Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 147.11
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 146.50
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 149.04
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 15 July 2025
- USDJPY broke the resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 151.30
USDJPY currency pair recently broke the resistance area located at the intersection of the resistance level 148.00 and the two resistance trendlines from January and March.
The breakout of this resistance area should strengthen the bullish pressure on his currency pair.
Given the continuation of the widespread yen sales seen recently across FX markets, USDJPY currency pair index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 151.30 (monthly high from March).
USD/JPY(20250714)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① Fed's Goolsbee: The latest tariff threat may delay rate cuts. ② The Fed responded to the White House's "accusations": The increase in building renovation costs partly reflects unforeseen construction conditions. ③ "Fed's megaphone": The dispute over building renovations has challenged the Fed's independence again, and it is expected that no rate cuts will be made this month. ④ Hassett: Whether Trump fires Powell or not, the Fed's answer to the headquarters renovation is the key.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
147.02
Support and resistance levels:
148.39
147.88
147.55
146.49
146.15
145.64
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 147.55, consider buying, and the first target price is 147.88
If the price breaks through 147.02, consider selling, and the first target price is 146.49
USD/JPY short: Clash of the TitansHello traders
I entered into a short GBP/JPY position last week after the contraction in GBP Industrial, manufacturing production and GDP. The United Kingdom is also struggling with their own version of the Big Beautiful Bill. The difference is of course that there is no Republican Congress there who is willing to throw their constituents under the bus by cutting Medicaid.
The technical side of USD/JPY is vanilla but the fundamental side is a whole other enchilada.
The sweeping tariffs from Liberation Day MAY become a moot market mover if the Federal Court of Appeals side with the International Trade Court after July 31st. It does not mean that all tariffs will become null and void. My previous IDEA elaborates a little on this.
The Israel/Gaza conflict is still simmering and has just been turned up a notch after an American/Palestinian was beaten to death by West bank settlers. Tragic.
There is no certainty how Iran may still retaliate against the USA after the nuclear site strikes.
The BIG one: President Donald J Trump is finally standing up to Vladimir Putin by announcing the shipment of Patriot missiles to Ukraine. This is a major milestone and turning point for President Trump who was previously under the impression that he can manage Foreign Policy by cozying up to the Russian and North Korean strongmen. Welcome to the real world. Putin, Xi Jinping and Kim Jong Un have been scheming behind your back to support the war against Ukraine.
This is the point where the fictional Dutch boy who used his finger to prevent a leaking dike to prevent a flood might be you, President Trump.
The safety and security of the entire Western World rests on your shoulders at this precise point in time. If Russia conquers Ukraine, it will only be a matter of time before the next European Sovereign country becomes a target. Should this happen, it will also serve as a proxy for the Chinese invasion of Taiwan. And North Korea invading South Korea. Bit of a stretch but not impossible.
Against this background, moving funds into the traditional safe havens of JPY, CHF and Gold make senses and I contend that BTC has joined the list.
Super long dated JPY 40Y bonds have also ticked up in anticipation of upcoming elections and conflicting policies.
The American people definitely do not have the desire or political will to enter into another war BUT it is maybe time for us to become the International Order Sheriff again. Towards this end, I am finally willing to call you my President and Commander in Chief, DJT.
Please be the Titan who does not pick on his own citizens and stand up to the real danger on our planet. Godspeed.
USD/JPY 4-Hour Chart Analysis4-hour chart displays the price movement of the U.S. Dollar against the Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) from June to August 2025. The chart shows a significant upward trend in July, followed by a correction. Key levels are highlighted, including support at 147.031 and resistance at 150.130, with the current price at 148.809. The chart suggests a potential bullish continuation, as indicated by the upward arrow and green box, targeting higher levels above 150.000.
USDJPY / U.S. Dollar – Japanese Yen (1D + 1H) – Multi-Timeframe USDJPY / U.S. Dollar – Japanese Yen (1D + 1H) – Multi-Timeframe Breakdown
Hello awesome traders! 👋
Closing the week with a full top-down look at USDJPY. We’ve got a macro bullish setup developing, but Friday gave us a well-structured intraday bearish opportunity worth studying. Let’s walk through the levels across the timeframes:
🧭 Macro Structure (Daily / 4H)
We start with a textbook Cypher formation on the macro frame, overlapping with a broad ABC bullish correction:
🔹 XA and BC legs are clean and proportionate
🔹 The D point completes just above the 78.6% XA zone
🔹 ABC structure suggests price may be completing a corrective leg within the larger bullish swing
🔍 Medium-Term Focus (4H): Zoom Into the ABC
As we zoom into the ABC leg:
🔸 A = 146.82
🔸 B = 149.08
🔸 C forms near 148.20 with shallow retracement
🔸 Completion shows signs of exhaustion
The ABC pullback aligns with prior resistance and fib confluence zones.
⏱ Intraday Breakdown (1H): Symmetry, Traps, and False Breakouts
This is where the intraday bearish case built up:
🔻 1. Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown
Price formed a clear compression triangle → broke lower → retested → failed again.
🔻 2. Double Top Structure + Cypher Trap
We had a false breakout above 149.08, followed by a rejection. This matches the Cypher reversal zone and classic trap behavior.
🎯 Friday Outlook
✅ Bias: Bearish
📍 Target 1: 38.2% = 148.21
📍 Target 2: 61.8–78.6% = 147.67 – 147.29
We're looking for price to rotate back into these fib support zones before macro structure takes back control. No bullish commitment unless we reclaim the 149.08 highs with strength.
🛡 Risk Management Note
This is short-term momentum inside a larger bullish frame. Treat intraday shorts with tight stops. Macro buyers may step in at the fib wall.
🗝 Final Thoughts
This is the perfect example of why multi-timeframe context matters.
Macro is prepping for a possible long-term continuation, but Friday’s lower timeframe offered an opportunistic short from structure, symmetry, and failed breakout traps.
“The market breathes in waves — one time frame exhales while the other prepares to inhale.”
USDJPY INTRADY OPPORTUNITY Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
USDJPY H1 CONFIRM ANALYSISThe Japanese Yen selling remains unabated through the early European session on Thursday, which along with a goodish pickup in the US Dollar demand, lifts the USD/JPY pair to the 148.80 region in the last hour. Data released earlier today showed that Japan clocked a smaller-than-expected trade surplus in June.
USDJPY LONG & SHORT – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | Y25
💼 USDJPY LONG & SHORT – WEEKLY FORECAST
Q3 | W29 | Y25
📊 MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT
USDJPY is currently reaching for a key higher time frame supply zone, looking for price action to show weakness at premium levels. Structure and momentum are now aligning for a short opportunity backed by multi-timeframe confluence.
🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝
✅ Daily Order Block (OB)
Looking for Strong reaction and early signs of distribution.
✅ 4H Order Block
Break of internal structure (iBoS) confirms a short-term bearish transition.
✅ 1H Order Block
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT
📌 The structure is clear.
The confluences are stacked.
Let execution follow discipline, not emotion.
USD JPY ACa possible scenario it should hit for tomorrow .
I'm so lost in this market nothing seem to work .still try to survive. a strategy that works for days or even a month dosent have a guarantee to work for next month ,every thing is like gamble . im trying so hard too many ways too see the holy grail yet till now i can say it with trust there is not a easy peasy holy grail of trading ... be ready to looose and be ready to maybe not to gain anything ,, this trading stuff is like an art as u drown in it it only cuase insanity . right now i gotta go ill use trading view as journal now on to see what im doing good luck have fun trading
USDJPY The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.41
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 146.00
Safe Stop Loss - 148.14
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Is the US dollar taking a breather against the Japanese yen?After the recent rebound of the US dollar following two quarters of decline, the USD/JPY pair has been on an upward trajectory, forming a series of higher highs on both the 4-hour and daily charts.
However, the recent drop below the 146.515 level and the formation of a new low suggests a potential shift in trend on the 4-hour timeframe from bullish to bearish. This could signal a possible pullback in the short to medium term, with the first short-term target located at the 146.084 level.
The bearish scenario would be invalidated if the price rises above 147.179 and a 4-hour candle closes above that level.
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 146.18
1st Support: 145.01
1st Resistance: 147.62
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XABCD Double Top
Hello traders! I hope you’ve had a productive trading week.
Let’s take a look at USDJPY, where we’re wrapping up the week with a textbook XABCD Double Top formation.
📍 Structure Overview
Price action completed an extended XABCD formation, with D printing a perfect double top around the 147.17 level.
The move from C to D aligns closely with the prior XA leg, showing strong symmetry in price.
D terminates precisely within the PCZ (Potential Completion Zone), aligning with both 78.6% and 100% extensions.
🎯 Bearish Targets Below
If this Double Top confirms with bearish follow-through, the structure offers a clean setup with downside targets:
Target 1: 145.35 (100%)
Target 2: 144.96 (127.2%)
A break below point C (146.13) would further validate the bearish thesis.
🧠 Pattern Highlights
XABCD geometry
Strong price symmetry
Completion into previous high (resistance)
Clear target zone for risk-defined trades
Bullish bounce off major support?USD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 145.92
1st Support: 145.23
1st Resistance: 147.14
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY ENTRY CHARTWe are still bullish on this pair, the JPY is still WEAK, and the trend on this Pair is BULLISH, price is sitting on a ZONE, we have our LTF confirmation set also, You can add to watch-list if this matches with your trade idea on this pair, and as for us, we advise you move BREAK-EVEN after price move +1r. THANK YOU.