USDJPY trade ideas
USD/JPY 1H Analysis – Channel Breakout and Buy SignalOverview:**
The USD/JPY chart shows a **bullish breakout from a descending channel**, supported by technical indicators like the Ichimoku Cloud and a strong demand zone. This setup suggests a potential bullish reversal and upward momentum.
*Key Technical Points:**
* **Descending Channel Breakout:**
Price action has broken out of a falling channel, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
* **Strong Support Zone:**
Around 143.28 – 143.73, the price found significant support, which aligns with a previous demand zone. This area held firm, helping trigger the breakout.
* **Ichimoku Cloud:**
Price is emerging above the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling a potential start of an uptrend. If the price maintains above the cloud, bullish momentum may strengthen.
* **Resistance Levels:**
* **First Resistance:** Near 146.00 – a critical area to watch for short-term profit-taking.
* **Second Resistance:** Around 148.00 – a more extended target if bullish continuation holds.
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### **Trading Idea:**
**BUY USD/JPY** on successful retest of the breakout or sustained move above the Ichimoku Cloud.
* **Entry:** 144.30–144.40 zone
* **Target 1:** 146.00
* **Target 2:** 148.00
* **Stop Loss:** Below 143.20 (under the support zone)
---
Conclusion:**
The chart presents a classic **bullish channel breakout** supported by the Ichimoku indicator and price action at a strong support zone. As long as the price holds above the breakout level and Ichimoku Cloud, the upside targets at 146 and 148 remain valid.
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Yen Stabilizes as Risk Sentiment ImprovesThe Japanese Yen edged up from a two-week low on Thursday but lacked strong momentum, as risk appetite improved after a U.S. court blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, reducing demand for safe havens. Concerns over Japan’s rising debt continue to pressure the Yen. Meanwhile, USD/JPY rose for a fourth day, supported by hawkish FOMC minutes, though markets still expect a Fed rate cut. Expectations of a more hawkish Bank of Japan helped limit the Yen’s losses.
The key resistance is at $147.10 meanwhile the major support is located at $145.00.
USDJPY – Rejected at 146.00, downside risk growsUSDJPY reacted strongly at the 146.00 resistance area – a level where price was previously rejected. After a sharp rally, the pair has turned lower and is now heading toward the 144.00 support zone, which aligns with the EMA 34–89 on the H3 chart.
The chart shows a small double top pattern forming around the recent highs. If USDJPY continues to struggle below 146.00 and breaks through the 144.00 support, a short-term downtrend may be confirmed, with the next target around 142.50.
On the news side: The Japanese Yen is gaining some ground again after the BOJ signaled readiness to adjust its easing policy if inflation consistently exceeds its target. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure as expectations grow that the Fed may keep interest rates steady in the upcoming meeting, due to cooler consumer data.
Suggested strategy: Consider selling if bearish signals appear around the 145.80–146.00 area, with a short-term target at 144.00.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 144.87, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 146.55, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 143.86, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/JPY confirming a bullish shift in market structure.y Smart Money Concepts Highlighted:
🔄 Break of Structure (BOS):
BOS is marked near the top (~147.5), confirming a bullish shift in market structure.
Indicates the market took out a prior swing high, confirming demand is in control temporarily.
💧 Liquidity Sweep:
The term "Liquidity Sweeps" appears in the indicator (LuxAlgo).
The downward wicks before the rally likely indicate stop hunts/liquidity grabs below support.
🟩 Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A zone highlighted during the drop (~144–145), suggesting an inefficiency in price that institutional traders may want to rebalance.
FVGs often act as magnets for price and potential reversal or continuation zones.
🟦 Order Block (OB):
OB marked after the FVG zone—used as a potential demand zone.
Price previously reacted to it and now may revisit before further moves.
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🧱 Support & Resistance Zones:
Support Zone: Clearly marked near 141.5–142, where price bounced.
Resistance/Target Zone: Large green box from 147 to ~151.2, implying a bullish target zone.
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🎯 Trade Idea or Forecast (Implied):
Price has bounced off the support.
Expectation: A move back into the OB/FVG zone, followed by a potential bullish breakout toward 151+
Stop Loss Zone (in red): Below 143.123 – protecting against invalidation of the bullish setup.
Projected Take Profit Zone (in green): Between 147 and 151.268, based on supply zones and market imbalance fills.
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📈 Entry Concept (Implied Strategy):
Bullish bias after structure break.
Entry zone: Around current price or after minor pullback.
SL (Stop Loss): Below last structural low.
TP (Take Profit): 147–151.26 (targeting mitigation of prior inefficiencies or liquidity)
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✅ Summary Like a Pro:
> "The USD/JPY 4H chart shows a liquidity-driven bullish setup following a confirmed BOS. After sweeping liquidity below support, price has reacted from a demand zone aligning with a fair value gap and order block. The setup suggests a long opportunity targeting the 147–151.26 resistance zone, with stop placement below 143.12 for optimal risk-reward. This aligns with Smart Money behavior and institutional order flow."
USDJPY - MR.GRINGO ThinkingsHello everybody.
Today, we have some discussion about this pair but only with using Technical ways.
The pair right now is very long, maybe 80 days' time period in trouble situation. I mean, the bears have the market of it...
As we see, this 80 day was so strong bearish range, but it's great try for bulls now!
We may have a hope, the price will go up with this next side of the acceding triangular figures.
We may open long position on the price 143.603 or Just make entry for long now.
If you will follow this trading idea, there we will have "the main" resistance levels.
They are...
1. 145.735
2. 146.892
3. 148.048 yes. so I recommend this price levels, because the market will check it maybe later... For sure if you think buy.
Have a profit maker day! :) ^)
USDJPY – Ride the Rail Short IdeaPair is still gliding inside a clean 30-min downslope channel.
Price is now retesting the upper rail (≈ 143.00).
fade this retest while the trend-line holds.
Entry zone: 142.90 – 143.00
Target: 142.10 (bottom rail / prior pivot)
If the rail snaps, no trade; if it holds, I’m looking for the next slide to 142.1.
USDJPY I Daily CLS Nested In Weekly CLS, Model 1Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟
💰 Ready to raid the USD/JPY "The Gopher" vault? 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental heist analysis), here’s the master plan to swipe bullish profits before the market turns against us! Escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—overbought, consolidation, and bear traps ahead! 💸 "Take the money and run—you’ve earned it!" 🏆🚀
🕵️♂️ Heist Strategy:
📈 Entry (Bullish Raid):
The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE!
Pullback lovers: Set buy limits at recent/swing lows for extra loot.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis).
Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders.
🎯 Target (Profit Escape):
148.700 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!)
⚔️ Scalpers’ Quick Strike:
LONG ONLY! If rich, attack now. If not, join swing traders & rob slowly.
Trailing SL = Your bodyguard! 💰🔒
💥 Why This Heist?
USD/JPY "The Ninja" is bullish due to key factors—check:
📌 Fundamental + Macro + COT Report
📌 Quantitative + Sentiment + Intermarket Analysis
📌 Future Targets & Overall Score (Linkks In the profile!) 🔗🌍
🚨 Trading Alert (News = Danger!):
Avoid new trades during news—volatility kills!
Trailing SL saves profits on running positions.
💖 Support the Heist Team!
💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥
Help us steal more money daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀
Stay tuned—another heist is coming soon! 🤑🎯
JPY/USD Deep Analysis Using MMC – Curve Zone + Volume Burst Zone📌 Overview:
Today’s chart setup on JPY/USD demonstrates a classic Mirror Market Concept scenario, where price mimics past structure and behavior to create high-probability trade setups. We are looking at a textbook reversal with a rounded bottom forming right above a key Support Zone—signaling a strong potential move upward.
This is not just a basic support bounce. It’s a multi-layered confluence where structure, volume, and price action come together to build a strong bullish narrative.
🌀 Phase 1: The Curve Zone Support (Accumulation)
The Curve Zone Support (marked clearly on the chart) sits right above 0.006890–0.006910.
Price touched this zone multiple times without breaking it, forming higher lows—a typical sign of accumulation.
This pattern resembles a “rounded bottom” or cup shape, indicating that sellers are getting exhausted and buyers are slowly stepping in.
💡 Market Psychology: This is where smart money begins to accumulate positions, absorbing panic sellers while price coils up.
🧱 Phase 2: SR Interchange + Central Zone Reaction
Notice the SR Interchange Zone around 0.006950. Previously it acted as a resistance, but price broke above and now respects it as support.
This is a textbook SR flip, confirming that this level holds weight.
The Central Zone, formed earlier, is where a battle between bulls and bears took place. Now price is creeping back toward it.
🧠 Mirror Market Concept Insight: Market tends to repeat structure. The earlier bullish rally from the same base level is a mirrored version of what’s forming now. That’s why this concept gives us confidence in projecting future price moves.
🔊 Phase 3: Volume Burst Area – The Target Zone
We’ve marked a Volume Burst Area around 0.007040. This is where heavy buying occurred before a sharp decline.
According to MMC, these areas often act like magnets—price gravitates back toward them once demand builds up below.
If price clears the midpoint (50% retracement) around 0.006960, it opens the door for a bullish breakout toward the volume cluster.
🎯 Trade Plan Based on This Setup:
Component Details
Entry Zone 0.006920 – 0.006930 (buy zone)
Stop Loss Below 0.006890
First Target 0.006980 (mid-level reaction)
Final Target 0.007000 – 0.007040 (Volume Zone)
🧬 MMC Confluences That Make This Setup Powerful:
✅ Curve Zone Support – Foundational base for entry.
✅ SR Flip (Interchange) – Old resistance turned support.
✅ Volume Burst Area – Target based on prior aggressive moves.
✅ Structure Break – Bullish structure shift as price forms higher lows.
✅ Psychology – Accumulation turning into expansion.
🏁 Final Thoughts:
This chart is a great example of how Mirror Market Concepts can unlock the hidden patterns of the market. It’s not just technicals, it’s also about understanding how traders think and how price reflects those emotions.
When you combine curve structures, SR interchanges, and volume dynamics, you’re not guessing—you’re anticipating. If price respects this structure, this could be a clean move toward 0.007000+, offering a great risk-to-reward ratio.
USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst?USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst?
💬 After several sessions of sideways movement, USDJPY is showing signs of a potential breakout, supported by both technical signals and macro fundamentals. As the FOMC meeting approaches, the market is poised for a major shift — making this the perfect time to prepare actionable trade plans.
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Primary Trend: Short-term bullish retracement within a broader downtrend – currently testing the 200 EMA on H2.
EMAs in use: EMA13 (black), EMA34 (orange), EMA89 (red) – effective dynamic support/resistance indicators.
Key Resistance Levels:
145.35: Major confluence zone with 0.618 Fibonacci and trendline resistance.
146.11 – 147.20: Previous highs and Fibonacci extension targets.
Key Support Zones:
144.61: EMA200 acting as immediate pressure point.
143.43 – 143.02: Crucial demand zone with strong reaction expected on pullback.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS
FOMC Outlook: With recent CPI data softening and labor numbers moderating, markets anticipate a hold on rates. However, any hawkish tone from Chair Powell could trigger a sharp bullish move on USDJPY.
BOJ’s Dovish Stance: The Bank of Japan remains accommodative, showing no clear intent to hike rates. This weakens the Yen and supports mid-term upward momentum for USDJPY.
Interest Rate Differentials & Carry Trade Flows continue to drive volatility and directional bias in this pair.
🎯 TRADE SETUP SUGGESTION
If price breaks and sustains above 144.61 (EMA200): look to BUY on pullback toward 144.15–144.20, targeting 145.35 and 146.11.
If price gets rejected at 145.35: consider a short-term SELL toward 144.00 – 143.43 for a corrective leg.
⚠️ STRATEGY NOTE:
Avoid entering right at the time of the FOMC release. Wait for post-event confirmation. Prioritize strong breakouts or rejections, and manage risk carefully under volatile conditions.
USDCHF H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 143.02, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 145.03, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 142.09, a swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY Bearish Continuation Setup Trend Analysis
The market is in a clear downtrend, evidenced by the sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
The descending trendline has been respected multiple times, acting as dynamic resistance.
🧠 Key Technical Factors
Rejection Zone (Supply Area):
The marked “Rejection Point” aligns with the confluence of the trendline resistance, 50 EMA (red), and historical supply.
Price attempted to break above but faced a strong rejection—signaling institutional sell interest.
EMA Confluence:
50 EMA (142.993) and 200 EMA (144.063) are both sloping downward.
Price is trading below both EMAs, confirming bearish momentum and trend continuation bias.
BOS (Break of Structure):
Multiple BOS levels marked, showing a consistent pattern of structure breaks to the downside.
Each rally is met with selling pressure, failing to create new highs.
🧩 Projected Price Action
Current retracement could retest the trendline/50 EMA before a potential continuation move downward.
Expectation is a lower high formation near the descending trendline followed by a bearish impulse.
🏹 Bias: Bearish
Traders might consider short opportunities around the 142.90–143.00 zone, targeting 142.00 and below, with stops just above the trendline/supply zone.
⚠️ Risk Note
A clean break and close above the trendline and 50 EMA would invalidate this setup and could lead to a shift in structure.
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThe chart you've provided is a 30-minute candlestick chart of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) with a trade setup indicating a short (sell) position. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Trade Idea Summary:
Entry Zone: Around the current price level (~144.417).
Stop Loss: Just above 145.199.
Take Profit: Around the 142.618 area.
Trade Rationale:
The chart suggests a potential bearish reversal after a recent bullish move.
The expected price action is a downward trend, possibly with minor retrac
Market next move Bearish Disruption Scenario
1. Resistance Zone Holding (Red Box):
The current price is testing a strong resistance zone (highlighted in red).
There’s a chance that this level won't be broken easily due to historical supply or institutional sell orders.
2. Volume Spike Warning:
The recent green volume bars show increased buying, but this could signal buyer exhaustion if no significant breakout follows.
3. Fake Breakout Potential:
Price may perform a false breakout above the resistance, trapping late buyers before reversing down sharply.
4. Bearish Candlestick Confirmation:
If the next few candles form a reversal pattern (like a bearish engulfing or shooting star), it would support a short-term correction or drop.
5. Macro & News Risk:
Note the upcoming economic events (flag icons). U.S. or Japan economic data could disrupt the technical setup.
USD/JPY key levels to watch after powerful rallyThe USD/JPY has rallied decisively today, aided by the shift in Japanese bond sentiment.
The pair has broken several short-term levels and moving averages. At the time of writing, it was trading bang in the middle of the 144.00 -144.80 resistance area, formerly support. We also have the 21-day exponential moving average residing here.
As things stand, the next key upside target for the USD/JPY is now positioned near the 145 mark. Should price approach or breach it, we might begin to see growing confidence among longer-term bulls.
On the downside, key support is seen around the 142.50 level. Bearish below towards 140.00 next.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com