USDJPY trade ideas
I Think I Should Just Trade This SetupI Think I Should Just Trade This Setup
So long story short, I just:
0. Assess whether price has Seeked Liquidity, or Rebalanced Fair Value to get a clue of current price intention.
1. Wait for Overextended Price (Bearish or Bullish), Higher TF = Better
2. Wait for 4HR up to 15min Divergence + Oversold/Overbought, at least 2 TF with same divergence
3. On 15min, plot your FVA (PDA must be respected).
4. Look for your FVG entry once price has left the FVA.
5. Target nPOCs that align with divergence + price action direction (ex. npoc below price + bearish div + premium array respected + bearish orderflow leg)
I've been winning "random" trades like this, no TradingView needed, just MT5, and has saved my funded account from imminent death lol. But here's how, if I looked back on those trades, I entered.
I mean, this makes sense. Combine Price Action(PDA + FVA Respected) with Volume Momentum.
Oh, and just to add. I think nPOCs from previous sessions give a good clue about where price wants to go.
For example, npoc below price + bearish div & overbought + premium array respected + bearish orderflow leg = target nPOC.
I might have to track tradingview entries to see if this actually works.
Yen Strengthens Despite Japan’s Q1 ContractionThe Japanese yen strengthened toward 145 per dollar, extending its rally for a fourth straight day, despite Japan’s economy shrinking by 0.2% in the first quarter, worse than forecasts. While the Bank of Japan acknowledged the risks posed by U.S. trade policies, it remains confident that rising wages and prices will support eventual policy normalization. Investors are closely watching U.S.-Japan trade negotiations, with Japan insisting that any deal must include the auto sector and that the 25% U.S. tariff on Japanese cars be removed.
Resistance is noted at 148.60, with further barriers at 149.80 and 151.20. Major support levels lie at 139.70, 137.00, and 135.00.
US Dollar fall is far from over .......Don't let the recent US-UK deal tricks you into thinking Trump is winning in his negotiating. He chose a weak opponent to begin with . I won't pop the champagne yet !
The one must watch show is the one in Switzerland where his representatives meet up with the Chinese counterparts. Knowing his style, he will trumpet and exaggerate a thousand times even nothing is cast in stone. This guy loves the media and must say , he is manipulating them very well. People saw his plot yet few dares to call him out.
As usual, please DYODD
Maintain bearish momentum within trend line - JPY is supported🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news:
➡️ The Japanese Yen maintained its positive momentum against a weaker U.S. Dollar as European trading began, with the USD/JPY pair struggling to stage any meaningful recovery from the weekly lows hit earlier on Friday. Yen bulls appeared unfazed by Japan's disappointing Q1 GDP figures, as the Bank of Japan grows increasingly open to another rate hike in 2025.
➡️ On the other hand, the U.S. Dollar remained under downward pressure following lower-than-expected U.S. PPI data.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The BOJ's ability to raise interest rates once more compared to the Fed's ability to cut interest rates makes the JPY more attractive to investors. Therefore, the downtrend of USD/JPY will still be maintained
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell USD/JPY 145.65 - 145.75
❌SL: 146.05 | ✅TP: 145.05
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USDJPY – 4hr Breakdown – May 16USDJPY has pulled back, filled the Sunday gap, and is now approaching the bottom of the bullish channel we’ve been monitoring.
🔹 Main interest is at 144.767 — key level to look for long entries
🔹 If this support holds, we can expect a swing move to form a new higher high, giving us potential for ~500 pips
🔹 No sell positions unless we break the structure with a close below 143.802
🔹 If that happens, 142.00 becomes the first target
This remains a structure-led swing setup — patience is key until confirmation shows.
USDJPY: FVG Then Bullish Overflow?It has been a significant week for USD/JPY. Following a break of structure (BOS) on the 4-hour timeframe, price moved away from equilibrium, leaving behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG). As the new week begins, we may observe a false move designed to induce traders into premature short positions before a potential bullish reversal—or vice versa. Additionally, given the recent BOS, price may temporarily stall to facilitate order accumulation. Next week will be pivotal in determining the pair’s next direction.
Watch out for the key levels
Japan Pushes Back on Auto TariffsThe Japanese Yen strengthened to around 146 per dollar, marking its third straight gain as global trade concerns weighed on the U.S. Dollar. Asian currencies broadly rose with speculation that the U.S. may be favoring a weaker Dollar to aid trade talks. Trump’s administration argues that undervalued Asian currencies create unfair competition for American exporters.
Meanwhile, Japan continues U.S. trade negotiations, with PM Shigeru Ishiba pushing for a deal that includes the auto sector and the removal of the 25% car tariff.
USD/JPY faces resistance at 148.60, with further levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Major support is seen at 139.70, then 137.00, and 135.00.
USDJPY and GBPJPY Further drop?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
JPY retracement?Make or Break Zone
145.370 (just above 0.382 Fib)
145.760 (a minor resistance cluster)
It’s a Critical Zone:
This zone sits right around:
0.5 Fibonacci level (145.467): Often a strong inflection point.
Previous structure resistance turned potential support.
🟢 If Price Holds:
Bullish continuation is likely.
Next targets: 146.220 (0.618) → 147.292 (0.786) → retest 148.658 highs.
🔴 If Price Breaks Down:
Expect further downside toward:
0.382 (144.714) and then
0.236 (143.783) or even 142.277 (Fib swing low).
USD/JPY Reversal or Breakdown at Key Support ZoneCANDLE MASTER Update!
Here's a breakdown of the analysis idea shown:
Key Elements:
Support Zone (142.40–142.70 area): Price is currently testing this area. It acted as support in the past and may again lead to a bullish bounce.
Resistance Zone (145.00–146.00 area): Marked as a strong resistance area, near the 200 EMA. This would be a potential target if the support holds.
Next Support Zone (around 140.00–140.50): If the current support fails, price could move toward this lower support level.
Moving Averages:
50 EMA (red): Currently above the price, acting as dynamic resistance.
200 EMA (blue): Also above the price, adding confluence to the resistance zone.
Potential Trade Scenarios:
1. Bullish Reversal:
Price holds at current support.
A bounce occurs, and price targets the resistance zone near 145.90.
Entry could be confirmed with bullish candlestick patterns or a break above a local high.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
Price breaks below the current support zone.
Next support target would be around 140.52.
Entry could be considered after a retest of the broken support as resistance.
This is a classical support/resistance setup with confluence from EMAs and price action zones.
USD/JPY Trendline Resistance - 145.00 SupportUSD/JPY has been tricky this year as the pair has brewed several bear traps and there's even been some bull traps along the way. Trading breakouts in a market like that can be even more frustrating than usual, as a case in point the 140.00 test from a few weeks ago was a brutal false breakout that then led to a 500+ pip reversal.
Last week's Bank of Japan meeting was followed by this week's FOMC meeting and the net result of the two was a stronger USD/JPY, and for the second consecutive week the pair found resistance on the underside of a trendline projection.
But perhaps more notably, the same 145.00 level that bulls could not hold above a week ago showed up as support into the end of this week. I wouldn't want to call the weekly bar as a purely bullish item, however, as it has more of a spinning top/indecisive type of nature. But - given that it closed green for a third week in a row and held above 145, we have to give bulls some credit here, and the door would remain open for a deeper run towards the 146.75 prior swing low. - js
USDJPY Set to Rise as Support Holds and Dollar Finds TailwindsUSDJPY looks poised for further upside following a period of consolidation and a successful retest of strong support around the 140.50 level. The weekly chart reveals a clear triple bottom pattern, reinforcing the strength of this support zone and suggesting renewed bullish momentum.
The US Dollar is starting to regain strength after a period of weakness, supported by improving U.S. economic data, sticky inflation, and a less dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. In contrast, Japan is unlikely to change its ultra-loose monetary policy in the near term, keeping rate differentials wide and favoring a stronger Dollar.
With the Bank of Japan expected to hold rates steady for the foreseeable future, capital is likely to continue flowing out of the yen. Carry trade flows remain intact, adding to the upward pressure on USDJPY.
Momentum indicators are turning higher, and price action is forming a steady base for another leg up. The market could target the 150 zone in the coming weeks, where the 50-week moving average may act as initial resistance.
As long as 140.50 holds, dips could offer attractive buying opportunities. A sustained move above 145.00 could trigger fresh bullish momentum and accelerate gains.
USDJPY Will Move Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 142.756.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 144.697.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD/JPY Faces FVG ResistanceThe USD/JPY 1-hour chart shows a clear bearish setup forming after a recent rejection from the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone around 145.923, indicating potential distribution and the start of a corrective move. The price is trading below the upper boundary of the ascending channel and has started to show bearish intent after multiple rejections from the FVG resistance zone.
The structure appears to be forming a corrective ABC wave or the beginning of a deeper Wave 4 correction within a larger Elliott Wave count. Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent low at 142.405 to the high at 145.923 have been plotted to identify potential support zones.
Target 1: 144.726
Target 2: 144.283
Stop loss: 145.850
USDJPY: Bearish Trend ContinuesUSDJPY: Bearish Trend Continues
USDJPY remains in a strong downtrend. Today, the Japanese yen showed strength, pushing USDJPY down by about 120 pips.
This move is likely due to market expectations ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC meeting—investors don’t expect anything significant from Powell’s speech.
USDJPY could rise to the 143.60 zone before dropping again.
Key downside targets: 142.00, 140.00, and 138.00.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
The World’s Financial PowerhousesMoney never sleeps — and in certain cities, it practically runs the show.
These financial capitals aren't just centers of wealth; they're the beating hearts of global finance, moving trillions every single day.
Today, let's take a quick tour through the cities that move markets, set trends, and shape economies.
🌍 1. New York City: The Global Titan
Nickname: The City That Never Sleeps
Key Institutions:
New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)
NASDAQ
Wall Street banks (Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley)
Why It Matters:
New York is the world's largest financial center by market cap, volume, and influence.
If you trade stocks, currencies, or commodities, you’re feeling New York’s pulse — even if you don’t realize it.
🔔 Trading Fact:
The NYSE alone handles over $20 trillion in listed market cap!
🌍 2. London: The Forex King
Nickname: The Old Lady of Threadneedle Street (referring to the Bank of England)
Key Institutions:
London Stock Exchange (LSE)
Bank of England
Hundreds of forex and investment firms
Why It Matters:
London is the epicenter of forex trading — commanding nearly 40% of the global forex market turnover.
Its time zone also bridges Asia and North America, making it crucial for liquidity during major sessions.
🔔 Trading Fact:
The 4 PM London Fix is a major reference point for institutional forex traders worldwide.
🌍 3. Tokyo: The Asian Anchor
Nickname: The Gateway to the East
Key Institutions:
Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE)
Bank of Japan (BOJ)
Why It Matters:
Tokyo sets the tone for Asian markets — and often for global risk appetite during the Asian session.
The Japanese yen (JPY) is the third most traded currency globally, often acting as a safe-haven barometer during market turmoil.
🔔 Trading Fact:
Japan is also home to massive institutional players known as the "Japanese real money accounts" — pension funds, insurers, and mega-banks.
🌍 4. Hong Kong & Singapore: The Dual Dragons
Nicknames:
Hong Kong: Asia’s World City
Singapore: The Lion City
Why They Matter:
Hong Kong: Gateway for global money flowing into China and emerging Asian markets.
Singapore: Major hub for forex trading, wealth management, and commodity trading.
Both cities are fiercely competitive, tech-driven, and strategically vital for accessing Asia’s fast-growing economies.
🔔 Trading Fact:
Singapore is now ranked among the top 3 global forex trading hubs, catching up fast to London and New York.
🌍 5. Zurich: The Quiet Giant
Nickname: The Bank Vault of Europe
Key Institutions:
Swiss National Bank (SNB)
Swiss private banking giants (UBS, Credit Suisse)
Why It Matters:
Zurich represents stability, security, and discretion. It's a powerhouse in private banking, wealth management, and gold trading.
The Swiss franc (CHF) is another classic safe-haven currency — and Zurich's influence is a big reason why.
🔔 Nerdy Fact:
Despite its small size, Switzerland punches way above its weight in forex and commodity markets.
🗺️ Why These Cities Matter to Your Trading
Liquidity:
Big cities = Big volumes = Tighter spreads and faster executions.
Market Movements:
Economic reports, policy decisions, and corporate news from these capitals can spark global volatility.
Session Overlaps:
New York–London overlap?
Tokyo–London handoff?
Understanding when these cities are active helps you time your trades better.
Final Thoughts :
You don't have to live in New York or Tokyo to trade like a pro.
But you do need to understand where the big moves are born.
Follow the money.
Watch the capitals.
Trade smarter.
Markets may seem chaotic — but behind the noise, the world’s financial capitals keep the rhythm steady.
put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile