Break out and retest strategyOn the 4 hour time frame shows an uptrend, of which it has provided the third touch marking a buy. And it has been in an uptrend that has been creating higher lows. It has provided a breakout on the H4, and on the 30 minute timeframe it gave a support level markin a buy set up amd entry. Sculping to take first take profit and second
USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY 1H – 5-WaveHello awesome traders!
USDJPY (1H) is shaping up beautifully with a textbook 5-wave structure into a potential reversal zone.
After completing the 5th wave at 145.442, we’re seeing a controlled pullback targeting the TARGET ZONE 1, which aligns perfectly with:
127% Fib Extension of the last impulse
161.8% Full Projection
200 SMA Dynamic Support
We’re watching closely for price to reach this high-confluence area (144.471 – 144.207), which also aligns with the previous Wave 4 region and the trendline break. If buyers step back in with strong price action, we’ll look to long from this zone toward a retest of 145.255, and possibly beyond if structure shifts bullish again.
Key Outlook:
🔸 Short-term retracement into value
🔸 Bullish continuation possible from PCZ
🔸 Patience pays — let the setup complete
We'll monitor the TARGET ZONE 1 for signs of accumulation and a fresh breakout setup.
🔥 Structure. Patience. Execution.
🟠 Follow for more clean structural setups and trade-ready charting ideas
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USD/JPY Follow the ascending bullish from demand zone 143.000FX:USDJPY Analysis – 1H Timeframe
The pair continues to respect its bullish ascending channel, gaining strong momentum from the key demand zone at 143.000.
🔹 Technical Targets Ahead:
🔸 1st Target: 144.100 – Minor Supply Zone
🔸 2nd Target: 144.900 – Key Supply Zone
🔸 3rd Target: 145.900 – Strong Resistance Level
Momentum remains in favor of buyers as long as price holds above 143.000. Watch for reactions at each target zone for potential short-term pullbacks or breakout continuation.
📊 Trade smart – manage your risk!
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— Livia 💹😜
USDJPY Long potential setupWhat's going on?
USDJPY – Reload Zone Marked. If They Take Me Out, I’ll Be Waiting Lower.
Discipline means you don’t chase. You wait where the market must return.
Currently in 2 buys, one is an added position, then I moved my stop in from the purple line— but if those get wicked out, I’m hunting the next key demand zone just beneath 144.10. Where we'll have a textbook spring setup!
🧠 What I See:
We're forming a potential micro accumulation structure.
If the current position gets taken out, I’ll reload lower at the spring aligned with the prior reaction low + liquidity sweep zone.
🎯 Next Area of Interest:
Zone: 144.00 – 144.10
📌 Target Remains:
144.76 → 145.36
1.618 extension aligns with supply inefficiencies & range completion
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> “Stop loss isn’t failure. It’s recon. The second entry — that’s where pros feast.”
I’m not trading emotion. I’m trading plan + precision + execution.
OANDA:USDJPY Buys SetupThe market has recently rebounded from a key support zone, showing strong bullish momentum and forming higher lows—a classic sign of accumulating demand. Price action suggests a potential breakout to the upside, possibly driven by liquidity resting above recent swing highs. If history is any guide, this pattern could signal further continuation in the direction of the trend.
Trade Setup (Risk Parameters):
Entry: 144.372
Stop Loss: 143.599
Target Levels:
Take Profit 1: 145.889
Take Profit 2: 148.508
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, aligning with recent market structure and momentum. As always, manage risk appropriately and monitor price action closely.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments. If this analysis resonates with your trading style, consider giving it a boost and follow for more high-probability setups. Stay disciplined and trade safe!
Yen Edges Higher as Inflation SurgesThe Japanese yen traded stronger near 145 per dollar, rebounding as Japan’s core inflation rose for the third straight month to 3.7%, its highest since January 2023. The data strengthens expectations that the Bank of Japan may continue policy tightening.
Earlier in the week, the BOJ held rates at 0.5% but highlighted how rising wages are being passed on to consumers, keeping inflation elevated. Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized a data-driven path forward, keeping the door open for more hikes if needed.
The key resistance is at $145.30, while the major support is located at $142.50.
Bullish FlagHello traders! 👋
We've just spotted a classic Bullish Flag breakout on USDJPY (30m chart) — one of the cleanest continuation patterns in price action trading.
After a strong impulse leg to the upside, price formed a downward-sloping flag — a textbook consolidation pattern. The breakout above 144.749 confirms buyer control and sets the stage for continuation toward 145.42, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
📌 Pattern: Bullish Flag
📌 Breakout Level: 144.749
📌 Target: 145.42
📌 Stop: Below 143.60 (flag low / invalidation zone)
🧠 Structure Note:
The symmetry of the flag is clean, with measured move projection aligning with the extension target. This setup shows clear impulsive energy, consolidation, and breakout — ideal continuation behavior.
🎯 Trading Plan:
If price holds above 144.75, we’re looking at a move toward 145.00 first, with extended continuation to 145.42. If price fails and drops back below the flag, the setup is invalidated — as always, risk management first.
Let the structure guide you, not your emotions. Stay disciplined.
—
📈 Trade Chart Patterns Like The Pros
USDJPYUSD (DXY-based futures):
➤ +1,402 → modest net-long position (buying bias)
JPY (Japanese Yen futures):
➤ +144,595 → extremely net-long, near record levels
What This Means:
USD +1,402 = Mild bullish sentiment — large traders are slightly buying USD, but not aggressively.
JPY +144,595 = Very strong bullish sentiment — hedge funds and institutions are heavily buying JPY, suggesting they expect it to strengthen.
This gives a bearish bias for USD/JPY:
If JPY buying continues, USD/JPY may decline.
Bias: Short USD/JPY
USDJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 145.13
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 145.55
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clearshort signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 144.31
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened slightly against the US dollar during Friday's Asian session and moved away from the monthly low reached the day before. Data released by the Japanese government showed that the annual consumer price index (CPI) in May remained well above the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) target of 2%. This confirms market expectations that the BoJ will raise interest rates again and is a key factor driving the moderate growth of the JPY.
Meanwhile, ongoing trade uncertainty and further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on investor sentiment, further strengthening the JPY's status as a safe haven. In addition, the moderate decline in the US dollar (USD) is pulling the USD/JPY pair back towards the psychological level of 145.000. However, expectations that the BoJ may keep rates unchanged until the first quarter of 2026, as well as the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish pause earlier this week, may limit the pair's losses.
Market participants are paying extra attention to upcoming economic releases from the US, including inflation and labor market data, which could influence the Fed's monetary policy trajectory. If the statistics prove strong, this could strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the yen. However, the continuing weakness in the global economic recovery and high Japanese inflation continue to support expectations of a gradual tightening of BoJ policy, creating an ambiguous outlook for the USD/JPY exchange rate in the short term.
Trading recommendation: SELL 145.400, SL 145.700, TP 144.300
USD/JPY(20250620)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
145.32
Support and resistance levels:
146.35
145.96
145.72
144.93
144.68
144.30
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 145.72, consider buying, and the first target price is 145.96
If the price breaks through 145.32, consider selling, and the first target price is 144.93
USD/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 144.203 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the USD/JPY pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY 30M ChartUSDJPY is trading within an ascending triangle pattern on the 30-minute timeframe.
Price is testing a key horizontal resistance zone near 145.40, while maintaining higher lows — suggesting potential breakout pressure building.
🔍 Possible Scenarios:
🔺 Bullish Breakout: Above 145.40 — Expect a move towards 146.50/147.50 (TP marked).
🔻 Bearish Breakdown: Below 145.00 — Potential drop towards 143.00/142.50 (TP marked).
Both entry points and target levels are highlighted for clarity. Ichimoku Cloud supports this setup with a light trend indication.
Waiting for clear breakout confirmation before taking any position is advised.
— Not financial advice. For educational and analytical purposes only.
USDJPYUSDJPY Trading Plan.
"Now let’s look at the Smart Money Concept behind USD/JPY.
A classic liquidity grab took place in the 142.8 to 143.0 zone — triggering stop-losses and then sharply reversing upward. This is a textbook example of institutional accumulation after sweeping retail traders."
"We also see a bullish order block and a fair value gap forming in the same area on both the daily and H4 charts. That makes this zone a high-probability entry point for smart money traders."
"A change of character is clearly visible as the price structure on H4 and H1 shifts from bearish to a more consolidative and bullish tone — especially after a strong reversal candle near the FVG support."
"In summary, institutions are quietly building long positions around 142.8 to 143.0 — and it’s a highly favorable entry zone, with a logical stop-loss just below 142.3."
DXY: STEP BY STEP.There was not much to yesterday as we awaited the FOMC minutes to know the Fed's rates decision.Interest rates remain unchanged so unless there are geopolitical catalysts I expect the dollar to rebound to 100.00 if there is successive break above 99.00. Subsequently leading to a higher price in dollar v yen. Patiently waiting to long this pair step by step. If London sessions fails then we wait for NY session.
#Happy Trading Y'all.
USDJPY – Triangle Complete? Wave (v) Setup BuildingWave (iv) appears to be ending with an (e) wave tag into the 0.764 retracement.
📉 Price remains capped within the contracting triangle — watching closely for breakdown confirmation.
If this plays out, wave (v) of C could now begin unfolding with initial focus on 140.00 and below.
🧩 Structure: (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e) triangle complete
📏 Final wave (e) aligns with 0.764 retracement and structural resistance
⚠️ RSI divergence + weakening momentum support the bearish scenario
USD/JPY Trade Setup – 1H Timeframe- Wk 9We are currently observing the USD/JPY pair on the 1-hour chart, and the trend remains strongly bullish. There is no divergence present, which confirms trend continuation. A bullish flag pattern has formed, suggesting a potential breakout to the upside.
The pair has recently completed a healthy retracement and tested the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which further supports our bullish bias. Based on this setup, we are executing an instant buy trade with a well-calculated risk-to-reward strategy.
🔹 Pair: USD/JPY
🔹 Trend: Bullish
🔹 Pattern: Bullish Flag
🔹 Fibonacci Level: 0.5 Tested
🔹 Entry Point: 144.942 (Instant Buy)
🔹 Stop Loss: 144.345
🔹 Take Profit 1: 145.539
🔹 Take Profit 2: 146.136
🔹 Lot Size: 0.24
🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1 and 1:2
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $300
🎯 Outlook: Expecting bullish continuation.
📌 #USDJPY #ForexSignals #BullishFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceActionTrading #FibonacciRetracement #BreakoutSetup #ForexStrategy #RiskRewardRatio #ForexTradeIdea #1HChart #ForexMarket #FXTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts
USDJPY - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25For USD/JPY at 144.11, weighing the daily range (139.58–148.65) and recent price action, I’d estimate roughly:
Slide below 139.58 first ~60%
Rally above 148.65 first ~40%
Reasoning
Range position: We’re in the upper half of a well-defined 139.58–148.65 band—mean regression favors a move back toward the lower boundary.
Failed rallies: Price has tried three times (Feb, Apr, May) to breach 148.65 and faltered, suggesting that resistance remains firm.
Momentum: Recent advances lack conviction—the daily candles are indecisive with wicks on both ends, hinting at exhaustion.
Bearish longer‐term tilt: From last summer’s high (~162), USD/JPY has carved lower highs, putting the overall bias slightly skewed to the downside until a clean break above 148.65.