USDJPY 1H FORECAST Hello guys, Happy weekend here weekly outlook I hop you are well let me tell you right now that we will buy from here and our target will remain until the resistance area.
USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY Buy analysisIn the Daily timeframe, we are at a very strong key level, and the price was bouncing. In the 4-hour timeframe, I have the minimum requirement for an uptrend to form, and my trendline is broken.
full explanation in the video.
See short position In this trading scenario, we observe that the price has not yet reached its valid support and resistance zone, and we anticipate a potential bearish reversal (price drop)
Indicates Go to uptrendUsd stronger and trend will be uptrend after correction. Look at AO indicator against actual price there is different LL and High
USDJPY Will be continue downWatching USD/JPY for a breakdown below the 139.576 support. Confirmation of this break could lead to a substantial decline with a target around 125.751.
#USDJPY #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Short #Bearish
UJ SellsAfter the 1 hour timeframe fair value gap , looking for price to trade lower to the Daily old lows, let's see what unfolds.
Dollar yen trade BOTTOM sharp rally back to 148The chart posted in $/Yen trade I am calling a BOTTOM this should be good for sp 500 BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER
BOJ Faces Inflation ChallengeThe Japanese yen weakened to around 143 per dollar on Friday, reversing Thursday’s gains as the U.S. dollar rebounded on easing global trade tensions. President Trump reassured markets that U.S.-China trade talks are ongoing, despite China’s denial, and optimism over talks with Japan and South Korea also supported the dollar. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by clarifying he never intended to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
In Japan, Tokyo’s core inflation rose to 3.4% in April, the highest in two years, posing a challenge for the Bank of Japan as it balances rising inflation with external risks from U.S. tariffs. The BOJ is expected to keep rates steady.
Key resistance is at 144.00, with further levels at 145.90 and 146.75. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
Japanese Yen seems poised to appreciate further against weaker UFrom a technical perspective, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is already flashing slightly oversold conditions and warrants some caution for bearish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest bounce before positioning for an extension of the USD/JPY pair's well-established downtrend witnessed over the past three months or so.
In the meantime, attempted recovery might now confront some resistance near the 141.60-141.65 region. This is followed by the 142.00 round figure and the 142.40-142.45 hurdle, above which a fresh bout of a short-covering move could lift the USD/JPY pair to the 143.00 mark en route to the 143.25-143.30 zone. Any further move up, however, might still be seen as a selling opportunity.
On the flip side, a sustained break and acceptance below the 141.00 mark could be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and makes the USD/JPY pair vulnerable. The subsequent downfall below the 140.45-140.40 intermediate support might expose the 140.00 psychological mark. The downward trajectory could extend to the 2024 yearly swing low, around the 139.60-139.55 region.
Yen surges to five-month high as US dollar under pressureThe Japanese yen came flying out of the gates on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 141.00, down 0.79%. Earlier the yen strengthened to 140.47, its strongest level since Sep. 2024.
The US dollar has posted losses against the major currencies on Monday, including against the yen. Investors gave the US dollar a thumbs down after President Trump's top economic advisor said that Trump was considering the dismissal of Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Trump has been increasingly critical of Powell for not lowering interest rates and said last week that "Powell's termination cannot come fast enough". Trump fired his latest salvo after Powell said that US tariffs would raise inflation and that the Fed could find itself having to balance keeping a lid on inflation and supporting economic growth. Powell added that tariffs are "likely to move us further away from our goals".
Powell has insisted that he isn't going anywhere and will serve until the end of his term in May 2026. Can Trump legally fire Powell? That is a complicated legal question, but the markets aren't waiting for an answer and the US dollar has retreated.
Trump's attacks on Powell threaten the independence of the US central bank and is eroding confidence in the US dollar. The dollar is also under pressure from Trump's tariff policy, which has dampened the confidence of foreign investors.
USD/JPY has pushed below support at 141.16. Below, there is support at 140.14.
There is resistance at 142.62 and 143.64
USD_JPY SWING LONG|
✅USD_JPY is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 139.559
After trading in a local downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 141.384
LONG🚀
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USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers,
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Key Points
- U.S. President Trump stated that if China does not negotiate, "the United States will make the decision and set the tariff rates," while White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said, "Negotiations with China are going very well."
- Regarding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, President Trump said, "I have no intention of firing him, but I hope Chairman Powell will be more proactive about the idea of a rate cut."
- The Russian side explained that when the President mentioned the possibility of bilateral talks to ban attacks on civilian targets, it was with negotiations and discussions with Ukraine in mind.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ April 23: U.S. April Manufacturing PMI, U.S. April Services PMI
USDJPY Chart Analysis
Contrary to expectations, the pair showed a downward movement and formed a bottom around the 140 level. A rebound is occurring in this zone, suggesting the potential for a short-term rise. The 144 level is a likely target for the next peak. However, if the 140 level is broken downward, there is a possibility of a decline toward the 135–136 range.
DeGRAM | USDJPY Reached the Lower Channel Boundary📊 Technical Analysis
Descending channel
USD/JPY is trading within a downward channel, recently bouncing off support near 142.00.
Key resistance
The upper boundary near 146 serves as key resistance; a breakout would indicate a trend reversal.
Predictive scenario
Price may retest resistance with potential for further upside if bullish momentum holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
The Fed maintains high rates, while the BoJ remains dovish. The yield gap favors USD strength. Steady US data supports recovery, while global risks may limit JPY demand.
✨ Summary
A bounce from support within the channel aligns with USD-positive fundamentals. Watch 146 for a breakout signal.
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USD/JPY Technical and Fundamental Analysis – April 2025Technical Analysis
The USD/JPY monthly chart reveals a strong bullish breakout from a long-standing consolidation zone, defined as the Long-Term Support Region (circa 101.00–122.00). This breakout confirms a major structural shift, where prior resistance has turned into support, signaling the potential for sustained upside momentum.
Upward Price Break: The breakout is clean and supported by significant volume, suggesting institutional participation. The price broke out of the multi-year range and retested the breakout level, respecting it with a strong bullish impulse.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows Channel: Post-breakout, the pair has entered a rising price channel with clearly defined higher highs and higher lows—an essential indicator of bullish market structure. The pair remains well-supported within this upward sloping channel.
Projected Upside: A measured move target (based on the channel and Fibonacci projections) suggests the next key resistance lies around 165.67, offering a 16.72% potential gain from the breakout zone.
Downside Risk: The nearest support lies at 141.94–142.56. A break below this would challenge the structure, but only a drop beneath 136.06 (channel and prior structure support) would invalidate the bullish outlook.
Technically, the pair is in a medium-to-long-term bullish trend. Traders should consider long setups on pullbacks towards support zones unless key structural levels are broken.
Fundamental Analysis
The current macroeconomic landscape provides a mixed but slightly USD-supportive narrative, which aligns well with the bullish technical chart.
Supportive Factors for USD
Hawkish Fed: Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that interest rate cuts are off the table for now, citing sticky inflation. The upbeat US Retail Sales report (+1.4% in March) further strengthens the USD by highlighting ongoing consumer strength.
Geopolitical Risks: The escalating US-China trade war and the imposition of tariffs on AI chips are boosting demand for USD as a global reserve currency.
JPY-Supportive Factors (Limiting USD/JPY Gains)
BoJ Rate Hike Prospects: Despite some dovish commentary, the BoJ is still expected to raise interest rates in 2025, which should provide medium-term support for the yen.
US-Japan Trade Optimism: Positive trade negotiations between the US and Japan (with a second meeting planned within a 90-day window) could further strengthen the yen if an agreement is reached.
BoJ Concerns on US Tariffs: Governor Ueda hinted that Japan may take policy action if US tariffs hurt their economy. However, the BoJ is also expected to cut its growth forecast, which limits the yen’s upside strength.
Risk Sentiment: Despite recent global jitters, equity markets in Asia and the US are rebounding, slightly reducing the safe-haven demand for JPY.
USD/JPY) demand and supply analysis ); Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
shows a bearish setup for USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
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1. Trend Context:
Downtrend: The pair is clearly in a bearish channel, forming lower highs and lower lows.
200 EMA (~146.297) is above price and sloping down — confirms bearish bias.
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2. Key Zones Identified:
Supply Zone (~144.800–145.200): A strong area of resistance where sellers may re-enter. If price returns here, it’s a potential short setup.
Demand Zone (~142.800–143.100): A possible reaction point where short-term buyers may provide a bounce.
Target Point (~141.168): A projected target if the downtrend continues and demand zone fails.
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3. Expected Scenarios:
Primary Bearish Move:
Price may react from current levels or from the demand zone.
A pullback to the supply zone is expected before continuation downward.
Then, sell-off toward the target zone around 141.168.
Alternate Play:
Price could bounce between the demand and supply zones a bit more before breaking down.
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4. Indicators:
RSI (~46.37): Shows room to the downside before oversold, aligning with bearish momentum.
Mild bullish divergence in RSI recently, suggesting potential for a small pullback or bounce.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of Idea:
This is a sell setup:
Sell entries: Ideal around the supply zone (144.8–145.2).
First target: Demand zone (~143.0)
Final target: 141.168
Invalidation: Break above 146.30 (200 EMA and channel resistance).
pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow,)
SIMPLE PRICE ACTION - don't overcomplicate it!!! SELL USDJPYAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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USDJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my USDJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
USD/JPY: Buy Opportunity from Key Demand ZoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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EUR/NZD Short and USD/JPY ShortEUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Usdjpy 23 Apr 2025Mr market finally had some reason to unwind and take those huge profit from the shorts
Price had closed above the channel and supported, am looking for it to retest previous high
Ideally if it can reach 148 region, it will be a great spot to short
USDJPY-bias long Bullish indications:
Major support respected
Inverted HS formation in 15 min time frame.
Inverted hammer candle in 4 hr
Bullish divergence in 1 hr
Trend line resistance broken .
Bearish indications:
Lower lows lower highs.
Trade plan bias long @ 140.815
SL:140.429
TP1:141.300
TP2:141.708
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 23 April 2025
- USDJPY reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 144.65
USDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the long-term support level 140.00 (former multi-month low from September) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous sharp downward impulse wave 3 of the higher impulse wave (3) from February.
Given the strength of the support level 140.00 and the strongly bearish yen sentiment seen today, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 144.65 (former support from the start of April).
