Falling Wedge Breakout in Play? Key Levels to Watch!After analyzing the chart across multiple timeframes, we have identified a Falling Wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish breakout. Additionally, bullish divergence is visible on most timeframes, reinforcing the likelihood of upward momentum.
Currently, the price is trading above a strong support level at 146.213, indicating a solid base. Our nearest resistance stands at 147.807—a breakout above this level could pave the way for further gains. The next key targets align with the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels, offering potential profit opportunities.
As always, stick to your risk management strategy to protect your capital. Stay disciplined and trade wisely!
USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY INTRADAY Key Trading LevelsThe USD/JPY price action sentiment appears bearish, aligned with the prevailing long-term downtrend. Recent price movements suggest potential for continued downward pressure, with a key resistance level in focus.
Key Levels and Price Action
The critical trading level to watch is 150.60, which marks the current intraday swing high and the falling resistance trendline. A corrective oversold rally towards this level, followed by a bearish rejection, could indicate continued downside momentum. In this scenario, the next downside targets would be 148.75, followed by 147.25 and 146.30 over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 150.60, supported by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. Such a breakout could open the door for further rallies higher, with potential resistance levels at 151.46 and 153.00.
Conclusion
The sentiment remains bearish as long as the 150.60 resistance level holds, with potential downside targets at 148.75, 147.25, and 146.30. A breakout above 150.60 would shift the outlook to bullish, suggesting a move towards 151.46 and 153.00. Traders should carefully monitor price action and daily closes around the 150.60 level to assess any sentiment shifts.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
[STRONG BUY SIGNAL] USD/JPY – Inverse Head & Shoulders Setup### 🟢📈 ** USD/JPY – Inverse Head & Shoulders Setup!** 🚀
#### **🔍 Trade Setup Breakdown:**
📌 **Pattern:** Inverse Head & Shoulders (Bullish Reversal)
📍 **Entry Point:** **148.700** ✅ (Breakout Confirmation)
⛔ **Stop-Loss (SL):** **147.000** ❌ (Below Right Shoulder for Protection)
🎯 **Target (TP):** **150.000** 🎯 (Measured Move from Head to Neckline)
📊 **EMA 50 Confirmation:** If price stays **above 50 EMA**, bullish momentum strengthens! 🔼
#### **💰 Risk Management (Trade Smart!)**
⚖️ **Risk per Trade:** **170 pips** (148.700 - 147.000)
💎 **Potential Reward:** **130 pips** (150.000 - 148.700)
📊 **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):** **1:1.76** – A well-balanced trade setup! ✅
#### **🎯 Trade Execution Tips:**
✔️ **Wait for a Clean Breakout & Retest** at **148.700** before entering! 🚀
✔️ **Monitor EMA 50** for trend confirmation 📈
✔️ **Stick to Proper Position Sizing** – No Overleveraging! 💰
✔️ **Exit if Price Drops Below 147.000** – Control Your Risk! 🚦
🔥 **This setup indicates a strong bullish reversal! Stay disciplined & trade smart!** 💪💵
Manipulation followed by a liquidity grab, then a continuation I expect a liquidity grab near the 147 level to trigger a temporary bullish move, aiming to take out the buy-side liquidity above 148.167. The Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are less likely to play a significant role. Price may then reach around 149.322, and once the buy-side liquidity is taken, the overall bearish trend should resume.
USDJPY My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.21
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 148.63
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Yen's Rise and the Risk of Currency VolatilityThe Japanese yen strengthened to 147 per dollar on Tuesday, its highest in five months, as US recession fears drove investors to long-term trusted assets. Trump's reluctance to dismiss recession risks, along with trade policy uncertainty, added to yen demand.
Japan's economic outlook weakened as Q4 GDP growth was revised down to 2.2% from 2.8%, reflecting weak private consumption. Despite this, the BOJ is expected to keep rates steady in March, with potential hikes later. Finance Minister Shunichi Kato cautioned against excessive currency volatility amid the yen’s rapid gains.
Key resistance is at 149.20, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
USDJPY Falling wedge potential USD/JPY – Daily Chart Analysis (March 12, 2025)
Market Structure & Key Levels:
Current Price: 148.358
The pair is in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows after breaking a key ascending trendline.
Key Resistance: 149.252 (previous support, now acting as resistance).
Key Support: 140.000 – 142.000 zone (highlighted in purple, strong demand area).
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
A break back above 149.252 could signal trend reversal, potentially pushing USD/JPY toward 152-155 levels.
Confirmation would come from higher volume and RSI breaking above 50.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to break 149.252, further downside is likely.
A break below 148.000 could accelerate the decline toward 140.000 support zone.
RSI & Momentum Analysis:
RSI (14) is at 35.77, indicating bearish momentum but nearing oversold conditions.
RSI divergence is not visible yet, meaning the downtrend still has momentum unless buyers step in.
Key Takeaway:
Bearish Bias unless 149.252 is reclaimed.
Key support to watch: 140.000 – 142.000 zone.
Trade Idea:
Sell below 148.000 → Target 142.000.
Buy above 149.252 → Target 152.000+.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 12, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continued to lose ground against its US counterpart for the second day in a row and moved away from the highest level since October, reached the previous day. Fears that US President Donald Trump may impose new tariffs against Japan have proved to be key factors undermining the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid hawkish expectations from the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
Data released today showed that Japan's annual wholesale inflation, the Producer Price Index (PPI), rose by 4.0% in February, indicating that inflationary pressures are intensifying. In addition, hopes that the sharp wage increases seen last year will continue into this year support the market's growing confidence that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further. This, should serve as a tailwind for the low-yielding yen and help limit losses.
In addition, lingering concerns over the possible economic consequences of Trump's trade policies and a global trade war should support the JPY. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, is near multi-month lows amid expectations that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy will force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut borrowing costs several times this year. This should help limit the USD/JPY pair's rise.
Trade recommendation: SELL 148.35, SL 148.95, TP 147.35
USD/JPY - 1H Chart Analysis📊 USD/JPY - 1H Chart Analysis
🔹 Current Price: 148.242
🔹 Market Structure: Testing a key resistance/supply zone
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🔻 Resistance Zone (Sell Area): 148.083 - 148.236
🟢 Support Zone (Buy Area): 146.797
📈 Bullish Scenario:
✅ If USD/JPY breaks and holds above 148.236, it may rally towards 149.247 as the next target.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
🔻 A rejection at the 148.083 - 148.236 zone could send the price back down towards 146.797.
💡 Trading Plan:
🎯 Buy Setup: Break & retest of 148.236 for continuation toward 149.247.
🎯 Sell Setup: Rejection at the supply zone for a short trade targeting 146.797.
🎯 Risk Management: Stop-loss above resistance for shorts, below support for longs.
#FXFOREVER #USDJPY #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
USD/JPY - 4H Supply Still UntappedThe 4H structure is bearish, with a clear break to the downside. However, there’s an unmitigated 4H supply zone that price has yet to tap into. My plan is to ride the bullish move on the 30M for a continuation up into the 4H order block before reassessing for potential shorts.
Waiting for price to confirm, but the setup is lining up clean. Let’s see how it plays out.
Bless Trading!
USDJPY H1 – Approaching Head & Shoulders Neckline Breakout USDJPY is currently testing a key resistance level at the Neckline of a Head and Shoulders pattern on the H1 timeframe. This level has acted as a strong barrier in recent sessions, and a confirmed breakout could indicate a shift in market structure, leading to a bullish continuation.
The price has retraced to key Fibonacci levels, showing potential for an impulsive move if buyers gain control. A successful breakout could align with Wave 3, a high-momentum phase in Elliott Wave Theory, pushing the price toward the 161.8% Fibonacci extension at 149.50.
Trade Plan
- Breakout Confirmation: Looking for price to close above the neckline with strong momentum before considering entry.
- Target: Fibonacci 161.8% (149.50), aligning with potential Wave 3 expansion.
- Stop Loss: Placed at 147.60 (Pocket Pivot) to manage risk effectively.
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 3X, ensuring a favorable reward-to-risk setup.
Key Factors to Watch
- Rejection vs. Breakout: If the price fails to break above the neckline, it may lead to a rejection and a short-term pullback.
- Volume Confirmation: A breakout with high volume would add further conviction to the trade idea.
- Market Sentiment: Keep an eye on macroeconomic factors and USD strength, which could influence price action.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
I'm buying USDJPYMy initial entry was early. Now, I've all the confirmations I need with yen index making lower lows. We rode the trend down, i think it is now time to ride it up.
I would love to have traded GJ but due to the weakness of dollar, i couldnt find a good entry on time.
Now to UJ
I'm looking to add new positions at 147.6 if the market offers
You can go to lower time frame and scout for better entry but I think the market is ready to rise.
Your stops will be better protected if at 147 but I dont think the market should romance with the downside any further
USD-JPY Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY has made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 146.540 and we are already
Seeing a bullish rebound
From where we will be
Expecting further move up
Buy!
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