the price reacts around the 147.00 level for clues on the next direction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDJPY trade ideas
Too Many Bullish Clues — Greed Activated📍Current Price: 143.437
TimeFrame 30Min
Bullish Reasons:
+ Strong Support
+ Psychological Level
+ Tweezer Bottom
+ Bullish RSI Divergence
+ Channel Bottom
= Potential Bullish Reversal
Support & Resistance Levels:
• 142.000 – Strong Support + Psychological Level
• 140.000 – Strong Support + Psychological Level
• 148.000 – Psychological Level + Price Target
• 150.000 – Psychological Level
"Trade smart – always follow your risk management.
Protect your account first, profits will follow.
Happy trading!"
NEXT MOVE Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. Support Breakdown Risk
The chart highlights the 145.000–145.200 area as a support zone.
If price breaks below this support with strong bearish momentum, it could invalidate the bullish reversal expectation.
A close below 144.800 would confirm weakness, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment
USD_JPY RISKY SHORT|
✅USD_JPY made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 146.133 which is a
Resistance now and the pair
Is now making a pullback
But as we are bearish biased
We will be expecting a move
Down after the pair retests
The new resistance
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/JPY Bears Claw Back Monday BreakoutThe weekly bar for USD/JPY is taking on the shape of a gravestone doji, and if sellers can push, this could turn into a shooting star which wouldn't bode well for bulls after three consecutive weeks of gains following the failed breakdown at the 140.00 handle.
For Friday, the 145.00 level looms large as this was support a week ago and currently holds the higher-low in the pair. If bears can break below that by the close of the week, then there'd be a shooting star following a failed breakout run at 148.00, and that would point to deeper bearish potential for next week.
With that said, there could be a more attractive market for both Yen-strength and Yen-weakness, which I'll look at in follow-up posts. - js
USD/JPY – Selling into RalliesPrice has over‑extended into multi‑month supply at 148.00 just as 4‑h momentum diverges. A softer CPI print or fresh MoF jaw‑boning could trigger a quick flush back toward 146.20/145.00.
Price has stretched >3‑σ above 20‑DMA and is stalling just under the 2014 trend‑line extension. 61.8 % Mar‑Apr retrace (146.85) already satisfied; momentum divergence on 4‑h RSI & Fed‑CPI risk favor mean‑reversion. Any softer US CPI print or verbal jawboning from Japanese authorities could accelerate a squeeze lower.
usdjpyusdjpy movement prediction using fibs.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Long-term Analysis of USD/JPYIn this analysis, I used higher timeframes—specifically, the weekly timeframe to identify a box and a touch of the box's bottom on the daily and 4H charts. I also found other valuable details such as trendlines, order blocks, and FVGs. I hope the chart I shared helps you understand what I’ve marked.
But let's put that aside for a moment. Today I wanted to talk about something different.
For a while now, I’ve been in the process of immigrating to Germany. I haven’t had much time to trade lately, and all my capital has gone into this move. You might not believe this, but during the past two days, when we made about 10% profit in Forex (which I posted for you), I didn’t take any positions myself because I didn’t have the capital to trade.
Still, I put a lot of effort and precision into the analysis—because I consider this capital as if it were my own. I truly didn’t want you to risk even a cent.
I’ll continue sharing my analysis, but I have two small requests from you:
Please always check and verify the analysis yourself before taking a position.
You’re never obligated to follow or read/listen to my ideas.
Lastly, if you happen to know any banks or platforms in Germany (or anywhere else) where I can trade or work and earn an income after moving, I’d be grateful if you could let me know.
Just remember: the first request is mandatory—you must do your own analysis.
Much love to you all.
Have a great day (or night), and may you always be wealthy and successful.@soroushyyyy telgram
USDJPY - Trendline Support to Determine Next Big MoveThe USD/JPY pair has been trading within a well-defined upward trajectory, currently testing key levels around 145.68. The diagonal trendline visible on the chart serves as a critical support level that has consistently propelled the pair higher since mid-April. Should the price respect this trendline in the coming sessions, we could see a temporary pullback before potentially rallying toward the resistance zone around 148.50, highlighted by the upper purple rectangle. However, traders should closely monitor any breaks below this trendline as it would signal a significant shift in momentum and possibly indicate a deeper correction. The pair appears to be consolidating after the recent pullback from May highs, with the trendline interaction likely determining the next directional move.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY is expected to target 165.5Daily chart,
USDJPY CMCMARKETS:USDJPY price is forming a falling expanding wedge pattern. After clear crossing of the line R, and stabilizing above it for 2 days, the target will be 165.5
Note that there are resistance levels on the way, especially the strong historical High (at 161.95)!
Stop loss below 145 - Consider a rising stop loss level as the price goes up.
Technical indicators:
RSI is positive
MACD is about to cross its signal line.
USDJPY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Technically: On May 10, the USD/JPY exchange rate was 145.3640, a decrease of 0.3250% compared to the opening price. 145.92 above is a key resistance level. If broken through, it is expected to challenge 146.36 and 148.20. 144.00 below is an important support level. If it is lost, the decline may accelerate. In terms of news: US President Trump announced the reaching of a trade agreement with the UK, which boosted the US dollar and weakened the Japanese yen. However, part of the trade-related positive news this week may have already been factored in. At the same time, the Bank of Japan kept the interest rate unchanged and sent a dovish signal. Pay attention to the subsequent trade agreement negotiations and the statements of the Federal Reserve. In terms of trading operations, one can try to open a short position with a small position near 145.92, with the target set at 144.00.
Trading Strategy:
sell@145.500-145.920
TP:144.500-144.000
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145.50 support zone is strong - within the trend line🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news:
➡️USD/JPY extended its losing streak for the third trading day on Thursday. The pair faced selling pressure as the JPY continued to outperform across the board amid hopes that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike interest rates further despite rising global economic uncertainty due to the impact of US President Donald Trump’s tariffs.
➡️ However, Fed Chairman Powell confirmed that despite some easing, the Fed remains dovish and is not ready to move into a sharp rate-cutting cycle. This helped to dampen the bearish momentum in USD/JPY
Personal opinion:
➡️ Despite the decline, USD/JPY remains firmly above the 145.5 mark. The sellers are weakening as they pushed the pair into the oversold zone earlier, this is the time for USD/JPY to recover
➡️ Analyze based on support resistance levels and Trend Lines combined with RSI to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/JPY 145.60 - 145.50
❌SL: 145.15 | ✅TP: 146.00 – 146.50
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USDJPY – Potentially More Volatility AheadUSDJPY experienced a significant move higher at the end of April/beginning of May, as first, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) started to indicate caution towards further interest rate hikes due to the uncertainty caused by the introduction of President Trump’s trade tariffs, a potential negative for the JPY. This was followed by dollar demand linked to Monday’s announcement by US and China trade representatives of a significant de-escalation of tariffs on imports from each country for a 90 day period.
This upside squeeze saw USDJPY trade from a low of 139.89 on April 22nd to a high of 148.65 on Monday May 12th, as FX traders were forced to pare back weak short positions as short term upside resistance levels were broken.
Since then, however, the rally has come to an abrupt halt with USDJPY falling to a low of 145.60 on Wednesday, with a potential catalyst for this drop being a news report outlining currency policy discussions between US and South Korean governments at the start of May which may have led to increased speculation that President Trump’s administration may be open to a weaker dollar.
Looking forward, this pick up in USDJPY volatility may not be finished as traders now have to digest 2 scheduled events today and one overnight that may impact where this popular currency finishes the week.
The first 2 events, includes the earnings and forward guidance from the US retail colossus Walmart (due today before the open) and US Retail Sales data (1330 BST today), which will provide FX traders with an important update on the current appetite of US consumers to spend through the recent trade war upheaval.
Then, overnight the Japanese Preliminary Q1 GDP growth update is due at 0050 BST (Friday). This release could either support the current BoJ caution over further rate hikes, or lead to a potential resurgence of market rate hike expectations, if it comes in stronger than anticipated, with knock on implications for USDJPY volatility into the weekend.
Technical Update: Being Prepared For Further Volatility
It has certainly been an impressive rally in USDJPY, with traders perhaps focusing on the recent close above 145.92 as a potential positive. This level was equal to the May 2nd session high, which might be viewed by some, as opening further attempts to extend recent price strength.
However, within financial markets, psychological round numbers in price can influence trader sentiment, meaning as impressive as latest upside may appear, it might still have to close above 150.00, equal to the round price number evident just above recent activity.
What if the 150.00 resistance holds and fresh weakness emerges?
This week’s activity has so far, seen a price high established at 148.65, posted on Monday, which coupled with the 150.00 psychological resistance, may be an area traders could be focusing on as next possible resistance. They may feel, this 148.65/150.00 range could continue to hold price strength, even attract selling pressure.
A pattern for USDJPY activity in 2025, has been attempts at price strength failing under the previous recovery price highs, as indicated by the pattern of lower highs since the January 10th upside extreme, highlighted on the chart below.
It is far too early to say if this is the case again, but the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to May price strength, which stands at 145.31, might prove an important support.
If this 145.31 level were to give way on a closing basis, it could point to a possible phase of more extended declines, and potential weakness towards 144.28, the deeper 50% level, even 143.24, the 61.8% retracement.
What if 145.31 Support Holds?
If the 145.31 support holds current price weakness, it could be argued, the 148.65/150.00 range is a resistance area we should perhaps watch on a closing basis, if it is challenged over coming sessions.
While not a guarantee of a more sustained phase of price strength, if closes above 148.65/150.00 were to materialise, traders might then look for potential to test higher resistance levels.
Focus could for instance then turn towards tests of the next price failure high, which is represented by 151.21, posted on March 28th 2025, possibly further if this in turn gives way.
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USDJPY 4H BULLISH ZONEBased on the USD/JPY 4-hour chart we provided, the market is currently in an ascending channel. A recent dip from the upper boundary of the channel suggests a possible retracement before a bounce back up. The chart indicates a bullish continuation pattern with a projected move toward the top of the channel and a marked target around 148.725–148.855.
Suggested Buy Trade Setup:
Entry Zone (Buy Limit):
Near the mid-channel or support trendline: 145.50–145.80
Take Profit Levels (TPs):
1. TP1: 147.00 – conservative target (near recent highs)
2. TP2: 148.00 – key resistance and psychological level
3. TP3: 148.725 – top of the channel
4. TP4: 148.855 – potential breakout level or final target
Stop Loss (SL):
Below channel support: 144.80–145.00, depending on risk appetite
USDJPY Short: Video WalkthroughHello, this is the video walkthrough on the USDJPY short idea that I posted 7 hours earlier. Price has since moved down so you would either scale in your short position, or do this on a smaller size based on your risk management. But definitely for this idea, the invalidation point, and thus the stop loss, will be if price moves above the wave Y high.
Good luck!
USDJPY Bullish Reversal Forming Off 4HR Order Block USDJPY is currently showing signs of a **bullish reversal** after reacting to a key 4-hour Order Block. The second leg of a W-pattern has just formed and was accompanied by a clean tweezer bottom on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling potential smart money accumulation.
Yesterday (Wednesday), the first leg developed without any macro news influence, and we saw an internal, irregular W structure with a weak tweezer — possibly engineered to trap early longs and sweep liquidity.
Today, Thursday, the second leg printed with much better symmetry and stronger price action. A textbook tweezer bottom formed on the 1H, supported by clear rejection from the OB and a liquidity sweep — setting up an ideal reversal zone.
Confluences:
✅ Price tap into 4H Order Block
✅ Completed W-pattern with strong second leg
✅ Clean 1H tweezer bottom
✅ Liquidity sweep of previous lows
✅ Upcoming USD CPI News @ 1:30 PM — likely catalyst
Expectations:
Position entered long after tweezer confirmation. A short-term retrace into an unmitigated 15m OB or FVG may occur as part of news-driven volatility, but overall bias remains bullish for continuation unless structure fails.
Invalidation:
Clean 1H/4H candle close below the OB and W-pattern second leg low will invalidate this setup and shift bias back to neutral or bearish.
⚠️ Risk Note:
This analysis is for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Always assess your personal risk tolerance and use proper risk management.
For intraday traders, ensure stop loss is placed beyond the OB or liquidity sweep, and risk no more than 1–2% of your capital per position. News-driven setups carry additional volatility — trade cautiously and never chase price.
USDJPY SHORTFollowing last week’s sustained bullish rally, price has just completed an M formation right above a 4H order block. The second leg of the M coincided with a bearish pin bar on the 1H and a clean bearish engulfing — textbook signs of distribution.
Price Action Insight:
Instead of breaking down immediately, price is returning back toward a minor OB near the second leg — a common smart money trap designed to fake a bullish continuation, trap late buyers, and then engineer liquidity before the real move down begins.
Key Bias:
I am short-biased. Structure has flipped. Liquidity above the M is cleared, and now the market might be looking to deliver into downside inefficiencies. News, in my opinion, will likely act as the catalyst — not the cause — for the next impulse.
What I’m Watching:
OB retest near 4H M-top
Rejection wick or lower timeframe confirmation on retest (15m–1H)
Reaction around 1:30 PM news (USD CPI or relevant event)
Trade Management Tip:
If you’re already in this trade like I am — manage it smartly. Never enter solely based on someone else's idea. Make sure your bias aligns with your own technicals, confirmations, and risk.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just how I see the chart based on structure, liquidity, and price action. Trade your own plan. Stay sharp.
USDJPY 15 MINUTE This chart shows a USD/JPY 15-minute timeframe analysis with a visible trade setup involving a break of a rising trendline:
Bearish Trade Setup: The price broke below the ascending trendline, indicating a potential bearish reversal.
Entry Point: Likely entered just after the trendline break.
Stop Loss: Placed above the recent highs (~148.639).
Take Profit: Set around 146.213, which the price has successfully hit (marked as "target successful").
Pattern: The chart seems to include a possible double top pattern near the circled high, which often signals bearish reversal.
This looks like a well-executed short trade based on classic