USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY Sell nowUSDJPY sell now Setup is drawn based on market could not make HH in the market which is sign that market will restest the Trend support line again. Accordingly TPs and SL is choosen carefully. one should not risk more than 1% in this trade.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 2, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) fails to capitalise on the previous day's modest gains against its US counterpart and attracts fresh sellers during Wednesday's Asian session. The USD/JPY pair, however, remains in the range it has been in since the beginning of this week as traders await a new catalyst before positioning for the next leg of directional movement. As such, attention will remain focused on US President Donald Trump's announcement of retaliatory tariffs later today.
Meanwhile, speculation that the slowdown in the economy caused by the tariffs may force the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to keep policy steady for now is undermining the yen. However, investors seem convinced that the BoJ will continue to raise interest rates amid signs of rising inflation in Japan. This is a significant divergence from the growing confidence that the Federal Reserve (BoJ) will resume its rate-cutting cycle in June, and should support the lower-yielding Japanese Yen.
Trade recommendation: SELL 150.00, SL 150.90, TP 148.60
USD/JPY(20250328)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
150.74
Support and resistance levels
151.83
151.42
151.16
150.32
150.06
149.66
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 151.16, consider buying, the first target price is 151.42
If the price breaks through 150.74, consider selling, the first target price is 150.32
USDJPY ShortUSDJPY is now net Short on the regression break.
I am not taking this trade due to the heavy daily roll.
UJ continuation?as said, prev sessions high are taken out but price hasnt taken out the POI (PDH)
OB identified SM buys? cant say as this is just my view 30 pips target
if u missed early buy u can hop on the continuation until prev day is taken nevertheless trade with caution. Tradingview wont let me publish 5min so i made a video.. wait mss now weve experienced an LQ sweep + inducement.
drop your view
USDJPY Reversal: Bearish Momentum Builds Below Key ResistanceUSDJPY pair is showing signs of a bearish reversal after rejecting a key resistance zone near 151.241. The price has failed to sustain bullish momentum and has formed a potential double-top/wedge structure, indicating a shift in trend.
Key Resistance: 151.241 - 152.097 (Strong supply zone)
Bearish Confirmation: Break below 149.592 confirms downside continuation.
Key Downside Targets: 148.195, 146.990, and 145.855 as major support zones.
If sellers maintain pressure, a deeper pullback toward the 145.855 - 145.824 region could be expected. However, a break above 152.097 would invalidate the bearish setup and could push the price toward 154.090.
FRIDAY LAST BULL PUMP BEFORE DUMP NEXT WEEKThis will be my last trade for this week, i took buy 15m as you can see on the chart
have 3 target plan AS SEEN ON THE CHART
I dont think we will go any lower then here today
Any way let see
RR 1:15 if works out not bad trade
Holla
JPY/USD: Bearish Triangle Pattern Breakout Towards TargetChart Pattern: Triangle Pattern
Pattern Description
Type: The chart identifies a Triangle Pattern, which is a type of consolidation pattern that can act as either a continuation or reversal pattern depending on the preceding trend and the breakout direction. Triangles are characterized by converging trendlines, indicating a period of indecision in the market as the price range narrows.
Specific Type: This appears to be a Symmetrical Triangle, as the upper and lower trendlines converge at a similar angle, suggesting neither buyers nor sellers have clear control during the consolidation phase.
Appearance on the Chart:
The Triangle Pattern is marked with two converging trendlines:
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward.
Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the higher lows, sloping upward.
The pattern began forming around March 27, after a sharp downtrend, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025.
Breakout Direction:
Symmetrical Triangles can break out in either direction, but they often continue the preceding trend. In this case, the preceding trend was bearish (a sharp decline from 0.006720 to 0.006640), and the breakout is to the downside, confirming a bearish continuation.
The chart shows the price breaking below the lower trendline of the triangle around April 2, 2025, with a strong bearish candle, indicating a confirmed bearish breakout.
Key Levels and Trading Setup
1. Support Level
A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.006640 (approximately 0.00664–0.00665).
This level acted as a base during the triangle formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 28 and March 31).
The price has now broken below this support, turning it into a resistance level on any potential retest.
2. Resistance Level
A resistance zone is marked around 0.006705 (approximately 0.00670–0.00671).
This level corresponds to a previous high within the triangle and aligns with the upper boundary of the triangle at the time of the breakout.
After the breakout, this resistance level is where the stop loss is placed, as a move back above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
3. Target
The target for the breakout is projected at 0.006599 (approximately 0.00660).
This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the triangle at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance downward from the breakout point.
The chart indicates a potential move of -0.000604 (-0.96%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 0.006654) to the target (0.006599).
4. Stop Loss
A stop loss is suggested above the resistance level at 0.006705.
This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price moves back above the triangle’s lower trendline (now acting as resistance), the trade is exited with a manageable loss.
Trading Setup Summary
Entry:
The setup suggests entering a short (sell) position after the price breaks below the lower trendline of the Triangle Pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bearish candle closing below the trendline at approximately 0.006654.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss above the resistance level at 0.006705 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (0.006654) to the stop loss (0.006705) is 0.000051, representing the risk on the trade.
Take Profit/Target:
Aim for the target at 0.006599, which is the projected price objective based on the triangle’s height. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.000055, or a 0.96% move.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk is 0.000051 (from 0.006654 to 0.006705), and the reward is 0.000055 (from 0.006654 to 0.006599), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08 (0.000055 / 0.000051). While this ratio is slightly above 1:1, it’s on the lower side for a typical trading setup, so traders should ensure high confidence in the breakout.
Additional Observations
Price Action Context:
Before the triangle formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 0.006720 (March 23) to 0.006640 (March 27), indicating a strong bearish trend.
The triangle represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the downside breakout suggests a continuation of the bearish momentum.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a triangle breakout would include:
An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong selling pressure.
Bearish momentum signals, such as an RSI below 50 or a bearish MACD crossover.
Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength.
Timeframe:
This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day.
Market Context:
USD/JPY is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Japanese yen safe-haven demand, and interest rate differentials. A bearish move in USD/JPY could be driven by a stronger yen (e.g., due to risk-off sentiment) or a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data).
Conclusion
The TradingView idea presents a bearish setup for USD/JPY based on a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken below the triangle’s lower trendline, confirming a bearish continuation with a target of 0.006599. The setup includes a stop loss at 0.006705 to manage risk, offering a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08. Key levels to watch include the former support (now resistance) at 0.006640 and the resistance at 0.006705. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
USD/JPY(20250402)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
149.55
Support and resistance levels
150.70
150.27
149.99
149.11
148.83
148.40
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 149.99, consider buying, the first target price is 150.27
If the price breaks through 149.55, consider selling, the first target price is 149.11
usdjpy looking bearish Formed Ascending channel And seems Like Japanese Yen Turned Bearish, Currently Testing Ascending Channel's Trendline, Incase Of Breakout It Can Provide 200 Pips Bearish Move.
Not enough strengthNot enough strength for a break up of the descending channel. I think is going to be rejects again and drop to the bottom of the channel. Be careful of a fake out, SL triggers only if a daily candle closes above the resistance.
Usdjpy sell ideaWe’ve seen a clear ChOCh on UJ..prices however has reacted off our decisional orderblock I’m shorting
usdjpy road mapWeakly time frame we are in side way now, 90% of my trades was short this month, it is simple and clear.
JPY/USD Weekly Forecast – Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish MoveChart Overview
This chart presents a technical analysis of the Japanese Yen (JPY) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) on a daily timeframe, published on TradingView. The setup is based on a Falling Wedge pattern, which has led to a bullish breakout, signaling a potential price rally. Let's break it down step by step.
1️⃣ Identifying the Pattern – Falling Wedge Formation
The primary pattern identified in the chart is a Falling Wedge, which is a well-known bullish reversal pattern.
Characteristics of the Falling Wedge in this Chart:
Two downward-sloping trendlines (black lines) forming a wedge shape.
Price makes lower highs and lower lows, but the distance between highs and lows gradually narrows.
The breakout occurs when price closes above the upper trendline, confirming a potential uptrend.
Key Observations:
✅ The pattern starts forming around September 2024 and continues until December 2024.
✅ A breakout occurs at the end of December 2024, confirming bullish momentum.
✅ After breaking out, the price retests the wedge's upper boundary, acting as new support before continuing upward.
2️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones – Key Price Levels
Support Level:
The support zone is marked in a beige rectangle at the bottom of the chart.
This is where buyers repeatedly stepped in, preventing further decline.
The price touched this area multiple times before reversing upwards, making it a strong demand zone.
Resistance Level:
The resistance zone is identified at the top of the chart (shaded beige area).
This level represents previous price peaks, where selling pressure was strong.
The price is expected to face some resistance when approaching this zone.
3️⃣ Trend Reversal Confirmation & Bullish Structure
After breaking out of the falling wedge, the price has started forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating an uptrend.
Key Trend Indicators:
✔ Curved blue dashed line suggests an upward trajectory, confirming a rounded bottom reversal.
✔ Price is following a trendline support, validating bullish sentiment.
✔ Momentum is strong, and buyers are in control after the breakout.
4️⃣ Trading Setup – Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit
This analysis is structured into a trading plan with clear risk management.
📌 Entry Point (Buy Confirmation)
Entry is ideal on a retest of the breakout zone or a continuation of the bullish structure.
The recent higher low serves as a great point to confirm trend continuation.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement
Stop-loss is placed at 0.006465 (marked in blue), below the latest support.
This level ensures protection against false breakouts.
📌 Take Profit Target
The target is set at 0.007128, aligning with historical resistance.
If momentum remains strong, the price might push even higher.
5️⃣ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) & Trade Justification
Risk-to-Reward Analysis:
Stop-Loss: 0.006465 (below support)
Entry Price: Around 0.006671
Target Price: 0.007128
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2.5, meaning for every $1 risked, there's a $2.5 potential gain.
Trade Justification:
✔ Falling Wedge breakout is confirmed.
✔ Retest of broken resistance turned support gives an ideal entry.
✔ Bullish trend structure supports the upside move.
✔ Well-defined stop-loss and take-profit levels provide controlled risk exposure.
6️⃣ Final Thoughts & Conclusion
📌 This is a textbook bullish setup based on a Falling Wedge breakout. The combination of pattern breakout, trend structure, and strong support makes this a high-probability trade.
📌 Potential Risks to Watch:
If price fails to hold above stop-loss, it could indicate bullish weakness.
Major macroeconomic news or fundamental events can shift momentum.
📌 Overall Bias: ✅ Bullish towards the 0.007128 target, as long as the price remains above key support zones.
USDJPY Technical AnalysisF enzo F x—USD/JPY tested the 151.2 resistance but failed to make new highs, retreating to around 150.4.
Bullish Scenario : The primary trend remains bullish, but a close above 151.2 is needed to target 154.8.
Bearish Scenario : A break below 149.540 could spark bearish momentum toward 145.5.
USDJPY Long BiasThe USDJPY pair on the 4H timeframe is forming a bullish structure, showing signs of continuation to the upside. The price is currently trading above key moving averages and consolidating near a resistance-turned-support zone, indicating potential bullish momentum.
Additionally, the formation resembles an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. A successful break and retest of the 151.200 zone could confirm further upside movement, with the next key target around 156.700. However, failure to hold above the support zone may lead to a deeper retracement before resuming the uptrend.
USDJPY DOWNWARDhello fellow traders, we wait for another down/retracements on this pair FX:USDJPY , but this is only my view, you can share yours if you have any idea.
1st target 148.6,
Long zone 145 . this idea base on my own understanding, on my other pairs that posted, still valid folks. GU, GJ, XAU. are we all connected?
this is not a financial advice,
follow for more swing trades. swing it....
JPY/USD Descending Triangle Breakdown – Bearish Trading Setup📌 Overview: Understanding the Current Market Structure
This analysis focuses on the JPY/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a well-defined descending triangle pattern, a classic bearish continuation setup. The price action indicates selling pressure increasing as lower highs form, while support remained relatively stable before ultimately breaking down.
This setup suggests a potential trend continuation to the downside, making it a compelling trade opportunity for short-sellers. Let's dive deeper into the technical breakdown, trading strategy, and market expectations.
📊 Technical Breakdown: Chart Pattern Analysis
1️⃣ The Descending Triangle Pattern: A Bearish Signal
The descending triangle is one of the most reliable continuation patterns in technical analysis, often leading to a breakdown when support is breached. This chart confirms the pattern through:
✅ Downward Sloping Resistance Line:
The price tested this level multiple times but was consistently rejected.
Lower highs indicate sellers are dominating and buyers are failing to push higher.
✅ Flat Support Level:
The price found strong support at a key horizontal level, bouncing off multiple times.
However, each bounce became weaker, signaling buyers losing strength.
✅ Breakout & Confirmation:
The final breakdown below support occurred with strong momentum.
The price has now turned previous support into resistance, a bearish confirmation.
🔎 Implication:
A descending triangle breakout to the downside often results in an extended downward move, aiming for the measured move target based on the triangle’s height.
2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Trading Zones
📌 🔴 Resistance Zone (Upper Triangle Boundary):
0.006700 – 0.006750
This level acted as a strong rejection zone, confirming lower highs.
It now serves as a resistance level after the breakdown.
📌 🟢 Support Level (Triangle Base):
This level previously held price from breaking lower multiple times.
However, with each bounce becoming weaker, it finally gave way.
Break & Close below this level confirms the bearish continuation.
📌 🎯 Target Projection (Based on Triangle Breakout):
0.006448 (Final Target) – This level aligns with historical price action and the triangle’s projected move.
📌 🚨 Stop Loss Placement:
Above the last swing high (~0.006752)
If price reclaims this zone, the bearish outlook becomes invalid.
📈 Price Action & Market Sentiment
3️⃣ Bearish Momentum & Breakdown Confirmation
✅ Lower Highs Indicate Weakness:
Buyers attempted multiple recoveries but were consistently rejected at lower levels.
This pattern suggests exhaustion in buying pressure.
✅ Breakout Candle Strength & Volume Confirmation:
The price broke support with strong momentum and increased volume, confirming sellers’ control.
A breakdown without volume is often a fakeout, but this chart shows clear momentum.
✅ Potential Retest Before Further Drop:
After a breakdown, price often retests the broken support before continuing lower.
A pullback to the resistance zone (~0.006650 - 0.006700) could offer an ideal short entry.
✅ Bearish Trend Confirmation:
The price remains below key resistance and continues forming lower lows.
The downtrend structure remains intact, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
📉 Trading Strategy: How to Trade This Setup?
🔹 Entry Strategy:
Ideal Entry: Short after a pullback to broken support (~0.006650 - 0.006700).
Aggressive Entry: Short immediately on the breakdown if momentum remains strong.
🔹 Stop Loss Placement:
Place above last swing high (0.006752) to avoid being stopped out by noise.
Ensures protection against sudden bullish reversals or fakeouts.
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
✅ First Target: 0.006500 (Psychological level)
✅ Final Target: 0.006448 (Triangle measured move)
🔹 Risk Management:
Use a Risk-to-Reward ratio (RRR) of at least 1:2 for an optimal trade setup.
Never risk more than 2% of total capital per trade.
⚠️ Market Outlook & Key Watchpoints
📌 Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (High Probability)
If price retests the broken support and faces rejection, expect further downside.
Target remains at 0.006448.
📌 Scenario 2: Fake Breakdown & Bullish Reversal (Low Probability)
If price closes above 0.006750, it invalidates the bearish setup.
In that case, a bullish move towards 0.006800+ is possible.
📢 Final Thoughts:
The bearish breakout is clear, but waiting for a proper pullback before entry is ideal.
Volume confirmation is crucial to avoid fakeouts.
If support turns into resistance, a high-probability short trade is set up.
🔹 What’s your take on this setup? Will JPY/USD reach its target? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀
#JPYUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
USDJPYThere is strong bullish momentum in USD/JPY and I have identified a potential cup and handle formation on the chart. This pattern typically signals a continuation of the upward trend after a period of consolidation. If the price successfully breaks above the previous high it could confirm the pattern and lead to a significant bullish rally
USDJPY previous support now resistance retest at 151.21The USDJPY currency pair remains in a bearish trend, with the recent price action showing signs of an oversold bounce. While a temporary rebound is in play, the broader sentiment remains weak unless a decisive breakout occurs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 151.21 (critical level), 152.20, 153.04
Support Levels: 149.17, 148.26, 147.22
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from the 151.21 resistance level could reaffirm the downside bias, leading to a continuation of the bearish move toward 149.17, with extended declines targeting 148.26 and 147.22 over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 151.21 with a daily close above this level would challenge the bearish sentiment, opening the door for further gains toward 152.20, followed by 153.04.
Conclusion:
The market sentiment remains bearish, with 151.21 acting as a critical resistance zone. A rejection from this level could reinforce the downtrend, while a confirmed breakout would shift the outlook to bullish, favoring further upside. Traders should closely monitor price action at this key level for confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDJPY 18K PROFIT LIVE TRADE AND BREAK DOWNUSD/JPY rebounds toward 150.50 on risk recovery
USD/JPY is bouncing back toward 150.50 in Wednesday's Asian session. The pair reverses US President Trump's fresh tariff threats and hawkish BoJ commentary-led drop, tracking the rebound in risk sentiment and the US Dollar. All eyes stay on US tariffs, data and Fedspeak.
