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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY Analysis 4H Time-frame Let’s break down the analysis in detail: --- 1. Key Zones & Market Structure You've identified important supply and demand zones: Supply Zone (around 158.886): Price hit this zone and sharply reversed. You've marked it with a yellow box, showing a strong area of sellers. This is a major resistance zone that was tested twice, forming a possible double top structure. Demand Zone (around 139.694 - 139.576): This level previously acted as a strong support. Price reacted here again, which might indicate bullish interest. You marked this zone well with a yellow box. --- 2. Market Reaction & Rejection Points In the second image, you circled: Major highs and lows, showing previous price reactions. These marks point out liquidity zones—areas where price likely took out stop-losses before reversing. --- 3. Price Action Narrative Here’s the likely narrative from your analysis: Uptrend into Supply Zone (158.886) → Rejection → Strong bearish move. Price finds support in Demand Zone (139.694) → Rejection wick → Signs of a bullish reversal. Current Price (around 142.9) is pushing back into a potential minor resistance (possibly a breaker or previous support turned resistance around 143–145 zone). --- 4. Timeframes Used You're using both daily (1D) and 4-hour (4H) timeframes. The 4H chart helps you zoom into entry confirmations (e.g., rejections, liquidity grabs), while the 1D gives you overall structure and key zones. --- 5. Trade Opportunity Analysis Based on this, a typical analysis conclusion could be: > “The price of USD/JPY has reached a significant daily demand zone (around 139.7) where historical price action shows strong buying interest. Price has formed a potential higher low and is showing bullish signs, including a strong rejection wick and a recovery back above minor resistance. If price breaks and holds above the 143–145 zone, the next target could be the mid-resistance at 154.793, and eventually retest the supply zone around 158.886, depending on macro conditions and momentum.”
Long
by sitokagebson
USD/JPY in Free Fall: What’s Behind the Break Below 140?🔍 Technical Analysis – USD/JPY The weekly chart shows a sharp rejection in the macro zone between 155–158, where strong supply is present (highlighted in red). After brushing historical highs, USD/JPY experienced a vertical drop down to 140, decisively breaking through the key zone at 148–146. Price has now broken the weekly structure and is approaching an area that previously triggered significant rallies (blue zone between 138–141). Monthly support is in danger, with the RSI deeply in oversold territory, but no clear reversal signals just yet. 📊 COT Report – USD Index Asset Managers: Slight recovery on long positions, but still in neutral territory. Leverage Money: Increasing net shorts, indicating speculative bets against the dollar. The divergence between the falling USD Index and speculative positions confirms a growing lack of confidence in the greenback. 📊 COT Report – JPY Futures Asset Managers: Strong increase in long positions on the yen since December 2024. Leverage Money: Reinforcing long bias since February 2025. This confirms that institutional players are accumulating yen, possibly anticipating BoJ interventions or a broader flight-to-safety. 💥 Trade Outlook USD/JPY is in full bearish breakout mode. If the 140 level breaks decisively, the next technical targets are: 137.00 → historical mid-level support 134.00 → base of the 2023 structure Keep an eye on the RSI: a bullish divergence with strong volume could trigger a technical rebound. But as long as the overall sentiment remains strongly risk-off, every rally is a selling opportunity.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Trade news gradually improves - Supporting USD to rise again🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news: ➡️ The USD/JPY pair extended its gains to approach the 144.00 level early Friday, driven by renewed demand for the U.S. dollar following a Bloomberg report suggesting that China is considering suspending the 125% tariff on certain U.S. imports. The pair largely ignored Tokyo’s hotter-than-expected CPI inflation data. Personal opinion: ➡️ USD/JPY continues to rise thanks to positive news from the Trump administration’s negotiations with Asian countries. Although good Japanese economic data supports the JPY, the focus is still on the active trade war and it supports the USD ➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Personal plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 143.00 - 144.40 ❌SL: 142.50 | ✅TP: 143.80 - 144.40 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USD/JPY Price Action Update – April 24, 2025📊USD/JPY Price Action Update – April 24, 2025 🔹Current Price: 142.657 🔹Timeframe: 30M 📌Key Resistance Levels: 🔴143.685 – Major Intraday Resistance 🔴142.970 – Minor Structure Resistance (watch for breakout/rejection) 📌Key Demand Zones (Support): 🟢141.672–141.773 – Recent Bullish Breaker Block (potential reaction zone) 🟢139.635–140.722 – Higher Timeframe Demand Zone (strong support and reversal base) 📈Bullish Outlook: Price is consolidating just below the 142.970 resistance level after a strong bullish rally. A clean breakout above this level could lead to a move toward 143.685. For safer buys, wait for a retest of the 141.672–141.773 zone. 📉Bearish Outlook: If price rejects from the 142.970 level and breaks below 141.672, expect a deeper correction toward the 139.635–140.722 HTF demand. Monitor for bearish structure shifts or strong rejections near resistance zones. ⚡Trade Setup Tip: ✅Wait for a breakout + retest or confirmation candle ✅Use the 141.672 zone for possible long entries ✅Control risk around key levels with clear invalidation points #USDJPY #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #IntradaySetups #TechnicalAnalysis #FXFOREVER #MarketUpdate #JPY #YenTradeSetup
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading PlanM15 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback No opposite signs Expecting bullish continuation until the two Fibonacci support zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VladimirRibakov
Trade Friction and Fed Pressure Lift Japanese YenThe Japanese yen strengthened to approximately 140.5 per dollar on Tuesday, marking its strongest level in seven months, as investors sought safe-haven assets amid heightened global trade tensions and concerns over U.S. economic stability. Market sentiment declined following stalled trade talks, with China resisting President Trump's tariff demands. Confidence further eroded after Trump renewed calls to remove Fed Chair Powell over delayed rate cuts. Attention now turns to the upcoming Bank of Japan meeting, where rates are likely to remain at 0.5%, though the central bank may lower its growth forecast due to mounting external pressures. Key resistance is at 142.00, with further levels at 144.00 and 145.90. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 21 April 2025 - USDJPY broke support area - Likely to fall to support level 139.55 The USDJPY currency pair recently broke the support area at the intersection of the support trendline of the daily down channel from January and the support level 142.00 (which started the daily uptrend in September). The breakout of this support area should accelerate the active impulse wave 3, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from March. Given the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 139.55 (the former multi-month support level from September).
Short
by FxProGlobal
USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 23rd I shared this idea "USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading Plan" I expected bullish continuation higher from the marked Fibonacci support zones. You can read the full post using the link above. Price reached the first Fibonacci support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!! If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VladimirRibakov
JPYUSD - might pull backThis could pull back for a couple of months. Is this move down on JPYUSD gonna fuel rally in Equities? Gold looks like it wants to pull back (may be to 21 EMA or even a deeper correction to $2000/OZ). DXY might have a relief rally or just chop sideways. US10Y could drop to 3.4%. Have to watch SPX, GOLD, GOLD/SPX ratio, BTC/USD, BTC/GLX, US10Y, DXY, JPY/USD and VIX. We have to figure out if the secular bear market is already underway on equities (which means we sell the bounce on equities and buy the dip on GOLD), or if there is more blow off top left in equities. Only time will tell. Massive opportunities ahead either way. So protect your capital
by MrFleck
Yen extends gains, BOJ Core CPI lower than expectedThe Japanese yen has rallied for a third straight day. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 140.38, down 0.33% on the day. The yen has climbed 1.3% since Thursday, as the US dollar is under pressure against the major currencies. BoJ Core CPI, a key inflation indicator, remained at 2.2% for a third consecutive month in March, shy of the forecast of 2.4%. This follows Japan's National Core CPI, which rose 3.2% y/y, matching expectations but higher than the 3.0% gain in February. National CPI eased to 3.6%, down from 3.7% in February and below the market estimate of 3.7%. The inflation data comes a week before the BoJ's policy meeting next week. The central bank has signaled that it will continue to raise interest rates as wages and inflation have been rising. However, the risks to inflation and growth from US tariffs have muddied the rate outlook and the BoJ may decide to push off another hike until later in the year. The finance ministers of Japan and the US will meet later this week, as Tokyo looks to carve out some tariff exemptions. The BoJ is likely to sit tight and see if the talks lead to a breakthrough. The US is expected to bring up the exchange rate, as President Trump has accused Japan of deliberately keeping the yen weak in order to protect its export sector. There are no key releases out of the US today, but we'll hear from three FOMC members later today. The markets have priced in a rate cut in May at 10%, with a 62% probability of a rate cut in June.
by OANDA
USD/JPY H4 | Downtrend to extend further?USD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 141.82 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 143.20 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 139.85 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Potential Long Setup Forming as USD/JPY Tests DemandThe FX:USDJPY is showing a deep correction within a bullish long-term structure. Price is now below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A and B at 149.22), which reflects bearish momentum in the short term. However, the market is approaching a strong weekly demand zone between 142.00 and 137.00, where previous bullish rallies were initiated. Both Trend Strength Index (TSI) values are well into oversold territory: TSI(10): -0.85 TSI(20): -0.81 This indicates that bearish momentum may be nearing exhaustion, and a reversal or bounce is increasingly likely. The zone between 142.00 – 137.00 becomes a key area to watch for bullish reaction, potentially offering a high reward-to-risk opportunity for long setups. If the price reacts from this demand zone, the next major resistance lies between 148.00 – 151.77, which aligns with the bottom and mid-section of the Ichimoku cloud and past structural levels. Further upside potential extends toward 161, a previous swing high. Trade Setup Idea: Long Entry Zone: 142 – 137 (demand zone) TP1: 148 – 151 (resistance + cloud structure) TP2 (extended): 161 SL: Below 137 The structure supports a bullish continuation if this zone holds, making it a key region for swing buyers. The Japanese yen continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan maintains ultra-loose monetary policy, in contrast with the Federal Reserve’s more hawkish stance. Although U.S. rate cut expectations have increased for late 2025, strong labor and inflation data from the U.S. have kept the dollar supported. In contrast, Japan’s inflation remains soft, and no strong signs of BoJ tightening have emerged. This divergence in monetary policy keeps the USD/JPY biased to the upside, especially if yields in the U.S. stay elevated. Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
Long
by SupertradeOfficial