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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY - Precision Play on SMC FoundationsLocked in on this one from top-down analysis. 4H: Price swept IDM liquidity and is now mitigating a clean 4H order block — textbook SMC move. 30M: Waited for liquidity to be taken out here too, and price didn’t disappoint. It struck my refined 30M order block perfectly, showing respect to structure and order flow. 5M: Now it’s time for patience. Waiting for that CHoCH flip and liquidity grab to confirm my entry. Once that trigger hits, I’m in. Let’s run it. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 152.72 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 151.20 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Take profit: 154.64 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group. Update idea Add note VantageMarkets Also on:
Long
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY-Target 156A hot set of inflation figures from the US alongside risk-on outflows from then yen helped USD/JPY post its best daily gain of the year. While the daily chart shows Wednesday's high stalled at trend resistance, but the strong bullish trend on the 1-hour chart suggests its more likely we'll see an upside break of it than not. The 50-day SMA at 155.22 makes a potential interim target for bulls, a break above which brings the monthly pivot point near the 156 handle into focus.
Long
by Disco-Dave
USDJPY selling pressure continues, The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USD/JPY 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE This chart is a technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe, showing a successful breakout prediction. Here’s what it means: Breakout Move: The price surged past resistance and reached the red circled area at the top, indicating a strong bullish move. Target Confirmation: The yellow zone around 153.635 was the first confirmation target, which was successfully hit. Potential Reversal Setup: The chart suggests a possible pullback to the lower red zone, marked as "Setup," where a new trade opportunity might arise. It seems like you predicted this breakout correctly. Are you planning to update your TradingView post with this result?
Short
by DavidHills110
2
Sell Opportunity📢 USDJPY Trade Signal - Short Setup 🚀 📉 SELL USDJPY @ 154.333 🎯 Target: 150.957 (-2.19%) 🛑 Stop Loss: 155.186 (-0.55%) ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.98 ⏳ Estimated Duration: 13 Days 🔹 Analysis: Key Resistance: 154.791 & 155.186 Key Support Levels: 153.265 → 152.430 → 150.984 Volume Profile: High liquidity zone around 152.500 200 MA Resistance Rejection 📊 Trade Rationale: USDJPY showing exhaustion near resistance with a potential drop towards 152.43 & 150.96 Risk/Reward is highly favorable (3.98) Sellers likely to dominate if price stays below 154.33 🚨 Caution: If price breaks 155.186, reconsider the short bias.
Short
by GODOCM
USDJPY US CPI triggered spikeThe USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDJPY downtrend continues capped by resistance at 155.50 The USDJPY currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 155.50, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 155.50 level could target the downside support at 152.76 followed by 151.50 and 150.90 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 155.50 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 156.00 resistance level followed by 156.74 and 157.70. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDJPY CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONFIRM TARGET WIN USD/JPY Chart Technical Analysis: TARGET WIN! Congratulations on a successful trade! Your technical analysis skills and market insight have paid off, and you've reached your target on the USD/JPY chart! Take a moment to review your strategy and analyze what worked well. This will help you refine your approach and achieve even more success in your future trades! What's your next move? Are you setting new targets, adjusting your strategy, or taking a break?
Short
by DavidHills110
USD/JPY Technical Analysis – February 13, 2025 By BrokerirMarket Overview The USD/JPY pair has been experiencing a sharp decline, forming a strong downtrend over the past few hours. The price has dropped from a local high near 153.700 to the current level around 153.012. The downward momentum has been consistent, with little sign of immediate recovery. However, certain technical indicators suggest that a potential reversal could be on the horizon. Key Support and Resistance Levels • Support: 152.971 (Current intraday support) • Resistance: 153.345 (Projected retracement level) The price action suggests that the 152.971 level is acting as a crucial support zone. A bounce from this level could trigger a corrective move toward the 153.345 resistance area, where previous price consolidation occurred. Technical Indicators & Momentum Analysis MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) • The MACD histogram is in the negative zone but is showing signs of contraction, indicating a potential slowdown in bearish momentum. • The signal line is beginning to turn upward, which may suggest an upcoming bullish crossover. Price Action & Structure • The overall structure remains bearish in the short term, but the presence of exhaustion at the current support level hints at a possible corrective retracement. • The price is currently testing a key demand zone, which has historically acted as a strong support area. Potential Scenario If buying pressure increases from the 152.971 support zone, we could see a corrective move toward the 153.345 resistance area. However, if the price fails to hold this support, further downside toward 152.900 and beyond could be expected. Conclusion The USD/JPY pair is at a critical juncture. While the immediate trend remains bearish, technical indicators suggest that a potential short-term rebound could be in play. Traders should closely monitor the price action around the 152.971 level and watch for confirmation signals before anticipating a trend reversal. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by SasanHATAM
5
USDJPYShort Fundamental Analysis – USD/JPY 1. Context • Federal Reserve (Fed) • Maintains high interest rates to combat persistent inflation in the US. • Solid macro data (GDP ~+2.6%, unemployment ~3.7%) supports a strong US dollar. • Bank of Japan (BoJ) • Continues an ultra-loose monetary policy with interest rates near zero. • Possible minor tweaks (e.g., yield curve control adjustments), but no firm signal of a major tightening cycle yet. 2. Possible Direction • Bias: Bullish for USD/JPY, driven by the favorable interest rate differential for the dollar and the lack of clear indication that the BoJ will abandon its ultra-accommodative stance. • Alternate Scenario: • A more “hawkish” tone from the BoJ (e.g., rate hikes, withdrawing yield curve control) could trigger sharp downward corrections in USD/JPY. 3. Factors to Watch This Week 1. US Economic Data: Indicators like Inflation (CPI/PCE) and Labor Market (NFP, Unemployment) can strengthen or weaken the dollar. 2. BoJ Communications: Any unusually firm signals of tightening could boost the yen. 3. Geopolitical Events: In periods of uncertainty, the yen may act as a safe haven, potentially tempering USD/JPY’s bullish momentum. 4. Overall Conclusion • USD remains strong due to higher rates and a resilient US economy. • JPY stays under pressure given the BoJ’s very accommodative policy. • In the absence of major surprises from Japan, the upward trend in USD/JPY is likely to remain intact in the near to medium term. Disclaimer This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. Financial markets can be volatile and carry significant risks. Always align your strategy with your personal risk profile and consult official sources before making trading decisions.
by SkylimitBreakPoint