USDJPY LongUSDJPY is now net long on the regression break.
I am considering my options and EAs to use on this pair.
USDJPY trade ideas
Rebound that I expectThe market open created a gap around the 149.000 level, so I expect a rebound around that level, as a target I expect the 152.000 level to be tested this week. Based on this projection, I will try to play the following setup. Trade carefully.
Weekly FOREX Forecast Mar 24-28: Buy CAD, CHF, JPY vs USD!This is an outlook for the week of March 24 - 28th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
The USD Index is entering a Daily +FVG, which is nested in a Weekly +FVG. This is a bearish indication for the USD, which is a potential bullish situation for EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD. This will be potentially bearish for the USDCAD, USDCHF, and USDJPY. Wait for the market structure shift going in the direction of your TP, and enter on the pullback.
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UJ Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionThe USD/JPY pair is currently in a temporary uptrend within a broader consolidation, following a strong bearish move that started at the beginning of the year. The Y149.000 level will be a key zone for our trading decisions.
📌 Key Technical Outlook:
🔹 Price faced selling pressure around Y150.000, leading to a pullback.
🔹 As long as price holds above the ascending trendline & Y149.000, I’ll be looking for buying opportunities in the short term.
🔹 A breakdown and retest of Y149.000 and the trendline would confirm a resumption of the long-term bearish structure.
📌 Major Market Drivers:
🔹 Federal Reserve’s Policy Stance: Powell reiterated that rate cuts are not urgent, keeping the USD supported.
🔹 Trump’s Trade Tariffs: Expected to drive US inflation higher, adding strength to the Dollar.
🔹 Bank of Japan’s Hawkish Expectations: Japan’s largest trade union group (Rengo) secured a 5.4% pay rise, reinforcing expectations that the BoJ will tighten policy further this year.
🔹 Japan’s CPI Cooling Down: Lower inflation in Japan could weaken the Yen and offer USD/JPY support.
📅 Key Economic Events on Our Radar Next Week:
🗓 Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI – A key sentiment indicator for economic conditions.
🗓 Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) – A major market mover influencing the Fed’s policy direction.
🗓 Friday: Tokyo CPI & US Core PCE Index – The BoJ and Fed’s preferred inflation measures, critical for future rate decisions.
I’ll be watching how USD/JPY behaves around Y149.000 for confirmation of trend continuation or a bearish continuation. We’ll discuss this in-depth during Forex Morning Mastery tomorrow—stay tuned! 🔥📈 #USDJPY #Forex #MarketAnalysis
USDJPYUSD/JPY Fundamental Analysis for Next Week
Based on recent developments and market sentiment, here’s a breakdown of key drivers and potential price action for USD/JPY in the coming week:
Key Drivers
Fed Policy and US Economic Data:
Fed Rate Cuts: Markets expect two Fed rate cuts in 2025, which could weaken the USD. However, the Fed’s cautious stance (e.g., Powell’s emphasis on “unusually elevated uncertainty”) may limit immediate USD declines.
US Leading Economic Index (LEI): A forecasted rise to -0.2% (from -0.3%) could signal stabilizing growth, supporting the USD.
BoJ Policy and Japanese Data:
BoJ Rate Hikes: The BoJ maintained rates at 0.5% but faces pressure to hike further if inflation persists. Hawkish rhetoric from Governor Ueda could strengthen the JPY.
Japanese Inflation: February’s core CPI rose 3.0% YoY, down from 3.2% in January, reducing urgency for immediate BoJ action.
Geopolitical and Trade Risks:
Trump’s Tariffs: Reciprocal tariffs on April 2 could slow global growth, boosting safe-haven demand for the JPY.
Ukraine Peace Talks: Optimism about US-Russia negotiations may ease risk aversion, pressuring JPY.
Yield Differentials:
Narrowing US-Japan Yield Spreads: The downward trajectory of US-Japan yield spreads (e.g., 10-year Treasuries vs. JGBs) supports a medium-term USD/JPY downtrend.
Bearish Case: A break below 148.471 could target 146.499 driven by JPY safe-haven demand or BoJ hawkishness.
Bullish Case: A rally above 150.1-149.496 might test 151.8, but faces resistance from narrowing yield spreads and Fed dovishness.
BoJ Policy Guidance: Any hints of delayed rate hikes may weaken JPY, supporting USD/JPY.
Tariff Implementation: Markets will monitor Trump’s April 2 tariff deadline for trade war escalation risks.
Conclusion
USD/JPY is likely to remain volatile, with bearish bias dominating due to:
JPY Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical risks and trade tensions.
Narrowing Yield Spreads: Reduced USD appeal as US-Japan rate differentials shrink.
BoJ Policy Uncertainty: Hawkish rhetoric vs. delayed action.
It's time again for a retrace to the upsideWhen the USDJPY is in oversold conditions, it typically retraces to the upside.
Right now, it appears to be one of those moments, making a move to the upside very likely.
USD/JPY Trade Setup & Analysis – Bullish Reversal from 200 EMAThe 200 EMA (blue line) at 149.701 acts as a strong support level.
The 30 EMA (red line) at 150.458 represents a short-term trend guide.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 150.120 (near the 200 EMA).
Stop Loss: Below 149.496, protecting against downside risk.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 150.287
TP2: 150.533
TP3: 150.886
Final Target: 151.377
Strategy:
Buy Position: The expectation is for the price to bounce from the 200 EMA and move upwards toward the targets.
Risk-Reward: Favorable, as the trade has multiple profit-taking levels.
HERE IS USDJPY TRIANGLE PATTERNHello Guys Here Is Chart Of USDJPY in 4-H AT
Entry Level: SELL Around 148.800
Resistance: 149.300
Target Will Be : 146.800
This analysis assumes the price respects the Triangle Pattern.
USDJPY; Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaOANDA:USDJPY
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of USDJPY, using my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
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Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
USDJPY INVERTED HS PATTERN BREAKOUT 350 PIPS CAN BE EXPECTED
In the event that a head and shoulders pattern develops in USDJPY, please refrain from risking more than 2% of your capital investment. It is crucial to perform your own research before making any trading decisions. To ensure the pattern's accuracy, it is advisable to use the premium version of the TradingView Auto Chart Indicator, as the free version may not offer dependable indicators for this pattern. While the free version can be used to check the auto chart pattern, it may not display it correctly. Those with access to the premium version are invited to share their observations in the comments section.
Thank you All
USDJPYUSDJPY got a 230 pips move towards the recent monthly open of March , completing a V shape recovery type of pattern.
Now that FOMC is over, volumes should kick in as it's been a boring last week in expectance of this news.
USDJPY 1.2850 Long in Profit: Next Week's Take - Profit GuideThis week, the long position signal on USDJPY at the 1.28500 level has already started yielding profits. As we look ahead to next week, it is advisable to commence position closing once the price reaches the pre - determined target levels. Rest assured, I will persist in furnishing precise trading signals.
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Expect a Bearish Move from around 152.449 on USDJPY The USDJPY is approaching a premium level of price around 152.449.... which could be a Bearish sentiment and a opportunity for traders so therefore I'm going short when price gets to 152.449.
USDJPY Short from ResistanceHello Traders
In This Chart USDJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USD_JPY WILL KEEP FALLING|SHORT|
✅USD_JPY is trading along the falling resistance
And as the pair will hit it soon
I am expecting the price to go down
To retest the demand levels below at 147.500
SHORT🔥
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USDJPY SELL SETUP!!From a technical perspective, examining the USD/JPY chart, we might notice that prices are forming a lower high, which often indicates a potential downtrend. The price respecting Fibonacci retracement levels can also suggest that the market is reacting to key support and resistance levels. When traders see the price approaching these levels and behaving predictably, it can bolster their confidence in the direction of their trades.
Overall, the expectation is for a continuing strength in the yen, especially if the market sentiment remains focused on potential rate hikes from the Fed. This scenario might lead to more bearish moves for the USD/JPY pair, making it important to watch for any significant economic data releases or comments from central bank officials that could signal changes in monetary policy.
Bullish rise?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 148.96
1st Support: 148.34
1st Resistance: 149.97
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