USDJPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS I'm expecting a small push to the down side if price respects our zone just aim for 1:2,1:3,1:4rr then close. I believe it should be a short sell
USDJPY trade ideas
Leg Based Continuation Possible Play📈 USD/JPY – 15M Chart (Scalping to Intraday Play)
🕒 June 17, 2025 – Lower Time Frame Setup
Bias: Short-term Bullish Continuation
Structure: Leg-Based Impulse-Pullback-Impulse Model
🔹 Market Structure Insight:
Price recently completed a strong impulsive move (LEG 1) on increasing volume.
After a shallow correction into dynamic support (EMA 60), price is attempting a LEG 2 continuation.
EMAs (15 & 60) have bullish alignment and acted as dynamic support.
✅ Buy #1 – Market Execution
Entry: 144.91 (current or recent execution)
SL: 144.38
TP: 145.25
R:R ≈ 1
🧠 Entry based on continuation after bullish flag breakout
✅ Price held higher low structure + EMA confluence
✅ Buy Limit #2 – Pullback Opportunity
Entry: 144.59 (highlighted zone between EMAs)
SL: 144.37
TP: 145.25
R:R ≈ 3.0
🧠 Designed to catch a retest into the mid-range and volume base
➕ Risk minimized, reward optimized
➕ Matches possible HL (higher low) setup if price dips before pushing
⚠️ Risk Management Notes:
Overlap with prior resistance zone just above TP (145.20–145.40): partial TP or trail advised.
Invalidated if price closes below 144.30 on strong volume (breaks structure).
If LEG 2 matches or exceeds LEG 1 in strength, extended targets above 145.50 possible.
usd/jpyjust a quick look to see where its going to go my beleif is it will hit restitance and start to come back down until a break out occurs, catch good moves on U/J just got to sit and wait TAKE PROFIT AND STOP LOSS BOTH ON DECK
USD/JPY...1h chart pattern..Here's a quick summary of MY USD/JPY trade setup:
---
Trade Idea: SELL USD/JPY @ 144.000
Entry Point: 144.000
Target 1 (TP1): 143.400 → +60 pips
Target 2 (TP2): 142.400 → +160 pips
Suggestions:
Stop Loss (SL): Consider setting a stop loss above recent resistance (e.g., 144.500 or 144.800) to manage risk.
Risk/Reward Ratio:
For TP1: 1:1 with SL @ 144.600
For TP2: ~2.6:1 with SL @ 144.600
Key Technical Zones:
Watch for support near 143.400 (TP1); possible bounce or consolidation.
142.400 is a deeper move — stronger confirmation needed (e.g., a break below 143.400 with volume).
Let me know if you’d like a chart analysis or updates on news that could impact this trade.
USDJPY - NEW BREAKOUT !Hello Traders !
After a huge bullish move,
The USDJPY broke the resistancce level (144.748 - 144.566).
So, I expect a new bullish move🚀
______________
TARGET: 145.280🎯
In my opinion it will cone down to get the LIQIn my opinion it will cone down to get the LIQ
Trend is Bearish
USDJPY Bearish BreakdownChart Overview
The USDJPY pair on the 2-hour chart is currently forming a descending triangle pattern — a typical bearish continuation setup.
---
Key Observations:
Resistance Line (Upper Trendline): Price is repeatedly rejected from lower highs.
Support Line (Lower Horizontal): Price maintains support around the 144.00–144.20 region.
Bearish Bias: The red arrow projection suggests a breakdown from the triangle, with a potential move toward 140.00 if the lower support fails.
---
Potential Bearish Scenario:
1. Break below ~144.00 confirms the triangle breakdown.
2. First target around 142.00, second target near 140.00.
3. Stop-loss ideally above 145.00 if entering short.
---
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
USDJPY - UniverseMetta - Signal#USDJPY - UniverseMetta - Signal
D1 - Formation of a triangular structure + the price is at the upper border.
H4 - It is better to wait for the trend line to break through. It is better to reduce risks if we consider entering at the market. Stop behind the maximum of wave D.
Entry: 144.367 - *144.705
TP: 143.402 - 142.094 - 140.023 - 138.706
Stop: 145.473
USD/JPY TESTS RESISTANCE AMID BOJ CAUTION, FED OUTLOOKIn the wake of the escalating geopolitical tension in the Middle East, markets have been reacting sharply. Focusing on USDJPY pair, as the conflict shows signs of intensifying, investors turned to traditional safe-haven assets notably the Japanese yen amid fears of a broader regional spillover.
Beyond geopolitical tension in the Middle East, both economies are set to announce their interest rate decisions this week alongside economic outlook. At the end of Bank of Japan two days policy meeting earlier today, the Yen became a little stronger after the Bank of Japan said that it would keep interest rates at 0.5% and that it would slow down the process of reducing its balance sheet in 2025. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda maintained a cautious tone, noting global risks and keeping the door open for further policy tightening if needed.
On the other hand, the U.S., the retail sale would be on the wire by 4:30 PM GMT+4 (Dubai time). This key economic indicator will offer details about consumer spending trends, a major driver of the U.S. economy. Markets will closely watch the data for signs of economic strength or weakness, as it could influence expectations around future Federal Reserve policy decisions.
While the most important on the calendar, is that Fed committee is due to convene today for a two-day policy meeting, which would end on Wednesday the 18th.Meanwhile, Markets has priced in 99.9% for the rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50%.
TECHNICAL VIEW OF USDJPY; AND PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH OUT
Away from the fundamental drivers, the USD/JPY pair initially dropped on Friday the 13th and was resisted around 142.79 as risk aversion drove demand for the yen. However, the move was tempered by ongoing strength in the U.S. dollar, underpinned by resilient U.S. economic data and expectations the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates higher for longer, hence the change of character (CHOCH) at 143.89, hence the reversal of trend from downtrend to uptrend on the one-hour time frame, whereby price is seen trading inside the channel with the green trendline acting as support and the red, resistance. The pair was recently supported at 144.40 and hovers around 145.
In view of the economic releases, a break above 145.00 would likely usher in 145.40 and 145.80, while a break below 144.40 would mean that the bears are momentarily in control and price would potentially tank further towards 144.00 and 143.50 according to analyst, meanwhile break out of these levels are not ruled out.
USDJPY – 4H . [[ TRIANGLE PATTERN ]]Technical Breakdown:
Symmetrical triangle pattern clearly formed with clean ABCDE wave structure.
The price has broken out from the upper resistance (trendline), confirming a bullish breakout scenario.
Next key area to watch is the supply zone near 145.800 – 146.200, where price may either:
Face resistance and retrace,
Or break through for continuation.
---
🔍 Key Levels:
Support Base (Retest zone): ~143.000
Breakout Entry Trigger: Above 144.200
Supply Zone Target: 145.800 – 146.200
Invalidation Level (Break Below Triangle): <142.500
---
🧠 Analysis Insight:
This is a classic triangle consolidation breakout, with price respecting both ascending and descending boundaries before thrusting upward.
Look for possible pullback retest entries before continuation to the supply zone.
Volume and momentum confirmation on breakout is key for sustainability.
---
🎯 Strategy Note:
Use low-risk entry setups on breakout retest.
Ideal for scalp to swing trades, with strong risk-reward structure.
USDJPY Descending channel breakout ahead bullish strongFX:USDJPY Breakout Alert – Bullish Momentum on 4H Chart 💥
The pair has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish confirmation. Price action is showing solid momentum and market structure shift.
🟢 Entry Level: 144.700
📍 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 146.000 (Key Supply Zone)
2nd Target: 148.500 (Major Resistance)
🔴 Stop Loss: 143.000 (Demand Zone)
📊 This setup is based on the 4H time frame, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio for swing traders.
💬 Like, follow, and drop a comment if you’re riding this move!
💎 Join us for more updates, signals & insights.
Let’s trade smart, not hard. 😜
#USDJPY #ForexSignals #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #LiviaTrades
USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- The armed conflict between Israel and Iran has continued for five days. However, geopolitical risks in the Middle East have eased as Iran reportedly conveyed its willingness to agree to a ceasefire indirectly to the United States.
- U.S. President Trump stated on Truth Social, "Iran should have signed the 'deal' I told them to sign, and everyone must immediately leave Tehran, the capital of Iran."
- The Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5% and announced it will reduce long-term government bond purchases from the current 400 billion yen to 200 billion yen starting April next year.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 17: BOJ Interest Rate Decision, U.S. May Retail Sales
+ June 18: U.K. May Consumer Price Index, Eurozone May CPI, FOMC Meeting Results
+ June 19: BOE Interest Rate Decision
USDJPY Chart Analysis
There hasn’t been any major movement around the 144 level yet, but a clear trend is expected to emerge soon. An upward move is anticipated, and in that case, a peak is likely to form near the 148 level. Further direction will be determined once that zone is reached.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 17, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continues to experience significant pressure against the US dollar (USD), showing a three-day decline and trading above the key psychological level of 145.000. This weakening is largely due to growing market expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may delay raising rates until the first quarter of next year. The main reason for this delay is said to be the continuing uncertainty surrounding future US tariff policy, which could have a significant impact on global trade flows and Japan's economic growth. Moderate but steady growth in the US dollar is also contributing to the strengthening of the USD/JPY position, pushing the pair to new highs during the Asian trading session.
However, market participants are cautious about aggressive bearish bets against the yen ahead of the upcoming Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting. This meeting is seen as a critical event that could provide additional signals about the central bank's long-term policy outlook. Any hints of a change in tone or new assessments of the economic situation will be carefully analyzed by traders.
In addition to central bank decisions, growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may help limit deeper losses for the Japanese yen. As a traditional “safe haven,” the yen typically attracts investors during periods of global instability, which may offset some of the negative impact of interest rate differentials. In addition, the outlook for the USD/JPY pair is influenced by the growing recognition that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may lower borrowing costs in 2025. Expectations of future Fed rate cuts could hinder further strengthening of the US dollar and thus limit the upside potential of the USD/JPY pair. Overall, the market remains in anticipation of key decisions that will determine the future trajectory of one of the world's most actively traded currency pairs.
Trading recommendation: SELL 144.550, SL 145.000, TP 143.600
big swing buy on a weak yenweak cpi and aggressive inflation. no wage increases. moderate yen. moderate your buys and pay attention to weekend news with middle east and conflicting USA involvement. this is a swing purchase stop loss below 138 with a profit pull outlook above 180. goodluck
USDJPY Short 2025-06-17Price is currently within the known resistance zone.
Looking forward on BOJ interest rate announcement which will likely give a boost on JPY.
A short scalp is likely the way to go!
USDJPY Looking Very Strong sideUSD/JPY Poised for Breakout: Bullish Momentum Ahead?
USD/JPY to be gearing up for a significant breakout. Based on current market data, we are observing strong bullish momentum, suggesting the potential for a major upward move.
Key Observations:
Technical Structure: Pattern seems to be forming a breakout pattern rather than a breakdown, indicating that upward price movement is more likely the U.S dollar remains one of the strongest global currencies, supported by robust economic data and interest rate differentials.
Resistance zone 148.500
Support Levels 143.000
you may find more details in the chart thanks you and Good luck Ps Support with like and comments for more insights.
USDJPY - Bearish Trend Continuation Story : USDJPY is forming a series of LH and LL (Bearish Trend). market has retraced to a Fib level of 50 Percent of long rally - thus forming a Bearish Flag Pattern. There is no divergence on the chart therefore we are not looking for any Harmonic or trend reversal patterns.
Anticipate : It is anticipated that market will follow a bearish trend
Plan: we plan our entry on the break of neckline which is our entry point and we keep our Stop loss as defined in the charts (above HH)
Our TP1 would be as defined in the chart (which is also projection based on continuation pattern) - TP1 would respect the support level of 121.680
Our TP2 would be as defined on the chart.
USD/JPY – Bullish Breakout Setup (1H Timeframe)I’m currently monitoring the USD/JPY pair on the 1-hour chart. The pair was in a bearish trend earlier, but after forming a Bullish Divergence, it has started to print a series of Higher Highs (HHs) and Higher Lows (HLs) — a classic sign of trend reversal and strength.
I’m planning a Buy Stop entry above the most recent Higher High. If the breakout occurs, I’ll execute the trade based on this bullish continuation setup.
🧠 Technical Confluences:
✅ Bullish Divergence observed — signals momentum shift.
✅ Market Structure shifting to HHs and HLs.
✅ Entry planned above recent HH to confirm breakout.
📊 T rade Setup:
Pair USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Trend: Bullish
Entry: Buy Stop @ 144.789
Stop Loss: 143.834
Take Profit 1: 145.744
Take Profit 2: 146.699
Lot Size: 0.15
Risk–Reward 1:1 and 1:2
Risk $200
Reward $300
📌 Trade will be activated only upon confirmation — a break above the previous high. Stick to proper risk management.
🔖 Hashtags:
#USDJPY #Forex #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishBreakout #ForexSetup #TradeIdeas #MarketStructure #ForexSignals #BuySetup #DivergenceTrading #1HChart #FXMarket #RiskManagement
USDJPY: Intraday Bearish ConfirmationIn the middle of last week, I spotted a valid confirmed structure breakout on 📉USDJPY on a 4-hour timeframe.
Currently, the pair is retesting the broken structure, and the price has formed a strong bearish confirmation on the hourly chart.
I see a double top pattern and a violation of its neckline.
With high probability, the price will fall and reach the 144.02 level.
USDJPY Bearish WeekThis is is USDJPY going into the new week. Last week we saw sharp declination in USD price especially after the inflation news. Price may rise a little to create Weekly highs and continue to fall
USD/JPY 1H ShortUSD/JPY 1H – Analysis
🔍 1. Context: Macro Fundamentals
BOJ (Bank of Japan) remains dovish, showing little intention of raising rates significantly.
USD strength continues due to sticky inflation and delayed rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
Geopolitical risks and U.S. economic resilience further strengthen the dollar.
This macro backdrop supports bearish JPY bias, hence a long USD/JPY setup aligns with the fundamentals.
🧠 2. Structure and Liquidity Analysis
Price recently swept sell-side liquidity (marked by the dip into demand zone).
Strong bullish reaction from a demand block confirms interest from smart money.
The market has now printed a short-term higher low, signaling a possible intent to create a new leg up.
📌 3. Entry, Stop Loss, Target (SMC-Based)
✅ Entry:
At 144.180–144.250 (refinement inside the lower bullish reaccumulation zone).
This zone represents a mitigation of a lower imbalance and offers a favorable risk-reward long.
❌ Stop Loss:
Below 143.880, beneath the refined demand zone and last liquidity sweep — if broken, the bullish narrative is invalidated in this leg.
🎯 Target 1 (Partial):
145.400 — first major supply zone where prior imbalance sits and price previously reversed. Could see first reaction here.
🎯 Target 2 (Final TP):
146.280 – 146.400 — a higher timeframe buy-side liquidity pool and previous distribution origin.
Risk-to-reward is well-optimized at 1:4+, depending on execution precision.
🔄 4. Price Action Expectations
Price may retest the 144.200–144.250 zone (demand).
If order flow remains bullish, expect a clean break of internal high at 145.180.
Watch for reaction at 145.400, but holding partials for a liquidity run toward 146.280+ is justified.
📉 5. Invalidation Scenario
If price breaks and closes below 143.880, we consider:
The demand was not institutional.
A deeper mitigation into the lower demand block near 142.100–141.800 may be required.
✅ Final Outlook
“USD/JPY has completed a sweep of liquidity and is now forming bullish internal structure. With macro favoring USD strength, and current order flow signaling institutional positioning, a long from 144.200 toward 146.280 is a high-probability setup — provided price protects the latest demand block.”
USDJPY - Technical AnalysisThere is a possibility to open a short position in this pair.
By analysing the pair on higher timeframes and using a 45-period exponential moving average along with two simple moving averages of 70 and 95 periods (supported by a Parabolic SAR), a selling opportunity arises.
Although the pair has shown a strong bullish move on the monthly timeframe, I believe it will reach the price level of 139.885 again.
This prediction is based on the fact that in April a strong bearish candle was formed, followed in May by a bullish candle that failed to sustain a strong move, unlike what happened previously.
This does not mean the pair won’t continue its bullish trend, but I expect the bullish momentum to strengthen after it reaches the 139.885 level again, possibly with a stronger upward move.
It is important to note that, despite this technical analysis, attention should be paid to news, economic data, and any other factors that may influence this pair, as this is purely a technical perspective.
The short position tool shown on the chart is only meant to support the entry decision for the trade.
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 143.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 142.88
Why we like it
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 144.38
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
