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USDJPY trade ideas

CPI Data & Trend Rejection – Precision Trading on USDJPY🚀 High-Impact CPI Data Moves Markets – Smart Traders Win! 🚀 This trade was executed with precision using a clear downtrend, key rejection zone, and market reaction to CPI data. Combining technical confluence with fundamental catalysts, we secured a solid 1:5 RR setup. 📉 Expert analysis confirms trend strength after inflation data! ✅ Strong break of the downward trend – Clear technical confirmation of bearish momentum. ✅ CPI impact on the markets – High volatility creates golden opportunities! 🔍 Technical indicators confirmed the entry from the rejection zone (AOI). ✅ Price reacted perfectly to the analysis, securing a solid 1:5 RR! 📢 This is the power of combining technical and fundamental analysis – trading smart, not random! 💬 Drop your analysis in the comments & follow for more top-tier setups! 🚀📉 #Forex #GoldTrading #USDJPY #CPI #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #FinancialMarkets #SmartTrading
Education
by hamidTrader21
Japanese yen roller-coaster ride continuesThe Japanese yen continues to take investors and traders on a roller-coaster ride. After climbing 1.2% on Wednesday, USD/JPY gave almost all of those gains on Thursday, declining 1.05%. The yen has taken a breather today and is trading at 152.63 in the European session, down 0.19% on the day. Producer prices in Japan climbed 4.2% y/y in January, up from an upwardly revised 3.9% in December and above the market estimate of 4.0%.  PPI accelerated for a fifth consecutive month and posted its highest level since May 2023.  The gain was driven by higher food prices.  Monthly, PPI eased to 0.3%, down from 0.4% in December and in line with the market estimate. The hotter-than-expected PPI report reflects persistent inflationary pressures and follows the core CPI reading for December, which hit 3%, its highest annual level in 16 months.  With inflation moving higher, expectations are growing that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further in the near term. The Bank has signaled that it will raise rates if wage growth increases and keeps inflation sustainable at the BoJ's 2% target.  In anticipation of higher interest rates, Japan's 10-year bond yields have been rising and are close to a 15-year high. In the US, the PPI release showed little change in January.  PPI rose 0.4% m/m, after an upwardly revised 0.5% gain in December.  This was higher than the market estimate of 0.3%.  Annually, PPI rose 3.5%, after an upwardly revised 3.5% gain in December. The US wraps up the week with the January retail sales report.  The markets are bracing for a contraction, with a market estimate of -0.1%, after the 0.4% gain in December.  Annually, retail sales are expected to dip to 3.7%, after a 3.9% gain in December. USD/JPY is testing support at 152.73.  Below, there is support at 152.29 153.00 and 153.44 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
USDJPY downtrend continues capped by resistance at 155.50 The USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDJPY CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONFIRM TARGET WIN USD/JPY Chart Technical Analysis: TARGET WIN! Congratulations on a successful trade! Your technical analysis skills and market insight have paid off, and you've reached your target on the USD/JPY chart! Take a moment to review your strategy and analyze what worked well. This will help you refine your approach and achieve even more success in your future trades! What's your next move? Are you setting new targets, adjusting your strategy, or taking a break?
Short
by DavidHills110
Yen Rallies as Trump Delays TariffsThe Japanese yen traded around 153 per dollar on Friday, following a 1% gain in the previous session. The yen strengthened as the dollar retreated sharply after President Trump delayed reciprocal tariffs, easing concerns over escalating trade tensions. The latest US PPI report also hinted that core PCE inflation, the Fed’s key metric due later this month, could come in lower than expected. Japan’s Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa stated that Japan would respond appropriately to any US reciprocal tariffs, while the Bank of Japan’s hawkish stance continued to support the yen. Although uncertainty remains about a potential rate hike in March, the central bank is widely expected to introduce further increases later this year. Technically, 154.90 is the key resistance level, with further targets at 156.00 and 157.00. On the downside, 151.90 is the first major support, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the pair moves lower.
by ChartMage
USDJPY M15 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the M15 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 152.70, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 153.27, an overlap resistance. The stop loss is placed at 152.26, below a multi-swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 152.72 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 151.20 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Take profit: 154.64 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group. Update idea Add note VantageMarkets Also on:
Long
by VantageMarkets
USDD/JPY bulls eye 156A hot set of inflation figures from the US alongside risk-on outflows from then yen helped USD/JPY post its best daily gain of the year. While the daily chart shows Wednesday's high stalled at trend resistance, but the strong bullish trend on the 1-hour chart suggests its more likely we'll see an upside break of it than not. The 50-day SMA at 155.22 makes a potential interim target for bulls, a break above which brings the monthly pivot point near the 156 handle into focus. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
USDJPY USD/JPY represents the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen. It is one of the most traded currency pairs in the forex market, known for its liquidity and volatility. The pair is influenced by interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), as well as economic data, inflation reports, and global risk sentiment. The Japanese yen is often considered a safe-haven currency, meaning it strengthens during economic uncertainty. USD/JPY sees the highest trading activity during the Asian and U.S. trading sessions, making it popular among forex traders.
Long
by HavalMamar
Reciprocal tariffs teased, markets react President Donald Trump has just signed a sweeping reciprocal tariff plan. The directive instructs the U.S. to develop new levies on a country-by-country basis but stopped short of implementing any immediate levies. The Dow reached an intraday high after the market realized the reciprocal tariff process could take weeks or months. In forex, the biggest gainers have been the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc, although the British pound is performing well too. Wells Fargo predict that the tariffs could slow economic growth this year, describing them as a “modest stagflationary shock”. A study from the Peterson Institute estimates that existing import tariffs on Chinese, Mexican, and Canadian goods already cost the average American household over $1,200 annually, with reciprocal tariffs likely adding to that burden.
by BlackBull_Markets
USD/JPY Technical Analysis – February 13, 2025 By BrokerirMarket Overview The USD/JPY pair has been experiencing a sharp decline, forming a strong downtrend over the past few hours. The price has dropped from a local high near 153.700 to the current level around 153.012. The downward momentum has been consistent, with little sign of immediate recovery. However, certain technical indicators suggest that a potential reversal could be on the horizon. Key Support and Resistance Levels • Support: 152.971 (Current intraday support) • Resistance: 153.345 (Projected retracement level) The price action suggests that the 152.971 level is acting as a crucial support zone. A bounce from this level could trigger a corrective move toward the 153.345 resistance area, where previous price consolidation occurred. Technical Indicators & Momentum Analysis MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) • The MACD histogram is in the negative zone but is showing signs of contraction, indicating a potential slowdown in bearish momentum. • The signal line is beginning to turn upward, which may suggest an upcoming bullish crossover. Price Action & Structure • The overall structure remains bearish in the short term, but the presence of exhaustion at the current support level hints at a possible corrective retracement. • The price is currently testing a key demand zone, which has historically acted as a strong support area. Potential Scenario If buying pressure increases from the 152.971 support zone, we could see a corrective move toward the 153.345 resistance area. However, if the price fails to hold this support, further downside toward 152.900 and beyond could be expected. Conclusion The USD/JPY pair is at a critical juncture. While the immediate trend remains bearish, technical indicators suggest that a potential short-term rebound could be in play. Traders should closely monitor the price action around the 152.971 level and watch for confirmation signals before anticipating a trend reversal. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by SasanHATAM
5
USDJPYShort Fundamental Analysis – USD/JPY 1. Context • Federal Reserve (Fed) • Maintains high interest rates to combat persistent inflation in the US. • Solid macro data (GDP ~+2.6%, unemployment ~3.7%) supports a strong US dollar. • Bank of Japan (BoJ) • Continues an ultra-loose monetary policy with interest rates near zero. • Possible minor tweaks (e.g., yield curve control adjustments), but no firm signal of a major tightening cycle yet. 2. Possible Direction • Bias: Bullish for USD/JPY, driven by the favorable interest rate differential for the dollar and the lack of clear indication that the BoJ will abandon its ultra-accommodative stance. • Alternate Scenario: • A more “hawkish” tone from the BoJ (e.g., rate hikes, withdrawing yield curve control) could trigger sharp downward corrections in USD/JPY. 3. Factors to Watch This Week 1. US Economic Data: Indicators like Inflation (CPI/PCE) and Labor Market (NFP, Unemployment) can strengthen or weaken the dollar. 2. BoJ Communications: Any unusually firm signals of tightening could boost the yen. 3. Geopolitical Events: In periods of uncertainty, the yen may act as a safe haven, potentially tempering USD/JPY’s bullish momentum. 4. Overall Conclusion • USD remains strong due to higher rates and a resilient US economy. • JPY stays under pressure given the BoJ’s very accommodative policy. • In the absence of major surprises from Japan, the upward trend in USD/JPY is likely to remain intact in the near to medium term. Disclaimer This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. Financial markets can be volatile and carry significant risks. Always align your strategy with your personal risk profile and consult official sources before making trading decisions.
by SkylimitBreakPoint