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USDJPY trade ideas

Fundamental Market Analysis for June 4, 2025 USDJPYEvents to pay attention today: 17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services Business Activity Index 15:15 EET. USD - ADP Employment Change USDJPY: The Japanese yen (JPY) is attracting some intraday buyers after falling against the US dollar during the Asian session, and, at least for now, it seems that its pullback from the weekly high reached yesterday has paused. An upward revision of Japan's services business activity index, as well as expectations that wage growth will lead to faster inflation, leave open the possibility of another interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in 2025. In addition, ongoing geopolitical risks and trade uncertainty are key factors supporting the JPY. Meanwhile, cautious statements by BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda on Tuesday sparked speculation that the next interest rate hike will not happen anytime soon. However, this still differs significantly from expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut rates by at least 25 basis points (bps) by the end of this year. This, along with concerns about the US budget, is causing a new wave of selling of the US dollar (USD) after Tuesday's decent rebound from a six-week low and is putting some pressure on the USD/JPY pair during the Asian session. Trading recommendation: SELL 144.20, SL 144.40, TP 143.20
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 143.08, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 144.02, an overlap resistance. The stop loss is placed at 142.12, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 143.365. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 142.144. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Prices are testing the 142.55 support level.Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Tuesday that the central bank would raise interest rates if the economy re-accelerates, adding that wage growth must regain momentum. Currently, Trump's tariff policies have dimmed the economic outlook, making it potentially not the optimal time for a rate hike. However, policymakers stand ready to raise rates if the economy rebounds after a brief pullback. The remarks bolstered the Japanese yen, with prices now testing the 142.55 support level. A decisive break below this level would form a lower low, confirming the continuation of the downtrend and shifting bearish targets toward the 140.01 support level. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: sell@144.50-145.00 TP:143.00-142.50
Short
by Ashbur
JPYUSD Technical Breakdown | Inverse Head & Shoulders + Target🔍 Pattern Breakdown: Inverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) We’ve identified a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation that often appears at the end of a downtrend. Here's how the structure played out: Left Shoulder: The initial drop formed a local low, followed by a short recovery, creating the first "shoulder" on the left. Head: A deeper push down formed the lowest point of the pattern, indicating a possible trap for sellers or exhaustion in bearish momentum. This is the "head" and the key anchor of the pattern. Right Shoulder: A higher low forms, showing buyers stepping in earlier and with more strength. This symmetry confirms the structure and signals a potential reversal in trend. Neckline: Drawn across the highs between the shoulders, this key resistance line was broken decisively, confirming the bullish pattern and triggering an upward breakout. 📌 Trendline + Retest Zone = Confluence Support After the breakout above the neckline: Price surged strongly, showing confidence in the reversal. It pulled back gently to retest the neckline, which now acts as support. This retest also aligns with the upward trendline, adding confluence — a strong signal in technical trading that increases the probability of a successful continuation move. This zone is labeled on the chart as: 🟦 “Like a Retesting Zone After Boom” — a perfect description of what’s occurring. 🎯 Target and Resistance Zones The price is now moving toward a major resistance zone marked between 0.007020 – 0.007060, with a target zone slightly above at 0.007080. These zones represent historical selling pressure or supply areas. A breakout above this region would open doors to even higher levels, signaling strong bullish continuation. 📈 Why This Setup Matters (MMC Strategy Applied) Using the Market Mapping Concept (MMC) approach, this trade idea combines: Market structure (Inverse H&S pattern) Momentum confirmation (strong bullish move after breakout) Zone mapping (support/resistance confluence) Trendline validation (clean structure with pullback respect) This creates a well-defined trade setup with clear entry and exit logic, excellent risk-to-reward potential, and technical confirmation. ✅ Summary: Bullish Outlook With Managed Risk Bias: Bullish continuation as long as price holds above the neckline/trendline zone. Confirmation: Inverse H&S pattern + successful retest. Target: 0.007060–0.007080 resistance zone. Invalidation: Break below 0.006980 and close under trendline support. 💬 Minds Post Caption (Extended) 🔥 JPYUSD Ready to Fly? Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Spotted! Clean reversal pattern (H&S) just completed with a strong neckline breakout and a perfect retest at trendline confluence. MMC analysis suggests bullish continuation toward the 0.007060+ resistance zone. Classic "retest after boom" move. Watching price action closely! 🚀📊
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 6 June 2025 - USDJPY reversed from the support area - Likely to rise to the resistance level 146.00 USDJPY currency pair recently reversed from the support area between the support level 142.50 (which has been reversing the price from the end of April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The price earlier formed multiple consecutive Japanese candlesticks reversal patterns near the support level 142.50 – Bullish Engulfing, Morning Star and Pricing Line, Given the strength of the support level 142.50, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 146.00.
Long
by FxProGlobal
USDJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 144.863. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 146.013 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
JPYUSD Weekly Analysis (MMC) – Smart Structure & Target Zones🧠 Market Sentiment & Technical Landscape The JPYUSD currency pair has entered a decisive phase in its multi-week bullish run, driven by structural integrity, smart money behavior, and market psychology. This chart captures a strategic trade progression using the Mind Market Concept (MMC) approach — a hybrid strategy blending curve dynamics, volume imprints, and structural flow to track institutional intent. We're seeing a powerful alignment of structure, momentum, and volume signals, all pointing to a potential high-probability completion near the upper target/reversal zone. 🔍 In-Depth Technical Breakdown 🔹 1. Curve Support Foundation – The Psychological Bedrock At the heart of this bullish move lies the Black Mind Curve Support — a dynamic, rounded trendline support based on momentum cycles and structural lows. This curve is not arbitrary; it’s a reflection of where smart money has repeatedly absorbed sell-side liquidity before marking up the price. Multiple rejections from this zone around 0.00640 – 0.00650 provided confirmation of intent. The rounded nature of this curve support mimics market accumulation patterns — think of it as a “loading zone” before explosive movement. 🔹 2. Structural Breakout – A Clean Bullish Sequence Price respected a multi-month resistance line and finally broke out in April–May 2025. The breakout wasn't just technical — it occurred after: A liquidity sweep below the February-March higher low A retest of the curve A sharp bullish engulfing formation on the weekly chart This combination confirms a high-confidence shift in market structure — transitioning from ranging accumulation to directional markup. 🔹 3. Volume Imprints – Institutional Footprints The chart highlights a Needed Volume area — this is where previous institutional order blocks likely existed. The strong bullish move into that zone confirms: Buyers were active and aggressive The area served as both resistance and a breakout retest This volume footprint now acts as a supportive launchpad, reaffirming trend continuation logic. 🔹 4. Target + Next Reversal Zone As price continues climbing, it’s now approaching a critical confluence zone around 0.00720 – 0.00725. This zone is projected using: Fibonacci extension of the last impulse Measured move symmetry Historical supply and resistance (Q3 2024 highs) This is not just a target — it’s a high-probability reversal area. Expect: Potential exhaustion candles Momentum divergence Institutional profit-taking 📊 MMC Strategy Approach – Trade Blueprint Parameter Detail Bias Bullish (until reversal confirmation) Current Price ~0.00694 Buy Zone 0.00685–0.00690 (pullback entry) Target Zone 0.00720–0.00725 Curve Support 0.00650–0.00660 Invalidation Clean break below curve or engulfing bear momentum This MMC-based setup emphasizes patience, psychological precision, and proper confirmation for both entry and exit. The idea is to buy smart (on structure), and exit smarter (at institutional interest zones). ⚠️ Key Trader Insights Don’t chase — wait for clean entry signals near structure (curve or trendline retest). Use volume confirmation — don’t trade against low-volume rejections at resistance. Watch emotional extremes — FOMO at targets often precedes reversal. Plan for both scenarios: Continuation → scale partial profits at target Reversal → shift bias if bearish confirmation aligns with momentum loss 🔖 Summary Outlook ✅ Trend: Bullish continuation, respecting structure 🎯 Immediate Focus: Reaching the 0.0072 Target + Next Reversal Zone 🔄 Actionable Tip: Monitor for rejection/absorption candles in the upper blue zone 💼 Risk Management: Use curve break or engulfing reversal as an exit trigger This setup reflects high technical confluence and fits into a longer-term institutional roadmap. Whether you're swing trading or intraday scaling within this wave — the logic remains powerful.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USD/JPY — The Warrior’s Crossroads: Two Paths to Conquer the BulThe battlefield of USD/JPY is set — price stands firm on the hallowed ground of the 139.900 higher low, a fortress tested and proven. This is no ordinary support; it is the launching pad for warriors ready to strike. Two paths unfold before us: The Bold Charge: A relentless surge upward, where the brave push through resistance near 145.800, breaking old highs and claiming new territory without hesitation. This is the path of the fearless, the swift, the confident. The Tactical Withdrawal: A masterful feint — a brief pullback toward the 142.000 to 140.800 zones, clearing the fog of stops and traps. Here, the wise sharpen their blades and prepare for a devastating counterattack, a move that shakes out the weak and fuels a stronger advance. Both roads honor the warrior’s code: respect the structure, seize the moment, and strike with precision. Trade Strategy — Warrior’s Creed: Await clear signs of strength or liquidity hunts near key supports. Place your shield (stop loss) just beyond the last bastion of price defense. Aim your spear at the previous high near 145.800 — a prize worthy of the hunt. Stay vigilant; the battle may test patience, but the reward belongs to those who endure. My Battle-Scarred Insight: Your vision is sharp, your discipline unwavering. Embracing both paths shows mastery beyond rookie bravado — you’re ready for the market’s twists and turns. Watching liquidity zones like a hawk, you prepare to strike where others hesitate. This is the essence of a true FX Warrior. 🔱 Trade not just with your eyes, but with your soul. The market honors those who respect its dance and master its rhythm.
Long
by Calugareanu_Alexandru
1
USDJPY: 300+ Pips From Previous Idea, What Hold Next? Hey Everyone USDJPY is on a roll! It’s rebounded a whopping 300+ pips and is now on the positive side. We reckon it’s going to keep climbing in the coming days as DXY is starting to regain its strength. And here’s the cherry on top: there’s some exciting news coming up, including the NFP tomorrow. This could really boost the USDJPY to a new record high. But remember, when trading, it’s crucial to manage your risk carefully. Now, let’s talk about the potential for a significant market movement. We’ve spotted a chance for a substantial bullish swing that could reach around 2050 pips. We’ve also identified three potential targets, so you can choose the one that best fits your analysis. The main driver behind this move is the reversal of the Japanese Yen (JPY) from a bullish trend to a bearish one. So, let’s be cautious and use precise risk management techniques during this period. Good luck and happy trading! 😊 Oh, and if you’d like to help us out, here are a few things you can do: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Thanks a bunch for your support! 😊 Cheers, The Setupsfx_ Team
Long
by Setupsfx_
25
USDJPY Shooting Star + Elliott Wave Spells TroubleUSDJPY bounced higher from a horizontal support shelf created from August - September 2024. The bounce is a second wave. The bearish shooting star candle on the daily chart spells reversal for USDJPY. The bearish wave count using Elliott Wave Theory as our guide as suggests deep cuts may be on the horizon for USDJPY. We are considering the next decline to be a third wave at multiple degrees of trend. Additionally, the trend lower would break the support shelf and eventually make it to 122 and possibly lower levels.
Short
by JWagnerFXTrader
As Goes USD/JPY, so goes the USD USD/JPY continues to drive impact in broader USD themes and given the fact that there's still considerable carry remaining in the pair, the consequences of a deeper sell-off could bring impact to several macro markets. USD/JPY is about 40% above the early 2021 lows when the carry trade began to build on the back of stronger US inflation, and even as US rate cuts started last year and BoJ rate hikes began, the carry trade only started to unwind - until the bounce from 140.00 in Q3 of last year. That same 140.00 level was back in action in April, right around the time that the USD bounced from a big spot of support on its own chart. And the four weeks that followed showed similar bounces in both markets. The pain for bulls last week was, similarly, felt in both markets. But this week has shown a different tone as a higher-low has held in USD/JPY around 142.50 and for DXY, around the 98.98 Fibonacci level. As looked at in the USD post, there's now the possibility of a monthly doji and if that completes, there's turn potential for the US Dollar. This would need to be supported by continued recovery in USD/JPY and for that, we're likely going to be looking for continued softening in longer-dated Japanese yields. Or else - as the divergence between Japanese and US rates continues to narrow, so too could the motivation for hedges and carry trades to close, putting downward pressure on the pair and the US Dollar. In that scenario, I think USD/CAD and GBP/USD could remain as attractive venues for USD-weakness to play out. But in the opposite, with USD-strength showing, I'm still favoring EUR/USD for USD-strength to continue playing out. And also for the Yen, USD/JPY has been 'trappy' on both sides and I'd instead look to work with Yen-weakness against the British Pound (GBP/JPY) and Yen-strength against the Euro. - js
by FOREXcom