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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Technical analysis iUSD/JPY on the 30-minute timeframe, showing a rejection from resistance zones and a potential move toward lower support levels. --- Analysis Breakdown Technical Components: 1. Resistance Zones: Primary Resistance: Near 145.500 (upper yellow box), which has previously been rejected multiple times (red arrows). FVG (Fair Value Gap) Resistance Level: Around 144.400, also acting as strong resistance, especially near the EMA 200. 2. Downtrend Line: The price is moving below a downward trendline, respecting bearish structure. Last rejection from both the trendline and FVG zone confirms selling pressure. 3. EMA 200 (144.075): Price is hovering around this level, showing indecision. Bearish bias remains unless price breaks and holds above it. 4. Target Zone: A clearly marked support level around 142.543, shown as the bearish target. Includes multiple event markers (potential news catalysts or key dates), suggesting added volatility. 5. RSI (14): Currently near 55.23, with a prior rejection from higher RSI levels. Bearish divergence not clear, but no overbought conditions. --- Bearish Idea Summary: Thesis: Rejection from resistance zones + trendline + EMA suggests continuation to downside. Expecting: Price to either: Retest the upper resistance zone (around 145.000–145.500) and reject again, or Break below current levels and continue lower toward 142.543. --- Trade Idea Concept: Entry Option 1: Sell on confirmed rejection from FVG zone or upper resistance. Entry Option 2: Sell on break and retest below 144.000. Target: 142.543 (support zone). Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone or trendline (e.g., >145.600). Mr SMC Trading point Risks to Watch: Invalidation: Clean break and close above 145.500 would invalidate the bearish setup. News Impact: Note the icons near the target zone – monitor economic releases around that time. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
12
USDJPY 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a structured summary of your USDJPY trade setup: --- 📈 Trade Idea: Buy USDJPY Entry (Buy): 145.200 Stop Loss: 144.750 ✅ (Risk: 45 pips) --- 🎯 Take Profit Levels 1. TP1: 145.500 (Profit: 30 pips) 2. TP2: 145.930 (Profit: 73 pips) 3. TP3: 146.466 (Profit: 126.6 pips) --- 🔍 Trade Notes Risk-Reward Ratios: TP1: ~0.67:1 TP2: ~1.62:1 TP3: ~2.81:1 This is a layered take-profit strategy — you can close portions of the position at each level or trail the stop. Make sure to adjust lot sizes accordingly if you're scaling out at each TP. --- Would you like help creating a risk management plan or getting this formatted for MT4/5 or another trading platform?
Long
by Mrprofe21
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 16 June 2025 - USDJPY reversed from the support zone - Likely to rise to the resistance level 146.00 USDJPY currency pair recently reversed from the support zone surrounding the pivotal support level 142.50, which has been reversing the price from the start of August. The upward reversal from the support level 142.50 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Piercing Line. USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 146.00 (top of the previous correction 2 from last month).
Long
by FxProGlobal
USD/JPY Short1. Intervention-fade (always live) Sell Limit 146.00 Stop Loss 146.80 Take-Profit 1 144.50 – if hit, move stop to breakeven Take-Profit 2 143.00 Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled after 5 trading days 2. Break-and-retest (place this only after a daily candle closes below 145.00) Sell Limit 145.20 Stop Loss 146.00 Take-Profit 1 144.00 Take-Profit 2 143.00 Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled within 5 trading days of being placed Rule: the moment one of these orders fills, cancel the other so you never have two USD/JPY shorts open at the same time.
Short
by tradercat2025
USD/JPY – Bearish Symmetrical Triangle Break Incoming?USD/JPY is currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle, respecting both the ascending and descending trendlines with clean touches. This structure typically precedes a volatile breakout, and the technical confluence here favors a bearish resolution. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Price failed to hold above the 0.5 Fib level of the recent swing high at 145.377, getting rejected by both the 200 EMA and the triangle resistance zone. Currently testing the 0.382 retracement (144.607) — a break here opens the door for a drop to the 0.236 level (143.653) and potentially deeper into previous demand. Volume compression and EMA clustering further support an imminent breakout move. 📐 Bearish Confluences: Rising wedge/symmetrical triangle pattern showing exhaustion. Strong rejection at the equilibrium of the range. EMAs acting as dynamic resistance. Major fib cluster from previous bearish leg aligning with triangle apex. 🎯 Targets: TP1: 143.653 (0.236 Fib) TP2: 142.111 (local low) TP3: 140.347 (-0.27 Fib extension, full measured move of triangle) ❌ Invalidation: Clean break above 145.526 (mid-structure + fib zone) would neutralize the setup. 💬 Market Context: Watch closely for a breakout confirmation. Smart money may sweep short-term liquidity before a decisive drop. Stay nimble, and remember — structure always tells the story.
Short
by WrightWayInvestments
USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Ahead?📈 USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Ahead? 🚀💹 The USD/JPY pair is currently approaching a critical resistance zone (145.800 - 146.000), which has acted as a strong supply area in the past. The price has shown bullish momentum as it builds higher lows and heads toward this resistance. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔵 Resistance Zone: Clearly marked and tested multiple times. A breakout above this level could trigger a bullish continuation. 📊 Bullish Structure: The pair is forming a strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows on the 4H timeframe. 🔄 Retest Scenario: Chart suggests a potential breakout above the resistance, followed by a bullish retest before continuing toward the target zone at ~148.900. 🟢 Upside Target: 148.900 (Previous swing high) – a potential gain of over 300 pips from breakout point. 📌 Trading Outlook: ✅ A confirmed breakout and retest of the resistance zone could offer a high-probability long setup. ❌ A failure to break and hold above the resistance may result in short-term consolidation or reversal. 📅 Watch Levels: Resistance: 145.800 – 146.000 Support (breakout retest): 145.200 – 145.500 Bullish Target: 148.900 📢 Conclusion: Bulls are in control as long as price sustains above the resistance zone. A clean breakout followed by a retest could offer an attractive buying opportunity with a well-defined risk-to-reward setup. 🔥📊
Long
by VikingFx-Community
4
USDJPY – Bearish Pressure Builds Amid Fed Dovish ExpectationsFX:USDJPY is trading around the 145.300 mark and showing signs of weakness, as the US dollar comes under pressure from growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates in September. This sentiment is fueled by recent soft US data, including weaker retail sales and industrial production. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is regaining some strength, supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and possible intervention signals from the Bank of Japan. In the short term, I lean toward a corrective pullback scenario while awaiting clearer signals from the Fed.
Short
by Edward_TradingFX
6
Fake breakout, support, trend line and stop loss for USDJPYI am still bearish on USDJPY. However, you can see from the shorter time frame, there are multiple occasions where fake breakouts happen. This usually stops out the traders with tight SL. Unless you have a clear strategy, after being stopped out from this pair, it is highly likely that you will move on to other pairs/asset classes to find your next pot of gold. But if you are persistent and have the patience, you will notice this fake breakout patterns. It is getting shorter and shorter. Now, with the support at 142.472, a breakdown will be great as it sends the price to 140 level. If you wants to short now, it would be better to have a wider SL, say 145.60 , the previous peak where it is more likely not to surpass. A higher SL will mean you cannot be greedy in your position size initially to rein in the gains if it moves in your favour. It is better to have a small position and the market agrees with you than to go on an aggressive mode of say 5-10 contracts position size and shortly market moves against you. The stress would be too much to bear seeing the losses running........ Find one strategy that suits your personality , risk profile and work on it tirelessly.
Short
by dchua1969
USDJPY Price Breakout Strong Bullish FormedUSDJPY is approaching a retest of the support level after rebounding from a recent wedge breakdown. The pair has reclaimed structure within a broader ascending channel, indicating buyers are stepping in around key levels. 🎯 Potential Target: If the pair continues to hold above support and breaks minor resistance, the next key upside target is 146.500. you may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks.
Long
by MrMartin_11
USDJPY Is Going Down! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 145.574. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 144.101. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USD/JPY 4-Hour Forex Chart (June 20, 2025)4-hour candlestick chart from FOREX.com displays the USD/JPY currency pair's performance, showing a current value of 145.328 with a slight decrease of 0.112 (-0.08%). The chart highlights a recent downward trend following a peak near 145.950, with a shaded area indicating a potential resistance zone around 145.500-145.950. The time frame spans from early June to the present date, with key levels marked at 145.000, 144.478, and higher resistance points.
Short
by Alee_Gold_Trader
USD/JPY 2-Hour Forex Chart2-hour candlestick chart from FOREX.com displays the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). The current rate is 145.513, with a slight increase of +0.074 (+0.05%). The chart shows price movements over the past 2-hour period, with a notable upward trend followed by a recent decline, as highlighted by the shaded area indicating a potential resistance or reversal zone. Key levels such as 145.701 and 145.106 are marked, along with the current time of 04:00.
Short
by Alee_Gold_Trader
USDJPY Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 145.43 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 144.58 Safe Stop Loss - 145.90 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
USD/JPY: Yen Continues to Lose Ground Against the U.S. DollarOver the past three trading sessions, USD/JPY has risen by more than 1%, favoring the U.S. dollar, as the yen continues to weaken steadily. The bullish bias has persisted, supported by a rebound in dollar strength. The DXY index, which measures the dollar's performance against other major currencies, has been climbing in the short term and is once again approaching the 100-point mark, signaling growing confidence in the dollar’s movements. If this dollar strength persists, buying pressure in USD/JPY may become increasingly dominant. Consistent Downtrend Since early January of this year, USD/JPY has been consolidating consistent downward movements, shaping a solid bearish trend that has lasted through recent months. Currently, price action is once again testing a resistance zone, aligned with the downtrend line, but buying momentum has not been strong enough to break through. As a result, the dominant trend remains bearish, unless a significant bullish breakout manages to disrupt the pattern. Neutrality in Indicators At the moment, the RSI line is oscillating near the 50 level, while the MACD histogram remains close to the zero line. These patterns suggest a state of equilibrium between buying and selling pressure, which has led to a series of neutral movements. As long as both indicators remain in this range, it reflects a lack of dominance by either market force in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: 145.470 – Short-Term Barrier: A level where potential bearish corrections could emerge, especially as price remains near the downtrend line under conditions of neutrality. 148.012 – Major Resistance: This corresponds to the recent multi-month highs. Sustained buying above this level could threaten the prevailing bearish trend. 142.367 – Critical Support: A level aligned with the lowest prices of recent months, which has been repeatedly respected, increasing its strength in the short term. A breakdown here could trigger a renewed bearish bias, reinforcing the ongoing downward trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst Follow him at: @julianpineda25
by FOREXcom