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USDJPY trade ideas

Stop loss for USDJPYNow , if you have not followed the story of this pair, USDJPY, please go read my strategy here That is the big big picture, like looking at the forest from the helicopter view. Now, let's go into the woods to see clearer. In the 4H chart, we can see that we are now locked in a range between 142.46 and 144.48 price level. Assuming you want to short after you are convinced of my take on US dollar story and safe haven assets like Yen, Euro,etc , then where would you put your SL ? 25 May and 4 Jun - there were two resistance points where price fails to break above. Now, our price is going to revisit this resistance zone again. If you based on the high of 29 May candle as the point to place your SL, it appears too high. It was a false breakout on hindsight. I am placing my own SL on the 3rd red candle around 145.433. I calculated I can short 0.8 contract with a 50 points SL and I would need to pay around 189 . This fulfils my 2% per trade principle based on 1000 capital. With this in mind, to add on to my winners, I would have to make sure that I do not allow my emotions of greed and fear to magnify my SL nor increase my position size unnecessarily. This is very important. No matter how confident you think the market is going with you, anything can happen in the market and if you are WRONG, how much are you willing to pay? If you do it on impulse with pre calculation, then your emotions will take over especially if you get stopped out and wanted to do a revenge trade. Oh, tell me about it, so many times I have done that and lost money ! Hope this is useful for some of you.......
Short
by dchua1969
USDJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 143.192. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 144.216 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY: Will This CRT FVG Hold After the PWL Sweep?Price action on USDJPY reflects a clean execution of Candle Range Theory (CRT). Following a sweep of the Previous Week’s Low (PWL), price reacted from a higher timeframe demand zone, grabbing sell-side liquidity before printing a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). This BOS confirmed a shift in market intent and set the stage for a retracement into a clearly defined Fair Value Gap (FVG). I refined the entry on the 4H chart, waiting for price to return to the FVG zone, with risk placed just below the sweep wick. The target is mapped to the next logical supply above a cluster of equal highs and prior inefficiency. This setup reflects a high-conviction CRT play, built from top-down analysis and confluences rooted in market structure, liquidity, and imbalance logic.
Long
by Crusade1Jay
USD/JPY Falls to Near 144.20 Amid Dollar Weakness The USD/JPY currency pair has reversed its early gains and is trading near 144.20 during Wednesday’s European session. This pullback comes as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to maintain the momentum of Tuesday's recovery. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies, has retreated from its intraday high of 99.85 and is stabilizing around 99.50, signaling a lack of bullish follow-through. Key Drivers: Weaker USD sentiment is weighing on the pair, likely influenced by a shift in US Treasury yields or expectations regarding future Fed rate moves. A stronger Japanese Yen could also be at play, potentially supported by safe-haven demand or policy signals from the Bank of Japan. Technical Perspective: If USD/JPY continues to decline, the next support level might be found near 144.00, followed by 143.50. On the upside, resistance is seen near 145.00, a psychological and technical barrier.
by Blueberry
USDJPY TRADING ROADMAP 09 - 13 JUNI 2025📈 USDJPY TRADING ROADMAP Trading Plan & Market Outlook The USDJPY pair is currently in a bullish phase and is expected to continue rising toward the Supply Zone between 146.765 – 147.664, as long as price action holds above the key Demand Zone at 142.273 – 141.426. 🔹 Trading Plan: Primary Trend: Bullish (price heading to supply zone) Demand Zone (Support): 142.273 – 141.426 → This zone acts as the trend validation and risk threshold Supply Zone (Resistance): 146.765 – 147.664 → Potential target zone for bullish continuation Risk Management: As long as price stays above 141.426, the bullish outlook remains valid. A break below this level may signal a shift in market direction. 📌 Key Notes: Wait for price action confirmation near zones before taking entry. Use proper position sizing and risk-reward ratios. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER ON This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and use appropriate risk management.
Long
by magnettrader_id
USD/JPY H1 | Overlap Resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci RetracementUSD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 143.88 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 144.55 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 143.02 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
USDJPY – Diverging Policies Drive Yen into Pressure Zone near 14USDJPY – Diverging Policies Drive Yen into Pressure Zone near 144 🌍 Macro Landscape: JPY Stuck Between Two Diverging Forces In recent weeks, the US dollar has regained strength as the Federal Reserve remains committed to its "higher-for-longer" interest rate stance. On the flip side, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is maintaining an ultra-loose monetary policy, widening the yield spread between the USD and JPY, and putting pressure on the yen. The surge in US 10-year yields toward 4.5% is further dampening demand for JPY as a safe haven, prompting institutional capital outflows from the yen and inflows into USD-based assets. 🏦 Central Bank Policy Divergence: Fed Remains Firm, BoJ Stays Dovish Federal Reserve: FOMC members continue to signal patience on rate cuts. Recent inflation data (PCE, CPI) shows sticky price pressure, especially in services. Bank of Japan: BoJ remains hesitant to normalize policy despite inflation consistently above the 2% target. This policy divergence is reminiscent of the conditions that pushed USDJPY above 151 last year — and current dynamics hint that history may repeat. 🌐 Capital Flows: JPY Loses Safe-Haven Appeal Global capital flow models indicate a major shift. While gold and the US dollar are once again sought-after hedges amid US-China tensions and EU fiscal risk, the Japanese yen is being overlooked. Japan’s debt-to-GDP ratio — the highest in the G7 — forces BoJ to maintain low rates to keep the fiscal structure sustainable. As a result, JPY is no longer viewed as a reliable store of safety. 📊 Technical Structure: Momentum Building Toward 144.1 On the H1 chart: Price bounced sharply from the 142.33 demand zone, forming a higher low. EMA 13 – 34 – 89 show a bullish alignment ("fan-out formation") confirming short-term bullish momentum. Resistance near 144.13–144.20 is key: a clean breakout could trigger an extended rally to 145.00+ However, this zone may also trigger profit-taking, especially if traders react to upcoming macro data. 🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations Scenario 1 – Buy the Pullback (Preferred): Entry: 142.70 – 142.90 Stop-Loss: 142.30 Take-Profit: 143.80 → 144.13 → 144.60 Scenario 2 – Breakout Momentum Buy: Entry: 144.15 Stop-Loss: 143.70 Take-Profit: 145.00 → 145.50 ⚠️ Key Events to Watch: US PCE Price Index (April): If hotter-than-expected, this would reinforce the Fed’s hawkish tone and lift USD. BoJ Governor Speech (end of week): Any unexpected hawkish shift could trigger a short-term rebound in JPY.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
10
USD/JPY Triangle Squeeze – Watch for Breakout or BreakdownThe USD/JPY pair is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with a descending resistance line (red) and a rising support line (green), clearly defining a consolidation phase. This type of price structure indicates growing indecision in the market, where buyers are stepping in at higher lows, while sellers are capping gains at lower highs. Such formations usually precede a strong breakout or breakdown move, as pressure builds up toward the apex of the triangle. 🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario If the price breaks above the descending resistance trendline, it will confirm a bullish breakout from the triangle. This would signal that buyers are regaining control and could trigger an impulsive rally toward the 145.50–146.50 area. The upside potential is supported by the structure of higher lows forming from May 27th onward, suggesting building bullish pressure. A successful breakout above 143.30–143.50, ideally with a retest and bullish candle confirmation, could offer a high-probability long setup with targets extending toward the previous swing highs. 🔽 Bearish Breakdown Scenario On the flip side, if the price breaks below the rising support line, a bearish continuation could unfold, targeting levels as low as 140.00–139.50. This would indicate that sellers have overcome the ascending demand and could lead to a retest of prior support levels. A breakdown below 142.30 with strong bearish volume would be a key signal to short, especially if the market rejects further attempts to climb back into the triangle zone. 🧠 Strategy Outlook This is a neutral setup until either side is broken. Traders should wait for confirmation of breakout or breakdown before entering. Once confirmed, a simple breakout trading strategy can be applied: For longs: buy after breakout and retest above resistance For shorts: sell after breakdown and retest below support Stop losses can be placed just below the support for bullish trades and just above the resistance for bearish ones, ensuring clean invalidation levels. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by TradZoo
Bullish rise off pullback support?USD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Pivot: 143.45 1st Support: 143.08 1st Resistance: 144.42 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
JPY/USD Bullish bias following BOS and FVG respect.1. Order Block (OB) – Bottom-left (late March to early April): Marked in green with a red overlay. Indicates institutional buying pressure — a likely demand zone where price began its bullish run. Price later respects this level, showing accumulation behavior. 2. Trend Line Channel – Mid-April: A parallel ascending channel (blue and red zone). Price respected the upper and lower bounds, indicating bullish momentum. Eventually led to a Fair Value Gap (FVG) breakout. 3. FVG (Fair Value Gap) – Mid-April: Highlighted as an inefficiency in price where a rapid bullish move occurred. Typically a magnet for price to retrace and fill the gap before continuation or reversal. Price respected this zone, confirming its significance. 4. Trend Lane / Demand Zone – Late April to Early May: Green box labeled "TREND-LANE." Significant support area; market structure shifted upward after testing this zone. 5. Opening Gap – Mid-May: Market opened with a gap down and then rallied. Indicates a potential imbalance or reaction to news. Often used as a liquidity pocket or point of interest. 6. BOS (Break of Structure) – Late May: Circled and labeled clearly. A bullish BOS indicating a potential reversal or confirmation of a bullish trend. Sets the stage for a long setup. --- 📈 Trade Setup Insight Current Price Zone: Around 0.00702 Entry: Around 0.00702 (Buy zone) Risk Zone: Red box below entry — stop loss placed just below a minor support level (~0.006913) Target Zone: Green box above entry — target around 0.00722+ Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Favorable, appears to be at least 2:1 --- 🔍 Technical Analysis Summary Market Structure: Bullish bias following BOS and FVG respect. Smart Money Concepts in Play: Order block ➜ Entry zone Fair Value Gap ➜ Magnet for retracement Break of Structure ➜ Trend confirmation Liquidity Engineering: Stop-hunts visible before major moves Gap fill and OB bounce suggest institutional activity --- 🧭 Projection 📌 Expectation is a bullish continuation towards the upper target zone (~0.00722), especially if price retests the breakout level (shown with the “N” retracement path).
Long
by Johnson67