USDJPY Ascending channel breakout buy strong from demand zone📈 USDJPY Bullish Breakout Alert! 🚀
USDJPY has officially broken out of the descending channel from the 143.800 demand zone — showing strong bullish momentum on the 1H time frame! 🔥
🎯 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 145.000 – Supply Zone 💥
2nd Target: 146.000 – Key Resistance
3rd Target: 148.000 – Major Resistance Level
Momentum is building — bulls are in control! 🐂
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USDJPY trade ideas
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off te pivot and could drop t the 1st support.
Pivot: 144.67
1st Support: 143.07
1st Resistance: 145.89
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USD/JPY at Crossroads: Breakout or Big Drop Ahead? USD/JPY Analysis – July 2025
🔍 Technical:
Price: 144.50
Key Resistance: 149.50
Key Support: 140.12, then 117.64
Two possible moves:
Bullish: Break above 149.50 → Target 156+
Bearish: Stay below 149.50 → Drop to 140 → 128 → 117
🌍 Fundamental:
USD Strength: If inflation stays high, Fed may delay rate cuts.
JPY Strength: BOJ may shift policy or intervene if Yen weakens more.
🔑 Upcoming Events:
July 11 – US CPI
BOJ outlook & Fed comments matter
🎯 Outlook:
Bearish bias if price stays below 149.50.
Bullish only if clean breakout above resistance.
USDJPY: Bearish Trend Remains in ControlUSDJPY continues to follow a clear downtrend on the H4 chart, respecting a descending trendline and forming consistent lower highs. The strong rejection at 144.800 and the presence of multiple FVGs further reinforce the bearish structure.
Price is currently retracing to test the FVG zone. If rejection occurs here, the downtrend could resume towards the 141.900 support level.
Trade Setup:
Sell near 144.700
TP: 141.900
SL: above 145.300
Supporting News:
"Risk-on" sentiment is back after strong manufacturing data from China and rising expectations that U.S. interest rates may soon peak, weakening the USD against the JPY.
Are you watching for a short setup like I am?
USDJPY Analysis – Bullish Continuation After Minor PullbackUSDJPY is currently trading around 143.340, and I anticipate a minor pullback into the 143.296 zone, which aligns with a possible bullish order block and discount zone on the H1/H4 timeframe.
This short-term dip could serve as a liquidity sweep or mitigation before price resumes its bullish trend, targeting the 147.381 level — a key area of interest tied to previous highs and potential liquidity above.
I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation (e.g., clean W-pattern, bullish engulfing candle, or break of internal structure) from the 143.296 zone before taking long entries.
🔻 Short-term expectation: Pullback to 143.296
🔼 Primary bias: Bullish continuation
🎯 Upside target: 147.381
📍 Current price: 143.340
📌 Risk Management Reminder: This is not financial advice. Always apply proper risk management:
✔️ Use a minimum of 1:2 RR setups
✔️ Risk no more than 1–2% of your capital per trade
✔️ Wait for clear confirmation before entering
✔️ Protect your account — preservation over prediction
LONG ON USD/JPYUSD/JPY has given us a CHOC (change of character) from down to up.
It has engineered sell side liquidity right above a demand zone.
I expect price to sweep sell side liquidity, tap into the demand zone then take off to the upside.
looking to catch 150-250 pips on UJ. (Economic News could set this trade on Fire!)
Short sell nowSell this pair now support has been broken which is the green lines on top... which price has pullback too sell now and take profits at the orange lines on. The bottom 300 fib level which is the next level of support where a major reversal is where it initially sold from in the past... look left and you will see
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 3, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Rate
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services PMI
The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded with a slight positive bias against the bearish US Dollar (USD) during the Asian session on Thursday and remains near the near one-month peak reached earlier this week. Despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) hesitation to hike rates, investors seem convinced that the central bank will remain on the path of normalizing monetary policy amid rising inflation in Japan. This is a significant divergence from the stance of other major central banks (including the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)), which are leaning towards a softer approach, and is favorable for lower JPY yields.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump hinted at a possible end to trade talks with Japan, and also threatened new tariffs against Japan over its perceived reluctance to buy American-grown rice. This, along with the overall positive tone towards risk, is a headwind for the safe-haven yen. In addition, traders seem reluctant and prefer to take a wait-and-see approach ahead of today's release of the closely watched US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. The crucial data will play a key role in influencing the US Dollar (USD) and will give a significant boost to the USD/JPY pair.
Trade recommendation: BUY 144.00, SL 143.00, TP 145.40
Wednesday 2 July: USD to recover short term? The general market mood remains positive, and particularly sentiment for the USD remains in the douldrums. All of a sudden, there is talk of three FED cuts by the end of the year (although I think that's a bit ambitious). A soft NFP report could cement multi year USD weakness.
But pre (Thursday's) NFP I suspect we could see some dollar profit taking.
Currently, I see 'risk on' short JPY (or CHF) as very viable, the risk to a trade would be USD liquidity if the dollar continues to weaken.
Recommended trade: AUD JPY long
UJ, will we see a bearish leg today?USDJPY looks quite interesting after the wick rejection from key level 144.000. Will this area be respected and give us a bearish leg. Hmm, let's see how price unfolds for this pair today.
Regards,
Aman | SMC Wolf FX
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Buy limit order at $143.400 after a retest confirms supportAnalyzing the USD/JPY across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent pattern of price recovery after a significant drop, indicating a potential phase of accumulation by institutional players. The daily chart shows a recent decline followed by a stabilization and slight upward movement, suggesting a possible change of character (CHoCH) from bearish to bullish momentum. The 4-hour and 1-hour charts confirm this with a series of higher lows and higher highs, indicative of a shift towards bullish sentiment.
The 15-minute, 5-minute, and 1-minute charts display more granular price action, with recent bullish candles suggesting an ongoing push for higher prices. This could be a response to retail selling pressure being absorbed by institutional buying, a common scenario during early stages of a bullish reversal.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in the early stages of an accumulation phase, targeting liquidity above recent highs to trigger stop losses and fuel further upward movement. The presence of unmitigated order blocks (OB) on the 1-hour chart around 143.400 provides a potential area for re-entry, suggesting that price may revisit this zone to balance before continuing upwards.
LEARNING POINT:
"1H Order Block mitigation after liquidity sweep" - This scenario highlights how institutions often retest key levels where significant orders were previously placed, confirming their commitment to driving the price in the intended direction.
SIGNAL: BUY
SYMBOL: USDJPY
ENTRY PRICE: $143.400
STOP LOSS: $143.200
TARGET PRICE: $144.000
CONDITION: Buy limit order at $143.400 after a retest confirms support.
RATIONALE: The setup aligns with a bullish CHoCH on multiple timeframes, presence of a 1H OB, and the anticipation of a liquidity sweep above recent highs.
STRATEGIES USED: 1H OB Mitigation, Liquidity Sweep Above Recent Highs
URGENCY: MEDIUM
TIMEFRAME: Short-term
CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85%
RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$0.20, Reward=$0.60, Ratio=1:3.0
CRITICAL RULES:
The analysis strictly adheres to Smart Money Concepts, avoiding traditional retail indicators.
The decision is based on visible price action and institutional logic, ensuring a high probability of success.
The risk/reward ratio exceeds the minimum requirement of 2:1, enhancing the trade's viability.
Market next move 🔀 Disruption Analysis – Bearish Alternative Scenario
While the current setup points to a bullish continuation above the support zone (around 144.10–144.20) with a projected target near 144.60, here’s how a bearish disruption could unfold instead:
---
🔻 Bearish Disruption Possibility:
1. Failed Breakout / Bull Trap:
Price may fake a move upward to trap breakout buyers near 144.40–144.50, then sharply reverse.
This would indicate a false breakout and potential reversal setup.
2. Rejection at Resistance:
Repeated failure to close above 144.40 may signal exhaustion.
Bearish divergence could form on momentum indicators (like RSI) as price rises.
3. Break Below Support Area:
A decisive break below the red support zone (around 144.10) may shift momentum bearish.
That would confirm a lower high and suggest downside continuation.
4. Next Bearish Target:
Initial support lies at 143.85, with further potential drop toward 143.60.
USDJPY Daily TF - June 29th, 2025USDJPY Daily Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bearish
I’m looking at the Daily time frame here as this is the only clear picture for price action in terms of trends. The 4hour looks like price action can’t make a decision so we will wait for price action to get closer to some major zones.
Bearish Continuation - Ideally, we want to see price action touch 147.500 again followed by convincing bearish rejection. Look to target lower toward major support levels if this happens.
Aside from this potential setup we don’t have much to look at here on UJ.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 146.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 142.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟
💰 Ready to raid the USD/JPY "The Gopher" vault? 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental heist analysis), here’s the master plan to swipe bullish profits before the market turns against us! Escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—overbought, consolidation, and bear traps ahead! 💸 "Take the money and run—you’ve earned it!" 🏆🚀
🕵️♂️ Heist Strategy:
📈 Entry (Bullish Raid):
The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE!
Pullback lovers: Set buy limits at recent/swing lows for extra loot.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis).
Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders.
🎯 Target (Profit Escape):
148.700 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!)
⚔️ Scalpers’ Quick Strike:
LONG ONLY! If rich, attack now. If not, join swing traders & rob slowly.
Trailing SL = Your bodyguard! 💰🔒
💥 Why This Heist?
USD/JPY "The Ninja" is bullish due to key factors—check:
📌 Fundamental + Macro + COT Report
📌 Quantitative + Sentiment + Intermarket Analysis
📌 Future Targets & Overall Score (Linkks In the profile!) 🔗🌍
🚨 Trading Alert (News = Danger!):
Avoid new trades during news—volatility kills!
Trailing SL saves profits on running positions.
💖 Support the Heist Team!
💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥
Help us steal more money daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀
Stay tuned—another heist is coming soon! 🤑🎯