USDKES trade ideas
kenyan shilling usd bearish baisthe kenyan shilling should be gaining against the usd due to factors like reduce in the monthly demand for dollars to purchase petroleum products , kenya has entered a deal with aramco to source the products using kenyan shillings , when initially we had to consolidate 500millon dollars per month for the importation of the same , on friday the deputy presint of kenya H.E RIGGY G was at the port of mombasa to personaly / offically receive the maiden consignment of two ships from saudia arabia , the ripple effect of this ,move will see the demand forthe usd decrease and also the recovery of the shilling form bearish to bullish and consequently weaken of the dollar ..
USDKES WHICH WAY?!120.00 is the recent peak exchange rate for the US dollar against the Kenyan Shilling. For years on end, the Kenyan shilling has devalued against the US dollar, The incessant bull run can be attributed to a number of factors: - First, the strength of the US dollar. Second, is the weakening shilling.
The US economy may very well be headed to an economic recession but the US currency is not showing exhaustion from its rally. The US dollar has gained value in its exchange rates with other currencies in the major global currencies basket. Certainly, the Corona Virus pandemic and the eastern Europe conflict have consolidated the US dollar hegemony.
With respect to the weakening shilling, pundits have warned against the growing fiscal debt and its consequence on the exchange rates for the shilling. The key exchange rates as illustrated in this price chart, #USDKES: 85.00, 103.96, and 119.90, are subject to the election cycle in Kenya - March 2013, August 2017, and August 2022 respectively. Technically, observing the upward trend recorded in the period, it is likely that the bullish trend will continue to form new highs. Conversely, one can argue that the shilling will gain value in the long term owing to the performance of the 5th government's policies. However, that remains to be seen and is completely speculative.
In summary, the exchange rate, #USDKES, is likely to remain bullish in the short term.
USDKES still looking BULLISHUSDKES has been uptrending since January 2020.
USDKES held that low of Ksh 106.60 created in December 2020.
we might see a push to the upside circa Ksh 110.12 and if breaks this resistance zone at KSh 110.12 it will push up towards the highs of December 2020 circa Ksh 111.54
USDKES moving sideways for months USDKES has been in a sideways movement since the high close of november 2020
it been ranging between 109.17 ksh to 110 ksh.
waiting for a break above to test that high wick of 111.52 ksh in december 2020.
our economy has taken a hit since corona virus disrupted businesses and jobs.