USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY| Bull vs Bear at Key ZoneUpdated the chart and noticed both bullish and bearish order blocks near current price — classic tug-of-war setup, and USDJPY does this often.
Structure is still developing, and the direction will be confirmed through how price reacts on the entry timeframes. Whichever side mitigates first with intent gives the trade.
Until then, it’s observation mode — watching closely and letting price reveal the path.
— Inducement King 👑
Bless Trading!
USDJPY| Bearish Structure in FocusUSDJPY broke a major lower high on the 4H, creating new external liquidity that has yet to be swept. This shift opened the door for potential bearish continuation.
On the 30-minute, I confirmed bearish intent with a major low taken. Structure aligns, but patience is key — I’m only interested in entries within premium pricing.
Now watching for buy-side liquidity to be swept into my marked order block. That reaction will be the signal for possible downside continuation.
Setup is clear. Execution comes with precision.
— Inducement King 👑
Bless Trading!
USDJPYWhat do you think about this? For me I think we should wait for price to clearly move out of the price range to either ways before looking to trade it.
USDJPY SellFrom a technical perspective, the USD/JPY pair's move higher on Friday struggles to find acceptance above a support-turned-hurdle marked by the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart and falters near the 144.80 region. Given that oscillators on 4-hour/daily charts have just started gaining negative traction, some follow-through weakness back below the 144.00 mark could make spot prices vulnerable to sliding further below the 143.75 area, or the overnight swing low. The downward trajectory could eventually drag spot prices towards testing sub-143.00 levels.
On the flip side, a sustained strength beyond the 200-SMA, leading to a subsequent strength above the 145.00 psychological mark and the 145.25-145.35 static barrier, might negate the bearish outlook. The USD/JPY pair might then make a fresh attempt to conquer the 146.00 mark, which if cleared decisively should pave the way for additional near-term gains towards the 146.70-146.75 region and the 147.00 round figure
USDJPY Sell 144.361
SUPPORT 143.643
SUPPORT 142.806
Forecast USDJPY Contrary to popular belief, USD/JPY is structurally in a long-term bearish trend since 1971 on a logarithmic scale. What appears to be a recovery is in fact a technical retracement within a broader secular downtrend.
A historic hidden bearish divergence is forming: the RSI has been gradually rising, while the price continues to print lower highs over the decades. This reflects a momentum squeeze within the bearish structure.
We may be standing at the edge of a major rejection zone, where the long-term downtrend could reassert itself forcefully. The market is quietly preparing for a powerful bearish continuation.
USDJPY Continue Bearish TrendThis USD/JPY chart presents a short bias based on multi-timeframe analysis and structure:
* **Trend Summary (Text on Chart)**:
* **Weekly (W)**: Bearish
* **Daily (D)**: Bullish
* **12H**: Mixed (Bullish & Bearish)
* **6H, 4H**: Bearish
→ Overall sentiment: **60–80% Bearish Bias**
* **Technical Highlights**:
* Price is forming a **rising wedge**, typically a bearish reversal pattern.
* The pair is currently testing a **Daily Area of Interest (AOI)** near 144.665–144.963, suggesting potential resistance.
* Price broke out of the wedge with a projected retest and continuation down.
* Target zone is below **143.468 (Daily AOI)** and extends toward **142.823**, suggesting a potential short setup with a favorable risk/reward ratio.
* Red and blue EMAs indicate price is below the 200 EMA and flirting with the 50 EMA, adding confluence to the short bias.
This analysis implies an anticipated breakdown from the wedge with follow-through to the downside if bearish momentum continues.
Multi-timeframe confluence is mostly bearish:
Weekly, 6H, and 4H are clearly bearish. 12H is mixed, and only the Daily is bullish. This gives an overall 60–80% bearish bias.
Rising wedge pattern:
Price is forming a bearish wedge, typically signaling a reversal or breakdown. It's losing momentum near resistance.
Price is near a Daily Area of Interest (AOI):
The pair is testing a known resistance zone. It has failed to break and hold above it convincingly.
Expecting a break and retest of structure:
You're anticipating the wedge to break down, retest the structure or AOI, and then continue bearish.
Target is aligned with a lower Daily AOI:
You have a clear target near 142.800, where price previously reacted — offering good risk-to-reward for the short.
Long trade
30sec TF entry
📍 Pair: USDJPY
📅 Date: Thursday, June 26, 2025
🕒 Time: 4:15 AM (London Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 15min
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 143.803
Profit Level 144.825 (+0.71%)
Stop Loss 143.733 (−0.05%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 14.6 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes
🔄 15 Minute Structure Support:
The trade was based on a reactive low from the 5-minute TF, aligning with a buy-side imbalance zone formed on the 5-minute chart (Monday, 16th June, 10:00 AM).
📉 RSI in Low Region:
RSI was observed in an oversold condition on LTFs, providing additional confluence for a short-term reversal setup.
30sec TF entry overview
USDJPY Buy scalp analysis and sell swing analysisThis analysis is based on the daily and 4-hour timeframes and executed using reversal trading, trend formation, and supply and demand trading. Full explanation in the video!
USD/JPY Bearish Gartley Pattern Completion - SELL SETUP
📊 Trade Overview
Pair: USD/JPY
Pattern: Bearish Gartley
Timeframe: 15 minutes
Direction: SHORT
Setup Type: Harmonic Pattern Completion + FVG Confluence
🎯 Market Analysis
The price is evidently bearish according to market structure, currently in a retracement phase, and I expect a bearish continuation at the 61.8 Fibonacci level of the wave.
The harmonic pattern establishes an 88.6 Fibonacci ratio for bearish entry with a balanced and low-risk R/R of 1:1.82 (profit - risk).
Usdjpy D_TF, A symmetric triangle USD/JPY Daily Timeframe Analysis
A symmetrical triangle pattern has formed on the daily chart, indicating that a potential breakout could occur in either direction. If the pattern plays out, we should be looking for a breakout and retest of the trendline towards the downside.
#USDJPY - 8 Points? |157.24 or 137.07?Date: 19-05-2025
#USDJPY Current Price: 145.03
Mid-Point: 147.16
Upside Targets: 151.13, 152.92, 155.08 and 157.24
Downside Targets: 143.19, 141.39, 139.23 and 137.07
Support: 144.99
Resistance: 149.34
#USDJPY
Can PCE data rescue the dollar? JPY, EUR, GBP setup in playThe latest U.S. PCE report is set for release at 8:30am EDT, with both headline and core inflation expected at 0.1% month-on-month.
As the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, today’s figures could influence interest rate expectations. A stronger print may reduce the case for a July rate cut, while a softer result could add pressure on the U.S. dollar.
The dollar has already weakened this week amid speculation over central bank independence (trump is reportedly considering nominating Fed chair Jerome Powell’s successor earlier than normal in order to undermine the current chair).
Pairs to watch include, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY with symmetrical triangle formations suggesting breakout potential in either direction for all once the data hits.
USDJPYCOT Report: Shows net shorts on the USD, suggesting a bearish outlook for USD/JPY as institutional traders expect the JPY to strengthen against the USD. Bias: A break below support
USDJPYCurrent Price Action:
The USD/JPY pair is trading at 144.414, down -0.842 (-0.588%).
The price is hovering near the 20-period BMA (144.384) and OXIDA level (141.784), suggesting a potential inflection point.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 144.500, 145.000, 145.500.
Strong Resistance: 146.000, 146.530, 147.000 (profit target).
Immediate Support: 144.000, 143.850 (double-bottom level), 143.500.
Strong Support: 144.270 (near current price), 143.850 (critical).
Technical Indicators:
BMA (20-period): The price is slightly above the BMA at 144.384, indicating neutral momentum.
OXIDA: The OXIDA level at 141.784 is far below, acting as a long-term support.
Market Sentiment:
The downtrend is mild (-0.588%), but the proximity to key support (143.850-144.000) suggests potential consolidation or reversal if buyers step in.
A break below 143.500 could signal further downside, while a rebound above 145.000 may target 146.000-147.000.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: If price holds above 144.000, consider longs with targets at 145.000, 145.500, and 146.000. Stop loss below 143.850.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 143.850 could lead to a test of 143.500. Shorts may target 143.000 with a stop above 144.270.
Conclusion:
The pair is in a short-term downtrend but near critical support. Watch for reactions at 144.000-144.500 to determine the next directional move. Risk management is key given the tight range.
Taking my trade in a USDJPY A bullish trend in the market of USDJPY chart after showing divergence I am taking my trade
Ceasefire Supports Yen’s StrengthThe Japanese Yen stayed strong near a one-week high around 145.5 on Wednesday, supported by risk-off sentiment and dovish commentary from the Bank of Japan. Several BOJ members favored steady rates with concerns over U.S. tariffs and their impact on Japan’s economy.
May’s Services PPI remained above 3% yearly, strengthening speculation that the BOJ could still raise rates later this year. Meanwhile, lingering geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of Fed rate cuts continued to pressure the US Dollar.
The key resistance is at $146.20, and the major support is at $144.85.
USDJPY shorts! It seems like Asia is winning the tariff war from my opinion. Not looking great for USA economy. USDJPY is a nice short for me.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 25, 2025 USDJPYEvents to pay attention to today:
17:00 EET.USD - Fed Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a speech
17:30 EET.USD - Crude oil inventory data from the Department of Energy
USDJPY:
The Japanese yen (JPY) remains in the lead against the US dollar during Wednesday's Asian session and remains close to the weekly high reached the day before, amid a combination of favourable factors. The summary of opinions from participants at the Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting in June showed that some policymakers called for interest rates to be kept unchanged due to uncertainty about the impact of US tariffs on the Japanese economy. In addition, the fragile truce between Israel and Iran and trade uncertainty are supporting the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency.
Meanwhile, investors seem convinced that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates again amid mounting inflationary pressure in Japan. These forecasts are confirmed by Japan's producer price index (PPI), which rose for the third consecutive month in May and remained above 3% year-on-year. In contrast, traders are factoring into their prices the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further lower the cost of borrowing this year. This, in turn, is causing US dollar (USD) bulls to tread cautiously and suggests that the path of least resistance for the lower-yielding Japanese yen remains upward.
Trading recommendation: SELL 144.900, SL 145.100, TP 144.000
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – USD/JPY
1. Sideways/Flat Price Action
Price is consolidating in a tight range with small-bodied candles.
This indicates indecision and lack of momentum, not strength.
The upward arrows suggest bullish bias, but no strong signal confirms a breakout yet.
2. Bearish Momentum
The recent red candles dominate, showing a clear drop from above 146.000 earlier.
The overall trend (short-term) is down, and the support area could be tested again.
3. Decreasing Volume
Volume is fading out, especially the most recent bar (around 1.01K).
This suggests waning interest—any bullish breakout without volume support is likely to fail or reverse.
4. Resistance Area is Strong
The resistance zone near 145.800–146.000 is clearly tested before and held.
Without a significant catalyst, it's unlikely to break in the near term.
5. False Breakout Risk Above Target
The marked "target" just below resistance could trigger false bullish entries.
UJ - Perfect Shorts....📉 ELFIEDT - X-REVERSION | USDJPY SHORT CASE STUDY (4H)
🧠 Perfect reversal from our proprietary ELFIE 3SD Reversion Zone with a confirmed "DOWN" signal.
🔻 Entry: 147.575
🎯 Current Move: Over 290+ pips in profit and still running!
🕐 Indicator spotted the exhaustion perfectly after RSI divergence + 3SD extension.
💡 How to Trade It:
Wait for ELFIE DOWN signal in the red zone.
Enter at close of signal candle.
SL = high of signal candle.
Ride the move until opposite signal or reversion.
✅ Works across all major pairs.
🔥 Simple rules. Powerful results.
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weekly analysis for use/jpy June 23 - June 27weekly profit target for June 23 - 27
(short) 143.60 - 143.80 range
use/jpy (Short term move) 6/24/2025 10:39AM western time zone Stop loss: 144.40
Take profit: 145.30
(Short term move)
