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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY InsightWelcome, everyone! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to hit the booster and subscribe! Key Points - Japanese local media, including Kyodo News, reported that the U.S. and Japan are likely to hold the 5th round of high-level tariff negotiations later this week in the U.S. - The Eurozone’s preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May rose by 1.9% YoY, slightly below the market forecast of 2.0%. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates this Thursday, and further stimulus measures are anticipated through the end of the year. - Caroline Leavitt, White House Press Secretary, stated that “dialogue between the U.S. and China will take place soon,” reaffirming that communication between President Trump and President Xi Jinping remains valid and active. - The U.S. job openings in April stood at 7.39 million, exceeding the market expectation of 7.10 million, suggesting continued strength in the U.S. labor market. This Week’s Major Economic Events + June 4: Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision + June 5: ECB Interest Rate Decision + June 6: U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls for May, U.S. May Unemployment Rate USDJPY Chart Analysis The pair has recently shown significant movement around the 144 level. The downtrend has been completely broken, and in the short term, USDJPY is expected to fluctuate within the 140–149 range. Due to resistance at higher levels, there's a strong chance the price could fall back to the 140 support zone. However, if the pair turns upward, a rise toward the 149 level is also likely.
Short
by shawntime_academy
USDJPY TRADING ROADMAP 09 - 13 JUNI 2025📈 USDJPY TRADING ROADMAP Trading Plan & Market Outlook The USDJPY pair is currently in a bullish phase and is expected to continue rising toward the Supply Zone between 146.765 – 147.664, as long as price action holds above the key Demand Zone at 142.273 – 141.426. 🔹 Trading Plan: Primary Trend: Bullish (price heading to supply zone) Demand Zone (Support): 142.273 – 141.426 → This zone acts as the trend validation and risk threshold Supply Zone (Resistance): 146.765 – 147.664 → Potential target zone for bullish continuation Risk Management: As long as price stays above 141.426, the bullish outlook remains valid. A break below this level may signal a shift in market direction. 📌 Key Notes: Wait for price action confirmation near zones before taking entry. Use proper position sizing and risk-reward ratios. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER ON This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and use appropriate risk management.
Long
by magnettrader_id
USDJPY Returns to Key Support – Another Bounce Ahead?At the end of April and beginning of May, I pointed out the importance of the 142 support zone and argued that USDJPY could reverse to the upside, targeting the 146 resistance. The pair did exactly that — not only hitting the 146 target, but also spiking as high as 148, reaching the next major resistance. 🔁 Now We're Back towards 142 Since mid-May, USDJPY has pulled back again and is now retesting the 142 area — the same zone that previously triggered a strong bounce. 📌 Outlook and Trading Plan I still consider the 142 level a solid support, and this recent drop could offer a new buying opportunity. Any dips under 142 that quickly reverse can be used to build long positions, with a target once more around 146. That offers a clear trade setup with a good risk-to-reward ratio. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
24
Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 143.25 1st Support: 141.80 1st Resistance: 145.97 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USDJPY - Setting Up for a Potential LongAnalysis: On the USDJPY 30-minute chart, we're observing price action that suggests a potential continuation of the bullish trend after a recent pullback. Applying "Smart Money Concepts" to our analysis, here's what we're seeing: Previous Structure Break & Bullish Order Flow: Looking left, we can see that price has recently broken significant previous highs, indicating a shift towards a bullish market structure. The general order flow has been upwards, despite recent retracements. Liquidity Sweep & Institutional Interest (Potential): The sharp move down on June 5th, while looking bearish to some, could be interpreted as a "liquidity sweep" or a "stop hunt" by larger players. This often happens to absorb sell-side liquidity before a significant move higher. Price then moved back into an area of interest. "Fair Value Gap" / Imbalance Filling: Price has recently come back into (or is approaching) an area where there was a rapid move up, leaving behind what's often referred to as a "Fair Value Gap" or an "Imbalance." Smart money often revisits these areas to "fill" or "mitigate" these gaps before continuing the trend. This suggests that the current pullback might be a retest of such an area. "Order Block" / Demand Zone: We've identified a potential "order block" or a strong demand zone (the highlighted pink box) where institutional buying pressure was likely present previously. Price is currently interacting with this zone, and we anticipate a reaction from here. This is an area where we would expect smart money to step back in and push price higher. Trading Idea: Entry: We're looking for confirmation of bullish momentum around the current price levels, ideally within or just above the identified demand zone (pink box). A clear break and retest of the immediate resistance at approximately 143.600 could provide a good entry. Target: Our primary target is the previous swing high around 145.770, representing a potential expansion of the bullish trend. Invalidation: Our invalidation level (stop loss) would be placed below the identified demand zone, specifically below 143.000. A break below this level would invalidate our bullish thesis and suggest a deeper retracement or a potential trend reversal. In Summary: We are anticipating a continuation of the bullish trend on USDJPY, predicated on the idea that the recent pullback was a liquidity sweep and a retest of a significant demand zone/order block. We're looking for price to respect this area and push towards new highs. Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade responsibly and manage your risk.
Long
by Tommykamo
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThe chart you've shared is a 30-minute candlestick chart of the USD/JPY pair, and it appears to depict a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern, which is typically a reversal signal from a downtrend to an uptrend. Key Elements of the Chart: Pattern Highlighted: Inverse Head and Shoulders Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder are clearly marked. The neckline has been broken, indicating a bullish signal. Entry Zone: After the breakout and successful retest of the neckline (marked by the blue arrow going up). Stop Loss: Placed just below the right shoulder/neckline support area, as shown in the red zone. Take Profit: The green area targets a move upward, typically measured as the height from the head to the neckline projected upwards from the breakout point. Interpretation: This setup suggests a long (buy) position is being considered based on the confirmation of the inverse head and shoulders breakout. Risk-to-Reward Ratio looks favorable, as the potential gain (take profit zone) is significantly larger than the risk (stop loss zone). A break below the stop loss would invalidate the bullish thesis. Let me know if you’d like help calculating the exact price levels or potential pip gain/loss from this setup.
Long
by money_magnet2
Why I Think USDJPY Will Sell...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends, Happy Tuesday! I wanted to share my USDJPY analysis and why I think it will sell. This is only a technical analysis so please check the news and cross-reference your own charts. Here is what I am looking at: - Momentum is picking up for the sellers with red candles forming on H4, H1 and M15. - The stoch is facing down, both lines have crossed below 80, slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue) which is a bearish confirmation for me. Additional information: - I will also wait to see if both lines of the stoch cross below 50 to confirm the down trend. - I will be setting sell stops and using previous highs as my SL and previous lows as my TPs. Good luck if you decide to take this trade, let me know how it goes. Peace and Profits, Cha
Short
by MoneyMantraCha
4
Is the 144 level becoming a key battleground for positioning?The USD/JPY exchange rate has staged a mild rebound for the second consecutive day, though it remained capped below the 144.00 level during the European session. Despite short-term signs of stabilization, the pair remains broadly pressured by a dual combination of fundamental expectations and technical resistance. Persistently constrained by selling pressure above 144.00 and failing to achieve a volume-supported breakout, the exchange rate is expected to continue trading within a range-bound consolidation between 142.00 and 144.80. Focus remains on the multi-empty battles in the 143.40 and 142.30 zones. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Long
by Ashbur
USDJPY Sell- Go for sell if setup given - could be just a small move, manage your trade - Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results. "I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
Short
by Vincent-DA
USDJPY Analysis week 23Fundamental Analysis Tokyo's core CPI (excluding fresh food) - a key inflation gauge - rose 3.6%, higher than forecast and last month. This increases the possibility that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates this year, although most experts predict the BoJ will keep rates unchanged until September. Meanwhile, the USD rose sharply after a US appeals court overturned the decision to remove most of the tariffs imposed by Mr. Trump. However, the Yen still appreciated slightly against the USD. Technical Analysis After consecutive declines on Friday, the pair is sideways waiting for the next development. 142.900 is the next support zone that the pair faces, this is the breakout zone and also the trendline meeting. Break this price zone must wait 141,200 for weekly support zone 145,900 last week's peak resistance zone acts as resistance for the pair's price reaction towards this week's resistance peak around 148,000
by TVS-Trader
USDJPY: Bullish Outlook For Next Week Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵 USDJPY completed a consolidation, violating a resistance line of a horizontal range on a 4H time frame. I believe that it provides a strong bullish confirmation signal. The price will most likely go up and reach 146.0 level next week. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
USD/JPY Weekly: Approaching Critical Long-Term Confluence SupOVERVIEW: The USD/JPY pair has been navigating a well-defined multi-year ascending channel on the weekly timeframe, signifying a strong underlying bullish trend. After reaching significant highs, the pair has entered a period of correction and is now rapidly approaching a crucial confluence zone of long-term support. This area is expected to be a pivotal point for the pair's next major move. KEY OBSERVATIONS & MARKET STRUCTURE: 1. Long-Term Ascending Channel: Since late 2022, USD/JPY has consistently respected the boundaries of a broad ascending channel. This channel defines the primary bullish trend, with price oscillating between higher highs and higher lows. 2. Current Corrective Downtrend: From its recent peak around 161.95 (marked as 0 on the Fibonacci), price has been in a substantial decline, forming a clear bearish leg within the confines of the larger channel. This current downtrend highlights a period of profit-taking and yen strength (or dollar weakness) after an extended rally. 3. "Deciding Level: Trendline + Resistance": During this bearish correction, price recently broke below a short-term descending trendline and a horizontal level which had previously offered support. This former support has now flipped into resistance, creating a "Deciding Level" that bears have defended around the 146.00-148.00 area. Any attempt to rally will likely face strong selling pressure here. 4. Critical Confluence Support Zone: The most significant area on this chart is the "Long-Term Support + Fib Retracement Zone" (highlighted grey rectangle) situated approximately between 137.00 and 140.00. This zone represents a powerful confluence of multiple technical factors: Historical Horizontal Support: A clear zone where buyers previously stepped in, initiating strong rallies. Lower Channel Boundary: The bottom trendline of the multi-year ascending channel. This is the natural area where the long-term bullish trend is expected to find new demand. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: This zone aligns perfectly with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (140.399) and extends to the 0.71 Fib level (137.186), drawn from the swing low of 127.059 to the swing high of 161.980. The 0.618 Fibonacci is often referred to as the "golden ratio" and is a high-probability reversal point in strong trends. POTENTIAL OUTLOOK & TRADE SCENARIOS: 1. Bullish Reversal (High Probability): Given the robust confluence of support, the most probable scenario is a strong bounce from this "Long-Term Support + Fib Retracement Zone." We would be looking for clear signs of bullish price action on the weekly or daily charts (e.g., large bullish engulfing candles, hammer formations, bullish divergence on oscillators, or a break of the short-term bearish trendline leading into this zone). If support holds, initial targets would be the "Deciding Level" resistance (146.00-148.00), fol lowed by a retest of the previous highs or the upper boundary of the channel. 2. Bearish Continuation (Lower Probability, but Critical Invalidation): A sustained weekly close below the entire "Long-Term Support + Fib Retracement Zone" and the lower boundary of the ascending channel would be a significant bearish development. This would invalidate the long-term bullish structure of the channel and suggest a deeper correction is underway. In such a scenario, the next levels of support would be the 0.71 Fib (137.186) if not already broken, and potentially even the origin of the Fib move at 127.059. This outcome would necessitate a re-evaluation of the overall long-term bias. KEY LEVELS TO WATCH: • Critical Confluence Support: 139.00 - 141.00 • Deeper Fib Support: 137.18 (0.71 Fib) • Immediate Resistance: 146.00 - 148.00 ("Deciding Level") CONCLUSION: USD/JPY is at a critical juncture. The "Long-Term Support + Fib Retracement Zone" represents a high-probability area for buyers to re-enter and potentially reverse the current corrective move. Traders should closely monitor price action at this zone for confirmation of a bounce or, less likely but equally important, a decisive break. Risk Management is Paramount : As always, ensure proper risk management with well-placed stop-losses relative to the identified support and resistance levels. ________________________________________ Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Long
by ManiMarkets