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USDJPY trade ideas

Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 143.93 1st Support: 139.48 1st Resistance: 147.12 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
Weekly FOREX Forecast: Wait To Buy JPY vs USD!In this video, we will analyze JPY futures and USDJPY. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups. The Yen is strong, and will outperform the USD in times of uncertainty. It is the worlds' safe haven of choice. Look for a small retracement before JPY pushes higher. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
Gold's Final Push?Multi Time Frame Analysis: 1. Monthly Chart; • RSI: Extremely Overbought at 84.66 • Volume: Declining – signals weakening buying pressure 2. Weekly Chart; • Historical Volume Spike • RSI: Overbought at 78.26 3. Daily Chart; • Price near Upper Channel Line • R2 (3246.25): Resistance/Trend Continuation Zone • MML +2/8 (3281.25): Extreme OverShoot zone (POI) • R3 (3315.96): Exhaustion Zone • Gap at 3177.260 still unfilled • RSI: 71.24 – overbought • Pattern: Rising Wedge 4. 4H Chart; • RSI: Overbought • No Valid Correction 5. 2H Chart; • RSI: Overbought • MACD Histogram: Fading • MACD Lines: Near Crossover • Volume: Declining 6. 1H Chart; • MACD Crossover occurred, histogram below zero • Volume: Weakening • Price: Still rising despite momentum loss 7. 30-Min Chart; • MACD Downtrend but price pushing up • Histogram below zero, divergence forming • Volume: Dropping • Near R2 Pivot Gold appears to be in a trend exhaustion phase. Across higher and mid-timeframes, RSI is extremely overbought, volume is consistently declining, and the MACD is losing momentum. Price is approaching a critical zone between R2 (3246.25) and MML +2/8 (3281.25)—our points of interest (POI) for potential reversal. If 3246.25 holds, we may see a correction. However, if price breaks above this level, the final resistance could be 3315.96 (R3 Exhaustion Zone). Any signs of inducement or fake breakout could trap buyers at the top (FOMO entry). Confirmation signals to watch: • Reversal Candlestick Patterns: Shooting Star, Evening Star, Bearish Engulfing, or multiple Doji formations. Final Thoughts: Gold is currently trading at elevated levels, showing signs of exhaustion across nearly all timeframes. With the RSI reading at an extreme 84.66 on the monthly chart, and volume drying up as price continues to rise, this suggests that the market is driven more by momentum and emotion than sustainable buying pressure. The presence of an unfilled breakaway gap at 3177.26, combined with key resistance zones approaching at R2 (3246.25), MML +2/8 (3281.25), and R3 (3315.96), indicates that Gold may be entering a Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) phase, often marked by impulsive buying and the final surge before a correction. Patterns like the Rising Wedge, MACD divergence, and consistent overbought RSI across MTFs reinforce the likelihood of a potential reversal. However, due to the nature of FOMO-driven moves, the price could still spike before reversing—this is where inducement traps often catch late buyers. It’s crucial to remain patient and wait for proper confirmation signals such as bearish candlestick formations, MACD crossovers, or strong rejection wicks at resistance levels. If price reacts at these zones without breaking through decisively, it could be an ideal setup for short opportunities. Always protect your capital with a solid risk management strategy, use clearly defined stop-loss levels (preferably just above R3), and avoid emotional trading decisions. The technicals are aligning for a significant correction—what remains is the right trigger. 🎯 Potential Targets: • Support Zone 1: 3210.75 • Gap Fill / 26.60% Fib: 3177.26 • Support Zone 2 / 38.20% Fib: 3131.00 • Support Zone 3 / 50% Fib: 3101.50 • Support Zone 4 / 64% Fib: 3052.79 • Final Target / 78.60% Fib: 3022.52 • Demand Zone: 2961.00
Short
by SpicyPips
USDJPY AnalysisThis chart displays a 1-hour candlestick chart for USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs. Japanese Yen) as of April 13, 2025, using data from OANDA on TradingView. Let’s break down the key elements and provide a technical analysis: 🔍 Chart Overview • Current Price: Around 143.47 • Trend: The market has been in a clear downtrend from the 151.5 level to around 143. • Key Tools/Indicators Used: • BBandLE/BBandSE: Bollinger Band-based Long/Short Entry signals. • Support & Resistance Zones: Highlighted by the red/purple rectangular zones. • Risk-to-Reward Trade Setup: Shown using the green (profit target) and red (stop loss) shaded areas. 📊 Support & Resistance Levels 1. Resistance Zones: • ~151.5 (significant sell-off zone) • ~147.8–148.3 (where multiple BBandSE entries occurred) 2. Support Zones: • ~143.0–142.9 (price bounced here recently) • ~141.9 (potential final support from April 11th) 🔄 Buy Signals Multiple BBandLE (Buy entries) occurred at: • ~146 • ~144 • Most recent one around 143, suggesting a potential bottom/reversal. These coincide with the support zone around 143–142.9, indicating possible accumulation or institutional buying. 📉 Sell Signals • Several BBandSE (Sell entries) occurred around: • 151.5 • 148.5 • 147.5 These acted as strong resistance, confirming the bearish momentum that led to the current low. 🧮 Trade Setup From the chart: • Entry: Around 143.4 (current level) • Stop-loss: ~142 (below recent support) • Target zone: ~147–148.3 (resistance level) • Risk-to-Reward: Estimated at around 1:3, making it a favorable setup if the reversal holds. ⚠️ Risks • False breakout risk below 143: Could test 141.9 support or fall further if broken. • Yen intervention or USD-related economic data could cause sudden volatility. • Current market sentiment is still bearish, so early entries might need tight management. ✅ Conclusion • Technical Bias: Short-term bullish reversal potential, but overall trend still bearish. • Strategy: Ideal for a short-term counter-trend long trade, with tight stop-losses and partial profit-taking near the 147–148 zone. • Confirmation needed: Wait for a higher high above 144.5–145 to confirm the reversal.
by ThizizAlex
USD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup – Entry, Stop Loss & Target AnalyPair: USD/JPY Timeframe: 15 minutes Indicators Used: EMA (30-period) – Red line EMA (200-period) – Blue line Chart Features: Downward channel (declining trendline) Identified entry point, stop loss, and target Key support/resistance zones shaded in purple 🟢 Trade Idea Summary: 🔹Entry Point: 143.126 🔹Stop Loss: 142.702 🔹Target (Take Profit): 148.249 🔹Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (Excellent R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis: ✅ Bullish Breakout Signal Price has broken above the descending channel and has retested the breakout area (highlighted purple zone) – a classic bullish breakout structure. The breakout retest near 143.126 is acting as support, with potential to launch a new bullish move. 📈 Moving Average Analysis EMA 30 is starting to flatten and curve up – indicating potential shift in momentum. EMA 200 is still above price, but a breakout above it could strengthen the bullish case. 🔁 Support and Resistance Strong support zone around 143.000 – 143.200 area (highlighted zone). Major resistance and target zone is between 148.000 – 148.250. 🔔 Trade Plan Suggestion: Go Long at or near 143.126 Place Stop Loss below support at 142.702 Target 148.249 for profit Reasoning: This setup offers a trend reversal potential from a downtrend to uptrend, with a clean breakout-retest-confirmation pattern. The wide take profit range gives room for extended upside as momentum builds. ⚠️ Watch For: Reaction to the 144.325 (EMA 200) level Increased buying volume to confirm breakout Any re-entry into the channel (would invalidate setup)
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
USDJPY at Major Support Level - Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:USDJPY has reached a major support level, marked by significant buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a strong demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in again. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support level, there is a high probability of an upward move. I anticipate that, if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 147.570 level, which serves as a logical target within the current structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
47
USDJPY Weekly Rejection at Support-Revisit Bearish Order Block?USDJPY pair last trading week got rejected at the same level that the pair has previously acted as a support level. Will this rejection cause USDJPY to rally towards a bearish order block above 147.50? Risk Zones: 146.50 N.B! - USDJPY price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #usdjpy #usd #jpy
Long
by BullBearMkt
Why Yen — When the Dollar Pays 4.5%?USD/JPY recently dropped to its lowest level since September 2024, hovering near the weekly moving average. The market buzzes with concerns over potential U.S. instability and speculation that a Trump administration could weigh on the dollar — prompting some investors to seek safety in the yen. However, the yield story tells a different tale. The U.S. still offers an attractive 4.5% overnight interest rate, while Japan lags far behind at just 0.5%. With USD currently undervalued, the yield differential may once again tilt investor preference back toward the dollar. Looking ahead, a potential rebound toward resistance at 148.639 could be in play in the coming weeks.
Long
by Ch-artwork
USD/JPY(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June ②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 142.79 Support and resistance levels: 143.94 143.51 143.23 142.34 142.06 141.63 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 142.79, consider buying, the first target price is 143.23 If the price breaks through 142.34, consider selling, the first target price is 142.06
Long
by Toml1314
USDJPY - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 25.04.25)Overall Trend & Context: This pair is in an overall uptrend and has reacted off the 140.00 support levels (as well as the 200 EMA on the Daily chart). Technical Findings: Price is trading above 25, 50,100 and 200 EMA's on intraday charts. Powerful break of structure which leaves no question about bullish force. Current consolidation - Demand needs to be built before continuation. Notes: Price is currently at a historic support level however has not closed above daily supply, we are still in the area of doing so. Manage your risk, take the trade with confirmations only.
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
Haven play: Long yen back in focusAmid growing uncertainty surrounding U.S. equities and the US dollar, investors could be returning to a traditional defensive strategy: going long on the Japanese yen. While some analysts believe the recent yen rally is not yet overstretched, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has noted that Japan’s central bank is likely to push back the timing of further interest rate hikes, a factor that could limit the yen's potential to strengthen further. As such, we are looking at the support level of 140.00 and the bearish-yen sentiment seen today, and the potential resistance at 144.80. Up next: a scheduled meeting between Japan’s Finance Minister Kato and U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent later this week.
by BlackBull_Markets