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USDJPY trade ideas

BUY opportunities on USD JPYRR 1:1 - conservative RR 1:2 - aggresive Please do not trade as my analysis might be incorrect. I encourage constructive feedback. If you did trade, make sure the drawing is respected, don't use exact values as they might differ from a broker to another. Explanations: MIN - last minimum point MAX - last maximum point BOS - break of structure SMS - shift in market structure SL - stop loss TP - take profit RR - risk reward OB - order block OB (15) - order block (based on M15) timeframe
Long
by gabisuciu
Weekly Forex Fundamental Overview - March 24 - March 28 2025Key Economic Calendar Events This Week: Monday, March 24 AUD/JPY/EU/UK/US Flash Manufacturing & Services PMIs BOE Gov Bailey Speaking (Taking Questions) Tuesday, March 25 German IFO Business Climate US S&P/SC Composite-20 HPI y/y US Consumer Confidence US New Home Sales US Richmond Manufacturing Index AUD CPI Wednesday, March 26 UK CPI UK Annual Budget Release US Durable Goods US FOMC Members Speaking Thursday, March 27 US GDP US Unemployment Claims US Pending Home Sales JPY CPI Friday, March 28 UK Retail Sales CAD GDP US PCE US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations Deeper Dive: - UK Inflation Trends The UK's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February, scheduled for release on Wednesday, will provide insights into the country's inflation trajectory. In January 2025, the CPI rose by 3.0%, up from 2.5% in December 2024. Monitoring whether this upward trend continues is essential for anticipating potential monetary policy adjustments by the Bank of England. - U.S. Inflation Indicators and Federal Reserve Outlook The PCE Price Index release on Friday is pivotal, as it's the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. A higher-than-expected reading could influence the Fed's monetary policy stance, potentially impacting the value of the USD.​ - Housing Market Health The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index and New Home Sales data will shed light on the U.S. housing sector's condition. These indicators are crucial for assessing economic stability, as housing trends can influence consumer wealth and spending behaviors.​ - Consumer Confidence and Spending The Consumer Confidence Index and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will provide insights into U.S. consumer optimism. High confidence levels typically correlate with increased consumer spending, a key driver of economic growth.​ - Business Investment Trends Durable Goods Orders data will reflect U.S. business investment levels. An increase suggests optimism about future economic conditions, while a decrease may indicate caution.​ Market Outlook: Currency Bias for the Week USD: Neutral/Bullish – Strong PCE data could bolster the dollar if it suggests higher or persistent inflation.​ GBP: Neutral/Bullish – Anticipation of the CPI release may lead to increased volatility. Higher inflation could strengthen the pound on expectations of tightening policy.​ EUR: Neutral – With limited high-impact Euro data, the Euro may trade in response to other factors like outside economic data releases or geopolitics.​ JPY: Neutral/Bearish – Global risk sentiment and U.S. economic indicators could influence the Yen along with geopolitics. ​ AUD: Neutral – Commodity prices and global risk appetite will be key drivers.​
by stefanosfx
2
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 149.408. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 147.585 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USD/JPY Premium Trade Setup | High-Probability Short OpportunityKey Elements in the Chart: Uptrend Channel: The price was moving inside an ascending channel but recently broke downward. Resistance Zone: Marked near the 150.000 level, indicating a key rejection area where sellers are strong. Sell Zone: A potential short-selling opportunity is identified around 149.300 after a breakdown from the channel. Support Zone: Located around 148.500, where the price may find temporary buying interest. Target: The final target for the bearish move is near 147.000, suggesting a further downside potential. Trading Idea: Bias: Bearish (selling opportunity after a trendline break) Entry: Near 149.300 (confirmed rejection) Target: 147.000 Risk Management: Stop-loss can be placed above the resistance area. This setup suggests that USD/JPY may continue its downward move after failing to sustain the uptrend. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
Idea for a set upUSD/JPY falls back as the US Dollar gains on the Fed’s support for a restrictive policy stance. US President Trump’s tariff policies are expected to boost US inflation and weigh on economic growth. Japan’s National CPI cooled down in February. The USD/JPY pair gives up entire intraday gains after facing selling pressure around 149.60 and drops to near 148.60 during North American trading hours on Friday. The asset drops as the US Dollar (USD) gains, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) rising to near 104.00. The Greenback attracts bids as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is unlikely to cut interest rates in the near term. On Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that they are not in a hurry to cut interest rates amid “unusually elevated” uncertainty over the United States (US) economic outlook under the leadership of President Donald Trump. Powell also warned that Trump’s tariff policy tends to push growth lower and inflation higher.
by EZIO-FX
USDJPY BUY SETUPThe USD/JPY daily chart shows a descending channel pattern, with price recently testing the lower boundary and rebounding. Key resistance levels are marked as TP1 (around 155.000), TP2 (approximately 162.327 - 165.941), and TP3 (near 178.490 - 178.635), indicating potential bullish targets. The price is currently hovering around 149.300, with a possible breakout above the channel signaling further upside movement. The marked support levels around 146.481 - 144.946 suggest a critical zone for risk management. Risk Management Disclaimer: Trading in financial markets involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The analysis provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, use proper risk management strategies, and consult with a professional financial advisor before making trading decisions. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
Long
by ExuberanceTrading
USDJPY – Major Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown | Retest PlayUSDJPY has recently broken down from a large symmetrical triangle pattern visible on the 4H timeframe. After a prolonged uptrend that formed the triangle structure, price decisively broke below the lower support line, indicating a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown Price formed a classic symmetrical triangle pattern over several months. A strong bearish breakout occurred from the lower trendline, signaling a potential reversal. The projected measured move target from this breakdown points toward 141.526, representing a 6.5% decline. 2. Retest Zone Price has pulled back to retest the broken triangle trendline from below. This bearish retest setup is a textbook confirmation of resistance turning from previous support. The current consolidation suggests the market is gathering liquidity before a potential next leg down. 3. Market Structure & Momentum Lower highs and lower lows are now forming post-breakdown, confirming a bearish structure. A clear rejection from the retest zone around the 151.500–152.000 level would further validate the short thesis. 🧠 Trade Idea Entry Zone: On confirmation of rejection near the retest (~151.5 area) Target : 141.526 (Measured move from triangle breakdown) Stop Loss : Above the triangle high or above the recent swing (~153.00+) Risk-Reward : High probability play based on pattern + structure shift ⚠️ Key Watch Levels Resistance: 151.5–152.0 (triangle retest) Support/Target: 141.5 (measured move) Break above 153.0 will invalidate this bearish bias.
Short
by ForexOptimizer
DOLLAR/YEN LAST WEEK OF THE 1st 1/4The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its interest rate to 0.5% in March 2025, marking a significant policy shift. This decision was made unanimously during the March 18-19, 2025, Monetary Policy Meeting. It seems likely that this move reflects the BOJ's confidence in Japan's economic recovery and stable inflation around 2%. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) as of March 21, 2025, is around 104.0880, showing stability. It seems likely that the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) rate hike on March 19, 2025, had minimal impact, with the dollar slightly strengthening afterward. Research suggests the dollar's strength is driven by U.S. economic growth and monetary policy differences, despite global rate changes.
Long
by andilegoden
Oscillator from Williams and stochastic This custom oscillator is designed to provide dynamic support and resistance levels based on price action, the highest and lowest prices, and an exponential moving average (EMA). It calculates four different lines: 1. Price to Midline: This line shows the ratio of the current price to the midline (average of high and low prices). 2. High to Midline: This line represents the ratio of the highest price to the midline. 3. Low to Midline: This line represents the ratio of the lowest price to the midline. 4. EMA to Midline: This line tracks the ratio of the EMA (Exponential Moving Average) to the midline, providing a dynamic view of price action. These four lines help identify key levels of overbought or oversold conditions, potential trend reversals, and dynamic support/resistance zones. The oscillator can be used to assess market strength and trend direction. The period for calculating the high/low, as well as the EMA period, can be customized in the settings to adjust the sensitivity to market conditions.
by ghasemtorabe2
1
USDJPY: Short sell trade with LuBotGood morning everyone, this morning I received a signal alert notification from LuBot, a short on trend with a 12H timeframe. The signal follows the main rules of a good trend, the trend cloud is negative, the moving averages are in favor of the bearish trend, the supertrend is also bearish and the last trend signal is the short one in red. Regarding the structure and price action we see the gray candles, so the short-term structure is uncertain and currently seems to have simply made a false break of the previous highs with a return below them and the ema21. The signal then triggers after a retracement on the trendcloud area with closing below the ema21 thus showing bearish strength. LuBot recommends a stop above the ema200 and take profit below the latest lows and I will currently follow these levels. Based on the subsequent movements I will decide whether to move the stop above the previous highs or the take profit to the lows area in case the price action continues to show uncertainty. 👍 If you liked this post let me know with a like 🙋‍♂️ Remember to follow me so you don't miss my future analyses ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions. TAGS: FX:USDJPY FOREXCOM:USDJPY SAXO:USDJPY KRAKEN:USDJPY FX_IDC:USDJPY FPMARKETS:USDJPY PEPPERSTONE:USDJPY CAPITALCOM:USDJPY SKILLING:USDJPY OANDA:USDJPY
Short
by LuTrader_LB
USDJPY analysis for a SELL idea!!!!USDJPY - 4H Chart Sell Analysis Market Structure & Price Action • The price has been in an uptrend but is currently rejecting a key resistance zone around 149.796 - 150.000. • Multiple liquidity grabs (wick rejections) are visible around this area, indicating strong selling pressure. • A clear double top or liquidity sweep pattern is forming around the highs, signaling a potential reversal. Key Resistance & Supply Zones • The red supply zone around 149.500 - 150.000 has been tested multiple times, showing sellers are stepping in. • Previous support turned resistance zones (highlighted in gray) are aligning with this area. • The last bullish move failed to break convincingly above 150.000, indicating exhaustion. Bearish Confirmation • Price has rejected the supply zone and is currently showing signs of a breakdown. • If price remains below 149.500, it confirms that sellers are in control. • The lower high structure aligns with the Smart Money Concept (SMC) of distribution. Potential Target Areas • First target: 148.500, aligning with previous demand and a liquidity area. • Final target: 146.920, where the next major demand zone and liquidity pools are visible. Trade Setup • Entry: Below 149.500 after a retest. • Stop Loss: Above 149.800 - 150.000 (above recent highs). • Take Profit: 148.500 - 146.920. Confluence Factors 1. Liquidity Grab: Price spiked above previous highs but failed to sustain. 2. Supply Zone Rejection: Strong rejection from 149.796. 3. Bearish Market Structure Shift: Potential lower high formation. 4. Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup towards 146.920. Final Outlook • If price stays below 149.500, bearish momentum should continue. • A break below 149.126 confirms further downside. • A close above 150.000 invalidates this sell idea.
Short
by DBFXTrader
USDJPY Short from ResistanceHello Traders In This Chart USDJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today USDJPY analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (USDJPY market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDJPY Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000