U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen forum


USDJPY If price drops below previous weeks low. Then long
Snapshot


USDJPY moodys downgrade was long waiting to happen. Nothing new. US debt had been spiraling up for years and this downgrade at best can be termed a lagging indicator.



$USDJPYUSDJPY – Technical Setup Ahead of Weekly Open: Structure Intact
Active formation | Key levels: 145.058 / 145.300 / 147.045

The indicative weekend pricing (broker-sourced weekend print) closed around 145.320 – holding above the key support zone at 145.300.

The overall structure remains unchanged – but the low weekend print at 145.320 (indicative pricing from market participants) may hint at a possible gap-up, as it aligned precisely with the recently defended support zone.

Trader Insight – Setup and Strategic Notes from a Prop Trader’s Perspective

For those planning to trade this move actively, here are a few key considerations:

The market may be pulled down again into the 145.300–145.400 zone to collect liquidity.
A sharp dip toward 145.058–145.000 is technically acceptable – what matters is how the market reacts to it.

What matters is not the wick – but the body of the candle.

In the 1-hour to 4-hour timeframes:

– A wick below 145.058 is fine
– But the candle body should close above that level

If the price temporarily breaks the level, it must be quickly bought back – this aligns with classic price-time behavior.
The faster the recovery, the clearer the signal of strength.

If the market opens with a gap-up or strong impulse

No FOMO – you haven’t missed anything.

The previous pivot zone around 145.903 becomes a key structure area for long setups above support.
As long as price holds above 145.058 and 145.300, the formation remains valid.

Target behavior within the structure

145.058 = potential reversal point / formation low
145.300 = key support and re-entry level
147.045 = breakout trigger zone
146.880–147.045 = possible consolidation area (Fibonacci confluence)

Prop Trader Mindset

As a prop trader, I prioritize structured risk and drawdown protection.
I trade with position logic – not hope.
Stop losses are not wrong – but without a plan, they’re just emergency exits.

In this type of setup, hedging and active management often replace traditional stops.
Structure beats emotion.

Conclusion

The formation is active. The market is showing signs of preparation.
Whether we open with a gap-up or see a pullback – both align with the structure.
The question isn’t what the market will do.
The question is: Are you prepared?


USDJPY outlook for next week, DXY is at resistance zone, UJ will most likely retest 146.5 then drop to around 143 region.
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USDJPY i think we will be getting more upside to this market.the US economy seem to be getting a little bit better then the last couple of weeks. the technicals to me looks like it will hit support and carry on moving north. this is potentially good for a swing
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USDJPY if anyone was with me yesterday i told you it will get down to this level before up, we had a strong level of support and 1hr demand and order blocks waiting. We might see a small pullback. happy trading :)
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