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USDJPY trade ideas

Key Observations 1. Rectangle + Double Top (“Top 2”) Formation (left side): • Price ranged between ~147.5 and ~149.5. • A double top inside the rectangle signaled resistance and potential reversal. • Breakdown from the rectangle zone occurred, confirming bearish momentum. 2. Rising Wedge Pattern (right side, green zone): • A bearish pattern forming higher highs and higher lows. • The red arrow indicates an expected breakdown from the wedge. 3. Bearish Price Projection (blue arrows): • The chart projects a sharp drop following the wedge breakdown. • Multiple target levels are marked: • First Target: ~147.0 zone. • Final Target: Near 144.0, aligning with the measured move from previous breakdown. 4. Confluence of Bearish Signals: • Rectangle breakdown + rising wedge. • Bearish candle rejection near 149 resistance. • Pattern-based technical targets drawn using past behavior.
by AlgoWave_Tech
3
Lingrid | USDJPY Potential Channel Breakout. LongFX:USDJPY is retesting the breakout zone after reclaiming support from a prior swap area near 146.9. Price action has broken above a downward trendline and is forming a bullish retest structure. As long as USDJPY holds above 146.920 zone, the setup favors a continuation toward the resistance barrier. A breakout above the red descending trendline could accelerate upside momentum. 📉 Key Levels Buy trigger: Break and hold above 147.500 Buy zone: 146.900 – 147.000 Target: 148.250 Invalidation: Break below 146.000 💡 Risks Failure to break the descending red trendline may trigger renewed selling Consolidation below resistance could signal buyer exhaustion Break below 146.000 would invalidate bullish retest setup If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
20
USDJPY Short from ResistanceHello Traders In This Chart USDJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today USDJPY analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (USDJPY market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDJPY Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Short
by ForexMasters2000
USDJPY A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 148.71 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 147.93 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
USDJPY rising wedge capped at 148,90The USDJPY pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend. Key resistance is located at 149.90, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move. A bearish rejection from 148.90 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 146.93, followed by 146.50 and 146.10 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 148.93 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 149.75, then 150.20. Conclusion: The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 148.90. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDJPY - 30/7/25 - BoS to a bearish pull backI dont normally trade USDJPY but i see a setup based on my strategy. The price was climbing to take out a previous high on the 4H and Daily TF. But on the hourly there is a clear BoS which suggests that there may be a pull back even though the HTF bias is still bullish. +ve: 1. there is a BoS on the 1 hour chart 2. Equal low liquidity just below which will draw price to this zone 3. Big imbalance below the equal low liquidity -ve: 1. Fed news today may push the market against my trade idea
Short
by AlpenglowTrader
USDJPY Forming Bullish Reversal | MMC Analysis + Target🧠 Chart Overview (2H Timeframe) 🔸 1. Head and Shoulders Inverse Pattern – MMC Bullish Blueprint The chart beautifully shows an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, one of the most powerful reversal signals under MMC logic: Left Shoulder: Formed after the initial drop and quick recovery. Head : Deep liquidity grab and reversal from the lowest point (demand zone). Right Shoulder: Higher low structure, indicating reduced selling pressure and shift in momentum. This pattern is forming around a previous liquidity zone, which makes it more valid and aligned with smart money behavior. 🔸 2. Retesting Zone – Critical MMC Demand Area Price is now retesting a highlighted demand zone, which acted as the springboard for the previous bullish move: Bullish Pattern marked aligns with MMC’s concept of “Return to Origin”. This zone also sits just above the right shoulder, confirming that buyers are defending aggressively. If this level holds, we may see a strong continuation move to the upside. 🔸 3. Previous Reversal Zone (Supply) – Next Target Area Marked in light green, this area is the next critical resistance: Acts as liquidity target for institutions if price rallies. Historically acted as a major reversal point. Price is likely to show reactions or profit-taking behavior here. Once broken and retested, it becomes a new support for further upside continuation (as marked on the chart). 🔸 4. Dual Scenarios – Bullish vs Bearish Pathways Your chart correctly outlines two strategic possibilities: ✅ Bullish Scenario: Price respects demand zone. Breaks above previous reversal zone (149.000+). Bullish continuation toward 149.800–150.500 range. MMC tip: “If it goes bullish, use previous demand or double it” = Add confluence or stack demand zones for scale-in entries. ❌ Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below retesting zone, bullish invalidation triggers. Look to the previous all supply zone (Zone Pattern Must) for next reaction. This scenario reflects smart money rejection of upside continuation. 🗂️ MMC Structural Elements Identified: Zone/Pattern Role in Analysis Inverse H&S Trend reversal signal Retesting Zone Demand/entry area Previous Reversal Zone First key resistance / next liquidity pool Supply Zone Below Target in case of downside breakdown MMC Logic Follow price structure, fakeouts, demand/supply traps 📈 Summary Outlook: USDJPY is showing a technical bullish structure backed by MMC-based price psychology. The current pullback into a demand zone gives traders an excellent R:R opportunity for long positions, targeting higher zones upon breakout confirmation. 🟩 If bullish, breakout >149.000 will likely lead toward 150.000+ 🟥 If bearish, breakdown <147.600 opens doors to deeper drop toward 146.000 zone (watch for reversal pattern). 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: Type Level Range Notes Support 147.600–147.800 Current retesting demand Resistance 148.800–149.300 Previous Reversal Zone (Profit booking area) Higher Resistance 150.500+ Final upside objective Breakdown Zone <147.500 Flip to bearish scenario
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D30 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D30 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY | H4 Bullish bounce offBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling towards the buy entry, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level and rise higher. Buy entry is at 147.08, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 145.82, which is a multi-swing low support. Take profit is at 148.72, which is pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 29, 2025 EURUSDThe pair is consolidating at 148.500, leaving behind a nearly 1% gain since the start of the week. High Treasury yields (10-year bonds — 4.34%) are supporting demand for the dollar, while the easing of the US-Japan trade conflict is reducing defensive demand for the yen. As part of yesterday's statement by the US Treasury, tariffs on Japanese cars are being reduced to 10%, which improves the outlook for export-oriented corporations, but at the same time reduces investors' need for safe-haven currencies. Despite inflation of 3.7% y/y and rising food costs, the Bank of Japan is likely to keep its rate at 0.5% following its July 30-31 meeting and only revise its CPI forecasts upward. Former Deputy Governor of the Central Bank Hiroshi Nakaso acknowledges that further increases are only possible after assessing the effect of US tariffs, i.e., not before 2026. This scenario reinforces negative real interest rates and a widening yield differential with the US. In addition, the inflow of Japanese investment into foreign bonds has resumed amid confidence in a gradual, rather than sharp, normalization of BOJ policy. Taken together, these factors point to the likelihood of a test of 150.00 in the coming days in the absence of verbal intervention by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. Trading recommendation: BUY 148.500, SL 147.900, TP 150.500
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY – Strap in For the Central Bank Rollercoaster The next 4 trading days could be crucially important for FX markets, with traders bracing for the outcomes of a variety of different events including several central bank meetings, economic data readings and trade deal/tariff negotiations. No currency pair within the majors is likely to feel the impact of these events more than USDJPY, given that both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and Band of Japan (BoJ) interest rate decisions take place within a 9-hour window late on Wednesday evening and early Thursday morning, UK time (Fed 1900 BST Wed, BoJ 0400 BST Thurs). The first move in USDJPY at the start of this week has been higher. This was in response to the announcement of a trade deal between the EU/US, which sees tariffs of 15% on most EU goods imported into the US and has been taken as a success for President Trump and his trade team. (general USD positive). When coupled with the political uncertainty surrounding Japanese PM Ishiba, who is fighting to keep his job, (potential JPY negative) USDJPY has traded from opening levels at 147.51 on Monday up to a high of 148.71 earlier this morning in Asia. Looking forward, both the Fed and BoJ are expected to keep interest rates unchanged. This could make what is said at the accompanying press conferences by Fed Chairman Powell (1930 BST Wed) and BoJ Governor Ueda (0730 BST Thurs) on the timing of their next respective interest rate moves potentially pivotal for the direction of USDJPY into the weekend. Tier 1 US economic data may also be important, with the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge (PCE Index) due for release at 1330 BST on Thursday, and the next update on the current health of the US labour market due on Friday at 1330 BST in the form of Non-farm Payrolls. Sentiment may also be impacted on Friday by any headlines or social media posts from President Trump regarding trade deals and updates on whether he may extend or hold certain countries to his current deadline of August 1st. Technical Update: Focus on Fibonacci Retracement Resistance at 149.40 On July 16th 2025, USDJPY traded to a price high of 149.19, nearing what might have been considered a resistance level by traders at 149.40. This level is equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the price weakness seen from 158.88 on January 10th down to 139.88, the April 22nd low. Having been capped by this resistance level, a setback in price developed last week. However, this phase of price weakness encountered buying support around the Bollinger mid-average, currently at 146.98, from which fresh attempts at price strength have emerged. As a result, it might be argued that this type of price action is more constructive in nature, especially as since the April 22nd low was posted a pattern of higher price lows and higher price highs has so far materialised, as the chart above shows. That said, with potential for a sustained period of USDJPY volatility in the week ahead let’s consider what may be the important support and resistance levels that could influence the direction of prices moving forward. Potential Resistance Levels: Having previously capped price strength, the 149.40 retracement level may prove to be successful in doing so again, meaning closing breaks above 149.40 might now be required to suggest a further period of price strength. As the chart above shows, if successful breaks above 149.40 do materialise, potential may then turn towards tests of the next resistance at 151.21, the March 28th session high, even 151.65, the higher 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level. Potential Support Levels: Having seen it offer support to recent price declines, traders may still be focusing on the 146.98 Bollinger mid-average as an important level that if broken on a closing basis, might lead to a further phase of price weakness. Closing breaks under the 146.98 support while not a guarantee of further declines, could suggest potential to test 145.85, the July 24th session low and rally point, even towards 142.68, the July 1st low. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
July 29, Forex Outlook : High-Reward Setups You Shouldn’t Miss!Welcome back, traders! In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes. Pairs to focus on this Week: USDJPY AUDJPY CADJPY EURGBP GBPCHF USDCHF NZDCHF EURNZD Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence. 📊 What to Expect in This Video: 1. Higher timeframe trend analysis 2. Key zones of interest and potential setups 3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes 4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights! Have a great week ahead, God bless you! The Architect 🏛️📉
by The_Archi-tect
USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers. Please feel free to share your personal thoughts in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the boost and subscribe buttons! Key Points - Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba reaffirmed during a party meeting held at the LDP headquarters that he has no intention of resigning, stating, "I will do my utmost to ensure there is no political vacuum for the nation and the people." - Following the U.S.-EU trade agreement, concerns have arisen that it could negatively impact the EU economy, with negative sentiment spreading across Europe. - On July 28, the third high-level meeting between the U.S. and China began in Stockholm, Sweden. The market widely expects the current “tariff truce” to be extended by another 90 days. Major Economic Events This Week + July 29: U.S. Department of Labor – JOLTS + July 30: Germany Q2 GDP, U.S. July ADP Nonfarm Employment Change, U.S. Q2 GDP, Bank of Canada rate decision, FOMC meeting results + July 31: Bank of Japan rate decision, Germany July CPI, U.S. June PCE Price Index + August 1: Eurozone July CPI, U.S. July Nonfarm Payrolls, U.S. July Unemployment Rate USDJPY Chart Analysis After facing resistance near the 149 level, USD/JPY pulled back but found support around 146, and is now climbing again toward 149. In the long term, a rise toward 151 seems possible. Two potential scenarios are in play: - The pair hits resistance again at 149, finds support at 146, and then moves up toward 151. - The pair maintains its current upward momentum and continues climbing directly to 151. We will determine our strategy based on the price action near the 149 level.
Long
by shawntime_academy
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal : 148.100 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
2
USD/JPY 1D Forex Chart - August 12, 2025daily performance of the U.S. Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY) as of August 12, 2025. The current exchange rate is 148.277, reflecting a 0.09% increase (+0.136). The chart includes a trendline indicating a potential upward movement, with a buy signal at 148.277 and a sell signal at the same level. Key support and resistance levels are marked, with a notable range between 146.786 and 151.234. The chart spans from early 2025 to mid-2026, showing historical price action and future projections.
Long
by Alee_Gold_Trader
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 12, 2025 USDJPYThe yen has refreshed monthly lows as the Bank of Japan last week reaffirmed its commitment to ultra-loose policy and kept the 10-year JGB yield target around 1.49%. Inflation is easing, with July core CPI falling to 1.7%, below the target range — an argument for maintaining yield-curve control. Against this backdrop, the U.S. 10-year yield climbed toward 4.25% on expectations of a firm CPI print, widening the spread with Japanese bonds to 425 bps. Accelerated Japanese capital outflows into dollar assets support USDJPY. Japan’s Ministry of Finance has only issued verbal warnings about possible interventions, with no actual dollar selling observed — market participants view 150 as the next target. Dollar demand is also supported by steady oil prices above $85/bbl, which increase Japan’s import bills. Higher commodity prices worsen the country’s trade balance and spur additional dollar purchases by Japanese corporates for settlements. Trade recommendation: BUY 148.300, SL 148.100, TP 149.500
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004